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Gold Setup for July 3th: Don’t Get Caught in the Liquidity Net🌙 Good evening, sniper — lock in, load up, and let’s dance with Thursday’s chaos 💣 🌍 Macro & Geopolitical Pulse Thursday’s setup is not for amateurs: 🔸 Non-Farm Employment Change 🔸 Unemployment Rate 🔸 Initial Jobless Claims 🔸 ISM Services PMI 🔸 Factory Orders Add to that: • A Fed still talking tough on rates • Geopolitical flare-ups in the Black Sea and Middle East • Gold trading deep into premium… 💡 This is where markets hunt weak hands, then flip direction without mercy. We don’t chase candles. We wait for exhaustion. Then we execute. 🎯 Bias Snapshot (D1 → H4 → H1) • Daily closed bullish but deep into old CHoCH + OB • H4 printed HHs, but structure now presses into stacked supply • H1 shows momentum fading — RSI divergence + weakening push 📌 Core bias: Still bullish — but every pip above 3360 is loaded with risk. If 3380 fails to break cleanly, expect rejection. If it breaks — the market likely wants full liquidity above 3400. 🗺️ Battlefield Zones 🟢 Buy Zone #1 – 3310 to 3320 The sniper’s discount pullback: Fibo 38.2%, M30 OB, EMA 50, and clean imbalance. Wait for news spike + bullish confirmation to go long. 🟢 Buy Zone #2 – 3285 to 3295 The deep reaction zone. Fibo 61.8% + OB + gap. Enter only on violent wick and rejection — but RR is exceptional. 🟡 Flip Zone – 3334 to 3340 This is where momentum flips: • Hold above = continuation toward premium • Break below = bearish reversal unlocked No entries here — this is your compass, not your trigger. 🔴 Sell Zone #1 – 3357 to 3366 Classic CHoCH retest. H1/H4 OB with layered liquidity. If price rejects here on post-news spike — short it back toward the flip. 🔴 Sell Zone #2 – 3387 to 3395 Top-of-range sweep. If gold blows through zone 1, this becomes liquidity trap central. Wait for rejection wick + bearish PA confirmation. 🔴 Sell Zone #3 – 3410 to 3420 The final premium kill zone. This is where the market finishes stop-hunting every breakout buyer. Fibo extension 1.272–1.618 hits here. If we wick this zone and stall — sniper short back to 3380–3366. ⚔️ Execution Blueprint Wait for news to trigger the chaos — early entries are a donation. Short 3357–3366 on exhaustion → target flip zone. If price overextends into 3387–3395, get ready for the reversal play. Extreme spike to 3410–3420? That’s your killshot short — ride it back down. If price retraces into 3310–3320, it’s your safe sniper long. Panic into 3285–3295? Deep long entry, only with confirmation. Watch the flip zone (3334–3340) — above = bullish bias holds; below = bears back in control. 🎯 No guesswork. No hope. Just precision. Wait, confirm, and strike. 💬 Let’s stay sharp tomorrow — market will offer clean setups, but patience and clarity are key. If this plan helped, drop a comment or share your thoughts below. 👉 Follow GoldFxMinds for daily sniper-entry plans crafted with precision. Smash that🚀🚀🚀 if this plan sharpened your edge. 📝 You already know — we don’t guess, we execute. 🦅 Good night, snipers 💛 ⚠️ Disclosure I’m part of TradeNation’s Influencer Program and use their TradingView charts for analysis & educational content.
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
1
Gold grows, recovers near 3390 📣Gold News Gold prices edged higher during the North American trading session as investors turned their attention to the upcoming U.S. non-farm payrolls report (NFP), which could influence the Fed's next policy move. The latest labor data showed that companies are pausing hiring rather than laying off employees, reflecting caution in an uncertain economic environment. Meanwhile, Microsoft's decision to lay off 9,000 employees has heightened concerns about a weak labor market. Traders are currently awaiting the official employment report from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics on Thursday, which is expected to show 110,000 new jobs in June, down from 139,000 in May. The unemployment rate is expected to rise slightly to 4.3%, still within the 4.4% range of its forecast according to the Fed's latest summary of economic projections. 📣 Technical Analysis NF is worth buying before the news release, holding. The dollar continues to be under selling pressure from investors worried about the Trump administration's erratic tariff policy. 💰Set Gold Price: 💰Sell Gold Zone: 3390-3398 SL 3405 TP1: 3380 USD TP2: 3363 USD TP3: 3350 USD 💰Buy Gold Zone: 3296-3294 USD SL 3289 USD TP1: 3308 USD TP2: 3318 USD TP3: 3330 USD ⭐️Technical Analysis: Set reasonable buy orders based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support and resistance areas.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by labaronAA
Short-term opportunities are imminent.Gold prices have continued to rebound recently and have reached around 3358, but there is a lack of effective retracement during the rise, and the risk of short-term chasing has increased significantly. From a technical perspective, the US dollar index has a demand for a corrective rebound after a rapid decline, and it is expected to form a significant suppression on gold in the short term, limiting the rebound space of gold prices. From a capital perspective, the previous high-level long chips have gradually been untied and started to leave the market with profits, and selling pressure has gradually emerged; short positions may be re-arranged after completing concentrated stop losses, and the market structure is quietly changing. Based on the above factors, it is recommended that traders remain patient and continue to hold short positions, focusing on the support of the 3335-3325 area. Be sure to control your position during the operation, strictly set stop losses, and avoid the high risks brought by chasing the rise. The core of trading is to follow the trend, respect the market rhythm, and wait for the adjustment to be confirmed before intervening. Steady trading can only make long-term profits. Welcome everyone to share and communicate to improve the operation level together.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel
6.30 Four-hour resistance determines the strength of the reboundAt the weekly level, the short-term focus is on the adjustment and continued breaking of the weekly support. As time goes by, the weekly support is at the 3285 watershed. At the daily level, after the price broke the daily support last week, the price continued to rely on the daily resistance to bear pressure. At present, the daily resistance is at the 3355 area resistance. Below this position, gold can continue to be shorted. At the four-hour level, the four-hour key position is the key to our emphasis on short-term trends. At present, the four-hour watershed is in the 3300 area, so the focus is on the gains and losses of this position. Before it breaks up, the short-term focus will be on the pressure first, but once it breaks up, it will need to focus on the rebound to the daily resistance. From the one-hour perspective, the bottom rebounded during the early morning session and broke through the high point of the previous trading day’s early morning retracement, so the short-term is still in adjustment. Temporarily pay attention to the gains and losses of the 3300 position, and treat it as the right-side trading method in terms of operation.
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
1
GOLD Price Analysis: Key Insights for Next Week Trading DecisionIn this video, I break down last week’s gold price action and give you a detailed outlook for the week ahead. With gold closing around $3,260 and major macroeconomic shifts unfolding—including the Israel-Iran ceasefire talks, rising US dollar strength, and concerns over the US Q1 GDP contraction, we are at a turning point. 📉 Will weakening economic data force the Fed to pivot? 📈 Could this create a fresh bullish wave for gold? Or will stronger job numbers and inflation data drag gold lower? ✅ What you’ll learn in this video: ✅Key fundamental drivers affecting gold (XAU/USD) ✅Important economic events to watch (Fed Chair speech, NFP, ISM) ✅My technical analysis of gold price levels to watch ✅How to read the current market sentiment like a pro ✅Strategic trading zones for bulls and bears 🔔 Don’t forget to like the video in support of this work. Disclaimer: Based on experience and what I see on the charts, this is my take. It’s not financial advice—always do your research and consult a licensed advisor before trading. #xauusd, #goldprice, #goldanalysis, #goldforecast, #goldtrading, #xauusdanalysis, #technicalanalysis, #fundamentalanalysis, #forextrading, #forexmentor, #nfpweek, #goldoutlook, #tradingstrategy, #chartanalysis, #julyforecast, #fedwatch, #priceaction, #traderinsights, #commoditytrading, #marketbreakdown, #xauusdforecast, #tradethefundamentals, #smartmoneytrading
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD
by darcsherry
1
Next week's market trend analysisShort-term technical analysis of gold next week: After gold was horizontally consolidated below 3400, it had two relatively large retracements. The short-term downward channel, the upper edge of the channel is currently around 3340, which is also the turning point of the short-term long and short cycles that we need to pay attention to later. Has the current big rhythm entered a weak position? Daily level analysis: After reaching 3500, gold is still in a trend of high-level consolidation, and there is a periodic switch between long and short positions, and there is no extremely strong or weak rhythm. In this consolidation process, there are two relatively large retracements: the first from 3500 to 3200 space 300 points, the second from 3435 to 3120 space 315 points. In other words, in the current daily level cycle, the maximum decline is around 300 US dollars. Not exceeding this maximum retracement value, to a certain extent, it is still in the rhythm of high-level correction. According to the range of this space retracement, the limit of the daily retracement is around 3150, with an error of about 20 points. However, the daily range is large, so it is too early to talk about this threshold. At present, the short-term pressure points of 0.618 and the top and bottom structures are all around 3300. Another point for everyone to pay attention to: in the market with a small cycle of negative decline, once there is a sideways trend. Don't take it as support! The price is consolidating horizontally, which only means that the current bulls are weak in pulling back and the change of weakness must be a strong pullback to break through the big negative. Similarly, the slow rise market is the same. The first support below in the short term is around 3250. The strong support is at the integer level of 3200. Once this position is reached, it will become a repeated test position like 3400.
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
GOLD DAILY OUTLOOK | BEAR MARKET STRUCTURE CONFIRMED 📉 Trend Reversal Underway – Prepare for Lower Levels The daily structure on Gold (XAUUSD) confirms a shift from accumulation to distribution. Here's what stands out: 🔻 Key Breakdown Factors: Failure at O_FIB Rejection Zone The price failed to sustain above the upper Fib extension and supply zone (marked in red). Multiple attempts at reclaiming this level have resulted in sharp rejections, signaling exhaustion of buyers. Break of Mid-Range Structure We've decisively closed below the range midpoint, with strong bearish daily candles. This confirms loss of control by bulls and opens the door for a move toward deeper retracement zones. Support Zones Exposed The 0.618 FIB & 100 MA area around ~3160 is now a primary target. This zone held previously, but repeated touches weaken structure. The 1.0 FIB & 200 MA zone around ~2960 is the macro support target. If sentiment continues to deteriorate, this will be the magnet. EMA Crosses Rolling Over Price has decisively lost the 9/21 EMA zone. Until a daily close reclaims this zone (~3335+), bearish momentum remains valid. 📉 Bearish RSI Momentum While not a primary signal, RSI confirms momentum divergence and bear control below the midline. No sign of reversal. 🎯 Bearish Bias Until Reclaim of 3335 Zone 📌 Next Target = 3160, then 2960 🛑 Invalidation = Daily close above 3340 with strong volume and reclaim structure This is not a short-term pullback — it's the beginning of a deeper correction. Gold is no longer in the “safe-haven” trade. Be patient, position with structure, and let the trend do the work. Focus will be on fading the traps on pullbacks into structure.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDShort
by CBMotivation
Gold fluctuated and fell, and the rebound was directly short 📣Gold News Due to the easing of the situation in the Middle East, gold has fallen in the past few days, and the market has been eagerly looking forward to the interest rate cut, because the tariffs in the Trump era may push up inflation, but it has not come yet. " On Thursday, the U.S. Department of Labor and Commerce issued key economic data, including initial jobless claims and the final value of real GDP in the first quarter. The number of initial jobless claims was 236,000, a decrease of 9,000 from 245,000 in the previous week, better than the market expectation of 245,000. At the same time, as of June 14, the number of continued unemployment claims in the week increased by 37,000 to 1.974 million, a new high since November 2021. Gold stopped below the moving average today. Gold did not continue the small positive line rise, and the decline continued during the U.S. trading period. Today, focus on the continuation of short positions, comprehensive Labaron believes that gold is bearish today. For today's operation, consider rebound shorting as the main, and low long as the auxiliary. 📣 Pay attention to the resistance of 3330-3345 US dollars above 📣 Pay attention to the support of 3300-3280 US dollars below 💰 Go long near 3295-3285, target 3310-3320 💰 Go short near 3330-3340, target 3000-3290 If you have just entered the market, you are confused about the market of gold, oil and silver, and you always do the opposite operation direction and the entry price is unstable. I hope Labaron's article will help you.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by labaronAA
GOLD Can Turn Bearish Now, After Completing a 50% Retracement!GOLD futures analysis for Wed Jun 26th. Price reached the -FVGand is reacting to it now. This, after pulling back tothe 50% fib. Should the FVG fail, Gold is bullish. This is not supported by fundamentals, though. As the market environment is more risk on than off, I expect the -FVG to hold, and the retracement of the last impulsive move down to end, and a new bearish leg to begin. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
COMEX:GC1!
by RT_Money
3
Gold prices rose as dollar data was not good 📌 Gold information: Gold prices plunged on Tuesday as a ceasefire was declared in the 12-day war between Iran and Israel, market risk appetite rebounded, and demand for safe-haven assets declined. The ceasefire news pushed global stocks higher, while oil prices fell to a two-week low as concerns about supply disruptions eased. The plunge in crude oil prices also further suppressed gold's inflation hedging appeal. As an interest-free asset, gold prices are under pressure against the backdrop of waning risk aversion, but there is still buying support at low levels. Investors are currently focusing on Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's appearance at a House Financial Services Committee hearing. Powell has been cautious on whether to cut interest rates in the near future. 📊Comment Analysis The current market selling sentiment has increased significantly, and for gold, falling seems to be the only way to go. Today, whether you look at rebound short or low long, basically you will not have a chance, that is, falling, it seems that the market has lost hope in gold, and the current gold has fallen to 3295, and the break of 3300 declares that gold has further room to fall. From the trend point of view, it is likely to fall now! The further strong support on the current trend line is around 3274, and it is not ruled out that it will fall directly to the current position. At present, the Federal Reserve is still speaking, and whether it will cause drastic fluctuations in gold in the future is still unpredictable, but from today's trend, shorting is already the best solution at present, and the upper resistance can first look at 3330! 💰Strategy Package Gold: Rebound 3325-3335 short, stop loss 3345, target 3290-3300! ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the lot size that matches your funds
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by labaronAA
1
Gold-----sell near 3393, target 3380-3366Gold market analysis: Yesterday, gold was basically a repeated shock, the K line was repaired at one position, and buying and selling were back and forth around the M side of the suppression platform 3405. Yesterday, our analysis was completely in line with our expectations. Yesterday, we also repeatedly arranged 5 sell orders, arranging 3382 break sell, 3387 sell, 3393 sell, 3382 sell, 3377 sell. Today's idea is to continue selling. The daily line cannot determine the bottom of this wave of decline. There are data in European and American time today. I think we can rely on the 3405 platform to be bearish before the data. If 3405 breaks, we adjust our thinking to be bullish. Otherwise, we can sell repeatedly. Gold is oscillating in the short term. Try not to chase it and wait for it to rebound and suppress the position to sell. In addition, the daily moving average suppression position of the moving average is 3396-3363, which is also the main reason for its repeated game at this position. The weekly buying momentum is not dead yet. Be cautious of its rocket in the second half of the week. In today's Asian session, we will first focus on the suppression of 3395. The risk of taking more is relatively large. The low point below is not stable. The Asian session fell to 3370 and rebounded quickly. From the perspective of the pattern, 3372-3366 is the support. The suppression position of the 1H hourly moving average is near 3395. Yesterday's US session rebounded at around 3396, and the hourly K suppression position was 3400. All the above are suppressed. In addition, the opening position today is also near 3393. Pressure 3393, 3400, 3405, support 3382, 3370, and the watershed of strength and weakness in the market is 3382. Fundamental analysis: In the previous fundamentals, we have been paying attention to geopolitical factors. The situation in the Middle East has indeed changed the way gold and crude oil are traded. Today we focus on the monetary policy of the Federal Reserve, and there is also a speech by Chairman Powell during the US session. Operation suggestions: Gold-----sell near 3393, target 3380-3366
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by NuggetsWarriors
Gold may usher in new opportunities Key fundamental drivers - Middle East tensions and nuclear negotiations Despite the ongoing tensions, Iran's signal of restarting nuclear talks has reduced risk aversion, triggering an intraday sell-off in gold, and the market has digested the reduced possibility of escalation of the conflict. The turbulent situation in the Middle East remains a trigger for market volatility, and any downgrade/escalation signals may trigger sharp fluctuations in gold prices. - Fed policy and rate cut bets The Fed kept interest rates unchanged this week, but Powell's "data-dependent" stance has raised market expectations for a September rate cut to 60%. A dovish meeting statement could push gold prices above $3,400, while a delayed rate cut signal could drag gold prices to $3,350. Short-term outlook In the short term, gold prices may fluctuate between $3,350 and $3,450, and a breakthrough depends on: - Upside catalyst: Escalating tensions in the Middle East + weak retail sales data may push gold prices to $3,450. - Downside risks: Fed hawkish signals + fading geopolitical risks could push prices to $3,300. Key event risks - June 19: Fed policy meeting (expected to be dovish) - June 21: US CPI data (inflation indicator to measure the timing of rate cuts) - Middle East situation: progress in nuclear negotiations and conflict dynamics 💰Strategy Package Set gold price: 🔥Sell gold area: 3390-33396 SL 3400 TP1: 3380 US dollars TP2: 3375 US dollars 🔥Buy gold area: $3374-$3366 SL $3360 TP1: 3390 US dollars TP2: 3400 US dollars
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by labaronAA
1
Gold is under pressure! What is the key to breaking the deadlock 📌 Core driving events The conflict between Iran and Israel has entered the fifth day. Air raid alerts in Tel Aviv are frequent. The fire on a cruise ship in the Strait of Hormuz has exacerbated the panic of energy transportation. Safe-haven buying supports gold prices; Trump's contradictory statement of "peace talks + tough" (may send executives to meet but demand "unconditional surrender") has exacerbated the market's disagreement on the direction of the conflict, and risk aversion has fluctuated repeatedly. The Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision today. The market expects it to remain unchanged at 4.25%-4.50%, but Powell's statement on rate cuts will affect the trend of the US dollar (Trump continues to pressure for a 1 percentage point rate cut). 📊Comment Analysis 1-hour chart: 3396 becomes the intraday strength and weakness watershed The Asian morning session hit a high of 3396 US dollars and fell back. This point is the previous high pressure point. If the intraday rebound does not break through this position, the bearish thinking will be maintained; 💰Strategy Package Set gold price: 🔥Sell gold area: 3390-33396 SL 3402 TP1: 3380 US dollars TP2: 3375 US dollars 🔥Buy gold area: $3374-$3368 SL $3362 TP1: 3390 US dollars TP2: 3400 US dollars ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by labaronAA
2
Gold-----Sell near 3405, target 3390-3360Gold market analysis: Yesterday's daily line closed with a big negative line, which was basically a day to kill the buying. Today's idea is to sell in the short term. The daily and weekly trends have not yet turned to selling. Although the daily line closed with a big negative line yesterday, its shape and indicators have not completely turned to selling. There is still motivation to buy in the later stage. In addition, Iran and Israel are still fighting. It is still difficult to see a deep decline in the short term. We estimate that today's Asian session will rebound slightly and then fall. If today's daily line continues to fall again, it may enter a new short-term selling mode. We are just a follower. We follow the short-term. If the short-term trend is bearish, we will rebound and sell. The daily line closes the negative Asian session and waits for the opportunity to sell. In the Asian session, we pay attention to the suppression of the 3410 position. It is the suppression position of the shape, the suppression position of the 1-hour moving average, the central axis position of yesterday's big drop, and the suppression position of the daily line. If the Asian session stands on 3410, it may bring a new technical rise in buying. After all, the shape of the daily line is still buying. Secondly, if it breaks 3382, it can continue to sell it with a small rebound. 3405 is also a suppression, and it is also considered to sell when it is close. Pressure 3405 and 3410, support 3282, the strength and weakness dividing line 3400. Fundamental analysis: Yesterday, Iran and Israel started bombing each other again, and the situation began to escalate. Operation suggestion Gold-----Sell near 3405, target 3390-3360
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by NuggetsWarriors
4
Geopolitics and Fed policies dominate the trend of gold prices 📌 Gold news On Monday, boosted by the risk aversion of the Iran-Israel war, the gold price hit a high of 3452, but the continuity was not strong, and a series of other adjustments appeared; let's briefly sort it out: 1: Adjustment: Adjustment is normal. If the market rises, if the risk aversion does not continue to exert force, then the gold price can only return to technical adjustments. Therefore, Monday's adjustment trend and the decline trend are normal! 2: Risk aversion trend: The risk aversion trend will not be reversed for the time being! Once the war starts, it will not end easily; unless the interests of both sides are not damaged, the two sides agree to a ceasefire, but at present, the hope and probability are relatively small, so the risk aversion trend is the mainstream of the current global market; 3: The direction of the Iran-Israel war is nothing more than a few possibilities: A: The war expands, the surrounding countries stand in line, and the US and Western imperialism join the battlefield; the war expands rapidly! At the same time, Iran is forced to block the Strait of Hormuz! This is a manifestation of escalating war; B: Both sides, as well as the forces behind them, have calculated their interests, reached an agreement, and agreed to end the war conflict; this mainly depends on Iran's attitude; is it "powerful and unyielding", continuing to oppose the United States and imperialism; or is it pro-American, completely changing its identity, or changing its identity to submit to Israel and the United States; To sum up: risk aversion eased slightly on Monday, but the overall global market is still risk-averse; technical adjustments are normal trends; but don't completely ignore the importance of risk aversion and risk aversion control because of technical adjustments; in addition, the subsequent results of the Middle East war are nothing more than the above two; what determines all this is the attitude of both sides; 📊Comment Analysis Although the gold price fell below 3400 and the short-term trend changed, the general direction still remains bullish. In the future, it is still expected to hit the high point of 3500, but it is necessary to wait patiently for the bottom to stabilize before choosing the opportunity to buy the bottom. The current market is changing rapidly, and investors should adhere to the principle of following the trend and flexibly adjust their trading strategies. 💰Strategy Package Short-term gold 3383-3393 long, stop loss 3372, target 3420-3440; Short-term gold 3420-3430 short, stop loss 3435, target 3390-3370; ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by labaronAA
1
Iran releases easing signals, gold is still bullish 📣Golden News 1. Iran sends a signal of easing. U.S. media reported that under the pressure of Israeli air strikes, Iran has used Arab intermediaries to send a peace signal to the United States and Israel - asking the United States not to carry out air strikes as a prerequisite for restarting nuclear negotiations, and emphasizing to Israel that controlling violence is in the common interest. 2. Israel's firm stance. Israeli warplanes fly freely over the Iranian capital, and Iran's counterattack is ineffective. Israel is still focused on dismantling Iran's nuclear facilities and weakening its theocratic regime, and there is no motivation to cease fire in the short term. 3. Gold's reaction and strategy. Iran's peace proposal caused the price of gold to plummet to as low as $3,382. However, since the situation in the Middle East has not eased significantly, it is recommended to buy on dips and pay attention to the support level of $3,400. ⭐️Set gold price: 🔥Sell gold area: 3465-3475 SL 3485 TP1: 3450 USD TP2: 3440 USD TP3: 3430 USD 🔥Buy gold area: 3390-3388 USD SL 3383 USD TP1: 3400 USD TP2: 3410 USD TP3: 3422 USD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by labaronAA
1
Is this week a chance for gold to break through 3,500? ⭐️Gold Information: Gold prices surged for the third consecutive trading day on Friday as geopolitical tensions intensified after Israel launched a military strike on Iranian targets, including nuclear facilities and key leaders. The escalation of the situation triggered widespread risk aversion in global markets, stimulating demand for safe-haven assets. As of the time of writing, XAU/USD was trading at $3,431. Gold surged to a five-week high of $3,446 before giving up gains as traders took profits before the weekend. Geopolitical turmoil, coupled with dovish signals released by recent US inflation data, reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve may begin to cut interest rates later this year - despite improved consumer confidence. These factors together support the bullish momentum of gold. ⭐️Personal Comment: Continued military tensions next week are a big driving force for gold prices to continue to break through 3,500 . 🔥 Technical aspects: Based on the resistance and support levels of gold prices in the H4 framework, the following important key areas can be identified: Resistance: $3488, $3502, $3562 Support: $3382, $3342
TVC:GOLDLong
by labaronAA
2
Israel attacks Iran, gold price correction can be long gold 📣Gold news Today, Israel launched an attack on Iran, and the gold price reached a high of $3,433/ounce, the highest level since May 6, and the weekly increase exceeded 3.6%, the highest level since the week of May 19. Spot gold continued to rise during the US trading session on Thursday, reaching a weekly high of $3,398.55/ounce. However, in the afternoon of the same day, the Chinese Ministry of Commerce stated that China and the United States reached a principled agreement on implementing the consensus of the heads of state call and consolidating the results of the Geneva talks, and made new progress in resolving each other's economic and trade concerns. Affected by the easing of the Sino-US trade situation, the safe-haven demand for gold dropped sharply, and the price fell rapidly by $30 from the high, reaching a low of $3,338/ounce. The market risk appetite has rebounded significantly, and the risk aversion sentiment has cooled significantly. Combined with the fact that the monthly and annual rates of the US CPI released in the evening were both lower than expected, indicating that inflationary pressure has not intensified. After the data was released, the market's expectations for the Fed to cut interest rates by 50 basis points before the end of the year have further increased. 📊Technical analysis: Technically, the upper track of the daily line is still in a flat state. The current market has reached a high of around 3444. After the rise on Thursday, it is expected that there will be little room above. Since the market is in a volatile rise, it is not suitable to directly chase the rise. The 4-hour Bollinger band continues to diverge upward, and the moving average is arranged in a bullish pattern, indicating that the current market is in a strong position. If it breaks high on Thursday, there will be a chance of rising on Friday. In terms of operation, keep the idea of ​​​​calling back and going long. If it falls below 3367 again, there will be repeated fluctuations. Today's operation strategy💰 If the gold price falls back to around 3375, go long. If it is around 3370 and 3365, add more. Stop loss at 3360. Target 3420-3430 Sell short near 3430. Add shorts in batches near 3430 and 3435. Stop loss at 3440. Target 3380-3374 (If you have just entered the market, the gold market is confusing. The operation direction is always reversed. The entry price is not sure. The position is trapped. You can contact Labaron to get the gold price trend analysis And online guidance for unwinding! ) There is no unsuccessful investment, only unsuccessful operation. We have been deeply involved in the industry for more than ten years, with rich practical operation experience and unique trading concepts. We have a global and stable trading system here. We have studied gold, crude oil and other investment fields for many years, with a solid theoretical foundation and practical experience. We are good at combining technical and news operations, focusing on fund management and risk control, and have a stable and decisive operation style. We are recognized by the majority of investment friends for our easy-going and responsible personality and sharp and decisive operations. The analysis article only describes the possible future of the market and expresses opinions. It is not used as a basis for investment decisions. Investment is risky. Trading may not pay attention to reasonable position allocation, fund management and risk control. Do not trade without risk control. Don't let the transaction get out of control.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Labaron
XAU/USD 4H Updated Technical Analysis 06/12/20254H Market Structure & Trend Gold (XAU/USD) is trading around $3,383, showing a generally bullish market structure on the 4-hour chart. The price has been making higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL) – a classic uptrend pattern Recently, bulls broke above a notable resistance level (a Break of Structure, or BOS), confirming continued upside momentum So far no Change of Character (CHOCH) signal (which would require a lower low to hint at a trend reversal, meaning the uptrend remains intact. Gold is also trading above its daily pivot point (3370), reflecting a bullish intraday bias Overall, sentiment on the 4H timeframe is positive unless key support levels give way. Key Support & Resistance Zones (Demand vs. Supply) Support (Demand Zones): Immediate support lies in the 3355 – 3340 region (marked by S1 and S2). This zone lines up with prior price congestion and is viewed as a demand zone, where buyers have historically stepped in In fact, multiple support levels cluster here (e.g. previous lows and trendline intersection), creating a broad buy zone. The idea is that as price dips into this area, buy orders are likely waiting, and the deeper it goes into the zone, the more attractive it becomes for bulls If 3340 fails, the next support is around 3325 (S3), another potential demand area where gold found a footing earlier. Traders will watch these support zones for bullish reversal signals (like a strong bounce or candlestick patterns) to confirm that demand is indeed active. Resistance (Supply Zones): On the upside, initial resistance is seen at 3385 (R1), with a stronger supply zone around 3400 (roughly the R2 3402 level). Here, multiple technical levels overlap – including a recent swing high and a psychological round number. This convergence of resistances creates a supply zone where sellers may be waiting. As gold approaches 3385–3402, it’s likely to encounter profit-taking or new short positions. If price does punch through 3400, the next resistance is around 3415 (R3), which could attract even more selling interest. Within the 3385–3415 zone, expect price to possibly stall or reverse, unless bulls muster a strong breakout. Traders should be cautious about bullish positions as price nears this supply area, and watch for any bearish reversal clues (like wicks or a double-top) indicating that sellers are active Fibonacci Retracement Confluence Recent price swings show Fibonacci retracement levels aligning with the above zones, adding confidence to those areas. For instance, the rally from the last 4H swing low (around 3325) up to the recent high (~3385) has a 50%–61.8% Fibonacci retracement roughly in the 3340–3355 range. Fibonacci levels often pinpoint where price might stall or reverse during a pullback, and indeed this $3,340-$3,355 support zone corresponds to the popular 50%–61.8% retracement band – a prime spot where bargain-hunting buyers could step in. In an uptrend, a pullback to these Fib levels is considered a healthy correction rather than a trend change. Thus, if gold dips to that area, many bulls will be watching for a bounce. On the flip side, if gold extends higher, Fibonacci extension levels suggest the 3400+ region might be a measured move target (for example, 100% extension of the last pullback lands near 3400). This reinforces that the 3385–3415 supply zone is a critical hurdle. In summary, Fibonacci analysis supports the idea that mid-$3300s is a value zone for buyers, while around $3400 is a potential exhaustion area for the current upswing. Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Insights From a Smart Money Concepts perspective, institutional footprints are visible on the chart. The ongoing bullish structure (higher lows, no lower low yet) means no CHOCH (trend change) has occurred Smart money likely continues to favor longs until a key low breaks. We can identify a possible bullish Order Block in the 3340 area, which is essentially the last small bearish candle on 4H before the strong push up This order block (an institutional buy zone) overlaps with our demand zone, suggesting big players placed buy orders around 3340. If price revisits that zone, it could ignite another rally as those orders get filled. There are also liquidity considerations in play: Above $3,400, there may be clusters of buy stop orders (from breakout traders or short stops) – what SMC traders call buy-side liquidity. It wouldn’t be surprising to see gold spike above 3400 to grab that liquidity (stop-loss hunt) before either accelerating higher or sharply reversing. Conversely, below $3,340, many bulls likely have stop-losses (sell orders) – sell-side liquidity resting under support. A quick dip under S2 (liquidity grab) followed by a recovery would actually be a bullish signature (a bear trap by smart money). However, if price breaks significantly below 3325 and holds, that would mark a bearish CHOCH (first real trend change signal) and indicate the smart money possibly switching to selling rallies. Until then, the path of least resistance is still up. Any fair value gaps (imbalances) left from the rapid rise may exist around 3360 (for example), but so far gold has been backfilling these moves, keeping the trend steady. Potential Trading Setups (4H Outlook) Given the above analysis, here are two possible trade ideas on the 4H timeframe – one bullish and one bearish – with high-conviction zones in focus: Bullish Buy Setup (Buy the Dip): A pullback into the 3355–3340 support demand zone could offer a buying opportunity. This area has multiple factors of confluence: pivot S1/S2 supports, a Fibonacci 50–61.8% retracement, and an order block. If gold’s price action shows a clear reversal here (for example, a bullish engulfing candle or double bottom on 1H/4H), buyers can consider going long. The upside targets would be a return to 3385 (R1), with stretch targets near 3400–3415 (R2/R3). A prudent stop-loss could be placed just below 3325 (just under S3 and below the demand zone) to avoid a deeper reversal. This setup aligns with the prevailing uptrend (trading with the trend) and aims to “buy low” in the value zone. Bearish Sell Setup (Sell the Rally): If gold surges into the 3385–3402 resistance supply zone without slowing, traders should watch for signs of buyer exhaustion. In a still-range-bound market or if momentum wanes near the top, one might consider a short position in this zone if bearish signals emerge (e.g. a 4H shooting star candle, bearish divergence, or a minor BOS downward on lower timeframe). The idea is that smart money could use the liquidity above 3385/3400 to sell into. Initial downside targets could be the pivot area around 3370 and then the 3355 support. A stop-loss would ideally be just above 3415 (clear of the R3 level), in case gold breaks out to new highs. This counter-trend style trade is riskier since the 4H trend is up, so it’s crucial to wait for confirmation of a reversal before selling. Essentially, you’d be selling high at known resistance, but only if the market shows it can’t push further. Both setups hinge on patience and confirmation. Rather than blindly picking tops or bottoms, let the price action confirm that the zone is holding. Remember that support and resistance levels are zones, not exact lines – price can wick through slightly before reversing. Always manage risk carefully. Key Levels Snapshot Pivot: 3370 R1: 3385 – R2: 3402 – R3: 3415 S1: 3355 – S2: 3340 – S3: 3325 These levels are derived from the classic pivot point formul, using recent price data. The pivot point at 3370 is the average of the previous session’s high, low, and close. Trading above this pivot supports a bullish bias, while below it turns the bias bearish. The R1/R2/R3 levels mark successive resistance hurdles above the pivot, and S1/S2/S3 mark support floors below it. Traders often use these as guideposts for intraday moves. Takeaway: Gold’s 4H chart shows bullish momentum with key support in the mid-$3300s and resistance near $3400. It’s wise to trade the reaction at these zones – buy dips near support in an uptrend, or sell rallies at resistance if momentum fades. In all cases, wait for price to confirm direction and stick to your trading plan. Happy trading!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Tami512
GOLD Price Analysis: Key Insights for Next Week Trading DecisionGold prices surged last week, ending with a strong 3.9% weekly gain, closing around the $3,365 zone after bouncing back with conviction on Friday. In this video, I break down why gold rallied, what key events influenced price action, and how I’m reading the current chart structure to strategically position for the next move. Here’s what’s driving the gold market right now: 🔸 Moody’s U.S. sovereign downgrade reignited safe-haven demand 🔸 Easing U.S.–China tensions led to mid-week profit-taking 🔸 Friday’s sharp rebound (+1.7% intraday) shows bulls are still in the game 🔸 Upcoming high-impact events could shake things up again 🎯 In this analysis, I walk you through: 🔸My technical blueprint (key zones for buyers & sellers) 🔸My bullish and bearish scenarios based on the structure on the chart 🔔 Don’t forget to like the video in support of my work. Disclaimer: Based on experience and what I see on the charts, this is my take. It’s not financial advice—always do your research and consult a licensed advisor before trading. #GoldAnalysis #XAUUSD #GoldForecast #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #FedPowell #PCEInflation #FOMCMinutes #GoldPricePrediction #GoldBulls #TradingStrategy #GoldOutlook #USGDP #ForexMentor #PriceActionTrading
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by darcsherry
14
Gold's rise is blocked and there is still a lot of room below 💡Message Strategy The price of gold rose first and then fell during the day. The market entered the stage of rebound and shock in the US market. At the same time, the fundamentals of the US House of Representatives narrowly passed the Trump tax cut bill, and the debt problem caused concerns. On May 22, 2025, the US House of Representatives passed Trump's tax cut and spending bill by a narrow margin of 215 votes to 214 votes. The bill will significantly increase US debt. The bill will extend corporate and personal tax breaks passed in 2017, cancel many green energy incentives of the Biden administration, and tighten health and food program qualifications for low-income people. According to estimates by the Congressional Budget Office, the bill will increase US debt by about $3.8 trillion over the next decade. The US debt has now reached 124% of GDP. 📊Technical aspects Through the daily hourly trend analysis, the upward momentum of gold has declined, reaching a maximum of around $3,350, and still cannot break through the upward resistance pressure. Just as we said before, if gold cannot break through the upward pressure position, then there is a lot of room below, and the current idea is still to short at high levels. There have been two opportunities for high-level pullbacks. Next, it will be difficult for gold to break through the upward pressure of $3,320. Then the operation idea is very easy. If it pulls back to around $3,320, then we can directly short at high levels Trend: Correction trend Support: around 3,250.00 Resistance: around 3,320.50 💰 Strategy Package Short Position：3315-3320，3345-3350
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TheodoreSilas
1
Flexible strategies lead to the best response.📍News: The continued escalation of the war in the Middle East has increased risk aversion in the gold market. At the same time, the Russian-Ukrainian negotiations broke down, and Russia launched the largest attack since 2022. Under the double attack, the market's risk aversion is full. 📊Gold technical analysis: Today's gold price showed a violent fluctuation pattern. During the Asian session, the gold price quickly broke through the 3345 regional resistance and then fell back quickly, indicating that the short-term top pressure was significant. Subsequently, the market fluctuated repeatedly in the 3345-3320 high range and the 3320-3280 low range. After testing the 3350 high point in the Asian session, it retreated sharply, releasing a staged peak signal, indicating that the previous increase has entered the correction and callback stage, but the overall trend is still dominated by wide fluctuations. Market sentiment reversed, and the price slowly fell and then was pulled up by the positive line. The game between long and short positions was fierce. Although the short position once dominated, the long position counterattacked strongly, and it is expected that it may hit the resistance near 3320 again. The current market has not formed a unilateral trend. The operation is still to deal with the idea of ​​shocks, and maintain the idea of ​​high-altitude and low-multiple. The strong resistance above is at 3350, and the key support below is 3280-3275. The probability of breaking down in the short term is low. 🎯Operational suggestions: Go long on gold when it falls back to around 3280-3275, look at 3300 and 3320, and go short if the rebound pressure of 3320 is not broken.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel5