Gold is under pressure! What is the key to breaking the deadlock
📌 Core driving events
The conflict between Iran and Israel has entered the fifth day. Air raid alerts in Tel Aviv are frequent. The fire on a cruise ship in the Strait of Hormuz has exacerbated the panic of energy transportation. Safe-haven buying supports gold prices;
Trump's contradictory statement of "peace talks + tough" (may send executives to meet but demand "unconditional surrender") has exacerbated the market's disagreement on the direction of the conflict, and risk aversion has fluctuated repeatedly.
The Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision today. The market expects it to remain unchanged at 4.25%-4.50%, but Powell's statement on rate cuts will affect the trend of the US dollar (Trump continues to pressure for a 1 percentage point rate cut).
📊Comment Analysis
1-hour chart: 3396 becomes the intraday strength and weakness watershed
The Asian morning session hit a high of 3396 US dollars and fell back. This point is the previous high pressure point. If the intraday rebound does not break through this position, the bearish thinking will be maintained;
💰Strategy Package
Set gold price:
🔥Sell gold area: 3390-33396 SL 3402
TP1: 3380 US dollars
TP2: 3375 US dollars
🔥Buy gold area: $3374-$3368 SL $3362
TP1: 3390 US dollars
TP2: 3400 US dollars
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
Goldlong
Gold Pulls Back After Testing Resistance📊 Market Overview:
Gold fell to a low of $3,374 earlier today after testing the $3,434 resistance late last week. The drop was primarily due to profit-taking near recent highs, alongside a mild recovery in the US dollar. Despite this pullback, the medium-term uptrend remains supported by expectations of upcoming Fed rate cuts and persistent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: $3,434 – $3,450
• Nearest Support: $3,374 – $3.360
• EMA: Price remains above both EMA 09 and EMA 20, suggesting a continuation of the short-term bullish trend.
• Candlestick / Volume / Momentum:
o RSI is holding around 61–63, no longer in overbought territory.
o MACD remains positive, though upward momentum has slowed.
o Bearish candles during the Asian session suggest lingering sell pressure near $3,430. A technical rebound from $3,374 is currently underway.
📌 Outlook:
Gold may consolidate between $3,370–$3,390 in the near term. If the $3,360 support holds, a rebound toward $3,420–$3,440 is likely. However, a stronger USD could increase downside pressure.
💡 Suggested Trade Strategy:
🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: $3,410 – $3,420
🎯 TP: $3,385
❌ SL: $3,430
🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: $3,374 – $3,378
🎯 TP: $3,400 – $3,420
❌ SL: $3,360
Falling below 3380,testing 3365,the low position remains bullish📰 Impact of news:
1. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East
2. Iran nuclear talks
3. Retail sales data
📈 Market analysis:
After rebounding to the 3400 line, gold encountered resistance and fell back to test the support level of 3380. Although it was very close to the point of 3405 we gave, I did not enter the trade because gold has been in the middle section in the short term and has not rebounded to the ideal point.
There are too many long orders at high levels in gold. The international situation is so tense that gold is still slowly declining, but the geopolitical situation is still continuing. In addition, the retail sales data is bullish. Then, as the trading strategy given at noon, it is expected to test the short-term support of 3365-3355 below. I will consider going long in this range
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3365-3355
TP 3380-3390-3400
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold Potential Bullish ContinuationAfter retracing to the approx. 3370 - 3380 zone, gold still seems to exhibit signs of overall potential Bullish momentum as the price action may form a credible Higher Low with multiple confluences through key Fibonacci and Support levels which presents us with a potential long opportunity.
Trade Plan:
Entry : CMP 3393
Stop Loss : 3286
TP : 3499 (Before All Time High)
Buy GoldPrice is at a major Daily resistance,but becuz of the war between Israel and Iran, price may spike below to take out traders, then continue pushing upwards. However , all this is possible if this region hold support, if it does, I'd look to see a pattern been formed on the 1hr tf that indicates bullish momentum, if this doesn't happen, then there's a previous weekly resistant that price may fall in order to tap. But the most important thing is having a good psychology, that's what makes you a good trader, we can say so much about the market direction,but it should be noted that, things do change, anything can happen, so while waiting for the right setup or while anticipation for buys, only those with a strong and disciplined mindset will survive the chaos... Happy Trading 💹
Forward-looking trading, focus on 3380 support📰 Impact of news:
1. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East
2. Iran nuclear talks
3. Retail sales data
📈 Market analysis:
Gold prices are currently in a narrow range of fluctuations again, and the signal of Iran restarting nuclear negotiations has weakened risk aversion, triggering a correction in gold prices during the session, but tensions in the Middle East remain an uncertain factor. In the short term, we still need to focus on the breakthrough of the 3380 support line. If the 3380 support line is strong, we can still maintain a long trading idea in the short term and look to 3400. On the contrary, once it falls below, it is expected to look to the 3350 line. Pay attention to the breakthrough of 3400 on the upside. If the Asian and European sessions cannot effectively break through this short-term resistance, gold will continue to fluctuate.
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3380-3370
TP 3390-3400-3450
SELL 3400-3390
TP 3380-3370-3350
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Gold on the Rise! – Bullish Setup in Focus The chart shows a repeating consolidation‑then‑breakout pattern, with Gold forming ascending swing structures, consolidating in rectangles (green), then riding higher along a rising trendline (purple). Price has just bounced off that trendline again, signaling a possible new leg up—potentially targeting the upper range near $3,448–3,450. A clear breakout above that level could open the door toward $3,500+.
📍 Trading Plan
🎯 Entry
Long on breakout above recent consolidation highs (~$3,440–3,448).
Alternatively, buy the dip near the purple trendline (~$3,385–3,390), with confirmation (hammer candle, bounce).
🛑 Stop‑Loss
For breakout: just below the top of the rectangle consolidation (~$3,389).
For trendline entry: slightly below recent swing low (~$3,358–3,360).
🎯 Profit Targets
Primary: upper rectangle level (~$3,448–3,450).
Extension: historic all‑time high region (~$3,500) → next major zone.
🎥 Path
Potential minor pullback toward trendline.
Bounce establishes support.
Surge toward top of range.
Breakout with trend continuation to new highs.
📊 Trade Risk & Reward
Target ~60–100 pts above entry, stop ~50 pts below → ideal Risk:Reward ≥ 1:1.2.
📌 Key Levels to Monitor
Level Role
$3,360 Swift dip support (green base line)
$3,390–3,400 Trendline confluence zone
$3,440–3,450 Breakout area & top of rectangle
$3,500 Next major resistance/all‑time high
🧭 Market Context & Drivers
Broad uptrend remains intact amid geopolitical tensions, especially the Israel–Iran situation, which continues to support safe-haven flows
Markets are positioning ahead of Fed’s June 18 decision; dovish signals could fuel continuation toward new highs (~$3,500+)
.
Technical structure reflects bullish momentum—ascending wedge patterns with shallow dips and strong trendline bounces
.
✅ Summary
Bias: Bullish – uptrend intact.
Strategy: Go long on dip near trendline or on breakout above $3,445.
Stop‑Loss: Just below last swing low ($3,360).
Targets:
Near-term: $3,448–3,450
Medium-term: $3,500+
GOLD/USD Bearish Rejection at Resistance ZoneGOLD/USD Bearish Rejection at Resistance Zone 📉🟥
📊 Technical Overview:
The chart for GOLD/USD shows a clear price action behavior between a well-defined resistance zone (~3,480–3,510) and a support zone (~3,260–3,280).
🔻 Bearish Signals:
The price has tested the resistance zone multiple times (highlighted with red arrows and orange circles) but failed to break above it, indicating strong selling pressure.
The current price action suggests another lower high formation, which is a bearish signal 📉.
Recent candles are rejecting the upward move, pointing to potential downside movement.
🟩 Support Confirmation:
Previous reactions from the support zone (green arrows) show that buyers have consistently stepped in near the 3,260–3,280 range.
This level remains a key demand zone where a bounce might be expected.
🔁 Outlook:
If the price continues to reject the resistance and follows the pattern, we might see another drop towards the support area.
A break below the support zone would confirm a bearish breakout and could open the door to deeper downside targets.
📌 Conclusion:
GOLD/USD is trading within a range, but the repeated failures at resistance suggest bearish momentum might take control in the short term. A move back toward the support zone is likely unless a breakout above resistance occurs.
📉 Resistance: 3,480–3,510
🟩 Support: 3,260–3,280
🔍 Bias: Short-term Bearish unless resistance breaks
GOLD Intraday Chart for 17 June 25Hello Traders,
as you can see that market was going down very badly and it's actually stuck below 3400 Psychological Level
Definitely we are sellers now as long as market sustain below 3400 Psychological Level
below 3380 level GOLD will move towards 3360 or even 3350
Disclaimer: Forex is Risky
I think these 2 scenarios can happen for gold to reach new ATHGold supported by Israel-Iran conflict, US intervention in focus
Gold's sharp rise came late last week after Israel struck multiple targets in Iran, including Tehran's nuclear facilities.
The attack sparked fierce retaliation from Iran, which launched a barrage of missiles at key Israeli targets, including the financial capital Tel Aviv. Some of the Iranian missiles were also seen penetrating Israel's "Iron Dome" defense system.
What do you think?
Best regards, StarrOne !!!
Gold Price Analysis June 16There is not much surprise when the price gap up appeared on Monday morning
there is no barrier that can stop the price of gold from increasing towards ATH.
Gold has a slight correction in Tokyo session after the price gap up touched the round resistance zone 3450.
The correction may extend to 3413 in European session. This is a BUY zone with the expectation that Gold will regain the ATH hook. If broken, there will be some Scalping buy zones but the risk is quite high so to be safe, wait for 3398.
3463 acts as temporary resistance for a reaction period before Gold returns to the all-time high. Maybe before 3490 there will be another price reaction before reaching the top.
GOLD- XAU-USD Hello Traders! The GOLD MARKET is on fire! 🚨🔥
XAUUSD has officially broken above the key resistance zone — this is not just a move, this could be the start of something BIG! 💥📈
Is this the golden breakout we’ve been waiting for, or just a short-lived spike?
Are we heading toward the next major target, or is a pullback on the horizon? 🎯🔍
Your insights matter — comment below with your analysis and let’s decode this golden move together!
Stay sharp, stay golden! ⚔️💰
#XAUUSD #GoldBreakout #ForexTraders #MarketMomentum #GoldAnalysis #TradeSmart
3400 3380 are the two points that determine the trend of gold📰 Impact of news:
1. Geopolitical risks
2. Expected Fed policy
📈 Market analysis:
This week, the Federal Reserve's policy meeting, retail sales data, initial jobless claims and geopolitical situation will be the core factors affecting global markets. In the short term, gold rebounded after hitting the 3383 line. This round of decline was relatively rapid. At the same time, there is a certain resistance at the 3405-3410 line above in the short term, which is also the main reason for our long orders to leave the market. In the short term, it is recommended to first look at the support situation at the 3380 line below, and then enter the long order after obtaining effective support above this position. On the contrary, if it falls below this short-term support, the gold price is expected to fall to the 3350 mark! For the evening layout, it is recommended to focus on the 3400 long-short watershed, pay attention to the 3410 line of resistance, and pay attention to the 3380 line of support below.
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3390-3380
TP 3400-3410-3420
SELL 3400-3390
TP 3380-3360-3350
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
XAU/USD Bullish Continuation SetupThe chart illustrates a bullish market structure for XAU/USD, with price action currently trending upwards. Key technical observations:
Support Zone:
Price has recently bounced from a support zone around 3,399.710, indicating strong buying interest.
Bullish Projection:
A bullish continuation is expected. The chart outlines a potential scenario with a minor retracement towards 3,432.835 or 3,399.710, followed by a strong upward move.
Targets:
Immediate resistance is around 3,502.669.
If broken, price may aim for 3,550.351.
Final projected target lies near 3,680.000, which aligns with a historical supply zone.
Indicators:
The green enveloping bands suggest increasing volatility, with the price respecting the upper band, supporting bullish momentum.
Conclusion:
XAU/USD appears poised for a bullish breakout continuation. A potential pullback could offer a buy opportunity, targeting higher resistance zones as long as the structure remains intact
Gold Outlook: Bulls Defend Support Amid Rising Geopolitical RiskGold (XAU/USD) remains within a strong bullish structure on the 4-hour chart, trading inside an ascending channel. Recently, price attempted to break above the key resistance near $3,450 but failed, leading to a minor pullback toward the mid-channel area around $3,428–$3,430, where buyers are currently defending support. The key support remains at $3,394–$3,400, which also coincides with the ascending channel’s lower boundary.
As long as price holds above this level, the bullish trend remains intact, and there is potential for a breakout above the $3,450 resistance zone. If a breakout occurs and price closes above $3,450 on the 4-hour chart, the next bullish targets would be around $3,475 and then $3,500–$3,510. On the downside, if price fails to hold $3,394, it may trigger a short-term bearish correction toward the next support zone around $3,380–$3,370.
Overall, gold is currently in a consolidation phase inside the $3,394–$3,450 range, with a bullish bias above $3,394. A breakout above $3,450 may trigger strong upward momentum, while a break below $3,394 could open the door for a deeper correction.
🔑 Key Levels
Support: ~$3,394–$3,400 (channel floor) and intermediate support at $3,430–$3,440 .
Resistance: Immediate resistance zone is $3,445–$3,450, with broader upside potential toward $3,500+ if that break occurs.
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
Newmont Corp | NEM | Long at $48.00While gold prices have soared recently, gold mining stocks have lagged. Newmont Corp NYSE:NEM , the world's largest gold mining corporation, may be undervalued if the miners take off to catch up to the gold demand/price. Currently sitting near $48.00 and at a historical moving average that it will need to break to show a true trend reversal, NYSE:NEM is in a personal buy zone. Now, the price may break down at the simple moving average and test the patience of shareholders, but the long game may benefit those who can tolerate the volatility.
Target #1 = $57.00
Target #2 = $71.00
Gold continues to rise! When will the price of gold fall?Market news:
In early Asian trading on Monday (June 16), London gold prices continued to rise last week, hitting a nearly seven-week high of $3,451/ounce, as Israel and Iran launched a new round of attacks on each other on Sunday (June 15), exacerbating market concerns that escalating wars may trigger wider regional conflicts, and international gold continued to receive support from safe-haven buying.The continued rise of gold during the conflict depends on whether it is in a bull market and whether the conflict is likely to escalate. The inflow of funds into gold stock ETFs shows an increase in retail interest, especially silver outperforming spot gold, suggesting that market sentiment is turning. In addition to the geopolitical situation, this week will also usher in the test of the US retail sales monthly rate (commonly known as "terror data") and the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision.This trading day also needs to pay attention to the US New York Fed Manufacturing Index in June and the G7 Leaders' Summit, and pay attention to China's May total retail sales of consumer goods and China's May industrial added value annual rate.
Technical Review:
The technical price of gold is in good condition with the buying structure of the trend. The MA10/7/5-day moving averages on the daily chart remain open upward, the RSI indicator is hooked upward, and the price is running in the upper and middle track of the Bollinger Bands. The moving average system of the short-term four-hour chart maintains a golden cross opening upward, the price gradually moves up from the high point of the MA10-day moving average, and the Bollinger Bands remain open upward in the same hourly chart. Affected by the market fundamentals, gold has triggered risk aversion.The price of gold continues to rise, and the graphics of various time periods have formed obvious and strong support. In the daily chart, gold fell back to the trend line support after the triangle convergence breakthrough, and ushered in a rising trend again. In the short term, the upward momentum of gold is still strong. Based on the last round of retracement low of $3120 as the starting point of the wave structure, the push of the third wave may cause the price of gold to rise to $3600-3640. Combined with the current fundamentals, news and geopolitical situation, the medium- and long-term upward trend of gold is far from over.
Today’s analysis:
At present, the entire market is still affected by the geopolitical risks in the Middle East. Gold has been at a high level for a long time. If there is no turning point, the gold price will continue to remain above 3400 today. We will have the opportunity to see the gold price refresh the historical high of 3500 again today or tomorrow, and the probability is also very high. Then our operation idea is to buy to the end before the trend changes!
The trend of the gold one-hour market is still strong. From the short-term trend, it continues to maintain a high-level shock pattern, and the low point continues to rise. The high point has been continuously broken. Although the high opening and high movement of the Asian market failed to be directly continued, the high and fall back just gave us the opportunity to buy in!
Operation ideas:
Buy short-term gold at 3420-3423, stop loss at 3411, target at 3450-3470;
Sell short-term gold at 3468-3471, stop loss at 3480, target at 3420-3400;
Key points:
First support level: 3423, second support level: 3410, third support level: 3392
First resistance level: 3458, second resistance level: 3467, third resistance level: 3483
Gold----Buy near 3417, target 3440-3450Gold market analysis:
The continuous bombing of Israel and Iran for several days has allowed gold to stand on 3400 again. The big tombstone before the weekly line was wiped out, and the weekly line closed with a big positive line again, and formed a positive-enclosing-negative pattern. This is the long-term rebound caused by geopolitical factors. There is an old saying in the market that cannonballs are always worth a lot of gold. We are not sure how long the situation between Iran and Israel will last, but what is certain is that the buying situation is obvious. The next operation is to follow the buying. I estimate that gold will continue to rise this week. In addition, under such fundamentals that control the market, we must strictly carry out each order with a loss. The market will not change the trend because you resist the order. Following the trend is the kingly way.
In the Asian session, we first focus on the hourly support of 3417 and the shape support of 3419. The position of 3417 is also the watershed of strength and weakness in the short term. If it breaks, it will reach around 3407. In addition, 3451 is the top of the daily line. There was a dive at this position before. If the daily line cannot stand on it for a long time, there is also the possibility of another dive. 3407 is a hurdle in the big cycle. If it breaks, it may bring a waterfall drop.
Support 3417, strong support 3407, suppression 3451, the watershed of strength and weakness in the market is 3417.
Fundamental analysis:
There are many fundamental analyses and data in the recent period. Geopolitical factors are the main reason for its violent fluctuations. In addition, there is a holiday in the United States this week, and there is also a Federal Reserve interest rate result.
Operation suggestion:
Gold----Buy near 3417, target 3440-3450
XAUUSD Hello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GOLD?
Gold has broken above a major resistance level, and price has closed firmly above this zone, signaling strong bullish momentum and a shift in market sentiment.
We expect a brief pullback in the short term, followed by a resumption of the upward move toward higher targets and new highs.
As long as price remains above the identified support level, the bullish outlook remains valid.
Is gold ready for its next leg up after the pullback? Share your thoughts below! 🤔👇
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Buy on dips and seize rising opportunities📰 Impact of news:
1. Geopolitical risks
2. Expected Fed policy
📈 Market analysis:
The market opened higher in the morning and then continued to fall. From a medium-term perspective, the market is still in a medium-term bullish position. The price will only be under further pressure if it breaks below the weekly support. Observing from the daily level, the price broke through the daily resistance again last Wednesday and continued to soar after the breakthrough. The current price is testing the monthly high, and the subsequent gains and losses of the previous high are the key. Judging from the 1H chart, the short-term death cross continues to fall. At the same time, according to the 4H level, as time goes by, we need to pay attention to the support of 3413-3403. This support is the key watershed of the short-term trend. As long as it does not fall below this support, the bulls still have a chance.
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3413-3403
TP 3430-3440
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
GOLD TRADE IDEA BULLISH MOMENTPrice is approaching a high-interest demand zone, marked by previous accumulation and clean inefficiency. My plan?
I’m not rushing in — I’m waiting for a 15-minute structure shift. Once that happens, I’ll look for a minor FVG to enter with precision.
📌 Key Criteria:
Price must react in the zone
Clear shift in structure (bullish intent)
Minor FVG forms = potential sniper entry
Targeting a high RR setup (6.5+)