Tariffs and Their Influence on GoldWe observed how gold has pivoted upward so precisely each time tariffs were applied since the start of the trade war in 2018.
Before the trade war, gold remained stagnant within this range. However, with the onset of the trade war, everything changed for gold.
We will conduct a case study since 2018, analyzing how gold has reacted to each significant tariff imposed.
With the latest proposed tariffs on Canada and Mexico, what could be the potential trend for gold, and how should it be managed above the current level?
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• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
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GOLD TRADING POINT UPDATE .READ THE CHAPTIANBuddy'S dear friend 👋
SMC Trading Signals Update 🗾🗺️ Gold traders SMC trading point update you on New technical analysis setup for Gold 🪙 Gold list week take a New All Time high ATH 2817 ) Gold Traders SMC-Trading Point still ses a bullish trend 📈 🚀 this week take a New 🆕 ATH 2837 fisrt take support breakdown moving 😃 up trand that expect it. Next week Two strong 🪨💪 support level 2785 2772 that entry buying said if close below 👇 that level that expect Short Trade. 2724 2703 )
Key Resistance level 2817+ 2837
Key Support level 2785 - 2772 - 2724 - 2703
Mr SMC Trading point
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Gold XAUUSD Possible Move 04.02.2025Gold (XAU/USD) Price Action Analysis & Trading Signal – February 4, 2025
Market Structure & Key Zones:
The price is currently ranging between $2,813 - $2,825.
There are two identified buying zones:
First Buy Zone: $2,810 - $2,813
Second Buy Zone: $2,796 - $2,799
Resistance levels:
First Target: $2,825
Second Target: $2,841
Trading Strategy & Signal:
Scenario 1: Buy from First Zone ($2,810 - $2,813)
If price finds support and shows bullish rejection (e.g., pin bars, engulfing candles), enter long.
Entry: $2,810 - $2,813
TP1: $2,825
TP2: $2,841
SL: Below $2,804
Scenario 2: Buy from Second Zone ($2,796 - $2,799) if the first zone fails
If price breaks below $2,810 but respects $2,796, look for reversal signs to buy.
Entry: $2,796 - $2,799
TP1: $2,813
TP2: $2,825
SL: Below $2,790
Conclusion:
Gold is currently in a range-bound structure, and we are looking for bullish confirmation before entering. Patience is key—wait for price action signals at the highlighted demand zones before executing a trade.
Please like follow and show support.
GOLD 12H CHART ROUTE MAP ANALYSISHello Traders,
Here’s our 12H chart analysis and target updates:
📌 Previous Chart Review
Key Resistance: Identified 2,790 as a critical resistance level, anticipating a potential reversal.
Buy Signal: Recommended waiting for EMA5 to cross and hold above TP1 (2,745) as confirmation for a bullish move toward TP2 (2,786) & TP3 (2,826).
Dynamic Support: Highlighted the FVG zone (2,745) as a key support area.
📊 Outcome
✅ All targets and entry levels (marked with Golden Circles) were achieved as predicted.
✅ EMA5 crossed above TP1 (2,744), leading to TP2 (2,786) being achieved.
✅ Resistance at 2,790 was broken.
❌ TP3 was nearly reached but reversed after EMA5 failed to cross and hold above TP2 (2,786).
🔍 What’s Next for GOLD?
The daily candle closed above TP2 (2,786), but EMA5 failed to sustain above it.
This suggests a potential short-term reversal.
📉 Key Levels
📌 Support: Strong support expected from the FVG zone and Gold Turn Levels (2,770, 2,745 & 2705).
⚠️ Downside Risks
If EMA5 crosses and holds below 2,770, the next target shifts to 2,745.
If EMA5 crosses and holds below 2,745, the downside extends toward 2,705 (Retracement Range).
📈 Bullish Path
A bounce from support could retest TP2 (2,786) and potentially extend toward TP3 (2,826).
📌 Trading Recommendations
🔹 Short-Term Trades:
Utilize 1H and 4H timeframes to capitalize on dips at Gold Turn Levels, targeting 30–40 pips per trade.
Focus on shorter positions in this range-bound market to navigate volatility.
🔹 Long-Term Bias:
We remain bullish and view pullbacks as buying opportunities.
Buying dips from our marked levels provides better risk management rather than chasing tops.
📢 Final Note
Trade with confidence and discipline—our precise analysis ensures you’re well-equipped to navigate the market. Stay tuned for daily updates and multi-timeframe insights.
Best regards,
📉💰 The Quantum Trading Mastery
Gold Retracement has begun and will end on the order block.Hello, Traders!
As gold dropped from 2830 and is now trading between 2812-2813, this decline is true and valid till 2772-2773 since I identified significant liquidity, an order block, FVG, and parallel channel trendline support.
So gold should make this extremely serious and genuine move in order to continue the bullish trend.
Support number: 2801-2796.
Resistance: 2830.600.
Order Block: 2771–2778
Fair Value Gap: 2778–2779
Golden Zone of Fib: 2794-2801
We will trade in tiny time frames with other confirmations like morning star or any bullish engulfing candle, with suitable stop loss below order block and liquidity zones.
If you liked my analysis, please support my idea and follow me.
Gold Retracement started and will stop on order blockHello Traders!
As gold dropped from 2830 and now trading between 2812-2813 this drop is genuine and valid till 2772-2773 because there i found strong liquidity, order block, FVG and also parallel channel's trendline support.
so gold should do this move which is very real and genuine for a bullish trend continuity.
Support: 2801-2796
Resistance: 2830.600
Order Block: 2771-2778
Fair Value Gap:2778-2779
Golden Zone of Fib: 2794-2801
we will trade in small time frame with some other confirmations like morning star or any bullish engulfing candle with proper stop loss below order block and liquidity zones
if you like my analysis kindly boost my idea and follow me
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great start to the week with our chart idea playing out perfectly, as analysed.
We started with our bearish target at 2794 hit followed with cross and lock opening 2778, which was also hit. No further cross and lock below 2778 confirmed the rejection for the bounce from the weighted level. This bounce completed our Bullish target above 2807 and then a further cross and clock confirming 2819, which was also hit. True level to level action with confirmations!!
We will now look for a cross and lock above 2819 for a continuation or a failure to lock above will see Goldturns below tested for support.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2807 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2807 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2819 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2819 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2832
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2832 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2845
BEARISH TARGETS
2794 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2794 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2778 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2778 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2764
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2764 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
2753 - 2739
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2739 WILL OPEN THE SWIG RAGE
SWING RANGE
2722 - 2707
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
AGAIN ATH (2817) Will Gold continue bullish trend?
Hello everybody I hope you are doing well and you had good and profitable week, Today is Friday and the market is about to close.
As you can see gold has created new All Time High (ATH).
Gold low - 2744 and high is 2817
In my view gold will continue the bullish trend and it can make another ATH next week.
There are two zones which gold can touch and continue the bullish trend.
1ST BUY ZONE -2782 to 2772 and 2ND ZONE - 2753 - 2743
Timeframe+Reason
D1 break resistance, Supply, Structure,RBS
H4 break resistance, Structure, RBS, Failed Eng
H1 break supply, RBS, Failed Eng
M30 Break supply, RBS, Failed and Bullish Eng
M15 Break Supply, RBS, bullish Eng
Short gold when it hits 2820-2830 areaDear traders, gold has shown exceptional strength after breaking through the 2800 level, with aggressive buying flows providing strong support while simultaneously limiting downside retracements. Based on the current gold market structure, there remains upside potential, with prices likely to revisit the 2620-2630 range.
However, market sentiment currently plays a more dominant role than technical factors. As strong buying pressure fuels a short squeeze rally, a shift in sentiment could lead to the formation of a high wave candle on the chart, with gold potentially retesting the 2800-2790 support zone.
Given these conditions, I do not advocate chasing long positions at current levels for short-term trades. Instead, a more prudent approach would be to consider initiating long positions if gold retraces to the 2800-2790 support and holds above it. Conversely, if prices reach the 2620-2630 region, we can look for opportunities to short gold again.
Bros, do you still have the courage to short gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEK1H Trading Analysis - The Quantum Trading Mastery
Hi Traders,
We successfully reached TP1, TP2, and TP3 in our previous 1H chart analysis. Below are the updated levels and targets for the coming week.
Market Overview
Gold reached an all-time high at 2,817, and is currently trading between two key levels, with a gap above 2,817 and a gap below 2,778. As seen on the chart, EMA5 crossed and locked below the KEY LEVEL of 2,796, and TP1 has just been hit. To further validate the price direction and range, we’ll monitor EMA5 at various target levels, along with the GoldTurn support levels.
What’s Next for GOLD in the 1H Timeframe?
A resistance level has formed at 2,817. EMA5 failed to cross and lock above this point, triggering a reversal. The FVG might reinforce another resistance level, pushing prices further down towards TP2 (2,761). Additionally, EMA5 crossing below MA21 and MA50 signals a bearish trend.
Key Levels
* Resistance Zones: The FVG resistance at 2,782–2,888 is expected to push prices down to TP2 (2,761).
* Support Levels: Strong support is anticipated at Gold Turn Levels around 2,778, 2,761, 2,744, and 2,740 (Retracement Range).
⚠️ Downside Risks
* If EMA5 crosses and holds below 2,778, the next target is 2,761.
* If EMA5 crosses and holds below 2,761, the downside extends toward 2,744.
* A break below 2,744 could drive prices down to 2,740 (retracement range).
📈 Bullish Path
A bounce from support levels could trigger a retest with potential upside.
* If EMA5 crosses and holds above 2,778, the next bullish target is 2,796.
* If EMA5 holds above 2,796, the upward extends to 2,807.
* A further break above 2,807 could push prices upward to 2,819.
🔹 Long-Term Outlook
Our bullish bias remains, viewing pullbacks as opportunities to buy.
Buying dips from key levels offers better risk management rather than chasing tops.
Final Thoughts
Trade with confidence and discipline—our detailed analysis ensures you're equipped to navigate market fluctuations. Stay tuned for daily updates and multi-timeframe insights.
Best regards,
📉💰 The Quantum Trading Mastery
Will Economic Data Push Gold to New ATH or Cause a Reversal?Yesterday, the Federal Reserve announced the Funding Rate , and Jerome Powell's speech followed. These events created market volatility, influencing traders’ sentiment towards gold. Now, we turn our attention to today's key economic data releases .
Today's Key Data Releases & Gold Impact :
Advance GDP : The reported 2.3% is weaker than expected (2.7%), which may create mild support for gold as it signals slower economic growth. A stronger GDP reading would have strengthened the USD, putting downward pressure on gold.
Unemployment Claims : The 207K claims are better than expected (224K), suggesting a strong labor market, which may limit gold’s upside as the USD gains strength.
Advance GDP Price Index : The reported 2.2% inflation is lower than the expected 2.5%, which could reduce gold’s appeal, as it suggests easing inflationary pressure.
Given today’s key economic data, gold is likely to face downward pressure due to stronger labor market data and lower inflation, although the weaker GDP might provide some support in the short term. Expect volatility based on the combination of GDP growth and inflation trends.
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Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) is approaching its Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and All-Time High(ATH=$2,790.17) .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , Gold seems to be completing microwave 5 of the main wave 5 . The main wave 5 can be completed in PRZ . ( Of course, if the other wave counting scenario happens, we should have a correction from PRZ ).
I expect Gold to follow the Roadmap I specified in the chart.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Gold ShortThis commodity has formed the bearish market structure (according to the 4H timeframe) considering that it ran through the Order Block at 2791, then it has retraced back towards that block (forming a breaker block) and I do anticipate that we might go bearish if the price will not break above the 2804 zone.
Also, as for now, it us at the 1H iFVG which is a good place for a trade entry.
Entry 1 at 2792, Target 1 2760, Target 2 at 2730.
XAUUSD WEEKLY TRADING PLAN & GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAPHello everyone,
View our most recent one-hour chart levels and goals for the upcoming week.
With a gap above at 2807 and a gap below at 2794, we are witnessing price movement between two weighted levels. To find the next range, we must watch for the ema5 to cross and lock on either weighted level.
Until one of the weighted levels breaks and locks to confirm direction for the next range, we will test levels side by side.
When making purchases from dips, we shall bear the aforementioned in mind. We will be able to trace the movement down and then catch bounces up thanks to our upgraded levels and weighted levels.
Taking 30 to 40 pip drops, we will keep buying dips using our support levels. Each of our level structures, as previously said, provides 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is plenty for a pleasant entry and exit. You may examine how well the levels we released each week for the previous 24 months were used to trade with or against short- and mid-term swings and trends by backtesting them.
The following bearish target, 2778, will be opened by an EMA5 cross and lock below 2794.
The following bearish target, 2764, will be opened by an EMA5 cross and lock below 2778.
The recovery range of 2753–2739 will open when the EMA5 cross and lock below 2764
The swing rage will be opened by an EMA5 cross and a lock below 2739.
RANGE OF SWINGS 2722–2707
Gold price analysis February 3⭐️Fundamental Analysis
US President Donald Trump imposed 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico, and 10% on China, starting from 05:01 GMT on Tuesday. The reason is to combat illegal immigration and drug trafficking. Canada and Mexico responded with retaliatory tariffs, while China announced it would file a lawsuit at the World Trade Organization (WTO).
Markets reacted negatively, with the S&P 500 down 1.40% in particular, and money flows into the US dollar instead of gold. However, if China retaliates, gold, which is considered an inflation hedge, could rise. Traders will also pay attention to US and Chinese manufacturing PMI data, along with speeches from the Federal Reserve, which could impact gold prices.
⭐️Technical Analysis
Gold prices were pushed down by sellers around 2777 after hitting an all-time high. The important support of 2765 plays a role in pushing the gold price back to its upward trajectory. When the 2765 zone is broken, pay attention to the next 2 zones around 2746 and 2727. When the uptrend resumes, it will meet the reaction of the sellers around 2791 and the all-time high zone around 2814.
Levels to watch out I’ve exited my long positions and am staying on the sidelines for now. I won’t be selling into the current strength just yet, as there’s still room for exhaustion around the 2850 level. I’ll consider entering shorts if the market closes below 2725, with targets closer to 2000.
History is likely to repeat itself, with retailers jumping into the FOMO at 3000.
Gold XAUUSD Possible Move 03.02.2025Gold (XAU/USD) Analysis
Trend Structure:
The chart shows a clear uptrend, forming a series of higher highs.
Price is currently near a trendline support, indicating a potential bounce.
Key Levels:
Support Zone: $2,770 - $2,775 (Trendline & previous resistance turned support)
Target (Resistance): $2,800 (Previous high & psychological level)
Stop Loss (SL): $2,765 (Below the trendline and key support)
Trade Setup:
Entry: Around $2,770 - $2,775
Take Profit (TP): $2,800
Stop Loss (SL): $2,765
Risk-Reward Ratio: Favorable setup with a small risk and a decent upside.
Technical Indicators:
Price retesting support zone.
If it holds above support, the bullish trend could continue.
Conclusion:
If gold bounces from the support, it could head towards $2,800.
A break below $2,765 could indicate further downside.
Bullish bias remains unless the support breaks.
Gold Market Forecast: Next Week’s Trading Setup & Key Price ZoneGold continues to dominate the headlines, trading near all-time highs above $2,800 as market participants grow risk-averse. The White House’s confirmation of 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico set to take effect on February 1 has sent ripples through the market, adding to the uncertainty.
On the macroeconomic front, December’s Core PCE Price Index—the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge—came in as expected, surpassing November’s numbers. This follows soft Q4 GDP figures and the Federal Reserve’s latest monetary policy meeting, where officials signalled that inflation risks remain tilted to the upside—strengthening the US Dollar and keeping traders on edge.
📉 So, where is Gold headed next? Will we see a breakout to fresh highs, or is a pullback on the horizon?
In this video, I break down my thought process on Gold’s next potential move and how I’m positioning myself for the upcoming trading week. 🚀
📌 Let me know your thoughts in the comments! Do you see Gold continuing its rally, or is a correction due?
#GoldPrice #XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #GoldForecast #TradingGold #ForexTrading #Commodities #MarketAnalysis #GoldBreakout
Disclaimer Notice:
Trading in the foreign exchange market and other instruments carries a high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content provided here is for educational purposes only. Evaluate your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
**Gold (XAU/USD) Approaching Bearish Confirmation at Major ResisThis chart shows gold (XAU/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe, highlighting key resistance and support zones.
Key Observations:
1. All-Time High & Major Resistance:
- Price recently reached an all-time high and faced rejection from the major resistance zone.
- A pullback is currently in progress, and the chart suggests waiting for **bearish confirmation** before entering a short trade.
2. Bearish Expectation:**
- If the resistance holds and bearish confirmation appears, a sell-off toward the **1st target (2,772.32)** and then the 2nd target (2,750.15 - 2,750.43) is expected.
3. Major Support Zone:**
- If the decline continues, the **major support** area around **2,720** could be tested.
Trading Strategy:
- Wait for confirmation** before entering short positions.
- A strong **bearish rejection** from resistance will validate the short setup.
- If price breaks back above resistance, bearish bias would weaken.