Gold approaches historical highs, U.S. economic data becomes keyThe previous entity of the 4-hour cycle has been broken, and the gold price has been rising step by step, with new highs constantly, and it is necessary to take the previous high point in one round. The 4-hour operation is maintained above the moving average, and the trend is very healthy. In addition, from a structural point of view, the gold price first fell to the 2610 line, so the later stage is to break through the previous high, which is structurally a case of breaking without building.
The daily line is still under double top suppression. If it falls under pressure, the double top pattern will gradually show its power, and gold will slowly weaken. Of course, there are data today. If gold directly breaks through the historical high, then gold will continue to rise. If it breaks through the historical high, then the decline will follow the trend and go long. If it does not break the historical high, then gold will continue to be short at highs below 2685 in the short term
1. The morning rise continues to test the 2685 high point without breaking, forming a morning force.
2. The current retracement, the watershed yesterday morning low of 2667, is also the stop loss position for long orders
3. The trend of the morning power is very important in the European session. It has been emphasized before that the earlier the European session breaks through, the greater the upward momentum. In addition, the more times the top is tested, the greater the probability of breaking, so if it goes up, it will break the high.
At the same time, if this pattern continues to be long, we must pay attention to the European session. The price cannot go down the watershed. If it breaks, it will be volatile.
Therefore, with the help of retracement, continue to be long, break the watershed loss, the upper target is 2688-90, break the European session, and the US session will look at the 2700 mark
Goldprediction
XAUUSDHere is our view and update on XAUUSD . Potential long opportunity.
As per our last adaptive analysis, XAUUSD continued to the upside. We now had a beautiful break and a retest of our PBA 1 (Pullback Area). We should see more upside .
In detail,
We broke our PBA 1 area at 2640-2644 and made a nice retest . The price is staying above those price levels which gives us a good sign that we will continue to the upside . Our entry is sitting at 2655 and our TP (Take Profit) is sitting at the current ATH (All Time High) at 2685.640 . Our SL is below our PBA 1 sitting at 2637.800 as if we break below it, we should see more downside moves.
PARAMETERS
- Entry: 2655
- SL: 2637.800
- TP: 2685.640
KEY NOTES
- XAUUSD broke and retested our PBA 1.
- XAUUSD is trading above our PBA 1.
- Break below our PBA 1 could result in more downside.
Happy trading!
FxPocket
XAUUSD 30 MINUTE TIME FRAME CHART XAUUSD, 30-minute timeframe chart
XAUUSD retested the resistance level of 2,683.00
General outlook
XAUUSD has been under buying pressure within the last day. The pair moved up to the resistance level of 2,683.00.
Possible scenario
The best way to use this opportunity is to place a sell limit order at 2,683.30.
Set your stop loss at 2,688.30 below the previous low ($6.00 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 2,667.30 ($16.00 profit for 0.01 lot).
The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1 .
OANDA:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Navigating Market Volatility: Strategies for Gold Trading
In the New York market, profits from short positions near the recent high of $2,680 have been realized on two occasions. Similarly, profits from low buy orders have been observed. Currently, we find ourselves near the $2,675 level, where I have paused trading. Upon market opening, I anticipate a certain degree of downward movement, providing opportunities for gold price recovery. As mentioned previously, breaking through the recent highs requires greater momentum. Until this momentum materializes, I suggest maintaining a predominantly short position. Key factors to monitor include geopolitical developments and the release of initial jobless claims data in the U.S. this week, as well as any potential black swan events.
Sell: $2,680 - $2,685
Buy: $2,660 - $2,665
Profit margins should be managed at your discretion.
CAPITALCOM:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD
GOLD BUY FORM HERE FOR NEW ATH !!Hello how are you doing friends and traders
I am watching GOLD CAREFULLY after Jackson Holes Fed announced a rate cut in Sep 2024
technically gold is showing us more bullish weeks ahead after Fed cut 50BP or 25BP sign for more rates cut in coming months... If we see a Fib retrace after ATH till Golden Fib Ratio 0.5 then it's time to retrace if we see good NFP incoming week with good data output it can hit given sell targets and in mid Sep when Fed Cut rates we expect a bull move in commodities as we saw in previous rate cuts and incoming US Election an opportunity for this year it is just analysis on base of fundamental and technical view do a proper search before entering any trade...
Can gold rise to 2700 points this time?The trend of gold yesterday and today basically completely verified my trading idea yesterday. When the gold price was still at 2654 yesterday, I clearly said that the high point was definitely not 2666. At the same time, I also said that this high point would most likely break through, and the target could be seen in the 2670-2680 range, and bought at 2650 to make a lot of profit.
Now the new high has reached 2682, but it has not stood firm. Yesterday I said that as long as the gold price can stand firm at 2680, it can refresh the historical high of 2685, and look forward to the 2700 integer mark. Today I also maintain this view unchanged.
Now the gold price is correcting, I think this is a move to accumulate power to refresh the historical high, so I will look for the right time to buy again next
From the Fibonacci retracement indicator of this rise, 2665 is at 0.618, and 2660 is at 0.5, so I think that if it cannot stand firm above 2680, the gold price is likely to fall back to the support range of 2665-2660 again. As long as it reaches this range, it can be bought again
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
A PIIPTASTIC day on the charts for us today, once again playing out perfectly!!!
Yesterday after hitting our bullish target at 2663, we stated that we will now look for a cross and lock above 2663 to open 2672. We got the cross and lock followed with the perfect hit at 2672 completing this target.
We then waited for ema5 cross and lock above 2672 to open 2682, as the final target and 2682 only as a potential should momentum allow. We got the cross and lock above 2672 followed with 2682 for a perfect finish to the day!!!
We used the dips to catch the bounces up safely, instead of chasing the bull from the top. We are now looking for support above 2663 and 2672 for another retest on the Goldturn levels above or failure to hold support above these levels will see prices retest the lower Goldturns once again.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2663 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2663 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2672 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2672 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2682- DONE
POTENTIALLY 2690
BEARISH TARGETS
2654 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2654 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
BEARISH TARGET
2646 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2646 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
RETRACEMENT RANGE
2638 (DONE) - 2628
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2628 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2618 - 2608
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold : Key Events to Watch for Breakthrough OpportunitiesGold prices are currently facing significant upward resistance, and breaking through historical highs requires specific market catalysts. Major economic data releases, shifts in geopolitical dynamics, and the upcoming U.S. weekly jobless claims report are all critical factors that could impact gold’s trajectory. Additionally, a substantial appreciation of the U.S. dollar may exert further pressure on gold prices.
Therefore, in the short term, it is advisable to adopt a strategy focused on selling at high levels to achieve optimal profit targets.
Sell Range: 2685-2680
Buy Range: 2660-2665
OANDA:XAUUSD CAPITALCOM:GOLD COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1!
Short-term gold peaks and continues to pull back, look at 2660Gold, washing up, the daily line turned positive and broke the high, and continued to rise. But in terms of trend, it did not rise directly, but bottomed out and rebounded, and continued to wash out.
On the one hand, the price broke the low point of 2640 in the previous two days, and it was weak on the surface, but the European market rose strongly and returned to the opening of the morning. And the long orders were defended at this position price, and they had to be swept out.
On the other hand, if you look at the breakout and fall, yesterday's rebound empty basically fell into the pit.
Technical points:
1. It is not extremely strong, because it is bottoming out and rising, washing up. We expect it to be extremely strong, with a cycle in the morning, the European market rose vigorously, and the US market broke the high, but it bottomed out to the watershed in the morning.
2. The rising cycle at 10 o'clock in the morning has not been broken. It continued this morning.
3. The European market has a V-shaped reversal. If the European market reverses, the US market will be bullish.
And yesterday there was also a position to follow: the US market rose the day before, and just at 8 o'clock it retracted the increase of 618. The same was true for the US market yesterday, just at 8 o'clock it retracted the intraday increase of 618.
4. The US market did not rise directly, but pulled back and forth twice, up and down, and continued to attack and close, still testing the bulls, which is a shock wash, not extremely strong.
Intraday operation analysis:
1. The 10-point rising cycle rhythm still appeared in the Asian market.
2. The watershed 2658 line.
3. The more times the resistance level is tested during the rise, the weaker the resistance level. The higher the probability of breaking the high.
Continue to pay attention to two rhythms:,
The earlier the European market breaks through, the greater the probability of the US market breaking the high. The European market rises, pay attention to the cycle of these two days, the position and time point of the US market.
Gold is in the Bearish Direction after Formation ManipulationHello Traders
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Short-Term Rebound and Conservative Short StrategyAfter shorting at 2668 yesterday, it dropped about 7-9 points to 2659. Then it started to consolidate sideways, which is consistent with my speculation in the short term. However, after the overnight gold price was affected by the news that "Israel's attack plan on Iran is ready", it continued to rise to 2683, close to the historical high. But the detailed events have not been updated. So will the war break out again?
At present, the gold price is at 2678, and I continue to short. At present, there is still buying pressure near 2685. So the gold price will continue to be under pressure and fall in the short term. Of course, if the market releases "smoke bombs" again. I think the gold price will fall again and then rebound to test the upper pressure position.
Short the gold price first, and then go long.
sell:2683-2679
buy:2660-2665
Waiting for the arrival of the New York market.
Looking for opportunities to short goldThe gold K-line deviates far from the moving average, which is abnormal, and the K-line will inevitably return to the 50-day moving average.
Gold is still a bit stagnant, and it still cannot reach the all-time high.
Trading idea: short gold near 2681, stop loss 2690, target 2660
Gold fluctuates at a high level on 10.16, waiting for a pullbackGold has fluctuated at a high level in the past two days, and there are many resistances above. Don't chase long at high levels for the time being. However, the recent risk aversion sentiment has continued to support the rise of gold. Gold should wait patiently for a decline to go long. Pay attention to the resistance above 2680.
The 1-hour chart of gold is now fluctuating at a high level. Gold fell to 2638 yesterday to bottom out and rebounded. In the morning, it was long on dips above 2638, and it can continue to go long when it falls back to around 2640; gold is not rising directly unilaterally now. If you go long, you must wait patiently for a decline. Don't chase long easily at high levels, otherwise you will be at a loss again after a pullback. Continue to pay attention to the historical high of 2685 resistance above. You can go short in the short term. At this strength, gold does not have the momentum to set a new high in one fell swoop.
Gold longs and shorts are in a state of anxiety again; gold does not break highs, don't chase long easily, wait patiently for a decline opportunity, and follow up if it breaks through a new high directly.
Operation idea:
SELL: 2678 Stop loss: 2685 Target 2655--50
BUY: 2640, stop loss 2630, target 2660-2670;
XAUUSD, 30-minute timeframe chartXAUUSD, 30-minute timeframe chart
XAUUSD break the resistance level of 2,667.00
General outlook
XAUUSD has been under buying pressure within the last day. The pair moved up to the resistance level of 2,667.00.
Possible scenario
The best way to use this opportunity is to place a buy limit order at 2,666.30.
Set your stop loss at 2,660.30 below the previous low ($6.00 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 2,682.30 ($17.00 profit for 0.01 lot).
The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1.
Gold Price Analysis October 16Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices traded in a positive bias for the second consecutive day and maintained intraday gains near the $2,675 region or a three-week high in the first half of the European session on Wednesday. Amid persistent geopolitical risks, disappointment over the lack of details on China’s fiscal stimulus dampened investor appetite for riskier assets. This was evident in the weaker tone in equity markets and turned out to be a key factor in favor of the safe-haven precious metal.
Meanwhile, anti-risk flows led to a further decline in US Treasury yields and provided further support to non-yielding gold. That said, the solid expectations of less aggressive easing by the Federal Reserve (Fed) and bets on a regular 25 basis points (bps) rate cut in November will act as a driver of US bond yields. This, in turn, has lifted the US dollar (USD) to its highest in more than two months and could deter bullish traders from placing fresh bets on the commodity.
Technical Analysis
Gold’s break above 2680 is currently unresponsive. SELL points are in focus around 2684-2686. Above this level, only the 2700 price zone remains. A pullback is increasingly unlikely as the key area of interest will be today’s Asian session low around 2660. Wishing you a successful trading day. A scalping hook around 2670 could be a breakout point as the European session enters but this point is likely to be false
XAUUSD IDEA FOR 30 MINUTES TIME XAUUSD, 30-minute timeframe chart
XAUUSD retested the resistance level of 2,667.00
General outlook
XAUUSD has been under buying pressure within the last day. The pair moved up to the resistance level of 2,667.00.
Possible scenario
The best way to use this opportunity is to place a sell order at 2,666.30.
Set your stop loss at 2,671.30 below the previous low ($5.00 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 2,656.30 ($10.00 profit for 0.01 lot).
The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1.
Asian and European trading sessionThe Asian and European trading plan is focused around the resistance zone of 2660, the immediate support zone is around 2656. The important areas of interest after breaking out of the narrow range are focused around 2683 and 2637. Please pay attention to the price reaction around this area to have the best trading strategy today. The US session trading range will be updated soon.
Gold’s Push to 2766—But an $80 Correction May Be Coming!Gold is eyeing key levels at 2719, 2738, and up to 2766, but let’s not ignore the potential for an $80+ correction along the way. I’ll walk you through the key targets and where the market might throw us a curveball.
Join me as we break down the technical and figure out if gold is set to rally or hit a correction. If this analysis helped (or at least gave you something to think about), give it a like, drop your comments below, and hit follow for more updates. Your support keeps the content rolling—unlike gold, which might need a timeout soon!
Mindbloome Trader
Happy Trading
Gold's low has been confirmed, and the rise will be unstoppableIn yesterday's article, I clearly said that you can buy gold boldly when it falls back to the support area of 2642-2630. Although this trend did not come out yesterday, I bought it without hesitation when the gold price fell today, and took profits at 2654. But this does not mean that the gold price has reached its limit. I think as long as the gold price falls back to 2650 later, you can consider buying here, and the high point is definitely not the previous high of 2666.
From yesterday's 1H chart, we can see that 2642 is 0.618. Although the gold price hit 2638 today, the real closing line is still around 2642. Therefore, according to the recent three callback trends, as long as it does not effectively fall below the support of 0.618 in the short term, it can be regarded as a bullish trend.
At the same time, I think the previous high of 2666 is definitely not a short-term high point. This rise is likely to break through here. The first target above can be seen in the range of 2670-2680. If it can stand at 2680, the gold price is likely to test the 2700 integer mark again.
The above is my view on gold today. Recently, my gold trading strategy has maintained a hot state of continuous profit. If you want to copy my trading details, you can contact me
Short-Term Rebound and Conservative Short StrategyAs gold prices approach the market closure phase, technical indicators indicate a bullish momentum in the shorter timeframes. However, the potential upside is limited, anticipated to be around 5-6 points, and may require several hours of consolidation to reach. A significant resistance level exists in the 2670-2673 range, primarily driven by selling pressure from concentrated trading volumes and the appreciation of the US dollar. Currently, the market lacks effective news catalysts for momentum; thus, a conservative trading strategy should focus on short positions at elevated levels. The anticipated target range for this strategy is between 2646 and 2653. Compared to going long, the profit potential from shorting is expected to be more substantial.
OANDA:XAUUSD CAPITALCOM:GOLD COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1!
The GOLD bears are stuckThese circles (on the chart) show where bears are stuck. Such levels have a great inductive element to them. And how they're crossed, whether they hang around for a while or rebounce quickly, gives a good indication of what the market price will do next.
Moreover, according to publicly data, the average retail positions level is approximately $2,580.
In other words, the market appears to be trending upwards, with average bulls positions already in the positive field