Gold hesitates around the round port level of 2400☘️Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices attracted some buying on Tuesday, although they remained confined within the previous day’s wider trading range and below the $2,400 mark. A weaker tone in equity markets, coupled with geopolitical risks stemming from conflicts in the Middle East, turned out to be key factors supporting the safe-haven commodity. Moreover, growing acceptance that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will begin its rate-cutting cycle in September should continue to benefit gold bulls.
The focus will remain on the outcome of the two-day Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on Wednesday. This, along with key US macro data, including Friday’s Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, will influence the USD and XAU/USD price dynamics. This makes the case for buying gold after the pullback from the all-time high more deliberate
☘️Technical Analysis
From a technical perspective, the failure to accept the level above 2,400 and the subsequent decline requires caution before positioning for any meaningful upside. Gold is trading in a descending channel and the immediate resistance is around 2,392. If this zone is broken, the round-robin resistance around 2,400 will act as a brake on any rapid upside. Some further buying could push gold towards 2,409 and 2,431, helping gold regain its bullish position. On the other hand, some selling could push gold towards the lower boundary of the descending channel. The support level at 2,367 acts as the first hurdle before gold retraces to the monthly low around 2,350.
RSI on the lower time frames is showing that buying is still strong. Combined with the two tight EMA 34 and EMA 89 lines, it can be seen that the upward trajectory will be more favored by investors at the present time.
Resistance: 2400 - 2407 - 2412 - 2418
Support: 2376 - 2367 - 2361 - 2353
SELL zone 2410 - 2412 Stoploss 2415
SELL zone 2430-2432 Stoploss 2435
BUY zone 2354 - 2352 Stoploss 2348
BUY zone 2367-2365 Stoploss 2362
Goldlong
The trend of gold has clearly shown a gradual upward trend
Gold experienced a brief decline from July 29 to 30, reaching 2380, and then gradually rose and stabilized. It has now reached 2388 and will definitely break through the 2400 mark in the short term. Facing the upcoming Fed rate cut in September, it will further stimulate the decline of the US dollar. Then gold will be one of the main products for everyone to hedge.
In addition, the Middle East geopolitical risks are also factors that cannot be ignored in the gold market this week. Tensions in the Middle East, especially the potential conflict between Israel and Lebanon, may increase market uncertainty, thereby pushing up the safe-haven demand for gold. In addition, the US policy trends in the Middle East will also have an impact on market sentiment.
In summary, gold still stands firm in the turmoil of the international market and the situation ahead is very good.
Upward 2388-2402
Backward 2390-2380
The above is purely personal opinion.
Can the gold bull boom lastToday, Monday morning, gold opened 2388 line, the opening fell back a wave of 2387 ushered in a stop, then the bulls opened up the outbreak broke 2390-2400, the highest to 2403 ushered in a stop near 2394, then also fell a wave of 2394, so for this, you must also be surprised, Like this opening of the explosive situation, there is only one possibility, that is caused by smashing, but why gold in the early morning hit pull up it, this is mainly the stimulus of the news, then for the double break, the Middle East and then fire, this is a big, is also the main reason for the bull hit pull up, of course, the gold itself is in trouble this week, In this case, gold also suffers from a below-risk stimulus, and gold is also adding another element of surprise, which, for this week, you need to be careful about. Of course, for the double break period Chen Feng I updated my blog said, the beginning of the gold week to see the rebound, for this morning, to tell the truth, even if there is no geopolitical risk impact, we are also bullish on gold, this point, at present, just say that because these factors accelerated the rise of gold, this point, you also need to be cautious.
Then again, after the outbreak of gold bulls fell back, in this case, how should we choose to be long and short? First of all, you can review my double break blog for reference to understand, for this week, before Friday, I am inclined to believe that bulls have a further outbreak of higher, for no other reason, interest rate cuts in the way, unless there is a major limit to the data explosion, or the Federal Reserve internal position on it, otherwise the current market heat for interest rate cuts, In addition, gold 2353 ushered in a stage of bottling out, bulls are having a further outbreak of strength, and, although the market is expected to implement interest rate cuts in September, but you know, there are radical interest rate cuts inside the Federal Reserve, which does not rule out the possibility of sudden interest rate cuts in this week's interest rate minutes resolution, in this case, The market's pursuit of its bulls will also be around the gold long and short balance, in this regard, the bulls are currently under the influence of this multiple positive, but also have further climbing momentum, this, you also need to be cautious about it.
But to be honest, for the moment, although gold bulls have high momentum, but you don't forget, the market is variable, and because this morning's bull climb broke, which is relatively further inspired the market for bulls after, in this case, market institutions are undoubtedly also covetously, for today, gold in the rebound process, It does not rule out the possibility of institutional interception, you know, the current bullish heat of the market is high, which is not a little bit of a signal to do more, in this case, wash the long plate, and then on its empty reversal, long and short double kill, almost perfect, for this week, you also need to be cautious. Of course, this does not rule out the possibility that the institution will allow it to go higher, which, for the moment, you need to adapt to it.
So for today, Monday, early in the morning, gold has ushered in such a large news surface to stimulate volatility, although gold in the rise of 2403 ushered in a lower, but the lowest fell a wave of 2394 near to usher in a stop, for today, the operation, from the technical perspective, it is still feasible to do more, so for the moment, You can first stick to 2390 not break to do more, above attention 2410-2414 this position does not break the backhand, such as encounter 2390-2387, you are the trend to short wait for 2380-2370 not to break again to consider doing more. Of course, due to the market this week ushered in a heavy information surface stimulus, in this regard, you need to be cautious about the operation, then the specific details of the operation, I offer to do again, you remember to strictly follow my requirements to control positions and stop losses can follow up.
The price of gold is about to continue to fall sharply.
Go short at positions around 2369. The decline is about 10-15 US dollars.
I am EDDY. Senior Financial Analysis Consultant.
I have experienced the financial crisis, the stock market crash, and the market circuit breaker. The current trading opportunities in the market are much better than before. There are many trading opportunities every day. If you are still confused about the trading market, you can continue to pay attention to my updates.
TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT TVC:DXY
London market. Buying gold is the main activity.
London market. Go long on gold at around 2368-2371. Target is around 2383. Ultra-short-term trading looks for a trend rebound.
I am EDDY. Senior Financial Analysis Consultant.
I have experienced the financial crisis, the stock market crash, and the market circuit breaker. The current trading opportunities in the market are much better than before. There are many trading opportunities every day.
I have been observing investors in the market for a while. I can't bear to see some people in the market continue to lose money because they don't know how to trade. So I plan to continue to share my operating ideas for a while for your reference.
If you are still confused about the trading market, you can continue to pay attention to my updates.
OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD BINANCE:BTCUSDT TVC:DXY
Super data week. Gold is still mainly long at low levels.
Last week, I said in advance that the target for next week would be at least 2400. Investors who followed me last week should know it. Today in the Asian market, this target was achieved. Investors who followed the accurate signal trading also made good profits. From your messages, I saw the results. The London market allowed some other investors to short the gold price, which also achieved profit expectations. Currently in the New York market, the gold price stopped at 2374 after a sharp drop.
My idea is based on the US dollar rate cut. Gold still has some substantial increases. At the same time, this week is a super data week. Some economic data are enough to make gold reach a certain height. So I personally still focus on long positions
The current gold price is at 2376. My expected buying position is at 2370-2365. This is a good position for long gold prices, and there are some dense trading areas above. So there is resistance. Therefore, investors with large funds can buy in advance and then add buy orders at low levels. However, for accounts with small funds, I suggest that you operate prudently and start at low levels. The above are some of my thoughts today.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD BINANCE:BTCUSDT TVC:DXY COMEX:GC1! OANDA:XAUUSD
Continue to go long on gold.
In the short term, gold prices will also touch 2393-2400. Emergency events escalate. Risk aversion sentiment rises. Going long on gold prices in the Asian market is a good option.
I am Eddy. Senior Financial Analysis Consultant.
I have experienced the financial crisis, the stock market crash, and the market circuit breaker. The current trading opportunities in the market are much better than before. There are many trading opportunities every day. If you are still confused about the trading market, you can continue to pay attention to my upd FOREXCOM:XAUUSD COMEX:GC1! OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:DXY TVC:GOLD ates.
How Probabilities Help Me win Trades on GoldAs much as I want to tell you that there is some magic set up that works for me, Unfortunately I cannot because there isn't.
The more I look at my own trading over the many years that I've been doing this. It literally boils down to probabilities.
What is the probability that X will happen if Y happened. This is literally how I process everything and as you can see it works wonders.
In this video breakdown I show you even a new trade LIVE. Admittedly, I wouldn't have taken it because it would have been counter momentum but even GUESSING I could make it work because of probabilities.
The reality is that we overcomplicate what we do too much and this is really not needed.
K.I.S.S - Keep it stupid simple
Gold Futures has taken support of near 50Weeks EMA (Mother line)Gold Futures has taken support of near 50 Weeks EMA (Mother line) which is near 66402. This dip was due to change in customs duty of Gold while thinking rationally. Thus the zone between 67400 and 66402 presents a strong support zone. Mid channel support for gold Futures in case the Mother line is broken remains at mid channel support near 64030. It does not seem likely that we will get a closing below this point but in case we get a closing below 64030 bears will become very empowered and in very unlikely situation Gold futures can fall to 61092. The zone between 56493 and 55091 is a mega support as 55901 is a 200 Week's EMA or Father line. Below this zone in extremely unlikely situation Gold Futures can further find a bottom near channel bottom which is near 53064.
Resistances for Gold Futures are near the zone between 69678 and 71222. Further resistance zone is between 73257 and 74881. If the channel top near 75K is broken the Gold Futures in the very long term can hit anywhere between 82K to 88K.
In my opinion which has a strong bias towards Gold as world is seeing a lot of conflicts and uncertainties due to internal and external geo-political instability, Gold remains an investment option which is accumulate on every dip. Gold actual price and Gold futures price and Price of Gold sold by Jewellers can vary a little bit so please take that into consideration too. The chart here represents Gold Futures movement.
To know more about Mother Father line and their significance and to learn Techno Funda analysis we recommend you read the book The Happy Candles Way. Which is available on Amazon on paperback version. Kindle version of the same book is also available on Amazon Kindle.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Gold: A Strategic Asset in an Uncertain WorldGold's appeal as a safe-haven asset has been reinforced by recent geopolitical tensions. This analysis explores the factors driving gold prices, including geopolitical risks, economic conditions, and the role of gold ETFs.
Gold has proven its resilience as a safe-haven asset during times of uncertainty. Geopolitical tensions, particularly in the Middle East, have fueled demand for gold. While economic factors also influence gold prices, the metal's role as a portfolio diversifier remains compelling. Consider gold ETFs for convenient exposure.
Gold serves as a valuable safe-haven asset, particularly during times of geopolitical instability.
Key Points:
Geopolitical Risks: The article highlights the increasing geopolitical tensions globally and their impact on financial markets. The Middle East, in particular, is identified as a region of significant concern.
Gold as a Hedge: Gold's unique characteristics, such as liquidity, store of value, and diversification benefits, make it an effective hedge against geopolitical risks.
Economic Factors: While geopolitical factors are emphasized, the analysis acknowledges the influence of economic conditions, including interest rates and inflation, on gold prices.
Investment Vehicles: Gold ETFs, like the SPDR Gold Shares ETF (GLD), are presented as convenient options for investors seeking gold exposure.
XAUUSD - 2393 points breaking the trendGold declined near $2,380 per ounce on Tuesday, extending losses from the previous session, as investors look forward to upcoming policy meetings from major central banks this week. The Federal Reserve is anticipated to keep interest rates unchanged on Wednesday, but all eyes will be on any indications of a potential rate cut in September. Meanwhile, the Bank of Japan is expected to lift rates by 10 basis points to 0.1%
Upper border breakout: 2393 - 2400
Lower border breakout: 2376 - 2370
Resistance: 2400 - 2407 - 2412 - 2418
Support: 2376 - 2367 - 2361 - 2353
Price ranges to note:
SELL price range 2417 - 2419 stoploss 2422
BUY price range 2354 - 2352 stoploss 2348
Note: Full TP, SL to be safe and win the market.
GOOD LUCK EVERYONE👍
Gold BullishBullish head and shoulders pattern is prevalent on the Gold daily chart.
It is trading inside a bullish trend channel and currently forming the right shoulder which, so far, is failing to trade near the bottom of the channel creating that higher right shoulder which is a strong confirmation of the direction of the possible continuation.
2450 will be tested before retreating to grab more bulls. The possibility of a failed head and shoulders (on pattern #2) is still on the table. In that case 2350 support level will be tested. Let's see what happens
Gold next week trading signal analysisAt the end of the week, for this week, I can only say that the profit is almost perfect, I believe you are also very happy? After all, as far as I give the single statistics, this week killed more than 200 points of profit, I feel exaggerated, and these profits, also proved the end of the trough period, and, as far as the current statistics of this month, I also did recover the early losses and further profits, to the single, this month, profit and loss, the current statistics there are nearly 100 points of profit, The specific profit this month is about 98 points, this point, you can compare and verify yourself, in short, the list is one to one, this point, you can judge yourself. Of course, due to the actual and operational process will inevitably have a little accident, so the specific profit and loss, you also need to compare according to their actual situation, in short, as long as there is no accident, such as the market malicious washing and Chen Feng my state of instability, otherwise the cycle is just the number of profits, this, thank you for your persistence. So now, July is coming to an end, other, I am not greedy, there is a good ending on the line, then at the moment, other, I do not say much, directly to next week's market analysis, you can read the following reference to understand.
-- Gold Friday market review --
Friday morning, gold opened in the 2364 line, the opening that fell into the 2364-2361 range of oscillations saw, but the good times did not last long, early in the morning, gold suffered a wave of crashing disc flash collapse in 2355, and then blocked to usher in a bull counterattack, gold is therefore a break of 2360-2370, the highest to 2379 line to usher in a stop back down, Long and short in the 2378-2370 range after a sawing encounter under 2370, but the bears did not usher in a further outbreak, but on the eve of the European trading stopped at 2368 ushered in a rebound 2375 line. During the European session, gold first went down a wave near 2365, and then stopped to usher in a slow rise in shock, gold is also slowly going up a wave near 2375 ushered in a stop shock, overall, during the European session, gold is deep in the 2375-2370 range. And the United States trading period, PCE data released bearish, but unexpectedly, gold did not usher in a sharp fall, but was blocked by 2371 ushered in a bull outbreak, gold is therefore broken 2380, the highest to near 2391 to usher in a halt, then fell back 2379 blocked into a wide range of volatility, long and short in 2390-2380 repeatedly saw, It closed at around 2,387.
- Is gold hitting a stage bottom? Super week attack, gold long short how to choose? -
At the end of the week, for this week, gold is also relatively ushered in a large fluctuation, at the beginning of the week, gold shock from 2400 above ushered in a short outbreak of 2383 stop rebound, gold on the eve of the outbreak of GDP data, the highest is also a rebound of 2431 line, then for this point, I also mentioned in the blog earlier, In the case of gold sticking to the see-saw near 2400, there must be a rebound near 2420, more likely to break 2420 and usher in a reversal plunge, then in fact, the market is also fluctuating as I analyze, after all, as of Thursday, GDP and unemployment benefits and PCE data are all as bearish as I analyze. Gold is also expected to usher in lower 2360, and for this I also said, gold is expected to usher in a stage bottoming out in the 2360-2350 region, and gold is also in the 2353 ushered in a recovery, just said Friday Chen Feng I expect PCE more help gold bulls counterattack 2400-2420, in fact, The highest also rose to around 2391, which is still a little gap with my analysis, but in general, PCE explosion and negative rise this is a fact, this, you can read my recent analysis blog to verify.
So what about next week's gold bulls and bears? In fact, for this point, I don't need to say that you all know that next week's market is not simple, after all, for next week, the Federal Reserve interest rate resolution and Powell's speech came, coupled with the multiple outbreaks of ADP, PMI, unemployment benefits, non-agricultural, unemployment rate and other data, in terms of this market, I think it is limited ability to make a clear prediction and control. In fact, I can't blame me, after all, the current gold market, institutional control of the influence is too big, the influence of the data is limited, moreover, in the near future, the surprise of the data is also slightly increased, take Thursday, PCE data range is so lower than the previous value of the case, Friday's PCE annual data is actually synchronized with the previous value, in terms of this possibility, Minimal probability can appear, which also reflects the current market is not calm, especially at present, the market expects the possibility of the Federal Reserve rate cut in September is a certainty, and then refer to the current inflation slowdown and the Federal Reserve officials said that the need to cut interest rates in advance of the speech, maybe this week will usher in the rate cut landing is not necessarily, so in this case, you also need to be cautious. Of course, for next week, if the data is positive, Powell does not rule out the possibility of further eagles to fight interest rate cuts, this point, you must not blindly bet on the short.
So for next week, at the beginning of the week, we must still look at a wave of rebound, after all, gold on Friday since the 2355 stop to rebound, this wave, gold is also facing a stage of bottoming out, after all, in any case, in the case of excessive interest rate cut expectations, gold since 2483 high 2353, Bears have ushered in a fall of 130 points, in the short term, gold also has a certain rebound demand, coupled with the current interest rate minutes and Powell's speech in the case, gold will have a high probability of buying expectations to pull up, that is, before Thursday, gold will have a high probability of further impact 2420-2430-2450, of course, Do not be too happy too soon, after all, for Powell's speech, his remarks are often disappointing, once Powell unexpectedly put eagle in this speech, coupled with the strong non-agricultural employment performance, that gold may also usher in the possibility of further collapse, for next week, the focus is to pay attention to the market news situation and then choose the future market, All in all, next week, the market will inevitably have malicious control of the situation, you must remember to pay attention to the control of risk.
So for next week, Monday, it is expected that gold will not have any big high and low open possibility, in this regard, for Monday, you can focus on a wave of 2390 can be successfully broken, of course, if 2385-2380 does not break, you can also directly see more than 2400 mark gains and losses, such as successfully broken 2400, Then do more directly on the trend to see 2420-2430. Of course, if you break 2380, you can also wait for 2373-2370 not to break again. All in all, for next week, try to keep back to the long to layout, short cautious. As for the specific analysis and operation details, I will make an update on Monday, please remember to strictly follow my requirements to control the position and stop loss basis.