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12.20 Gold short-term short-selling trend remains unchangedAgainst the backdrop of changes in the Fed's expectations for a rate cut in 2025, and the reduction in the number of rate cuts and the reduction in the magnitude, the gold market plunged sharply on Wednesday night. Although there was a rebound on Thursday, the price once reached 2626. However, it should be noted that this seemingly strong rebound is actually a bullish counterattack after the decline, and it is difficult to reverse the overall downward trend. From the daily trend pattern, the closing line of the high-rise and fall leaves a long upper shadow, which means that the increase cannot be maintained and the strong pattern is difficult to return. This rebound, on the one hand, vented the resistance of the bulls, and on the other hand, it confirmed the pullback of the previous bottom support and completed the top-bottom conversion. Once the key support level is broken, the bears will continue. In addition, after the short-term touches the whole hundred mark, there will be repeated situations. From the technical perspective, whether it is rising or falling in the short-term, after touching the whole hundred mark, there will be short-term repetitions. Therefore, after yesterday's decline and the price fell below 2600, it is normal for the price to rebound. Although the current market has not started to fall, it is very difficult for the price to return to the original support level, and the downward trend has become a high probability event. Today's trading strategy: SELL: 2620 Target 2600 90 80
TVC:GOLDShort
by AIan_Gold
1
12.20 Gold Short-term Operation Analysis StrategyYesterday, the gold market opened at 2645.2 in the morning, and then the market rose slightly. The daily line reached a high of 2652, and then the market was in a range. Before 3 am, the daily line reached a low of 2632.9, and then the market was in a range. Although the Fed cut interest rates by 25 basis points in the early morning, the dot plot showed that the rate cuts next year would be reduced from 4 to 2, and the Fed Chairman later confirmed that the market broke through and fell sharply. The daily line reached a low of 2583.1, and then the market was in a range. The daily line finally closed After the line reached 2585.2, the daily line closed with a saturated large negative line with a slightly longer upper shadow line. After this pattern ended, the rebound trend was destroyed. The market has a need to continue to fall back within a certain period of time. In terms of points, the short position at 2600 this morning was reduced and the stop loss was followed up at 2602. Today's market first rose to give a 2600 short conservative 2612 short stop loss of 2616. The lower targets are 2590 and 2583. If it falls below, it will focus on the 2572 and 2563-2554 support range.
TVC:GOLDShort
by AIan_Gold
2
12.19 Gold interest rate decision determines direction!How to participate in the short-term gold today? From the daily chart of gold, it is a weak bearish pattern. The upper 2662 is the resonance pressure of the daily and hourly lines. This position has been prompted in recent days. The hourly chart shows that 2651 is the hourly annual line level pressure. This position also suppressed the retracement in the early trading. The hourly BOLL is slowly closing. The data is approaching. The 1-hour and 30-minute charts are also in a volatile pattern. So today's morning trading will not see a big market outbreak. Pay attention to the 2640/38 area below to see a volatile rebound of 2651-2662. When the price reaches 2662, you can first participate in the retracement. Of course, these are all before the data is released. After the data is released, you can still treat it as a shock between 2706-2600.
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
1
12.18 Gold tests low and waits for interest rate cutYesterday, the gold market opened at 2652.6 in the morning. After that, the market rose to 2658.9. After that, the market continued to fall under pressure. The daily line reached 2632.7 at the lowest point. After that, the market was slightly pulled up by the support of the 50 mark of the Fibonacci in this round of upward movement. The daily line finally closed at 2646.2. After that, the market closed in a hammer pattern with a long lower shadow. After this pattern ended, the daily line constructed a rubbing signal. Against the background of the Fed's interest rate cut tomorrow morning, today's retracement layout is long. Intraday short-term operation suggestions: BUY: 2640 Defense 35 30 $: 55 62 68
TVC:GOLDLong
by AIan_Gold
1
12.18 Gold shock revision BUYGold rebounded slightly yesterday, with a small cross positive line on the daily line. 1. After bottoming out and rebounding in the morning, it started to rise from 2650 in the afternoon. 2662-3 is the 382 position of the rebound from Friday's decline, and 2664 is the continued decline, so it is the key resistance level. The two watersheds are very clear, one is the low point of 2643, and the other is the European session time point. Therefore, the 2650 line was chosen to bet on the rebound. 2. The 2662-4 line, the evening retracement, the formula emphasizes that the European session opened a decline in the morning, oscillated, especially the rebound from 6-8 o'clock, so in this process, the price did not break through from 8-10 o'clock, and it has been sideways, so the probability of a retracement in the US session is very high. 3. The 2650-1 line, yesterday's intraday rise and retracement to the 618 position, the standard 618 in the oscillation is better to make a mistake than to let it go. Although the 618 position was touched yesterday or sideways this morning, the strength of the pullback is not large, but it is still a sign of oscillation. Today, it is quite controversial. The daily small cross positive line, according to the previous rhythm, the daily positive line is a continuous positive line, so we still need to see a rebound. The cross K is also the transit point of the short-term decline, so the European session time is very important. The watershed 2643 is also very important, which is the key to see whether it will continue to fall. From the operation point of view, in the morning at 618, the 4-hour is still more, 2651-2 is more, if you don’t participate before 7-8 in the morning, you won’t participate in the second time. Today, we really need to observe the strength and weakness of the day. Look at the rhythm of the day’s operation and the layout of the US market. 1. Break 2643 during the day, the US market will pull back and empty, and the support level is 2630-32. 2. If it continues to rise during the day, the daily line is likely to go through a cycle of continuous positive rebound. Today, we will see a pullback of 618. If it is touched, you can short. You can’t double top short. Intraday short-term operation suggestions: BUY: 2640, defense 30, target 55-60
TVC:GOLDLong
by AIan_Gold
1
12.17 Gold Short-term Operation Analysis SELLGold was still fluctuating and repairing yesterday, but it eventually fell under pressure. Gold was still fluctuating with a short side. Rebounds are still opportunities to continue to short. Gold is still short at the current price of 2656 in the early trading! The 1-hour moving average of gold is still a short arrangement with a death cross downward. The adjustment of gold has not ended. Gold fell under pressure at 2665 yesterday, indicating that gold is still in a strong resistance zone above 2660. It is still short at highs under pressure at 2665 in the Asian session. It can also be shorted near 2656 in the Asian session. Gold is fluctuating and urgently needs to choose a direction. Of course, it is now a fluctuating relay of the decline, so it is still short at highs. The focus of this week is the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision waiting to be launched, which is also the battle between the long and short positions of gold. Whether the gold bulls can turn the tide depends on the impact of the data. Of course, if gold does not break a new low for a long time, it is not ruled out that gold has the possibility of short-term bottoming, so it is time to be flexible at any time. Asian trading strategy: Short gold at 2656, stop loss at 2666, target at 2640-2635
TVC:GOLDShort
by AIan_Gold
1
12.16 Gold Short-term Operation AnalysisThe gold market rose and fell last week. At the beginning of the week, the market opened high at 2645.1 due to the risk aversion factors on the weekend. The market first filled the gap and gave 2626.1. Then the market rose strongly. By Thursday morning, the highest point of this round of impact target 2726.2 was touched. After that, the market took profits and the negative fundamental factors suppressed the market to fall rapidly. The weekly line finally closed at 2648.6. The weekly line closed with a shooting star pattern with a very long upper shadow. After the end of this pattern, the weekly line has technical adjustment pressure, and the target of this round of testing is still the weekly level Bu Lin middle track support. In terms of points, if it rises first in the morning, give 2667 shorts and conservatively give 2670 shorts and stop losses at 2674. The lower targets are 2655 and 2645. If it falls below, this week's targets are 2640 and 2631 supports. If it still breaks, look at 2623 and 2612 near the extreme adjustment points of this round to exit and reverse trend long positions.
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
1
12.11 Gold Breakthrough? Exploring the bottom?Gold broke through the range yesterday and rose sharply, with a medium-sized positive line on the daily line. This is mainly because it did not retreat to the key resistance level of 2688-9, which was the previous decline. In addition, it also formed another force at 7-8 o'clock in the morning, and went through a cycle. In terms of technical points, today's technical points are basically the same. 1. The previous day was strong, and the second day's morning 7-8 o'clock saw an increase. 2. The morning rose, forming a low point watershed. Today is 2693. 3. The European session broke the previous day's high, so the US session must be long twice, and the correction at 6-8 o'clock requires one more time in the US session. 4. There was no cyclical decline after 10 o'clock in the US session yesterday, and the resistance level of 2689 was blocked, but there was no decline. 5. The rise continued to break the high in the early morning, and it is destined to have more cycles in the morning today. And the morning continued to rise, breaking the 2700 line. How to look at it today? From the 4-hour perspective, the market has been rising with broken Yang all the way. There are two trends for this pattern: 1. Continue to accelerate the rise at the current position. The upper resistance is 2722-24, the previous high point. 2. This kind of broken Yang has a relatively fast bottoming out and rebound during the day, and then continues to be strong. Because after the morning market, the long position is very stuck, it depends on how to understand it: From the perspective of the pattern, it is unnecessary to short, either continue to wait, continue to rise during the day, and continue to be long in the US market. Or wait for more intraday retracements, but this kind of retracement now, if it returns to the starting point in the morning, it is not meaningful, and it can only break the position and rise. Therefore, we are more inclined to the latter, and the European market will quickly bottom out and rebound during the day. In other words, there is no need to chase the longs, wait for more intraday retracements, or wait and see the US market. Although the watershed in the morning is at 2693, according to the continued rise in the early morning, the watershed is at 2684-5, which is the focus of today's attention. In view of the intraday retracement, especially the retracement after breaking the watershed, we are considering more, and we will see the bottom rise. Or it is extremely strong, and it will continue to pull up directly, and we will see the show during the day, and we will see more highs and falls in the US market. The key resistance above is 2722-4. Short-term support is 2684-5. Other positions are not considered for the time being, just pay attention to the intraday prompts.
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
1
12.11 Gold breaks resistance level, 2700 is comingTechnical analysis: key support and resistance levels From a technical perspective, spot gold has successfully broken through and closed above the key resistance level of $2,650, and this breakthrough has provided new momentum for bulls. The oscillator indicators on the daily chart show positive upward momentum, suggesting that gold prices may continue to challenge the $2,700 mark and further touch the supply range of $2,720-2,722. But at the same time, attention should be paid to the role of support levels. As a previous resistance level, $2,650 has now been transformed into an important short-term support. If it falls below this level, gold prices may further pull back to the $2,625-2,620 area, or even test the $2,600 integer mark. If it breaks below $2,600, it may open up more downside space, targeting the November low of $2,537-2,536. Intraday analysis: upward momentum may continue Overall, the upward momentum of spot gold remains solid. Under the combined effect of safe-haven demand, weak US dollar and geopolitical risks, gold prices are expected to continue to rise in the short term. However, before the Fed meeting and the release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, the market may be volatile. If the CPI data shows that inflationary pressures are easing, it may provide conditions for gold bulls to further exert their strength. In the medium and long term, the gold market is still strongly supported by fundamentals. Investors should pay close attention to the latest developments in the Fed's policy direction and the geopolitical situation, which will continue to affect market sentiment and gold prices.
TVC:GOLDLong
by AIan_Gold
1
12.10 If gold falls back, go longYesterday, the gold market opened high at 2645.3 in the early trading due to fundamental risk aversion news. After that, the market first filled the gap and reached 2627.2. After that, the market rose strongly. The daily line reached 2676.4 and then the market consolidated. The daily line finally closed at 2660. After that, the market closed with a spindle pattern with long upper and lower shadows. BUY: 2645 Stop loss: 2640 2635 $: 2657, 2667, 2677. Breakthroughs look at 2685, 2692, 2702-2710.
TVC:GOLDLong
by AIan_Gold
1
12.10 Geopolitical gold prices are expected to riseThe oscillating market is a market that accumulates momentum. The longer the oscillation lasts, the longer the unilateral continuation will last after the breakthrough. This is the basic law of the market trend. In the morning of December 9, the price of gold rose first, which was a response to the risk events over the weekend. The safe-haven property of gold was reflected again. The situation in the Middle East (Syria) is deteriorating continuously and rapidly. Its opposition has seized control of the capital Damascus, and the top leader has been forced to flee. This "evolution" is the key to the deterioration of the incident, which has aggravated market concerns. Intraday analysis suggestions: In the short term, the support below the gold price is $2,620. This position has been tested and tested many times in the early stage. The upper pressure is at $2,660 and the strong pressure is at $2,670. The early week period can maintain a bullish trend on the strong support of $2,620. The pressure shown by the technical side is very obvious at the moment, but the fundamental support factors also exist. This is the reason for the continuous struggle between long and short positions, and it is also the reason for the breakthrough. On the whole, after the oscillation or struggle between long and short positions, the probability of the long side winning is relatively high. Therefore, the transaction can be mainly long on dips
TVC:GOLDLong
by AIan_Gold
1
12.6 Gold breaks bottom to welcome non-agricultural sector!Tonight's non-agricultural data, the market is divided into two sections: 1. Before the non-agricultural data, according to the current rhythm, it is considered to be volatile, so change the range or short, volatile 618, choose the intraday decline and rebound 618 position, you can also short. 2. Non-agricultural data, last month's non-agricultural data was only 12,000. According to ADP, it is bullish for gold, but the data is bullish, and the probability of non-agricultural data being negative is not high. It can only be lower than expected. At the same time, the increase in unemployment rate is bullish for gold. This is also difficult. So for the evening non-agricultural data, the current decline will either release the non-agricultural trend in advance or rush down and fall back. It is unlikely to be simply bearish. The intraday short-term 618 position is at the 2626-8 line, which can be blocked for the second time. Non-agricultural support, if it continues to break the bottom, don't grab more, this kind of continuous bottom breaking, more is meaningless. See if it bottoms out and rebounds, and treat it as a new range of fluctuations. Focus on the 100-day moving average position below, the daily large-scale support level In addition, according to our shock formula, short-term and long-term opportunities are not available at the moment. Before the non-agricultural market, there will be a second reminder, just follow the members.
TVC:GOLDShort
by AIan_Gold
1
12.6 Gold shock awaits non-agricultural sector① Gold was still in a range yesterday and needs to wait for Friday's non-farm payrolls; ② The current daily indicator MACD is oscillating near the zero axis, and the dynamic indicator STO is oscillating upward with two lines; it means that there is no direction. ③ The daily Bollinger Bands are beginning to shrink and compress the range on the three tracks. The current upper and lower track range is 2705-2558, and the small range is the middle track and MA30 adhesion point 2631-2667 ④ The current 4-hour moving average is entangled with the middle track, and the upper and lower tracks are running flat, which means range oscillation. The current range is 2629-2656. Strategy: Long near 2615, defend 2605, and target 2644-2650-2658 Short near 2660-62, defend 2669, and target 2650-2645
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
1
12.5 COMEX Gold Technical AnalysisFrom a technical perspective, the gold daily line is close to the upper edge of convergence, and the Bollinger Bands show signs of closing. At the same time, the price has not broken through the moving average pressure, and the KDJ indicator is in a state of fluctuation without an obvious direction. The daily level convergence pressure is around $2,690. If it breaks through, it is expected to accelerate upward and test the previous high point. If it breaks below the support of 2,640, it will accelerate downward. From the 1-hour level, the Bollinger Bands are closing, and the convergence structure is entering the end, waiting for the direction to be chosen. The current volatility has dropped significantly. The technical indicators remain volatile, with intraday high selling and low buying, and the lower support is $2,650 and the upper pressure is $2,690. SELL: 2,650 Defense: 60 Target: 35-----30
TVC:GOLDShort
by AIan_Gold
1
12.5 Gold shocks, waiting for non-farm payrolls, short and longYesterday, the gold market opened at 2643.2 in the morning and then fluctuated in the range. Before the start of the U.S. market, the market gave a daily low of 2631.8 and then the market quickly pulled up to the daily high of 2657 and then the market consolidated. The daily line finally closed at 2649.8 and the market closed in a spindle shape with a lower shadow slightly longer than the upper shadow. After ending with this shape, today's market fell back to more. In terms of points, if today's market rises first, give a short stop loss of 2652 to 2657. If it falls back to 2637 first, the long position will be conservative at 2635 and the long stop loss will be 2631. The target is 2657. If it breaks, the pressure of 2661 and 2667 will be seen.
TVC:GOLDLong
by AIan_Gold
1
11.4 Gold weakens in the short termGold has fluctuated for two consecutive trading days, and it should break today. Yesterday, as expected, the daily line rose after a single negative, mainly in three aspects: 1. Since this wave of rebound, the daily line has been a single negative, so look at the cycle. 2. The previous day rebounded too much. Although it retreated at the 618 position, the double bottom position is still there. 3. In the morning, 2633 is not only a rebound and retreat to the 618 position, but also a previous low point. When looking at fluctuations, I have always emphasized a method, 618 is better to make a mistake than to let it go. Therefore, we used gold non-short yesterday. At the same time, let's look at yesterday's technical points: Yesterday emphasized two watersheds, one is the time point of the European session, and the other is the price: 2633 and 2644, and the intraday breakthrough will continue. 1. In the morning, it directly relied on the low point to rise, quickly to the 2652 line, and the price effectively broke the morning low of 2644. It also emphasized that after the breakthrough, it is enough to step back more. 2. 2639 is the morning rebound and retracement to 618. The shock continues to see a step-back entry. 3. Although the performance before the US market is not big, the formula emphasizes that the correction at 6-8 points before the US market is still bullish. Yesterday, the US market also continued to rise after the breakthrough as expected. But there are also regrets. It continued to fall back at 12 o'clock in the morning. In the formula time point, we will make a summary at 12 o'clock every night. On the one hand, the Asian market is now big, and we will make a layout at 7-8 o'clock the next day, and also make a summary for the day. Yesterday at 12 o'clock, it returned to the prototype: the first thought is that it was short at 7-8 o'clock this morning, and gold was weak. Today, it is still the same. In this form, don't look at the continuous positive cycle of the daily line. Instead, the yin and yang lines in the shock are interchanged. Today, we see a break and fall. For operations, it has been emphasized recently that the Asian market fluctuates greatly, and the focus is on the layout at 7-8 o'clock. Therefore, you can go short in the morning, the upper watershed is 2649, and the lower target is 2627-29. In addition, if it falls below 2630 today, then it is still short in the European session. Due to the oscillation pattern retracement, pay attention to the entry point at 618, and the extremely weak 382, ​​which refers to the entry point for the second rebound when the intraday high falls to the low.
TVC:GOLDShort
by AIan_Gold
1
12.4 Gold today overall range sweepOn Tuesday, the price first dropped to 2634-2633 in the morning, and the support was confirmed in the afternoon, and it was pulled up to 2650 area. Then, the first bottoming out and rebounding action has been made. Next, under the condition of keeping low, we can look at the second continued upward action, and then break through and stand firmly on the large channel, and then look at the third acceleration to complete the pull-up of 30 US dollars in space The four-hour pattern continues to show a narrowing situation, waiting for the subsequent breakthrough opening to guide a wave of unilateral volume The closing range of the shape, the upper rail is 2666-2664, and the lower rail is 2620-2622 The position of the large channel line is close to the upper rail pressure 2652-2653. The support in the same area expands the sweeping space upward. Today's early trading squats back to hold the lower rail support It can break through and stand firmly along the large channel line 2652-2653, and switch upwards. The next channel upper rail position focuses on the 2676-2678 area BUY: 2635————2640 Stop loss: 2645————50 Target: 2660 2665
TVC:GOLDLong
by AIan_Gold
2
The daily hammer of gold market is extended and rubbed.From the technical perspective, the price of gold continues to fluctuate within the convergence triangle area. The decline on Monday this week is consistent with the characteristics of a volatile downward trend, with the lowest intraday price reaching 2620, which is exactly the starting point of the stabilization and rebound last week, highlighting its key support significance in the volatile market. As the price falls, the market has fallen below the volatile upward support line and is under pressure from the previous high of 2650, with a significant double suppression effect. Looking ahead to the intraday trend, the suppression of the 2650 line still needs to be focused on this trading day. Given that gold is still in the volatile downward stage of the large-cycle convergence triangle and the downward trend has not yet ended, there is a possibility that the price of the market will fall below 2620. Therefore, in the short term, we maintain a bearish mindset, with 2650 as the key suppression level, and are bearish on gold. However, in the context of frequent interweaving of long and short factors, investors need to pay close attention to market dynamics and flexibly adjust strategies to cope with changes that may occur at any time.
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
1
GOLD:Retracting the long trading strategy Gold rebounded to around 2660 as scheduled, the bulls have come to strong pressure, but it has no meaning to fall, we can not know the end of this wave of long rebound, the operation to follow the trend, the shape of the weekly bearish trend will be changed, yesterday's bottom pulled up again, the daily line step by step, three consecutive trading days closed in the sun, Such a market must see clearly the general direction, otherwise it is difficult to grasp the rhythm, when you can not see clearly on the sidelines waiting, today's thinking waiting for its retrace opportunity to do long. Daily line these two days to form two strong support, one is yesterday's low 2618 near, this position is not broken, short-term are strong, if broken, the form may form a new bear. Another support is around 2642, yesterday's rebound high, is also a new form of support, today back to step on this position first layout more single. Target 2660, after breaking 2680-85.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Boooooob