Gold is still in Bull TrendAs u can see, daily Gold is basically above SMA 24, pulling Moving Averages above and above.
Stop Loss: Three consecutive Daily close below that SMA 24.
Otherwise, Increase position everyday Gold above SMA 24.
Fundamentals: Fed start rate cutting cycle by 50bps, as well as geopolitical uncertainties all benefits gold.
Goldlong
Gold: Corrective Rebound Expected Before Further Decline
Yesterday, gold experienced extreme volatility, surging before a sharp sell-off. Today, the market should see less fluctuation as much of the news has been priced in. However, another key report is expected during New York trading hours, and I believe short positions will be more favorable following its release.
Before the data comes out, a long position could be effective, given the steep decline yesterday. There is likely to be a corrective bounce as buyers step in to capitalize on the sharp drop, so I see going long ahead of the news as a good move.
Will Gold Shine Again? Key Levels to Watch!Gold is currently trading at 2578, aligning precisely with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. The RSI on the H4 chart stands at 76.36, indicating overbought conditions just before the market closed.
Following the market reopening, gold may experience a short-term pullback towards the 2572/2573 range, with potential further decline to 2561, driven by market forces. However, a bullish reversal is possible leading up to the Fed Interest decision announcement.
The price could break the 2602 resistance level. It is anticipated, though, that gold might retrace to the 2544 and 2522 levels after the US Fed Interest decision on Sept 19. If you are holding sell positions, it’s advisable to have risk management strategies in place up to the 2634 level.
GOLD (XAUUSD) Waiting for confirmation on GOLD entryWe are looking at gold (1:3 reward)
Please refer to the chart as we are waiting for the price to form and confirmation of the long entry.
Entry price at 2558.30 - CURRENT price is 2557.61
STOP LOSS at 2554.7
Target 1 at 2563.20
Target 2 at 2572.81
PLEASE NOTE: once the price hit 1st target, bring stop loss to BE
XAUUSD: 18/9 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2590, support below 2530
Four-hour resistance 2582, support below 2556
Gold accelerated its rise after breaking 2531 last week. It is still in a bullish pattern. Although the market fell under pressure around 2590 on Monday and Tuesday this week, it fell to 2560 at its lowest and still failed to fall below 2556. The short-term market is a high-level sideways shock trend. With 2556 as the stop loss position, you can continue to buy low and pay attention to the suppression of 2590 area. Before the Fed's news lands, both the long and short sides will not make too much movement, and the market will not fluctuate too much. You can just enter and exit quickly around the range in the short term.
In terms of intraday short-term operations, the market generally expects the Fed to cut interest rates, but it is just a matter of how much the rate cut is. In theory, the rate hike is good for gold, but the news has been in the market for too long. Once the expectations of the bulls are met, the bulls will take profits and gold will fall sharply. Therefore, before the news is released, gold will continue to go long around the 2556 line, but a smaller SL must be set, and orders must not be held against the trend. Before the interest rate decision, if it reaches a new high near the 2590 area and then stagnates, you can go short. Try not to trade in the middle area, wait patiently for the layout at the boundary, and participate with a small stop loss.
BUY:2560near SL:2556
SELL:2582near SL:2589
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
Fed Rate: How to Trade Gold Amidst Market Uncertainty?
The excitement is building as the Federal Reserve is about to announce its rate decision—whether it's a 25 or 50 basis point cut. Will gold reach new highs or begin a downward trend? Let’s wait and see.
From a personal perspective, I'm not particularly concerned about the impact on trading. Whether the market moves up or down, it will eventually return to the current price levels. Especially after a surge, there’s no need to worry too much.
For those trading today, do not set stop losses on short positions. If gold rises, simply add to your position or hedge by opening long trades. The 2600 level is a critical resistance point, and even if it breaks through due to the announcement, it won’t hold for long without a retracement. At that point, simply close your long positions and add more short positions.
This trading strategy should be helpful for those looking to navigate the volatility. Feel free to ask any questions or leave comments!
Gold 2573 buy! tp 2589-2605Gold has been weak since the resistance level of 2,588, but the pattern of today's pullback is also weak, which is a very important key point! Because today we have the Fed's interest rate outcome and economic expectations briefing and Powell's speech! The impact of these data will have a big impact on gold crude oil!
At present, from the trend point of view, the support level of gold is 2560, the pressure level is 25888, and the strength level of the disk is 2573!
If it stabilizes above 2,573 then the upside will be strong
All in all, today's data will cause huge volatility in the market. If you have trapped orders at the moment or you don't know how to trade tonight, you can ask for my help! I don't want you to burn your account tonight
Gold 2573 buy! tp 2589-2605
9.19 Gold Short-term Operation StrategyThe Fed's interest rate decision will be announced in two hours. Will gold hit a new high or a correction?
On the 1-hour chart, you can see that there is a minor resistance level near the 2575 level, and there is also a downward trend line converging. If the price pulls back to this resistance level, sellers may intervene, aiming to fall to the 2548 support level. On the other hand, buyers want to see prices break higher to increase bullish bets and pursue new highs
, if the Fed eventually chooses to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, the market may react quickly, causing the US dollar to rebound. But if the Fed is as dovish as the market expects, cuts interest rates by 50 basis points, and sends signals of more interest rate cuts in the future, the US dollar will weaken further, pushing gold prices higher again, even breaking through the $2,600/ounce mark. Although the market expects the Fed to cut interest rates, there is still uncertainty about the magnitude and subsequent policy guidance. If the rate cut is only 25 basis points, it may suppress the short-term demand for gold, and investors will turn to wait and see. If the Fed's policy tends to be cautious, the safe-haven demand for gold may weaken, leading to a short-term sell-off in the market. If the Fed eventually cuts interest rates significantly and signals further easing in the future, gold will benefit from the continued weakening of the dollar and break through historical highs. At the same time, global economic uncertainty and geopolitical risks will continue to provide long-term safe-haven demand support for gold.
Gold Fomc Movement Buy/SellGo through the analysis carefully, and do trade accordingly.
Resistance- 2589-2591
Resistance-2612-2616
Support- 2571-2565
Support-2551-2555
Support-2541-2545
Strong support area- 2531-2535
Gold Signal Daiky for the week
Current price- 2572.3
"if Price stays below 2600, then next target is 2564, 2552 and 2540 and above that 2605, 2618"
Advice-For Buying
Best buying area= 2535-2540
For selling
Best selling area= 2600-2616-2630
-POSSIBILITY-1
If 2561 break and sustain then you can sell gold with retest target will be 2545-2535
-POSSIBILITY-2
If it breaks 2591 and sustains then you can sell gold with retest target will be 2616-2630
Barrick Gold: 520% possible MoveMany traders believe that investing in a wide variety of assets is the best way to achieve optimal diversification. However, we disagree with this notion. It's the correlations that matter. Holding 20 tech stocks, for example, results in a high correlation among investments, offering little in terms of true diversification. Therefore, we're also looking at a gold mining stock, Barrick Gold Corporation. Although it's a Canadian company, we're analyzing it based on its performance on the New York Stock Exchange, as it provides a longer historical view.
Contrary to other stocks, Barrick Gold presents a different picture. Since July 2020, there's been a significant decline, which is contrary to the overall market trend, indicating this stock moves inversely to the broader market. We're in Wave III, having concluded Wave II at $5.91. We expect to surpass the all-time high of $56 significantly. The Wave 2 of the subordinate Wave (3) has already concluded, and we didn't make an entry, as this was already completed at $13 on the daily chart. However, we've returned to this level and have now completed the smallest wave structure, also marking the end of a Wave (ii). We must not fall below this point, as it would indicate the subordinate Wave ((ii)) is incorrect. Additionally, falling below the $13 mark could potentially invalidate the entire scenario. We'll place our stop-loss below the 88.2% retracement level, as this represents our last plausible point for a market turn.
Gold Price Analysis Ahead of FOMC September 18Fundamental Analysis
On the day of the Fed's announcement, markets continued to price in a 65% chance of a 50 basis point (bps) rate cut, CME Group's FedWatch Tool showed, reviving selling interest around the US dollar (USD), as US Treasury yields also turned defensive amid cautious markets.
As such. Gold prices are attempting to reclaim all-time highs just shy of $2,600, as attention turns to the Fed's decision, Chairman Jerome Powell's press conference and the Dot Plot, all of which will help gauge the US central bank's future policy actions.
If the Fed delivers a 25 basis point rate cut later this Wednesday, it could send the US dollar soaring. However, the immediate reaction to the Fed's announcements could be overshadowed by the implications of the Fed's projections and Powell's words. Therefore, gold prices are still subject to strong fluctuations in the Fed event.
Conversely, if the Fed acknowledges the potential risks to inflation and maintains a cautious tone, this could bring the hawks back into the game, negatively affecting the non-interest-bearing gold price.
Technical analysis
Gold is breaking the downside price band and approaching the resistance level around 2575. If it fails to break this zone before the US session, we can SELL and hold to 255x and 2545 when the FOMC announces to BUY back up and hold to 262x. In case of breaking the 2575 zone, we will not SELL and wait for the candle to close above 258x and BUY when the 2575 zone is retested. Hold until the FOMC does not break the new ATH, then we exit the order.
Breakout upper limit: 2582 - 2591 - 2603
Upper resistance: 2581 - 2590 - 2600 - 2605 - 2615 - 2626 - 2645
Breakout lower limit: 2570 - 2563 - 2550 - 2538
Support: 2572 - 2564 - 2552 - 2545 - 2539 - 2525 - 2516
Pay attention to the trend zone around 2580 above.
Sell the price zone 2603-2605. Stoploss 2609
Watch for BUY 2564 - 2562. Stoploss 2558
Watch for BUY 2545 - 2547. Stoploss 2541
Gold is in the bullish direction after correcting the supportHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
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9.18 Technical Analysis of Gold Short-term OperationsToday, the focus of the entire market is on the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting. The market expects a 50 basis point cut, which may be the trigger for this wave of rise, but it may not have much impact at all.
Yesterday, the 2600 line was not kicked off, but fell back with a big negative.
Technical points:
(1) The European session bottomed out and rebounded, and the price continued to return to Monday's low, which broke our expectation of a strong and non-retracement.
(2) The European session continued to retreat to 2386, but still did not break the high. Yesterday, the focus was on the European session rising. If the European session fell, the market would turn to volatility.
(3) Before the US session, the intraday low continued to be broken, and the hourly line was negative, so the US session must be expected to fluctuate.
The European session broke the bottom for the second time, and the US session pulled back to short. It is expected that the US session will continue to break the bottom. After all, the price is good, and everyone is afraid that the long orders will be stuck at the top of the mountain, so they are willing to go short.
Operation strategy:
1. Before the meeting, continue to arrange according to the technical pattern. Short-term short position at 2575 can be shorted within the day, with a loss of 85, and look at 2555-50.
2. If it cannot be reached before the meeting, the price will remain the same. The Fed meeting will be closed for a break. If it can break the high before the meeting, hold it and look for a new high.
Focused on Key Price Levels, Not TimeIn my latest analysis, I’ve moved away from traditional timing methods and focused entirely on Gold’s key price levels. Gold is currently in the final grand wave (Wave 5) of the Elliott Wave cycle. Right now, we’re in Wave 3, just as the fifth subwave is beginning.
My first take-profit target is set at 2589, based on my own trading plan. After hitting this level, I’m expecting more upward momentum toward 2603. Around this point, Wave 4 should start, giving us a bit of consolidation before the final push toward 2800.
If this approach makes sense to you, feel free to like and follow for more updates as we keep tracking these moves together.
9.18 Gold Short-term Operation StrategyGold rebounded from a high level and built a top. Don't chase long easily. Gold rebound is an opportunity for shorts. The Fed's interest rate decision and the expectation of interest rate cuts are about to be fulfilled. The positive news for gold is fulfilled and it may rise and fall.
Gold broke down after repeated fluctuations at a high level in 1 hour. The top structure is obvious. The gold 1 hour moving average also began to turn around. The gold 1 hour moving average formed a dead cross, so there is more room for gold to fall and adjust. Gold rebounded last night but did not break through the resistance of 2582. In the morning, it continued to go short at highs under the resistance of 2582.
Strategy:
SELL: 2575 stop loss; 2582
Bullish on Gold and Silver | Long-Term As I mentioned in the previous post on DXY, my bias on the US Dollar index is bearish for the first half of September. Also, as the seasonality of Gold and Silver suggests, September is a negative month for these two cousins. So, in my opinion (not investment advice), in the last week of September and the first week of October, we might see good lows on Gold and Silver.
Remember, we cannot time the market, for now, I anticipate the lows to form at the end of September because the seasonality and the price action support this narrative for me. Also, the market is expecting the first rate cut on September 18, which, I believe, Gold and Silver already priced in that sentiment to some degree.
We can expect Gold to go as low as 2450$ before it attacks 2600$, and silver to revisit the 25$ - 26$ area after 4 months (the red scenario). I like the chart formation on Silver as it formed a very bullish structure on monthly and weekly charts. That's why I also put the yellow scenario which suggests Silver would dance around the 28$ level before it breaks out the 30$ and continue its journey towards 36$.
9.17 Technical Analysis of Gold Short-term OperationsGold prices did not fluctuate much during the day. It retreated to the lowest level of 2574.50 in the Asian session, and then turned positive and moved upward. However, the space has not been opened yet, and it is in the rhythm of range fluctuations. For the extremely strong trend in the past few days, the recent two days have been mainly corrections. At the same time, even if it retreats, it is difficult to have a continuous decline, so the European session continues to see a rebound.
Recently, the market has paid close attention to the Fed's interest rate decision on Wednesday, and there are different views on how much to reduce. Before the announcement, the market trend is more cautious, which means that it is difficult to have a large operating space.
Today's analysis
1. At present, in the process of consolidation at a high level, the ups and downs are high, and the space is difficult to open
2. After all, the overall trend is bullish, and there is still a demand for rebound after the correction
3. After the Asian market went sideways, it stepped back to the previous starting point of 2574.50, and then there was no strong pullback in the European session. Two consecutive positives tested the high point of the morning pullback near 2586.30 and did not continue to rise. Then the hourly line turned negative and continued to pull back. For a strong pattern, there is some lack of momentum, and the shock component has increased.
Continue to follow the trend with long positions. In the previous trading day, we relied on 2578 to look up to 2590. In the morning, we continued to look up around 2576/1, and looked up to 2587, but failed to reach 2600. The dream of 2600 has not yet been realized!
From the market point of view, the low point of the afternoon retracement is around 2574.50. The European session can continue to retrace, and even cross or break through, but it cannot deviate too much from the intraday low, otherwise it will limit the momentum of the evening pull-up. The position of the golden section line 236 is near 2571, which is also the support position of the lower trend line, so pay attention to the opportunity to continue to rebound below 2571 in the evening, and the upper resistance is near 2590.