XAUUSD – Daily (D1) Analysis🧱 Market Structure
The D1 structure is clearly bullish – price is printing HHs and HLs consistently.
Current push is a continuation from previous consolidation, breaking structure upwards.
No CHoCH or BOS bearish yet – buyers still in control.
🔵 Key Zones (marked on your chart)
1. Near-term Liquidity / Resistance
Price is approaching a marked supply zone / premium area at the top (same one from W1).
This is likely to act as a reaction point – either:
Sweep liquidity and reverse
Break through and continue higher
2. Imbalances / Mitigation Zones Below Price
These zones are clean mitigation targets if price rejects from the top:
Zone Level Description
2955 Fair value gap / inefficiency (imbalance)
2790–2800 Strong structure zone + FVG + OB
2740–2750 Potential OB + previous consolidation
2495 Deep retracement level – less likely short-term
🧩 Order Flow Observation
Very little sign of exhaustion in candles right now.
The only reason to expect reversal is if:
Price hits the extreme premium zone
We see a strong daily rejection or
Lower timeframes shift (CHoCH / BOS)
📉 EMA Perspective (implied)
Assuming EMA 21/50/200:
Price is well above EMA 21 & 50, indicating strong short-term bullish trend.
A return to EMA 21 (probably around ~2950–2970) would be a healthy pullback.
📌 Bias – Daily
Term Bias Reason Daily
✅ Bullish Clean bullish structure, no shift Short-term
⚠️ Watchful
If price hits supply zone with reaction
Ideal setup
Rejection from premium + CHoCH on H4/H1
🧠 Trade Ideas (based on D1)
🔼 Bullish Scenario
Price holds above 3060 and breaks 3090+
Entry on breakout + retest of minor OB on H1
Target: ATH sweep and continuation
SL: Below minor HL / reaction low
🔽 Bearish Scenario
Price enters supply zone → forms bearish D1 candle (engulfing / pinbar)
Look for CHoCH on H4/H1 to enter short
Target levels: 2950 ➝ 2800 ➝ 2750
SL: Above daily high or OB
Goldprediction
XAUUSD – Weekly (W1) Trading Plan🧱 Market Structure
Clear bullish structure with sustained Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL).
Strong impulsive candles show aggressive bullish momentum, no signs of exhaustion yet.
Order flow remains bullish until proven otherwise.
🔍 Key Zones (S&D, FVGs, Gaps)
🔝 Premium Zone
Current price is within this premium area, which contains a weekly FVG / imbalance.
Price is reacting inside this inefficiency (3064–3094) → draw on liquidity.
This is not a demand zone, but rather a sell-side trap area for late buyers.
Possibilities:
Price fully fills the gap to ~3094 → then reverses (bearish reaction).
Or, price continues pushing up for ATH sweep (liquidity above all-time-high).
🧩 Below Current Price – Mitigation Zones
🔵 2900–2950: Minor imbalance, could be used as short-term retracement target.
🔵 2750–2800: OB + structural retest zone → high-interest mitigation area.
🔵 ~2480–2550: Deep retracement zone – valid only if major structure breaks.
📈 EMA Overview
(Assuming standard 5/21/50/200 EMA stack)
Price is far above all EMAs → strong bullish sentiment.
A revisit to the 21 or 50 EMA (weekly) would represent healthy retracement.
⚖️ Bias
Term Direction Reason
Long-term ✅ Bullish Strong structure, unmitigated imbalances above
Medium-term ⚠️ Neutral-to-bullish Depends on reaction from 3064–3094
Short-term 🔄 Await reaction LTF confirmation needed for short setups
🎯 Trade Scenarios
🟩 Bullish Continuation
If price uses 3064–3094 as support (mitigation → continuation)
Targets: New ATH above 3100+
Strategy: Wait for bullish PA confirmation (engulfing / BOS on D1/H4)
🟥 Bearish Rejection
If price shows strong bearish reaction from 3064–3094 zone
Ideal confirmation: bearish engulfing / CHoCH on H4/H1
Targets:
TP1: 2950
TP2: 2800
SL above the high (once structure confirms)
⏳ What to Watch Next
Weekly close relative to the 3064–3094 zone
Daily/H4 candlestick behavior: rejection vs continuation
Look for divergence between price and momentum, or exhaustion candles
3.28 Gold Breaks Point, Falls Back to Support Long PositionsOn Thursday (March 27), affected by the news that US President Donald Trump announced new tariffs on imported cars, global trade tensions further escalated, market risk aversion heated up, and gold prices once again approached the record high set last week.
Fundamentals: Gold fell from its pre-US high. The decline supports the long position view.
The new US tariffs have exacerbated market tensions, and PCE data will become the next focus of attention.
The current market is active, and both long and short sides are engaged in fierce competition around key resistance levels. The dual drive of technical and fundamental factors has significantly amplified the volatility of gold prices.
The cumulative net inflow of gold ETFs in the first quarter of 2025 has reached 155 tons, and the total holdings have climbed to the peak since September 2023. In the previous trading day alone, the scale of a single-day increase of 23 tons set a record since 2022. The unexpected growth of central bank demand for gold purchases and the continued inflow of ETF funds together constitute the "two-wheel drive" for gold's medium- and long-term bullishness. If this trend continues, it will provide sufficient liquidity support for gold prices to break through historical highs.
The current price is close to the historical high, and some long profit-taking pressure is gradually accumulating. If the PCE data released on Friday is stronger than expected, or the Federal Reserve releases hawkish signals, it may become the fuse to trigger a pullback
Trend: shock upward trend
Support: around 3033.00
Resistance: around 3055.50
GOLD XAUUSD LONG mid- to long termGold is definitely one of my absolute favourite instruments: Not only its variouse usages in medical,electronic,jewelery, aero sapce and many more areas, but also its more than 100s years of value,and anti inflation hedge making Gold to me very interesting.
I am using special setups for gold trade similar to crude oil
In the chart above i demonstrate 5 different intraday approaches that are (only in case of gold) is align with fundamantely(Trump tarriffs,coming recession,trade wars,signs of war with Iran, High inflation,...) but also technically in align with different time frames.
In my opinion Gold definitely rising higher midterm to longterm.
Approach1: In the chart above you see 2 different profit tagets but also variouse entries.
Profit targets:Once Gold seems to reach the 1st target, if signs of breaking through(News catalysts,technical indicators) we can after confirmation extend our profit target to the next level.
Enitries: I buy always where others set their stops. if tempporarily retracement, then I use it to cover more Buys,where midterm gold bears extend their sells(because of their sceptism for Gold) or whatevr other reasons.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
A Piptastic day on the markets today with the breakout finally taking off, perfectly inline with our plans to buy dips and then into our Bullish targets.
We had 3 tests on our Bullish target at 3032 this week and then finally a cross and lock opening 3050, which was hit perfectly. We will now need a cross and lock above 3050 for a continuation into the next Goldturn or failure to lock will see rejections into the lower Goldturns for the bounces inline with our plans to buy dips.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
3032 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3032 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3050 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3050 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3065
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3065 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3080
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3080 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3097
BEARISH TARGETS
3015 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3015 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2999
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2999 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2978
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2978 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2950 - 2927
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold (XAUUSD) Rejection from Double Top – Bearish Targets playThis chart shows gold (XAUUSD) on the 1-hour timeframe, highlighting a double top at a key resistance zone. The price has reached this resistance and may experience a rejection, potentially triggering a sell-off.
A downward move is projected with two targets:
1. First target around the previous support zone.
2. Second target near the trendline and a deeper support level.
The breakout from the descending trendline suggests a shift in momentum, but rejection at the resistance could confirm a bearish reversal. If sellers take control, the price may drop toward the indicated targets.
First TP: Around 3,040 (previous support zone).
Second TP: Around 3,025 (near trendline support).
If price confirms rejection from the double top resistance, these levels could act as key downside targets.
Gold Breaks Resistances_ Is a New All-Time High(ATH) on the Way?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) is moving in the Resistance zone($3,032-$3,021) and has managed to break the Resistance lines .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Gold has completed the main wave 4 . The structure of the main wave 4 is Double Three Correction(WXY) . One of the signs of the completion of the main wave 4 can be the breakdown of the resistance lines and the Resistance zone($3,032-$3,021) .
I expect Gold to trend upwards in the coming hours and can even create a New All-Time High(ATH) .
Do you think Gold can create a new All-Time High(ATH)?
Note: If Gold goes below $3,013, we should expect more dumps.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Gold shocks converge, trading strategy fully analyzedTechnical analysis of gold: Gold has slightly risen and fallen during the day, and the overall trend remains in a volatile trend. Gold is currently maintaining a narrow range of fluctuations on the daily trend, but the short-term moving average has gradually diverged downward, and there are signs of weakening in the short term on the daily line. The 4-hour level trend is temporarily maintained in a volatile state, and the price is temporarily compressed between 3010-3030. The short-term moving average continues to maintain a state close to adhesion and flattening, tending to maintain a volatile trend in the short term. It is necessary to pay attention to the continued downward trend after a small break in the 4-hour level trend. In the small-level cycle trend, after touching the previous support band, there are signs of stabilization again. Pay attention to the short-term adjustment.
Gold is about to explode in a big market. The obvious box-shaped oscillation triangle is converging, that is, it has become narrower, and the oscillation has lasted too long. If it can break through 3038 with consecutive positive lines, then today will basically continue a wave of pull-ups, so there is a high probability that the 4-hour middle track or the daily 5-day moving average will break. On the contrary, if the psychological barrier of 3000 is lost, the market may fall back to the support zone of 2971-2997 for correction. On the whole, today's short-term operation of gold suggests that callbacks should be the main focus, and rebound shorts should be supplemented. The top short-term focus is on the first-line resistance of 3030-3036, and the bottom short-term focus is on the first-line support of 3010-3012. Friends, you must keep up with the rhythm. Gold operation strategy: short gold rebound near 3028-3035, and go long on the pullback of 3015-3010.
XAU/USD(20250327) Today's AnalysisToday's long-short boundary:
3021
Support and resistance levels:
3040
3033
3028
3013
3008
3001
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 3021, consider buying, the first target price is 3060
If the price breaks through 3013, consider selling, the first target price is 3010
Gold Price Outlook: Key Fair Value Gap (FVG) and Potential PriceThis 4-hour chart of Gold/USD highlights a critical Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone in the $2,960 - $2,980 range. The chart outlines two potential scenarios:
1. A bullish reaction with a price push toward the $3,040 resistance level.
2. A bearish move breaking below the FVG, targeting the $2,880 support zone.
Traders should monitor price action within the FVG for confirmations, with upcoming economic events marked at the bottom as potential catalysts.
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis - March 27, 2025Chart Insights
Timeframe: 30-minute chart
Current Price: $3,051.595
High: $3,054.630
Low: $3,050.970
Volume: 1.65K ticks
Trade Setup
Resistance Level (~$3,056):
Price spiked up but rejected at this level.
Potential reversal point if price fails to break higher.
Support Levels:
First Support (~$3,048): If price pulls back, this level might hold as short-term support.
Second Support (~$3,040): If selling pressure increases, price may test this zone.
Possible Scenarios
Bearish Reversal Setup:
If price fails to break the resistance and forms a bearish rejection pattern, a short entry can be considered.
Target: First support at $3,048, second support at $3,040.
Break & Retest Bullish Setup:
If price breaks and holds above $3,056, it could turn into support, leading to further upside movement.
Conclusion:
Watching for a bearish rejection near resistance to enter short.
If resistance breaks, a bullish continuation can occur.
Confirmation with candlestick patterns and volume is key before entering trades.
Would you like stop-loss and risk management details included?
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis**Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis – 1H Chart**
**Current Price:** ~$3,018.51
**Resistance Levels:** ~$3,030, ~$3,045
**Support Levels:** ~$3,010, ~$2,995
*📈 Bullish Scenario:**
- **Break Above Resistance (~$3,030-$3,045):** A sustained move above the nearest resistance zone could push gold toward $3,050 and beyond.
- **Moving Averages Support:** If short-term moving averages (blue/black lines) provide support, bulls could regain momentum.
- **Positive Risk Sentiment:** Any dovish signals from the Fed or safe-haven demand could fuel a rally.
**Target:** $3,045–$3,060
*📉 Bearish Scenario:**
- **Break Below Support (~$3,010-$2,995):** If gold drops below this level, it could test the next support zone around $2,990.
- **Failure to Hold Above $3,020:** A rejection at resistance might increase bearish pressure.
- **Stronger USD & Risk-On Sentiment:** If the US Dollar strengthens or risk appetite improves, gold could face downward pressure.
**Target:** $2,995–$2,980
** Conclusion :**
Gold is currently consolidating near key levels. A breakout above $3,030 could lead to further gains, while a drop below $3,010 may trigger a sell-off. Keep an eye on market sentiment and economic data for confirmation. 🚀📉
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis - March 27, 2025 Chart InsightChart Insights
Timeframe: 30-minute chart
Current Price: $3,052.005
High: $3,052.060
Low: $3,039.910
Volume: 8.98K ticks
Trade Setup
Entry Criteria: A bearish candle formation on the 15-minute chart is required for entry.
Direction: Short (Sell) trade setup
Stop-Loss (SL): Around $3,053.421 (above resistance zone)
Take Profit (TP) Targets:
Target 1: ~$3,040 (previous support level)
Target 2: ~$3,026.486 (next major support)
Key Technical Factors
Strong Resistance Zone (~$3,048 - $3,053):
Price had a strong bullish rally but hit resistance.
A potential reversal zone if sellers gain control.
Bearish Confirmation Needed:
Waiting for a bearish candlestick (like a rejection wick, engulfing, or shooting star) on the 15-min chart for confirmation.
Volume Spike:
High buying pressure is observed, but if it weakens, a reversal could happen.
Conclusion:
If a bearish pattern forms, shorting gold with Targets at $3,040 and $3,026 is a viable plan.
If price breaks above $3,053 with strength, the bearish setup becomes invalid.
Would you like me to add further risk management details?
Gold Analysis March 26Candle D still shows that the battle between buyers and sellers has not yet been defeated.
3033 Plays an important role in the current downtrend structure. H4 Closes above the 3033 zone, officially breaking the wave and giving priority to the BUY side.
Gold is pushing up and wants to break the dynamic resistance of 3027. Closes above 3027, gold is heading towards 3033-3035. If it does not break this zone, you can SELL to 3005 and if the US breaks 3005, hold to 2983. If the 3033 zone is broken, wait for BUY to break 3033, the daily target is towards 3045.
Is the gold price range about to break out?Market news: On Thursday (March 27), the United States dropped a "tariff nuclear bomb" and announced a high tariff of 25% on imported cars. This radical policy, which will take effect on April 3, marks a comprehensive escalation of its trade war strategy. The auto industry warned that this move would trigger a chain reaction of soaring prices and stagnant production. Global stock markets plummeted in response, and the S&P 500 index fell 1.1% in a single day, setting the worst monthly performance in nearly a year. Gold prices fluctuated in a narrow range on Wednesday. Although the dollar index rose to a nearly three-week high, putting pressure on gold prices, concerns about the Trump administration's new tariffs continued to provide safe-haven support for gold prices. In the early Asian session on Thursday (March 27), spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading around $3,020/ounce. Investors need to pay attention to further market interpretations and changes in risk aversion sentiment. Market participants are now looking forward to the US personal consumption expenditure data to be released on Friday, which may provide more information on the path of US interest rate cuts. The final value of the fourth quarter GDP of the United States and the change in the number of initial jobless claims in the United States will be released on this trading day, and investors need to pay attention to them.
Technical Review:
For yesterday, overall, the long and short positions of gold were deeply trapped in the 3032-3012 range of oscillations and saws, and the high and low points fluctuated in a range of 20 points. For this situation, it is actually a small calm compared to the previous period. However, for this kind of fluctuation, it is not easy to clearly control the long and short positions. After all, it is too affected by the market, and the randomness of the rise and fall is also subject to multiple changes!
If it is to rise, once gold encounters resistance, the strength of the collapse is still quite obvious. If it is to fall, it has been hit by a pull-up and empty. To be honest, even if you squat at high and low points, it is difficult to control. After all, the actual situation is like this. The market is also brewing some big moves. Today, GDP is coming, and you still need to guard against the reverse outbreak of long and short positions.
Today's analysis:
Gold has slightly risen and fallen during the day, and the overall trend remains in a volatile trend. Gold is currently maintaining a narrow range of fluctuations on the daily trend, but the short-term moving average has gradually diverged downward, and there are signs of weakening in the short term on the daily line. The 4-hour level trend is temporarily maintained in a volatile state, and the price is temporarily compressed between 3010-3030!
The short-term moving average continues to maintain a state close to adhesion and flattening, and tends to continue to maintain a volatile trend in the short term. It is necessary to pay attention to the continued downward trend after a small break in the 4-hour level trend. In the small-level cycle trend, after touching the previous support band, there are signs of stabilization. Pay attention to the short-term adjustment.
From the overall situation, gold is definitely in the bull market stage. At present, there is strong buying defense at the 3000 mark, and the "W" double bottom Zou shape has appeared below. If it successfully breaks through the 3035 watershed, it is expected to test the pressure near 3045 and the historical high of 3057. Now the low point of the callback begins to move up slowly, showing a small upward trend. Pay attention to the breakout market. The daily cycle hovers around the angle of the short-term moving average. There is a choice of direction at any time. Follow after the breakout!
Operation ideas:
Buy short-term gold at 3010-3013, stop loss at 3002, target at 3035-3045;
Sell short-term gold at 3038-3040, stop loss at 3049, target at 3000-3010;
Key points:
First support level: 3016, second support level: 3008, third support level: 2993
First resistance level: 3030, second resistance level: 3038, third resistance level: 3046
Gold-----Buy near 3014, target 3026-3060Gold market analysis:
Recently, gold buying and selling has begun to play a game, with continuous cross stars on the daily line. Yesterday, we estimated that gold would fluctuate and repair in the first half of the week, and start to exert its strength in the second half of the week. During the fluctuation, we also grasped the rhythm of the fluctuation and intercepted the operation of buying and selling. Today's idea is to see whether it breaks through. Before it breaks, it is treated as a fluctuation. Note that the big trend is still buying. The possibility of pulling up after the fluctuation is greater, so we must be careful to sell and be beaten in the next two trading days. Gold stands firmly above 3000 with multiple fundamental supports, plus the continuous positive lines of the weekly line and the support of the big cycle. In the long-term trend, it is basically difficult for gold to change the long-term buying trend without breaking 2982.
Gold in the Asian session has begun to rise again. If it breaks 3033, it will not open up new room for growth. Pay attention to the fluctuation range of the Asian session, which is 3033-3010. Look for opportunities in this range during the day. In addition, if it breaks 3033, consider buying opportunities when it falls back. Chase one-way and wait for fluctuations.
Support is 3010 and 3000, pressure is 3033-3035, and the strength and weakness dividing line of the market is 3020.
Operation suggestion:
Gold-----Buy near 3014, target 3026-3060
How to break the position of gold as it narrows in shock?Technical analysis of gold: Gold has slightly risen and fallen during the day, and the overall trend remains in a volatile trend. Gold is currently maintaining a narrow range of fluctuations on the daily trend, but the short-term moving average has gradually diverged downward, and there are signs of weakening in the short term on the daily line. The 4-hour level trend is temporarily maintained in a volatile state, and the price is temporarily compressed between 3010-3030. The short-term moving average continues to maintain a state close to adhesion and flattening, tending to maintain a volatile trend in the short term. It is necessary to pay attention to the continued downward trend after a small break in the 4-hour level trend. In the small-level cycle trend, after touching the previous support band, there are signs of stabilization again. Pay attention to the short-term adjustment.
From the overall situation, gold is definitely in the bull market stage. At present, there is strong buying defense at the 3000 mark, and the "W" double bottom Zou shape has appeared below. If it successfully breaks through the 3035 watershed, it is expected to test the pressure near 3045 and the historical high of 3057. Now the low point of the callback begins to move up slowly, showing a small upward trend. First, we will overestimate and undervalue in the 3030-3010 range. We can see that the current gold trend is also narrowing. There is no problem with short-term shock operations, but pay attention to the breakout after continuous shocks. The daily cycle hovers around the angle of the short-term moving average. There is a choice of direction at any time. Follow the breakout. Overall, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is mainly long on callbacks, and short on rebounds. The short-term focus on the upper resistance of 3030-3036, and the short-term focus on the lower support of 3010-3012. Friends must keep up with the rhythm. Gold operation strategy reference: short gold rebounds near 3030-3034, with a target of 3020-3015, and long gold callbacks near 3010-3014, with a target of 3020-3025.
If your current gold operation is not ideal, I hope to help you avoid detours in your investment. The information I recently shared about the gold market has received a lot of feedback, and everyone said it was very helpful! If you don’t know when to enter the market, you can follow me 🌐, I will release specific signals in real time, remember to pay attention to the bottom 🌐 signal in time.
3.27 Technical Analysis of Gold Short-term OperationsOn Thursday (March 27) in the Asian weekly session, the gold price (XAU/USD) was still consolidating around the $3,020 level, and the overall market sentiment was cautious.
Fundamental analysis:
US economy and Fed trends
Geopolitical and tariff uncertainties
Technical analysis:
Gold prices continued to consolidate at high levels after breaking through $3,000, and are still above the short-term moving average, with an overall bullish trend.
Moving average and trend: The moving average is in a bullish arrangement, indicating that the short-term and medium-term upward momentum has not been destroyed. The price fluctuates repeatedly between MA14 (3021) and MA200 (3017). If the market can stay above these two moving averages in the future, the upward momentum is expected to continue.
Key resistance and Fibonacci retracement: Fibonacci retracement 0.236 corresponds to around $3038, which also coincides with the high point formed in the previous period. If the price falls below the Fibonacci 0.618 position (about $3,000), we need to be alert to the risk of technical adjustments to find $3,000 or even deeper support.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another great day on the markets today, allowing us to bounce between the Goldturns, inline with our plans to buy dips. Not much to report as we are seeing Gold range sideways consolidating ready for a breakout.
We still have the gap left open at 2999, which fell short by a few pips. We will continue to use the lower Goldturns to buy dips until we see the weighted levels cross and lock to confirm the next range. Failure to break 3032 will keep seeing rejections into the lower Goldturns for the bounces.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
3032 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3032 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3050
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3050 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3065
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3065 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3080
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3080 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3097
BEARISH TARGETS
3015 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3015 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2999
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2999 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2978
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2978 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2950 - 2927
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Short Position Targeting Below $3,000🔍 Market Analysis After Durable Goods Orders Release
The latest Durable Goods Orders (MoM) for February 2025 were released today, showing a surprising 0.9% increase, while economists had expected a 1.0% decline. However, core capital goods orders fell by 0.3%, indicating weaker business investment.
These mixed figures create uncertainty in the markets. The strong durable goods orders support the U.S. dollar, while the drop in business investment may signal economic concerns. In the short term, the expectation that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will not rush to cut interest rates could put pressure on gold prices.
📉 Trading Idea: Short Gold from $3,025 to Below $3,000
Entry: $3,025 (already opened)
Gold is currently trading around $3,025, showing signs of weakness near resistance levels.
Why This Short Trade Makes Sense:
1️⃣ U.S. Economic Data Supports the Dollar
The unexpected rise in durable goods orders suggests economic resilience.
A stronger U.S. dollar typically weighs on gold prices.
2️⃣ Lower Expectations for Fed Rate Cuts
These data points may reduce expectations for imminent Fed rate cuts.
Higher rates increase the opportunity cost of holding gold, which is bearish for gold.
3️⃣ Technical Resistance & Downward Momentum
Gold has struggled to break above $3,025 - $3,035 multiple times.
If this level holds, we could see a drop below $3,000 soon.
📊 Price Targets & Stop-Loss
🎯 First Target: $3,000 (psychological support level)
🎯 Second Target: $2,985 - $2,975 (next key technical support zone)
📌 Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR):
Entry: $3,025
Target: at least $3,000
RRR = 1.66 : 1 – a solid setup for a short-term trade.
🧐 Potential Risks to the Trade
⚠ If the U.S. Dollar Weakens:
If markets interpret weak core capital goods orders as a sign of economic slowdown, the Fed might shift to a more dovish stance, weakening the dollar and boosting gold.
⚠ If Geopolitical Tensions Increase:
Rising geopolitical risks (e.g., China, Middle East) could drive safe-haven demand for gold, pushing prices higher.
📌 Conclusion: Bearish Setup for Gold
Today’s Durable Goods Orders release supports a stronger U.S. dollar, while gold is struggling to break resistance at $3,025 - $3,035. As long as this zone holds, the probability of a correction below $3,000 remains high.
🟢 Plan:
Short at $3,025 is active.
Target: Below $3,000.
Gold remains volatile – keep an eye on the U.S. dollar, Fed policy, and market sentiment for further confirmation! 🔥🚀
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This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly.
Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
Gold has been in a good range recently, which is perfect!Congratulations to everyone for realizing the range idea again。It should be noted here that since the bulls rose strongly in the early stage, the market turned to bearish, or the rhythm of bullish adjustment will not be so fast. Therefore, yesterday's daily line turned positive, not the return of bulls, but a correction in the process of decline. On the one hand, the adjustment of bulls is not enough, and the indicators show that there is still further exploration. On the other hand, although the current shock has rebounded, the strength is not strong and the continuity is poor. It is a shock upward trend and may fall at any time. Be cautious when looking at bullish. Only by matching the market and the time point can you get the correct direction. Trading focuses on ideas and planning, and doing yourself well is more important than anything else.If your current gold operation is not ideal, I hope to help you avoid detours in your investment. The information I recently shared about the gold market has received a lot of feedback, and everyone said it was very helpful! If you don’t know when to enter the market, you can follow me 🌐, I will release specific signals in real time, remember to pay attention to the bottom 🌐 signal in time.
Gold hourly line pattern chart;
Gold once touched the 3002 line to stabilize, and the daily line level fell back three times in a row. There is still room for decline in the short term. Pay attention to the obvious support of the 3000 mark below. If it does not break, it will still be a repeated trend. On the contrary, there will be a continuous decline. In terms of operation, continue to go short on the rebound! Operation suggestion: short at 3025-3030. The target is 3016-3010. On the contrary, if it falls back to 3010-3005, go long and the target is 3020-3025.