Goldpattern
THE KOG REPORT - The week ahead for GOLDTHE KOG REPORT
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking for the price to retest the new highs created, and as long as the price wasn’t beaten, we would be looking to short the market back down into the 2165 levels and below that 2150. As you can see, we have another point to point move, with a low set in at 2150 for the week, giving the perfect short. We had planned the levels to go long in the KOG Report, and during the week we said we would stick with our plans to long the market from the level shown on the chart, which again gave us a tremendous pip capture into the resistance level.
A fantastic week on Gold, with Excalibur playing it’s part as well KOG’s levels and bias for the day and week completing. Not only on Gold, but the numerous other pairs we analyse, share and trade.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
This week is an important week on the markets with lots of news the later part of the week, mainly the big one on Wednesday being FOMC. We could see an aggressive start to the week with price again wanting for establish a baseline pre-event, so we’ll be looking for spikes in either direction until we settle. To start the week we have a support level below 2145-7 which if attacked and supported could give an opportunity to long the market back up towards the levels of 2165-7 which ideally what we want to see. Now, this price point is important, as an extension of the move can lead into the 2170-75 region, but we must stay below this level if bears want to again attack the lower levels again. So, for that reason, it’s this level that we will potentially want to see a short opportunity develop back down into the 2150 level and below that 2145. We'll access price action if we get to these levels.
For this week we’re giving the range of 2210 resistance and 2135 support, which is huge and price definitely has potential to play it. There is an order region 2172-2152 which is where we could see accumulation pre-event, so please be mindful of this and try not to get caught trading mid-range.
Please note, price breaking above that 2175 level and holding will result in that 2210 region being attempted and price breaking below 2145 will see us getting a deeper pullback into the 2110-15 region before another RIP in the making!
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bearish below 2175 with targets below 2150 and below that 2145
Bullish on break of 2175 with targets above 2195 and above that 2210
The market will always give you opportunities, either to get in, get out, or to manage your trades, so please make sure your money and risk management is up to scratch if you’re trading these markets.
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
XAUUSD - GOLD CURRENT SITUATION#XAUUSD
According to the analysis given to XAUUSS earlier, the TREND LINE is BREAKING and DOWN about 200 PIPS. We hope you get it.
We have some very important NEWS coming to the USD this week, especially tomorrow. So we have to wait a bit until we get them.
Anyway, with US10Y UP, GOLD is going down a bit now. Anyway, we expect GOLD to go down to 1671 LEVEL. After that you can definitely move to 1782 LEVEL GOLD. Be careful.. gold
XAUUSD - GOLD CURRENT SITUATION - As we can see, GOLD is still going down since the last few days. The reason was that the US10Y was constantly strengthened by MARKET UPDATES. But as soon as there is an opportunity in the future, GOLD can be BUY as per the MARKET STRUCTURE. But yet there is no reason or incident to make GOLD MARKETS FUNDAMENTALLY UP yet.
- By now, GOLD must go to 1675 LEVEL. After that, at 1832, the PRICE must go up, definitely a STRUCTURE BREAK
If one comes. Definitely follow the STRUCTURE we have given. CPI DATA further DOWN GOLD PRICE. Wait until the TREND LINE on the PRICE CHART BREAKS.
- Currently, US 10Y is slightly UP. Also, DXY is going up a bit. For this reason, GOLD is going down now.
XAUUSD - GOLD CURRENT SITUATION - As we can see, the GOLD is still down yesterday. But as soon as we get a chance in the future, it could be GOLD BUY. The reason for this is that we can introduce the new rules used by BIDEN for RUSSIAN GOLD.
- By now GOLD must go to 1808 LEVEL. Then by 1885 the PRICE must be UP STRUCTURE BREAK
If one comes. Definitely FOLLOW the STRUCTURE we provided.
- Currently US 10Y is slightly UP. Also the DXY is getting a bit UP. For this reason, GOLD is being downgraded.
XAUUSD - GOLD CURRENT SITUATION- US10Y is currently slightly up to 3.0% LEVEL. Like we said before, it's been a bit of a CORRECTION in the last few days. We can see that the POSITIVE SENTIMENT for USD ECONOMIC DATA is also very POSITIVE for DXY.
- The power of USD is still very strong in GOLD. US10Y will behave today on the behavior of CPI DATA in the NEWYORK SESSION. DXY has been DOWN very fast for the last few days. But now it is becoming UP. We look forward to hearing from DXY. US10Y LONG TERM UP is going to be with this RATE HIKE CYCLE and this MARKET CONDITION. Currently DXY is getting a bit UP with MARKET RISK OFF. Also when we look at DXY it has moved up to DXY 103.100 LEVEL.
- The GOLD PRICE is currently moving slightly below the DYNAMIC S / R LEVELS. Most likely the GOLD PRICE will be SHORT TEEM UP in the future. GOLD SHORT TERM has a UP SIDE BIAS but may be more DOWN under the influence of DOLLAR in the future. So it can be a bit UP before SELL. In a DOWN SIDE CHANNEL a GOLD can be seen moving.
- Currently the OVERALL MARKET is showing RISK OFF. STOCKS is currently RED showing a RISK OFF SENTIMENT. And the VOLATILITY is getting a bit UP. Also COMMODITIES show a DOWN SIDE BIAS today. Currently the MARKET has a RISK OFF SENTIMENT. Therefore, in the future, all NZD CAD AUD currencies may be slightly lower compared to JPY CHF and USD currencies.
- GOLD PRICE can be UP again before DOWN until 1910 LEVEL. So GOLD is more likely to go back to the 1910 LEVEL. Then you can BREAK TREND LINE and definitely DOWN up to GOLD price 1786 LEVEL. If the TREND LINE is BREAK, you can go up to GOLD 1765 LEVEL DXY or US10Y if there is a UP TREND again.
- However, the bigger picture will change if a new sentiment enters the market or the market takes a risk to strengthen the US dollar first.
XAUUSD - GOLD CURRENT SITUATION- US10Y is currently slightly up to 2.92% LEVEL. Like we said before, it was a little CORRECTION just like we thought. The POSITIVE SENTIMENT for USD has also been very positive for DXY in the past.
The POWER of USD is still very strong in GOLD. Now DXY has been DOWN very fast for the last few days. We look forward to hearing from DXY. US10Y LONG TERM UP is going to be with this RATE HIKE CYCLE and this MARKET CONDITION. DXY is currently down a bit with the MARKET RISK ON. Also, when we look at DXY, we have moved to DXY 103.814 LEVEL.
- GOLD PRICE is currently moving below DYNAMIC S / R LEVELS. Most likely the GOLD PRICE will be SHORT TEEM UP in the future. GOLD SHORT TERM has a UP SIDE BIAS but another WAVE can be DOWN under the influence of DOLLAR. So currently GOLD can be SELL before UP.
- Currently the OVERALL MARKET is RISK ON. STOCKS is currently displaying a GREEN SIDE BIAS. And the VOLATILITY is getting a bit DOWN. Also COMMODITIES still shows a UP SIDE BIAS. Currently there is only one RISK ON TONE in the market. Therefore, in the future, all currencies such as NZD CAD AUD can definitely be UP. Also JPY CHF can be DOWN.
- GOLD PRICE can be DOWN again before UP. So GOLD can go back to 1798 LEVEL. After that you can definitely go up to GOLD price 1918 LEVEL. If the RESISTANCE LINE is BREAK, GOLD can travel up to 1966 with a DXY or US10Y CORRECTION.
- However, the bigger picture will change if a new sentiment enters the market or the market takes a risk to strengthen the US dollar first.
XAUUSD - GOLD CURRENT SITUATION⛔️ US10Y is currently slightly down to 2.91% LEVEL. It was a little CORRECTION just like we thought. The POSITIVE SENTIMENT for USD has also been very positive for DXY in the past. The POWER of USD is still very strong in GOLD. Now DXY UP has been very fast for the last few days. We look forward to hearing from DXY. US10Y LONG TERM UP is going to be with this RATE HIKE CYCLE and this MARKET CONDITION. DXY is currently down a bit with the MARKET RISK ON. Also when we look at the DXY it has moved up to the DXY 104.575 LEVEL.
⛔️ GOLD PRICE is currently moving below DYNAMIC S / R LEVELS. Most likely the GOLD PRICE will be SHORT TEEM UP in the future. GOLD SHORT TERM has a UP SIDE BIAS but another WAVE can DOWN under the influence of DOLLAR. So now GOLD can be SELL before UP.
⛔️ The OVERALL MARKET is currently RISK ON on Friday. STOCKS is currently displaying a GREEN SIDE BIAS. Also the VOLATILITY is getting a bit DOWN. Also COMMODITIES show a UP SIDE BIAS. Currently there is only one RISK ON TONE in the market. Therefore, in the future, all currencies such as NZD CAD AUD can definitely be UP. Also JPY CHF can be DOWN.
⛔️ GOLD PRICE can be DOWN again before UP. So GOLD can go back to 1765 LEVEL. After that you can definitely go up to GOLD price 1966 LEVEL. If the RESISTANCE LINE is BREAK, GOLD can travel up to 1966 with a DXY or US10Y CORRECTION.
⛔️ However, the bigger picture will change if a new sentiment enters the market or the market takes a risk to strengthen the US dollar first.
XAUUSD - GOLD CURRENT SITUATION- As mentioned earlier, a very important event took place at the FOMC MEETING yesterday. The US Federal Reserve has increased their rates by 50bps. Before that there was some talk among the traders about it. So after raising their rates, the US dollar weakened. This is because the USD has been BUY in the past due to the sentiment of traders on the rates they are raising. Other economic indicator data released yesterday also remained weak. UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS DATA is due to be released for the US dollar today.
- US10Y is currently down to 2.97% LEVEL. It was a CORRECTION just like we thought. The POSITIVE SENTIMENT for USD has also been very positive for DXY in the past. Now DXY seems to be a bit CORRECTION after FOMC. We look forward to hearing from you. US10Y LONG TERM UP is going to be with this RATE HIKE CYCLE and this MARKET CONDITION. Also when we look at DXY it has moved up to DXY 102.885 LEVEL.
- GOLD PRICE is currently moving above DYNAMIC S / R LEVELS. Most likely the GOLD PRICE will be SHORT TEEM UP in the future. GOLD SHORT TERM has a UP SIDE BIAS. But currently GOLD can be SELL before UP.
- Currently the OVERALL MARKET is RISK ON. STOCKS is currently displaying a GREEN SIDE BIAS. But American STOCKS are going down a bit. And VOLATILITY is DOWN. Also COMMODITIES still shows a UP SIDE BIAS. Currently there is only one RISK ON BIAS on the market. Therefore, in the future, all currencies such as NZD CAD AUD can definitely be UP. Also JPY CHF can be DOWN.
- GOLD PRICE can be DOWN again before UP. So GOLD can go back to 1876 LEVEL. After that you can definitely go up to GOLD price 1966 LEVEL.
If the RESISTANCE LINE is BREAK, GOLD can travel up to 1966 with a DXY or US10Y CORRECTION.
- However, the bigger picture will change if a new sentiment enters the market or the market takes a risk to strengthen the US dollar first.
XAUUSD - GOLD CURRENT SITUATION- There are some very sharp economic data to be released this week for the US dollar. Today, especially GDP DATA is due to be released. So be careful when you trade NEWYORK. ADVANCED GDP INDEX, UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS DATA will also be released today.
- US10Y is currently at 2.76% LEVEL .. Now US10Y is DOWN. Currently, the POSITIVE SENTIMENT for USD is similarly the most POSITIVE for DXY. US10Y LONG TERM UP is going to be with this RATE HIKE CYCLE and this MARKET CONDITION. Also, when we look at the DXY, the DXY 102.51 LEVEL is further up.
- GOLD PRICE is below DYNAMIC S / R LEVELS. Most likely the GOLD PRICE will be SHORT TEEM UP in the future. GOLD SHORT TERM has a UP SIDE BIAS.
- Currently the SENTIMENT of the OVERALL MARKET is moving towards the RISK ON side. Also the EQUITIES have become a bit GREEN. VIX is getting a bit DOWN. Also COMMODITIES is showing a UP SIDE BIAS right now. MARKETS currently have a NEUTRAL SENTIMENT, but the RISK ON SENTIMENT is too heavy. HIGH BEATA CURRENCIES are also UP going very well.
- GOLD PRICE can be UP again before DOWN. So GOLD can definitely go back to the 1909 LEVEL. Then you can definitely DOWN GOLD price up to 1875l 6 LEVEL.
If the TREND LINE is BREAK, GOLD can travel up to 1966 with a DXY or US10Y CORRECTION.
- However, the bigger picture will change if a new sentiment enters the market or the market takes a risk to strengthen the US dollar first.
XAUUSD - ANALYSIS WITH US GDP , CORE PCE EFFECT- There are some very sharp economic data to be released this week for the US dollar. For this reason, the GOLD will be slightly volatile on Wednesdays, Thursdays and Fridays. Among them are GDP DATA, CORR PCE DATA, CONSUMER CONFIDENCE, important DATA key.
- US10Y is currently at 2.83% LEVEL. US10Y LONG TERM UP is going to be with this RATE HIKE CYCLE and this MARKET CONDITION. Also, when we look at the DXY, the DXY is up to 101.490 LEVEL.
- GOLD PRICE is below DYNAMIC S / R LEVELS. Most likely the GOLD PRICE will be SHORT TEEM UP in the future. GOLD SHORT TERM has a UP SIDE BIAS.
- Currently the SENTIMENT of the OVERALL MARKET is NEGATIVE. Last week a RISK OFF TONE was PLAY. STOCKS Slightly shows a DOWN SIDE BIAS right now. And VOLATILITY is becoming UP. Also COMMODITIES still shows a DOWN SIDE BIAS. Currently there is only one DOWN SIDE BIAS in the market. So be careful when trading. We can not say for sure that the MARKET SENTIMENT will continue to be a DOWN SIDE CONTINUE. But according to the data available so far we can say that MARKETS RISK is OFF.
- GOLD PRICE can be UP again before DOWN. So GOLD can definitely go back to 1928 LEVEL. Then you can definitely DOWN GOLD price up to 1895 LEVEL.
If the TREND LINE is BREAK, GOLD can travel up to 1966 with a DXY or US10Y CORRECTION.
- However, the bigger picture will change if a new sentiment enters the market or the market takes a risk to strengthen the US dollar first.
XAUUSD - GOLD CURRENT SITUATION- UNEMPLOYMENT CLAIMS DATA is due to be released today for the US dollar. PHILLY FED MANUFACTURING INDEX DATA will also be released. And there's another important EVENT FED CHAIR POWELL SPEAK today. It will definitely be the strongest NEWS for USD.
- US10Y is currently at 2.87% LEVEL. US10Y LONG TERM UP is going to be with this RATE HIKE CYCLE and this MARKET CONDITION. Also, when we look at the DXY, the DXY is up to 99.95 LEVEL.
- GOLD PRICE is below DYNAMIC S / R LEVELS. Most likely the GOLD PRICE will be SHORT TEEM UP in the future. GOLD SHORT TERM has a UP SIDE BIAS.
- Currently the OVERALL MARKET is RISK ON. Also the STOKES are turning a bit GREEN. COMMODITIES gives us a slightly MIXED RISK TONE. So I'm a bit reluctant to be a HIGH BEATA CURRENCIES BUY. Anyway VIX is getting a bit DOWN right now. Also BONDS PRICES show a slightly NEUTRAL BIAS. But BONDS SPREADS are getting GREEN. MARKET currently has a MARKET ENVIRONMENT with a NEUTRAL BIAS close to RISK ON.
- GOLD PRICE can be UP again before DOWN. So GOLD can definitely go back to the 1980 LEVEL. Then you can definitely DOWN GOLD price up to 1817 LEVEL.
- However, the bigger picture will change if a new sentiment enters the market or the market takes a risk to strengthen the US dollar first
Gold, ready for a new high?From the Gold daily chart, the price, after the breakout of the triangle pattern, came back to retest the bullish support trendline, by missing, for the moment, to close the pullback on the bearish resistance trendline. From here, it could restart to rise towards new highs.
GOLD TRAPPING BULLS!!! HERE IS WHYPRICE JUST BOUNCED UP FROM SUPPORT AS YOU CAN SEE AND CURRENTLY AT RESISTANCE LINE IF IT BREAKS OUR lINE in THAT SCENARIO WE KNOW BEST SELLING ZONES to place our short entry as you can see in my chart along with risk reward and stop loss. and if it fails at my resistance its going straight to 1580
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