AUMN - Time For Another Big Risk/Reward Play?I've certainly been wrong on AMEX:AUMN in the past, BUT I have always had proper stops in place to protect from the possibility of waterfall losses. I personally believe it's time to try again.
Gold & Silver appear to be breaking out and the setup is (once again) in play for AUMN. Below the teal support box is when to exit the trade . That's when you know you're wrong.
Other than that, we have clear resistance areas above and, ultimately, are still hopeful for the long-term target.
Goldminers
$GDX Bull Flag Poised to Break OutThe AMEX:GDX , a notable gold miners ETF, is currently displaying a Bull Flag formation, indicating a potential breakout on the horizon. My perspective remains that we are on the cusp of a significant breakout, one that could not only impact the gold market substantially but also trigger an even larger movement in mining stocks. Admittedly, I've held this view for some time, akin to the old saying that "a watched pot never boils," suggesting that sometimes anticipation can make the wait feel longer. By mentioning this, I might be tempting fate with the market, yet I believe that this breakout could occur unexpectedly, perhaps when it's least anticipated by most investors.
🐬 New trend of GOLDEllie wants to send you some small analysis, hope you will like it. Thanks for reading ♥
If we get to the beginning of Europe, PLAN EUROPE, Gold may react at the resistance zone 1,995 - 97, but if we can maintain the zone 1,990 - 92 to 1,987 - 85, the opportunity to Buy still remains with the same targets. Only if during the middle of the European session Gold cannot surpass the 2,000 - 02 range, then we will sell earlier with a target price of 5 - 7.
The price is 1,991.30
Please trade carefully, don't turn it into a game but turn it into an investment opportunity ♥♥♥
Harmony Gold Mining shares jump on strong Q1 resultsJOHANNESBURG - Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited (NYSE: HMY) shares climbed 9% to $4.87 in premarket trading Today, following the announcement of a robust fiscal first quarter performance. The South African gold miner reported a significant increase in gold production and a reduction in costs, leading to a notable 31% rise in the company's stock since the start of the year.
In the July-September quarter, Harmony Gold saw its gold production escalate by 17%, with nearly all operations contributing to this growth. Notably, South African underground mines exhibited an 18% improvement in grade, alongside a strong output from the Hidden Valley mine. These advancements have propelled the company's revenue up by a third, reaching ZAR14.8 million ($793 million).
Efficiency measures have also played a key role in Harmony's financial uplift. The miner successfully brought down its costs through the utilization of lower-cost surface treatment production methods and by leveraging higher silver and uranium by-product credits.
Looking ahead, Harmony Gold remains confident in its operational targets, reiterating its full-year gold production forecast of between 1.38 and 1.48 million ounces. Furthermore, the company aims to maintain its All-in Sustaining Costs (AISC) below ZAR975,000 per kilogram.
Investors have responded positively to these developments, signaling confidence in Harmony's strategic direction and its ability to maintain momentum in a challenging market environment. The company's focus on increasing efficiency while boosting production levels appears to be paying dividends as it navigates the volatile gold market.
Technical Analysis
Price Momentum
HMY is trading in the middle of its 52-week range and above its 200-day simple moving average.
What does this mean?
Investors are still evaluating the share price, but the stock still appears to have some upward momentum. This is a positive sign for the stock's future value.
waiting for a signal from the FedThe main stock indexes on Wall Street continued to extend their climbing streak, while US 10-year Treasury yields also increased as investors braced for speeches by at least nine officials. Federal Reserve (Fed) officials this week, including Fed Chairman Jerome Powell on November 9.
According to CME FedWatch, traders are discounting a 90% chance that the Fed will leave interest rates unchanged at its December meeting.
Hochschild Mining breaking out?On the weekly chart, Hochschild Mining looks to have broken out from 95.75 resistance. This bottom started to form in July 2022, so it's taken a year and 5 months to complete. As Gold is pushing higher this could mean more to come from this miner?
WARNING: This not a recommendation to trade. Do your own research and decide on your own trades.
JDST Inverse Junior Gold Miners ETF: Inverted Head and ShouldersJDST, the 2x Inverse Return ETF for the Junior Gold Miners Index, has formed a Slanted Bullish Head and Shoulders pattern that is currently holding above the 21SMA. If it holds here, I can see it rising all the way up to $12-$17 as gold loses steam.
FCX: Monthly Diamond Top Bearish Break Down FCX has formed and confirmed the break down of a Diamond Top pattern and looks to be preparing to come down to around $14, which would align with the 0.786 Fibonacci Retrace. I suspect many other mining stocks will also go down pretty significantly with this.
XAUUSD:25/9 Today’s Trading StrategyGold stabilized at the 1920 mark last Friday and ushered in a shock rebound and recovery. The Asian and European markets fluctuated sideways above 1925, showing a defensive trend. In the evening, the US market accelerated slightly and reached the 1929 line, falling back and closing with shock. From the perspective of technical analysis, gold Judging from the above, the current trading daily level structure shows that after the market rebounded higher in the first half of the week last week, there was a dive on Wednesday night, breaking the illusion of the bulls. A big negative line on Thursday reversed the rebound. Although the rebound closed on Friday, it was just a retaliatory rebound for the previous consecutive declines and did not affect the downward trend. Therefore, the bottom is expected to continue this week. In the short-term bull counterattack last Friday, the market broke through the 1924 suppression level, but under the heavy pressure of 1930, the rebound was curbed. The golden four-hour line continues to remain above the 50 moving average. The fall of the K-line is a normal trend. The more the fall, the higher the rebound. This is inevitable. At the same time, the bottom continues to maintain a big positive line to stop the decline, and strongly supports the K-line, 50 The moving averages continue to show signs of rising upward. Although the lows are also constantly rising, the stochastic indicator is currently trending toward a dead cross, running bearish and downward, and the BOLL central axis is temporarily suppressed. Therefore, in the short term within the day, there may be a shock retracement first and then Downward trend. Therefore, in the short term during the day, Jiesse still recommends short selling at high prices to operate!
Gold operating strategy:
SELL:1927-1930
SL1935
TP1:1923
TP2:1918
Gold: Rise continues with 1924 direct gains
The gold hit 1930 again during the day. Although it pulled back after encountering resistance, the magnitude was not large, indicating that the upward trend continued and the bulls were strong! Continue to follow the trend in operation! The US market 1924 can be more direct!
Judging from the trend, gold is still bullish. The current position of 1930 is the early consolidation pressure position. It is normal for the market to fluctuate and adjust at this position! At the same time, we are also waiting for the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision in the early morning of Thursday!
Gold is now treated as a shock, but it is a shock in the process of rising. The operation is naturally based on low and long! Therefore, relying on the support, we should continue to go long in the U.S. market, but we should not chase the rise after a new high. We should be short at the high position or wait for the fall to continue to go long!
Gold 1924 long, stop loss 1918, target 1940
Gold: The rise continues, and 1920 continues to follow the trend
Gold has turned around and started a band rebound, and the target of this band rebound is the 1930 position. The current market is moving steadily towards the goal step by step! The U.S. market fell back and relied on the support of 1914 to continue to go long!
Gold's current decline has ended and a band rebound has begun! It can be seen at the 4-hour level that after gold fell to 1900, the macd diverged, and then the market started to rise and broke through the 1915 position, which was directly suppressed, indicating that the breakthrough was effective!
After the breakthrough, the rally started. In the short term, the current rebound has touched the pressure of the 4-hour upper Bollinger Band. The possibility of a direct breakthrough is small. It needs to fall back and gain momentum again before breaking through. Then the previous pressure of 1915 has become the current Effective support, the US market will rely on this support to go long and bullish! The next target is the 1930 position!
Gold: Reaching our expected 1950 position
Gold entered the long position at 1938 in the European market, and rebounded and rose as expected. The US market strategy has also been disclosed in advance. Shorting near 1950, plan your transaction, trade your plan, and execute decisively in place. The current price of 1955 is short, and you will reap the rewards! The perfect switch between long and short, two consecutive victories in a day! Perfect!
The current rebound of gold has encountered resistance on the pressure position of the upper rail of Bollinger on the daily line, and there is a possibility of band adjustment! The high probability is the beginning of another short fall! The rebound in the US market continues to be empty! Relying on the pressure of the day's high of 1955, shorting is bearish!
Gold: 1955 empty, 1938 advanced
The support below gold is the 1935 position, the first target area for this decline!
Gold: Buy more in 1913, the US market continues to be bullish!
Gold is still in a bullish upward trend, and the pullback is still an opportunity to go long. Now that the market has fallen back, it will be more direct. The current price of 1913 is more, and the 1935 line is bullish!
Gold has now started an upward trend, and shocks and callbacks are inevitable, but every callback is an opportunity to go long again! And the current market is concentrated in the US market! And the current support position is the 1913 line, the bullishness of gold at this position remains unchanged, more, continue to do more!
The trend is rising, and the pullback will continue until a new high is reached in the US market. Only after the market reaches the 1935 line, will this rise be possible to end!
Gold: Start to pull up the US market and continue to be bullish!
1915 The current price is long and bullish! Although the Asian-European trading market is relatively dark, it is still profitable now! The rally remains unchanged, and the US market continues to be bullish!
Gold has now clearly turned into a bullish upward trend. In the short term, it maintains a shock above 1910. In fact, it is gaining momentum for another rise, and the operation continues to be low and bullish! Next, gold will continue to rise, and the next pressure position is the 1930 position!
Relying on 1910, the U.S. market continues to be low and bullish. Recently, the market has mostly occurred in the U.S. market, and it is more direct! Wait for the explosion!
Gold is more than 1915, stop loss is 1907, and the target is 1930.
Gold: 1890 is more supported today!
The decline of gold is over, and the bottoming or rebound trend is starting! Today started to be more bullish, relying on the support of 1885, stepping back to more low, more around 1890!
Looking at the hourly chart, gold has fluctuated all the way down before, and is suppressed by the moving average. Every time it touches the moving average, it will break a new low! However, the market has been supported by 1885 in the last two days, not only did not continue to break new lows, but also broke through the suppression of the short-term moving average! The market has changed!
Today's gold starts to be low and bullish. The first pressure above is to focus on the 1900 mark, which is also the pressure position where the rebound encounters resistance. The second target is the long-term moving average 1905 pressure! Whether it is a rebound or a bottom shock, pay attention to whether 1905 breaks through!
Gold: a strategic move
The fluctuation range of the gold Asia-Europe market is limited, and the market is concentrated in the performance of the US market! Judging from the current trend, the decline of gold has deviated, which means that this decline has come to an end! Moreover, this wave of decline has fallen to the support position of the weekly Bollinger lower rail, and is supported by the daily long-term moving average! Specific rebound conditions!
Now that gold has started to rebound, the U.S. market will focus on whether it breaks through 1920. After the breakthrough, it can be bullish to the 1930 line. More, the U.S. market will continue to be bullish!
Pay attention to the competition situation in 1920, and pay attention to the impact of data on the market. According to the data, whether gold will stand above 1920 or under pressure, and then make specific strategic adjustments.
Gold trend analysis
Gold prices struggled on Wednesday, with investors on the sidelines ahead of key U.S. inflation data that could provide more clues about the Federal Reserve's monetary policy stance. The latest U.S. inflation data due tomorrow will be an important point of reference when the Fed meets next month, when the committee will decide whether to continue raising interest rates or whether inflation is currently on a downward trajectory enough for the Fed to keep rates on hold. I am still bullish on the price of gold going up tomorrow
trading signal:
gold:buy 1905-1910 tp 1920-1925
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Gold: Gold US market 1960 dry air
The market is always full of surprises, which increases uncertainty, but this is also the charm of the market. I believe that everyone has no objection to the bearish view of gold technology today, and it makes the bears uncomfortable, but since the overall position is still short, it is better to give a better point to go short. The gold US market data soared to 1960 and directly went short, and gold fell to make a profit harvest.
Minefield ⛏️💥The VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (ticker: GDXJ) has entered a certain minefield here. Our short-trade target zone has already been dealt with and the corresponding high of the turquoise wave (ii) was placed accordingly within said zone. We are now anticipating further impulsive sell-action in accordance with the general bearish trend. If the bulls want to start another comeback though, they should’nt be able to increase the price beyond our still active second sell zone (between $39.33 and $41.67).
GOLD: Today with news!Despite concerns about China's economic growth and a risk-off market sentiment, the US Dollar did not receive support as investors focused on the possibility of a more accommodative stance from the Federal Reserve. This resulted in a decline in the US Dollar and a rise in the price of Gold, reaching a two-month high of 1,988.
However, the situation changed during the American trading session as the US Dollar made a strong comeback, in line with the increase in US Treasury bond yields. Risk sentiment worsened due to disappointing tech earnings and renewed expectations of a more hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve, leading to declines in US stocks and Treasuries.