When gold retraces, be brave enough to buy goldDear traders:
As I expected, gold failed to fall below 2700 even during the recent bull-bear game. The 2695-2690 area has formed a support area that cannot be ignored, which is conducive to the continued rise of gold.
At present, gold has formed a new low structure near 2700 many times in the local structure, so gold may form a new relay platform near 2700. Once the relay platform is successfully built, it will further stimulate buying to support gold to continue to rise to the 2740-2750 area. As mentioned in my previous article, during the fierce battle between the bulls and bears for control of gold, I have already bought gold near 2702. At present, gold has rebounded above 2709 again. Our long positions have begun to make good profits. Wait patiently for gold to take off!
Bros, have you followed me to do long gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Goldmarket
Gold (XAU/USD) AnalysisHello Dear Traders! share Your Thoughts In comments Section Thanks For Support
In My Analysis Of Gold (XAU/USD) on the 4-hour Timeframe. Here's the Details:
Technical Analysis
1. Trend and Channel:
Gold is in a bullish trend, trading within an upward price channel
Price recently tested the upper resistance of the channel (Point 3) and is now consolidating near a key resistance zone.
2. Key Levels:
Resistance Levels:
Around 2725–2745, marked as potential profit-taking zones (TP).
Support Levels:
Strong support near 2690–2700 aligns with the lower channel boundary and past consolidation zones.
Major support around 2630–2650 in case of a deeper retracement.
3. Chart Pattern:
A possible pullback to the support zone (2700) may occur before resuming the bullish trend toward the next targets (2725 and 2745).
Fundamental Analysis
1. Market Sentiment:
Gold's bullish momentum reflects a possible safe-haven demand amid economic uncertainty or declining USD strength.
Investors might also be positioning ahead of key economic data (e.g., inflation, central bank policies).
2. Key Drivers:
If U.S. interest rates remain unchanged or expectations of cuts in increase, it could support further gains in Gold.
Conversely, stronger U.S. economic data or hawkish central bank commentary might lead to a short-term correction.
Outlook
Bullish Scenario: A sustained breakout above 2745 could open the door to further gains toward higher levels.
Bearish Scenario: Failure to hold support at 2700 may trigger a correction toward 2650–2630.
Gold Suggests a bullish bias, with a potential pullback to support before resuming the upward trend.
NOTE: This Analysis For Educational Purposes Only Not A Trading Advice
Is Gold the Ultimate Safe Haven in 2025?In the labyrinthine world of finance, gold has once again captured the spotlight, breaking records as speculative buying and geopolitical tensions weave a complex narrative around its valuation. The precious metal's price surge is not merely a reaction to market trends but a profound statement on the global economic landscape. Investors are increasingly viewing gold as a beacon of stability amidst an ocean of uncertainty, driven by the Middle East's ongoing unrest and the strategic maneuvers of central banks. This phenomenon challenges us to reconsider the traditional roles of investment assets in safeguarding wealth against international volatility.
The inauguration of Donald Trump as President has injected further intrigue into the gold market. His administration's initial steps, notably the delay in imposing aggressive tariffs, have led to a nuanced dance between inflation expectations and U.S. dollar strength. Analysts from major financial institutions like Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley are now dissecting how Trump's policies might steer inflation, influence Federal Reserve actions, and ultimately, dictate gold's trajectory. This intersection of policy and market dynamics invites investors to think critically about how political decisions can reshape economic landscapes.
China's burgeoning appetite for gold, exemplified by the frenzied trading of gold-related ETFs, underscores a broader shift towards commodities as traditional investment avenues like real estate falter. The Chinese central bank's consistent gold acquisitions reflect a strategic move towards diversifying reserves away from the U.S. dollar, particularly in light of global economic sanctions. This strategic pivot in one of the world's largest economies poses a compelling question: are we witnessing a fundamental realignment in global financial power structures, with gold at its core?
As we navigate through 2025, gold's role transcends simple investment; it becomes a narrative of economic resilience and geopolitical foresight. The interplay between inflation, monetary policy, and international relations not only affects gold's price but also challenges investors to adapt their strategies in an ever-evolving market. Can gold maintain its luster as the ultimate Safe Haven, or will new economic paradigms shift its golden allure? This enigma invites us to delve deeper into the metal's historical significance and its future in a world where certainty is a luxury few can afford.
XAUUSD3 strong rejaction on 2730 finally gold rejected 4th time as well, strong strong suply zone. weekly candle was closed bullish, kind of confusion but as techniclly i see a short from , if price din return in favore back to 2730 could be a double top.
everything depend on the market opning on monday.
what are your thought, let me know in the comment.
NFP market, try to short gold!Dear traders:
Gold is currently hovering around 2680, maintaining a bullish structure. However, based on the current price action characteristics, I am hesitant to continue chasing long positions. Over the past two days, there has been significant volatility, with many false signals emerging, making me cautious about blindly going long on gold.
With the NFP and unemployment rate data set to be released in 30min, I believe that even if gold continues its upward trend, the news-driven market may first flush out many lower-level long positions. As a result, gold could experience a pullback before resuming its trajectory.
So in short-term trading, I will still choose to short gold in the 2680-2690 zone first, with the target pointing to the 2660-2650 region.Bros, are you optimistic about the decline of gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Be prepared to short gold anytime!Dear traders,gold has recently accelerated its upward momentum, reaching a high of $2674. As I’ve consistently projected, gold was set to rise toward the $2670–$2680 range, and now that prediction has been fulfilled! For those of you who have followed my trading strategies and maintained long positions, I trust you’ve achieved substantial profits in this bullish gold market.
Now that gold has successfully reached the $2670–$2680 zone, the question is: how should we trade gold next? While gold remains in a robust uptrend, the short-term upside appears limited to an additional $10–$20, suggesting a potential move toward the $2685–$2695 range. However, due to potential external factors or market catalysts, gold could face a pullback before reaching this level. As such, chasing gold at these elevated prices poses significant risks.
So, how do we position ourselves for shorting gold? If gold extends its climb into the $2680–$2690 zone, I plan to initiate short positions gradually, leveraging both fundamental market news and technical divergence signals. Gold may encounter resistance in this range and could reverse, initiating a corrective move.
Are you ready to capitalize on the opportunity to short gold? Let’s stay vigilant and prepared for the next big move! If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Gold is expected to rise to the 2670-2680 after consolidatiGold has been consolidating intraday, fluctuating primarily within the 2645-2655 range. From the structural perspective, it is evident that although gold has repeatedly faced resistance near 2655 in the short term, there is no significant downside retracement, resembling the previous staircase-like upward movement. This suggests that gold could utilize the consolidation phase to build upward momentum, paving the way for a breakout rally toward the 2670-2680 zone.
Therefore, in the short term, I remain bullish on gold. Key support levels to watch are concentrated in the 2645-2635 range.Bros, are you optimistic about the continued rise of gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Gold possible Set ups for this weekSo as of right now this is what I'm seeing for possible play's. We have an uptrend but its hitting an area were we need to see a break or this is going to be the place were we start breaking down & making lower lows. We will see what the market gives us. This pair moves really good during Asian Session & London Session.
Unlocking Gold’s Potential in 2025: What Traders Must Know!!!COMEX:GC1! After a strong rise in 2024, gold has started to solidify its position in 2025. Known for its status as a safe-haven asset, gold benefited from economic uncertainty, geopolitical tensions, and changes in monetary policy. Undoubtedly, by the end of 2024, profit-taking occurred, which caused gold prices to fall from their historic highs. However, as 2025 begins, traders are readjusting their perspectives and strategies, which is providing support to gold.
1. Review of 2024: A Glorious Year for Gold
• In 2024, gold saw a significant surge, with prices rising sharply due to various factors. Changes in central bank policies, particularly the Federal Reserve's rate cuts, played a crucial role in driving gold prices higher. Gold ended the year up 27%, marking a 23% increase compared to the previous year.
• The primary reasons for the pullback from gold's historic highs were twofold. First, traders began to lock in profits, as the annual price increase for this precious metal seemed too good to be true. Second, U.S. economic data, particularly inflation figures, began to show signs of an unexpected reversal. After dropping to its lowest point in 2024, U.S. inflation data began to rise, causing the Federal Reserve to reconsider its extremely dovish monetary policy, which led to multiple rate cuts throughout the year. By the end of 2024, traders' sentiment indicated that the Fed was unlikely to cut rates further in its next meeting, which resulted in the U.S. dollar index rising relative to gold prices.
2. Recalibrating with a New Perspective
• As we enter 2025, traders are considering three key factors that could significantly support gold prices. First, a major event will take place on January 20, when the new president will be inaugurated. The elected president may pressure the Federal Reserve to cut rates further, advocating for a lower interest rate environment. This suggests that, despite some members of the Fed being reluctant to lower rates, the Federal Reserve may be compelled to do so under pressure from the new president.
• Second, the incoming president is expected to escalate trade tensions with other countries, potentially affecting economic growth and increasing geopolitical uncertainty. If this occurs, it may lead some investors to reconsider the U.S. dollar’s status as a safe-haven currency, which could increase demand for gold.
• Third, we are entering a period in which most investors are reallocating funds within their portfolios. Considering the performance over the past two years and the potential for trade policy-driven geopolitical tensions, we may see a fresh influx of capital into gold.
3. Price Trends
• Gold prices have now surpassed the 50-day simple moving average (SMA), which is a positive indicator for the trend. As long as prices remain above this level, we may see a more bullish momentum in the market.
Gold broke the down trend and retesting it (bullish)Prices is currently above the 200 MA, I also see the price broke the down trend and is retesting The price is currently above the 200 MA. I also noticed that it has broken the downtrend and is now retesting it. If the price breaks through the bearish order block (OB) and successfully retests it, I anticipate it will continue moving upwards and potentially reach the top.
What are your thoughts? Let me know in the comments
XAU/USD H4The XAU/USD pair appears poised for a bullish trend in the near future. After a brief pullback to retest a key support zone and trendline, it is expected to resume its upward momentum, presenting an excellent opportunity for long positions. Traders should monitor these levels closely for confirmation of the trend continuation.
Start going long goldBros, yesterday I emphasized that the key resistance area for gold in the short term is in the 2720-2725 area. Starting from today's London market, gold is just suppressed below 2720 and is currently fluctuating in the 2720-2700 area. In fact, at this time, whether we participate in long or short transactions, we have no way to make a move!
According to the current decline, gold is just profit-taking, and it is not sold off. If gold is sold off, the decline will be far more than that. So it is not completely certain that gold will return to the short trend. So the bulls still have the ability to fight back.
The 2705-2695 area below is the last line of defense for the bulls. If gold falls below this area, then gold may be sold off and continue to fall. But before a break below this support area, we have one more opportunity to go long gold.
If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Gold Market Trend Analysis for December 12, 2024: Opportunities Current Gold OANDA:XAUUSD Price Situation
Gold is currently trading around $2,713, maintaining its upward trend in both the medium and short term. After breaking through the key resistance level at $2,700, the market is now approaching the next significant resistance at $2,732. This zone is critical and will determine whether the price continues to rise or faces rejection and adjusts downward.
Trading volume on the 4-hour chart has increased during price surges, indicating active participation from buyers. However, sellers are also waiting to act at higher price levels.
Technical Analysis
Here are the key highlights of the current gold trend analysis:
Market Trend:
Primary trend: Upward.
Key support levels: $2,700 (MA50) and $2,696 (Fibonacci 50%).
Resistance: $2,732 (previous peak).
Fibonacci Retracement:
The price is trading near the 38.2% - 50% retracement levels of the move from the $2,660 low to the $2,732 high.
Strategy : Wait for the price to retrace to $2,710 (Fibonacci 38.2%) to buy.
RSI Indicator:
RSI is currently at 65, not yet in the overbought zone. However, if RSI hits 70 at $2,732, the chances of a correction will increase.
Bollinger Bands:
The price is approaching the upper band of the Bollinger Bands at $2,732, indicating strong upward momentum. If the price fails to break through, it may pull back to the middle band ($2,710).
MACD and EMA:
MACD is positive, with the signal line above 0.
EMA 50 at $2,700 continues to act as dynamic support for the upward trend.
Market Scenarios
Scenario 1: Price Continues to Rise (Breakout)
If the price breaks the $2,732 resistance with strong volume, it is likely to rise further to $2,750.
Trading Strategy:
Buy when the price closes above $2,732.
Stop Loss: $2,720.
Take Profit 1: $2,750.
Take Profit 2: $2,760.
Scenario 2: Price Rejected at Resistance
If the price is rejected at $2,732, a pullback to the $2,710 or $2,700 support level may occur.
Trading Strategy:
Sell near $2,732 if reversal signals like Pin Bar or Doji candles appear.
Stop Loss: $2,740.
Take Profit 1: $2,710.
Take Profit 2: $2,700.
Scenario 3: Price Pulls Back to Support and Bounces
If the price retraces to the $2,700 support level and holds firm, this could be an opportunity to buy along with the trend.
Trading Strategy:
Buy at $2,700.
Stop Loss: $2,688.
Take Profit 1: $2,732.
Take Profit 2: $2,750.
Advice for Traders
Practice Careful Risk Management:
Limit risk per trade to no more than 2% of your account.
Monitor Economic News:
Key economic data, such as Fed interest rate decisions or CPI, will significantly impact gold prices.
Wait for Confirmation:
Avoid emotional trading and only enter trades with clear signals at critical price zones.
Continue to buy goldAs I mentioned in my last article, gold will continue to rise. We went long on gold near 2662 in the last transaction and closed the transaction by hitting TP: 2676 for profit, easily earning 140 Pips, a very successful transaction!
At present, gold has risen to a maximum of around 2679, breaking yesterday's high in one fell swoop. The hourly level M top suppression has been ineffective, and the rising pattern remains intact. At present, gold still has the momentum and space to continue rising, so gold may still rise or even try to touch around 2690. , then we can just follow the trend and go long gold in trading.
Of course, we can't chase gold directly, but because gold has a small retracement space during the rise, we can't expect too much retracement before going long on gold, and the short-term support area has moved up to the 2670-2660 area, so we can go long on gold based on this support area.
Bros, do you continue to be bullish on gold with me? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Friends who hold short positions in gold, what should we do now?Bros, gold once rose to around 2676, but fortunately it has started to fall back now. To be honest, today's gold trading is in trouble. I originally wanted to short gold around 2660 now, and then go long gold around 2645 after gold fell back. However, gold only touched 2653 several times during the decline and then rebounded again. So I have held my short position until now, and then added the same position around 2675 to continue shorting gold. Once put me in a passive position in today's gold trading.
The better thing now is that gold has started to fall back to around 2668. Although I still have floating losses, it is much better than just now! Come on, brothers! We still have hope for turning losses into profits, so wish us good luck!
Bros, do you think my gold short position still has a chance to turn losses into profits?If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
GOLD TO CONTINUE IN BEARISH CYCLE Gold has been in a bear market since its ATH of $2,790 back in late October, as my previous gold post stated there was an opportunity for a short against gold which could see potential returns of around 7-8% in just 60-90 days (prediction generated using trend cycle AI tools).
I have slightly adjusted key level's after spending some more time utilising MTFA, the key levels are clearer now, i have also left to Fib tool on my charts to purposely show you the targets i expect gold to reach.
These are major levels, other traders will also be trading to these targets influencing the market in the direction we need it to go as a short seller.
Key levels:
Entry: $2,646
SL: $2,680 (just above recent key level to act as a barrier)
1st TP: $2,535
2nd TP: &2,470
Profits would be locked in along the way, using the TP's i have just listed out. I would also bee inclined to move stop to entry at $2,600 to remove risk all together, at this point i would be convinced enough of a complete cycle change into a complete bear market.
First short gold, then go long gold!Bros, this week's new trading journey begins from now!
Gold rebounded again under the support of safe-haven buying, and now it has reached around 2658. To be honest, gold is currently in a relatively obvious upward arrangement, and there is still room for gold to continue to rise.
However, overall, gold has not yet escaped the scope of shocks, so it is not good to directly chase gold near 2658, and the current strength of gold's rise is not firm. Gold needs to fall back to increase the liquidity of gold bulls, so we might as well consider trying to short gold with 2660-2670 as resistance, and wait for gold to fall back to the appropriate area before participating in long gold!
Bros, let's try to short gold first, and then wait patiently for gold to fall back before re-participating in long gold!If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
XAU/USD 06 December 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Bias/analysis remains the same as analysis dated 25 November 2024.
Price Action Analysis:
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 24 November 2024, whereby price was expected to print a bearish CHoCH. This is how price printed.
Currently, price is trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is anticipated to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, which is marked in blue, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,721.420.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Today's analysis and bias will remain the same as analysis dated 26 November 2024.
Price Action Analysis:
Intraday expectation and analysis dated 25 November 2024 printed as anticipated, with price successfully printing a bearish iBOS after targeting the weak internal low.
A correction from yesterday's intraday expectation: instead of targeting the weak internal high, price was expected to target the weak internal low.
Price has since printed a bullish CHoCH, indicating, but not confirming, bullish pullback phase. We are now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is anticipated to trade up to either the internal 50% EQ or the M15 supply zone before targeting the weak internal low at 2,605.310.
Alternative Scenario:
The H4 timeframe has printed a bearish CHoCH, indicating the initiation of a bearish pullback phase coupled with the fact that H4 TF is now trading in discount of internal 50%. However, this suggests that bearish momentum on M15 may face limitations as the broader H4 phase unfolds.
Note:
Given the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persistent geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is likely to remain elevated. Traders should remain cautious and prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Execute gold trading by selling high and buying lowBros, gold has been fluctuating in the 2645-2655 area most of the time today, with only a fluctuation space of $10. To be honest, it is not easy to participate in trading except for scalping. At present, gold has rebounded to around 2650 again. Gold is still in a narrow range of fluctuations as a whole. Gold may use the NFP market to break the box range, thus showing continuity.
So before the NFP market, we can still treat the market with shock in trading. Then the first thing to pay attention to above is the resistance of the 2655-2660 area, and the first thing to pay attention to below is the resistance of the 2640-2630 area. Before breaking the box range, we can rely on the support and resistance areas to sell high and buy low.
Trading strategy:
1. Using the 2655-2660 area as resistance, try to short gold;
2. Using the 2640-2630 area as support, try to long gold;
Bros, do you know how to correctly grasp the trading rhythm of gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Continue to short goldBros, today we shorted gold near 2647 with 2650-2655 as resistance according to the trading plan. The object closed the gold short position manually near 2636 and gained 100 pips, which is a good result.
Just now, gold rebounded from 2632 and has now reached 2657. I still shorted gold again near 2654 as planned. Although gold touched near 2657 during the violent fluctuations, it did not stand strong, so it did not prove the effectiveness of its breakthrough. Moreover, it also faced resistance in the 2660-2665 area above, so gold may face another correction in the short term, it will retrace at least to the 2648-2645 area.
So we can still try to short gold again in the short term, and I have already shorted gold near 2654. Wish us good luck! Bros, did you follow me to short gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Waiting for opportunities to continue shorting goldBros, gold is still operating within the oscillating range of 2630-2655, and has not made any breakthrough moves. Gold is currently trading around the mid-range position of 2641. Currently, gold is trading around the mid-waist position of 2641. To be honest, the mid-waist position is not very easy to participate in trading, because gold has room for fluctuations up and down, at least it is not easy to set SL in the execution of transactions, so we can still wait patiently for trading opportunities.
From the perspective of gold structure, gold is still relatively weak, so I still prefer to short gold in trading, so if gold can rebound to the 2650-2655 area, I will continue to try to short gold.
Bros, do you know how to correctly grasp the trading rhythm of gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
XAUUSD 1HR CHART UPDATEGold 1HR Chart Update ✅✅
The market has made a decisive move, taking out the Buyside Liquidity 🔥. This highlights the precision and predictability of the price action as it sweeps through key levels.
Traders who anticipated this move are now positioned to capitalize on the shift in liquidity. With such precision, it’s a clear reminder of the importance of patience and analysis in navigating the market.
Stay focused—more opportunities are unfolding ahead!
Next, how to grasp gold trading and make money!Bros, today I shorted gold near 2650 according to the trading plan. Although gold once rose to around 2655 during the period, as gold fell sharply to around 2635 in the short term, it was obvious that our short position was closed by hitting TP: 2637. In this short transaction, I made a profit of more than $6K, which is a good trading result.
From the current gold structure, gold closed above 2630 many times during the decline. It can be clearly seen that a certain amount of buying support has accumulated in the 2635-2630 area; but in the absence of rebound strength, if gold cannot effectively break through the 2655-2665 area, gold is still in a relatively weak position.
Therefore, in terms of short-term trading, if gold cannot break through the 2655-2665 area, we can still continue to short gold based on this resistance area; but what we must be careful about when executing transactions is that once gold strongly breaks through the 2655-2665 resistance area, Gold may also continue to rebound to the 2670-2680 area.
Bros, do you know how to correctly grasp the rhythm of gold trading? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!