Analysis of gold price trend on Thursday 6/27Gold fluctuated narrowly below the 2,300 mark in Asian trading on Thursday. Gold prices fell 1% on Wednesday, hitting its lowest level in more than two weeks at 2,293 during the session, hurt by a stronger dollar and rising Treasury yields, while traders awaited U.S. inflation data to be released later this week.
Investors began to digest expectations of monetary easing by the Federal Reserve, supporting the dollar's last upward momentum. The dollar rose 0.4% against other currencies to a near two-month high, making international gold more expensive for holders of other currencies, while the benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yield hit a near two-week high.
It should be reminded that the market is also paying attention to the U.S. first-quarter gross domestic product (GDP) data to be released on Thursday and the important debate between President Biden and Republican presidential candidate Trump on Thursday. In addition, pay attention to changes in the number of initial jobless claims in the United States and the monthly rate of durable goods orders in the United States in May.
Gold maintained the expected short position and continued to adjust. The daily line broke through the 2300 mark and closed. The connection structure continued the short position adjustment. The daily chart gold price deviated from the MA10/7-day moving average and concentrated on the 23 line. The RSI indicator continued to run below the central axis. The short-term four-hour chart price continued the MA10-day moving average low point and gradually moved down. The Bollinger band opened downward, and the RSI indicator ran at a low value of 30. The hourly chart fluctuated and fell. The hourly chart of the operation range of the middle and lower tracks of the Bollinger band first looked at 2290/2306 days. The idea of gold trading remains the high-altitude idea!
Asian trading strategy:
Short-term gold 2286-2288 long, stop loss 2277, target 2300-2310;
Short-term gold 2310-2313 short, stop loss 2319, target 2290-2280;
Note: The above strategy was updated on June 27. This strategy is an Asian market strategy, please pay attention to the validity period of the strategy. US market strategy to be updated
Goldminers
World gold price dropped to its lowest level#GOLD ANALYSIS - June 27, 2024
⏬Sell Gold at fee variety 2315-2320
❌Stop location 2325
⏫Buy brief Gold at fee variety 2295-2300
❌Stop location 2285
🌐In the 4th session, yesterday. True to yesterday`s analysis, Gold fee persisted to weaken, attaining the bottom guide area of the day at 2294.
✅The promoting stress during the last few days has proven no symptoms and symptoms of ending, however, withinside the cutting-edge fee variety it is able to be taken into consideration a pretty critical guide area, so private opinion on this location the fee of gold might also additionally growth slightly. earlier than new developments appear.
✅Traders should purchase brief on the cutting-edge fee variety of 228x-229x and anticipate a brief growth all through the day to discover a Sell factor withinside the close to future.
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Mr. Bart Melek, commodity strategist at funding financial institution TD Securities, stated that the gold marketplace can be reacting to the strengthening of the USD. According to Mr. Melek, americaA Federal Reserve (Fed) is not likely to alternate hobby fees in early summer.
The USD rose 0.4% to its maximum stage in almost months in opposition to different currencies. This made gold extra steeply-priced in opposition to different currencies, at the same time as US 10-12 months bond yields hit a almost -week high. Traders at the moment are looking forward to US inflation statistics later this week. The statistics ought to shed mild at the valuable financial institution`s hobby charge path.
In addition, the marketplace additionally centered its interest on US financial increase statistics and the critical debate among US President Joe Biden and Republican candidate Donald Trump taking location on June 27 nearby time.
Data launched on June 25 confirmed that US client self assurance fell in June amid worries approximately the financial outlook. However, families stay constructive approximately the hard work marketplace and assume inflation to mild subsequent 12 months.
On June 25, Fed Governor Michelle Bowman stated that maintaining coverage hobby fees strong for some time can be sufficient to govern inflation, however emphasised that the Fed is prepared to boom borrowing expenses if necessary.
XAUUSD:26/6 Analysis and StrategySpot gold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2340-70, support below 2277
Four-hour resistance 2337, support below 2295-2277
Gold operation suggestions: Yesterday, the technical aspect of gold rose first and then fell. The price fell slightly in the Asian and European sessions and stabilized at the 2322 mark, ushering in a bottoming rebound. Before the European session, it further stabilized and rebounded to stand above the 2330 mark, and continued to rise to around 2337, then fell under pressure and fell rapidly. The overall gold price in the US session continued to fall and broke through the Asian session low of 2322, and fell to a weak closing near 2315. The overall price continued to show a suppressed downward trend at the 2337 mark.
From the 4-hour analysis, today's upper short-term resistance is around 2337. The intraday rebound relies on this position to continue to be short and follow the trend to fall. The lower target continues to focus on new lows. The short-term long-short strength and weakness watershed focuses on the 2340 line. Any rebound before the daily level breaks through and stands on this position is a short-selling opportunity.
SELL:2345near
SELL:2328near
SELL:2337near
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
Gold will continue to fall, trading plan for WednesdaySpot gold continued its decline yesterday in early Asian trading on Wednesday and is currently trading around 2312. Gold prices fell 0.63% on Tuesday. Fed Governor Bowman's hawkish speech helped the dollar rise, which had a significant impact on gold prices. In addition, Israel's preference for ending the conflict with Hezbollah through diplomatic means also suppressed safe-haven buying demand. Investors await U.S. inflation data to be released later this week, which may provide clues about the timing of the Fed's interest rate cut this year.
U.S. consumer confidence fell in June despite a healthy labor market and expectations of easing inflation over the next year. The dollar rose 0.2% against other currencies, making international gold more expensive for holders of other currencies, while 10-year Treasury yields also edged higher.
Gold hit a record high of $2,449 on May 20 and has risen 12% so far this year, supported by hopes of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve and aggressive gold buying by central banks amid geopolitical tensions. This week, traders will focus on U.S. first-quarter gross domestic product (GDP) data on Thursday and the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index report on Friday.
Gold moves down in the expected short adjustment range, and the short idea is maintained. Technically, the daily MA10 daily moving average is at 2326, the 5/7-day moving average and the middle track of the Bollinger band are overlapped to maintain the 2330 line of suppression, and the RSI indicator is adjusted below the middle axis. The short-term four-hour moving average crosses downward, and the MA10/7-day moving average moves down to 2324/226. The hourly chart maintains the middle and lower tracks of the Bollinger band, and the RSI indicator runs below the middle axis.The gold trading idea is to sell high as the main layout, and buy low as the auxiliary.
Asian trading strategy:
Short-term gold 2302-2304 long, stop loss 2295, target 2320-2330;
Short-term gold 2328-2330 short, stop loss 2339, target 2310-2300;
Note: The above strategy was updated on June 26. This strategy is an Asian market strategy, please pay attention to the validity period of the strategy. US market strategy is waiting to be updated
XAUUSD: 25/6 Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2340-70, support below 2277
Four-hour resistance 2350, support below 2307-2277
Gold operation suggestions: Yesterday, the overall technical aspect of gold quickly dropped in the Asian session and stabilized at the 2318 mark, ushering in a bullish shock recovery repair. The price in the Asian and European sessions rose slightly and pierced the 2332 mark, suppressed and fell rapidly. Before the US session, it stabilized at the 2320 mark and further rebounded and rose. The gold price slowly climbed above 2330 and reached a high of 2334. After the sharp drop last Friday, the overall price did not continue to fall, but supported and stabilized at the 2318 mark to form a bullish shock rebound repair market. However, the overall technical indicators are still in a suppressed bearish pattern. Yesterday's short-term rebound did not change the overall suppressed bearish rhythm.
From the 4-hour analysis, today's upper strong resistance is still focused on 2335-2343. The intraday pullback relies on this position to continue to be bearish and trend trading. The lower target continues to focus on breaking new lows. The short-term long-short strength and weakness watershed focuses on the 2350 mark. Before the daily level breaks through and stands on this position, any pullback is a short-selling opportunity. Keep trading with the trend.
SELL:2345near
SELL:2328near
BUY:2277near
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
Analysis of gold price trend on Tuesday 6/25In early Asian trading on Tuesday, gold fluctuated and fell, currently trading around 2325. Gold prices rebounded 0.56% on Monday, helped by the dollar's retreat as Fed officials said the risk of rising unemployment was increasing. Investors began to wait for U.S. inflation data to be released later this week, which may affect the Fed's monetary policy path.
The dollar fell 0.3%, risk appetite deteriorated, and investors seeking safety bought gold, making gold attractive to holders of other currencies. It should be reminded that the U.S. dollar index showed a similar "engulfing" bearish candlestick combination at the daily level, and it is necessary to be vigilant about the further downside risk of the U.S. dollar index in the short term, which may provide further opportunities for gold prices to rebound.
The focus this week will be Friday's U.S. personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index data, which is the inflation indicator favored by the Federal Reserve. Pay attention to the performance of the U.S. Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index in June this trading day. Also of concern are the speeches that several Fed officials will make this week, including Fed Governors Cook and Bowman.
Gold rebounded and adjusted in the late trading, the weekly MA10 was moving down, and the Bollinger middle track was moving up. The entire weekly trend trajectory was in line with the prediction last week, that is, the overall weekly trend was expected to be a contraction trend between the MA10 and the Bollinger middle track. The technical side entered into a shock consolidation again, and the daily line could not rule out the possibility of continuing to alternate between yin and yang. The high-altitude and low-multiple ideas are deployed during the day! First look at the 2326/2320 support and 2338/2343 resistance during the day.
Asian trading strategy:
Short-term gold 2315-2318 long, stop loss 2306, target 2335-2345;
Short-term gold 2335-2338 short, stop loss 2344, target 2320-2310;
Note: The above strategy was updated on June 25. This strategy is an Asian strategy, please pay attention to the effective time of the strategy
XAUUSD: 20/6 Thursday’s Analysis and StrategyTechnical analysis of gold
Daily resistance 2340-70, support below 2277
Four-hour resistance 2350, support below 2307-2277
Gold operation suggestions: The overall price of gold is fluctuating in a narrow range at a high level. In the short term, the overall trend of gold is still suppressed below 2340, because the daily level has not yet stabilized at 2340. Before that, the daily level is likely to continue to fluctuate between long and short positions.
Today's lower support continues to focus on 2317-2315, and the upper pressure focuses on today's high point 2345. You can participate in the transaction by selling high and buying low in this range.
SELL:2345near SL:2348
SELL:2328near SL:2331
BUY:2277near SL:2274
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
Gold rebounded after oversold
After the news was released on Friday, gold fell sharply. In addition, a large number of buy orders were traded in the market. The lowest gold price reached 2318, and the Asian market rebounded. The operation is still mainly buying at low levels. See if the position of 2332 stabilizes above. If it stabilizes, you can continue to buy.
OANDA:XAUUSD COMEX_MINI:MGC1! MCX:GOLD1! COMEX:GC1! NYMEX:CL1! NYMEX:WTI1! MCX:CRUDEOIL1! NYMEX:MCL1! TVC:DXY BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P INDEX:BTCUSD
Analysis of gold price trend on Monday 6/24Gold prices fell to hit 2317 in Asian trading on Monday. The dollar rose to its highest level in seven weeks, making gold more expensive for holders of other currencies, and U.S. Treasury yields also rose. Uncertainty about the timing of the Fed's rate cut.
In the short term, the outlook for gold appears bearish due to uncertainty about the timing of the Fed's rate cut. The stronger dollar and rising U.S. Treasury yields put additional downward pressure on gold prices. Traders should remain cautious and pay close attention to upcoming economic data, as any signs of strong economic performance could delay rate cuts and further depress gold prices.
Key U.S. economic reports this week include the second revision of gross domestic product (GDP), initial jobless claims, and core personal consumption expenditures. These reports, as well as speeches by multiple Fed speakers, could have a significant impact on gold prices. Traders should pay attention to signals on economic growth, inflation, and potential shifts in monetary policy.
In the golden triangle range, the gold price fluctuated and adjusted in the short term. The weekly chart turned from green to red, and the price fell back below the MA10-day moving average. The short-term four-hour chart MA10/7-day moving average high 2346 dead cross opened downward, and the price fell to 2310 near the lower track of the Bollinger band. The RSI indicator broke through the middle axis 50 and turned downward. The strong bullish trend of gold ended on Friday. The first consideration for trading at the beginning of the week is the inertial rebound of the price after the oversold, and the short-selling pattern will be carried out after the rebound is blocked.
Asian trading strategy:
Short-term gold 2307-2309 long, stop loss 2298, target 2330-2340;
Short-term gold 2335-2337 short, stop loss 2346, target 2320-2310;
Note: The above strategy was updated on June 24. This strategy is an Asian market strategy, please identify the strategy release time
Gold price today (June 24): "Hold your breath" waiting for the sWorld gold charge today
World gold costs have a tendency to boom with spot gold growing via way of means of 3.2 USD in comparison to final week`s ultimate degree to 2,323.2 USD/ounce.
After a unstable week, the sector gold marketplace is predicted to stabilize this week with few essential statistics launched withinside the center of the week. The maximum awaited records via way of means of the marketplace is the center private intake expenditure index document (americaA Federal Reserve's (Fed) favored inflation measure) predicted to be posted on the quit of the week. Some reviews say that this document is predicted to create fluctuations withinside the marketplace. Weaker statistics ought to boom the chance that the Fed will reduce hobby charges in 2024, and that situation might aid the yellow metal. On the contrary, inflation "hotter" than predicted will motive gold to fall deeper.
Although the upward momentum has slowed, many analysts agree with that the elements which have supported gold these days have now no longer disappeared. Accordingly, worries associated with geopolitical instability remain, mainly beforehand of americaA election in November. Additionally, the USD's role as the sector's reserve forex is still challenged. focus and the danger of worldwide inflation remains.
According to the World Gold Council's latest annual Central Bank Gold Reserves Survey, the ones are the pinnacle motives why each retail traders and important banks flip to gold.
Slow move down the roadChoppy move in Gold and also is MIners.
So I expect an intermidiate stop at 37$-38$ for GDXY sometime in the first two weeks of July. At that time, gold should be at 2200 (futures, cash is about 20$ more).
So i will close my short position at that level.
Enter a long I still think is risky as weeky and monthy trends are bearish. So each one should trust in their only analysis and risk to do so.
I will probably enter a long position for some days, normally 6 to 8 trading days is the more It colud last the rally., but is not worth if you no are levaraged somehow.
After that i will probably enter a HUGE SHORT position again FROM 40$ or so (as I expect) to ...could be around 33$...still to be seen...in end August or September, with gold around 2000$.
XAUUSD:19/6 Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2340-70, support below 2277
Four-hour resistance 2328-40, support below 2307-2277
Gold operation suggestions: Yesterday, gold technically fell first and then rose, ushering in a strong bull bottoming out and rebounding deep V rebound. The price of the Asian and European sessions was under pressure and fell back to the 2325 mark, and then weakened and further pierced the 2310 mark to reach 2306 and stabilized and rebounded. The price rushed up first in the late trading, and was blocked at the hourly starting point of 2324, and then quickly fell back and fell. Then, it repeatedly oscillated around the 2315-2318 area and formed a strong bottoming out and rebounded to break the high. The daily level continued the long and short yin and yang oscillation cycle rhythm.
Judging from the current gold trend, today's support is around 2318-15. If it returns to this position during the day, you can try to go long. The upper pressure is around 2335-2340. Rely on this range to maintain a high-sell and low-buy cycle during the day.
SELL:2334 near SL:2342
BUY:2277 near SL:2270
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
GOLD -cannot return to the 22xx area due to huge buying pressureJohn Williams - President of the New York Fed - stated hobby costs will steadily lower over time, however he refused to mention whilst americaA significant financial institution may begin loosening economic policy.
According to the CME FedWatch Tool, investors expect a kind of 67% threat the Fed will reduce hobby costs in September. Lower hobby costs lessen the possibility fee of retaining non-hobby-bearing bullion.
Currently, Fed officers are touchy to the difficulty of cooling inflation. Any uncommon symptoms and symptoms from the hard work marketplace will have an effect on the choice to reduce hobby costs on the cease of the year. Investors additionally centered on weekly jobless claims and buying index.
Gold costs reduced 6% from the file excessive of 2,449.89 USD/ounce on May 20, specifically stricken by the sturdy USD, excessive hobby costs, and Fed policies.
In addition, the Chinese significant financial institution`s suspension of gold purchases in May endured to weigh at the marketplace.
However, in its annual survey, the World Gold Council stated that many significant banks are pushing beforehand with gold reserve plans notwithstanding growing treasured metallic costs, in part because of political and macroeconomic instability. .
Spot silver fell 0.4% to $29.forty an ounce, platinum fell 0.4% at $968.fifty nine and paladin rose 0.1% to $887.67.
Regarding the gas marketplace, Brent crude oil rate elevated 2 cents to 85.35 USD/barrel, at the same time as US WTI crude oil reduced 6 cents to 81.fifty one USD/barrel. Oil costs remained solid withinside the buying and selling consultation on June 19 because the marketplace taken into consideration escalating conflicts in Europe and the Middle East, and involved approximately gas call for after an surprising growth in US crude oil reserves.
XAUUSD:17/6 Today's Analysis and StrategyGold prices are showing a downward trend after a sharp rise last Friday and are currently trading around 2318. With a bearish crossover of the moving averages and a bearish signal from the relative strength index (RSI), gold prices are once again facing the test of 2300 and 2277.
From a technical analysis perspective, the short-term technical outlook for gold prices is still in favor of the bears. The upside for gold prices is limited by the confluence of the 21-day moving average (SMA) and the 50-day SMA near 2345. The 14-day RSI remains below 50, close to 48.00, while the 21-day SMA crossed the 50-day SMA from above to below at the close of last Friday, forming the so-called "death cross".
Gold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2340-70, support 2277
Four-hour resistance 2328-40, support 2307-2277
Gold operation suggestions: Today's gold price fell directly from Friday's closing price of 2332. The current lowest price has reached 2314. The key support below is around 2314, which is the current watershed of gold price strength. At present, the overall market is still in the 2310-40 oscillation range. The focus on the upper side is the 2335-40 line suppression. If this high point is reached, short selling can be considered. The recent market focus only needs to pay attention to the breakout of the large range of 2300-2340.
SELL:2340 near SL:2345
BUY:2277 near SL:2274
GOLD - The flag pattern appears clearlyBUY GOLD 2312-2313
GOLD in the current European session has also reached its very low zone. Previously, GOLD had formed a weak support zone at this price level. Although it was weak support, in the European session it was clearly quite strong. There is little reason to confirm that gold will break this zone, so you should place full TP/SL, don't abuse leverage, only risk about 1-2% of your total capital. Please.
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Last Sunday, Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari stated that it's far affordable to are expecting that americaA Central Bank will handiest reduce hobby quotes as soon as this year. This announcement had a good sized effect on marketplace psychology.
This week, US retail income information, weekly jobless claims and shopping managers` indexes are anticipated to offer similarly clues approximately the course of the Fed's hobby quotes.
Although gold expenses have decreased, professionals nonetheless trust that gold is in a good environment. Data launched remaining week confirmed that hard work marketplace and fee pressures are displaying symptoms and symptoms of cooling. Capital monetary marketplace analyst Kyle Rodda stated that information displaying symptoms and symptoms of weak spot withinside the US financial system may want to weaken the USD and growth expectancies of destiny hobby charge cuts. .
Precious metals continue to be supported via way of means of hopes that subsequently the Fed will need to pivot its policy. In addition, political instability in France additionally multiplied danger aversion globally, supporting to enhance safe haven call for for the treasured metal.
XAUUSD:14/6 Today's Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2328-40, lower support 2277
Four-hour resistance 2328-40, lower support 2307-2277
Gold operation suggestions: From the current gold daily trend, the upper resistance is near 2340, and the lower support is near 2277. Continue to sell high and buy low according to this range during the day.
In terms of economic data on this trading day, the main focus is on the US May import and export price index and the initial value of the US University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index in June. In terms of events, focus on the speeches of Federal Reserve officials and geopolitical technical related news
SELL:2328 near SL:2331
SELL:2340 near SL:2345
BUY:2277 near SL:2274
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
Gold prices rebounded due to unfavorable news for the dollarGold rate remaining week began out the primary buying and selling consultation at 2,293.70 USD/ounce. During Sunday night buying and selling, spot gold surpassed $2,three hundred an oz. approximately hours earlier than North American markets opened and that degree held in the course of the relaxation of the week.
After that, gold costs reduced slightly, to approximately 15 USD/ounce because the marketplace waited for americaA purchaser inflation file and the FOMC`s hobby fee announcement, up to date monetary forecasts and the clicking convention of FED Chairman - Mr. Jerome Powell on Wednesday.
The US CPI file brought on the marketplace to interrupt out of sideways buying and selling, pushing spot gold from $2,313/ounce to a excessive of $2,336.72/ounce.
By the time the FED introduced that they might preserve hobby charges unchanged, costs had lower back to $2,326/ounce and see gold endured to be offered off because the marketplace absorbed the FED Chairman's "hawkish" stance.
By Thursday, spot gold had over again slipped to help levels. However, the treasured steel has considering that visible a strong healing. By Friday morning, gold costs over again increased, remaining the buying and selling week at 2,332 USD/ounce.
After a protracted slide, global gold costs recorded a sturdy healing week. This is inflicting many specialists to make pretty superb forecasts approximately the short-time period possibilities of treasured metals.
James Stanley - senior marketplace strategist at Forex.com - is one of the specialists forecasting gold costs to upward thrust subsequent week: "I am looking longer-time period variety resistance, round 2,075 -2,082 USD/ounce for longer-time period help.
Sharing the equal opinion, Colin Cieszynski - Chief Market Strategist at SIA Wealth Management - said: "I am positive approximately gold subsequent week. It looks like gold is prepared for a technical healing."
In addition, thirteen Wall Street analysts participated withinside the Kitco News Gold Survey. Experts are notably extra positive approximately the short-time period possibilities of treasured metals.
eight specialists (accounting for 62%) assume gold costs to upward thrust better subsequent week. Only analysts (or 15%) are expecting costs will decline. The closing 3 people (equal to 23%) assume gold to alternate sideways subsequent week.
Meanwhile, 216 votes had been solid in Kitco's on line poll. Of these, 117 traders (equal to 54%) are expecting gold costs will growth subsequent week. Another forty nine people (equal to 23%) are expecting treasured metals will lower in rate. While 50 people (equal to the closing 23%) forecast that gold costs may be flat subsequent week.
Gold shows a strong upward trend during the weekLast night, whoever accompanied me additionally shared very honestly approximately Gold`s Plan. With the cutting-edge Rhythm, Gold is absolutely at the promoting side. Like I stated remaining night. If this morning Gold will increase strongly thru the length 2335>2336, it's far possibly that Gold will growth 234x. And if Gold can not byskip the 3x stage, I will promote in keeping with Ma89 in Frame H4 and the Ma D1 Trend Plan is reporting a decrease.
>Sell Gold order from fee 33 remaining week of Smooth nonetheless holds. Today, all buyers can discuss with this Plan to change.
> Canh Sell Gold 2326>2329
SL 2332
TP2320>2214
Buy Gold Below the vintage accumulation area 2306>2309
SL 2303
TP 2316>232x
This is my advice from my perspective, and buyers can observe the fashion to change more 👌👌
World gold prices plummeted, any opportunities for investors?SELL
2320-2335
TP 228x
Spot gold rate on the arena marketplace this afternoon June 14 stood at 2,313,3.7 USD/ounce, up 10.1 USD/ounce. Gold futures rate stood at 2,326.1 USD/ounce, up 9.6 USD/ounce. Thus, in comparison to this morning`s buying and selling session, international gold increased.
Commenting at the gold rate trend, a few specialists consider that the gold marketplace continues to be below strain as traders hold to investigate facts on the US Federal Reserve's June financial coverage meeting ( FED). Any selections on financial coverage through the FED will rely upon the precise state of affairs of the economy.
Despite being below strain, the truth that gold continues to be above 2,three hundred USD/ounce proves that consumers nonetheless actively don't forget corrections and rate drops as true possibilities to boom gold holdings. Although the FED is slower than different crucial banks in loosening financial coverage, as soon as the selection to reduce hobby charges is made, gold will boom.
Investors are predicting that 64% of the FED will reduce hobby charges in September, down from 71% formerly predicted.
Market analyst Carlo Alberto De Casa of Kinesis Money stated that, regardless of the strain, the truth that gold continues to be above 2,three hundred USD/ounce proves that consumers are nonetheless actively thinking about corrections and rate discounts as possibilities. Good possibility to boom gold holdings.
Founder and Chairman David Rosenberg of Rosenberg Research stated that despite the fact that the FED is slower than different crucial banks in loosening financial coverage, as soon as the selection to reduce hobby charges is made, gold will boom. Last week, each the European Central Bank and the Bank of Canada determined to reduce hobby charges.
XAUUSD: Thursday 13/6 Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2328-40, support below 2277
Four-hour resistance 2328-40, support below 2307-2277
Gold operation suggestions: On Wednesday, the US May CPI data was lower than expected. Gold was boosted by the unexpectedly weak US CPI report and hit the $2340 line. Later, it fell back due to the hawkish signal of the Fed's latest interest rate forecast, but the daily line still rose, rising for the third consecutive trading day. The gold daily line fell back after reaching a high. The daily line has experienced a rebound for three trading days. Yesterday, it was accompanied by a shock wash method of first touching the high and then under pressure. The previous rising neckline position of 2280~2290 will be repeatedly tested.
Although the overall price of gold has entered a rebound rhythm, 2340 will become a strong resistance area for short positions in the short term. If it rebounds to 2340, it will be bearish first. The support below is around 2307. Secondly, if the weekly support of 2277 breaks, it will look at 2200. The short-term watershed between long and short positions is 2340. Before the daily level breaks through and stabilizes this position, the suppression and bearish rhythm will continue to remain unchanged.
SELL:2328 near SL:2331
SELL:2340 near SL:2345
BUY:2277 near SL:2274
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
Gold price "like never before changed" after CPIWorld gold fee at the night time of June 12 is set 12.eight% higher (265 USD/ounce) in comparison to the give up of 2023. World gold fee transformed via way of means of financial institution USD fee is at 72.1 million VND/tael, along with taxes and fees, approximately four.eight million VND/tael decrease than the home gold fee as of overdue afternoon on June 12.
World gold charges soared because the USD plummeted after the United States introduced anticipated monetary information.
The USD opened the buying and selling consultation on June 12 at the US New York marketplace (at the night time of June 12, Vietnam time) losing very sharply. The DXY index (which measures the dollar`s fluctuations in opposition to six foremost currencies) at the start of the consultation fell to 104.four points, from the preceding degree of above one zero five points.
The USD dropped after the United States introduced that the patron fee index (CPI) in May cooled quicker than economists predicted. Accordingly, the United States CPI index remained unchanged after growing via way of means of 0.3% withinside the preceding April. Economists had formerly forecast an boom of 0.1%.
The falling dollar reasons gold charges to boom sharply.
Compared to the identical period, CPI accelerated via way of means of 3.3%. This continues to be excessive in comparison to the 2% goal of the United States Federal Reserve (Fed). However, it makes buyers much less concerned approximately the opportunity of fee inflation escalating again. The 3.3% degree is likewise a lot decrease than 6.5% on the give up of 2022 and 9.1% in June 2022.
In May, US center inflation (except meals and strength charges) accelerated via way of means of 0.2%, decrease than the forecast of 0.3%.
Gold fee forecast
On Kitco, Michael Brown, an professional from forex brokerage Pepperstone, stated the contemporary inflation information may want to alternate psychology on the Fed in advance of the agency's financial coverage decision.
Adam Button, head of foreign money approach at Forexlive, stated that once the inflation information, alerts from the marketplace confirmed that the Fed could have hobby fee cuts this year, with an 80% chance. The first cuts will take region in September.
This additionally approach that because the USD depreciates, gold will benefit.
XAUUSD:12/6 Today’s Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2340-70, support 2277
Four-hour resistance 2328-2340, support 2307-2277
Gold operation suggestions: Gold will continue to pay attention to the pressure near 2340 and 2370 during the day. As long as the market continues to run below this price, the overall structural trend will still be weak. Pay attention to the competition between long and short positions near 2277 during the day. Subjectively, we still expect gold to break this support again under the influence of fundamentals, bringing a new round of mid-line downward trend, but it is not easy to judge whether it can be established from a technical point of view. This requires attention to the impact of today's US CPI data and the Fed's interest rate decision.
Today, the lower support continues to focus on 2305-2307. If it falls back during the day, we will continue to be bullish. The upper pressure will be around 2328. Today, we will rely on this range to maintain high selling and low buying. In the short term, the gold price is expected to continue to exchange time for space to maintain the rhythm of wide range of fluctuations between bulls and bears. Before further breaking through the 2270 mark, we will maintain the range fluctuation approach.
SELL:2328 near SL:2331
SELL:2340 near SL:2345
BUY:2277 near SL:2274
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!