4.4 Gold is low and long, wait for non-agricultureYesterday, the gold market opened at 3134.1 in the morning. The market first fell back to 3122.6 and then rose strongly. After breaking the previous high, it reached a high of 2167.9. After that, the market began to fall under the cooperation of fundamentals and technical profit-taking. The intraday low was 3053.6. After that, the market rose strongly and reached 3135.8 before consolidating. The daily line finally closed at 3114.1. The daily line closed in a spindle shape with a very long lower shadow. After this shape ended, after the break of 2940 and 2958, the long positions were reduced, and the stop loss was followed up at 3050. If it falls back to 3082 first today, the long stop loss is 3075. The target is 3115 and 3132. If it breaks, the target is 3140 and 3150.
Goldlongterm
Non-agricultural gold is expected to fall sharply. On Friday (April 4), at 20:30 Beijing time, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released the highly anticipated March non-farm payrolls report, which put pressure on gold.
Fundamentals: Today, gold is expected to fall sharply. The market continues to short at resistance points.
Market volatility is expected to increase during the period. The long-short game of the US dollar index near the 102 mark will determine whether it can continue to rise. If it breaks through 103, it may further suppress gold and non-US currencies. Gold is looking for direction in the range of 3080-3100 US dollars/ounce. If risk aversion picks up, it may retest the 3100 mark; on the contrary, if the US dollar continues to strengthen, breaking through 3080 will open up downside space. The decline in US stock futures may continue until early next week.
4.5 Gold falls off a cliff and waits to stabilize! ! !Gold 4-hour level: The last wave of pull-up started from the low point of 2999 to 3167. Yesterday, it fell back and tested the 618 split position 3063. The current support is still valid, which is also the MA66 day position; From the perspective of macd, it is still short-selling and has not been fully repaired. Wait until it crosses below the zero axis, and then slowly stabilizes and tends to golden cross in the future market, then a wave of trend pull-up will gradually form, and it will take time; if 3063 cannot be maintained, the two split positions below are 3035 and 3018, and attention should be paid to stabilization.
Intraday support: 3035 3018 3005
Resistance: 3045 3070 3100
Gold-----sell near 3138, target 3110-3100Gold market analysis:
The market is always confusing, and investors are always guessing. This is the most mysterious and tempting part of the market. In fact, there are many trading opportunities for gold every day, but there are only a few that you can understand. So what you need is execution. When it comes to the opportunity that you can understand, you must be decisive. Yesterday, gold rose in the Asian session, and it fell sharply to around 3100 in the US session. This position is a strong support for the daily line. It finally rebounded and closed with a big tombstone on the daily line. At this time, some people began to speculate again, whether the big top has come, and whether gold has really fallen? We must see the facts clearly and follow them. Yesterday's gold daily tombstone is only a short-term top, and it is just that the short-term is not so strong. The buying pattern of the long-term trend is still intact. Today's thinking is bullish in the general trend, and both short-term long and short positions can be entered.
From the perspective of form, gold will undergo a range repair in the range of 3100-3148. There is no gold that keeps rising. If it keeps rising without stopping, it is impossible. Now gold has risen too much and is undergoing a technical repair. If it rebounds first, we will sell it at 3138 and 3148. If it falls first, pay attention to 3119 and 3100. There are opportunities for buying and selling. Grasp the rhythm.
Support 3119 and 3110, strong support 3100, pressure 3138 and 3148, the strength and weakness dividing line of the market 3120.
Fundamental analysis:
This week is a data week. Today, we will focus on the ADP employment data, which is the precursor to the non-agricultural data.
Operation suggestions:
Gold-----sell near 3138, target 3110-3100
GOLD DAILY CHART MID/LONG TERM UPDATEGOLD Daily Chart Update: 24th FEB 2025
Hi Everyone,
Here’s the latest update on the GOLD daily chart, which we've been closely monitoring and trading. Below, we break down recent price movements, updated key levels, and provide actionable insights for the days ahead.
Recap of Recent Chart Success!
Gold recently achieved a record high of $2,954.80. Our analysis has consistently highlighted that after reaching each target level, prices tend to reverse by over 40+ pips to the GoldTurn level. This pattern was evident when, after hitting TP3 at $2,933, the price retraced more than 40+ pips to the GoldTurn level at 2870, which acted as a support, before rebounding bullishly to surpass resistance and reach the all-time high of $2,954.81.
Current Outlook: Bullish or Bearish?
Presently, gold's price is oscillating between a resistance gap at $2,990 and a support gap at $2,933. The $2,990 level serves as a key resistance, while $2,933 acts as support. Additionally, the Fair Value Gap (FVG) offers support at $2,920.
In summary, while the long-term outlook remains bullish due to factors like central bank demand and economic uncertainties, short-term fluctuations between the $2,933 support and $2,990 resistance levels are expected. Traders should monitor these key levels and indicators closely to inform their strategies.
KEY LEVEL: 2870
Resistance Levels: 2990, 3052
Support Levels (GoldTurn Levels): 2933, 2870, 2801, 2744, 2671, 2595
EMA5 Behavior:
* Or If EMA5 crosses and locks above 2933, it strengthens the bullish case.
* If EMA5 fails to hold above 2933, cross and lock below this level 2933, expect a pullback to key GOLDTURN levels below.
Recommendations:
* Capitalize on Dip Opportunities: Use smaller timeframes (1H, 4H) to trade around GOLDTURN levels, targeting 30–40 pips per trade.
* Stay focused on shorter trades in this range-bound market to manage volatility effectively.
Long-Term Bias:
Maintain a bullish outlook while viewing pullbacks as buying opportunities.
Accumulate positions near key support levels for a safer approach instead of chasing highs.
Final Note:
Trade with confidence and precision. Our analysis ensures you’re well-prepared to navigate the evolving market landscape. Stay updated with our daily insights across multiple timeframes for deeper clarity.
Thank you for your continued trust! Don’t forget to like, share, and comment to support our work.
Best regards,
The Quantum Trading Mastery Team
Monthly closing line, gold is alert to pull higher and fall backAt the end of March, the monthly and quarterly lines of gold and silver closed with saturated strong positive lines. The first trading day of the month has broken the high by inertia, which is consistent with expectations. Next, the focus should be on guarding against the potential scenario of pulling up shipments in the first half of the month, and the possibility of extreme volatility.
There are a lot of heavy news data from the 2nd to the 4th. I think there is a high probability that there will be an obvious turning point. However, given that the global political and economic situation has not cooled down significantly, even if there is a turning point and a correction, or even a sharp correction, it is still difficult to make a real judgment of a reversal of the big cycle trend. Therefore, I think the general idea of the short and medium-term line should be to maintain short first and then long.
The small resistance is around 3145--3155, and the important support during the week is around 3050. Given the recent volatility, it is obviously necessary to continue to be prepared to deal with continued large fluctuations.
The above strategy is based on current market analysis, and specific operations need to be combined with real-time data!
4.1 Analysis and Suggestions on Gold US Market Operation IdeasGold intraday interpretation
Gold failed to hit 3150 in the morning session. How will the subsequent market evolve?
It hit a high in the morning and then fell back to 3125-3130 to stop the decline and enter consolidation. If it fails to break through 3150 on Thursday, it will have a chance to enter a high-level adjustment, and the decline may reach 30-50 points!
Market sentiment has been brewing for a long enough time. Everyone should look at tariffs rationally. Even if there is no tax increase, there is no need to be too surprised.
Currently entering the triangle consolidation pattern, which is a type of relay pattern. The pattern is usually accompanied by a reduction in trading volume and resumes the original trend after breaking through.
Focus: 3150 key resistance. Don't chase north above 3140. If the intermediate form is used, the probability of breaking through 3150 during the day is not high. Mainly look at the ADP employment number on Wednesday. Beware of the US market retreating from 3113 to 3117 and then rebounding quickly.
Lower support: 3125 3113 3105
Upper pressure: 3150 3165
Monthly line saturated big positive line, gold and silver swordsYesterday, the gold market opened slightly higher at 3088 in the morning, and then fell back. The daily line reached a low of 3076.5, and then the market rose strongly. After breaking the 3100 integer mark, the daily line rose strongly. The daily line reached a high of 3128, and then the market consolidated widely. The daily line finally closed at 3123.8, and then the market closed with a long lower shadow. After this pattern ended, today's market still has technical bullish demand. In terms of points, after the breakout of 2940 and 2958, the stop loss followed up at 2990. Today, the stop loss of 3110 is 3105, and the target is 3128 and 3132. The breakout is 3140 and 3150-3152.
We will update regularly every day to introduce how we manage active ideas and settings. Thank you for your likes, comments and attention. Thank you very much
4.1 Analysis of gold intraday short-term trendFrom the daily chart, the gold price fell slightly after breaking through the previous high of $3127.76, but it is still in a strong upward channel overall. The current price has been stable above the 5-week moving average for many consecutive weeks, indicating that the medium-term trend is still healthy. It is worth noting that from the low of $2536.68 to date, gold has risen by more than 23%, and it is necessary to be vigilant about the risk of short-term adjustments. The next target will point to the psychological level of $3200. Factors supporting this view include rising global uncertainty, increased expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, and continued gold purchases by the central bank. In addition, the closing price needs to stabilize above $3135 to confirm the effectiveness of the long-term breakthrough. In this case, the price may accelerate upward, with a target of $3170.
Short-term resistance: 3130 3150 3170
The market is changing with the trend, and it is recommended to adjust the strategy in combination with real-time data!
4.1 Technical analysis of short-term gold trading BUYGold is currently temporarily maintaining a high range oscillation in the 4-hour level trend, but the short-term moving average continues to maintain a strong trend, and a wave of bottoming rebound in the 4-hour level trend has basically completed the repair of the technical pattern. Pay attention to the secondary pull-up trend after the high-level oscillation repair is completed. The hourly level trend is currently temporarily maintained in a high-level oscillation, but the strength and continuity of the US market's retracement are not particularly large. The technical pattern of the small-level cycle trend has also been gradually adjusted and completed, and it tends to be able to continue to rise in the late trading.
Intraday short-term operation:
BUY: 3110 Stop loss: 3005-3100 Target 3125-3130
3.31 Gold officially breaks through 3100In the early Asian session on Monday (March 31), spot gold once again saw a surge in prices shortly after the opening. The most active gold futures contract in New York was traded in one minute from 10:22 to 10:23 Beijing time on March 31, with 890 lots traded, and the total value of the trading contracts was US$279 million. Affected by Trump's latest tariff news, spot gold maintained the current bull market trend. The gold price broke through the US$3,000 mark and broke through US$3,100 only half a month after breaking through the US$3,000 mark. As of 10:39 Beijing time, it was reported at US$3,105.23 per ounce.
Gold technical analysis: Gold closed higher with a big positive line last week, and after consolidating at a high level, it increased strongly and closed at a high level. The weekly K-line is still strong, with a big bald positive line. There will be further continuation this week. However, the monthly line closed today. After the volume is released, we must also be careful of the wash of the high and fall. The daily chart has continued to rise and set a new high. The Asian session is a slow consolidation and then a slow new high. The consolidation is not the high, and the volume is the top. At present, there is further rise in the short term. Gold was stimulated by risk aversion over the weekend. It opened high and fell back on Monday. However, gold fell back under pressure at 3100 in the short term. We must pay attention to adjustments. Then gold is just adjusting. Wait patiently for it to fall back before going long. The technical side of gold shows a strong upward trend. US$3070 has become a new short-term support level. The current upward momentum is sufficient and there is momentum for further rise. The influence of gold bulls on the current trend of gold has reached the highest level in history, but the trading scale and heat have not reached the most crowded range in history. There is still room for funds to further increase positions, which provides support for gold prices.
3.31 Gold Operation Strategy Reference:
Short Order Strategy:
Strategy 1: When gold rebounds around 3100-3103, short (buy short) in batches with 20% of the position, stop loss at 3110, target around 3085-3075, and look at 3070 if it breaks; (Strategy is time-sensitive, more real-time layout strategies are announced in the channel.)
Long Order Strategy:
Strategy 2: When gold pulls back around 3070-3073, long (buy long) in batches with 20% of the position, stop loss at 3060, target around 3085-3095, and look at 3105 if it breaks; (Strategy is time-sensitive, more real-time layout strategies are announced in the channel.)
Summary of this weekThis week, the gold market continued its bull market, breaking through the historical high of 84 and closing. The gold price broke through the psychological barrier of 3,000. The market sentiment continued to be optimistic.
In this week's trading, we took the main approach of going long, holding long positions, buying back, and making significant profits, achieving the expected goals.
Next week, we will continue to make steady progress and formulate a more efficient profit plan.
If you also want to learn gold trading skills and profits in the market, then join my team.
Wish you all: Have a good weekend
Gold breaks new high again, the market waits for a pullback to gFundamentals: Gold hits a new record high today, and the market continues to hold a bullish view after the decline.
Gold is currently maintaining a relatively strong oscillating trend in the large-scale cycle trend, and the upward space in the large-scale cycle trend is likely to have not yet been completed. The daily level trend continues to maintain a relatively strong oscillating trend along the short-term moving average. The wave of decline before and after the European session has completed the repair of the technical form to a certain extent. The oscillating repair temporarily maintained at a high level in the hourly level trend currently has no particularly obvious trend. The range in the short-term trend may be compressed to the oscillating repair trend between 3060-85. Although there are some rebounds in the small-scale cycle trend, the strength and continuity are not too large. Pay attention to the short-term adjustment and repair.
Operation suggestions:
Short near 3080-7, stop loss 3085.2,
Long near 3059-60, stop loss 3053.1.
Real-time market intraday guidance.
3.28 Gold breaks new high again, holding on is the keyGold price hits a new record high of 3086, and today's low is the key
Gold price hits a new record high of 3086, which is in line with our bullish thinking of restarting strength since Tuesday
Now the price has also broken through the upper track of the green channel line. The next focus is on keeping low. Keeping low and breaking high will accelerate. Breaking the low point will easily return to sweeping
Today's low point defense position has two, the first is the early trading low of 3054, because it is a direct rise in the early trading to break the new high, and the afternoon continues to break the new high. In this case, it is particularly important to hold the early trading low ;
The second is the position along the green channel line, 3063-3061, which is also the position of the acceleration starting point
Then, next, hold the position along the green channel line, and switch upwards for at least 50-70 US dollars, corresponding to the resistance of the 3100-3115 area
The key point is to hold low, hold low and break high to see acceleration, and break the low point to turn to sweep
As shown in the figure, this wave of confirmed support began to rise, starting from breaking through the green dotted line suppression. After the breakthrough, repeatedly stepping back to confirm the 3015 upper and lower areas Support, then stand up and stabilize in the 3033-3030 area, and start an upward breakthrough
In the process, it is accompanied by a deep squat of 18-20 US dollars. After the leverage is completed, it will rise by more than 40 US dollars to break the new high
For the market that directly rose in the morning, there was a second sprint to break the high in the afternoon, so refer to 3068-3066 as support to continue to layout the bullish sprint to the 3080-3082 area
The price also accelerated the sprint and rose, and slightly exceeded the range of 3086
: Suppression line Under pressure, enter adjustment, squat 18-20 US dollars, confirm the support and continue to pull up more than 40 US dollars (what needs to be considered and verified at this moment)
For this pressure position, the focus is on the 3082-3085 area (now the excess range has reached 3086), using this as a suppression to find a space range of 18-20 US dollars, corresponding to the 3062-3060 range
The short position in the 3082 area fell to 3072-3070 as expected
Verify the conjecture step by step, time is the best verification tool!
Today is Friday, still the old rules, only provide information reminders for cooperative friends, if you need, you can find us, looking forward to the good news you have received!
GOLD 1H CHAR ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKGOLD 1H Chart – 17th Feb 2025
Dear Traders,
Here’s the latest 1H chart analysis, outlining key levels and targets for this week trading plan
Gold is currently trading between two critical levels, with a gap above 2905 and below 2878. A confirmed EMA5 crossover and lock above or below these levels will indicate the next price direction. Until then, expect price fluctuations as these levels are tested repeatedly.
Keep in mind that Its president day today in the US and market will remain close today.
Our strategy remains focused on buying dips and monitoring key levels to identify potential bounce opportunities. Stay sharp!
Resistance Levels: 2905, 2920, 2942, 2949, 2972, 2994, 3011
Support Levels: Gold Turn Levels : 2878, 2852, 2837, 2817, 2802, 2776, 2747
Retracement Range: 2802 - 2817
Swing Range: 2747
GOLDTURN LEVELS ARE ACTIVATED!
EMA5 (Red Line) Analysis:
* Currently fluctuating between 2878 and 2905
* EMA5 positioning will be crucial in determining the next trading direction.
Bullish Targets:
EMA5 cross and lock Above 2910 → will open the following bullish Target 2928
EMA5 cross and lock Above 2928 → will open the following bullish Target 2949
EMA5 cross and lock Above 2949 → will open the following bullish Target 2972
EMA5 cross and lock Above 2972 → will open the following bullish Target 2994
EMA5 cross and lock Above 2994 → will open the following bullish Target 3011
Bearish Targets:
EMA5 cross and lock Below 2878 → will open the following bearish Target 2852
EMA5 cross and lock Below 2852 → will open the following bearish Target 2837
EMA5 cross and lock Below 2837 → will open the following bearish Target 2817
EMA5 cross and lock Below 2817 → will open the following bearish Target 2802 (Retracement Range)
EMA5 cross and lock Below 2802 → will open the following bearish Target 2747 (Swing Range)
Trading Plan:
* Stay bullish and buy pullbacks from key levels.
* Avoid chasing tops—focus on buying dips.
* Use smaller timeframes for entries at Goldturn levels.
* Aim for 30–40 pips per trade for optimal risk management.
* Each level can yield 20–40+ pips reversals.
Trade with confidence and discipline. Stay tuned for our daily updates! Please support us with likes, comments, and follows to keep these insights coming.
📉💰 The Quantum Trading Mastery
GOLD 4H ROUTE MAP TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKGOLD 4H Chart Analysis – 24th Feb 2025
Hi Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
Review of Previous Chart:
Entry Level: 2814 ✅
Take Profit 1: 2850.15 ✅ (Hit)
Take Profit 2: 2876.95 ✅ (Hit)
Take Profit 3: 2903.76 ✅ (Hit)
Take Profit 4: 2925.85 ✅ (Hit)
Take Profit 5: 2952.70 ✅ (Hit)
To Achieve TP6, TP7 and TP8, please consider the following scenario below. Read the caption carefully.
Key Level: 2876
Resistance Level: 2952, 2984, 3017, 3052
Support Levels (Goldturn Levels) : 2925, 2900, 2876, 2852, 2828, 2803, 2776, 2747
GOLDTURN KEY LEVELS ARE ACTIVATED at zone 2925 and below.
EMA5 Behavior (Red Line):
Current EMA5: 2935.28
FOCUS ON EMA5 REACTION DEEPLY
* EMA5 is fluctuating between two key weighted levels, with a gap above 2952 and below the 2925 GoldTurn level.
* A crossover of EMA5—either above or below the weighted level—will signal the next significant move for GOLD.
Bullish Targets
EMA5 cross and lock Above 2952, will open the following bullish target 2984
EMA5 cross and lock Above 2984, will open the following bullish target 3017
EMA5 cross and lock Above 3017, will open the following bullish target 3052
Bearish Targets
EMA5 cross and lock Below 2925: will open the following bearish target 2900
EMA5 cross and lock Below 2900: will open the following bearish target 2876
EMA5 cross and lock Below 2876: will open the following bearish target 2852
EMA5 cross and lock Below 2852: will open the following bearish target 2828
EMA5 cross and lock Below 2828: will open the following bearish target 2803 (Retracement Range)
EMA5 cross and lock Below 2803: will open the following bearish target 2747 (Swing Range)
Trading Plan:
* Stay bullish and buy pullbacks from key levels.
* Avoid chasing tops—focus on buying dips.
* Use smaller timeframes for entries at Goldturn levels.
* Aim for 30–40 pips per trade for optimal risk management.
* Each level can yield 20–40+ pips reversals.
ong-Term Outlook:
Maintain a bullish bias while using pullbacks as buying opportunities.
Buying near key support levels ensures better entry points and mitigates risks, avoiding the pitfalls of chasing tops.
Trade with confidence and discipline. Stay tuned for our daily updates! Please support us with likes, comments, and follows to keep these insights coming.
📉💰 The Quantum Trading Mastery
3.28 Gold Breaks Point, Falls Back to Support Long PositionsOn Thursday (March 27), affected by the news that US President Donald Trump announced new tariffs on imported cars, global trade tensions further escalated, market risk aversion heated up, and gold prices once again approached the record high set last week.
Fundamentals: Gold fell from its pre-US high. The decline supports the long position view.
The new US tariffs have exacerbated market tensions, and PCE data will become the next focus of attention.
The current market is active, and both long and short sides are engaged in fierce competition around key resistance levels. The dual drive of technical and fundamental factors has significantly amplified the volatility of gold prices.
The cumulative net inflow of gold ETFs in the first quarter of 2025 has reached 155 tons, and the total holdings have climbed to the peak since September 2023. In the previous trading day alone, the scale of a single-day increase of 23 tons set a record since 2022. The unexpected growth of central bank demand for gold purchases and the continued inflow of ETF funds together constitute the "two-wheel drive" for gold's medium- and long-term bullishness. If this trend continues, it will provide sufficient liquidity support for gold prices to break through historical highs.
The current price is close to the historical high, and some long profit-taking pressure is gradually accumulating. If the PCE data released on Friday is stronger than expected, or the Federal Reserve releases hawkish signals, it may become the fuse to trigger a pullback
Trend: shock upward trend
Support: around 3033.00
Resistance: around 3055.50
3.26 Technical analysis suggestions for short-term gold operatioIn the early European trading on Wednesday (March 26), spot gold continued to rebound in the short term, and the current gold price is around $3027/ounce.
Gold technical analysis, how to operate in the evening? ——
The daily chart of gold shows that gold prices are rising above all bullish moving averages, while setting higher highs and higher lows. The 20-day simple moving average (SMA) has gained upward momentum and currently provides dynamic support around 2954.70. At the same time, after correcting the extreme overbought conditions, technical indicators resumed their upward trend within the positive level. From the 4-hour line, gold prices are fighting against the mildly bearish 20-period SMA, but are still well above the bullish 100-period SMA and 200-period SMA. At the same time, technical indicators are retreating from the midline and slightly lower within the neutral level. Overall, it is recommended to treat gold operations with a wide range of fluctuations today!
Gold operation strategy at night:
Short order strategy: short near 3031 above, stop loss 3040, target near 3010;
We will update regularly every day and introduce to you how we manage active ideas and settings. Thank you for your likes, comments and attention, we are very grateful
3.25 Gold short-term operation technical analysis suggestionsOn Tuesday (March 25), the spot gold market showed a trend of consolidation under the interweaving of multiple factors.
Fundamental analysis: the game between policy expectations and risk sentiment
1. The expectation of the Fed's interest rate cut dominates the market sentiment
2. The suppression of risk aversion demand by risk events
3. Short-term disturbance of macroeconomic data
Technical analysis:
The current price fluctuates narrowly in the range of 3000-3033 US dollars. As the upper edge of the transaction concentration area in the past three months, 3000 US dollars has become a battleground for long and short positions. If the daily closing price effectively falls below this position, technical selling may push the price down to the support area of 2982-2978 US dollars, or even test 2956 US dollars (the support of the previous breakthrough position conversion). On the contrary, if the price stands at 3033 US dollars (overnight high), it is expected to challenge the historical high of 3057-3058 US dollars set last week, and a new round of upward space will be opened after the breakthrough.
Resistance: 25 30 40
Support: 18 08 3000
3.25 Gold short-term shock callbackGold's current strong trend in the large-scale cycle trend has changed. Pay attention to the support band around 2950 during the week. In the 4-hour level trend, the price rebounded and touched the previous pressure band and then began to fall back. The short-term moving average continued to diverge downward and continued to be weak in the short-term trend. The price began to slowly fall below the short-term terraced support band, tending to have a downward space in the short-term trend. The short-term trend began to show signs of stabilizing slightly after a wave of rapid declines. Pay attention to whether there will be a second downward trend after a small rebound and repair in the late trading. If it falls below 3000, look at 2990 85 below. Otherwise, look up 20-30
Gold----Sell near 3026, target 3000-2982Gold market analysis:
Last week, gold kept rising, but suddenly turned around and began to give back on Friday. The position of 3020 was broken, and it was not so strong in the short term. Is the big top of gold coming? This is the focus of traders at present. Judging from the previous pattern and moving average indicators, its adjustment has not changed the weekly trend. The weekly line closed positive last week, but there was a relatively long upper shadow line. The big top requires time and space to exchange. At present, I think there are signs of building a top, but it has not reached the top. The long-term trend is still buying, and the short-term has begun to repair. This week, we should not keep bullish and should adjust. Today, we will first look at the range decline. The rhythm of the shock must be grasped to grab big profits.
The above analysis chart of gold shows that a downward trend channel has been formed in 1H. The suppression position of the downward trend channel is around 3032. If this position is not broken, it is basically weak. The suppression position of the hourly pattern is 3026, which is also the high point of today's Asian session. Today's idea is to sell based on these two positions if it rebounds first, and pay attention to the long position around 3000.
Support is 3000 and super support is 2982, suppression is 3026 and 3032, and the strength dividing line of the market is 3017.
Operation suggestion:
Gold----Sell near 3026, target 3000-2982
Analysis of gold price trend next week!Market news:
Mainly due to the strengthening of the US dollar and investors' continued profit-taking, the US Treasury yields are rising, which put pressure on the international gold price and suffered a fierce sell-off. The London gold price once fell to around the $3,000/ounce mark during the session, and then recovered some of its losses. The geopolitical and economic uncertainties are lingering, and coupled with the expectation of the Fed's interest rate cut, the international gold price has risen for the third consecutive week. In addition, the geopolitical situation in the Middle East, which has pushed the London gold price to continue to refresh the historical high this week, may continue to help the gold price rise. Traditionally, gold is regarded as a safe investment in times of geopolitical and economic uncertainty, and usually performs strongly in a low-interest environment. This year, gold has set 16 new historical highs! Overall, the gold price has been mainly driven by geopolitical tensions in the near future. If the situation in the Middle East escalates over the weekend, and all parties are responding to Trump's tariffs in early April, and there is a possibility of renegotiation of the mining agreement in Ukraine, market uncertainty will increase, and the gold price is expected to aim at around 3,100, refreshing the historical high again.
Technical Review:
Gold fell below the support of 3025, the low point on Friday, and came to 2999. In the past few days, I have been emphasizing that gold will have a big retracement. I also arranged short orders in advance and easily took dozens of points of profit. The current decline is far from enough. Gold will continue to fall and return to normal! The 1-hour moving average of gold has begun to turn downward, and gold may open up room for decline. The 1-hour gold has now formed a head and shoulders top structure. Gold rebounds or continues to be short. The market is weak. The gold price tested the 3000 mark for the first time in the evening and has not yet broken it, but the market direction has turned short. If it does not break the first time, I believe there will be a second test in the future. Then the short-biased situation has been finalized. Long positions must be put aside first, because it is now a short market!
Next week's analysis:
Gold fell on Friday, falling below 3000 at the lowest, but then it began to rebound strongly. The gold market has begun to fluctuate, so what should gold do next week? Will gold continue to rush up or start to change at a high level? In fact, overall, if we say that gold has peaked now, it is too early, because there are still many uncertain factors to stimulate the increase of risk aversion, so it is possible to support gold to rise again. However, the impact of the news is only one aspect of our reference. After all, we cannot know a lot of information in time. We can only pay attention to the existence of this risk factor, so there is no need to be too speculative. We still start from the technical level. The 1-hour moving average of gold begins to turn downward. As long as gold does not rise strongly next week, the 1-hour moving average of gold may continue to move downward. Finally, if a downward dead cross short arrangement is formed, the downward space of gold can be truly opened. The resistance of the gold moving average has now moved down to around 3036. The high point on Friday was at the high point of the second rebound at 3037. So gold still has certain resistance in this range. Gold can be sold under the pressure of this range resistance next week, and it can be sold first when it rebounds around 3035.
Operation ideas:
Buy short-term gold at 3000-3003, stop loss at 2992, target at 3020-3030;
Sell short-term gold at 3035-3038, stop loss at 3047, target at 2990-3000;
Key points:
First support level: 3000, second support level: 2990, third support level: 2981
First resistance level: 3035, second resistance level: 3047, third resistance level: 3055