Gold is about to reboundNews side:
International gold closed down sharply on Thursday (May 18), with an opening price of $1980.18/oz, a highest price of $1985.78/oz, a lowest price of $1951.79/oz, and a closing price of $1955.85/oz.
News side:
The monthly rate of leading indicators of the U.S. Conference Board in April released on Thursday recorded -0.6%, in line with market expectations, and the previous value was -1.2%. The market expected 254,000, and the previous value was 264,000.
According to the commentary, following the "falsely" inflated data in the previous weeks, the number of people filing for unemployment benefits in the United States hit the largest drop since 2021. Initial claims for state unemployment benefits fell by 22,000 to 242,000 in the week ended May 13, according to data released by the Labor Department on Thursday. Continuing claims fell slightly to 1.8 million in the week ended May 6. Some economists have been wary of drawing strong conclusions from the data amid reports that fraudulent filings are behind the recent trend in jobless claims. Massachusetts accounted for nearly half of the national increase in unadjusted applications for the week ended May 6, which state officials said was largely due to fraud.
Fed official James Bullard said concerns about the impact of banking stress had been "overemphasized." He would keep an "open mind" about his next policy meeting in June, but signaled he was inclined to support another rate hike.
Focus on today:
14:00 German April PPI monthly rate
20:30 Canadian retail sales monthly rate in March
20:45 Fed Williams delivers a speech
21:00 Federal Reserve Board Governor Bowman participated in the session
23:00 Federal Reserve Chairman Powell attends the discussion
At 03:00 the next day, European Central Bank President Lagarde attends a group meeting
Gold aspect:
Gold continues to break new lows, and the daily support has been broken! There is only one result of such a trend, continue to break down! The support below is the previous support area of 1930-20! Short, the rebound in early trading relies on the pressure of 1970 to continue to short!
The trend is down, the most important thing is to follow! Although the market moves slowly, but in the right direction, profits are within reach! In just three days, gold has fallen by $70! The trending market is the profitable market, you must seize it!
Today's Asian-European gold is estimated to fluctuate and adjust first, and then continue to decline after a break! The recent market is concentrated in the U.S. market, so after the intraday rebound encounters resistance, find the right opportunity to go short and wait for the U.S. market to break out!
specific strategy
Gold 1970-1972 empty, stop loss 1978, take profit 1930.
The above suggestions are for reference only, investment is risky, and operations need to be cautious
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Goldmcx
Gold profit 18% stop profit on May 8The overall price of the gold market fluctuated little today, but we bought long orders at the price of 2015 at the opening of the market and took profit in 2027
Sell 2018 at the intraday price of 2026 to take profit
Two precise trades gave us a 20% profit today
It can be said that it is also a very good day.
After the second transaction, many friends asked me why I can accurately grasp the trend every time. I can only say that it is experience. I have been trading in the gold market for more than ten years and spend twelve hours a day studying the news and information of the gold market. On the technical side, it is common for me to grasp the trend now. Of course, I cannot be 100% accurate, but I can guarantee an accuracy rate of more than 95%.
So let's get down to business, I will push real-time current price call orders every day to prove my strength. At present, the daily operating profit continues to increase
I believe that friends who have followed my experience have sharp eyes. After a period of communication and experience, as well as the verification of the market, I believe that the accuracy of the list can conquer all doubts and ideas
Although my main account is no longer updated, but the old new account will continue to share with you thoroughly
Analysis of the message side:
At the beginning of May, the Federal Reserve decided to raise interest rates by 25 benchmarks, and announced the US non-agricultural employment report for April. The important information basically did not bring too many surprises and emotional value to the market. The follow-up market still needs to pay attention to three changes. First, Whether the Fed will raise interest rates or suspend interest rate hikes in the future will be the main factor affecting the future market. Second, whether the crisis in the U.S. banking industry will continue to decline or improve. Third, the situation between Russia and Ukraine is still inevitable in the future. Topics, these three points are important topics for discussing changes in the global economy. This week's focus will be on the meeting between US President Biden and the four leaders of the US Congress on the debt ceiling issue at the White House. Furthermore, the annual rate of CPI at the end of the April quarter will be announced on Wednesday, which will be another important data that will detonate the market.
The intraday market is light today, and there is no key data to pay attention to.
The basis of the analysis is the interpretation of the fundamentals and the confirmation of the technical aspects. The fundamentals this week need to pay attention to the impact of the CPI data, changes in the situation in Russia and Ukraine, and the signal released by the Federal Reserve. Technical changes need to be determined according to changes in the market that day. First of all, the bullish trend of gold remains unchanged during the week. As long as gold is above 1935, it must be a bullish trend, and above 1970, it must be absolutely strong. Therefore, even the sharp drop in non-agricultural data last Friday did not change the temporary gold Therefore, we will remain bullish in the long-term during the week, do not guess the top, and mainly trade low and long, supplemented by short-term. However, this week's bullish gold is expected to rise first and then fall, and the downward trend in the cycle cannot be ignored.
As far as the intraday market is concerned, the information flow of intraday changes is not large. Judging from the shock closing performance of the daily line, the largest range this week is 2042/1970, but the daily line closes in a negative direction, and it is expected to rebound to 2042. Not much, the maximum value is expected to be around the synchronous high of 2032 in the H4 cycle. This wave of rise and rebound is expected to continue until Wednesday's CPI data. After the end, we will look at the impact of the data. After the end of the daily rebound at the beginning of the week, we will see room for a slow decline. At the bottom, we need to pay attention to the lows of 2000 and 1970. After falling below 2000, the lower track of Bollinger in the H4 cycle will be opened to see the effective room for decline. From the perspective of changes in the small cycle, the morning market opened normally, continuing the rebound at the end of last Friday. It is expected that the slow rise at the beginning of the week can be seen near the small cycle Bollinger middle rail and the 60-day moving average, and the point performance is at 2025 or 2032. Therefore, trading needs Wait for the rebound to go short. On the contrary, if the rebound is not over, the main trading force can fall back and do long. The short-term lower support is around 2008-2005. The Asian-European market can be bullish after confirming the strength of the 2008 low according to the shape of the fall. Then, today’s judgment It is very clear that the beginning of the week is mainly bullish, and the transaction needs to wait for a fall. The lower part focuses on 2008-2005, and the upper part focuses on 2025 and 2032.
Trading straregy:
It is recommended to rebound to 2025-2030 and short in batches, with a stop loss of 6 points, and the target is 2015-2010;
It is recommended to call back to 2008-2005 and go long without breaking, with a stop loss of 6 points, and the target is 2020-2025
For many investors, without an excellent analysis team and professional teachers to lead them, it is difficult to survive in the market for a long time alone
Because of my professionalism, I am in the lead, there is no intrigue, only a sincere heart, there is no 100% accuracy, only stable compound interest, no afterthoughts, so that every profit can be real and truly let you feel and do it Benefit!
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Will gold continue to rise?
Gold skyrocketed to around 1870 after the release of the non-farm payrolls report, and this is the question that most investors are concerned about: will it continue to rise?
I believe it will, and it may even reach around 1890-1900.
Why do I say this? Let's analyze it from the fundamental and technical perspectives.
As we have discussed in previous articles, the non-farm payrolls report is likely to be bullish for gold and drive up the price, and this judgment has now been confirmed, so the fundamentals are in line with expectations.
From a technical perspective: Gold experienced a V-shaped reversal this week after hitting a low, with the weekly chart closing out and the price now turning from weak to strong. The daily chart shows a continuous increase in positive days, with increasing trading volume and the price forming a bullish trend. The 4-hour chart has formed a double-bottom support rebound, and the price continues to rise with a positive momentum. The Bollinger Bands are opening upwards, the MACD is showing a bullish crossover, and the red momentum bars are continuously rising, indicating that the current price is in a strong bullish trend. Therefore, the focus should continue to be on long positions.
However, the current decline of the US dollar is about to form a triple bottom support, and gold may experience a correction. This is not bad news, because the recent rebound of gold has been too fast. If it can adjust and then gather momentum for an upward surge, it would be a healthier and more optimistic trend. The overall upward trend remains unchanged, and I believe that breaking through 1900 is not far off.
Therefore, try to buy on dips. Specific trading space charts have already been drawn, and attention should be paid to support near 1845-1855 in the short term. The first resistance above is around 1880-1890.
More detailed strategies will be provided according to market fluctuations. Follow the homepage ↓ to get real-time information.
OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD COMEX:GC1! FXOPEN:XAUUSD
What is the golden stop-loss rule?
For trades such as stocks, futures, or forex, stop loss is a part of the trade, and it only works for investors if there is a stop loss in each transaction and it is adhered to. Today, I bring you a 3:1 gold stop loss rule, hoping to help with your investments.
Stop loss is a way to minimize losses in current market trades and is frequently mentioned. However, the essence of stop loss is not just setting a stop loss price. In particular, in markets such as forex and futures where long and short positions can be taken, too many stop losses will undoubtedly cause significant loss of capital. Market leaders use people's fear to cause repeated shocks, even unilateral rises or falls to trigger short-term traders' stop loss prices, and then quickly retract. The normal daily volatility of the stock market is also around 5%, so if your stop loss is set at 5%, won't it often be hit?
This requires attention to two issues: first, judging the trend of the market, whether it is a volatile market or a clear trend market; second, setting a reasonable stop loss position.
First of all, it's important to understand that the most notable characteristic of the trading market is volatility, and most of the time it's in a volatile trend, regardless of whether it's in a larger time frame or a shorter time frame. Therefore, the investment strategy for a volatile market should be the preferred strategy for short-term traders.
Secondly, identifying the range of volatility is crucial. Find the highest and lowest prices in recent price fluctuations. After a sharp rise or fall in the market, a corrective wave will form between these highest and lowest prices, sometimes lasting a long time. For example, commonly seen patterns such as triangle consolidation or box consolidation require a longer period of time before forming a new breakthrough. As for what prices to choose as the range, it depends on your trading period, whether it's daily, weekly, 60-minute, or even minute-by-minute. By using price analysis to determine the operational cycle, you will find a clear pattern of fluctuation range. The stop-loss price for such fluctuations should be set outside the highest or lowest points, and smaller stop-loss or trailing stop-loss should not be used.
When the price breaks through the highest point, it is necessary to observe its sustainability. In most cases, it will return to the range-bound area again. However, if the sustainability is strong, it continuously sets new highs, and trading volume continues to increase, a new trend can be determined, and the stop-loss can be changed to a trailing stop. Its price should be set at a price that falls more than one time period beyond the highest or lowest price, and there is no new high or low in three consecutive time periods. At this time, it can be judged that the trend has stopped and entered a range-bound market. For example, if the time period is a 5-minute candlestick chart, then the trailing stop should be set at a price formed by a relatively large 5-minute candlestick chart. But generally, it should not exceed two candlestick chart prices, because beyond this price, the profit left is often very small.
The 3:1 golden stop-loss rule in trading skills means that the profit of the take-profit point is three times the loss of the stop-loss point. For example, if you buy a stock and it falls by 7% or 8%, you should close your position in a timely manner. When your stock rises by 20% to 25%, you should consider selling some of it, and not be greedy and wait for it to rise further. Of course, the percentage values here can be changed according to the market situation, but the ratio should always be maintained at 3:1.
Some investors may have doubts, what if I set a stop loss at 8% and then the stock rises significantly, even by more than 50%, after I sell it? It seems like a big mistake to sell it, and many investors may no longer believe in the 3:1 rule. Actually, the reason why we set a stop loss at 8% is to prevent it from falling by 10%, 20%, 25%, 40% or even more. You can think of it as a small insurance premium to ensure that an 8% loss doesn't turn into a 60% loss. Isn't it easier to handle that way? For most investors, an 8% loss is manageable, but a 60% loss is a burden that many cannot afford.
In the market, human weaknesses will be reflected. When you hold a stock that falls, you will lose some capital, and you will fear that it will continue to fall, rather than hoping it will rebound to make up for previous losses. As a defensive measure, trading systems should still follow the 3:1 rule for stop losses. Finally, I wish everyone a happy investment journey.
The bottom of gold is established, step back and wait for the op
In many cases, when we encounter failures, it is because we lack that little bit of persistence, a little bit of indomitable perseverance. It is clear that the dawn of success is in front of us, but we don't have the confidence and perseverance to persevere. As a result, all the hardships and hardships we have suffered before are in vain.
Gold continued Friday's rapid rise, and the short-term pressure and shocks hit the sideways market in the short-term. Friday's breakout has opened up space above, so we follow the market and remain low and bullish during the day. For gold operation, it is recommended to buy at 1848, risk control at 1844, and target 1860~1864.
Gold is bullish for several reasons:
1. Gold breaking through the previous high means that the bullish trend is not over yet, and there is still room above the daily closing.
2. The intraday pressure is 1864~1873, and the support is 1848~1844.
Traders, if you like this idea or have your own opinion about it, please write in the comments. I will be happy 👩💻
keeping up is counting moneySuccess will not come to your door automatically, and happiness will not come to a person automatically. All the good things in this world need to be actively fought for. As long as you are sure of your abilities, why not recommend yourself?
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Today's strategy is to hold onto 1830 and continue, choosing appropriate entry points for long positions. Due to variations in individual entry points, specific operations will differ accordingly. For any unclear areas, please follow the message board and targeted advice will be given. Sincere wishes for all to profit.
Technical Analysis:
With oscillating momentum, we wait for a breakthrough! Therefore, today's operations are relatively straightforward! If there is a small retracement above the support level of 1830 in the morning, we can directly enter a long position! Breaking yesterday's high point will further rise to the 1850 resistance zone, with the short-term resistance above still unable to break through despite repeated testing last week! This zone is still our short-term target for bullish long positions and a range of oscillating resistance that we need to pay attention to! Once broken, we can further rise to the 1880 line!
The market is constantly changing, so we must keep up with flexible judgment and respond in a timely manner. Keep sufficient patience in the elliptical oscillation zone.
Keeping up with the rhythm is counting money, look at the recent strategy and graphics, and you will know how accurate my prediction is!
Seize the opportunity and make money is as simple as that
Gold not looking bold US FED rate hike has hampered the status of Gold as a safe heaven for investors to fight against inflation. Major support for Gold is at 48963. Below 48963 Gold can loose it's glitter and un-shine to the levels of 47285 or even 45563. On the way up Gold will have to face resistance at 50175, 50301, 50572 and finally 51761.
GOLD Futures Positional Long Idea#GOLD Futures Postional Long Idea
Disclaimer: These levels are purely based on Price action/demand and supply zones & and consumed only for educational purpose & should not be taken as buy/sell recommendation. I will not be responsible for any loss/profit incurred if anyone takes trades based on my views.
Please consult your Financial Advisor before making any trading decision.
Leave a comment that is helpful or encouraging. Let's master the markets together.
Gold MCX setupGold is trading near support zone from last 4 trading sessions.
Breaking any side out of this range will trigger fast movement.
48000 level is breakout level for this range. One day closing above 48000 will trigger buying,
Buy above 48150
Sl 47950
Target 1 - 48300, 48750
On the flip side 47500 is strong support and closing below this will trigger strong sell off and that will take gold to 46000 area.
Gold mcxGold has made cup pattern and now forming handle pattern,
along with trendline Breakout trying to retest support zones, one can go long at current levels or in dips if any, all the key levels are mentioned in chart with Stop-loss and targets.
Overall look
Zoomed View
Buying Zone Support Area
Key Levels
Macd in daily positive crossover and Uptick and also above zero line
Rsi in hourly near oversold trying to Uptick
Stochastic in hourly positive crossover
Disclaimer
I am not sebi registered analyst
My studies are Educational purpose only
Consult with your Financial advisor before trading or investing
Gold make it or brake itGold had pretty good bull run from last two years.
After bubble top, it cannot able sustain above the 20 day ema.
This siganl for further correction.
IF IT BRAKE THE SUPPORT AT 50 THOUSANDS LEVEL, THEN IT OPEN THE DOOR FOR 48000 SUPPORT LEVEL.............. further down
Your humble trader
Kiran
Gold Buy Gold using four Trend lines yellow,dark yellow, green and red trend lines . Buy at 49010 price or near the green line .Target of 51288 around 4.65% - dark Yellow line. Stop Loss is the red line around 0.2% If it starts breaking the red trend line . You can also take a Short Position when it crosses red line. . Then it can go Down. For risk of 0.2 % there is an upside of 4.65%