GOLD/USD Bullish Reversal and Breakout Target GOLD/USD Bullish Reversal and Breakout Target 🎯 ✨📈
🔍 Technical Analysis Overview:
The chart illustrates a clear bullish reversal pattern following a strong downtrend, with price reacting from a key support zone (highlighted in blue).
Multiple bullish rejection wicks and confirmation candles (green arrows) indicate buying interest at this support.
The recent higher low formation confirms shift in market structure towards bullish bias.
📌 Key Zones:
🟦 Support Zone: Around 3,280 – 3,320 USD
Price respected this zone multiple times (marked with orange circles), confirming its strength.
🟥 Resistance Zone / Target: 3,430 – 3,460 USD
This area aligns with previous swing highs and is the projected target for this bullish move.
📈 Chart Structure:
Break of descending trendline and bullish momentum above support suggests potential continuation towards the marked target.
Falling wedge breakout also aligns with reversal logic.
🎯 Price Target:
3,438.515 USD (resistance area), as labeled on chart with arrow and breakout projection.
🛑 Invalidation Level:
A sustained break below the support zone (3,280 USD) would invalidate this bullish outlook.
📌 Conclusion:
Gold is exhibiting strong bullish behavior with confirmation from price action and structure break. As long as price sustains above support, the path toward 3,438 remains
Goldmansachs
Gold continues to rise slowly
Gold weekly and monthly level: For the monthly level, many people think that the bull market is over when they see the continuous long upper shadow cross K, and they don’t think that it can’t even effectively lose the 5-day moving average, and it is still in a strong stage in the strong stage, and it is also running on the upper track of the upward channel, indicating that the bull market has yet to continue. If it directly pulls up and engulfs the high point of last month this month, a group of bearish people will be wiped out. It has always been emphasized that you should not underestimate the trend of the past two years, and don’t guess the top. This top will reach a height that everyone can’t imagine. Following the bull trend is the right choice. Holding on to the low-level bullish band bottom position in your hand is the happiest moment in the past two years and the most witnessing moment of strength; and the weekly level, as mentioned at the weekend, don’t look at the big negative last week and lose the lower track of the channel. It is also completely possible to directly come back with a big positive this week.
Gold daily level, there has been a continuous positive breakthrough during the day. Once the closing confirms that the breakthrough is effective, it will continue to rise tomorrow and directly approach the lower track of the previous yellow channel. 340 0 line; then going forward, we have to fight for the last key pressure point, the 3500-3452 previous high trend connection line, which roughly corresponds to 3440. Once it breaks through here directly, 3500 will inevitably be unstoppable and move towards 3700; however, there is no need to be too anxious at the moment, be down-to-earth, and overcome the resistance level step by step, but you must try to look far ahead to see more clearly
Gold hourly line level: From the opening to now, it has been rising slowly all the way, with a small negative in the middle, all positive, this kind of pull-up pattern must not be tested for shorts, and during the European session, it also broke through the upper rail resistance level of the 3335 downward channel, and there was a second pull-up in the US session; it just couldn't step back, and even the 10-day moving average didn't give a chance. If you want to step back and follow the long position, there is no chance for the time being, and going long directly seems more radical; you can wait patiently, be bullish, and don't go short; if you can confirm that it is above 3335 today, you can try to follow the bullish trend, and the upper resistance target is 3374
Bullish Reversal Setup on GOLD/USD Bullish Reversal Setup on GOLD/USD 💰📈
🔍 Chart Analysis:
The chart illustrates a clear bullish reversal structure forming off a strong support zone:
📌 Key Observations:
Multiple Rejections at Support 🟠
The price has reacted to the 3,300 - 3,280 USD support zone multiple times, forming a triple bottom pattern, indicating strong buyer interest.
Bullish Harmonic Pattern ✅
A bullish harmonic pattern (likely a Bat or Gartley) completed right at the support level, triggering a strong reversal with a bullish engulfing candle.
Break of Minor Structure 📊
Price broke through minor resistance near 3,340 USD, confirming bullish momentum. The breakout is supported by a retest shown with the green arrow 🟢.
Target Point Identified 🎯
The projected target is 3,460 USD, marked clearly as the next significant resistance zone. This aligns with previous price rejection areas, making it a high-probability target.
📈 Trading Outlook:
✅ Buy Confirmation: Break and retest of 3,340 USD zone.
🎯 Target: 3,460 USD.
🛡️ Support Zone: 3,300 – 3,280 USD (watch for any breakdown below this).
📌 Conclusion:
The chart signals a high-probability bullish continuation, with strong support, harmonic confluence, and structural breakout. Traders may look for buy opportunities on pullbacks with the target set at 3,460 USD. 🚀📊
XAU/USD) bearish reversal analysis Read The captionTechnical analysis of (XAU/USD) based on price action and technical indicators on the 15-minute timeframe. Here's a
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Key Technical Insights:
1. Resistance Level (Highlighted Yellow Zone):
Price is approaching a strong resistance zone (previous rejection marked by red arrows).
This area has historically pushed price downward.
2. Trendline Support (Rising Black Line):
Price has been following a short-term ascending trendline, forming higher lows.
A break below this trendline signals potential bearish reversal.
3. EMA 200 (Blue Line):
Price is currently above the EMA 200, indicating short-term bullish momentum.
However, price is testing resistance — a rejection could flip momentum bearish.
4. Bearish Rejection & Projection:
The chart shows an anticipated rejection from resistance, followed by a break of trendline support.
Target zone is marked near 3,228.098, indicating a drop of ~94 points from the current level.
5. RSI (Relative Strength Index):
RSI is nearing overbought territory (68.79).
A bearish divergence or RSI crossing down may confirm weakening momentum.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Conclusion / Trading Idea:
Bias: Bearish
Entry Zone: Near the resistance level (~3,322)
Confirmation: Break of trendline support
Target: 3,228
Stop-Loss: Above resistance zone (just over the upper trendline)
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XAUUSD/GOLD Geopolitical conflicts have escalated again. Next week is a week of heavy news. How will the gold price focus next week? How to trade? Look at the news preview first.
1. Geopolitics, Russia-Ukraine conflict, Palestine-Israel conflict, Iran-Israel conflict.
2. ADP data, NFP data.
3. Tariff deadline.
The above three news are enough to cause drastic fluctuations in the gold price.
On Friday, the New York market followed my expectations. After rebounding around 3282, it fell back. Finally closed around 3274.
The impact of the weekend news is huge. From the news perspective, the opening price of next Monday will be higher than the closing price on Friday. In terms of operation, you can pay attention to buying at a low price after the market opens.
Gold has no chance to rise
Gold did not break through the upper pressure on Friday. Gold fell directly after opening on Friday. The bears broke through the previous 3295 support line, and the lowest reached 3255. It closed near 3274. The daily line also closed in the form of a big Yin line. The downward trend is obvious, and all the previous supports will also turn into pressure. The short-term moving average system crosses downward to accumulate energy for the bears, and the Bollinger Bands are also expected to open downward. Since the closing did not break through the upper 3300 suppression level, we will continue to rebound and short next week. After all, the technical side is still short, and only by following the trend can we keep up with our rhythm. We also pay attention to international news on the weekend. Combined with the news, I will analyze the specific strategy ideas before the opening of Monday. If your current gold operation is not ideal, I hope Yulia can help you avoid detours in your investment. Welcome to communicate!
From the 4-hour analysis, the upper short-term resistance is around 3295-3301, and the focus is on the important suppression of 3314-16. In terms of operation, the rebound continues to be short and follow the trend to fall. The short-term support below is around 3250-3255. The overall high-altitude participation is maintained in this range. I will remind you of the specific operation strategy during the trading session, so please pay attention to it in time.
Gold operation strategy:
Short at the rebound of 3295-3301, short at the rebound of 3314-16, stop loss at 3326, target at 3255-3260, and continue to hold if it breaks;
XAU/USD) bearish Trand analysis Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of (XAU/USD) on a short-term timeframe, incorporating several key tools and concepts:
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Overview of the Analysis
Price Level (Current): Around $3,273.40
EMA 200 (Blue Line): Around $3,337.95 (signaling broader trend)
Resistance Zone (Yellow Box): Between approximately $3,300–$3,320
Support/Target Zone: Around $3,231.11
RSI (Relative Strength Index): At 32.88, which is near oversold territory (below 30)
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Interpretation of Chart Structure
1. Descending Channel:
Price is moving within a downward-sloping channel.
Suggests a bearish trend is in play.
2. Resistance Level (Yellow Box):
Price is expected to retest this area and face resistance.
Confluence of a supply zone and upper trendline, reinforcing its strength.
3. Projected Price Action:
Price may climb back up into the resistance zone.
A rejection is anticipated, leading to another leg down.
The target is around $3,231.11, which matches previous measured moves.
4. Measured Moves (Blue Arrows):
Highlights historical price drops of ~79 points.
Repeating this pattern suggests symmetry and continuation.
5. RSI Indicator:
Currently at 32.88: nearing oversold, but not quite.
No clear bullish divergence, so price could drop further.
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Trade Idea Summary
Bias: Bearish
Entry Zone: Near $3,300–$3,320 (resistance)
Target: Around $3,231.11
Invalidation: If price breaks and holds above $3,337–$3,340 (EMA 200 and channel breakout)
Mr SMC Trading point
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Caution/Considerations
Watch for false breakouts above the resistance zone.
Monitor RSI for potential bullish divergence that could invalidate the downside.
Be cautious around the U.S. economic news event icon, which might cause volatility.
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XAUUSD/GOLD/SellThe pressure from the bears is too great. In the end, the pressure from above was not broken. Instead, it broke out and fell after being under pressure. The stop loss was hit.
The current price is 3285. After gradually boosting the US dollar index. The trend of gold prices has continued to fall. More importantly, the tariff issue has been eased. At the same time, geopolitical factors are also orderly and stable. This is the news that caused the bears to attack.
History has not become the savior because of repeating itself. Of course, this is also an emergency. In some transactions, the extremely low probability of causing losses is a common problem in transactions. However, our analysis team has stabilized a high trading win rate.
Then the next trading plan is still to focus on the pressure from above. If the London market rebounds above 3300. It is still mainly selling. 3314 is an important level for short-term rebound, and we need to pay attention. Although there is no obvious sign of rebound yet, the release of short-selling pressure has been alleviated because the decline is slow. Today's main trading idea is still to sell at high levels.
The target is to focus on the position of 3264-3248. Remember the risk of buying at low levels. Do not trade independently.
XAUUAD Reversal Setup Short Trade Opportunity Below Resistance Current Price: 3,327.56 USD
Entry Point: 3,332.67 USD
Stop Loss: 3,342.45 USD
Take Profit Levels:
Target 1 (Downside): 3,294.45 USD (-1.17%)
Target 2 (Upside): 3,393.78 USD (+1.50%)
🔧 Technical Indicators & Tools
Trade Line: Upward sloping trendline connecting higher lows, supporting recent bullish structure.
Moving Averages:
Red: Short-term (likely 50-period EMA)
Blue: Long-term (likely 200-period EMA)
Price is still trading below the long-term MA, suggesting broader bearish pressure.
Resistance Zone: 3,334.96–3,341.30 — a key supply area marked in purple.
Support Zone: 3,294.45 — identified as a previous demand level.
⚖️ Risk-Reward Analysis
Short Setup:
Entry: 3,332.67
Stop Loss: 3,342.45 (Risk ~10 USD)
Target: 3,294.45 (Reward ~38 USD)
R:R Ratio ≈ 1:3.8, which is favorable for a short trade.
📌 Summary
Bias: Bearish intraday
Setup Type: Short-sell at resistance zone
Confirmation: Price rejection or bearish candle near 3,334–3,342 zone
Invalidation: Break and close above 3,351.06 (upper resistance)
It’s the right time to short goldThe daily gold line presents a three-top gathering pattern. The historical trend shows that the 3290-3280 area has triggered technical pullbacks many times, all of which rebounded to around 3350. The current 4-hour chart trend line suppression level coincides with the Fibonacci 0.618 pullback resistance from the previous high of 3450 to 3300 in the 3350-3360 range. This area constitutes the core pressure zone. If the price fails to effectively break through and stand above 3360 when it probes this area again, it is highly likely to replicate the previous two resistance and fall patterns. At that time, short orders will be arranged based on the 3350 first-line resistance area, with the goal of breaking the key support of 3300 and further looking down at the 3280 and 3260 levels. The overall bearish tendency is maintained, and the resistance to rebound is a signal to enter the market and sell short.
Gold recommendation: Gold is short around 3345-3352, target 3330-3320
XAU/USD) Bullish trand Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe, highlighting a breakout from consolidation supported by key levels and trend structure. Here’s the detailed analysis:
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Technical Breakdown
1. Key Support Zone
Price has formed a strong base around 3,315–3,325, with multiple bullish rejections (green arrows).
This zone has acted as a demand level, reinforcing bullish structure.
2. Ascending Trendline Support
An uptrend line supports higher lows, showing momentum building to the upside.
3. EMA 200
Price is now challenging the 200 EMA (3,353.41) — a key dynamic resistance.
A successful breakout and retest above this EMA will likely fuel continued bullish movement.
4. Breakout & Measured Move Projections
The chart indicates a bullish breakout from a consolidation box (yellow zone).
Measured move targets based on the previous rally:
First target: 3,368.86 (1.17%)
Second target: 3,381.55 (1.75%)
5. RSI Confirmation
RSI (14) is around 57, showing bullish momentum but still below overbought—supporting further upside potential.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Conclusion / Idea Summary
Bias: Bullish
Entry Zone: On pullback into 3,330–3,340 range or breakout retest above EMA 200
Targets:
3,368.86
3,381.55
Invalidation: Sustained close below 3,320 and break of the uptrend line
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Analysis and layout of the latest gold trend in the evening📰 Impact of news:
1. The ceasefire agreement reached earlier did not take effect, and Trump believed that both sides violated the agreement
2. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell delivered a speech 3 hours later
📈 Market analysis:
After falling below the 3300 mark, gold hit the 3295 line and then rebounded. However, there are too many long orders at the current high level of gold, and the market will not rise easily. The current international situation is so tense, and gold is still slowly declining. It is difficult to rebound sharply in this situation. In the short term, focus on 3290-3280 below. If effective support is obtained, you can go long and look towards 3300-3310. If it falls below the support line of 3290-3280, the downward channel of gold will be opened and it is expected to reach 3265. At the same time, pay attention to the 3328-3338 resistance range on the upside. If the first rebound in the evening encounters pressure and resistance here, you may consider shorting.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3328-3338-3400
TP 3310-3300-3295
BUY 3290-3280
TP 3300-3310
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
XAU/USD) Bullish reversal analysis Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) on the 30-minute timeframe, based on technical signals and price action behavior. Here's the breakdown
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Gold Bullish Reversal Setup – Targeting 3,384
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Key Technical Highlights:
1. Support Zone & Price Reaction:
Price has tested a strong horizontal support level (highlighted in yellow).
Multiple bullish rejection wicks indicate buying pressure at this zone.
The green arrows show successful support bounces, hinting at bullish intent.
2. Trendline Analysis:
Price bounced near the lower boundary of the falling wedge/downtrend channel.
An uptrend line convergence supports potential reversal.
A breakout above the short-term descending trendline is indicated.
3. EMA & Target Projection:
EMA 200 at 3,364.33 may act as dynamic resistance, the next short-term hurdle.
Target zone projected at 3,384.04, offering a potential move of +65.67 pts (~1.98%).
4. RSI Indicator:
RSI(14) is oversold (~29.93), signaling a potential reversal.
A bullish crossover may be forming, supporting upward momentum.
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Trading Plan:
Entry Zone: Near current support area around 3,325
Target: 3,384
Stop Loss (Suggested): Below 3,300, under support structure
Risk/Reward: Favorable based on support hold and breakout projection
Mr SMC Trading point
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Conclusion:
This setup suggests a short-term bullish reversal from a key support area, with confirmation likely if price breaks above the descending trendline and clears the 200 EMA.
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Bearish Continuation Pattern Detected on GOLD/USD Bearish Continuation Pattern Detected on GOLD/USD 📉
📊 Chart Analysis Summary:
The GOLD/USD chart shows a clear bearish continuation pattern, following a rejection from a major resistance zone.
🔍 Key Technical Highlights:
🔺 Resistance Zone:
Strong resistance at 3,420 – 3,440 USD, marked by multiple rejections (🔴 red arrows).
Price formed a Bearish Harmonic Pattern (likely a Gartley or Bat), suggesting reversal from this resistance.
🔻 Bearish Momentum:
After the pattern completed, price broke below the minor support structure and is currently forming lower highs and lower lows, indicating bearish structure.
📉 Support Level:
Strong horizontal support zone around 3,298 – 3,300 USD, marked as “TARGET.”
This area was previously tested (🟠 orange circles) and now projected to act as a target level again.
🔄 Minor Retracement Zone:
Expecting a minor pullback to 3,347 USD (purple line) before potential continuation downward.
This zone aligns with the previous support turned resistance (classic SR flip).
🎯 Target Projection:
Based on the bearish impulse and measured move, the projected target is around 3,298.758 USD, which coincides with the previous support zone.
📌 Conclusion:
The price action suggests a high-probability bearish continuation, targeting the 3,298 USD zone unless the price breaks and holds above 3,347 USD. Traders may consider selling on rallies with a confirmation of rejection at resistance.
📉 Bias: Bearish
📍 Invalidation: Break and daily close above 3,347 USD
📉
📊 Chart Analysis Summary:
The GOLD/USD chart shows a clear bearish continuation pattern, following a rejection from a major resistance zone.
🔍 Key Technical Highlights:
🔺 Resistance Zone:
Strong resistance at 3,420 – 3,440 USD, marked by multiple rejections (🔴 red arrows).
Price formed a Bearish Harmonic Pattern (likely a Gartley or Bat), suggesting reversal from this resistance.
🔻 Bearish Momentum:
After the pattern completed, price broke below the minor support structure and is currently forming lower highs and lower lows, indicating bearish structure.
📉 Support Level:
Strong horizontal support zone around 3,298 – 3,300 USD, marked as “TARGET.”
This area was previously tested (🟠 orange circles) and now projected to act as a target level again.
🔄 Minor Retracement Zone:
Expecting a minor pullback to 3,347 USD (purple line) before potential continuation downward.
This zone aligns with the previous support turned resistance (classic SR flip).
🎯 Target Projection:
Based on the bearish impulse and measured move, the projected target is around 3,298.758 USD, which coincides with the previous support zone.
📌 Conclusion:
The price action suggests a high-probability bearish continuation, targeting the 3,298 USD zone unless the price breaks and holds above 3,347 USD. Traders may consider selling on rallies with a confirmation of rejection at resistance.
📉 Bias: Bearish
📍 Invalidation: Break and daily close above 3,347 USD
GOLD/USD Falling Wedge Breakout PotentialChart Analysis:
The chart illustrates a Falling Wedge Pattern, a bullish reversal setup typically signaling a breakout to the upside.
📌 Key Observations:
📉 Downward Channel: Price has been compressing within a falling wedge (highlighted in blue), indicating potential exhaustion of sellers.
💪 Support Zone: Strong support observed near the 3,340 level, with price rejecting this zone multiple times (highlighted with orange circles).
🔼 Bullish Signals: Price recently tested the lower wedge boundary and bounced, suggesting potential reversal.
🎯 Breakout Target: Projected target after breakout is around 3,453.453 USD, aligned with previous resistance zone.
🟢 Buy Pressure Arrows: Green arrows signal previous bullish reactions from similar demand zones.
📈 Conclusion:
If price breaks above the wedge’s upper boundary with volume confirmation, a bullish rally toward 3,453 is expected. Keep an eye on breakout retest for entry validation.
✅ Trading Plan Suggestion:
Entry: On breakout above wedge resistance
SL: Below recent swing low (~3,330)
TP: 3,453 zone 🎯
🔔 Note: Wait for a confirmed breakout before entering to avoid false signals.
When will the price of gold fall?Market news:
In the early Asian session on Friday (June 20), spot gold fell narrowly and is currently trading around $3,360 per ounce. London gold prices fluctuated violently under the dual influence of the Fed's hawkish stance and geopolitical tensions. Powell's hawkish stance cooled the market's expectations for interest rate cuts. As a non-yielding asset, international gold is under obvious pressure under high interest rate expectations. In sharp contrast to the Fed's hawkish stance, geopolitical tensions have provided important safe-haven support for international gold prices. The escalation of the Israeli-Iranian conflict has not only exacerbated tensions in the Middle East, but also triggered market concerns about the global security environment. As a traditional safe-haven asset, gold is often sought after when geopolitical risks rise. In the short term, the continued escalation of the conflict between Israel and Iran may continue to drive safe-haven funds into the gold market, but the direction of the Fed's monetary policy and the specific implementation of the Trump administration's tariff policy will have a key impact on the medium- and long-term trend of gold prices.
Technical Review :
Gold maintained a volatile closing. The daily chart closed with alternating buying and selling for four consecutive trading days. There was no trend continuation. We will continue to pay attention to the 3350/3390 range during the day. Today's trading ideas are still short-term, selling at high prices and buying at low prices to participate in the volatile trend.So far this week, gold has been difficult to break out of the continuity of buying and selling. Yesterday, Thursday, under the temporary performance of gold's short-term dollar trend, we are optimistic that gold will fluctuate in the range, with the maximum range at 3350/3400, but there may often be a breakout on Thursday. Therefore, today we should pay attention to both trading within the range and the strength after the breakout.
Today's analysis:
Gold fluctuated overall yesterday due to the early closure of the US market, and the fluctuation was not large. However, gold as a whole is still biased towards selling. Gold is now weak in buying and rebounding, so there is a lot of room for gold selling. Next, we will continue to sell gold. If there is no particularly large profit to support gold, then gold buying may not cause any big waves in the short term. Gold 1-hour moving average continues to cross and sell downward. Gold selling is strong and there is still room for downward movement. After gold fell yesterday, the highest rebound was around 3378, and then it continued to fall back. After rebounding several times, it did not break through 3378 again. Gold continued to sell at high prices under pressure at 3378. Gold is now fluctuating and falling, and the center of gravity is constantly moving downward. With this trend, gold may accelerate downward at any time.
Operation ideas:
Short-term gold 3335-3338 buy, stop loss 3328, target 3370-3380;
Short-term gold 3360-3370 short, stop loss 3387, target 3330-3340;
Key points:
First support level: 3352, second support level: 3344, third support level: 3331
First resistance level: 3378, second resistance level: 3388, third resistance level: 3400
GOLD/USD Support Retest & Breakdown SetupGOLD/USD Support Retest & Breakdown Setup 📉🔍
🔹 Overview:
The chart indicates a potential bearish continuation pattern on GOLD/USD as the price is approaching a key support level at 3,335.305. Previous price action shows multiple rejections from the resistance zone (~3,435), followed by lower highs – a sign of weakening bullish momentum.
📊 Technical Analysis:
🔺 Resistance Zone (~3,435)
Multiple rejections (🔴 red arrows) indicate strong supply pressure.
Price has failed to break above this area thrice, forming a clear ceiling.
🔻 Support Zone (~3,335)
Marked as the target for a short setup.
Price is testing this level again after forming a minor consolidation below lower highs.
A clean break below this purple zone may trigger a continuation to the downside, targeting the broader support range below (~3,240).
🟠 Bearish Structure:
Series of lower highs (highlighted with circles).
Breakdown pattern is developing with declining bullish momentum.
📈 Potential Play:
A confirmed breakdown below 3,335 could lead to a drop toward the next major support.
If support holds, short-term bounce is possible but limited by the dominant resistance.
📌 Conclusion:
GOLD/USD is currently in a bearish setup, with the market eyeing a potential breakdown below a critical support zone. If this level fails to hold, we could see accelerated bearish momentum toward the lower support range.
💡 Caution: Wait for a confirmed close below support before entering any short trades.
XAU/USD) Back Bullish trand Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) on the 3-hour timeframe based on a price action setup within a rising channel and a key support zone. Here's a breakdown of the analysis:
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Technical Overview:
Trend Structure:
The price is moving within a rising channel (marked by the black trendlines). Recent touches on both the top and bottom of the channel suggest that it is being respected.
Key Support Zone (Yellow Box):
Price recently tested a strong support zone around $3,338 – $3,350, which aligns with:
Historical price reaction area.
The 200 EMA (blue line).
An uptrend line support.
A bullish reaction (green arrow) confirming demand.
Bear Trap Breakout:
There’s a false breakout below the support followed by a sharp reversal (green arrow), which could indicate a bear trap, often followed by a bullish rally.
Price Projection:
The projected move suggests a bullish rally toward $3,478.89, offering a potential 3.97% gain (~133 points).
The path includes a possible consolidation before a breakout (illustrated by the wavy arrow).
RSI Indicator:
RSI is recovering from the oversold zone (~45), indicating increasing bullish momentum.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Trade Idea Summary:
Bias: Bullish
Entry Zone: Around $3,350–$3,370 (post-retest of support)
Target: $3,478.89
Confirmation: Bullish price action at support, 200 EMA bounce, RSI reversal
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XAU/USD) Back support level Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs U.S. Dollar) – 2H Timeframe:
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XAU/USD Bearish Rejection from Resistance – Short-Term Sell Setup
Key Observations:
1. Rejection from Upper Channel & Resistance Zone:
Price was rejected sharply after touching the upper boundary of the ascending channel and the newly established resistance zone (~3400–3420).
A strong bearish candle confirms selling pressure at the top.
2. Support Retest in Progress:
The price is currently descending toward the EMA 200 and the KYY support zone (approximately 3343–3348).
The previous bounce originated from this level, making it a significant retest zone.
3. EMA 200 as Confluence:
The 200 EMA (currently at 3346.92) aligns with the support zone, increasing the likelihood of a bounce or at least temporary pause in bearish momentum.
4. RSI Bearish Signal:
RSI has dropped below 50, confirming a momentum shift toward the downside.
Still above oversold territory, suggesting more downside room.
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Trade Idea:
Bias: Bearish (Short-Term)
Entry Zone: Around 3390–3400 (confirmed rejection area)
Target Zone: 3348 – 3343 (KYY support + EMA 200)
Stop Loss: Above 3425 (just above resistance zone)
Mr SMC Trading point
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Summary:
Gold has faced a clear rejection at a key resistance zone within an ascending channel, and is now targeting the EMA 200 and previous structural support. Short opportunities could be considered toward the 3343–3348 zone, with RSI and price action supporting the move.
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Accurately grasp the interest rate trend, today's gold layout📰 Impact of news:
1. The interest rate remains unchanged and leads to new lows in the short term
2. Geopolitical tensions provide support for risk aversion
📈 Market analysis:
I told you yesterday that 3363 is not the recent low. Today's lowest point has reached around 3347. The current day's K-line closed with a medium-sized negative line with balanced upper and lower shadows. The shape shows that gold will fluctuate in the short term and be bearish. Therefore, it is not suitable to blindly guess the bottom in the short term. As geopolitical tensions still exist, it is expected that the lowest level may reach 3330. During the day, focus on the upper resistance range of 3380-3390. If the rebound is blocked, try to intervene with short orders. The lower support is at the key level of 3330-3320. Pay attention to the defense of the support area.
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3335-3325
TP 3360-3380-3390-3400
SELL 3375-3385
TP 3365-3355-3345-3300
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Is 2025 the right time to make plans?Market news:
On Thursday (June 19) in the early Asian session, spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading around $3,380/ounce. As an important safe-haven asset in the global financial market, the price fluctuations of international gold are often affected by macroeconomic policies, geopolitical situations and market sentiment. Recently, the gold market has shown a complex and eye-catching trend under the dual influence of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.The Federal Reserve decided to keep the benchmark overnight interest rate unchanged at 4.25%-4.50% at its meeting on June 18. This decision was in line with market expectations, but its subsequent statement brought new uncertainty to the London gold price market. This cautious stance weakened the market's expectations for the Federal Reserve's rapid easing, causing gold prices to fall 0.57% on Wednesday to close at $3,369/ounce.The current gold market is in a complex environment with multiple factors intertwined. The Federal Reserve's cautious monetary policy stance and inflation expectations caused by tariffs have brought short-term pressure on gold prices, but geopolitical tensions and signs of economic slowdown have provided potential upward momentum for gold prices. Pay attention to the dynamic changes in the global economy and geopolitics to seize investment opportunities in the gold market.
Technical Review:
Gold fell to the MA10-day moving average of 3662 in the early morning and counterattacked 3380 in the Asian session. The Asian session will continue to look at the rebound strength. The gold price will continue to fluctuate and adjust. The large range is 3408/3343, and the small range is 3390/3360. The daily chart fell back to the 10-day moving average at 3362, and the MA5/7-day moving average was suppressed at 3385/90. The RSI indicator continued to flatten the middle axis. The short-term four-hour chart price is running in the middle and lower tracks of the Bollinger Band!
This week, gold rose sharply to 3450 at the opening, and gradually fell slowly to 3365, with a strength of 100 US dollars. Although the main strength in the first two trading days was a decline, the buying trend remained unchanged. In an uncertain environment, there is still a chance of a big rise in the future. So this week's idea continues to maintain short-term selling and long-term buying.
Today's analysis:
After the Fed's interest rate decision, the Fed kept the interest rate unchanged as expected, which was in line with market expectations. Gold continued to fluctuate and fall in the short term, and there was no obvious upward momentum for buying. Even if it was a risk aversion, it might be careful of the trend of rising and falling. Since gold was under pressure at 3400, it continued to sell at high prices when it rebounded under pressure at 3400 during the day.The gold 1-hour moving average continued to sell downward dead cross patterns, and the gold buying rebound was weak. It was under pressure at 3400 for many times in the past two days and began to fall. The short-term 3400 line of gold has become a strong resistance. If gold buying cannot break through 3400 strongly, then gold buying will be difficult to improve. It is likely that it will still be the main venue for gold selling. Gold rebounded at 3400 during the day and continued to sell at high prices.
Operation ideas:
Short-term gold 3365-3368 buy, stop loss 3356, target 3390-3440;
Short-term gold 3395-3398 sell, stop loss 3407, target 3370-3350;
Key points:
First support level: 3368, second support level: 3354, third support level: 3333
First resistance level: 3396, second resistance level: 3408, third resistance level: 3420
The interest rate remains volatile,and the gold operation layout📰 Impact of news:
1. Initial jobless claims data
2. US-Iran conflict continues
3. Pay attention to the Fed's decision
📈 Market analysis:
Gold has been trading sideways recently. It is expected that there will not be much fluctuation before today's Fed interest rate information and Powell's speech. It is expected to continue to fluctuate in the range of 3405-3365. At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical conflicts in the short term is also a point we need to pay attention to.
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3380-3375-3365-3355
TP 3395-3400-3405
SELL 3405-3395
TP 3380-3375-3360
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Interest rate decision bearish
Today, the focus is on the Fed's latest interest rate decision, which will be announced on Wednesday. The market generally expects that it will maintain the policy rate range of 4.25%-4.50%. Trump recently asked the Fed to cut interest rates by one percentage point immediately, but the market reacted cautiously, believing that a sharp rate cut may increase inflation risks, especially in the context of Middle East conflicts pushing up oil prices. Fed Chairman Powell's statement at the press conference will become the focus of market attention. The market expects the Fed to maintain a cautious and patient tone, and the guidance on the interest rate outlook may be vague.
Technically, in terms of support, the 10-day moving average and the 20-day moving average form important support near 3464/3463 and 3445 respectively. In terms of resistance, yesterday's high near 3403 constitutes a key resistance above. If gold prices want to reverse the current weak pattern, they need to successfully break through this resistance level to open up upward space.
Today's detailed operation strategy
Short gold rebounds near 3400, defense 3410, target 3380-3364
Long gold falls back near 3364, defense 3356, target 3380-3400