1.17 Gold fluctuates steadily upwardGold opened yesterday and fluctuated upward from 2694 to 2702. After that, the price fluctuated and fell to the intraday low of 2690 and then began to rebound and rise to 2711. Our 2694-95 long order was also a perfect profit stop. The US market price fell from 2711 to 2700 and then rose again to the intraday high of 2724.6 and fell back to 2714.
From yesterday's trend: 2698-2700 is the current support point, followed by 2711-12. The upper resistance is 2720-26.
Market analysis:
① The daily line closed with a positive column yesterday, combined with the indicator macd golden cross and the upward repair of sto, which means that the daily line will continue to rise. Then the long position is the current moving average MA5 near 2693. The current daily line supports the moving average MA10 and MA60 and the middle track 2677-2661-2651.
②4-hour current MACD golden cross high shrinkage, dynamic indicator STO double line adhesion downward, indicating high price fluctuations. The 4-hour is currently supported by the MA10 and parabolic turning point adhesion 2703-07 line, followed by the middle track 2690. The 4-hour is currently maintaining a range of 2726-2706.
③Hourly current Bollinger band three tracks shrinkage represents range compression. And range compression means that there will not be a big rise or fall at present. The hourly indicator MACD high dead cross volume, dynamic indicator STO hook down hovering near overbought.
In summary:
The daily line is still mainly buying on dips, and the long position is near 2693 and 2698; but the 4-hour is currently maintaining a high range of fluctuations, and the hourly line is currently shrinking, indicating fluctuations. Therefore, the price during the white session is maintained in the range of 2726-2697.
Strategy:
Short around 2720-22, defend 2726.5, target 2712-2708-2700 (aggressive short around 2718)
Long around 2698-2700, defend 2690, buy more at 2694-95, target 2718-2726, break through 2732-2742-48
Goldminers
GOLD - Long active !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on GOLD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a long. I expect bullish price action after price rejected from trendline + LZ. As well we have a hidden divergence for a buy.
Fundamental news: Tomorrow (GMT+2) we will see results of yearly and monthly CPI on USD, news with high impact on currency.
Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
Gold may continue to fallGold may continue to fall
The gold price is fluctuating in a wide range in the near term, forming a clear descending wedge (blue downtrend line) and an ascending channel (red trend line). The current gold price is fluctuating around the 2668 level, indicating some short-term corrective pressure.
Currently, we can clearly see gold's correction trajectory from the previous high to the low. The price is currently oscillating between the 0.618 ($2670) and 0.5 ($2654) levels, indicating that this area is a key point of contention for both bulls and bears. If price continues to fail to overcome the 0.618 level, it could trigger a larger decline, with 0.382 ($2,637) or even 0.236 ($2,617) support being the target.
The hourly ascending channel shows that gold as a whole still maintains a moderate upward trend, but the price has been showing significant signs of correction recently, having encountered resistance at the upper boundary of the upper channel. Price has failed to test this resistance area several times and then went down, indicating that this level is an important area of resistance. The key support level below could be the lower boundary of the red channel and the price corresponding to the Fibonacci level of 0.236.
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1.15 Technical analysis of short-term gold operationsGold's 1-hour moving average has also begun to turn downward. If the gold's 1-hour moving average eventually forms a dead cross downward, then the space for gold's short position to fall will be further opened. Gold's US PPI data is bullish, but it is still under pressure and will fall directly to 2675. Gold's US rebound to 2675 will continue to be short.
Gold is now under pressure at a high level, and the bulls still have no further momentum to rise. So the rebound will continue to be short, and gold shorts may exert force at any time.
Short-term operation ideas:
Gold 2672 short, stop loss 2682, target 2655-2650;
1.14 Gold price oversold correctionIn today's technical trend chart:
1: In 4 hours, the stochastic indicator crosses downward, which is a bearish signal; the MACD indicator double lines stick together and are temporarily in a passive state; in terms of form, it is temporarily running in the 4-hour range; the 4-hour range is temporarily 2465-2695; in the range, the method of buying low and selling high can be adopted as the main method;
2: In the daily K, the stochastic indicator changes from golden cross to stick together, temporarily inactive, and temporarily remains in the BOLL range in terms of form. Yesterday's big negative line may continue to adjust; the position of the middle axis is also the position of the strong and weak dividing point, which is near 2645;
To sum up: today's short-term can be stuck in the resonance support near 2645, and the short-term is long; the upper pressure position is near 2680, and the short-term is stuck empty, and a small range of shocks is made to correct the trend;
1.13 Gold Technical Analysis and InterpretationThe gold market has seen significant fluctuations recently. Against the backdrop of a sharp rise in U.S. Treasury yields and the U.S. dollar index, gold prices fell before the U.S. market opened on Monday (January 13). Spot gold fell from its December high, with gold prices blocked at the key Fibonacci retracement level of $2,693.40; as last week's gains encountered selling pressure, the market is paying attention to the key support level of $2,660 below, which could jeopardize gold's medium-term upward trend once it falls below the support.
Technical analysis:
1. Key resistance and support levels
Gold prices failed to break through the Fibonacci retracement resistance level of $2,693.40 after hitting it last week, showing the strong suppression of the position on the market. Currently, the next key support level for gold prices is at $2,660. If the price falls below the support, it may mark the end of the medium-term upward trend.
Although the downward trend of gold has already emerged, if the above support level can be maintained, there is still hope for a rebound in the short term.
2. Analysis of short-term technical indicators
In terms of technical indicators, gold is currently in the stage of retreating from the overbought area, showing signs of weakening upward momentum, indicating that short-selling forces are gradually taking the lead.
However, although the RSI indicator has fallen from a high level, it has not yet fallen to the oversold area. This indicates that gold prices may still fluctuate around the current price before hitting key support.
3. Possible technical trends in the future
If the gold price can hold the support area of $2,660 and form a bottom pattern here, it is expected to challenge the resistance level of $2,693.40 again. Once this resistance is broken, the gold price may rise further and retest the psychological level of $2,700.
However, if the support level is lost, the gold price may further fall to the next level of support near $2,640. At that time, the market will face further selling pressure.
Summary
The decline in gold prices was mainly affected by the strong US economic data that pushed up the US dollar and US bond yields. Under the uncertainty of the Fed's policy, gold faces downward pressure in the short term. However, safe-haven demand and the performance of key economic data may provide support or a turnaround for gold prices.
1.9 Risk aversion rises, gold is short-term bullishIn the early Asian session on Thursday (January 9), spot gold fluctuated narrowly at a high level and is currently trading at $2,662.59 per ounce. Gold prices hit a nearly four-week high of $2,669.83 per ounce on Wednesday after a weaker-than-expected December private employment report relieved some market participants, who believed that the Federal Reserve might not be so cautious about easing policy this year. Reports on Trump's tariffs also provided safe-haven support for gold prices, but U.S. Treasury yields also rose as a result, and the dollar continued to rise, which made gold bulls cautious. After hitting 2,669, gold prices fell back to around the 2,650 mark and closed at $2,661.46 per ounce.
The gold market opened at 2648.4 yesterday morning and then fell back. The daily line reached a low of 2644.9 and then fluctuated and rose. The daily line reached a high of 2670 during the US trading session and then the market was consolidated. The daily line finally closed at 2661.8. The daily line closed with a medium-sized positive line with an upper shadow slightly longer than the lower shadow. If the market falls back to 2652 today, stop loss at 2647, and the target is 2665 and 2670. If it breaks, it will be 2674 and 2680.
1.8 Gold welcomes ADP long-term bullish trendGold market analysis
Gold has been volatile these days, washing back and forth without any rules. Judging from yesterday's performance, it is still impossible to determine whether the bulls are coming if the 2665 position is not broken. The daily line closed with a long upper shadow, and the center of the oscillation moved up. Today's idea is to treat it as more oscillation. The weekly line fluctuated for a week last week. This week's estimate will still fluctuate under the influence of data. Today, the ADP estimate is difficult to change the oscillation. We expect the subsequent non-agricultural employment data to lead it to run out of oscillation. Today, we will focus on the oscillation range of 2632-2665. In this range, we will run high and buy low. The current K line is already above the moving average, and gold is more oscillating.
The analysis chart above for gold is the rhythm we estimated. The first support of the white plate is near 2640. Last night, we also accurately captured profits at 2642. This position is the support of 4H. There is still more room for the white plate to step back to this position. The stronger one is near 2632. If this position is broken, it may move down again.
Support 2632 and 2640, pressure 2665, the strength and weakness dividing line of the market is 2640
1.8 Gold Operation Technical Analysis StrategyGold rebounded after hitting the bottom yesterday, and began to rebound after reaching the lowest level of 14, which continued until the evening of the day. The current highest level reached around 64, which has reached the previous high point. This position is also the effective point of the continuous suppression of the shorts in the recent period. With the strong rebound during the day, it also reached this position, but it is very likely to form a three-top pattern, so this position is also the point where we continue to try to short. Once it breaks up, the retracement of this wave of shorts will also be declared over, and the support below is maintained at the top and bottom conversion 50 line position. If it continues to break down this position at night, the bulls may also be in place, which is likely to be the last wave of short-selling. Although the bulls have rebounded, they have not yet reached the realm of a strong breakthrough. There are still many uncertainties in the market. In addition, this week is the release of non-agricultural data, and the previous shocks are also likely to lay the groundwork for the release of non-agricultural data. In the evening, we will still maintain gold at around 63-64 for short selling, with a target of around 50-40 and a loss of 70.5.
Short-term operation:
SELL: 63-64 Target is around 50-40, stop loss is 70.5.
1.7 Technical analysis of short-term gold operationsOn the daily chart, gold has encountered resistance since its half-month high, and has fallen into adjustment in the short term. For the upper pressure of gold, pay attention to the current intraday high of $2,660, which is also the high point of gold price bottoming out and rebounding after falling on Monday, followed by the high of $2,650 on Monday; for the lower support of gold, pay attention to the support position of range oscillation after gold price bottomed out on Monday, $2,632, where gold price fell back several times and stabilized, which is also the current intraday low, followed by the lower track of the 4-hour Bollinger band of $2,622. The 5-day moving average and MACD indicator slightly crossed upward, the RSI indicator slightly crossed upward, and the KDJ indicator crossed downward, showing that the short-term technical side is slightly dominant.
Intraday reference for gold: After gold rose and encountered resistance, it started to fluctuate in the range in the short term, lacking new news to guide the direction. It is recommended to treat it with a fluctuating mindset in terms of operation. Pay attention to the upper pressure of $2,650, followed by $2,660, and pay attention to the lower support of $2,632, followed by $2,622.
1.3 Technical analysis of short-term gold operationsIn the early European session on Friday (January 3), the US dollar index maintained a mild decline during the day and is currently around 109.10; spot gold is around $2,655/oz.
After confirming a breakthrough of $2,640.00/oz, the gold price continued to rise. As shown in the figure, the gold price completed the construction of a double bottom pattern, which provided upward momentum for the gold price. The gold price is expected to test $2,700.00/oz, which is also our next target for the gold price.
Therefore, we expect the gold price to rise further in the next few trading days. It should be pointed out that if the gold price falls below $2,640.00/oz, this will stop the bullish trend and push the gold price to bearish.
It is expected that the gold price will trade between the support level of $2,650.00/oz and the resistance level of $2,685.00/oz today.
The expected trend for the gold price today is bullish
1.2 Accurate technical analysis of gold short-termThe upper rail resistance of the four-hour flat pattern is 2638 and the double-line resistance is 2642. Break through and open slightly upward, and continue to rise to form an upward opening pattern
The lifeline and the lower rail of the double line are superimposed in the 2619-2617 area
The early trading accelerated the rise point in the 2625-2623 area. Take this as the dividing line, and look for the next resistance area of 2638-2642 upwards, followed by the 2648-2650 range
Keeping low is the key, breaking high is the focus, and taking advantage of the trend is the method
If it is delayed, there will be variables. If it can take advantage of the trend and break through 2648-2650 with the east wind, the bulls can have more control later
Refer to this idea, early The market is arranged around the low point 2621-2623 area as support to rush to 2632-2633. If the rise is realized as expected, the second step is still bullish. It is planned to use 2628-2626 as support to see a bullish trend. The price will only fall back to the 2632-2631 area.
So choose the 2632 area to enter the market with low longs. The original plan of 2628-2626 remains unchanged. Look up to find the 2638-2642 area, and then look at 2648-2650
The 2598 long orders at the beginning of the week are still held in small bands. The loss point is now moved up to 2610 (profit loss situation, if it falls back, it is also profitable), and pay attention to the gains and losses of 2648-2650
Analysis of short-term gold trading on December 31Fundamentals: The gold market fluctuated at a low level in the U.S. market, and the logic of long orders at the support point entered the market.
At the beginning of the U.S. market on Tuesday (December 31), the gold price was around $2,610. The gold market may be preparing to end 2024 on a weak note, and December is expected to see its first decline in seven years. But there is still considerable optimism in the market before the new year. Despite the current market weakness, gold continues to hold its position in a difficult environment. She pointed out that the sell-off in gold since its October high and the subsequent consolidation were the first major corrections in the precious metal this year. "I am not at all worried about the volatility we have seen, and I think this respite is good for the market," she said.
Even with this disappointing price trend entering the new year, investors should not forget the performance of 2024. Gold prices have seen unprecedented gains, setting new all-time highs about 40 times this year. Gold prices peaked in October, with a full-year increase of more than 26%, the best performance since 1979. Gold prices are set to hit $2,400 an ounce this year in 2024, and they are nearly $400 above that level. Looking ahead, she believes gold still has plenty of room to rise.
Gold prices will struggle as investors continue to focus on the strong resilience of the U.S. economy. She explained that policies proposed by President-elect Trump should support economic growth in the first half of next year, but she expects problems to return. Since winning the presidential election in November, Trump has said he wants to extend the 2017 tax credit. He has threatened to impose tariffs on countries in Asia, the Americas and the European Union. He has also proposed rounding up and deporting millions of illegal immigrants and recently expressed a desire to annex Canada and Greenland.
Policies such as increased import tariffs and extended tax cuts will provide some support to the economy, which has pushed up U.S. bond yields and the dollar. However, she added that these policies will also come at a cost. Everything Trump proposes to do will lead to inflation, raising tariffs and deporting potentially millions of low-wage workers will push up prices, and tax cuts will exacerbate the growing deficit, thereby increasing inflationary pressures. Trump's proposal also has a political cost, as many see his position as a negotiating tactic. She added that this uncertainty will continue to support gold's safe-haven appeal.
Personal operation analysis:
Trend: shock trend
Support: around 2607.00
Resistance: around 2631.50
Strategy:
View logic:
Near 2608, light position, stop loss 2600, take profit around 2623--2635, trailing stop loss 300 points
12.30 Gold Short-term Operation Technical Analysis BUYLast Friday, gold took a high-rise and then fell back. The trend is under control, and everyone has witnessed it! Gold opened at $2,633. In the morning, gold slightly retreated and touched $2,628.6, and then rebounded. The highest rebound of gold in the Asian and European sessions reached $2,638, and then it was blocked and fell back. The US session continued to fall and touched the lowest level of $2,611.5. It rebounded in the late trading and finally closed at $2,620.8. The daily line closed with a negative line with upper and lower shadows, and the weekly line closed with a pregnant cross star pattern with an upper shadow slightly longer than the lower shadow. After the end of this pattern, gold was obviously blocked. There is still a need to continue to fall at the beginning of the week. Today, gold focuses on the upper resistance at $2,630. Rebounds rely on shorting below the resistance here, and then look at $2,610 and $2,605 below! The specific operation points are subject to real-time layout!
12.30 Gold Market Short-term Operation Technical AnalysisTechnical Aspects
Gold prices fluctuated around $2,620.00 on Monday, and the daily chart shows that gold prices are currently in a consolidation phase, close to the 9-day and 14-day moving averages. The 14-day relative strength index (RSI) hovered below 50, reflecting a neutral market sentiment. If the RSI can break through the 50 level, it may indicate an increase in the market's buying interest in gold.
In terms of resistance, gold prices may first target the psychological level of $2,700.00, and further resistance is the monthly high of $2,726.34 recorded on December 12. This level is an important target for bulls to conquer in the near term, and a breakthrough may trigger a new round of buying boom. In addition, the trend of gold prices in the medium term is still guided by technical indicators. If bulls can hold the current support level, they will have the opportunity to further challenge higher resistance.
In terms of support, gold prices may find initial support at $2,608. If it falls below this level, selling pressure may increase, pushing gold prices to the monthly low of $2,583.39. If gold prices fall further below this support, it may trigger more technical selling pressure, causing prices to slide to lower support areas. The market needs to pay attention to the possibility of increased volatility.
The gold market is currently in a critical consolidation phase and may continue to fluctuate within a range in the short term. If gold prices can break through the current consolidation area, market sentiment may quickly turn bullish. In the coming weeks, changes in technical indicators will provide more guidance to the market, especially whether gold prices can steadily break through short-term resistance levels and further challenge historical highs.
Analysis of short-term gold trading on December 27The gold market opened at 2610.6 in the morning and then rose directly. The daily line reached a high of 2621.6 and then fell back quickly. The daily line reached a low of 2609.7 and then rose in the late trading. The daily line finally closed at 2616.7 and then closed with a small positive line with a long upper shadow line. After this pattern ended, it rose first today and gave a short stop loss of 2630 at 2635. The lower targets are 2615, 2607 and 260.
12.26 Gold short-term operation analysis strategyThe market opened at 2610.6 in the morning of the previous day and then the market rose directly. The daily line reached a high of 2621.6 and then the market fell rapidly. The daily line reached a low of 2609.7 and then the market rose in the late trading. The daily line finally closed at 2616.7 and the market closed with a small positive line with a long upper shadow line. After this pattern ended, it rose first today and gave a short stop loss of 2630 at 2635. The targets below are 2615, 2607 and 2603
12.24 Technical Analysis of Gold Short-term OperationsYesterday, the gold market opened low at 2619.5 in the morning and then the market rose first. The daily line reached a high of 2633.3 and then the market fell back. The daily line reached a low of 2607.8 and then the market consolidated. The daily line finally closed at 2613.3 and the market closed with a pregnant inverted hammer pattern with a long upper shadow. After the end of this pattern, today's market fell back and continued to short. In terms of points, today's market first rose to 2620 short and conservatively 2628 short stop loss 2632. The target is 2612 and 2607. If it falls below, it will look at 2603 and 2600. If it falls below, it will leave near 2593 and 2585.
12.23 Technical Analysis of Gold Short-term OperationsLast week, the gold market opened at 2650.3 at the beginning of the week, then rose slightly to 2664.7, then fluctuated and fell. The weekly line reached a low of 2582.6, then rose at the end of the trading day, and finally closed at 2622.8, and then the market closed in a hammer-like pattern with a long lower shadow. After this pattern ended, the weekly line was rubbed and consolidated. In terms of points, today's decline to 2610, stop loss at 2600, and the target is 2635 and 2640.
Summary of 12.21 Golden WeekendThis week, gold experienced continuous shrinkage, but we also followed the trend and finally won a great victory. Our members also successfully completed the goals set at the beginning of the week.
Finally, I wish you all a happy weekend. Let us continue to complete our profit plan next week.
12.20 Gold short-term short-selling trend remains unchangedAgainst the backdrop of changes in the Fed's expectations for a rate cut in 2025, and the reduction in the number of rate cuts and the reduction in the magnitude, the gold market plunged sharply on Wednesday night. Although there was a rebound on Thursday, the price once reached 2626. However, it should be noted that this seemingly strong rebound is actually a bullish counterattack after the decline, and it is difficult to reverse the overall downward trend.
From the daily trend pattern, the closing line of the high-rise and fall leaves a long upper shadow, which means that the increase cannot be maintained and the strong pattern is difficult to return.
This rebound, on the one hand, vented the resistance of the bulls, and on the other hand, it confirmed the pullback of the previous bottom support and completed the top-bottom conversion. Once the key support level is broken, the bears will continue. In addition, after the short-term touches the whole hundred mark, there will be repeated situations. From the technical perspective, whether it is rising or falling in the short-term, after touching the whole hundred mark, there will be short-term repetitions. Therefore, after yesterday's decline and the price fell below 2600, it is normal for the price to rebound.
Although the current market has not started to fall, it is very difficult for the price to return to the original support level, and the downward trend has become a high probability event.
Today's trading strategy:
SELL: 2620 Target 2600 90 80
12.20 Gold Short-term Operation Analysis StrategyYesterday, the gold market opened at 2645.2 in the morning, and then the market rose slightly. The daily line reached a high of 2652, and then the market was in a range. Before 3 am, the daily line reached a low of 2632.9, and then the market was in a range. Although the Fed cut interest rates by 25 basis points in the early morning, the dot plot showed that the rate cuts next year would be reduced from 4 to 2, and the Fed Chairman later confirmed that the market broke through and fell sharply. The daily line reached a low of 2583.1, and then the market was in a range. The daily line finally closed After the line reached 2585.2, the daily line closed with a saturated large negative line with a slightly longer upper shadow line. After this pattern ended, the rebound trend was destroyed. The market has a need to continue to fall back within a certain period of time. In terms of points, the short position at 2600 this morning was reduced and the stop loss was followed up at 2602. Today's market first rose to give a 2600 short conservative 2612 short stop loss of 2616. The lower targets are 2590 and 2583. If it falls below, it will focus on the 2572 and 2563-2554 support range.
12.19 Gold interest rate decision determines direction!How to participate in the short-term gold today?
From the daily chart of gold, it is a weak bearish pattern. The upper 2662 is the resonance pressure of the daily and hourly lines. This position has been prompted in recent days. The hourly chart shows that 2651 is the hourly annual line level pressure. This position also suppressed the retracement in the early trading. The hourly BOLL is slowly closing. The data is approaching. The 1-hour and 30-minute charts are also in a volatile pattern. So today's morning trading will not see a big market outbreak. Pay attention to the 2640/38 area below to see a volatile rebound of 2651-2662. When the price reaches 2662, you can first participate in the retracement. Of course, these are all before the data is released. After the data is released, you can still treat it as a shock between 2706-2600.