Interpretation of gold short-term operation ideasThe gold market opened at 3423.4 in the morning yesterday, and then the market fell back to 3411.6, and then the market rose strongly. The daily line reached a high of 3500.4, and then the market fell under technical pressure. Subsequently, the market took profits and went down. The daily line gave a low of 3365.8 and then the market consolidated. The daily line finally closed at 3381.2, and the market closed in an inverted hammer pattern with a very long upper shadow. After the end of this pattern, the market continued to be short after opening low today. In terms of points, yesterday's short positions at 3496, 3468 and 3442 were reduced, and the stop loss was followed up at 3445. If it opens low today and falls directly, give 3292 long stop loss 3285. The target is 3336, 3350, 3365 and 3374. Exit the market and continue the short stop loss at 3381. The target is not released and the loss is held in stages.
Goldlongterm
Tariffs ease, risk aversion drops, gold continues to be bearishAfter hitting the integer mark of 3500 yesterday, gold fell back by nearly 200 US dollars. Today's early trading opened lower and directly swallowed up the overall rise of yesterday. Will gold continue to correct or turn around?
From the current decline, the range from the high point of 3500 to the current low point of 3315 is close to 200 US dollars. Considering this round of decline, it has exceeded the range of short-term correction. Therefore, traders should guard against the probability that the gold price will enter a turning point in the short term!
After the current decline is too large, the main area is to go sideways to correct the main force. The overall rebound will not be too large.
Main area: around 3380-3400
Defensive support below: double bottom around 3280
Operation suggestion: Do not carry orders, heavy positions, lock positions in sudden change cycles, and bring stop losses! "Specific operations are subject to actual trading"
Gold price plunged nearly $200. The signal of cooling down the tIn the early Asian session on Wednesday, spot gold opened nearly $40 lower and hit $3,313.51 per ounce, down nearly $200 from the historical high of 3,500 hit on Tuesday. Because U.S. Treasury Secretary Benson hinted that international trade tensions would ease, which stimulated optimism in the stock market and boosted the dollar to a near one-week high; spot gold closed down 1.2% on Tuesday, closing at $3,380.95 per ounce.
Bob Haberkorn, senior market strategist at RJO Futures, said: The latest remarks suggest that the trade war with the Asian giant may ease, but this is the time to start selling.
After Benson said that the tariff deadlock was unsustainable, the U.S. stock market rose by more than 2%, suppressing the safe-haven buying demand for gold, and the rebound of the U.S. dollar also suppressed the price of gold.
Quaid believes that its roller coaster trend is still continuing. I hope traders will pay attention to the speeches of several Fed officials later this week, hoping to find clues to future monetary policy at a time when people are worried about the independence of the Fed. And I will analyze it for you as soon as possible and give you reasonable suggestions.
Current strategy:
Relative to the market situation: as long as the price can continue to rise, it means that the current situation is just a volatile market, not a peak retracement, which is also a feature of the volatile trend; at the same time, the current market is not extremely strong after a sharp drop, and it is still in a volatile rise; therefore, do not go long, but go long after the retracement support.
Gold hits 3500 retracement adjustmentGold Technical Forecast:
From a technical perspective, gold is confidently moving along a bullish trajectory. There is no doubt about that. But the signals now sent by the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and other momentum indicators are worth paying attention to. The daily RSI reading is close to 80, which has entered the severely overbought area. However, this does not necessarily indicate impending doom. It just confirms what we already know: buyers are in control.
So, is the price close to a top? Possibly. But I would not sound the alarm bells just yet. These high indicators are more of a warning than a battle cry. It is more of a "stay alert" than a "get out of here".
Spot Gold Technical Levels to Watch
Gold's climb to a record $3,500 was impressive, but as expected, it has begun to retreat slightly from this psychological high, most likely due to some conventional profit-taking. There is no natural resistance above this level; all we have are round numbers. However, on the way down, the situation is different.
Technical Analysis
Initial support includes Monday's high of $3,430 and the round number mark of $3,400 on the daily chart. Looking further down, $3,357 is last week's breakout level, followed by reliable support at $3,300. If a more meaningful pullback occurs, $3,245 and $3,167 will be worth watching, both of which were previous resistance ranges and are now likely to become support levels.
Gold price breaks through a new high of 3500 and enters the key Gold price hit a new record high of 3500. After reaching this point, it showed obvious pressure and went down to find the 3461 area. This is the largest correction since the rise of 3284 last Thursday.
Today's early trading price also continued to rise and break through the new high, but there was an episode, that is, it first broke through the high of 3444, then fell sharply to 3412, and finally confirmed the strong rise at 3418 to break through the new high, and continued to break through the sprint
Until noon, it sprinted to 3495 and suppressed the decline to find 3473 support, and then pulled up again to sprint to break the high of 3500. This time the decline was relatively strong, falling to the 3461 area
So far, the rising process can be slightly slowed down and enter a wave of adjustment
Accumulate momentum to provide power for the next round of start-up
During the adjustment process, pay attention to the golden section line
This wave from Since the rise from 2970, the largest adjustment squat is 0.382, and now this position is 3417, which is close to the Asian market acceleration starting point 3418. The two together become the stabilizer of the bullish trend: 0.382 position 3417 area
This is the first focus of today. During the adjustment process, pay attention to the position of the golden section line
0.382 position is 3417, close to the acceleration starting point
0.500 position is 3391, close to the 3384 area along the channel line
0.618 position is 3366, close to the four-hour lifeline
The current price space is large and the speed is fast. Articles and analysis are only auxiliary, and are more temporary reminders. Plans cannot keep up with changes. The three key points mentioned above can be kept in mind. If there are price variables during the process, they can also be adjusted accordingly.
Gold 3500 mark is about to openThe gold market opened at 3331.4 yesterday morning, then fell back slightly to 3328.6, then strongly fluctuated and pulled up, breaking through the previous week's high of 3358 and the pressure of 3387 and the 3400 integer mark, and then reached the highest position of 3430.8, and then the market consolidated. The weekly line finally closed at 3424.8, and the market closed with a basically saturated big positive line. After this pattern ended, today's market still has bullish demand driven by risk aversion and bullish sentiment, with the target at 3465, and the break at 3480 and 3500
Gold Weekly Outlook: Strong Upward Trend, Continue to Go LongThere is no analysis to be made on gold at present, basically all longs are made, this bull market has to be said to be too crazy.
Since gold started to rise from the low point of 2956, except for two normal adjustments in the middle, the price of gold has maintained a strong upward trend relying on the MA5 moving average for most of the time. This trend characteristic shows that in a shorter period, the MA5 moving average has become an important support line for the rise in gold prices. As long as the price runs above the MA5 moving average, the bulls will dominate.
At present, 3500 is about to arrive in a flash, it is just a matter of time. The current market depends on everyone's courage. If you go in with a long order, you will definitely make a profit, and it is very easy, with basically no callback.
And any callback is an opportunity. In terms of operation, you can continue to go long relying on the short-term moving average MA5.
Just like the analysis in Quaid's previous article, you can boldly believe that it can reach the new height you think. Believe in Quaid, believe in yourself, brother, you can do it.
I am Quaid. After seeing my analysis strategy, no matter your past gains and losses, I hope that you can achieve an investment breakthrough with my help and turn every tide in the gold market into our wealth wave.
Gold’s Epic Surge: Why I’m Hyped for a Massive Breakout Here’s what I’m seeing with gold at $3,426, and why I’m glued to these levels just for you:
I’m betting if we smash past $3,426, gold’s sprinting to $3,454.
But if we hit a wall at $3,461, I’m bracing for a dip to $3,359. I’ve seen sellers pile in at highs before, and if they do, it’s just a quick nap before gold wakes up.
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trader Smarter Live Better
Interpretation of gold US market operation ideas! ! !Gold continued to be bullish in the morning, and the 3400 mark has been broken. How will it evolve next?
The US dollar index directly fell on Monday morning, and the US Y index fell by more than 8% this year, causing gold to rise in a variable. The rise in gold caused by this situation will be greatly adjusted due to the recovery of the US dollar! The key to winning or losing tonight lies between 20 and 22 o'clock.
If the US stock market opens, it will fall below the 98 mark due to the southward movement of the US dollar, creating a new low since April 2022! The market's trust in the US dollar as a global reserve currency has declined! The possibility of turning to other safe-haven assets has increased, thereby increasing the variable of gold rising.
If based on this logic, tonight's 20-23 o'clock cycle is the main winning or losing day of this week!
Hypothetical principle: If it is postponed to the north during the day, everyone should pay attention to the selling pressure near 3415. As the price changes, the selling pressure is more likely to occur! And the defense line will rise in each round of corrective retracement!
Short-term defense line: 3355-3370-3383-3392
Pressure level above: 3430-3458
Risk notice: 1. When everyone is paying attention, long positions may fall at any time, and the range will not be less than 50-80 points!
2. The decline of the US dollar index will lead to a collapse in futures, which will trigger a chain reaction. Traders will face the possibility of gold settlement to fill the gap in other markets!
Gold is hard to break through 4000, short sellers are coming
Gold prices rose strongly in the Asian session on Monday, approaching the historical high of $3,400 per ounce, as concerns about the global trade situation intensified and the dollar fell to a two-year low due to concerns about economic recession. Despite the overbought signal on the technical side, the market's expectations of the Fed's rate cut and trade concerns continue to attract safe-haven funds to flow into the gold market.
Technical side:
Gold opened higher on Monday and has now risen from 3330 to 3394, with a range of $65. At present, gold indicators are expected to be severely overbought and a large correction may be needed at any time. In addition, the main force continues to push up gold to prevent the main force from fleeing. Gold is mainly shorted at highs below the 3400 mark!
SELL: 3394 Stop loss 3405
TP1: 3375
TP2: 3360
Interpretation of technical analysis of gold market opening operDue to the influence of Easter, the market was closed on Friday this week. After hitting a high of 3357, gold also ushered in a short-term adjustment! In the previous interpretation, we also emphasized to everyone that after hitting a new high, we should guard against the pullback caused by profit-taking. Especially at the critical time point when the market is about to close, but this does not mean the end of the bullish trend. After the sharp rise in gold, although there is selling pressure, gold still rose by 2.5% this week and closed above 3300.
So how should we trade gold next week?
The biggest driving factor for the rise in gold prices this time is Trump’s repeated tariff policy, coupled with the recent tense geopolitical situation, and the pace of global central banks buying gold. In the medium and long term, it is still a driving force for gold to rise.
Short-term operation: Pay attention to the first support level, which is 3310, which has been touched many times.
Short-term key support below: 3285-90
Short-term focus on high points above: 3340-45
If the breakthrough accelerates to the historical high point, everyone should be cautious in chasing more!
Analysis of gold price trend next week!Market news:
April 14 to April 18, 2025, due to the Good Friday holiday, the market was closed on April 18. There were only four trading days this week, and the spot gold market performed strongly, with a weekly increase of 2.76%. Prior to this, some investors chose to take profits after the international gold price hit a new high of more than $3,357 on Thursday. Although the current technical side shows that gold is overbought, the overall market is still in a steady upward trend.The rise in London gold prices was driven by the safe-haven demand caused by the weakening of the US dollar, trade policy uncertainty, and hawkish remarks by Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on the risk of stagflation. The economic data released this week showed differentiation, with a solid labor market but weak housing data, coupled with geopolitical risks such as the European Central Bank's interest rate cut and the Russia-Ukraine conflict, further enhancing the attractiveness of gold.Looking ahead, the bullish trend of gold remains solid, and investors should pay close attention to the Fed's subsequent policy statements and trade policy dynamics, which will have an important impact on market sentiment and gold price trends in the coming weeks.
Technical Review:
Gold daily level still maintains a strong unilateral bullish trend in the short term. There is no highest, only higher. Before the top pressure K appears, it will continue to step back and be bullish. The support position confirmed by the step back is about 3300-3290. As long as this position is stabilized, there is hope for further efforts in the future to set a new historical high.The 4-hour level is now in high-level fluctuations. The key MA10-day support moves up to 3313. As long as this moving average can be held, this cycle will still maintain a strong squeeze and pull up. At the hourly level, there will be a certain decline and correction in the short-term Asian session on Thursday, and it will be trapped in a shock consolidation. The next step is to wait patiently for the consolidation to end. The short-term pressure point middle track is also the 10-day moving average 3332-33 line. There may be multiple attempts here, but before breaking through, don't chase the rise! Pay attention to the lower track support 3313 below, and the upper track of the previous channel step back to confirm the range of 3300-3290, because the upward channel is uncertain whether there will be a false piercing. Therefore, it is recommended to wait for 3313, 3300-3290 to stabilize and rise next week, or break through 3332-33 and then step back to confirm stability, which is also bullish. After a sharp rise, it is just a small adjustment at a high level or sideways, which is to prepare for the next round of rise.
Next week's analysis:
Gold fell all the way in the US market on Friday, falling to 3283 at the lowest, but gold rose again in the second half of the night for risk aversion. Will gold return to a large range of fluctuations or end the adjustment? Then the trend of gold after the opening next week is very critical. If gold continues to rise strongly at the opening next week, then gold may be adjusted to the end, and gold bulls may continue to exert their strength. This will be seen after the opening of Monday.The gold 1-hour moving average is now continuing to diverge upward with a golden cross. If the gold 1-hour moving average turns in the short term, then the gold 1-hour will begin to adjust. So if the short-term opening is weak next week, then the gold 1-hour moving average may begin to turn, and if it is strong, it will continue to extend upward. Gold is suppressed by the downward trend line in the 1-hour short term. The short-term pressure of gold moves down to the 3332 line. If gold is still under pressure at 3332 after opening next week, then gold may continue to fluctuate downward in the short term, thereby driving the moving average to turn around. If it directly breaks through 3332 after opening, then gold will start to fluctuate in a large range.
Operation ideas:
Buy short-term gold at 3300-3303, stop loss at 3292, target at 3340-3350;
Sell short-term gold at 3350-3353, stop loss at 3362, target at 3310-3300;
Key points:
First support level: 3313, second support level: 3300, third support level: 3285
First resistance level: 3332, second resistance level: 3357, third resistance level: 3373
Trading suspension period. What is the future trend of gold?The dollar continues to fall. Fundamentals depend on Sino-US relations and economic data, especially after Powell's speech. The weekly close is close to the support level, and the decline may continue.
Gold recovers after shock. Fundamentals show that prices may continue to rise. The market will be closed for the next three days and traders will take a break. During the holiday, the weekend is full of too many unknowns. But from a technical point of view, the focus is on the medium-term level. Quaid believes that its upward trend is still strong.
If there is no supernatural event during the holiday, gold may rebound from the nearest resistance level in the Asian session and test the trend support level before continuing to rise. If there is any major change in the mood of the country/politicians, I will update my thoughts in time. Give traders time to adjust their positions.
Gold has a top signal, be wary of a retracement today!
On Wednesday, as the market waited to see whether Trump would reach a new trade agreement with trading partners, the US dollar index fell again and once fell to around $99.
Due to the weakening of the US dollar and the escalation of trade tensions, spot gold continued its record-breaking rise, refreshing its historical high to above $3,340, and soared by more than $100 during the day.
Today, Thursday, gold continued its bullish trend last night in the early trading, and once hit a historical high of 3,357 in the early trading.
But now we need to be extra careful, because tomorrow is Friday, Good Friday, and the market will be closed all day, which means that today, Thursday, is the last trading day of the week. Currently, long positions in gold are likely to be taken out of the market.
Once the long positions are taken out of the market, it is easy to have a large retracement, so we must be careful about this and must not be overly bullish.
Today's opening position is around 3342. In the morning, it retreated to around 3320, and then stretched up again.
However, it can be found that since it fell below the opening position of 3342, gold has not stood above 3342 again.
This is a strong signal of short-term retracement, especially when long positions are about to be profited.
Moreover, the hourly chart has a little ABC wave-shaped retracement. Once it comes down, I think it is not a problem to touch 3300-10, and it is not ruled out that it will be lower.
Currently, the ma10 moving average position below gold is also at 3300-3310.
Therefore, it is not recommended that you chase long orders today, and you should be prepared for the possibility of falling to 3300-3310 in advance.
In terms of operation, I suggest that you can enter the market and short near 3340, and the target can be 3300-3310.
XAU/USD 16 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed according to yesterday's analysis, however, as I mentioned in my analysis yesterday whereby I stated that price has printed a bearish CHoCH and I would continue to monitor price.
Price has printed very minimal pullback and continued its bullish trajectory, therefore, I will again apply discretion and not classify a bullish iBOS. I have however marked this in red as a guide.
Intraday Expectation:
Await for price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback initiation phase. Bearish CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price did not print according to yesterday's analysis, failing to target weak internal low by printing a bullish iBOS. This is most probably due to Trump's tariff policy and ongoing uncertainty.
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range. However, I will continue to monitor price.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,317.920
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Unpopular opinion, but I think it's time to short GoldThis melt-up is approaching resistance, and the symmetry on the chart is compelling. It could set up a great short opportunity as gold consolidates ahead of its next major move higher, likely in 2027.
However, if it breaks out of the current channel, we could be entering a true melt-up phase — and there's potential for significantly higher prices.
XAU/USD 15 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH as mentioned on various occasions in previous analysis. This is the first indication, but not confirmation, of bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor price.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of internal 50% EQ or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,235.845.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price printed as per my alternative scenario in yesterday's analysis where I mentioned that due to the narrowing of the internal range, it could be a potential early signal that all HTF's are beginning their bearish pullback phase initiation. I would therefore not be surprised if price printed a bearish iBOS.
Price has printed a bearish iBOS.
Price has subsequently printed a bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation and has traded up to premium of internal 50% EQ.
Intraday Expectation:
Price has traded up to premium of internal 50% EQ and should technically target weak internal low priced at 3,193.630. However, price could also potentially trade up to mitigate M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Is the gold price rally over?Market news:
In the early Asian session on Tuesday (April 15), spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading around $3,220/ounce. London gold prices rose and fell on Monday, hitting a record high of 3,245 earlier in the session before falling back, closing down 0.85% at $3,193/ounce, as risk sentiment improved after the White House exempted most countries from high tariffs on electronic products. In addition, US President Trump hinted that imported cars and parts may be exempted from temporary tariffs.Continued uncertainty in trade and tariffs, a weak dollar and falling Treasury yields usually provide support for international gold. Goldman Sachs remains the most bullish major bank on gold, raising its gold price forecast for the end of the year to $3,700/ounce, citing unexpected central bank demand and the increased risk of recession, which affects the inflow of gold ETFs. Gold investment is traditionally seen as a safe haven in times of geopolitical and economic uncertainty. This trading day mainly focuses on the US import price index in March and the New York Fed manufacturing index in April. Bank of America, Citigroup, United Airlines and other companies will release performance reports; investors also need to pay attention. Fed Chairman Powell's speech and retail data (terrorist data) came one after another on Wednesday, and investors need to pay attention to changes in market expectations.
Technical Review:
Gold closed with a negative K adjustment on the daily line. The gold price rose and fell in the European and American markets, but did not effectively lose the 3200 and 3190 levels. The Bollinger Bands on the short-term hourly chart closed, and the four-hour chart moving average crossed at a high level. The technical side needs to pay attention to the possibility of the existence of a double top on the hourly chart of the previous high line of 3245. It is expected that the trend on Tuesday will pay attention to high-level fluctuations during the day. Before the trend is established and turned, the main idea is to pull back to a low level, and the rebound to a new high may be close to the previous high and high. After falling back to around 3210 yesterday, it stabilized and pulled up again, forming a phased double top suppression at the 3245 line, and then adjusted in the European session. In the 4-hour level trend, the short-term moving average began to gradually diverge downward, and the price began to slowly fall below the previous terraced support belt and began to gradually weaken in the short-term trend!It can be seen that the 4-hour moving average ma10 has been broken, so the previous support at 3230 has now become a suppression point. And it can be found that the position of the am20 moving average below is currently at 3180-70. Therefore, in the next 4 hours, if it cannot stand above 3230, it will face a continued retracement and decline. And there is a high probability that it will retrace deeply to 3170-60. The daily line closed negative for the first time after three positive lines. The trend has not changed. However, in the short term, it at least shows that the suppression of 3245 is effective, but it is still oscillating above the upper line. Therefore, for the daily chart, time should be exchanged for space. Today, the daily chart is suppressed at the upper Bollinger line 3245, and the four-hour chart is weak and short. However, the price is still running in the upward channel, so it belongs to the high-level correction adjustment type. In the short term, it is suppressed at the upper line 3230, and the support is 3184!
Today's analysis:
From the perspective of the short-term trend hourly level, the gold price had a short correction after last week's strong rise, but it was quickly recovered and then rose again, so there is no obvious reference support level. Today's overall trend is volatile. Without the influence of data and news, gold does not have the basis for a big rise or fall. There are signs of a pullback but it is also trading around 3200. Since it is a trend of high-level consolidation, we can continue to implement the idea of selling on rebound. So far, the price has maintained a relatively high level of 3193-3230 for repeated consolidation. Pay attention to the effective gains and losses of the MA10-day moving average. If it closes with a long negative line, then it will pull back downward in the short term and gradually move closer to the middle track. If it closes with a long lower shadow K, then it will not go down for the time being and will continue to consolidate at a high level.
Operation ideas:
Buy short-term gold at 3200-3203, stop loss at 3192, target at 3230-3240;
Sell short-term gold at 3245-3248, stop loss at 3257, target at 3200-3210;
Key points:
First support level: 3210, second support level: 3200, third support level: 3192
First resistance level: 3232, second resistance level: 3246, third resistance level: 3268
Analysis of the latest gold price trends!Market news:
After the Asian trading market opened on Monday, the spot gold price opened sharply lower. After opening slightly lower, the spot gold fluctuated narrowly. Then the London gold price fell further, reaching a low of $3,208/ounce, a plunge of nearly $30 from the closing price last Friday, but it was still supported by bargain hunting. Bloomberg reported that the international gold price fell from its historical high due to the latest US trade news released by US President Trump. As Trump's tariff actions triggered investors' pursuit of safe-haven assets such as gold, the gold price soared by more than 6% last week, breaking through $3,245/ounce for the first time. It was the largest weekly increase since March 2020. This round of gains was jointly driven by the deepening of the trade war, the plunge of the US dollar, the rising expectations of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts and geopolitical risks, highlighting the attractiveness of gold as the ultimate safe-haven asset. At the same time, weak US economic data, soaring inflation expectations and huge shocks in the bond market further amplified market panic and accelerated the influx of funds into the gold market. Investors need to continue to pay attention to changes in the International Trade Bureau and market risk aversion this week. Economic data mainly focus on the US March retail sales monthly rate (commonly known as the "terror data") and the European Central Bank's interest rate decision. Elsewhere this week, traders will focus on how some of the world's largest central banks respond to the rapidly changing global economic outlook. The Monetary Authority of Singapore and the European Central Bank are expected to ease monetary policy. Lower interest rates are generally beneficial to interest-free gold.
Technical Review:
Gold has completed a gain of more than $275 in three trading days. The daily structure continues to maintain continuous positive and strong positive closings, the moving average opens upward, and the price runs along the upper track of the Bollinger Band. The short-term four-hour chart price continues to rise along the MA10-day moving average, the moving average opens upward, the Bollinger Band opens upward, and the RSI indicator runs close to the 80-value high. The technical side of gold continues to maintain bullish dominance, and the price continues to run in an upward trend. The trading at the beginning of the week continues to be mainly based on the callback and low-multiple participation layout, with high-altitude assistance.
Judging from the current situation, if the tariff policy is further tightened, the risk aversion sentiment in the global market will inevitably be ignited again, thereby driving the gold price to continue its strong rise. On the contrary, once there are signs of easing of tariff policies, the gold market is very likely to reverse in an instant, falling rapidly or even falling into a situation of plummeting. Therefore, the key guidance of gold trends this week is undoubtedly focused on every subtle change in tariff news. In this market, the influence of a tariff news is so great that all previous technical-based analysis and forecasts are instantly invalid. Looking back at the recent market, we can clearly see that in just three days, the price of gold first fell sharply by $211, and then rebounded rapidly, soaring by $275 in three days. Such drastic and frequent price fluctuations are almost entirely driven by various news, which once again highlights the decisive role of news in the current gold market.
Today's analysis: From a purely technical analysis perspective, the strong performance of the weekly big positive line clearly shows that the current buying power controls the overall market structure. It is worth noting that in the past month or so, the Asian market has formed a unique opening must rise rule. In-depth details of the market, we can find that the low point of gold in the US market, 3220-3215 area, has become a key watershed between buying and selling strength. When the price runs above this area, the market shows obvious strong characteristics; once the price falls below this area, the market is very likely to turn to a weak pattern.Similarly, the Asian session retracement low point of 3185-3190 area also constitutes an important dividing line between buying and selling. If the price remains above this area, buying will dominate; if it unfortunately falls below, the market is likely to quickly switch to selling mode, and even trigger a rapid plunge. Looking at the upper space, there is still great uncertainty. Investors can focus on the new high breakthrough in the 3245-3250 area, followed by the 3265-3260 area and the psychologically important $3,300 mark.As the tariff war continues to deepen, the market generally expects that in the next 1-2 weeks, the gold market will usher in more crazy fluctuations, and its rise and fall is expected to break historical records. Investors need to be vigilant at all times and respond to market changes with caution.
Operation ideas:
Buy short-term gold at 3206-3209, stop loss at 3198, target at 3240-3250;
Sell short-term gold at 3260-3263, stop loss at 3272, target at 3220-3210;
Key points:
First support level: 3210, second support level: 3202, third support level: 3192
First resistance level: 3236, second resistance level: 3246, third resistance level: 3263
4.11 Interpretation of gold technical ideas4.11 Interpretation of gold operation ideas: Gold prices rose sharply to a new high. How to trade next?
The daily line closed with a big positive line, and the closing price was far away from the previous high. This is a truly effective breakthrough!
There are two types of breakthroughs: 1. The amplitude and strength of the breakthrough! 2. The closing price after the breakthrough!
At present, the intraday pattern of gold prices is unbalanced. The rise and fall depends entirely on the international situation. The US dollar has fallen below 100 points, which has led to panic selling by investors and a sharp rise in gold prices. Therefore, if the situation eases, we must be wary of a rapid decline in gold prices. After a wave of accelerated rises in the morning, today's main focus is on the trend of the afternoon and US markets.
At present, the price of gold is hovering in the 3210 range. If it falls back, it is expected to rebound in the 3200-3190 range. If the European market breaks through the high for the second time and continues to strengthen during the day, then the US stock market will usher in a bullish opportunity again.
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Gold V-shaped reversal breaks through new highs to usher in a buFundamental analysis:
The erratic tariff plans of the US administration have shaken the entire global market, with market participants scrambling for direction and certainty. This is usually supportive for gold, which has risen 18% so far this year. Gold has also been boosted by expectations of further monetary easing by the Federal Reserve and central bank purchases.
Technical interpretation:
From the 4-hour chart, spot gold has completed a typical V-shaped reversal pattern, rebounding strongly after a deep correction. After hitting a low of $2,956.67, gold prices launched a counterattack, breaking through the suppression of multiple moving averages in one fell swoop, and finally stood firm at the key resistance level of $3,100. It is worth noting that gold prices are currently running above the rising trend line, which indicates that the short-term trend has clearly turned bullish.
The MACD indicator shows a strong bullish signal, with the DIFF line and the DEA line forming a golden cross, and the DIFF value is 13.58 and the DEA value is -1.55, indicating that the upward momentum is accumulating at an accelerated rate. At the same time, the MACD bar chart continues to expand, further confirming the strengthening of bullish power.
Although the daily MACD indicator temporarily shows signs of high divergence, the DIFF value is 35.22 and the DEA value is 40.67, but both are at high levels, indicating that the medium- and long-term momentum is still strong. The daily RSI is 62.58, which is in a moderately strong area and does not show obvious overbought. The daily CCI is 74.30, which also shows that the medium-term upward momentum is still continuing.
Analysis of short-term operation ideas:
After the gold price broke through the key resistance of $3,100, the technical side showed a clear trend of strengthening. If it can stand firm at this level, the next target will point to the historical high of $3,167.60, and a new round of upside will be opened after the breakthrough. In terms of support, $3,060.00 (previous breakthrough position) will provide effective support. If it fails, it may pull back to the lower track of the rising channel near $2,968.00. Recent US inflation data and trade situation developments will become key catalysts for short-term trends.