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Goldmansachs

1.7 Technical analysis of short-term gold operationsOn the daily chart, gold has encountered resistance since its half-month high, and has fallen into adjustment in the short term. For the upper pressure of gold, pay attention to the current intraday high of $2,660, which is also the high point of gold price bottoming out and rebounding after falling on Monday, followed by the high of $2,650 on Monday; for the lower support of gold, pay attention to the support position of range oscillation after gold price bottomed out on Monday, $2,632, where gold price fell back several times and stabilized, which is also the current intraday low, followed by the lower track of the 4-hour Bollinger band of $2,622. The 5-day moving average and MACD indicator slightly crossed upward, the RSI indicator slightly crossed upward, and the KDJ indicator crossed downward, showing that the short-term technical side is slightly dominant. Intraday reference for gold: After gold rose and encountered resistance, it started to fluctuate in the range in the short term, lacking new news to guide the direction. It is recommended to treat it with a fluctuating mindset in terms of operation. Pay attention to the upper pressure of $2,650, followed by $2,660, and pay attention to the lower support of $2,632, followed by $2,622.
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
1.3 Technical analysis of short-term gold operationsIn the early European session on Friday (January 3), the US dollar index maintained a mild decline during the day and is currently around 109.10; spot gold is around $2,655/oz. After confirming a breakthrough of $2,640.00/oz, the gold price continued to rise. As shown in the figure, the gold price completed the construction of a double bottom pattern, which provided upward momentum for the gold price. The gold price is expected to test $2,700.00/oz, which is also our next target for the gold price. Therefore, we expect the gold price to rise further in the next few trading days. It should be pointed out that if the gold price falls below $2,640.00/oz, this will stop the bullish trend and push the gold price to bearish. It is expected that the gold price will trade between the support level of $2,650.00/oz and the resistance level of $2,685.00/oz today. The expected trend for the gold price today is bullish
TVC:GOLDLong
by AIan_Gold
1.2 Accurate technical analysis of gold short-termThe upper rail resistance of the four-hour flat pattern is 2638 and the double-line resistance is 2642. Break through and open slightly upward, and continue to rise to form an upward opening pattern The lifeline and the lower rail of the double line are superimposed in the 2619-2617 area The early trading accelerated the rise point in the 2625-2623 area. Take this as the dividing line, and look for the next resistance area of ​​2638-2642 upwards, followed by the 2648-2650 range Keeping low is the key, breaking high is the focus, and taking advantage of the trend is the method If it is delayed, there will be variables. If it can take advantage of the trend and break through 2648-2650 with the east wind, the bulls can have more control later Refer to this idea, early The market is arranged around the low point 2621-2623 area as support to rush to 2632-2633. If the rise is realized as expected, the second step is still bullish. It is planned to use 2628-2626 as support to see a bullish trend. The price will only fall back to the 2632-2631 area. So choose the 2632 area to enter the market with low longs. The original plan of 2628-2626 remains unchanged. Look up to find the 2638-2642 area, and then look at 2648-2650 The 2598 long orders at the beginning of the week are still held in small bands. The loss point is now moved up to 2610 (profit loss situation, if it falls back, it is also profitable), and pay attention to the gains and losses of 2648-2650
TVC:GOLDLong
by AIan_Gold
1
Analysis of short-term gold trading on December 31Fundamentals: The gold market fluctuated at a low level in the U.S. market, and the logic of long orders at the support point entered the market. At the beginning of the U.S. market on Tuesday (December 31), the gold price was around $2,610. The gold market may be preparing to end 2024 on a weak note, and December is expected to see its first decline in seven years. But there is still considerable optimism in the market before the new year. Despite the current market weakness, gold continues to hold its position in a difficult environment. She pointed out that the sell-off in gold since its October high and the subsequent consolidation were the first major corrections in the precious metal this year. "I am not at all worried about the volatility we have seen, and I think this respite is good for the market," she said. Even with this disappointing price trend entering the new year, investors should not forget the performance of 2024. Gold prices have seen unprecedented gains, setting new all-time highs about 40 times this year. Gold prices peaked in October, with a full-year increase of more than 26%, the best performance since 1979. Gold prices are set to hit $2,400 an ounce this year in 2024, and they are nearly $400 above that level. Looking ahead, she believes gold still has plenty of room to rise. Gold prices will struggle as investors continue to focus on the strong resilience of the U.S. economy. She explained that policies proposed by President-elect Trump should support economic growth in the first half of next year, but she expects problems to return. Since winning the presidential election in November, Trump has said he wants to extend the 2017 tax credit. He has threatened to impose tariffs on countries in Asia, the Americas and the European Union. He has also proposed rounding up and deporting millions of illegal immigrants and recently expressed a desire to annex Canada and Greenland. Policies such as increased import tariffs and extended tax cuts will provide some support to the economy, which has pushed up U.S. bond yields and the dollar. However, she added that these policies will also come at a cost. Everything Trump proposes to do will lead to inflation, raising tariffs and deporting potentially millions of low-wage workers will push up prices, and tax cuts will exacerbate the growing deficit, thereby increasing inflationary pressures. Trump's proposal also has a political cost, as many see his position as a negotiating tactic. She added that this uncertainty will continue to support gold's safe-haven appeal. Personal operation analysis: Trend: shock trend Support: around 2607.00 Resistance: around 2631.50 Strategy: View logic: Near 2608, light position, stop loss 2600, take profit around 2623--2635, trailing stop loss 300 points
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
1
12.30 Gold Short-term Operation Technical Analysis BUYLast Friday, gold took a high-rise and then fell back. The trend is under control, and everyone has witnessed it! Gold opened at $2,633. In the morning, gold slightly retreated and touched $2,628.6, and then rebounded. The highest rebound of gold in the Asian and European sessions reached $2,638, and then it was blocked and fell back. The US session continued to fall and touched the lowest level of $2,611.5. It rebounded in the late trading and finally closed at $2,620.8. The daily line closed with a negative line with upper and lower shadows, and the weekly line closed with a pregnant cross star pattern with an upper shadow slightly longer than the lower shadow. After the end of this pattern, gold was obviously blocked. There is still a need to continue to fall at the beginning of the week. Today, gold focuses on the upper resistance at $2,630. Rebounds rely on shorting below the resistance here, and then look at $2,610 and $2,605 below! The specific operation points are subject to real-time layout!
TVC:GOLDLong
by AIan_Gold
12.30 Gold Market Short-term Operation Technical AnalysisTechnical Aspects Gold prices fluctuated around $2,620.00 on Monday, and the daily chart shows that gold prices are currently in a consolidation phase, close to the 9-day and 14-day moving averages. The 14-day relative strength index (RSI) hovered below 50, reflecting a neutral market sentiment. If the RSI can break through the 50 level, it may indicate an increase in the market's buying interest in gold. In terms of resistance, gold prices may first target the psychological level of $2,700.00, and further resistance is the monthly high of $2,726.34 recorded on December 12. This level is an important target for bulls to conquer in the near term, and a breakthrough may trigger a new round of buying boom. In addition, the trend of gold prices in the medium term is still guided by technical indicators. If bulls can hold the current support level, they will have the opportunity to further challenge higher resistance. In terms of support, gold prices may find initial support at $2,608. If it falls below this level, selling pressure may increase, pushing gold prices to the monthly low of $2,583.39. If gold prices fall further below this support, it may trigger more technical selling pressure, causing prices to slide to lower support areas. The market needs to pay attention to the possibility of increased volatility. The gold market is currently in a critical consolidation phase and may continue to fluctuate within a range in the short term. If gold prices can break through the current consolidation area, market sentiment may quickly turn bullish. In the coming weeks, changes in technical indicators will provide more guidance to the market, especially whether gold prices can steadily break through short-term resistance levels and further challenge historical highs.
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
1
Analysis of short-term gold trading on December 27The gold market opened at 2610.6 in the morning and then rose directly. The daily line reached a high of 2621.6 and then fell back quickly. The daily line reached a low of 2609.7 and then rose in the late trading. The daily line finally closed at 2616.7 and then closed with a small positive line with a long upper shadow line. After this pattern ended, it rose first today and gave a short stop loss of 2630 at 2635. The lower targets are 2615, 2607 and 260.
TVC:GOLDShort
by AIan_Gold
1
12.27 Asian Handicap continues to see a declineGold surged and fell in the US market last night. Gold continued to be short at 2635. Gold fluctuated at a high level in the second half of the night, and the lowest level fell to 2627. Gold did not fluctuate much, but there was no strong breakthrough at the high level. Gold bulls lacked confidence and continued to be short and fall. Gold broke through the previous high of 2633 in 1 hour, but gold did not stand firm. It surged and fell again and broke the previous high of 2633. Gold did not form an effective breakthrough, so there is a possibility of gold bulls being lured to buy more. At least the market is not a unilaterally strong market. Gold continued to hold the short position of 2635 in the US market last night. Asian trading operation ideas: Gold 2635 short, stop loss 2645, target 2615-2610
TVC:GOLDShort
by AIan_Gold
1
12.26 Gold short-term operation analysis strategyThe market opened at 2610.6 in the morning of the previous day and then the market rose directly. The daily line reached a high of 2621.6 and then the market fell rapidly. The daily line reached a low of 2609.7 and then the market rose in the late trading. The daily line finally closed at 2616.7 and the market closed with a small positive line with a long upper shadow line. After this pattern ended, it rose first today and gave a short stop loss of 2630 at 2635. The targets below are 2615, 2607 and 2603
TVC:GOLDShort
by AIan_Gold
3
12.24 Technical Analysis of Gold Short-term OperationsYesterday, the gold market opened low at 2619.5 in the morning and then the market rose first. The daily line reached a high of 2633.3 and then the market fell back. The daily line reached a low of 2607.8 and then the market consolidated. The daily line finally closed at 2613.3 and the market closed with a pregnant inverted hammer pattern with a long upper shadow. After the end of this pattern, today's market fell back and continued to short. In terms of points, today's market first rose to 2620 short and conservatively 2628 short stop loss 2632. The target is 2612 and 2607. If it falls below, it will look at 2603 and 2600. If it falls below, it will leave near 2593 and 2585.
TVC:GOLDShort
by AIan_Gold
1
#XAUUSDGold (XAU/USD) is currently trading at 2617, showcasing strength in the precious metals market. This price reflects heightened investor interest, possibly driven by geopolitical tensions, inflation concerns, or shifts in central bank policies. As a traditional safe-haven asset, gold often benefits during times of economic uncertainty or weakening fiat currencies. A price level of 2617 suggests strong demand, with buyers possibly expecting further upside potential. Traders may also be watching key resistance and support levels closely, as well as macroeconomic indicators like U.S. dollar strength, bond yields, and global risk sentiment. Gold’s performance at this level indicates its role as a hedge against inflation and a store of value in a volatile financial landscape. Future price movement will likely depend on central bank actions, especially the Federal Reserve, as well as any unexpected market shocks.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by SadarExplore
12.23 Technical Analysis of Gold Short-term OperationsLast week, the gold market opened at 2650.3 at the beginning of the week, then rose slightly to 2664.7, then fluctuated and fell. The weekly line reached a low of 2582.6, then rose at the end of the trading day, and finally closed at 2622.8, and then the market closed in a hammer-like pattern with a long lower shadow. After this pattern ended, the weekly line was rubbed and consolidated. In terms of points, today's decline to 2610, stop loss at 2600, and the target is 2635 and 2640.
TVC:GOLDLong
by AIan_Gold
1
12.20 Gold short-term short-selling trend remains unchangedAgainst the backdrop of changes in the Fed's expectations for a rate cut in 2025, and the reduction in the number of rate cuts and the reduction in the magnitude, the gold market plunged sharply on Wednesday night. Although there was a rebound on Thursday, the price once reached 2626. However, it should be noted that this seemingly strong rebound is actually a bullish counterattack after the decline, and it is difficult to reverse the overall downward trend. From the daily trend pattern, the closing line of the high-rise and fall leaves a long upper shadow, which means that the increase cannot be maintained and the strong pattern is difficult to return. This rebound, on the one hand, vented the resistance of the bulls, and on the other hand, it confirmed the pullback of the previous bottom support and completed the top-bottom conversion. Once the key support level is broken, the bears will continue. In addition, after the short-term touches the whole hundred mark, there will be repeated situations. From the technical perspective, whether it is rising or falling in the short-term, after touching the whole hundred mark, there will be short-term repetitions. Therefore, after yesterday's decline and the price fell below 2600, it is normal for the price to rebound. Although the current market has not started to fall, it is very difficult for the price to return to the original support level, and the downward trend has become a high probability event. Today's trading strategy: SELL: 2620 Target 2600 90 80
TVC:GOLDShort
by AIan_Gold
1
12.20 Gold Short-term Operation Analysis StrategyYesterday, the gold market opened at 2645.2 in the morning, and then the market rose slightly. The daily line reached a high of 2652, and then the market was in a range. Before 3 am, the daily line reached a low of 2632.9, and then the market was in a range. Although the Fed cut interest rates by 25 basis points in the early morning, the dot plot showed that the rate cuts next year would be reduced from 4 to 2, and the Fed Chairman later confirmed that the market broke through and fell sharply. The daily line reached a low of 2583.1, and then the market was in a range. The daily line finally closed After the line reached 2585.2, the daily line closed with a saturated large negative line with a slightly longer upper shadow line. After this pattern ended, the rebound trend was destroyed. The market has a need to continue to fall back within a certain period of time. In terms of points, the short position at 2600 this morning was reduced and the stop loss was followed up at 2602. Today's market first rose to give a 2600 short conservative 2612 short stop loss of 2616. The lower targets are 2590 and 2583. If it falls below, it will focus on the 2572 and 2563-2554 support range.
TVC:GOLDShort
by AIan_Gold
2
12.19 Gold interest rate decision determines direction!How to participate in the short-term gold today? From the daily chart of gold, it is a weak bearish pattern. The upper 2662 is the resonance pressure of the daily and hourly lines. This position has been prompted in recent days. The hourly chart shows that 2651 is the hourly annual line level pressure. This position also suppressed the retracement in the early trading. The hourly BOLL is slowly closing. The data is approaching. The 1-hour and 30-minute charts are also in a volatile pattern. So today's morning trading will not see a big market outbreak. Pay attention to the 2640/38 area below to see a volatile rebound of 2651-2662. When the price reaches 2662, you can first participate in the retracement. Of course, these are all before the data is released. After the data is released, you can still treat it as a shock between 2706-2600.
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
1
12.18 Gold tests low and waits for interest rate cutYesterday, the gold market opened at 2652.6 in the morning. After that, the market rose to 2658.9. After that, the market continued to fall under pressure. The daily line reached 2632.7 at the lowest point. After that, the market was slightly pulled up by the support of the 50 mark of the Fibonacci in this round of upward movement. The daily line finally closed at 2646.2. After that, the market closed in a hammer pattern with a long lower shadow. After this pattern ended, the daily line constructed a rubbing signal. Against the background of the Fed's interest rate cut tomorrow morning, today's retracement layout is long. Intraday short-term operation suggestions: BUY: 2640 Defense 35 30 $: 55 62 68
TVC:GOLDLong
by AIan_Gold
1
12.18 Gold shock revision BUYGold rebounded slightly yesterday, with a small cross positive line on the daily line. 1. After bottoming out and rebounding in the morning, it started to rise from 2650 in the afternoon. 2662-3 is the 382 position of the rebound from Friday's decline, and 2664 is the continued decline, so it is the key resistance level. The two watersheds are very clear, one is the low point of 2643, and the other is the European session time point. Therefore, the 2650 line was chosen to bet on the rebound. 2. The 2662-4 line, the evening retracement, the formula emphasizes that the European session opened a decline in the morning, oscillated, especially the rebound from 6-8 o'clock, so in this process, the price did not break through from 8-10 o'clock, and it has been sideways, so the probability of a retracement in the US session is very high. 3. The 2650-1 line, yesterday's intraday rise and retracement to the 618 position, the standard 618 in the oscillation is better to make a mistake than to let it go. Although the 618 position was touched yesterday or sideways this morning, the strength of the pullback is not large, but it is still a sign of oscillation. Today, it is quite controversial. The daily small cross positive line, according to the previous rhythm, the daily positive line is a continuous positive line, so we still need to see a rebound. The cross K is also the transit point of the short-term decline, so the European session time is very important. The watershed 2643 is also very important, which is the key to see whether it will continue to fall. From the operation point of view, in the morning at 618, the 4-hour is still more, 2651-2 is more, if you don’t participate before 7-8 in the morning, you won’t participate in the second time. Today, we really need to observe the strength and weakness of the day. Look at the rhythm of the day’s operation and the layout of the US market. 1. Break 2643 during the day, the US market will pull back and empty, and the support level is 2630-32. 2. If it continues to rise during the day, the daily line is likely to go through a cycle of continuous positive rebound. Today, we will see a pullback of 618. If it is touched, you can short. You can’t double top short. Intraday short-term operation suggestions: BUY: 2640, defense 30, target 55-60
TVC:GOLDLong
by AIan_Gold
1
12.17 Gold Short-term Operation Analysis SELLGold was still fluctuating and repairing yesterday, but it eventually fell under pressure. Gold was still fluctuating with a short side. Rebounds are still opportunities to continue to short. Gold is still short at the current price of 2656 in the early trading! The 1-hour moving average of gold is still a short arrangement with a death cross downward. The adjustment of gold has not ended. Gold fell under pressure at 2665 yesterday, indicating that gold is still in a strong resistance zone above 2660. It is still short at highs under pressure at 2665 in the Asian session. It can also be shorted near 2656 in the Asian session. Gold is fluctuating and urgently needs to choose a direction. Of course, it is now a fluctuating relay of the decline, so it is still short at highs. The focus of this week is the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision waiting to be launched, which is also the battle between the long and short positions of gold. Whether the gold bulls can turn the tide depends on the impact of the data. Of course, if gold does not break a new low for a long time, it is not ruled out that gold has the possibility of short-term bottoming, so it is time to be flexible at any time. Asian trading strategy: Short gold at 2656, stop loss at 2666, target at 2640-2635
TVC:GOLDShort
by AIan_Gold
1
12.16 Gold Short-term Operation AnalysisThe gold market rose and fell last week. At the beginning of the week, the market opened high at 2645.1 due to the risk aversion factors on the weekend. The market first filled the gap and gave 2626.1. Then the market rose strongly. By Thursday morning, the highest point of this round of impact target 2726.2 was touched. After that, the market took profits and the negative fundamental factors suppressed the market to fall rapidly. The weekly line finally closed at 2648.6. The weekly line closed with a shooting star pattern with a very long upper shadow. After the end of this pattern, the weekly line has technical adjustment pressure, and the target of this round of testing is still the weekly level Bu Lin middle track support. In terms of points, if it rises first in the morning, give 2667 shorts and conservatively give 2670 shorts and stop losses at 2674. The lower targets are 2655 and 2645. If it falls below, this week's targets are 2640 and 2631 supports. If it still breaks, look at 2623 and 2612 near the extreme adjustment points of this round to exit and reverse trend long positions.
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
1
12.11 Gold Breakthrough? Exploring the bottom?Gold broke through the range yesterday and rose sharply, with a medium-sized positive line on the daily line. This is mainly because it did not retreat to the key resistance level of 2688-9, which was the previous decline. In addition, it also formed another force at 7-8 o'clock in the morning, and went through a cycle. In terms of technical points, today's technical points are basically the same. 1. The previous day was strong, and the second day's morning 7-8 o'clock saw an increase. 2. The morning rose, forming a low point watershed. Today is 2693. 3. The European session broke the previous day's high, so the US session must be long twice, and the correction at 6-8 o'clock requires one more time in the US session. 4. There was no cyclical decline after 10 o'clock in the US session yesterday, and the resistance level of 2689 was blocked, but there was no decline. 5. The rise continued to break the high in the early morning, and it is destined to have more cycles in the morning today. And the morning continued to rise, breaking the 2700 line. How to look at it today? From the 4-hour perspective, the market has been rising with broken Yang all the way. There are two trends for this pattern: 1. Continue to accelerate the rise at the current position. The upper resistance is 2722-24, the previous high point. 2. This kind of broken Yang has a relatively fast bottoming out and rebound during the day, and then continues to be strong. Because after the morning market, the long position is very stuck, it depends on how to understand it: From the perspective of the pattern, it is unnecessary to short, either continue to wait, continue to rise during the day, and continue to be long in the US market. Or wait for more intraday retracements, but this kind of retracement now, if it returns to the starting point in the morning, it is not meaningful, and it can only break the position and rise. Therefore, we are more inclined to the latter, and the European market will quickly bottom out and rebound during the day. In other words, there is no need to chase the longs, wait for more intraday retracements, or wait and see the US market. Although the watershed in the morning is at 2693, according to the continued rise in the early morning, the watershed is at 2684-5, which is the focus of today's attention. In view of the intraday retracement, especially the retracement after breaking the watershed, we are considering more, and we will see the bottom rise. Or it is extremely strong, and it will continue to pull up directly, and we will see the show during the day, and we will see more highs and falls in the US market. The key resistance above is 2722-4. Short-term support is 2684-5. Other positions are not considered for the time being, just pay attention to the intraday prompts.
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
1