GOLD Price Analysis: Key Insights for Next Week Trading DecisionGold prices surged last week, ending with a strong 3.9% weekly gain, closing around the $3,365 zone after bouncing back with conviction on Friday. In this video, I break down why gold rallied, what key events influenced price action, and how I’m reading the current chart structure to strategically position for the next move.
Here’s what’s driving the gold market right now:
🔸 Moody’s U.S. sovereign downgrade reignited safe-haven demand
🔸 Easing U.S.–China tensions led to mid-week profit-taking
🔸 Friday’s sharp rebound (+1.7% intraday) shows bulls are still in the game
🔸 Upcoming high-impact events could shake things up again
🎯 In this analysis, I walk you through:
🔸My technical blueprint (key zones for buyers & sellers)
🔸My bullish and bearish scenarios based on the structure on the chart
🔔 Don’t forget to like the video in support of my work.
Disclaimer:
Based on experience and what I see on the charts, this is my take. It’s not financial advice—always do your research and consult a licensed advisor before trading.
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Goldoutlook
Gold's rise is blocked and there is still a lot of room below
💡Message Strategy
The price of gold rose first and then fell during the day. The market entered the stage of rebound and shock in the US market. At the same time, the fundamentals of the US House of Representatives narrowly passed the Trump tax cut bill, and the debt problem caused concerns. On May 22, 2025, the US House of Representatives passed Trump's tax cut and spending bill by a narrow margin of 215 votes to 214 votes. The bill will significantly increase US debt.
The bill will extend corporate and personal tax breaks passed in 2017, cancel many green energy incentives of the Biden administration, and tighten health and food program qualifications for low-income people. According to estimates by the Congressional Budget Office, the bill will increase US debt by about $3.8 trillion over the next decade. The US debt has now reached 124% of GDP.
📊Technical aspects
Through the daily hourly trend analysis, the upward momentum of gold has declined, reaching a maximum of around $3,350, and still cannot break through the upward resistance pressure.
Just as we said before, if gold cannot break through the upward pressure position, then there is a lot of room below, and the current idea is still to short at high levels. There have been two opportunities for high-level pullbacks. Next, it will be difficult for gold to break through the upward pressure of $3,320.
Then the operation idea is very easy. If it pulls back to around $3,320, then we can directly short at high levels
Trend: Correction trend
Support: around 3,250.00
Resistance: around 3,320.50
💰 Strategy Package
Short Position:3315-3320,3345-3350
Flexible strategies lead to the best response.📍News:
The continued escalation of the war in the Middle East has increased risk aversion in the gold market.
At the same time, the Russian-Ukrainian negotiations broke down, and Russia launched the largest attack since 2022. Under the double attack, the market's risk aversion is full.
📊Gold technical analysis:
Today's gold price showed a violent fluctuation pattern. During the Asian session, the gold price quickly broke through the 3345 regional resistance and then fell back quickly, indicating that the short-term top pressure was significant. Subsequently, the market fluctuated repeatedly in the 3345-3320 high range and the 3320-3280 low range. After testing the 3350 high point in the Asian session, it retreated sharply, releasing a staged peak signal, indicating that the previous increase has entered the correction and callback stage, but the overall trend is still dominated by wide fluctuations.
Market sentiment reversed, and the price slowly fell and then was pulled up by the positive line. The game between long and short positions was fierce. Although the short position once dominated, the long position counterattacked strongly, and it is expected that it may hit the resistance near 3320 again. The current market has not formed a unilateral trend. The operation is still to deal with the idea of shocks, and maintain the idea of high-altitude and low-multiple. The strong resistance above is at 3350, and the key support below is 3280-3275. The probability of breaking down in the short term is low.
🎯Operational suggestions: Go long on gold when it falls back to around 3280-3275, look at 3300 and 3320, and go short if the rebound pressure of 3320 is not broken.
Gold Market Outlook - Gold BearishGold is currently in a consolidation phase, trading within a range of $3,280 to $3,360. We are closely monitoring for a breakout in either direction.
Based on current technical analysis, there is a higher probability of a downside breakout below the support level of $3,280. If this support is breached, we may see the following downside targets:
Target 1: $3,270
Target 2: $3,260
Target 3: $3,250
Target 4: $3,240
Traders are advised to plan their positions accordingly, keeping risk management in focus.
Gold Price Surpasses $3,200 for the First Time in HistoryGold Price Surpasses $3,200 for the First Time in History
According to the XAU/USD chart today, the price of an ounce of gold is fluctuating above the $3,200 level on global exchanges — a level never reached before.
Since the beginning of 2025, gold has gained approximately 22%.
Why Is Gold Rising Today?
Today’s bullish momentum in the gold market is driven by two key factors.
First, inflation data. Figures released yesterday for the CPI (Consumer Price Index) revealed a slowdown in inflation in the United States. This suggests a greater likelihood of monetary policy easing by the Federal Reserve. According to Reuters, gold prices now reflect expectations of three interest rate cuts by the end of 2025 — and lower rates typically support a stronger XAU/USD.
Second, fears of a global recession. Although US President Donald Trump has introduced a 90-day delay on the implementation of international trade tariffs, this does not apply to China, where tariffs have been increased to a striking 145%. Traders fear that Beijing could retaliate by raising tariffs on US goods beyond the current 84%.
Technical Analysis of XAU/USD
At present, the gold market is showing strong upward momentum, which began in early March (as illustrated by the blue trend channel). Key points include:
→ A breakout above the upper boundary of the channel;
→ The RSI indicator suggests a potential bearish divergence forming.
This points to the possibility of a short-term pullback into the blue channel, which would be a natural correction — especially considering the rapid $200 surge from $3,000 to $3,200 over just two days. However, given the current news backdrop, it seems unlikely that the bulls will relinquish control anytime soon.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Gold Analysis: Straddling the Fence Amid Market UncertaintyIt’s pretty interesting to read comments and trading ideas on forums during these uncertain times. Right now, 9 out of 10 traders are saying to sell or hold short positions if they have them. They’re referencing MACD, EMA, charts, stars, the mood of their pets (just kidding, but hey, it’s a possibility) and other indicators.
I analyze the chart differently, always keeping an eye on my indicators, which I’m sure you’re aware of since I talk about them all the time.
So, looking at the Gold chart right now, the question is: who’s suffering more, the bulls or the bears? Honestly, it’s not clear-cut. If you ignore the chart and just look at the exchange data and positions, it’s pretty much 50/50. But there’s a solid call option for a rise with a strike at $3000 that popped up right after the drop to 2620, which is a positive sign.
Overall, I’m “sitting on the fence,” and I’d recommend you do the same. News is coming soon, and I have a feeling there might be some bloodshed in the market.
Gold Futures exactly at mid channel support. Gold futures are exactly at Mid-Channel Support for Gold Enthusiasts. Mother line support is already broken after head and shoulders formation in Gold. Gold Futures CMP is 75200. If Mid-Channel support 74436 (Major Support) is broken we can see gold fall to 73175 or even 71192 levels where Gold will come down to meet the Father line support of 200 days EMA. Resistances for gold on the upper side seem to be at 75836 (Major Mother line resistance of 50 days EMA). 76498, 77683 and 79K. Gold is looking little weak on charts and if Mid-Channel support is broken 74436 it will become vulnerable.
To Know more about Parallel Channel and Mother, Father and Small Child theory mentioned in the above message. Do read my book (The Happy Candles Way to Wealth Creation) available in E-version on Google Play books and Kindle. Paperback Edition is available on Amazon.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
XAUUSD (GOLD) I Potential Bearish Flag BreakoutWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
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XAUUSD (Gold) I Weekly outlook and technical analysisWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
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GOLD (XAUUSD) One More Bearish Move Ahead
Guuuys, I have already predicted a local bearish movement on Gold this week.
I think that one more is ahead.
The price is currently approaching a strong resistance.
From that a trend-following movement will follow.
Target level - 1904
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GOLD 29June2023looking at the structure of gold where every time he forms a new LL the distance is getting closer, there is a possibility that the price is heading towards saturation. the temporary target is the H4 SnD area and here there is a possibility of minor bullishness. if you are looking for a buying moment, it is better to wait in this SnD area.
GOLD forecast 18June2023I have two options for analyzing the movement of GOLD.
The first option is that the price is in a bearish channel and is trying to retest the trendline before finally going down to the SnD area.
Or maybe the second option is that the price is in a sideways trend, where the price will move up to the resistance, if the blue box resistance is indeed responded positively, then the price should go back down.
sometimes we are placed in several choices, when this happens we should still wait for confirmation in the form of patterns, candles or maybe indicators, after there is confirmation we can react better.
GOLD SHORT TERM INTRADAY IDEAIntraday Analysis - GOLD - ( 7th MAR 2023 )
As per analysis last week , Price tapped into our take profit region with possibility of price heading towards 1852-1855 region. Price was setting up better sell side liquidity during the start of the month and we may see a potential shift in market structure soon as we can see new lower highs printed and failure to print higher highs.
Will be primarily looking for shorts with FED CHAIR JEROME testifying tonight at 11pm SGT. A hawkish remark by the fed will bring prices of gold back down however with a dovish stance we will adapt to buys tmrw.
Bias - hawkish remark by jerome - gold shorts - dollar dominance
HRHR SELLS AT 1864
MRMR SELLS AT 1855
SAFER SELLS AT 1847
Will not be looking for buys in our analysis although scalp buys are valid.
For new traders, watch and observe the volatility during the news and wait for better price action or retest before entering tmrw. If you want to trade, reduce risk especially during NY session tonight.
GOLD AT A MAJOR DISCOUNTToo much attention into BITCOIN causing GOLD to sell off imo. GOLD will head much higher soon. I would buy again if it does dip, but 1769 was probably the bottom. The dollar will be at sub 89 soon enough, and it has not been around that level in 3 years. I predict bonds will fall as well. Everyone will be chasing gold sometime this year. GL all.
GOLD Elliot wave analysis The chart above shows two possible scenarios for GOLD, but both still point at a bullish outlook at the end, its either there is going to be another simple ABC correction downward to serve as the last wave for (y), or the market should continue growing in price to 2100 without any further correction.
XAU/USD Potential Double Top/H&S PatternTL;DR: We will most likely see Gold making another bullish run back towards the 2071.00 area. Once it reaches the previous resistance, it'll most likely fall back towards the support/ supply zone that's marked out (1923.78~1932.23).
We can see how the events around the world are playing out. We see a strong surge in Covid mainly in 3 countries. There is also mass printing of Fiat currencies around the globe mainly from the European and North American nations. There will be a potential surge in the price of gold just from the sheer amount of gold central banks have been buying back in the past decade combined with the last two factors. Basically there is fear within the market and within the daily lives of the sheeple(sheep-people). But I also predict there will be a small sell off of gold in the later part of the year once we reach a new high, but with enough momentum we can see a return to a nice supply zone for central banks to splurge a little bit more. Thanks for coming to my Ted Talk :)