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Goldminers

Gold - 1220 SupportWe have had 2 strong bounces off the 1220 area, with both bounces hitting above 1230. It must be noted that the level we got rejected at (1240), is the bottom of the past low we made in October. It appears that passing this level is the gateway to 1280. It will be interesting to see if gold even bothers retesting 1220 again in the next few days, rather than attempting to make new high. I will also be paying attention to grandma's speech today, and seeing if she strengthens the USD.
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by GeorgeJimas
Gold DirectionAs I posted in my prior idea, I sold my gold position this morning when the DXY started to rally. I am still long-term bull with gold, however it is clear to me that this move wants to retest the 1220 area as this was significant resistance over the past few weeks. There's currently a bearish engulfing on the 1D chart, and the MACD is looking to test a break back down. Furthermore, the golden cross that we got this week, looks like it wants to retest the 100 EMA. I am currently holding a short position from 1237, and will be looking to re-enter long off a bounce from the 1210-1220 area. Gold still has bull momentum, and is still within the trend-line (both price and RSI). On top of that, the Fed isn't going to raise rates in March, so my long-term opinion on gold hasn't changed.
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by GeorgeJimas
8
Gold - Cup and handle continuedSo it looks like my cup and handle idea played out well. We are making higher highs, and lower lows, which is very bullish for gold, yet we are having resistance at the 100 EMA. Once this is cleared, we should move up rather quickly. I believe with 99.99% certainty NFP will beat tomorrow, which will cause an initial drop in gold, but due to the fact that gold rallied after the ADP numbers, and the fact that the two reports are so closely linked, I believe this drop will be bought up before close.
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by GeorgeJimas
Gold 1M outlookI thought it would make sense to look at the 1M chart in order to analyze gold for the longer term, based on a purely technical analysis. The orange bar has become a resistance level since 2011, and this trend has held up to now. With that being said, both the RSI and MACD bottomed out in 2013, yet we've seen consistently lower prices since then. We also seem to have started a new bull RSI trend since this bottom as well, hitting higher lows on the RSI for each drop in price. We look towards 2017 as the year we can finally break this orange trend-line established over 5 years ago, as the RSI and MACD are pointing us towards another re-test. I will not only be watching the $1200 level (which has been a key transition area for years), however I will also be watching the $1270-1300 level, as this would be the retest level for the orange bar.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by GeorgeJimas
1
gdx miner cyclefor those who follow cycles, here is my chart of the gold miners cycle. this chart forecasts that as of 1/12/2017 we are due for a miners cycle low in the second part of january 2017. this cycle will give us hints as to the Trend of gold. The current Daily cycle looks right translated (the high is in the second half of the cycle) and has gone higher than previous cycle (see arrows). if the bottom of this upcoming gdx cycle closes Above the previous daily cycle low (see line labeled "Critical level" - we must find a cycle bottom Above that line), it will make a strong signal that the daily cycle Downtrend is Over and we are starting a new Daily cycle uptrend UP. In plain language as long as we dont make a lower cycle low, it is a strong signal that gold is now in a long term uptrend! so it looks like there maybe a good Short trade here for a few Days, and then once we bottom, a good Long trade if we dont break the low. same cycle applies to GDXJ
AMEX:GDX
by Proph1t
Stepping back - 2017 gold tradeI have been long miners since November 14th, and am currently only down a few percent. I am by no means a scalper, so keep that in mind when you view this idea. There is a strong bull RSI divergence on the 1W chart, as illustrated above. (the divergence from the 1D chart is still there, however I am taking a step back with this idea). I think we have almost bottomed out on the MACD. This tiny interest rate raise means virtually nothing. You don't raise interest rates only 0.25% if you believe the U.S economy is healthy. We're currently sitting at a lower interest rate level then when they were dropped to 1% after 911 (a huge crises). I'm calling bs on the 3 rate rises during fiscal 2017. I believe we will see a strong rally at the beginning of January, and this will only continue when the Fed does not raise rates during 2017. We will see 1400-1500 in the first half of 2017.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by GeorgeJimas
New lows in gold for 2017?$GC1! has pretty much proven the 2016 rally was just a reaction high. We'll have confirmation if we close year end below 1307. A close below the 1179 quarterly bearish for year end would raise the probability of new lows DRAMATICALLY. Would be great value if we could get a pullback to the previously elected monthly bearish level (1242.1) and 50/60 ema. That move would most likely coincide with a pullback in the $DXY -0.14% and $DJY0 to their fib/ema areas. As Marty always says, just watch the numbers.
COMEX:GC1!Short
by patrick186
BULLISH DIVERGENCE IN GOLDI believe there is currently a strong bullish divergence in the RSI and MACD. My TP is 1250$, and I will re-evaluate gold when/if we get to that level. We are currently making higher lows in both the MACD and RSI (while the price decreases), which leads me to believe we will see a strong up move in the following days. My advice is to avoid listening to the gold chat too much, as people will claim 1000$ if we drop 1$, or 1400$ if we go up 1$. I would also advise to avoid listening to people who do not post charts, yet seem to be spamming the chat with nonsense all day, or the people who post charts, but continue to change their opinion/strategy every 10 seconds. There are a lot of people on here who provide advice based off their current position (their own interests), so be careful when following others. Follow your strategy, and stick to your chart. Goodluck.
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by GeorgeJimas
2