💡AUDUSD: Waiting for the opportunity💡The H1 AUDUSD chart structure is bearish as the price creates a new low. The rebound to retest the recent peak of AUDUSD could be an opportunity to sell, following the downtrend of H1 and the downward pressure of D1. If AUDUSD H1 breaks above, the AUDUSD H1 structure will turn bullish, then you can wait to buy again.
Goldoz
💡 EURUSD: Narrow the marginActive consumers in the euro zone will save the economy from a hard landing. Although sluggish manufacturing, weak exports, high financing costs and geopolitical instability are holding back economic growth, spending is still rising as people benefit from a strong labor market. . The European Central Bank predicts the economies of euro zone countries will continue to grow next year.
XAUUSD: Will breakout 1900The Israeli-Palestinian conflict has worried investors, creating support for safe-haven gold. Gold is used as a safe investment during times of political and financial instability, but higher interest rates increase the opportunity cost of holding unprofitable gold. After a short period of weakness, inflationary pressures sparked a rise in US Treasury yields, paving the way for a strong recovery in the US dollar overall. Gold reacted adversely, erasing previous gains.
However, the main trend is still up because war news is still a good signal for choosing Gold as a refuge. It is natural for Gold to break the 1900 threshold and go up
GOLD: Gold prices rose to two-week high on geopolitical tensions📚 Before the announcement of the US inflation data, gold prices reached a two-week high on October 12th, driven by the accommodative policy stance of policymakers. Prior to this, some Fed officials had suggested that recent increases in the Treasury bond yields might make further interest rate hikes less necessary.
📚 This, combined with safe-haven demand amid the Israel-Palestine Hamas conflict, propelled gold – an interest-free asset – to rise nearly 3% this week, marking its highest level since mid-March 2023.
💡 The trading strategy at this time is to wait and see if gold returns to the 1915 - 1920 range or not. We will wait for Buy there.
🔰 GOLD BUY LIMIT 1915 - 1920
✔️TAKE PROFIT: 1940
❌STOP LOSS: 1910
GOLDOZ: The increase shows no signs of stoppingThe global gold market continues to benefit from safe-haven demand amid the ongoing Israel-Hamas conflict, which shows no signs of ending. This precious metal has seen modest yet resilient gains, despite the Federal Reserve's September meeting minutes indicating their commitment to maintaining a "higher for longer" monetary policy stance. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), the policymaking body of the Fed, remains inclined to support interest rate hikes until they are confident that inflation is returning to the 2% target.
The gold market has been witnessing a steady rise after bouncing back from its seven-month low last week. While there are still some risks in the market, analysts from the World Gold Council (WGC) suggest that the selling pressure seen last month might present a buying opportunity for investors.
EURUSD: Predictions for Friday the 13th💡EUR/USD rise 0.1% to 1.0537, then fell sharply earlier, with multiple data releases appearing in the eurozone. France's CPI rose 4.9% year-on-year in September, while Spain's consumer prices rose 3.5%, both still above the European Central Bank's medium-term target.
💡ECB policymaker Francois Villeroy de Galhau reiterated his view on Thursday that the central bank should keep its benchmark interest rate at its current level - the highest in its 25-year history - as long as That is necessary to ensure inflation returns to the 2% target.
XAUUSD: Wait for the right buy opportunityBar D1 yesterday increased sharply, in line with experts' comments that the gold price will continue to increase strongly by at least 188x - 1900. Largely due to expectations that the Fed will not raise interest rates in 2023 and has a roadmap to cut interest rates in 2024. Currently, 1877 is the MA20 resistance of D1, so there may be more or less a profit-taking price reaction from investors, so the price may decrease slightly.
. A closer look at H1 shows that yesterday the price surpassed 1865 but has not yet returned to the back test. This morning's Asian session continued to create a new ATH level compared to yesterday. Easily observe an uptrend channel at H1 with a good buying zone of 186x, everyone should pay attention
EURUSD: Analysis October 12Consumer expectations for inflation in the Eurozone increased slightly in August, reinforcing the view that it is too early for the European Central Bank to declare victory in the fight against inflation. The monthly survey published by the ECB shows that consumer expectations for inflation in the next 12 months have risen from 3.4% to 3.5%, and expectations for inflation over the next three years have increased from 2.4% to 2.5%. In terms of economic outlook, consumers have become more pessimistic, expecting the economy to shrink by 0.8% in the next 12 months, compared to the previous forecast of 0.7%.
We can see that the EUR/USD is trading around the 48-hour moving average on the H4 chart. Additionally, the MACD histogram and the double-line appear to be contracting, indicating the potential for a downturn. However, in the short term, investors are awaiting US CPI data for September, and if the data comes in below expectations, the EUR/USD exchange rate may rise due to a weaker US dollar.
XAUUSD: Gold is predicted to increase sharply due to the warAccording to experts from Leader Capital Markets, the current conflict is expected to be prolonged and severe.
ANZ Bank experts believe that oil prices will continue to rise in the near future. Recent increases in oil prices are attributed to reduced supply as a result of OPEC+ production cuts. In the fourth quarter, the supply situation may be further disrupted due to Iran cutting its exports.
Gold is often considered a safe haven in times of global instability. The protracted Israel-Hamas conflict may encourage a shift towards investment in safe-haven assets like gold and the USD.
Currently, many organizations have refrained from making gold price predictions. It is widely believed that these predictions will depend on the duration and intensity of the conflict.
GBPUSD: Opportunity to explodeThe dollar traded virtually unchanged at the start of the European session Wednesday, consolidating ahead of the release of manufacturing inflation data and the Fed's latest policy meeting minutes.
The USD has fallen quite a bit in recent sessions, despite growing political instability due to the conflict that broke out over the weekend between Hamas and Israel, as dovish comments from some Federal Reserve officials The state has raised hopes that the Fed is nearing the end of its interest rate hike cycle.
USDCHF: Continuing downtrendToday, the USD/CHF currency pair looks to rest at monthly lows, settling around 0.8920 entering the European session on Friday, after recording an impressive recovery to convince traders sales yesterday.
The Swiss franc (CHF) fell the most in a week as it broke through key technical support levels, convincing investors to favor extended lows. What raises hopes for USD/CHF sellers are the negative signals.
While it is impossible to accurately predict the future of financial markets, it seems that the USD/CHF currency pair is under pressure from bearish investors. We will continue to monitor developments going forward to see whether sellers can maintain patience at this low level.
GOLD -17/4/2023-• Recent decline in the Gold seen as corrective rather than trend reversal
• Major trend still up, reinforced by the ascending trend line since Nov 22
• Also we have an ascending parallel channel, also intact
• Bulls will try to defend the channel support line, today at 1977 (very close to today's low)
• Gold moves according to overall sentiment and is negatively correlated to the US Dollar
• As the USD has been rallying for the last 2 sessions, this resulted in the Gold trading back below but close to 2000
• Till now, declines are seen as buying opportunities in my opinion and chances are we are going to see the previous high at 2070 re-tested before seeing any major trend reversal
GOLD US$ / OZ TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Gold has been started gain last month and if we look at the last year September, gold lost value last year between September till March. Since March till now little bit gain but still couldn't reach last ATH $2038. MA crossed each other and if change the directions in weekly chart, it may gain more. The candles are still in the triangle. We got buy signal on may and it hasn't change to SELL signal yet. The candles already break out MA line but it has to be open-close completely above the line. We need to careful in our trade at the moment but need to follow our chart as well.
"NFA"
GOLD cup and handle Another chart for gold,
We have a cup and handle on gold as you can see. To finish the handle, this can take more then 1 or 2 years. Shortterm, we can go lower or sideway, if you investing on longterm, there is no reason for panic.
I got the Same cup and handle chart for silver, look at it.
This is not an investment advice.
GOLD Long possibility after retesting the monthly Strong SupportGOLD Long possibility after retesting the monthly Strong Support:
Here you will find a more detailled analysis to the previous and futur actions in GOLD!
** Instructions: Always for a good confirmation to the breakout (A reversal signal or a good break signal)
** Two candles in 15M are very important for a basic level (Begainer) to decide.
Triangle breakout and retesting the support- Eliot wave analysisGOLD Long position: Confluence rejection: Breakout & Retesting the global Trend-line (99% Long)
As we can realize that GOLD had succeded to breakout the globale triangle pattern, after many rejections by the weekly trend of the globale triangle. This retest scenario was expected, and that trend contains now (and before) many pending orders ... It will surely continue to the 1710 zone and then 1721 till 1736 and so on.
** GOLD has proved now that it have more liquidity to go up for 1736 and reach the monthly globale UPRANGE!
**Instructions:
- Always wait for a reversal signal or confirmation before take any trade.
- This is an idea to help you make a decision.
GOLD long breakout: retesting the local triangle (Short-term)GOLD /USD Long position after confluence, Triangle breakoutPullback:
retesting the local triangle upside: Short-term analysis
- GOLD Long position: Confluence rejection: Breakout & Retesting the global Trend-line (99%)
As we can realize that GOLD had succeded to breakout the globale triangle pattern after many rejections at the weekly upside of the triangle, it was expected to retest thatTrend what contains now (and before) many pending orders ... to continue at the upside till the 1721 zone and then to the 1736 and so on.
** GOLD has proved now that it have more liquidity to go up for 1736 and the monthly globale UPRANGE!
**Instructions:
- Always wait for a reversal signal or confirmation before take any trade.
- This is an idea to help you make a decision.