Gold is abnormal, we still need to go long when we find an oppor
Gold has a perfect V-shaped reversal today. It opened at 3177 and fell unilaterally in the Asian session. It hit 3120 at noon and then rose slowly. As of the time of writing, it has completely recovered the decline and is currently trading around 3195. I have analyzed the European session. After the gold price broke through the extreme drop of 3200, it needs to be repaired, but it has taken another rebound correction. The analysis also gave attention to 3156 to 3168 to continue to be bearish. With the slow rise and break, the bearish view is invalid. Now make a new analysis.
Since the gold price has been rising slowly since 3120, let’s not guess whether this wave of upward movement is a rebound or a trend reversal. In terms of operation, I suggest to follow the trend and look at its upward movement first. Because we have analyzed the general trend before, it is still in the second wave of decline since the high-level decline and has not reached the trend target; secondly, the rebound of 70 points from the low level is not enough to judge the trend reversal. So first pay attention to the stagflation after this wave of slow bull trend and then make a trend judgment.
At the hourly level, the gold price has been rising slowly since the opening of the US market. This slow rise is generally not a top. We will wait for a correction and break through the previous hourly K before analyzing it. In terms of specific operations, we can first follow the trend and enter the market with long orders, with protection at 3176. The upper target is 3110. After breaking through, wait for a correction of 8-10 points to continue to go long and look at 3239. Then pay attention to whether the 3200 mark can be stabilized at the close of today, which is related to our layout ideas at the end of the week.
Goldlong
The rebound in gold prices is for better short selling
After gold fell below 3200 this week, the current trend is as shown in the figure. The end of this wave is tentatively set at around 2900. There may be a rebound during the period, but it is only a rebound. After the news faded, I emphasized that the gold price of 3500 was a top to look at the retracement in my analysis after the 9th of this month. I also gave a short-selling strategy and the staged support position below. Now the support level has been broken one after another, so we can continue to look at the target according to the trend.
The last wave of decline at the short-term level has gone through several shock adjustments along the way. Now the gold price has rebounded again near 3120, and the highest rebound reached 3153. I also gave some people a reminder to continue shorting along the way. Now I will mainly make a brief analysis of the hourly line. After the sharp drop, the gold price must be repaired. One is shock adjustment repair, and the other is rebound repair. Under this extreme decline trend, gold does not have the conditions for a rebound, so I think the rebound here at 3120 is just caused by some short orders choosing to sell for profit, so the market will continue to fall in the future.
Now there are two main positions to focus on above. The first is the previous low point near 3168 during the decline, and the other is the starting point of the last wave near 3156. If the rebound does not cross these two positions, we can continue to see gold testing or even breaking through the recent low of 3120. Pay attention to the step support below near 3088.
Gold Reversal Potential from Falling Wedge + Demand Zone
Gold (XAU/USD) is showing signs of a potential bullish reversal on the 15-minute chart. After forming a falling wedge pattern and reaching a key demand zone around 3120, price action suggests a possible bounce.
Falling wedge breakout observed with increasing volume
Strong rejection from the 3120 support zone
Risk-to-reward setup aligned with bullish momentum
Watch for continuation if price holds above the minor trendline
This idea is for educational purposes only and not financial advice.
Channel Breakout with Bullish Reversal on XAUUSD (15M)"
Price moved within a clean descending channel and eventually broke out with momentum. After forming a strong reversal candle near previous support, a long position was considered. Volume increase confirms potential buyer interest. Setup aims for upper imbalance / liquidity zones. Chart shown on 15-minute timeframe.
Gold, let's fall like crazy
Gold is consistent with our previous analysis. It has reached a new low recently, breaking through the key position of $3,220, ushering in a new round of decline. Some people directly said: It can't hold on.
This time, after the gold price opened lower on Monday, it has been hovering above $3,200-3,220, fluctuating back and forth, and finally failed to rebound successfully.
There are various opinions on the market about the reasons for the decline, and the key point I emphasize is: whether the decline is over must depend on whether the high point before the last decline is lost, and if the key support position is lost, it can no longer be defended.
For example: Yesterday we first entered the market near $3,220 and rebounded to around $3,243, and we have always emphasized the gains and losses of the key position of $3,215. When it is lost here, we must adjust our thinking in time. The difference between us is who can change their thinking faster at the critical moment.
For physical gold or accumulated gold, it is very passive without hedging tools. For example, when the price breaks the key position, it can only be solved by cutting losses. Because of chasing in at a high position, there is no follow-up funds to lower the cost. At the same time, the funds account for too large a proportion of their own cash flow, which will lead to passive beating.
Therefore, the market will not always rise and never fall, nor will it only fall and never rise. The key is how to balance the allocation of funds and risks, whether the key position can be accepted in time after it is lost, rather than holding on to it. Trading is not a simple one-trick win, but a flexible response. For example, gold ETF: I have always been investing weekly, from last year to now, and the proportion will not be too large. The rise and fall in the middle has almost no effect on me, and the leverage method must be to make a day-to-day settlement. If you encounter a unilateral long-term, you will take a bite, and if you don’t encounter it, you will seize the moment.
Okay, let’s talk about today’s gold market:
On Wednesday, the formula for gold application is: Asian market falls, European market continues, and the rebound before the US market is to lure more, and go short when you see a high. The Asian session fell from the high point to $3220 and has been fluctuating repeatedly. After rebounding to $3243 in the European session, it did not continue, but started a wave of decline. The key position of $3215 was broken during the US session, and the short position was confirmed at this time.
Also, today is: the previous day's weak bottom closing, the next day's early trading can still be shorted, today's pressure position is around $3195, the rebound pressure is the position of the early morning high, and then it breaks down to $3150, and the key pressure at this time is the top and bottom conversion.
As shown in the figure, after the bottom oscillation, a new high point moves down and the low point breaks, which is a typical decline. The early morning high of $3195 is the key long-short dividing point, and the top and bottom conversion becomes today's new entry position for shorting. Remember one sentence: Never look for support to go long in a falling market, but look for pressure to go short. When will the decline end: the high point before the last 1-hour or 4-hour decline is broken and closed above this position. The retracement confirms that there is no new low. The market outlook will rebound or reverse. There is no need to guess when the bottom will be reached. The bottom is found, not guessed! ! ! !
Today, gold rebounded and went short in the range of 3165-70. This is the pressure point for the top and bottom conversion. There are three short periods today: the opening rebound high, the top and bottom conversion of the European session rebound, and the rebound before the US session after the European session weakened. The defensive position is above 3195 US dollars, and the focus below is 3145-40-32 US dollars.
GOLD support @ $3100There are a lot of things that show the price about $3100 for Gold is a really important & strong support for now.
We have 61% & 70.2% of Fibonacci retracement about this area.
The bear flag target on 4H TF is at $3100.
Even the target for double top is at that area.
In the past the price of $3100 was a support as well.
Gold Holds Key Support Ahead of CPIOANDA:XAUUSD Gold (XAU/USD) edged higher to $3,255 early Tuesday as traders awaited the US April CPI report. While the 90-day US-China tariff truce improved market sentiment and limited gold’s upside, geopolitical tensions in Ukraine, the Middle East, and South Asia continue to drive safe-haven flows. A de-escalation in US-China trade tensions triggered the recent pullback, with price failing to reclaim the $3,271 resistance. The $3,213 area remains a major support. A break above $3,271 is needed to resume bullish momentum, while failure to hold $3,213 could expose $3,127.
Resistance : $3,271 , $3,305
Support : $3,213 , $3,127
Gold heads towards 3100 price zone, long or short?
📌 Driving Events
Gold prices (XAU/USD) fell for the second straight session on Thursday, the third decline in the past four days, and fell to a more than one-month low below $3,150 during the Asian trading session. The continued downward pressure is largely due to renewed optimism after signs of a substantial de-escalation in the Sino-US trade dispute, a development that has dampened demand for traditional safe-haven assets such as gold.
The announcement of a 90-day trade truce between the world's two largest economies also helped ease recession fears in the United States, prompting investors to reduce expectations for aggressive monetary easing by the Federal Reserve. The shift supported the continued rise in US Treasury yields, further suppressing demand for the non-interest-bearing gold.
📊Comment Analysis
Downtrend, bears continue to exert downward pressure on the market, heading towards the 3100 price area
⭐️Set Gold Price:
💰Strategy Package
🔥Sell Gold Area: 3178-3188 SL 3191
TP1: $3180
TP2: $3170
TP3: $3160
🔥Buy Gold Area: $3101 - $3099 SL $3094
TP1: $3110
TP2: $3120
TP3: $3130
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose a lot size that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
Gold continues to fall seize the opportunity to enter the market
📌 Driving factors
China-US container shipping routes rose sharply - factories rushed to produce overnight, taking advantage of the tariff cooling-off period, those who should stock up are working overtime to complete the tasks. This is the situation seen on the first day after the tariff reduction, indicating the complementarity between China-US trade.
The long-awaited US-Japan and European and American tariffs have not yet ushered in substantial benefits, but Europe said that this is an unfair negotiation and has not been concluded yet.
Trump went to the Middle East and signed a 100 billion weapons order, stabilizing the Middle East before Europe.
📊Comment analysis
The Asian session fell in the morning, pay attention to a few points:
1. The upper watershed opened at 3193 in the morning, the short watershed.
2. Directly break the 3168 long watershed, the next support is at 3145, 3130.
3. For now, the Asian session will continue to fall in a cycle, the European session will pull back after breaking the bottom, and the US session will continue to retreat.
💰Strategy Package
For short-term operations, short selling can be done near 3166, stop loss 3169, target 3140, 3135.
Labaron believes
Guaranteeing the principal is the bottom line for survival, controlling risks is the armor for survival, earning profits is a stage medal, and long-term stable and continuous profits are the only proof of being able to stand up from the sea of blood and corpses.
High R Risk Long Strategy 3160 Old Bulls Awaiting AttackNew version:
After a significant drop in gold prices, we're starting to notice some encouraging signs of a bullish trend taking shape. The price has bounced off the 3145–3160 demand zone several times, hinting at possible accumulation. The recent candle patterns are showing higher lows, and it looks like buyers are stepping in to protect the liquidity just below 3160.
This setup is all about price action, liquidity sweeps, and structural changes. The 3160 zone is a crucial decision point where we expect buyers to take charge. It also coincides with a previous imbalance fill and a short-term order block.
Right now, this phase presents a great risk-to-reward opportunity for bulls, as long as the stop loss at 3145 holds firm.
Entry: 3160
Stop Loss: 3145 (just below the liquidity sweep and order block)
Targets:
TP1: 3180 (a minor resistance / reaction zone)
TP2: 3196 (liquidity above the last high)
TP3: 3208 (a key breakout target zone)
Short selling on the rebound is determined to winAfter gold fell below 3202 in the US market, it rebounded to 3198 at its highest. This rebound was just an oversold rebound, and then continued to fall back. Although it has not refreshed the low point for the time being, the pattern has weakened and it is difficult to rise again in the evening. Weak shorts can hardly get past 3198. The short-term support below is 3150-3140. Gold continues to cross downward shorts in 1 hour. The short strength is still there. The rebound continues to give shorts opportunities. There is no obvious sustained upward momentum in the short term. Then such a market is just a rebound. Gold rebounds in the US market and continues to be short. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy for gold today is recommended to be short on rebounds and long on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the resistance line of 3202-3205 is on the upper side.
Gold operation strategy reference:
Strategy 1: Short gold near 3195-3205, target near 3180-3170.
Strategy 2: Long gold near 3160-3150, target near 3170-3190.
"XAUUSD Approaching Key Resistance – Falling Channel Breakout Se
Gold (XAUUSD) has been moving within a well-defined falling channel. Price is now approaching the upper boundary of the channel, indicating a potential bullish breakout. The recent uptick in momentum and volume suggests buying interest is building.
Key resistance is seen around 3215–3220, while immediate support lies near 3170–3160. A confirmed breakout above the channel could open the path for further upside, while rejection may lead to a continuation of the downtrend.
This is a technical outlook based on chart structure and volume behavior — always manage risk accordingly.
Gold falls below 3200, continues to look at 3100
📌 Driving factors
As Sino-US trade tensions ease, market concerns about a global recession ease, investors' risk appetite rises, and gold's attractiveness as a safe-haven asset declines, gold prices fell on Wednesday (May 14). After the tariff truce announced over the weekend, the stock market rose sharply, weakening gold's safe-haven appeal in the short term, which was an important factor that pushed gold prices to new highs in the previous few months, and it is also the starting point for the current large-scale selling!
📊Commentary Analysis
The price trend of gold on Tuesday showed a significant repeated shock feature. Although it ended up rising, it experienced two tortuous processes of first falling and then rising in the process, which led to a relatively limited overall increase. After the previous day's correction, the current 5-day moving average and the 10-day moving average formed a dead cross and continued to extend downward. From the perspective of intraday trading, the resistance level formed by these two moving averages has become the focus of market attention.
In the morning article, I repeatedly emphasized that gold is expected to break below 3200. Sure enough, it broke below without hesitation today. It is currently at 3185. The short position of gold near 3250 that we gave yesterday has expanded its profit again today, and it is easy to make a profit of nearly 100 points. Today, the US market operation is still mainly shorting, and it can continue to short near the rebound of 3200.
💰Strategy Package
Today, the US market operation is still mainly shorting, and it can continue to short near the rebound of 3200, with the target near 3170-3180.
Labaron believes
Guaranteeing the principal is the bottom line for survival, controlling risks is the armor for survival, earning income is a staged medal, and long-term stable and continuous profit is the only proof that it can finally stand up from the mountains of corpses and seas of blood.
Gold Testing PRZ & Resistance Zone-Short Opportunity? Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) moved according to yesterday's analysis and the position that was Risk-To-Reward:1.61 and hit the target of this position. Do you think Gold will continue its correction, or should we wait for the next gold rally to start?
Gold is trading in the Resistance zone($3,280-$3,245) near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , and the Resistance lines .
From a Classical Technical Analysis perspective , it seems possible that an Ascending Broadening Wedge Pattern could form.
Educational note : An Ascending Broadening Wedge is a bearish technical pattern characterized by higher highs and higher lows that expand over time. It signals increasing volatility and weakening bullish momentum, often leading to a breakdown below support.
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Gold appears to be in corrective waves in the 15-minute time frame .
I expect Gold to decline at least to the Support lines again , at least I think you can find a good Risk-To-Reward in PRZ for short positions .
Note: If Gold touches $3,292 [ Worst Stop Loss(SL) ], we can expect further gains.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 15-minute time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Do you think gold can still rise? Don't be naive.
The support strength of 3200 should not be underestimated, but I don't think it is difficult to fall, it's just that the market is too weak.
If you say that every decline is very fierce and infinitely close to the rebound of 3200 points, then you can say that it has strong support. The problem is that it only tried on Monday and never tried to break through since then? It just started to fluctuate after 3207 points. The so-called support effect must be accompanied by a rebound and counterattack, which can prove its significance, but have you seen a big rise in gold? I can only call it a slight rebound performance. .
You have seen the rise, right? Soaring, continuous rise, retracement rise, unilateral rise, all of these premises require a steady stream of buying orders in the market, don't care why it is, it is like this when the emotional rise comes, does every rise not need any reason at all? But now you actually start to use CPI data or other news to see the rebound of gold. Isn't this originally contrary to the emotional rise? From offense to defense, you should be more static and wait until the market really goes up, not too far, to recover above 3,300 points, and then regain bullish interest, right?
Or do you think the decline is over? Yes, I once shorted and thought that 3,200, 3,100, and 3,000 could not go up, and it was over, because I was also on the defensive at that time, but what was the result?
Regarding last night's CPI, why was I able to excitedly notify everyone to short after seeing the data? The reason is very simple. Before the announcement, everyone thought that inflation would rebound in April, including me, after all, there was the impact of tariffs in April, but if there was no impact of tariffs, I would definitely think it would fall back, after all, the wage growth rate in the employment market in April was falling, and it would not cause spiral inflation. Even gold was sold in advance before the data was released, and it fell. I didn't expect that the inflation would fall back in the end, which was bullish for gold. This was already a surprise, and I couldn't help but short it after seeing it.
The data was bullish, why short?
Let me make it clear first, don't always say that gold is like this now. If you see good data, you go short, and if you see bad data, you go long. If you have this idea, you should put down your phone and work hard.
The positive CPI proves that inflation is falling. On the other hand, the US job market is very stable now, and the economic activity PMI capacity is warming up. This means that the economy will have signs of a soft landing and will not cause the so-called stagflation. Moreover, at this stage, inflation has already fallen from 9.1% to the rated target of 2%. The Federal Reserve has successfully reduced inflation. Then I ask you, what do people want gold for at this time? Why not buy risky assets? Many people can't turn this corner. Let's put it this way. If inflation really rebounds during a period of high interest rates, what do you think the Federal Reserve will do? Raise interest rates, but who will bear the systemic risks caused by your interest rate hike? Isn't the collapse of SVB Bank an example? I won't talk about the pressure on companies and households to repay debts. Your concerns about stagflation will arise, and gold will take off without saying much. I hope you can understand this logic.
So, why is there such a question as why gold doesn't rise when there are good news? Why would there be such a thing?
Oscillating market is often the most complicated to analyze, but I like this complexity because it can broaden my trading horizons.
Since Monday night, the low point headed by 3207 has started to fluctuate. Note that it is not a rebound, because it was flat until yesterday. . It was just that the final step back to 3225 formed this rising trend line. Although the angle is wider, it is at least an upward trend line, but the subsequent upward momentum is not enough.
Last night, I gave a 42 short, 50 plus, and the retracement was controlled at 60. It rebounded directly at 25V, which is equivalent to giving the strategy an opportunity to increase the entry. It did not complete the reversal, otherwise the previous high point would have been broken long ago. You are an upward trend line, and the high point must be higher than the previous wave to maintain stability. As a result, it was directly lower than the previous high this morning. What do you think I am not bearish?
Also, it is nothing to simply break the trend line, but if you break the previous low last night, you are doomed. You see, the current price is not only below the trend line, but also below 25, so there is a suspicion of a trend reversal on the right side, right? Although it cannot be called a reversal, gold has been at the bottom after a sharp drop, but as far as this rising trend line is concerned, it must turn into a falling trend line, otherwise gold will not fall when it pulls back to the trend line! Pressure has been formed here, so I know how to operate in the short term. I will directly bearish near 38, and the retracement only needs to be controlled at 50. You must look at 3200 points below.
I compare the intraday decline. The second stage of the N-shaped decline should also be 3201. As for whether you break 3200, since we can get considerable trading profits last night, I definitely have the chips to try it, so I will bearish it!
Gold price plummeted below 3200, how should gold be deployed?🗞News side:
1. The rise in U.S. stocks is worrisome, and the risk of backlash is growing.
2. Pay attention to initial unemployment claims data
📈Technical aspects:
The US gold price fell below the key support of 3200. At present, the gold shorts continue to exert their strength and are expected to further test the support of 3170-3160, or even the previous key point of 3150. Before the market trend becomes clear, it is not recommended for brothers to enter the market at will. If the gold price successfully touches the support area below and obtains strong support, then enter the market to do more.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
XAU/USD - Trendline Breakout (14.05.2025)The XAU/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 3321
2nd Resistance – 3364
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Focus on 3200 for some support during the day🗞News side:
1. Sino-US tariffs have been eased
2. U.S. trade progress and focus on geopolitical risks
📈Technical aspects:
Yesterday we gave a long trading strategy and have been waiting to see whether the gold price can touch our target point of 3270. However, gold did not fluctuate much after the opening of the Asian market, so I chose to manually close the position near 3256.
To be honest, the market did not fluctuate much today whether it was up or down, and it is still consolidating within our box range of 3220-3265. Although gold is generally weak, it has a higher probability of strengthening during the day, and the early gap may be ready for market recovery. At present, the gold price has tested the 3240 line many times. If it cannot stand above 3240, it may test the strong support of 3200 again. If there is no breakthrough below the strong 3200 support, the market may repeat
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
USOIL UPDATEHello friends
Given the recent growth in oil prices, it is natural for the price to correct. Now we have obtained the most important price support areas for you and we have also specified the target. If you are willing to enter the transaction, be sure to observe capital management.
*Trade safely with us*
Gold Building Bullish Momentum – Eyes on 3265 Breakout
Chart Analysis:
This chart shows Gold (XAU/USD) forming a strong support around the 3207 level, while repeatedly testing resistance near 3265. Price action indicates consolidation within a clear range. The blue zigzag projection suggests a potential higher low formation, followed by a bullish breakout if price breaks above the 3265 resistance level.
The large upward arrow implies strong upside momentum could follow once that breakout occurs, possibly leading to a sharp rally.
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Gold is trading within a well-defined range. A higher low formation may lead to a breakout above the 3265 resistance zone. If that level is cleared with momentum, we could see a strong bullish continuation. Watching closely for confirmation of this.