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Goldmansachs

It's the energy, babyINVESTMENT CONTEXT Inflation in the UK reached 9.1% in May, up a tad from 9.0% reading in April IEA warned the EU to brace for a potential full cut of energy supply from Russia, with outsized repercussions on the bloc's GDP Germany’s finance minister called the EU ban on sales of combustion engines cars by 2035 a “wrong decision” Goldman Sachs upped its latest forecast for probability of a recession over the next two years from 35% to 48%; ARK's CEO Cathie Wood identified in the Fed's excessively tightening monetary policy a cause that could plunge the economy into recession On June 21, ProShares launched its Short Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITI), the first inverse exchange-traded fund linked to BTC, which allows investors to bet against the world's largest cryptocurrency by market cap Crypto exchange FTX extended a USD 250mln credit line to crypto lender BlockFi, shortly after bailing out crypto broker Voyager Digital with a USD 485mln loan PROFZERO'S TAKE All Profs timely highlighted the criticality of energy driving the next steps of the ECB monetary policy - other than hopefully accelerating replies from the industrial side, in an effort to ensure greater security and diversification of supply to the continent. Now those warnings are coming to the fore. The Central Bank of Spain estimates a full halt of energy supplies from Russia would plunge EU GDP by between 2.5% and 4.2%; Goldman Sachs locates the crunch at 2.2%, with sizable impacts in Germany (-3.4%) and Italy (-2.6%). Risk management predicates the "build back better" doctrine - when a major crisis strikes, opportunities arise for decision makers to rebuild infrastructures, making them more resilient. Profs really hope this time the EU won't turn a blind eye to the opportunity of pursuing for once a coordinated, integrated, energy strategy The escalating narrative between U.S. President Biden and the energy sector majors regarding lifting energy output is starting to look paradoxical to ProfZero. According to EIA, U.S. crude oil production was 17.44mboe/d in Q2 2020, at the trough of the pandemic (on April 20, 2020, WTI futures closed on negative territory at USD 37.65/boe below zero); it took 5 quarters for the industry to add 1.5mboe/d, setting production at 18.94mboe/d in Q3 2021, and yet 3 more quarters to add another 1mboe/d (output in Q2 2022 is estimated at 19.94mboe/d). U.S. production broke through 20mboe/d only once in history, on Q4 2019 - at the peak of the previous economic cycle. President Biden demand to hike internal output in a bout to put a lid on retail fuel prices looks therefore hazardous; it would heavily backtrack on the much-touted energy transition off from fossil fuels, while amassing capital investment in a sector that has been demonstrated to require entire quarters before its output may adjust. Even deeper into detail, U.S. refining capacity plummeted from all-time high in - guess when - Q2 2020 at 17.72mboe/d to 15.56mboe/d in Q1 2022, owing exactly to the energy transition kicking older plants off the industry, while leaving higher margins ("crack spreads") to those who stayed. As much as soft commodities, the move off from crude oil into natural gas has been taken for granted for too long. Policy makers were swift to point the finger to the bad guys; but too little was done to build the infrastructures of the energy of the future. A few more refinery runs won't make up for the problem PROFTHREE'S TAKE Out of the crude oil frying pan, into natural gas fire - mindful of coal burn. The Netherlands lifted limits on its three coal-fired power plants from 35% to full capacity until 2024; similar measures were undertaken by Austria, Germany and Italy as Russia goes all-out on natural gas curtailments. European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen urged Europe not to "backslide" its long-term commitment to cut fossil fuel usage, and to remain focused on "massive investments in renewables". ProfZero and ProfThree's eyebrows are as high as TTF gas prices - with but 4 months ahead of winter season, and the notorious impossibility for renewable energy to be stored, Profs are in fact fearing a much more worrisome backslide for the EU - one into full energy recession
CME:BTC1!
by ProfZero
GS To Rise In Value?Good Day To The Investing World Goldman Sachs has a bullish future, and its clear to see why. The graph shows us that the long entry is larger than the short entry, showing the value is increasing. Second, with US stocks going up in value, and the US Economy recovering from the big hit of increased interest rates, Goldman Sachs will almost very likely treat it as an opportunity. Lastly, the lines on the graph, which shows us that GS's high and low are both going upwards. As always, read the graph if your opinion differs!
NYSE:GS
by Audace_Club_de_Automobili
1
GS Fibonacci Circle Price Positions There are two positions we are either in The white rectangle which is the beginning of a rejection pattern along the circle, or a green circle which is a bullish pattern that finds support on the circle I am leaning more towards the green circle position (bullish state) due to the position price being quite highly above the circle and it is more comparable to the green circle on the yellow fib ring Being above the green trend line adds to this bullish assumption This is the Weekly chart for GS (Goldman Sachs)
NYSE:GS
by Bixley
HOLD THE LINE! Market Makers managed to push BTC under the important support of about 28200 . As you know from my previous Analysis BTC is very well correlated to SPX and it does not look good there either. I try not to do margin trading so I sold some of my BTC and put a BUY order around 21k . (Many OGs hope that BTC will not fall lower than the All time high of the previous cycle. I wonder though how BlackRock and Citadel as well as Goldman Sucks managed to crash this market in a concerted manner, what they are up to next???? I mean obviously all the big players are all in on crypto and want to own the whole sector....
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by ttk100
Expected Key Points Goldman Sachs 12 May 2022Godman Sachs 12 May 2022 The current implied volatility is at 46.4%/year So that converted into daily is 2.92% The close of yesterday was 301.55 So based on that our channel for today is going to be compressed within TOP 310.5 BOT 282.5 with a probability chance of 78.2% based on the last 3007 candles From fundamental point, today we have PPI and initial jobless claims releases and these mark a huge volatility moment At the same time the current values are expected to be bearish.
NYSE:GS
by exlux
$GS Goldman Sachs - Key Levels, Analysis, & Targets$GS Goldman Sachs - Key Levels, Analysis, & Targets This is a very long view, taking GS from the bottom of 2008 until today…. I’m expecting another 35% drawdown from here, but not necessarily by the end of the year which I have pictured… I was just running out of room so I didn’t want to push it further out. I’d say by the end of 2023. Around 210 I’d be comfortable truly going long again. Until then, it’s trader country. Every target is a good target to add for a swing, and personally, I’m just going to continue selling puts at the bottom of the expected range until we’re at least under the 250 level. Trade setup 1 at 308.04 1 at 292.99 2 at 248.98 4 at 210 8 at 185.52 (Then multiply by your multiplier (x5, x10, x100, x1000, etc to find your position size) --- I am not your financial advisor. Watch my setups first before you jump in (or go back and review my past setups)… My trade set ups work very well and they are for my personal reference and if you decide to trade them you do so at your own risk. I will gladly answer questions to the best of my knowledge but ultimately the risk is on you. I will update targets as needed. GL and happy trading. IF you need anything analyzed Technically just comment with the Ticker and I’ll do it as soon as possible…
NYSE:GSShort
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
Goldman losing its pile of Gold. GSImmediate targets 344, 325, 301. Invalidation 467. We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe
NYSE:GSShort
by Rykin_Capital
3
Another short on Goldman. GSBDGoals 18.84, 18.32, 17.69 . Invalidation at 22.23 . We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe
NYSE:GSBDShort
by Rykin_Capital
1
GSCO - Weekly / Goldman Sachs Per usual, GSCO pays out Executives at the HIghest rate in history and promptly implodes $63 from its recent November Highs. November - the chosen month for ALL Highs in Equity. _________________________________________________________ $3.8bn, or $10.81 per share, compared with $4.36bn, or $12.08 per share YOY. Bonuses up 31% year on year in the fourth quarter @ $3.2bn, Annual salary expenses were up 33% @ $17.7bn in 2021. Wage Inflation... Traders at Goldman had a stellar year. Management missed out on Floating Tennis Ball XMAS this Year.
NYSE:GS
by HK_L61
2
Copper - Just the BeginningCopper futures broke out of their wedge this week, with per tonne prices breaking the $10,000 milestone. Names such as Freeport-McMoran (FCX) are benefitting from this, while TRQ is on discount due to. setback in their mining process. Despite Fed tapering, copper is strong, surprisingly. I believe that now is the time to get in "The New Oil", as stated by Goldman Sachs, who gives the commodity a 50% upside before 2025. If copper moving 10% has resulted in Freeport going from $30 to $39, think of what will happen if Goldman and the rest of the Street is right... Thesis: Goldman Sachs recently published a note declaring copper "the new oil," and forecasting it could reach $15,000 (50% inc.) by 2025 as the world transitions to clean energy. As the movement to sustainability/clean energy progresses, the exponential increase in demand for copper will outrun supply due to slow mine creation, centralized property rights. Although it may take a few years and experience some drawdown, depleted inventories and a demand spike will likely cause the price to rise significantly over the next decade, with Bank of America suggesting a possible 100% increase to $20,000 per metric ton by 2025. Overall sentiment on the Street is extremely bullish in the mid-to-long-term.
COMEX:HG1!Long
by nickygin
Goldman Sachs | Detailed Fundamental Analysis Investment banking behemoth Goldman Sachs recently announced its intention to acquire GreenSky, a sales and "buy-now-pay-later" fintech company, in an all-stock deal worth about $2.2 billion. GreenSky is a major intermediary for home improvement loans and planned transactions, and allows customers to make purchases and repay them in multiple payments over some time. GreenSky currently serves a $9 billion loan portfolio and has served about 4 million consumers with about $30 billion in loans since launch. Here are three reasons why Goldman is entering the "buy-now-pay-later" realm and acquiring GreenSky. First, to help continue Marcus' growth. Over the past several years, GS has been looking to grow its franchise in consumer lending to generate more stable revenues that can be volatile in investment banking. An important part of that strategy was the bank's launch of its digital bank, Marcus, which offers high-yield savings accounts, loans, and credit cards, and eventually plans to offer checking accounts as well. GreenSky will help Marcus expand its offering of credit products, but apart from that, it will help the bank increase its overall user base. Marcus currently has about 8 million customers. GreenSky provides a low-cost strategy for acquiring not only more customers who will take high-profit loans, but also customers who can be cross-sold other Marcus products - whether it's a savings or checking account or perhaps a mortgage. In a presentation on the acquisition, Goldman said GreenSky represents an opportunity to capture the $430 billion home repair market, which provides 20% plus returns at scale. GreenSky has also created a network of more than 10,000 salespeople with whom it works to transact and engage customers at the point of sale. This segment could also be valuable in the future. Goldman already offers many capital markets and investment banking products that it could sell to these customers. And who knows, maybe at some point the bank will expand its consumer franchise into business banking. Of course, this is not projected or anticipated, but this segment could be a great starting point if Goldman ever decides to do so. Second, it would help improve the bank's stability. Most fintech companies tend to struggle to generate the profitability and returns that shareholders want because they are acting as a bank without being a licensed bank. Not being a bank has its advantages, most notably less regulatory oversight, which allows these fast-moving technology companies to be more nimble and acquire customers in a much more efficient way than a traditional bank. But the disadvantage is that fintechs cannot collect cheap deposits to finance loans and therefore have to count on partner banks and warehouse space, which increases the cost of financing. GreenSky also relies on partner banks for its loans, which probably costs them as well. With the backing of a major bank like Goldman, GreenSky won't have to worry as much about the financing aspect, especially if Marcus proves successful in collecting deposits. The bank will also probably be able -- if it wants to -- to put these high-interest loans on its balance sheet and collect regular monthly interest payments. This is more profitable than selling loans for fees, on which GreenSky earns most of its income. Goldman will also be able to offer GreenSky more resources to improve its technology platform. Well, third, it's a pretty good purchase price. Goldman's $2.2 billion offer sent GreenSky's stock soaring more than 50 percent, but the purchase price is not such a crazy valuation for a somewhat promising fintech company operating on a "buy-now-pay-later" basis, a sector that is now attracting a lot of investor interest. On a prospective basis and after the Goldman announcement, GreenSky currently trades at 3.8 to sales, 20 to earnings, and 14.3 to earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA). As Marcus and the consumer banking franchise seem to be on the right track, this Goldman deal is to everyone's liking. It offers the consumer banking business a whole new customer base with a low acquisition rate to which it can hopefully cross-sell its other consumer banking products. In addition, the price Goldman is paying is reasonable, given how large the bank is and how the bank's stability should make GreenSky's operations more efficient and profitable.
NYSE:GSShort
by FOREXN1
3