12.16 Gold Short-term Operation AnalysisThe gold market rose and fell last week. At the beginning of the week, the market opened high at 2645.1 due to the risk aversion factors on the weekend. The market first filled the gap and gave 2626.1. Then the market rose strongly. By Thursday morning, the highest point of this round of impact target 2726.2 was touched. After that, the market took profits and the negative fundamental factors suppressed the market to fall rapidly. The weekly line finally closed at 2648.6. The weekly line closed with a shooting star pattern with a very long upper shadow. After the end of this pattern, the weekly line has technical adjustment pressure, and the target of this round of testing is still the weekly level Bu Lin middle track support. In terms of points, if it rises first in the morning, give 2667 shorts and conservatively give 2670 shorts and stop losses at 2674. The lower targets are 2655 and 2645. If it falls below, this week's targets are 2640 and 2631 supports. If it still breaks, look at 2623 and 2612 near the extreme adjustment points of this round to exit and reverse trend long positions.
Goldminers
12.11 Gold Breakthrough? Exploring the bottom?Gold broke through the range yesterday and rose sharply, with a medium-sized positive line on the daily line.
This is mainly because it did not retreat to the key resistance level of 2688-9, which was the previous decline.
In addition, it also formed another force at 7-8 o'clock in the morning, and went through a cycle.
In terms of technical points, today's technical points are basically the same.
1. The previous day was strong, and the second day's morning 7-8 o'clock saw an increase.
2. The morning rose, forming a low point watershed. Today is 2693.
3. The European session broke the previous day's high, so the US session must be long twice, and the correction at 6-8 o'clock requires one more time in the US session.
4. There was no cyclical decline after 10 o'clock in the US session yesterday, and the resistance level of 2689 was blocked, but there was no decline.
5. The rise continued to break the high in the early morning, and it is destined to have more cycles in the morning today.
And the morning continued to rise, breaking the 2700 line. How to look at it today?
From the 4-hour perspective, the market has been rising with broken Yang all the way. There are two trends for this pattern:
1. Continue to accelerate the rise at the current position. The upper resistance is 2722-24, the previous high point.
2. This kind of broken Yang has a relatively fast bottoming out and rebound during the day, and then continues to be strong.
Because after the morning market, the long position is very stuck, it depends on how to understand it:
From the perspective of the pattern, it is unnecessary to short, either continue to wait, continue to rise during the day, and continue to be long in the US market.
Or wait for more intraday retracements, but this kind of retracement now, if it returns to the starting point in the morning, it is not meaningful, and it can only break the position and rise.
Therefore, we are more inclined to the latter, and the European market will quickly bottom out and rebound during the day.
In other words, there is no need to chase the longs, wait for more intraday retracements, or wait and see the US market.
Although the watershed in the morning is at 2693, according to the continued rise in the early morning, the watershed is at 2684-5, which is the focus of today's attention.
In view of the intraday retracement, especially the retracement after breaking the watershed, we are considering more, and we will see the bottom rise.
Or it is extremely strong, and it will continue to pull up directly, and we will see the show during the day, and we will see more highs and falls in the US market. The key resistance above is 2722-4.
Short-term support is 2684-5. Other positions are not considered for the time being, just pay attention to the intraday prompts.
12.11 Gold breaks resistance level, 2700 is comingTechnical analysis: key support and resistance levels
From a technical perspective, spot gold has successfully broken through and closed above the key resistance level of $2,650, and this breakthrough has provided new momentum for bulls. The oscillator indicators on the daily chart show positive upward momentum, suggesting that gold prices may continue to challenge the $2,700 mark and further touch the supply range of $2,720-2,722.
But at the same time, attention should be paid to the role of support levels. As a previous resistance level, $2,650 has now been transformed into an important short-term support. If it falls below this level, gold prices may further pull back to the $2,625-2,620 area, or even test the $2,600 integer mark. If it breaks below $2,600, it may open up more downside space, targeting the November low of $2,537-2,536.
Intraday analysis: upward momentum may continue
Overall, the upward momentum of spot gold remains solid. Under the combined effect of safe-haven demand, weak US dollar and geopolitical risks, gold prices are expected to continue to rise in the short term. However, before the Fed meeting and the release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, the market may be volatile. If the CPI data shows that inflationary pressures are easing, it may provide conditions for gold bulls to further exert their strength.
In the medium and long term, the gold market is still strongly supported by fundamentals. Investors should pay close attention to the latest developments in the Fed's policy direction and the geopolitical situation, which will continue to affect market sentiment and gold prices.
12.10 If gold falls back, go longYesterday, the gold market opened high at 2645.3 in the early trading due to fundamental risk aversion news. After that, the market first filled the gap and reached 2627.2. After that, the market rose strongly. The daily line reached 2676.4 and then the market consolidated. The daily line finally closed at 2660. After that, the market closed with a spindle pattern with long upper and lower shadows.
BUY: 2645 Stop loss: 2640 2635
$: 2657, 2667, 2677. Breakthroughs look at 2685, 2692, 2702-2710.
12.10 Geopolitical gold prices are expected to riseThe oscillating market is a market that accumulates momentum. The longer the oscillation lasts, the longer the unilateral continuation will last after the breakthrough. This is the basic law of the market trend.
In the morning of December 9, the price of gold rose first, which was a response to the risk events over the weekend. The safe-haven property of gold was reflected again.
The situation in the Middle East (Syria) is deteriorating continuously and rapidly. Its opposition has seized control of the capital Damascus, and the top leader has been forced to flee. This "evolution" is the key to the deterioration of the incident, which has aggravated market concerns.
Intraday analysis suggestions:
In the short term, the support below the gold price is $2,620. This position has been tested and tested many times in the early stage. The upper pressure is at $2,660 and the strong pressure is at $2,670. The early week period can maintain a bullish trend on the strong support of $2,620.
The pressure shown by the technical side is very obvious at the moment, but the fundamental support factors also exist. This is the reason for the continuous struggle between long and short positions, and it is also the reason for the breakthrough. On the whole, after the oscillation or struggle between long and short positions, the probability of the long side winning is relatively high. Therefore, the transaction can be mainly long on dips
XAUUSD: 9/12 Market Analysis and StrategyTechnical analysis of gold
Daily resistance 2700, support below 2580
Four-hour resistance 2654, support below 2627
Gold operation suggestions: Gold's technical side last Friday was slightly higher under the influence of the positive NFP data, and it was under pressure from the 2643 mark, and then fell under the shock. It finally closed below the 2640 mark and showed weak shocks. Today's Asian session slightly jumped high and pierced the 2647 line, and then fell under the degree of suppression and shock. In the short term, the gold price suppressed the recent weak shock consolidation trend below the 2660 mark.
From the current 4-hour line trend analysis, we focus on the 2654 line pressure above, and the 2637-2627 line short-term support below. In terms of operation, we will continue to participate in the trend. At present, the 2637-2627 weekly and daily level support below has been supported, and we can continue to be bullish.
BUY:2637near
BUY:2627near
The strategy only provides trading directions.
Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.
12.6 Gold breaks bottom to welcome non-agricultural sector!Tonight's non-agricultural data, the market is divided into two sections:
1. Before the non-agricultural data, according to the current rhythm, it is considered to be volatile, so change the range or short, volatile 618, choose the intraday decline and rebound 618 position, you can also short.
2. Non-agricultural data, last month's non-agricultural data was only 12,000. According to ADP, it is bullish for gold, but the data is bullish, and the probability of non-agricultural data being negative is not high. It can only be lower than expected. At the same time, the increase in unemployment rate is bullish for gold. This is also difficult.
So for the evening non-agricultural data, the current decline will either release the non-agricultural trend in advance or rush down and fall back. It is unlikely to be simply bearish.
The intraday short-term 618 position is at the 2626-8 line, which can be blocked for the second time.
Non-agricultural support, if it continues to break the bottom, don't grab more, this kind of continuous bottom breaking, more is meaningless.
See if it bottoms out and rebounds, and treat it as a new range of fluctuations.
Focus on the 100-day moving average position below, the daily large-scale support level
In addition, according to our shock formula, short-term and long-term opportunities are not available at the moment.
Before the non-agricultural market, there will be a second reminder, just follow the members.
12.6 Gold shock awaits non-agricultural sector① Gold was still in a range yesterday and needs to wait for Friday's non-farm payrolls;
② The current daily indicator MACD is oscillating near the zero axis, and the dynamic indicator STO is oscillating upward with two lines; it means that there is no direction.
③ The daily Bollinger Bands are beginning to shrink and compress the range on the three tracks. The current upper and lower track range is 2705-2558, and the small range is the middle track and MA30 adhesion point 2631-2667
④ The current 4-hour moving average is entangled with the middle track, and the upper and lower tracks are running flat, which means range oscillation. The current range is 2629-2656.
Strategy:
Long near 2615, defend 2605, and target 2644-2650-2658
Short near 2660-62, defend 2669, and target 2650-2645
XAUUSD:5/12 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2700, support below 2580
Four-hour resistance 2653, support below 2622
Gold operation suggestions:
The above pattern shows today's oscillation range pattern, and also estimates the rhythm of fluctuations. Today's short opportunities are 2657 and 2666. Only when 2666 is broken will the thinking be readjusted. 2632/33 is also very critical. Recently, it has stopped here for many times to rebound. It has been emphasized many times to arrange long orders near 2632. Today is the same. If there is a suitable low point below, continue to do more. The current idea is to short below 2657 and buy more above 2632!
12.5 COMEX Gold Technical AnalysisFrom a technical perspective, the gold daily line is close to the upper edge of convergence, and the Bollinger Bands show signs of closing. At the same time, the price has not broken through the moving average pressure, and the KDJ indicator is in a state of fluctuation without an obvious direction.
The daily level convergence pressure is around $2,690. If it breaks through, it is expected to accelerate upward and test the previous high point. If it breaks below the support of 2,640, it will accelerate downward.
From the 1-hour level, the Bollinger Bands are closing, and the convergence structure is entering the end, waiting for the direction to be chosen. The current volatility has dropped significantly.
The technical indicators remain volatile, with intraday high selling and low buying, and the lower support is $2,650 and the upper pressure is $2,690.
SELL: 2,650 Defense: 60 Target: 35-----30
12.5 Gold shocks, waiting for non-farm payrolls, short and longYesterday, the gold market opened at 2643.2 in the morning and then fluctuated in the range. Before the start of the U.S. market, the market gave a daily low of 2631.8 and then the market quickly pulled up to the daily high of 2657 and then the market consolidated. The daily line finally closed at 2649.8 and the market closed in a spindle shape with a lower shadow slightly longer than the upper shadow. After ending with this shape, today's market fell back to more. In terms of points, if today's market rises first, give a short stop loss of 2652 to 2657. If it falls back to 2637 first, the long position will be conservative at 2635 and the long stop loss will be 2631. The target is 2657. If it breaks, the pressure of 2661 and 2667 will be seen.
11.4 Gold weakens in the short termGold has fluctuated for two consecutive trading days, and it should break today.
Yesterday, as expected, the daily line rose after a single negative, mainly in three aspects:
1. Since this wave of rebound, the daily line has been a single negative, so look at the cycle.
2. The previous day rebounded too much. Although it retreated at the 618 position, the double bottom position is still there.
3. In the morning, 2633 is not only a rebound and retreat to the 618 position, but also a previous low point.
When looking at fluctuations, I have always emphasized a method, 618 is better to make a mistake than to let it go.
Therefore, we used gold non-short yesterday.
At the same time, let's look at yesterday's technical points:
Yesterday emphasized two watersheds, one is the time point of the European session, and the other is the price: 2633 and 2644, and the intraday breakthrough will continue.
1. In the morning, it directly relied on the low point to rise, quickly to the 2652 line, and the price effectively broke the morning low of 2644. It also emphasized that after the breakthrough, it is enough to step back more.
2. 2639 is the morning rebound and retracement to 618. The shock continues to see a step-back entry.
3. Although the performance before the US market is not big, the formula emphasizes that the correction at 6-8 points before the US market is still bullish. Yesterday, the US market also continued to rise after the breakthrough as expected.
But there are also regrets. It continued to fall back at 12 o'clock in the morning.
In the formula time point, we will make a summary at 12 o'clock every night. On the one hand, the Asian market is now big, and we will make a layout at 7-8 o'clock the next day, and also make a summary for the day.
Yesterday at 12 o'clock, it returned to the prototype: the first thought is that it was short at 7-8 o'clock this morning, and gold was weak.
Today, it is still the same. In this form, don't look at the continuous positive cycle of the daily line. Instead, the yin and yang lines in the shock are interchanged. Today, we see a break and fall.
For operations, it has been emphasized recently that the Asian market fluctuates greatly, and the focus is on the layout at 7-8 o'clock.
Therefore, you can go short in the morning, the upper watershed is 2649, and the lower target is 2627-29.
In addition, if it falls below 2630 today, then it is still short in the European session.
Due to the oscillation pattern retracement, pay attention to the entry point at 618, and the extremely weak 382, which refers to the entry point for the second rebound when the intraday high falls to the low.
12.4 Gold today overall range sweepOn Tuesday, the price first dropped to 2634-2633 in the morning, and the support was confirmed in the afternoon, and it was pulled up to 2650 area.
Then, the first bottoming out and rebounding action has been made. Next, under the condition of keeping low, we can look at the second continued upward action, and then break through and stand firmly on the large channel, and then look at the third acceleration to complete the pull-up of 30 US dollars in space
The four-hour pattern continues to show a narrowing situation, waiting for the subsequent breakthrough opening to guide a wave of unilateral volume
The closing range of the shape, the upper rail is 2666-2664, and the lower rail is 2620-2622
The position of the large channel line is close to the upper rail pressure 2652-2653. The support in the same area expands the sweeping space upward. Today's early trading squats back to hold the lower rail support
It can break through and stand firmly along the large channel line 2652-2653, and switch upwards. The next channel upper rail position focuses on the 2676-2678 area
BUY: 2635————2640 Stop loss: 2645————50
Target: 2660 2665
The daily hammer of gold market is extended and rubbed.From the technical perspective, the price of gold continues to fluctuate within the convergence triangle area. The decline on Monday this week is consistent with the characteristics of a volatile downward trend, with the lowest intraday price reaching 2620, which is exactly the starting point of the stabilization and rebound last week, highlighting its key support significance in the volatile market. As the price falls, the market has fallen below the volatile upward support line and is under pressure from the previous high of 2650, with a significant double suppression effect.
Looking ahead to the intraday trend, the suppression of the 2650 line still needs to be focused on this trading day. Given that gold is still in the volatile downward stage of the large-cycle convergence triangle and the downward trend has not yet ended, there is a possibility that the price of the market will fall below 2620. Therefore, in the short term, we maintain a bearish mindset, with 2650 as the key suppression level, and are bearish on gold. However, in the context of frequent interweaving of long and short factors, investors need to pay close attention to market dynamics and flexibly adjust strategies to cope with changes that may occur at any time.
XAUUSD: 3/12 Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2700, support below 2580
Four-hour resistance 2652, support below 2623
Gold operation suggestions:
From the current market trend, yesterday it was blocked by 2652 and fell back, with the lowest point reaching 2633. Today it fell to 2634, holding the support point to stop the decline and rebound. It has now come to 2650, approaching the 2652 suppression level again. If it holds 2652 and participates in short selling, it will accelerate upward to 2660-66 area if it breaks 2652. At that time, it will need to step back and do more, and then pay attention to the 2666 suppression level to be bearish. The overall situation is a tug-of-war market. Pay attention to the stabilization of the 2633 support point.
European and American gold operation ideas: Gold 2651near short; pay attention to whether 2634 can get support, you can be bullish; if it breaks 2652, it will step back near 2646 and continue to do more, with the target above 2660, and it can be sold if it touches 2664near. Today's market is complicated
SELL:2664near
BUY:2634near
BUY:2623near
The strategy only provides trading directions. Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.
GOLD - Potential sell !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on GOLD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a short. My point of interest is imbalance filled and rejection from bearish OB around 2600.
Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
Opportunity? A fall in the USD dominance is coming. BRICs can potentially challenge the USD. Money being linked back to a hard asset appears on deck whether it be BTC/Gold/Silver. This bodes well for all North American jurisdiction gold and silver resource companies. Strikepoint has huge potential in massive Walker Lane, Nevada property with an interesting private partner located at the center. As well as two high grade assets in the legendary Golden Triangle.
XAUUSD: 11/11 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2761, support 2638
Four-hour resistance 2678, support 2638
Gold operation suggestions: Last Friday, the overall gold price fell sharply from a high level. Today, Monday, the short position continued from last Friday, and the trend is still mainly short selling.
Judging from the current market trend, we still need to continue to be bearish on the market this week. Pay attention to the short-term 2668 line pressure on the upper side. The key pressure point on the upper side is maintained at 2675~2680, which is also the dividing line between long and short this week. The key support below is maintained near 2638. Once it continues to break down, it is very likely to start a large downward trend. The operation is still treated as rebound short selling, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
SELL:2668near
SELL:2638near
The strategy only provides trading directions.
Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.
XAUUSD: 8/11 Today’s Market Strategy and SignalsGold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2761, support below 2600
Four-hour resistance 2720, support below 2678
Gold operation suggestions: After a sharp drop of nearly $100 on Wednesday, gold rose by nearly $70 yesterday.
From the 4-hour chart, it stabilized and rebounded from the 2643 line, and 2700 was lost and regained. Today's opening is near the Bollinger middle rail. The hourly chart rebounded too fast yesterday. Today's support below is 2678, and the upper resistance is around 2718-20. The overall intraday support relies on this range to maintain high selling and low buying.
BUY:2778near SL:2774
SELL:2720near SL:2725
The strategy only provides trading directions. Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.
Gold Rebounds to $2700! Post-Trump Rally Shows Signs of PullbackFollowing Trump’s election-driven downturn, gold prices have fully rebounded, climbing back to the $2700 mark. However, after this sharp rise, signs of a potential pullback are becoming apparent. I believe gold is nearing a short-term peak, making this an opportune moment to start selling and capture possible downside moves to lock in profits during the adjustment. Keep an eye on the market and stay flexible to manage the upcoming volatility.
11.7 Analysis of Gold Short-term OperationYesterday, the gold market fluctuated greatly due to the influence of the US election. After opening at 2742.6 in the morning, the market first pulled up, and the daily line reached the highest pressure near 2750. After that, the market was affected by the US election result that Trump was re-elected and began to fall. After breaking the previous day's low of 2724, the market accelerated its decline. The daily line gave a minimum of 2650.7 and then the market consolidated. The daily line finally closed at 2658.8 and the market closed with a super large Yin line with equal upper and lower shadows. After this pattern ended, the daily head and shoulders top pattern was formed. In addition, the fundamentals expected that the market would fall back after stepping back. In terms of points, the long stops of 1996 and 2028 below were followed at 2600. The US market first rose to 2660 and gave a long stop loss of 2650. The upper target is 2675 and the breakthrough is 80-----90
11.7 Analysis of Short-term Gold OperationsOn Wednesday (November 5), gold prices fell below $2,700 as the dollar rose after Republican Donald Trump was elected as the US president after his amazing political comeback. Now it is trading sideways at $2,666.
Technical analysis:
Gold has key positions of support and resistance in the short term. At this stage, the $2,680-2,675 area constitutes an important support level for gold. If the gold price falls below this level, it may accelerate downward to test the support area below $2,650, which is the lower edge of the short-term rising channel since July. If it falls further, the next support range of market attention will be concentrated around $2,665, and further explore the $2,640 line.
At the same time, if the gold price rebounds, the $2,748-2,750 area may constitute the first resistance level, and the key resistance above is in the $2,780-2,785 range. If it can stand firm in this range, it may be expected to return to the $2,800 mark. It is worth noting that the $2,800 mark, as the pivot point of the long-term upward trend, will be of great significance to the bulls. If it can be steadily broken through, it may restart the upward trend.
BUY:2660
First target 2680
Second target 2700
Third target 2720
Analyzing the Factors Behind the Recent Gold Price Decline
A Post-Election Dip
Gold prices experienced a significant decline following the recent US election. The precious metal, often seen as a safe-haven asset, retreated as the US dollar strengthened and Treasury yields surged. This confluence of factors put pressure on gold, which tends to perform poorly in a rising interest rate environment.
Why Did Gold Fall?
1. Stronger US Dollar: A stronger US dollar typically weighs on gold prices. When the dollar appreciates, it becomes more expensive for foreign buyers to purchase gold, reducing demand for the precious metal.
2. Rising Treasury Yields: Higher Treasury yields reduce the appeal of non-yielding assets like gold. As bond yields rise, investors may shift their focus from gold to fixed-income securities.
3. Reduced Safe-Haven Demand: The election results, while not entirely unexpected, may have reduced some of the safe-haven demand for gold. Investors may have perceived less geopolitical risk and economic uncertainty, leading them to seek out riskier assets.
Is More Downside Ahead for Gold?
While the recent decline in gold prices has been significant, it's important to consider the factors that could influence its future trajectory:
1. Economic Uncertainty: Despite the post-election rally, global economic uncertainty remains elevated. Factors such as geopolitical tensions, trade disputes, and potential economic slowdowns could continue to support gold's safe-haven appeal.
2. Inflationary Pressures: Persistent inflationary pressures could drive investors toward gold as a hedge against currency devaluation. Central banks may need to tighten monetary policy to combat inflation, which could indirectly benefit gold.
3. Central Bank Demand: Central banks around the world have been significant buyers of gold in recent years. Continued central bank demand could provide support for gold prices.
Technical Analysis
From a technical perspective, gold prices have broken below key support levels. A further decline could be on the cards, with potential targets at the next significant support levels. However, it's important to note that technical analysis is not foolproof, and market sentiment can change rapidly.
Investor Strategies
Given the current market conditions, investors may consider the following strategies:
1. Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA): By investing a fixed amount of money in gold at regular intervals, investors can reduce the impact of market volatility.
2. Physical Gold: Owning physical gold can provide a tangible asset and hedge against inflation.
3. Gold ETFs: Gold ETFs offer a convenient way to invest in gold without the physical storage costs.
4. Diversification: Incorporating gold into a diversified investment portfolio can help reduce overall portfolio risk.
In conclusion, while the recent decline in gold prices is concerning, it's essential to consider the long-term factors that could influence its future trajectory. Investors should carefully assess their risk tolerance and investment goals before making any investment decisions related to gold.