Goldplan
GOLD THOUGHTS 17-JUL-2024Hello all, Kindly see my GOLD thoughts for today. These videos are aimed at making you compare charts with mine if you are a price acton trader and use my thoughts to improve your skill. They are not meant as signals even if they seem like they are. I want you to learn and be great
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT
In last week’s KOG Report, we said we would only be looking for one move and that was to short the market into the levels illustrated on the chart. We had the initial opportunity from the intra-day resistance level giving the move breaking through the order region temporarily giving us the bounce to long back up into resistance where we said we wanted to monitor price to establish another short opportunity. Both these worked well although not as straight forward as we had hoped.
During the week, we gave the FOMC Report highlighting the levels to long up into the resistance level and then short the market from higher up, this move however, was a point to point, level to level move continuing the fantastic week we had on Gold, completing over 8 targets activated. Well done to the team again, not only on Gold but the numerous other pairs we trade giving us over 800pips combined captures.
So, What can we expect in the week ahead?
After NFP and FOMC last week, this week we have a bank holiday in the UK which may give us some thin volume to start the week. NFP caused a lot of confusion amongst traders and only managed to whipsaw them back into where the price started. Support now stands at the 2295-7 region, which in our opinion, If held in the early session could give us a push upside towards the order region above, targeting the resistance levels of 2310 initially and above that 2320. Now, what we want to see here is if market can hold this order region again and give us the opportunity to get that short again. If we get the short from above we’ll be looking for the lower levels to be targeted and hopefully we can complete the move.
There are a couple of curveballs here this week, 1) this could open and continue the move downside, if so, we’ll look for the retracements to get in and we’ll target our Excalibur targets upon activation. 2) staying below that 2330-40 order region is important for us to carry out this plan and continue with the move downside. In our opinion, the decent long trades will come from lower down for the ideal swing.
That’s all for this week’s report, simple plan again, not going to over complicate it with numerous what’s and if’s. As usual, we’ll update traders through the week with the daily report, KOG’s bias of the day and the daily levels.
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
THE KOG REPORT - The week ahead for GOLDTHE KOG REPORT
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking for the price to retest the new highs created, and as long as the price wasn’t beaten, we would be looking to short the market back down into the 2165 levels and below that 2150. As you can see, we have another point to point move, with a low set in at 2150 for the week, giving the perfect short. We had planned the levels to go long in the KOG Report, and during the week we said we would stick with our plans to long the market from the level shown on the chart, which again gave us a tremendous pip capture into the resistance level.
A fantastic week on Gold, with Excalibur playing it’s part as well KOG’s levels and bias for the day and week completing. Not only on Gold, but the numerous other pairs we analyse, share and trade.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
This week is an important week on the markets with lots of news the later part of the week, mainly the big one on Wednesday being FOMC. We could see an aggressive start to the week with price again wanting for establish a baseline pre-event, so we’ll be looking for spikes in either direction until we settle. To start the week we have a support level below 2145-7 which if attacked and supported could give an opportunity to long the market back up towards the levels of 2165-7 which ideally what we want to see. Now, this price point is important, as an extension of the move can lead into the 2170-75 region, but we must stay below this level if bears want to again attack the lower levels again. So, for that reason, it’s this level that we will potentially want to see a short opportunity develop back down into the 2150 level and below that 2145. We'll access price action if we get to these levels.
For this week we’re giving the range of 2210 resistance and 2135 support, which is huge and price definitely has potential to play it. There is an order region 2172-2152 which is where we could see accumulation pre-event, so please be mindful of this and try not to get caught trading mid-range.
Please note, price breaking above that 2175 level and holding will result in that 2210 region being attempted and price breaking below 2145 will see us getting a deeper pullback into the 2110-15 region before another RIP in the making!
KOG’s bias for the week:
Bearish below 2175 with targets below 2150 and below that 2145
Bullish on break of 2175 with targets above 2195 and above that 2210
The market will always give you opportunities, either to get in, get out, or to manage your trades, so please make sure your money and risk management is up to scratch if you’re trading these markets.
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
THE KOG REPORT - FOMC The KOG REPORT – FOMC
This is our view for FOMC, please do your own research and analysis to make an informed decision on the markets. It is not recommended you try to trade the event if you have less than 6 months trading experience and have a trusted risk strategy in place. The markets are extremely volatile, and these events can cause aggressive swings in price.
Today’s FOMC may bring a curveball with it, so we’re going to use the extreme levels as usual, but, we’re going to say please play caution on the markets. The trade always comes after the event, patience will pay on this one!
We have the support level below 2150-55 as mentioned through the week, with resistance above 2175 which are both either side of range play at the moment. Our bias is still active, but, due to the volatility that may present itself, we’ll stick with the higher levels as potentials regions for a RIP. So, if price does carry up towards the 2175-85 region and we can see a clean set up, an opportunity to short the market back down initially into the 2155 levels and then on the break, below that 2148 and further down could be available.
Please note, that breaking above will invalidate this and we are likely to see higher pricing through the rest of the week. There was a level of 2210 in extension of the move, which is extreme volume enters is a possibility, so if you’re going to risk it, your risk model better be up to scratch!
On the flip. Rejection around this 2165 region, we can see price attempt the support 2145 and upon the break we will be looking for this to go lower, initially into the 2135 region and then below that potentially 2120! If we get that move to the downside, we will be looking to carry any open trades down into the given regions if we get a clean set up, and only long for the scalps and quick captures from the given levels.
In all honesty, right now thoughts are we would rather let this play out and let the take the price to where they want. We’ll still with the plan for now on the KOG Report which has worked well, but any trades should be protected and a majority taken.
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
XAUUSD - KOG REPORT!24/04/22
In last weeks KOG Report we said that we would be looking for the 1985 and 1995 level to be targeted if the price pushed up, and that if we did get to completion of those targets, faced resistance, we would be looking to short Gold into the lower levels of 1960, 1940, 1930 and our lower target of 1895. As you can see we achieved a point to point move on Gold, straight into our higher target and then the decline began for the remainder of the week. We have achieved 1960 and 1940 with 1920 and 1895 still outstanding. Another great week for us here at KOG not only on Gold but managing to hit 21 targets on Silver, BTC, US30, NAS100 and GJ, to name a few!
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
As we said last week, we weren’t convinced by the bullish move on Gold so we’re still going to be targeting the lower level on this. Having said that, we are expecting some form of retracement on the price. Where to? Let’s dive in and have a look!
We have some immediate levels in mind for when the market opens, these levels are where we want to see a reaction in price which may tell us if we’re going to see the retracement first, or if they’re just going to push it down further in the opening sessions of the new week! We have highlighted these levels on the chart for you, please look at these regions as price points where you may see the price reject and begin some form of retracement. 1927, 1917, 1910, 1897.
So, we will be as always, look at this with two scenarios in mind.
Scenario 1:
The market opens, we get a swoop to the downside from the get go, we will be looking for 1927 and below that 1917 which will surpass our 1920 target. Based on support at these levels we feel an opportunity to go long on the price may exist to target the immediate levels of 1940, 1950 and above that 1963. As long as the 1895 target is not hit and the price stays below the 1960-65 level we will be looking to short again into that 1895 level. As we suggested, the price needs to remain below the 1960-65 level for us to achieve this target, breaking above this level and we will adjust our plans to target higher up. We will update on this during the course of the week.
Scenario 2:
The market opens, we get a small move to the downside targeting 1925-27, if price finds support here, we see potential to test the long into the immediate resistance levels of 1940, 1950 and above that 1960. Again, we will be looking higher for resistance to go short again down into the KOG target level. As above, price needs to remain below the 1960-65 level.
So, for this week we have the key level of 1890-95 support and the key level of 1960-65 resistance. The range in between is where we closed on Friday, right in the middle!
Please keep in mind this is the last trading week of the month, so expect there to be some profit taking and position covering towards the end of the week.
Hope this helps in preparation for the week ahead, we will update you as we go along as we usually do. Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
GOLD SHORTDaily Gold Analysis
Since the beginning of August, we have been in a short-term downtrend represented by the white channel. The price is close to its support at 1815 and could break it again to hit 1770 (take profit 1) however the 1770 represents a huge support area where the price could rebound. If this is not the case the price could suddenly reach 1735 (take profit 2) and 1661 (take profit 3) which represents the 1.618 of Fibonacci retracements.
Good trade everyone.
UPDATED GOLD PLAN TRADING TVC:GOLD - this is plan is similar from before but there is double bottom confirmation from the chart and we wait for the gold retrace to 0.618 like my plan before and prepare to entry in there area. and i have 2 target that is first target and final target, my first target is 1902 and my final is 1.618 or 1915. and the stochastic indicator already hit the overbought so we wait for 0.618 and entry pattern