Get started

Goldlong

xauusd Entry Level: 3,416.000 USD Price is currently at 3,425.640 USD, so the entry was already triggered and the position is active and in profit. Stop-Loss (SL): 3,407.500 USD Positioned below the minor FVG area; protects against deeper downside if structure fails. Take-Profit Targets (TP): TP1: 3,423.000 USD (short-term scalp zone — already reached) TP2: 3,439.000 USD (medium-term resistance) TP3: 3,452.500 USD (strong upside target; likely near a previous high) Shift Stop to entry after reaching TP1
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Tdawly_Official
XAUUSD:Waiting to go long For gold I am still bullish, do long, rather than blindly chase long. Today's lowest reretreat to around 3408, from the short-term level or long willingness is stronger, the hourly level is a little pressure, trading can wait for the pullback before buying long, the important support below 3404. Short-term support looks at 3407-12 Trading Strategy: BUY@3407-12 TP:3427-30 ↓↓↓ More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here ↗↗↗ ↓↓↓ Keep updated, come to "get" ↗↗↗
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Boooob_
Gold Reclaims Bullish Zone—Perfect Time for a Swing EntryGold has once again reclaimed bullish momentum after breaking through the key support zone around $3,412, previously a stubborn ceiling that had acted as resistance multiple times throughout late May and early June. The break above this level—validated by a decisive green Supertrend flip—indicates a short-term trend reversal in favor of buyers. After a brief consolidation phase, XAUUSD formed a solid breakout candle, confirming upward momentum. The current price action sits comfortably above the Supertrend line, which is now acting as dynamic support, while volume has picked up notably during the move up—an important confirmation of institutional interest and breakout strength. Trade Setup Breakdown • Entry: Above the $3,412 breakout area (now acting as support) • Stop Loss: Below the key support zone, ideally near $3,373–$3,375 to allow for wick re-tests and avoid premature exits • Target/TP: Resistance zone marked near $3,484–$3,500, which aligns with a prior consolidation ceiling from late April and early May. This target offers a risk-reward ratio of approx. 2.3:1, which is favorable for a swing position. • Re-entry Opportunity: If gold retraces back to the $3,373–$3,383 zone (support cluster), it would provide a high-probability re-entry while keeping the same TP of $3,500. Why the Bias Is Bullish 1. Structure Break & Supertrend Flip The key breakout above previous resistance was clean and confirmed by the Supertrend flip to green, a historically reliable short-term bullish signal. 2. Volume Confirmation Volume spikes on the breakout candles confirm real buying pressure—not just a false breakout or low-liquidity movement. 3. Support Retest Potential The $3,412–$3,383 zone now forms a strong demand area where buyers are likely to defend their positions if price pulls back. This zone also aligns with historical congestion from earlier price action. 4. Macro Context (Not in chart but relevant) Ongoing economic uncertainty, rising global tensions, and interest rate speculation continue to boost gold's safe-haven appeal. Traders are increasingly rotating into gold during periods of macro volatility. Outlook Gold is likely to continue climbing toward the $3,500 mark unless it closes below $3,373 on high volume. Bulls appear to be in control, and even a minor pullback could serve as a buying opportunity. As long as the price remains above the flipped Supertrend and $3,373 support, the bullish case remains intact.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SupertradeOfficial
Oil Extends Rally as Israel-Iran Conflict Stokes Supply FearsBrent jumps 5.5 %, bullion hits fresh records, but analysts still see $65 crude by Q4 if key shipping lanes stay open The crude-oil market loves nothing more than a geopolitical headline, and the one that flashed across terminals this past weekend was a whopper: escalating hostilities between Israel and Iran. Within minutes of the first wire stories, Brent crude vaulted 5.5 % to an intraday high of $76.02 a barrel—its largest single-session pop since Russia invaded Ukraine in early 2022—before giving back part of the gain to settle just under $76. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) traced a similar arc, peaking at $74.11 and closing fractionally lower. At the same time, investors stampeded into traditional havens. COMEX gold pierced $2,450 an ounce for the first time, while silver sprinted above $33—blowing past the decade-old high set during the meme-metal frenzy of 2021. The twin moves in energy and precious metals underscore how fragile risk sentiment has become even as global demand growth, OPEC discipline, and U.S. shale resilience point to a more balanced physical market later this year. Below we dissect the drivers of crude’s latest surge, explore the scenarios that could push prices back toward—or away from—the $65 handle by the fourth quarter, and explain why bullion refuses to loosen its grip on record territory. ________________________________________ 1. What Sparked the Spike? 1. Tit-for-tat escalation. Reports of Israel striking Iran-linked assets in Syria and Iran responding with drone attacks near the Golan Heights raised fears of a direct Israel-Iran confrontation—a worst-case scenario that could spill into the Strait of Hormuz and threaten 20 % of global seaborne oil. 2. Thin pre-holiday liquidity. Monday volume was 30 % below the 20-day average with several Asian markets closed, exaggerating price swings and triggering momentum-chasing algos. 3. Options market gamma squeeze. Dealers short upside calls scrambled to hedge as spot pierced $75, accelerating the melt-up. Open interest in $80 Brent calls expiring in June ballooned to 45,000 contracts—four times the 3-month norm. ________________________________________ 2. How Real Is the Supply Risk? While the headlines are chilling, physical flows remain intact for now: • Strait of Hormuz: No tankers have been impeded, insurance premia have widened only 25 ¢ per barrel—well below the $3 spike seen after the 2019 Abqaiq attack in Saudi Arabia. • Iraqi-Turkish Pipeline: Still shuttered for unrelated legal reasons; volumes have been offline since March 2023 and are therefore “priced in.” • Suez Canal / SUMED: Egyptian authorities report normal operations. In short, the rally is risk premia, not actual barrels lost. That distinction matters because premia tend to deflate quickly once tension plateaus, as the market witnessed in October 2023 after Hamas’s initial assault on Israel. ________________________________________ 3. Fundamentals Point to Softer Prices by Autumn Four forces could push Brent back into the $65–68 corridor by Q4 2025 if the geopolitical situation stabilizes: Force Current Status Q3–Q4 Outlook OPEC+ Spare Capacity ~5.5 mbpd, most in Saudi/UAE Ability to add 1–2 mbpd if prices spike U.S. Shale Growth 13.3 mbpd, record high +0.6 mbpd y/y, breakeven $47–55 Refinery Maintenance Peak spring turnarounds remove 1.5 mbpd demand Units restart by July, easing crude tightness Global Demand +1.2 mbpd y/y (IEA) Slows to +0.8 mbpd on OECD weakness Add seasonal gasoline demand ebbing after August, and the supply-demand balance tilts looser just as futures curves roll into Q1 2026 deliveries—a period typically beset by refinery slowdowns and holiday travel lulls. ________________________________________ 4. Scenario Analysis: Three Paths for Brent 1. Escalation (20 % probability) • Direct Israeli strike on Iranian territory → Tehran targets Hormuz traffic • 3 mbpd disrupted for one month • Brent overshoots to $100+, backwardation widens above $10 • Biden releases 90 mb from the SPR; OPEC signals emergency meeting 2. Containment (60 % probability) • Hostilities remain proxy-based in Syria/Lebanon; shipping unscathed • Risk premium bleeds off; Brent drifts to $70–72 by July • By Q4 oversupply emerges; prices test $65 3. Detente (20 % probability) • U.S.-mediated cease-fire; hostages exchanged • Iran de-escalates to focus on reviving JCPOA talks • Risk premium collapses; Brent revisits mid-$60s by August and low-$60s into winter ________________________________________ 5. Why Gold and Silver Are On Fire The precious-metals rally is less about oil and more about real yields and central-bank buying: • Real 10-year U.S. yield sits at 1.05 %, down from 1.55 % in February, boosting gold’s carry cost competitiveness. • PBoC & EM central banks added a net 23 tonnes in April—the 17th straight month of net purchases. • ETF inflows turned positive for the first time in nine months, adding 14 tonnes last week. Silver benefits from the same macro tailwinds plus industrial demand (solar panel capacity is growing 45 % y/y). A tight COMEX inventory cover ratio—registered stocks equal to just 1.4 months of offtake—amplifies price sensitivity. ________________________________________ 6. Cross-Asset Implications 1. Equities: Energy stocks (XLE) outperformed the S&P 500 by 3 % intraday but could retrace if crude fizzles. Miners (GDX, SILJ) may enjoy more durable momentum given new-high psychology. 2. FX: Petro-currencies CAD and NOK rallied 0.4 % vs. USD; safe-haven CHF gained 0.3 %. JPY failed to catch a bid, reflecting carry-trade dominance. 3. Rates: U.S. 2-year yields slipped 6 bp as Fed cut odds edged up on stagflation fears, but the move lacked conviction. ________________________________________ 7. What Could Invalidate the Bearish Q4 Call? • OPEC+ Discipline Frays: If Saudi Arabia tires of single-handedly absorbing cuts and opens the taps, prices could undershoot $60—but Riyadh’s fiscal breakeven (~$82) makes this unlikely. • U.S. Election Politics: A new White House may re-impose harsher sanctions on Iran or ease drilling restrictions, tilting balances either way. • Extreme Weather: An intense Atlantic hurricane season could knock Gulf of Mexico output offline, squeezing physical supply just as refineries demand more feedstock. ________________________________________ 8. Trading and Hedging Playbook Asset Bias Vehicles Key Levels Brent Crude Fade rallies toward $80; target $68 by Oct ICE futures, Jul $70 puts Resistance $78.80 / Support $71.30 WTI Similar to Brent NYMEX CL, calendar-spread (long Dec 24, short Dec 25) Resistance $75.20 Gold Buy dips if real yields fall below 0.9 % Futures, GLD ETF, 25-delta call spreads Support $2,390 Silver Momentum long until $35; tighten stops Futures, SLV ETF, 2-month $34 calls Resistance $36.20 Energy Equities Pair trade: long refiners vs. short E&Ps ETFs: CRAK vs. XOP Watch crack spreads Risk managers should recall that correlation spikes under stress: a portfolio long gold and short crude looks diversified—until a Middle-East cease-fire nukes both legs. ________________________________________ 9. Macro Backdrop: Demand Still Fragile Even before the flare-up, oil demand forecasts were slipping: • OECD: Eurozone PMIs languish below 50; German diesel demand –7 % y/y. • China: Q2 refinery runs flatlining; teapot margins < $2/bbl. • India: Bright spot with gasoline demand +9 %, but monsoon season will clip growth. On the supply side, non-OPEC production is rising 1.8 mbpd this year, led by Brazil’s pre-salt, Guyana’s Stabroek block, and U.S. Permian efficiency gains. Unless Middle-East barrels exit the market, the call on OPEC crude will shrink from 28 mbpd in Q2 to 26.7 mbpd in Q4, forcing the cartel to decide between market share and price. ________________________________________ 10. Historical Perspective: Geopolitical Risk Premiums Fade Fast Event Initial Brent Jump Days to Round-Trip Barrels Lost? 2019 Abqaiq Attack +15 % 38 < 0.2 mbpd for 30 days 2020 U.S.–Iran (Soleimani) +5 % 10 None 2022 Russia-Ukraine +35 % Still elevated > 1 mbpd rerouted Based on precedent, a 5–7 % surge without real supply disruption typically unwinds within six weeks. ________________________________________ 11. Outlook Summary • Base Case: Containment; Brent averages $70–72 through summer, melts to $65–68 Q4. Gold consolidates above $2,350; silver churns $30–34. • Bull Case (Oil): Hormuz threatened; Brent $100+, gas prices soar, Fed forced to juggle inflation vs. growth. • Bear Case (Oil): Cease-fire + soft demand; Brent breaks $60, OPEC+ grapples with fresh round of cuts. • ________________________________________ 12. Conclusion The Israel-Iran flashpoint has injected a fresh geopolitical premium into oil and turbo-charged safe-haven metals, but history suggests emotion-driven rallies fade quickly when physical barrels keep flowing. Unless missiles land near Hormuz or an errant drone strikes a Saudi export terminal, the structural forces of rising non-OPEC supply and cooling demand should reassert themselves, dragging Brent back toward the mid-$60s by year-end. For traders, that means respecting the tape today but planning for mean reversion tomorrow—selling gamma-rich call structures in crude, rolling stop-losses higher on bullion longs, and watching like hawks for any hint that shipping lanes are no longer merely a headline risk but a tangible bottleneck. Until that line is crossed, the smart money will treat each price spike not as the dawn of $100 crude, but as an opportunity to hedge, fade, and position for a calmer, cheaper barrel in the months ahead.
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by bryandowningqln
XAU/USD(20250617) Today's AnalysisMarket news: Trump: The United States may still intervene in the Iran-Israel conflict. If Iran launches an attack on the United States, the United States will "fight back with all its strength on an unprecedented scale." Iran and Israel should reach an agreement. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 3419 Support and resistance levels: 3486 3461 3445 3394 3378 3353 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 3445, consider buying in, the first target price is 3461 If the price breaks through 3419, consider selling in, the first target price is 3394
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by NuggetsWarriors
Gold Spot (XAU/USD) Daily Chart Analysis – Bullish Breakout Towa🔥 Gold Spot (XAU/USD) Daily Chart Analysis – Bullish Breakout Towards New ATH 📈✨ 📊 Chart Overview: Gold has shown a strong bullish daily candle breakout above the key Resistance & Support Zone around $3,430, turning this critical level into a potential support. The upward move signals continuation of the trend, especially amid global tensions (as annotated: “War going on...”), which historically drive gold prices higher due to its safe-haven appeal. 🪙🛡️ 🔍 Key Technical Highlights: 🟩 Resistance Turned Support – Price has decisively broken the previous resistance (green zone), suggesting bulls are in control. A successful retest of this area could provide a solid base for further upside. 🚀 Next Target: New All-Time High (ATH) – The chart projects a bullish move towards the $3,480+ level, forming a new ATH. Momentum and macroeconomic factors (e.g., geopolitical conflict) support this bias. 🟫 Support Level – The orange zone below (~$3,140–$3,160) remains a strong support area and demand zone, providing a cushion if price pulls back. 🕯️ Candlestick Structure – Recent candles show strong bullish momentum with minimal wicks on top, indicating buyers are closing near highs — a bullish signal. 📈 Projection Path – An ideal bullish path is visualized: a potential pullback/retest followed by a continuation rally. 🔔 Conclusion: Gold looks poised to rally further, supported by technical breakout and macro catalysts. 📌 Watch for: Confirmation of the retest holding. Continuation volume. Potential pullbacks as re-entry opportunities. 🛎️ Trading Idea: Buy on retest confirmation ✅ 🎯 Target: $3,480+ 🛡️ Stop-loss: Below $3,410 (to protect against false breakout) 📌 Stay alert for global headlines! 🌍📰 Gold remains a prime asset in uncertain times.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by VikingFx-Community
GOLD/USD Bullish Breakout PotentialGOLD/USD Bullish Breakout Potential 🚀📈 🔍 Chart Analysis (June 15, 2025): The GOLD/USD price action shows strong bullish momentum after a successful breakout above the previous resistance zone (now turned support) around $3,400. This level had previously acted as a key resistance multiple times (evidenced by the price rejection in early June), but has now been flipped into a support zone. The chart highlights two major elements: 📌 Key Highlights: ✅ Support Zone: The $3,390–$3,410 range is now a confirmed support area after price broke above and retested it. This zone was previously tested multiple times (marked by arrows) and is expected to act as a launchpad for further upside. 🎯 Target Point: The projected bullish target lies in the $3,610–$3,640 range. This level has been highlighted as a potential area where price might face resistance again. 📈 Bullish Projection: A bullish continuation is expected if the price remains above the $3,400 level. The chart suggests a possible pullback to support before continuation towards the target zone. ⚠️ Technical Outlook: As long as price holds above support, the bias remains bullish. A drop below $3,390 would invalidate this bullish scenario and call for reassessment. Conservative entry may wait for a confirmed bounce from support. 🔮 Summary: Bullish bias is active for GOLD/USD with a short-term target around $3,620. Watch the $3,400 support closely for confirmation of the upward momentum.
TVC:GOLDShort
by MrStellanSight
1
XAUUSD - High possibility of volatile market opening (20250616)Well, it is quite obvious we have a volatile geo-political crisis this weekend, so market may overreact once again to bring Gold to at least 3500 opening. Looking at volume, though Gold is in uncharted territory and it can be move as high as 3550 - 3600, I rather play for a quick profit. Hope later this Sunday, we can find some positive news that can at least hold the surge of Gold to minimum. Trade safe, Trade wisely. Monday will be a very volatile opening.
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by sharpie0319
1
Analysis of gold price trend next week!Market news: Weak U.S. inflation data released earlier this week reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates, increasing the appeal of spot gold. It hit a two-month high. The geopolitical tension in the Middle East has caused investors to flock to safe-haven assets. Earlier, Israel's air strikes on Iran have once again raised concerns about a wider conflict in the Middle East. In terms of physical gold, demand in major Asian centers weakened this week due to a sharp rise in prices, and the Indian gold price broke through the important psychological level of 100,000 rupees. As geopolitical tensions in the Middle East intensified over the weekend, gold prices may continue to benefit from risk aversion next week, and London gold prices are expected to target $3,500/ounce at the beginning of next week! Next week will also be affected by the Fed's decision and Powell's speech. In addition, U.S. President Trump will visit Canada from June 15 to 17 to attend the G7 Leaders' Summit. His speech at that time may also affect the fluctuation of international gold prices, which is worth paying attention to. Technical Review: From the market point of view, the overall bottoming and rebounding trend of gold this week has undoubtedly laid a strong foundation for buying. It is understandable to follow the trend and rise. However, since the gold price fell back at the end of the week and closed near 3433, I think it is necessary to make a short-term decline judgment on the market trend at the beginning of the week. As the gold price continues to rise, various graphics have formed very obvious and strong support, among which the 3419 line and the 3400 mark shown by the upper track of the daily Bollinger Band are the most important. Once the gold price can stabilize above this area today, the daily support will definitely continue to rise, which will also lay a more favorable foundation for buying to steadily hit new highs. Combined with the risk aversion demand caused by risk events, it is not an exaggeration to expect the gold price to approach the 3500 mark next week! But if the short-term reversal is sold, the 3400 mark is taken, and the daily MACD indicator forms a dead cross green column and continues to increase in volume, then the possibility of selling down to the daily 5-day moving average will be increased. However, whether this possibility can be realized needs to be judged in combination with more factors. After all, the overall trend of gold is still rising. If the adjustment is too strong, it will not only break the trend, but also cause the gold price to fall into a weak trend below 3400 in the short or medium term. Next week's analysis: Gold rose again on Friday under the stimulation of risk aversion. Gold was directly bought at 3413 on Friday, and the circle of friends also directly prompted to buy. Gold rose and harvested as expected. Gold has been shrouded in risk aversion in the Middle East these two days. In the short term, the trend of gold is still supported by risk aversion, and it may go up a level. If risk aversion is not relieved at the weekend, it will continue to buy next week. At present, the risk aversion sentiment of gold is constantly escalating, and buying is also strong and irresistible. So before there is a significant change, it is to continue to buy to the end, and the rise is not a top, and go with the trend. Gold's 1-hour moving average is still a golden cross with upward buying divergence, and the buying power of gold is still there! After the rise of gold's safe-haven, gold adjusted sideways in the short term, but it is still oscillating strongly at a high level. Now it is still in the process of rising. If there is no bad news to make gold fall and break, then the short-term volatility of gold is an adjustment in the process of rising, and it will continue to rise at any time. After gold buying breaks through 3400, gold buying sticks to the 3400 line, so if it falls back to 3400 next week, it will continue to buy on dips. If the risk aversion of gold eases and falls below 3400, then we may readjust our thinking. Operation ideas: Buy short-term gold at 3405-3408, stop loss at 3396, target at 3450-3470; Sell short-term gold at 3457-3460, stop loss at 3469, target at 3420-3400; Key points: First support level: 3422, second support level: 3405, third support level: 3390 First resistance level: 3446, second resistance level: 3458, third resistance level: 3472
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by NuggetsWarriors
Gold Extends Rally as New High Emerges📊 Market Overview: Gold reached a new intraday high at $3,447 today, supported by a weaker USD and stable U.S. Treasury yields. Prices then pulled back slightly to $3,423 amid short-term profit-taking. Ongoing geopolitical uncertainty and expectations that the Fed may hold or cut rates continue to drive demand for safe-haven assets like gold. 📉 Technical Analysis: Key Resistance Levels: • $3,447 – Intraday high on June 13 • $3,465 – Strong Fibonacci extension resistance • $3,480 – Next upside target if price breaks above $3,447 Key Support Levels: • $3,423 – Current price and intraday congestion zone • $3,410 – Minor support on the H4 chart • $3,400 – Psychological support & 20-day MA • EMA: Price is trading above the 09-day EMA → short-term trend remains bullish • Candlestick / Volume / Momentum: Strong bullish candle with high volume; RSI at 67 indicates further upside potential. Short lower wicks suggest limited selling pressure. MACD on both H4 and daily charts favors continued upside momentum. 📌 Outlook: Gold is likely to continue rising if it holds the $3,410–$3,423 support zone. A break above $3,447 may open the path toward $3,480 or higher. 💡 Suggested Trading Strategy: 🔺 BUY XAU/USD: • Entry: $3,420 – $3,425 • 🎯 TP: $3,480 • ❌ SL: $3,408 🔻 SELL XAU/USD • Entry: $3,445 – $3,450 • 🎯 TP: $3,423 – $3,410 • ❌ SL: $3,457
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mian-FXSignals
"XAU/USD Bearish Setup: Rising Channel Breakdown AnticipatedPrevious Resistance Zone (Red Rectangle): The chart shows a clear resistance zone between ~3,340 and ~3,370 USD. Price was rejected sharply from this zone earlier (marked by the large blue dot at the swing high). Current Rising Channel (Blue Channel): A rising wedge or ascending channel is forming, typically a bearish continuation pattern when found in a downtrend. Price is currently testing the upper boundary of this pattern. Bearish Projection (Red Path & Arrows): The chart creator expects a rejection from the top of the channel, leading to a breakdown and a move toward the next key support at ~3,246.94 USD. A large red arrow and projected box highlight the short setup zone with an implied favorable risk/reward ratio. Support Target: Blue horizontal line at 3,246.94 marks the next significant support level, likely a take-profit target for short sellers. Macro Factors: Three small icons indicate upcoming U.S. economic events, possibly influencing XAU/USD volatility and confirming the move. ✅ Summary: Bias: Bearish Pattern: Rising Channel (bearish structure) Entry Zone: Around 3,350–3,360 USD (top of channel) Target Zone: ~3,246 USD Risk: Invalid if price closes strongly above the resistance zone (~3,370 USD)
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ZareeFxTradingAac
Bull market continues? Beware of the possibility of a pullback📰 Impact of news: 1. The geopolitical situation between Israel and Iran deteriorates 📈 Market analysis: In the short term, gold is expected to rise further. Relatively speaking, there is still room for further increase. If it continues to rise today, it depends on the test of 3440 points, which is the opening position of the previous decline. In the short term, pay attention to the 3340-3350 resistance. If it can break through and stay above it, the 3468-3493 line we gave in the morning can still be used as a reference, and it is even expected to reach 3500. But at the same time, the RSI indicator in the hourly chart is approaching the overbought area, so we still need to be vigilant about the possibility of a pullback. 🏅 Trading strategies: SELL 3440-3450 TP 3430-3420 BUY 3415-3400 TP 3420-3440 If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices. TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AllenBoswell-2
XAUUSD:Go long, go long "Israel announced a strike on Iran" broke out the news, gold and crude oil in the Asian session soared. Again help us recently do long ideas, too late to explain so much, the follow-up trading ideas are still long after the pullback. After 3403 broke through has been converted into strong support, short - term to 3415-20 to do more. Trading Strategy: BUY@3415-20 TP:3440-50 ↓↓↓ More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here ↗↗↗ ↓↓↓ Keep updated, come to "get" ↗↗↗
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Boooob_
After the Pullback, Gold May Head Toward the 3500 Mark📊 Market Overview: Gold surged to 3444 during the Asian session on rising expectations of an early Fed rate cut after softer-than-expected US CPI data. However, profit-taking pushed prices back to the 3425 zone. 📉 Technical Analysis: • Key Resistance: 3444 • Nearest Support: 3403 – 3406 • EMA 9: Price remains above EMA 9 → trend is still bullish. • Momentum & RSI: RSI has cooled off from near-overbought territory (~70), suggesting a short-term pullback may occur. 📌 Outlook: Gold may correct slightly toward support before resuming its upward trend if the 3403–3406 zone holds firm. 💡 Suggested Trading Strategy: 🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: 3440 – 3444 🎯 TP: 3420 ❌ SL: 3449 🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: 3406 – 3403 🎯 TP: 3426 ❌ SL: 3399
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mian-FXSignals
1
As conflict escalates, gold is cautiously long📰 Impact of news: 1. The geopolitical situation between Israel and Iran deteriorates 📈 Market analysis: The worsening geopolitical situation caused a surge in gold prices. The intraday short-term support points of 3420, 3402, and 3380 will all become key support for testing bulls. If the European session is strong, 3420 cannot be lost. If it falls back and loses, it will move closer to the top and bottom conversion position of 3402. If you go long later, you must pay attention to the weakening of the upward momentum. If the European session continues to break the high of 3440, then the US session can be seen around 3468-3493. If the upward momentum in the European session weakens, we need to watch out for a short-selling counterattack and a sharp decline. The geopolitical situation is unstable. Bros must strictly control SL when trading independently. 🏅 Trading strategies: BUY 3420-3402-3380 TP 3390-3400-3420-3460-3490 If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices. OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AllenBoswell-2
GOLD SPOT (XAU/USD) 4H Analysis – Bullish Momentum Breakout🔔 GOLD SPOT (XAU/USD) 4H Analysis – Bullish Momentum Breakout 💥📈 📊 Overview: Gold has confirmed a strong bullish breakout from the consolidation zone, driven by sustained support and recent upward pressure. After rebounding from the MAIN SUPPORT zone around $3,200, price action has surged and successfully touched the 1st Take Profit (TP1) zone at $3,429. 🔍 Key Levels: 🟩 Main Support: $3,200 zone — held firm and acted as a launchpad for the bullish reversal. 📌 1st TP (Touched): $3,429 — resistance level has been tested and price is currently hovering near it. 🎯 Next Target (TP2): $3,504 — price is expected to approach this zone as bullish momentum continues. 📈 Technical Outlook: Price structure shows a clear higher low formation followed by a strong impulse breakout. Current momentum suggests bulls are in control, with volume and volatility increasing on the upward leg. As long as the price remains above the $3,366 short-term support, the bias remains bullish. 🛑 Risk Note: Watch for possible rejection near TP2. A failure to hold above $3,366 may trigger a pullback to retest lower zones. ✅ Conclusion: The bullish continuation scenario remains valid with potential to hit the $3,504 mark. Traders may look for long opportunities on pullbacks while maintaining tight risk management. 🔐📊
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by VikingFx-Community
6
Gold/XAUUSD Possible Move 13 June 2025 The market continues to exhibit strong bullish momentum within a well-respected ascending channel. After an impulsive breakout to the upside, price is now retracing in a healthy corrective move, offering high-probability buying opportunities at two well-defined demand zones. 🔍 Technical Structure: Price is trending inside an ascending parallel channel, with clear respect for both the median and outer trendlines. A significant bullish impulse pushed price above previous local highs, suggesting institutional interest and continuation potential. Currently, price is retracing and approaching two key demand areas that align with bullish continuation setups. 🎯 Key Buy Zones: ✅ Zone 1: 3,408 – 3,412 Minor mitigating demand zone, likely to act as support if the market retraces slightly. Ideal for aggressive long entries if price shows confirmation (e.g., bullish engulfing, LTF structure shift). ✅ Zone 2: 3,380 – 3,385 Deeper unmitigated demand zone, aligned with a potential liquidity sweep and strong institutional support. Considered a high-probability entry area for larger impulse moves. 🌍 Fundamental Context: Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, can lead to sharp intraday moves, with 100+ pip 5-minute candles not being out of the question. Given this backdrop, demand zones become critical areas for smart money entries as traders seek to align technical levels with macro drivers. 📈 Trade Signal: Bias: 🔵 Bullish Buy Zone 1: 3,408 – 3,412 SL: Below 3,395 TP: 3425, 3440, trail till 3,470 R:R: ~1:3 Buy Zone 2: 3,380 – 3,385 SL: Below 3,368 R:R: ~1:4 🧠 Final Note: Watch for price reaction at both zones. Use LTF confirmation before entry and respect your risk management. With news-driven volatility in play, quick movements are expected, offering excellent trade opportunities for prepared traders.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by QuinnReed_Charts
Gold Buy Setup📍 GOLD 4H BUY SETUP Price bounced perfectly off a major demand zone, reclaiming structure and pushing above the Ichimoku cloud — classic bullish confirmation. ✅ Entered at 3372 with a tight SL at 3331 🎯 Targeting 3499 — key buy-side liquidity resting above recent highs 📊 Risk-to-Reward: 1:3.18 (High probability setup) We’ve got: Strong volume surge off demand EMA support holding firm Structure break + reaccumulation 📈 Eyes on wave continuation — clean long into liquidity.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by jamesibartram
1
Gold Bull Run: Wave 5 on the Way! Elliott Wave Setup – We're in Wave 5, riding a powerful upward channel from the recent Wave 4 low, aiming for ~$3,500–3,600 Key Resistance & Breakout – The $3,497–3,500 area is critical. A clean breakout above this could open the next leg toward ~$3,600–3,700, echoing forecasts from ANZ and Cantor . Support Level – Immediate support lies around the $3,392 area (recent resistance turned support). A dip back to $3,420–3,440 could provide a strong buying opportunity. Macro Drivers – Geopolitical tensions (especially in the Middle East) and a soft U.S. dollar are fueling safe-haven buying, matching broader bullish sentiment . 📈 Outlook: Minor pullback expected, then resumption of rally. Breakout above $3,500 could trigger the next surge. 🛡️ Strategy Tip: Consider buying on dips around $3,420–3,450 with resistance-based stop-loss and targets at $3,500 then $3,600–3,700.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by KingProTrader