XAUUSD: 1/3 Friday market analysis and strategyGold hit a one-month high of 2050 on Thursday and closed near 2044. U.S. inflation data was in line with expectations and the number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits increased slightly, providing upward momentum for international gold. Traders' attention turned to further comments from Federal Reserve officials for clues about a rate cut.
The latest data were in line with expectations after recent strong inflation data, which showed the U.S. personal consumption expenditures (PEC) price index rose 0.3% in January and the core PCE price index rose 0.4%, putting pressure on the dollar. This makes gold cheaper for investors holding other currencies.
At the same time, U.S. Treasury yields fell, increasing gold's appeal, and the market adjusted expectations for a June interest rate cut. Although gold has traditionally been considered an inflation hedge, higher interest rates to control price increases would discourage investment in gold because it does not pay interest.
Gold technical analysis
Daily resistance is 2053, lower support is 2015
Four-hour resistance 2053, lower support 2038-26
✅Gold operation suggestions:
Gold bulls ended the multi-day oscillation yesterday and finally ushered in its first breakthrough. After the bulls broke through 2040, they directly touched near 2050 and have been oscillating around 2040. From the current point of view, short-term gold price support focuses on the hourly neckline. It is near 2038. The upper pressure is focused on the vicinity of 2053. The short-term bullish strong dividing line has moved to 2038. The daily level has not broken through and stood above 2053. We cannot fully believe that the bulls will return. Let’s first look at the operation in the 2053-2038 range.
Pay attention to the dividing line between long and short in 2038
SELL:near 2053
SELL:near 2038
BUY:near 2038
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
Goldminers
XAUUSD:28/2 Today’s Market Analysis and StrategyAlthough U.S. durable goods orders data in January performed poorly, gains in London gold prices were limited as some short-term bulls took profits. Investors will focus on key inflation data and comments from Federal Reserve officials this week.
The dollar index remained weak, hovering near a three-week low, making gold more attractive to overseas buyers. At least 10 Fed officials will speak this week, and the Fed's preferred PCE data will be released on Thursday.
Concerns about the economic outlook, especially the outlook for the labor market, and worries about the upcoming presidential election became consumers' top concerns in February, causing consumer confidence to fall after rising for three consecutive months. Consumer confidence dropped on Tuesday, but inflation expectations for the next 12 months fell to their lowest level in nearly four years.
Daily resistance 2037-40, lower support 2000-1966
Four-hour resistance 2037-40, lower support 2015
Gold operation suggestions:
Gold is constantly oscillating. Today, the upper resistance is around 2037-41. Relying on this position, continue to go short once. The lower support is around 2020. During the day, rely on this range to sell high and buy low. You can participate multiple times.
SELL:near 2041
SELL:near 2015
BUY:near 2000
XAUUSD: 27/2 Today’s Analysis and Strategy
gold technical aspect
Daily resistance 2037-40, lower support 2000-1966
Four-hour resistance 2037-40, lower support 2015
Gold operation suggestions:
Today, the upper resistance continues to focus on last Friday's high around 2040-42, and the lower support focuses on around 2020-15. According to this range, we will continue to sell high and buy low. In the short term, there is a high probability that time will be exchanged for space to continue the long and short narrow range operation.
SELL:near 2041
SELL:near 2015
BUY:near 2000
XAUUSD:26/2 Today’s analysis and strategygold technical aspect
Daily resistance 2037-40, lower support 2000-1966
Four-hour resistance 2037-40, support below 2030-15
Gold operation suggestions:
From the daily analysis, we are currently focusing on 2037-40 suppression at the top and support at 2030-15 at the bottom. If there is no stimulus from bullish news, gold may surge higher and then fall back.
SELL:near 2041
SELL:near 2015
BUY:near 2000
XAUUSD:23/2 Today’s Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2037-40, lower support 2000-1966
Four-hour resistance 2033-37, lower support 2020
Gold operation suggestions:
From a four-hour perspective, we will first focus on the short-term support of 2010 today. If 2010 falls below, it may test 2000, and then continue to focus on the suppression of 2025 above. The daily level is 2037-2040. If the daily long-short boundary does not break through 2037, we will continue to be bearish. , continue to rely on this range to sell high and buy low during the day.
SELL:near 2025
SELL:near 2010
BUY:near 2000
XAUUSD:22/2 Focus on the 2020~2040 rangegold technical aspect
Daily resistance 2037-40, lower support 2000-1966
Four-hour resistance 2033-37, lower support 2020
Gold operation suggestions:
From a four-hour perspective, we will first focus on the short-term support of 2020 today. If it does not break here for four hours, we can go long in the short term, and then continue to focus on the suppression of 2033 above. The daily level is the resistance of 2037-2040. If the NY market reaches it, we can participate in short positions.
SELL:near 2041
SELL:near 2037
SELL:near 2033
BUY:near 2020
XAUUSD: 20/2 Today’s analysis and strategygold technical aspect
Daily level resistance 2029-2037, support below 2000-1966
Four-hour resistance 2020-2031, support below 2011
✅Gold operation suggestions:
From the four-hour analysis, today's lower support is still focused on the vicinity of 2011, and the upper pressure is in the 2020-2025 area. The daily level long and short dividing line is 2037. The daily level is still in a short trend before it breaks through and stands above 2037.
SELL:near 2037
SELL:near 2030
SELL:near 2023
BUY:near 2011
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
XAUUSD: 19/2 Today’s Analysis and Strategygold technical aspect
Daily resistance 2029-37, lower support 2000-1966
Four-hour resistance 2020-31, support below 2000
Gold operation suggestions:
Today is the President’s Day in the United States. It is difficult for the momentum of the Asian Handicap to last for too long. It will eventually fall back. We consider arranging short positions in the pressure zone first.
SELL:near 2037
SELL:near 2030
SELL:near 2021
BUY:near 2000
Gold royalty streamers oversoldAs a group, gold royalty streaming companies reacted negatively to the drop in gold price on February 13, 2024. This movement was triggered by US CPI for February printing slightly higher than expected by consensus, on the index and also MoM and YoY readings.
Reaction was an immediate spike in TVC:DXY and commensurate selloff in FX_IDC:EURUSD . This dragged risk assets down, with equities markets getting hit. TVC:GOLD also lost more than 1% in lockstep reaction.
The opportunity here is in the unwind of yesterday's outsized movement amongst the gold royalty streaming companies as a group. While some have performed better than others over the past year, they were all punished on this move. Typical drawdown was 10% on the day .
For consideration: A) a short term buy of one of these names and holding to pre-CPI price level, or B) a longer term entry for those with a bullish view on gold and appetite for leveraged exposure and desire for dividend income.
XAUUSD: Today’s market analysis and strategyGold technical chart, daily pressure 2000-2037, lower support 1966
Four-hour pressure 2000-2032, support below 1966
One-hour pressure is 1997, support below is 1984
Operational suggestions: Judging from the daily chart analysis, focus on the resistance of 1997-2000 today, and the target below the short position is a new low near 1966
SELL:near 2000
SELL:near 1993
BUY:near 1966
XAUUSD: 14/2 Today’s Analysis and StrategyGold technical chart, the pressure above the daily line is 2045, support is 2000-1966
Four hours, the upper pressure is 1997, support is 1966.
One hour upper pressure is 1997, support is 1988
Operational suggestions: From the daily analysis, the short-term pressure above today focuses on the resistance level of 1997-2000, the dividing line between long and short is 2020, and the support below focuses on 1972~1966.
SELL:near 2000
SELL:near 1988
BUY:near 1966
XAUUSD: 12/2 Today Analysis and StrategyGold technical chart, daily pressure 2040-2053, support below 2020-2000
Four-hour pressure 2034-40, support below 2029-2020
One-hour pressure is 2034, support below is 2020
Operational suggestions: Judging from the daily analysis, the short-term pressure at the top today will focus on around 2035-40, and the bottom will further test the strength of the support near 2020.
SELL:near 2040
SELL:near 2020
BUY:near 2010
BUY:near 2000
XAUUSD: 8/2 Today’s Analysis and StrategyGold technical chart, 1-Day pressure 2040-2053, lower support 2020-2000
4H pressure 2034-2040, lower support 2029-2020
1H pressure 2034, lower support 2028
✅Operational suggestions: Gold continues to maintain range fluctuations. Today, the top price continues to sell around 2042. The short-term support below focuses on around 2028-30. The bottom focus range is around 2015-10. Try to go long with light positions.
SELL:near 2040
SELL:near 2020
BUY:near 2010
BUY:near 2000
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
XAUUSD:6/2 Today’s Analysis and StrategyGold technical chart, the pressure above the daily line is 2053-40, and the support below is 2020-2000
Four-hour pressure 2029-40, support below 2020
One-hour pressure 2029-40, support below 2020
Operational suggestions: From the daily perspective, 2040-45 will continue to maintain a short direction under pressure during the day.
SELL:near 2040
SELL:near 2020
XAUUSD: 5/2 Today’s Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical chart, daily pressure 2053-40, support below 2020-2000
Four-hour pressure 2029, support below 2020
One-hour pressure is 2030, support below is 2012
Operational suggestions: Gold opened weak today, and the willingness to fluctuate in the range in the near future is relatively serious. It is very likely that it will remain in the range. For us, it is better to continue to fluctuate and operate with a bearish approach.
SELL:near 2050
SELL:near 2040
SELL:near 2020
XAUUSD:2/2 Today’s Analysis and StrategyGold technical chart, daily pressure 2053, lower support 2040-2000
Four-hour pressure is 2053, support below is 2040
One-hour pressure is 2056, support below is 2040
Operational suggestions: Judging from the daily trend, today’s lower support will focus on the 2053 long-short dividing line.
SELL:near 2050
SELL:near 2040
SELL:near 2020
BUY:near 2053
BUY:near 1966
XAUUSD: 31/1 Today Analysis and StrategyGold technical chart, daily pressure 2040-2053, support below 2000-1966
Four-hour pressure 2040-53, support below 2020
One-hour pressure is 2040, support below is 2030
Operational advice: The Federal Reserve announces its interest rate decision and Powell holds a press conference. It is the last day of this month. Trade with caution today! Gold bulls try to counterattack, focusing on the first-line pressure at the 2053 mark during the day
SELL:near 2050
SELL:near 2040
SELL:near 2020
BUY:near 2053
XAUUSD:29/1 Today Analysis and StrategyGold technical chart daily pressure is 2040, with support below 2000-1966
Four-hour pressure is 2032, support below is 2012-2000
One-hour pressure is 2025, support below is 2012-2000
Operational suggestions: Today's morning opening opened slightly to 2028 under the influence of the weekend news. This position is also an important resistance level today. Counterattacks during the day will continue to focus on 2032. The short trend remains unchanged. The short-term short-term weak dividing line is 2040- 43. Any counter-draw before the intraday level breaks through and stands on the 2032 line is a short-selling opportunity. The main tone of participation remains unchanged.
SELL:near 2040
SELL:near 2032
SELL:near 2020
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
XAUUSD: 25/1 Today Analysis and StrategyGold technical chart daily pressure is 2040, with support below 2000-1966
Four-hour pressure is 2032, support below is 2012-2000
One-hour pressure is 2025, support below is 2012-2000
Operational suggestions: Yesterday, gold hit the lowest level of 2012, a small support. Analyzing from today's daily line, above gold, we focus on the 2025-2032 first-line suppression, and below, we focus on the 2000 first-line support, and we still focus on rebound short selling.
sell:near 2032
sell:near 2025
XAUUSD: 24/1 Today’s Analysis and StrategyGold technical chart daily pressure is 2040, with support below 2000-1966
Four-hour pressure is 2032, support below is 2020-2000
One-hour pressure is 2032, support below is 2012-2000
Operational advice: The market has been fluctuating within a narrow range for nearly a week. The current upward pressure continues to focus on the 2032 and 2040 daily line pressure. Continue shorting on today's rebound, with the target around 2012-2000-1980.
SELL:near 2040
SELL:near 2032
SELL:near 2020
BUY: near 2000
Technical analysis only provides trading direction!
XAUUSD:23/1 Today Analysis and StrategyGold technical chart daily pressure is 2040, with support below 2000-1966
Four-hour pressure is 2032, support below is 2012-2000
One-hour pressure is 2032, support below is 2012-2000
✅Operational suggestions: At present, the top is paying attention to the first-line pressure of the 2032 mark, and its daily pressure of the 2040 mark. Today, it will rebound and continue to short, with a target near 2000-1980-1966. If the market reverses and breaks through 2053, the trend will turn to bullish.
SELL:near 2040
SELL:near 2032
SELL:near 2020
You don’t necessarily trade according to the points I mentioned, technical analysis only provides trading direction!
XAUUSD:22/1 Today Analysis and StrategyGold technical chart daily pressure is 2040, with support below 2000-1966
Four-hour pressure is 2032, support below is 2012-2000
One-hour pressure is 2032, support below is 2012-2000
Operational suggestions: Judging from the daily analysis, today's upper resistance will focus on the vicinity of 2032-2040. Counterattacks during the day will rely on this position to continue to be bearish and then look at the downward trend. The lower target will continue to focus on breaking the bottom. The short-term short-term weak dividing line will move down to In 2032, until the daily level does not break through and stand at this position, continue to maintain the main and short rhythm of the trend. Be careful to participate in the long position, and the target will be focused on 2000 first.
SELL:near 2040
SELL:near 2032
SELL:near 2012
Analysis of golden news surfaceThe market currently believes that the probability of a rate cut in March has dropped to below 50%. Expectations are down significantly compared to last week. The gold market continued to trade in a tight range as investors wavered over the timing of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts this year.
A hawkish shift in U.S. monetary policy sent gold prices to a five-week low last week, just above $2,000 an ounce. Although gold prices have rebounded from recent lows, the precious metal is still poised to end last week lower. Spot gold closed at $2,029.26 per ounce last Friday, down 0.94% on the week.
U.S. data last week showed an unexpected drop in initial jobless claims and better-than-expected retail sales. Gold prices in London were little changed as investors mulled the data. And as the economy strengthens, the Federal Reserve is looking for signs of weakness and considering easing monetary policy. The price of gold usually moves in the opposite direction to interest rates. Traders have pared back bets on a U.S. Federal Reserve pivot, putting the chance of a rate cut in March at around 52%, down from nearly 80% at the end of last week.
From different times, we can see that gold has two trends.