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Gold XAUUSD How Long This Correction Will Continue! Read CaptionOANDA:XAUUSD forms a retreat and tests 2577 following a fake breakdown of 2546. After such a severe fall, it is a very reasonable response. The dollar is growing more quickly, and the fundamental context is still negative. China's ambiguous economic figures heightened economic worries. Powell stated that there is no need to lower interest rates right now because the economy is still expanding, the job market is strong, and inflation is still above the 2% target, but this uncertainty regarding future rate reduction by the US Federal Reserve is still weighing on the markets. Now, everyone's eyes are on the crucial retail sales data. Technically, it is important to watch the resistance at 2589 and the 0.5-0.7 fibo. Below these areas, a false breakdown and consolidation could lead to a collapse. Resistance levels: 2578, 2592, 2604. Support levels: 2543, 2532, 2504 Key : 2565 OANDA:XAUUSD Gold is currently indicating that the pullback up might be a little drawn out. Before the news, MM will probably aim for liquidity (above these levels). Bears may become active in response to a false breakout, which would only boost sales. However, the likelihood of a breakdown and decline will rise if there is a bounce from 0.5 fibo and a smooth recovery to 2546.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
Gold ushered in continued decline Yesterday, the gold price fluctuated around the 2560 dollar mark. Is a drop important or not? The current range of gold is still 2580-2535. 2580 is also the watershed of strength and weakness. At the same time, if it falls below 2535, the probability of gold falling to 2500 will increase; if it breaks through 2580 and stabilizes, the probability of gold retesting the pressure will increase. Therefore, the general direction today can only look at this range for the time being. Today, the gold price still has the risk of continuing to fall. "Bottom fishing" seems to have become a derogatory term in the market. Any currency has lost this function. Short selling has become the only choice and the best direction. If gold loses the support of 2535, it will fall by another 50 US dollars. Today's high and low point area has become the key to the long-short game. Gold point: 2568-70 short orders continue to be held in the early trading. Those who have not entered the market can enter the market directly if the rebound does not break 2565. Let's look at the decline today! The target is the 2543-2535 line!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Yuliya1l11
Gold Update (Elliott Wave Analysis)Gold’s been in a downtrend since late October, wrapping up Elliot Wave 5. But here’s the kicker: on the 4H chart, we’re spotting a possible inverse Elliot wave cycle. 📉 We’re nearing the end of this correction phase and gearing up for a bullish breakout! 🚀 Currently, we’re trading in a robust Daily demand zone, eyeing a reversal that could kickstart a fresh Elliot cycle. Targeting the supply zone at $2762-$2790. 📈 Plan: Enter at the end of Wave 2 to ride Wave 3 and hold until Wave 5 wraps up, with a trailing stop loss to lock in those gains. 🤑 Get ready to ride the wave! 🌊💰
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MESHANL
Dollar's Rise, Gold's Demise◉ Abstract The US Dollar Index (DXY) and gold prices have a historically inverse correlation, with a stronger dollar typically reducing gold demand. Key drivers of this relationship include inflation, geopolitical tensions, and interest rates. With a 73-95% negative correlation observed over time, investors should note the current market outlook: the DXY is poised to break out above 107, potentially surging to 114, while gold prices may drop 5% to 2,400 and then 2,300. Understanding this dynamic is crucial for making informed investment decisions and capitalizing on potential trading opportunities. ◉ Introduction The relationship between the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) and gold prices is significant and typically characterized by an inverse correlation. Understanding this relationship is crucial for investors and traders in the gold market. ◉ U.S. Dollar Index Overview The U.S. Dollar Index measures the value of the U.S. dollar against a basket of six major foreign currencies, including the euro, Japanese yen, and British pound. It serves as an indicator of the dollar's strength or weakness in global markets. When the index rises, it indicates that the dollar is gaining value relative to these currencies, while a decline suggests a weakening dollar. ◉ Inverse Relationship with Gold Prices Gold is priced in U.S. dollars on international markets, which directly influences its price based on fluctuations in the dollar's value: ● Strengthening Dollar: When the DXY index increases, it generally leads to a decrease in gold prices. This occurs because a stronger dollar makes gold more expensive for investors using other currencies, thereby reducing demand. ● Weakening Dollar: Conversely, when the DXY index falls, gold prices tend to rise. A weaker dollar makes gold cheaper for foreign investors, increasing its demand and driving up prices. Research indicates that this inverse relationship has been consistent over time, particularly in long-term trends. For instance, historical data shows that gold prices often rise when the dollar depreciates, reflecting a negative correlation of approximately 73% to 95% over various time intervals. ◉ Short-Term Deviations While the long-term trend supports this inverse relationship, short-term anomalies can occur under specific market conditions. For example, during periods of extreme volatility or economic uncertainty, gold and the dollar may exhibit a positive correlation temporarily as both assets are sought after as safe havens. This behaviour can confuse investors who expect the typical inverse relationship to hold. ◉ Additional Influencing Factors Several other factors also affect gold prices beyond the dollar's strength: ● Inflation: Rising inflation often leads investors to flock to gold as a hedge against currency devaluation. ➖ E.g. In 2022, as inflation rates surged to 9.1%, demand for gold increased by 12% year-over-year, pushing prices higher. Historical data shows that during periods of high inflation from 1974 to 2008, gold prices rose by an average of 14.9% annually. ● Geopolitical Events: Uncertainty from geopolitical tensions can drive demand for gold regardless of dollar fluctuations. ➖ E.g. In late 2023, escalating conflicts such as the Israel-Palestine situation and the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war contributed to a surge in gold prices, with reports indicating increases of over 3% in a week due to these tensions ● Interest Rates: When the Fed raises interest rates, it typically strengthens the dollar as higher yields attract foreign capital. A stronger dollar makes gold more expensive for holders of other currencies, which can reduce demand. ➖ E.g. During the Federal Reserve's rate hikes from March 2022 to early 2023, many investors moved away from gold as they sought higher returns from bonds and other fixed-income securities. This shift contributed to downward pressure on gold prices during that period. ◉ Technical Standings ● U.S. Dollar Index TVC:DXY The US Dollar Index has been stuck in neutral for two years. But if it clears the 107 hurdle, get ready for a surge to 114. ● Gold Spot/USD OANDA:XAUUSD ➖ Gold prices skyrocketed to 2,790, then plunged. Expect a 5% drop to 2,400. If that support cracks, 2,300 is the next safety net.
TVC:DXYEducation
by NaranjCapital
Gold Price Action Analysis with Moving Averages and Dynamic Brea Trend Outlook: Gold is in a bearish trend as shown by the consistent downward movement of the long-term moving average. Trade Signals: Recent "Sell" signals confirm bearish sentiment, as every upward attempt is met with resistance and price resumes its decline. Traders could consider short positions, especially around moving average resistance or at "Sell" signals until a clear reversal is observed. Support Levels: Watch for key support levels near the recent lows. If broken, this could indicate further downside. Conclusion: Gold is currently bearish with potential shorting opportunities at resistance levels. Re-evaluate the trend if the price begins to consistently break above the long-term moving average.
TVC:GOLDShort
by TradeTrendsPro
Gold Price Analysis For Next Move? Read CaptionOANDA:XAUUSD dropped from 2790 and currently trading on 2557 it will consolidate here from range of 2546-2557 and will make a rectangle pattern , once rectangle constructed it will breakout the rectangle and give the targets given in chart. Gold have just completed its Elliott 4th Wave in Day time frame and also completed 5th impulsive wave in short time from from H1 to 5min now, now it will do corrective move in short term and 5th impulsive move in high time frame
FX:XAUUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
3
GOLD MONTHLY CHART LONG TERM/RANGE ROUTE MAPHey Everyone, This is the monthly chart idea for our long term/range analysis, which we shared in September. We have now completed two bull targets and stated both months left a big detachment to ema5 which needed a well overdue correction. This monthly chart detachment is now complete, as highlighted by the circle on the chart. This now provided the support and bounce allowing us to buy dips inline with our plans. Our 1H and 4h Charts have completed all bearish targets and now broken through all support. However with the breakout below, each of our weighted levels gave the 30 to 40 pip bounces just like we said. This area is a strong level of support with ema5 providing dynamic support now for a bounce. Each of the lower Goldturn levels below are likely to give re-actional bounces just like our shorter time frame ideas. However, we will keep in mind the channel top that may require a support test and will use all support structures across all our multi time frame chart ideas to buy dips also keeping in mind our long term gap above. Short term we may look bearish but looking at the monthly chart allows you to see the bigger picture the overall long term Bullish trend. We will update our Multi timeframe route map with updated levels on Sunday. As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
12
The Chart you probably wanna see. Gold's turn. Logic. No bs. So about the chart, if you want to move straight to it. Far right is a Gold-colour vertical line & that is Monday's trading of earlier this week. Then several green vertical zones, Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday of this week. 2 Red horizontal lines above and below is the Gold trading range for this week. If you are wondering how big the Gold correction has been. You will see the Pink vertical line all time high to the bottom of this weeks trading range is about 9.85%. Pretty big huh. I really needed to work this out for myself, what I mean is where I think Gold will turn Does this sound like you? You are sitting in some rather massive Crypto profits, positions you have accumulated for several weeks to a even a month(s). Maybe you now have a few USD$ unrealised profits from the last week. If the above is not you and I'm guessing you are in a majority, because the vast-main of traders would not have 'the stomach' for being big-margined in money lent by brokers and to be effectively in-risk of millions of dollars in Crypto purchases and other trading assets perhaps like Gold and Currency, well like I am, but my Margin is never more than x20 (max. in Australia legally allowed). Trading is a Long-game, life-long hopefully, when you love it the same way I do. One of the best things I ever heard about trading, and its totally contradictory to what you probably hear and read from the so-called gurus, is that trading is about accumulating small-wins day in and day-out, bigger wins are fine, but consistent small wins. Not this B.S. you get fed that you can have 6 or 7 stopped-out trades, so long as you get that 1 outa 6 or 1 outa 9 wins. How is that good for your mindset. You have been fed garbage. That 1 winning trade will probably need to be a home-run, oh a home-run, which means taking on a risky means AFTER all those Stop-out trades. Small consistent wins, accumulate into profits for you and it reinforces a positive mindset. I once belonged to a trader pay subscription Signals trading group and this man who I won't name charged around 500 bucks a year, gave on average 6 currency trades a week, that is fine, but the problem was his win rate was something like 1 outa 5 and the 1 winner was a 1:1 RR. How do you profit from him? That UK man does not have to consistently beat the markets does he, because foolish and gullible traders line his pockets up every year in subscriptions. A fool and his money are soon parted, but we live and we learn sometimes I think. Wow, that got a bit deep. All I wanted to share is where I see the Gold price turning. Well about another 1% down from this weeks lowest low, we commence a support zone and said support zone on the Daily chart is situated beautifully between the 50EMA and 200EMA and importantly for Gold's trend to remain bullish the 200EMA is situated beneath price. Now, that said, I think the gas needs to come off the USD$ a bit right now, I don't think they want to overcook a dyeing currency, so if the economic data in the USA today is not favourable to the dollar, then a huge bullish rubber-band trade is back for Gold to the long side should emerge of up to 4% I feel if it really favours gold. If that is the case then we disregard my chart here of Daily Gold. Have a good day trading and make sure you properly breakdown the economic data first, so you have a clear understanding of Gold market direction. Don't simply buy or sell at a whim with your market maker in gold because all of the tricks and stunts they pull, and there is no accountability, they will probably initially set a Trap-long or a Trap-short throwing you to the wolves and then turn the market in the correct course. Oh, but push in on the gold market maker and make say $36 out of them in a trade they don't like or approve and they will make you give every dime back plus some. Which is why Im increasingly moving away from Gold trading to currency, indice and stocks.
CAPITALCOM:GOLD
by Easy_Explosive_Trading
Gold’s decline is not over yet, so be cautious when buying botto On Wednesday, as the US CPI rebounded as expected in October, the US dollar index remained strong, hitting a new high this year at 106.77. US Treasury yields soared collectively, with the benchmark 10-year US Treasury yield closing at 4.468%; the two-year US Treasury yield, which is more sensitive to monetary policy, closed at 4.294%. Spot gold fell for the fourth consecutive trading day, hitting a daily high of $2,618 after the release of the CPI data, and then continued to fall. As of now, the lowest point has reached 2,555. First of all, from the current 12-hour chart of gold: It can be seen that the sequence 7 signal has appeared, which proves that gold is still in a downward trend. There is no momentum to stabilize upward at present. The first support position below is currently around 2,550. If it falls below 2,550, the market may directly touch the low point near 2,520. From the hourly chart: It is a direct drop of $100 from around 2,710. If we calculate from the 2620 level last night, and copy the previous market trend and drop by 100 US dollars, then it is around 2520. The probability of gold breaking below 2550 is very high. Once it breaks below here, it will target 2520. For the current operation, if it breaks below 2550 directly, then I think we can directly chase it and look at the 2520 level. If 2550 is not broken for a short time, then wait for the rebound to around 2665 to enter the market and short. On the contrary, if you want to go long, you need to wait until 2520.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Yuliya1l11
GOLD NOW IN BUYING ZONE !!! HELLO FRIENDS As I can see #GOLD is now trading above 2550 zone and fail to break a strong Support Zone we are watching also Fib levels it's also showing us a great retracement had done but still we can see 0.61 did not achieve we are buying here on the base of daily Strong POI which can give us great pips and also for long term traders it's a great entry Middle East problems escalating by HAMAS & other proxies which investors did not under estimate and they love these types of dip Ending of year and opening 2025 Trump new elected bad US economy investors always love safe haven not Bonds so we can't miss these incoming moves we had just sent yesterday our perdition on Gold Drop which is attached in comment we need Ur love and boost the idea, so it helps to be many other traders Stay Tuned for more updates ....
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by APEX_TRADING_ACADMEY
2
XAUUSDHere is our view and update on XAUUSD . Potential opportunities and what to look out for. Since our last analysis on XAUUSD , gold has dropped from the break of 2678 all the way down to the targeted 2600 (KDZ) Key Demand Zone . We have dug deeper, 2590 to be exact. This is our new KL (Key Level) . We are expecting one of the two outcomes. Scenario 1: BUYS We are trading above 2590 with failing to break it, and we are starting to see some sellers exhaustion. Gold starts to turn and breaks above 2624 and continues breaking above other key levels. Scenario 2: SELLS We broke 2590 and are targeting our next KL (Key Level) 2650 . Breaking this key level would result in even deeper pullbacks down to 2530 . The direction for now is unclear until we break our mentioned key levels. Be patient and stay tuned for possible scalps on this pair. KEY NOTES - XAUUSD came to our KDZ (Key Demand Zone) 2600. - XAUUSD has dropped to lower areas (2590). - Trading above 2590 and breaking above would result in buys. - Breaks below 2590 would result in Scenario 2 unfolding. Happy trading! FxPocket
OANDA:XAUUSD
by FxPocket