GOLDGOLD has started a sideways which could last few days before we go up again.
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Goldprediction
Analysis of gold price trend next week!Market news:
This week, the international gold price staged a "roller coaster" market. Spot gold continued to rise from Monday to Thursday, and on Thursday (April 3), it hit a record high of $3,167/ounce, but on Friday (April 4), it plummeted by more than $75 in a single day, falling to a low of $3,015, a drop of 2.44%, and finally closed at $3,038/ounce, narrowing the weekly increase to 1.2%. Precious metals such as silver and platinum fell simultaneously, among which spot silver fell by 7.2% in a single week, the worst performance since September 2020. This sharp fluctuation stems from two key events: Trump's tariff policy has caused global concerns to heat up, and Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's unexpected turn to hawkish monetary policy. The market liquidity crisis caused investors to sell gold to make up for stock market losses, and the US dollar index strengthened by 0.9%, further suppressing international gold prices. The better-than-expected non-farm payrolls report released by the United States on Friday was another reason for the blow to gold prices. The U.S. Department of Labor reported that after seasonal adjustment, non-farm payrolls in March recorded 228,000, an increase higher than the market expectation of 135,000. Non-farm payrolls data will help the Federal Reserve postpone interest rate cuts. International gold usually performs well in a low interest rate environment. Looking ahead to next week, investors need to focus on the verification of inflation expectations by the U.S. CPI data in March (April 10), the market reaction after the tariff measures are officially implemented, and whether the speeches of Fed officials will release more policy signals.
Technical Review:
After a series of large negative declines, gold is currently in a short-term trend that is bearish. The daily line has a large negative downward trend, breaking the short-term moving average and piercing the middle track, leaving a lower shadow below. The pattern shows a bearish signal of Yin Bao Yang engulfing. In the short term, it may rely on the middle track support to confirm the 10ma resistance and fall again. The 4-hour Bollinger Bands open downward, and the K-line continues to decline. The trend is bearish and downward. The gold market on Thursday and Friday this week can be described as thrilling, with a rise and fall of more than 200 points in two days! The gold market has changed suddenly, and there has been an extremely violent sweep. First, it rose rapidly to 3136 without any signs, and then fell back quickly at lightning speed, and fell below the intraday low. At present, the daily gold line has risen and fallen. The sharp rise in the early trading did not continue. It was under pressure at the high of 3168 and quickly entered an adjustment, with a downward adjustment space of more than 100 US dollars. After the high-level fluctuations of gold in the past two days, gold finally broke down on Friday night. In fact, the market was too active in the past two days, and the overall volatility was large. In fact, it was still a little difficult to operate. Although the overall outlook was bearish, the rebound amplitude was not small each time. Now sometimes it rebounded by more than 20 US dollars in a few minutes, so it may appear that it will continue to fall after a just loss. Now the high level of the gold daily line is covered by dark clouds, so how to operate next week?
Next week's analysis:
From the overall trend, the weak pattern of gold is beyond doubt, and it is reasonable to continue to be under pressure and downward. Therefore, it is recommended to pay attention to the 3050-3054 area next week, and continue to look at the 3060-3070 area above. The support that needs to be focused on is the 3000 mark shown by the weekly 5-day moving average slightly moving down. Above it, it will rebound, and breaking it will open a new round of downward space. The gold 1-hour moving average has formed a dead cross downward, so the gold bears still have power. The short-term gold can only rebound. After the gold rebounds, it will continue to sell, and then gold will enter a shock. After the gold falls sharply from a high level, it is more advantageous to sell in the short term. Unless there is a big profit to buy, it is difficult for gold to rise directly. The last physical K-line box of gold in the 1 hour will form a short-term suppression. The gold rebound resistance is 3076. If it is under pressure, then the gold rebound will continue to sell at highs.
Operation ideas:
Buy short-term gold at 3013-3015, stop loss at 3004, target at 3050-3060;
Sell short-term gold at 3063-3065, stop loss at 3075, target at 3020-3030;
Key points:
First support level: 3015, second support level: 3000, third support level: 2988
First resistance level: 3048, second resistance level: 3056, third resistance level: 3074
XAUUSD Weekly Plan (April 7–11, 2025)✨ | Smart Money Outlook
The higher timeframes have spoken loud and clear: XAUUSD is trading at extreme levels, brushing against historical highs. Here's a clean breakdown based on the monthly and weekly macrostructure for the week ahead:
🔢 Monthly Chart Overview (MN1)
Price just tapped into the premium zone and reacted from the monthly POI (around 3180).
Current candle shows a long upper wick, signaling potential exhaustion.
No clear supply mitigation above — price is exploring uncharted territory.
Weekly high now aligns with a possible reversal or liquidity grab.
🌍 Weekly Chart Structure (W1)
Massive BOS from the 2075 breakout now confirmed.
Price is forming a potential final HL before either continuation or reversal.
We are in a clear premium area, and weekly RSI is overstretched.
Strong confluences for a deeper pullback into the 2850–2920 region, which holds old unmitigated OBs and valid FVGs.
🔹 Key Weekly Levels to Watch:
⬆️ Supply Zone: 3180–3200 (tapped)
⬇️ Demand Zones:
3080–3054 (partially mitigated)
2920–2900 (clean FVG and OB zone)
2820–2780 (discount + major liquidity)
🔎 Macro Outlook
Until we get a clean break and hold above 3180, the market is in a liquidity hunting phase. Expect choppy behavior around current highs.
Any bearish reaction from here aligns with:
RSI divergence
Overextension from EMAs (price currently well above 21/50/100/200)
Imbalance-filled structure left behind
If bulls want higher, they need to hold above 3054 and reclaim 3135 with volume and conviction.
💪 This Week's Focus
No rush. We're in premium territory. Let the market show its hand.
Watch for retests of broken structures (like 3080 and 3135)
Monitor for liquidity sweeps above previous highs
Respect HTF imbalance and confluences
🤝 Let’s Trade Together!
If you found this outlook useful, don’t forget to leave a like, drop a comment, or hit follow — let’s connect with traders who value precision and patience. Stay sharp, stay kind. 🌟
XAUUSD Monthly Outlook – April 2025🎯 Market Context: Gold is currently trading in uncharted territory — sitting at all-time highs, right inside a Monthly Premium zone, just above the previous BOS level from 2011. This is significant institutional terrain.
📌 Key Monthly Levels:
🧊 Major Resistance Zone: 3,135–3,168 → This is a premium zone where price is likely to face profit-taking or distribution.
🔵 Monthly Fair Value Gap (FVG): Between 2,750–2,900 remains unfilled.
🪙 Last CHoCH and BOS: Confirmed bullish structure. Market has broken all historical ceilings.
⚖️ Equilibrium Zone: Around 2,400–2,500 → could act as a magnet in long-term pullbacks.
💎 Unmitigated OBs and Strong Lows: Still open way below 2,000 — long-term reversion zones if a macro bearish cycle begins.
🧠 Market Psychology:
We are clearly in the euphoria/distribution stage.
Monthly RSI is likely overbought (to be confirmed on chart), making bulls cautious for the first time in months.
Smart Money might be unloading positions subtly or looking to trap late longs.
Gold (XAUUSD) Bullish Reversal Setup – FVG Entry to EMA 200 ResiThis chart shows a potential bullish setup for Gold (XAUUSD) on the 15-minute timeframe, with some key technical elements and a projected trade idea. Here's a breakdown of the analysis:
1. Current Market Overview
Price: Trading around $3,038.51.
Trend: Recent downtrend followed by a minor recovery.
Indicators:
EMA 200 (Blue): Currently at $3,090.41, acting as a dynamic resistance.
EMA 30 (Red): Positioned below the EMA 200, indicating a still bearish trend but with potential for a pullback.
2. Key Zones & Labels
Limit Entry Zone: Highlighted around $3,025.72 (bottom purple zone)
Labeled as “LIMIT ENTRY”, indicating a potential buy entry.
This area corresponds with a fair value gap (fvg) — often used in smart money concepts as a sign of institutional interest.
Target Zone: Around $3,082.22 (top purple zone)
Labeled as “target point EA”.
Lies just below the EMA 200 resistance level, which is a likely take-profit area for a bullish move.
3. Projected Price Action
A possible bullish retracement is anticipated:
Dip into the limit entry/fvg zone at ~$3,025.
Then, a rally targeting the $3,082 zone, possibly extending toward the EMA 200 at ~$3,090.
4. Trade Setup (Based on the Chart)
Entry: Around $3,025.72 (limit buy)
Target: Between $3,082.22 - $3,090.41
Risk: Likely below the FVG zone (~$3,015–$3,020), depending on risk appetite.
Conclusion
This is a smart money concept-based setup anticipating a liquidity grab or fair value gap fill before a bullish move. The trade aims for a reversal at a key demand zone, with confirmation from EMA confluence above as a profit target.
Would you like help plotting stop-loss levels or analyzing the risk/reward ratio?
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3055 and a gap below at 3034. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
3055
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3055 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3078
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3078 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3094
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3094 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3119
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3119 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3148
BEARISH TARGETS
3034
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3034 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3015
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3015 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2999
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2999 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2975
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2975 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2950 - 2922
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3045 and 3078 due to ema5 lagging behind and a gap below at 3016. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We have a bigger range in play then usual.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
3045
3078
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3078 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3109
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3109 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3137
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3137 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3170
BEARISH TARGETS
3016
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3016 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2987
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2987 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2965
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2965 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2928
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2928 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2857 - 2894
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD DAILY CHART MID/LONG TERM UPDATEHey Everyone,
This is an update on our daily chart idea that we have been tracking for a while now and finally completed last week. However, I wanted to continue to share an update on this, as its still playing out by falling back into the range on Fridays drop in price.
Historically, whenever we see a breakout outside of our unique Goldturn channels; I always state that, when price does a correction, we look for support outside of the channel top. This is playing out to perfection with Fridays drop finding support on the channel top, as highlighted by us on the chart with a circle. This was done with precision!!
We will now look for a test above at 3052 and a body close above this will follow with continuation to 3103 or a break below inside the channel top wall with ema5 will re-activate the levels below inside the channel, which we can then continue to track back up level to level, like we did before. I have also updated the levels above the channel to cover the new range.
This is the beauty of our Goldturn channels, which we draw in our unique way, using averages rather than price. This enables us to identify fake-outs and breakouts clearly, as minimal noise in the way our channels are drawn.
We will use our smaller timeframe analysis on the 1H and 4H chart to buy dips from the weighted Goldturns for 30 to 40 pips clean. Ranging markets are perfectly suited for this type of trading, instead of trying to hold longer positions and getting chopped up in the swings up and down in the range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up using our smaller timeframe ideas.
Our long term bias is Bullish and therefore we look forward to drops from rejections, which allows us to continue to use our smaller timeframes to buy dips using our levels and setups.
Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings rather then chasing the bull from the top.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
This is an update on our weekly chart ideas, which we have been tracking, as our long term route map.
After completing 3094 target no further body close or ema5 lock above this level. Therefore no further gaps left above and followed with a rejection. We are now looking for support and bounce on the channel half line or a cross and lock below the half line will open the lower range for the channel low Goldturns.
We expect the range play between the channel half-line and 3094 and will need a break on either of these levels to determine the next range.
This is the beauty of our channels, which we draw in our unique way, using averages rather than price. This enables us to identify fake-outs and breakouts clearly, as minimal noise in the way our channels are drawn.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold Needs a upward correctionGold price crashed over 2.8% as Powell turns hawkish on tariffs and inflation. But right now gold needs a upward correction. There is a bell curve area and market left multiple sps.
Fundamental is also on gold side. Safe heaven movement is still on because of tariff and war situation.
Perfect ending, gold trend analysis and layout for next weekEarly layout plan for gold: 3.31-4.4 Reviewing this week, a total of 20 layouts were arranged, and the overall harvest was 1245pips! This week can be called a super week. After the tariff fundamentals were implemented, the market started the callback mode, and there was a big sweep in the middle. It is unrealistic to say that we can win all the games. The number of mistakes we made this week has also increased. This is normal, but our eye-catching operations are even more dazzling, and we have gained more. Overall, I am quite satisfied. I will continue to work hard next week.
Analysis of gold market trends next Monday: Technical analysis of gold: The gold market on Thursday and Friday this week can be described as thrilling, with a rise and fall of more than 100 points in two days! The gold market suddenly changed, and there was an extremely violent sweep. First, it rose rapidly to 3136 without any signs, and then fell back quickly at lightning speed, and fell below the intraday low. After a series of big negative declines, the current short-term trend of gold is bearish. The daily line has a big negative downward trend, breaking the short-term moving average and piercing the middle track, leaving a lower shadow below. The pattern shows a bearish signal of Yin engulfing Yang. In the short term, it may rely on the support of the middle track to confirm the 10ma resistance and fall again. The 4-hour Bollinger band opens and extends downward. The K-line continues to decline, and the trend is bearish and downward. The callback space is larger than the rising space. Falling below the previous day's starting low of 3054 is a short-term empty point, and the lowest retracement is around 3015. The daily line is in a partial adjustment in the short term.
Combined with the falling wave space of the 4-hour chart. The 3000 integer mark is the support position of the golden section point 0.5. The 4-hour Bollinger Bands open downward, and the K-line continues to decline. The downward trend is obvious. The focus below is on the break of the 3000 mark. As long as the 3000 mark is held, the short-term bullish structure will not change. The market will continue to rise to new highs. If the 3000 mark is broken, the market will form a large-level adjustment structure. The short-term operation is mainly to buy on dips above 3000, and to sell at high altitudes. The upper resistance is around 3054-3057-3072, and the lower support is 3015-3000. On the whole, the short-term operation of gold next Monday is mainly to buy on rebounds, and to buy on callbacks. The upper short-term focus is on the 3054-3057 resistance line, and the lower short-term focus is on the 3000-3015 support line. Friends must keep up with the rhythm. It is necessary to control the position and stop loss, set the stop loss strictly, and do not resist the single operation. The specific points are mainly based on real-time intraday trading. Welcome to experience and exchange real-time market information ☎️, enter ✈️✈️ to follow real-time orders.
Reference for gold operation strategies on Monday:
Short order strategy: Strategy 1: Short gold rebounds near 3045-3055, stop loss 10 points, target near 3030-3015, break to see 3000 line.
Long order strategy: Strategy 2: Long gold pullback near 3015-3005, stop loss 10 points, target near 3030-3040, break to see 3050 line.
GOLD TODAYIf the price is approaching R1 (3089.73):This could suggest bullish momentum. You might consider entering a long position if the price breaks above R1, targeting R2 (3109.63) with a stop-loss near the pivot point.
If the price reverses near R1 and heads back toward P:This might indicate resistance at R1. In this case, a short position could be considered, aiming for S1 (3025.29) as the next key support level.
Volume analysis: I'd recommend checking the volume at these levels. Strong volume near resistance or support zones could confirm the price's direction.
Assignment for GOLD next weekBase on what happened this week. My idea for GOLD is simple and straight forward next week. After that strong expansion to the downside, i am expecting to see a retracement towards .5 or .62 of fib level before price will continue to go down and mitigate that big weekly imbalance below. Base on the structure of next weeks high impact news, my idea would be a simple consolidation for Monday till Wednesday since we got no high impact news on those given days. Then Thursday and Friday would be the expansion since we got FOMC,CPI and PPI for those 2 remaining days of the week... My entry would still be the same. Top down analysis using my multi timeframe strategy and wait for all timeframes to align and enter in 5m timeframe once it aligns with the overall higher timeframe. Good luck to us all and Happy trading...
Gold Price Drops on Tariff Selloff
Gold, long considered a safe-haven asset during times of economic uncertainty, experienced a sharp reversal of fortune this Friday, tumbling as much as 2.4% and extending losses from the previous session. This significant decline came as a surprise to many who had witnessed the precious metal steadily climb to record highs in recent weeks, fueled by persistent inflation concerns, geopolitical instability, and expectations of easing monetary policy. However, the resurgence of tariff anxieties has triggered a broad selloff across various asset classes, including gold, as investors recalibrate their risk exposure in the face of heightened economic uncertainty.1
The catalyst for this sudden shift in market sentiment has been the renewed threat of escalating trade tensions.2 While the specifics of the "tariff shock" are crucial in understanding the market reaction, the general principle is that the imposition or threat of tariffs can disrupt global supply chains, increase costs for businesses and consumers, and ultimately dampen economic growth.3 This increased uncertainty and the potential for negative economic consequences have prompted investors to reassess their portfolios and, in many cases, reduce their exposure to assets perceived as riskier or less liquid, even those traditionally considered safe havens.4
Gold's traditional role as a safe haven stems from its historical use as a store of value, its limited supply, and its lack of correlation with traditional financial assets during periods of stress.5 In times of economic turmoil, investors often flock to gold as a hedge against inflation, currency devaluation, and market volatility.6 This flight to safety typically drives up the price of bullion.7
However, the current market reaction suggests a more nuanced dynamic at play. The tariff shock appears to have triggered a broader reassessment of risk, leading to a selloff that encompasses not only equities and other riskier assets but also traditional safe havens like gold. Several factors could be contributing to this phenomenon.
Firstly, the prospect of tariffs can lead to concerns about slower global growth.8 If economic activity contracts, it could reduce overall demand, potentially impacting even safe-haven assets like gold, particularly if investors anticipate lower inflation in the long run. While gold is often seen as an inflation hedge, a significant deflationary shock could negatively affect its price.
Secondly, the imposition of tariffs can create uncertainty about future economic policies and international relations.9 This uncertainty can lead to increased volatility across all asset classes, prompting investors to reduce overall exposure and move towards cash or other highly liquid assets. In such scenarios, even assets perceived as safe havens might be sold off as part of a broader de-risking strategy.
Thirdly, the recent run-up in gold prices to record highs might have made it a target for profit-taking. After a significant rally, any negative news or shift in market sentiment can trigger a wave of selling as investors look to lock in gains. The tariff shock could have provided the catalyst for such profit-taking, exacerbating the downward pressure on gold prices.
Furthermore, the interconnectedness of global financial markets means that negative sentiment in one area can quickly spread to others.10 The fear of a trade war can impact equity markets, leading to margin calls or a general desire to reduce risk across portfolios, which could include selling gold holdings.
The extent of the gold selloff – a 2.4% drop in a single day is significant for a traditionally stable asset – underscores the severity of the market's reaction to the tariff news. This move also highlights the fact that even safe-haven assets are not immune to broad market dislocations and shifts in investor sentiment.
Looking ahead, the trajectory of gold prices will likely depend heavily on how the tariff situation unfolds and its actual impact on the global economy. If the tariff threats escalate into a full-blown trade war with significant negative consequences for growth and corporate earnings, we could see further volatility across all asset classes. In such a scenario, the initial reaction might be continued selling pressure on gold as investors prioritize liquidity and de-risking.
However, if the economic fallout from tariffs becomes more apparent and concerns about stagflation (slow growth with high inflation) resurface, gold's traditional safe-haven appeal could reassert itself. In a stagflationary environment, gold could once again become an attractive asset as a hedge against both economic stagnation and the erosion of purchasing power.
Moreover, any signs of easing monetary policy by central banks in response to slowing economic growth could also provide support for gold prices. Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold and can also be inflationary in the long run.
In conclusion, the recent tumble in gold prices following the tariff shock demonstrates that even traditional safe-haven assets are susceptible to broad market selloffs triggered by significant economic uncertainties. The initial reaction appears to be driven by a general de-risking across asset classes and potential profit-taking after gold's recent record highs. However, the future performance of gold will depend on the evolving economic landscape, the actual impact of tariffs, and the response of monetary policy. While the immediate reaction has been negative, gold's role as a potential hedge against economic turmoil and inflation could see it regain its footing if the negative consequences of the tariff shock become more pronounced. Investors should closely monitor developments in trade policies and their broader economic implications to gauge the future direction of gold prices. The current volatility serves as a reminder that even in the realm of safe havens, market dynamics can shift rapidly and unexpectedly.
XAUUSD | Sniper Entry Zones Ready – Eyes on 3145 & 3086 Reactio🔍 Daily Bias: Neutral with Bearish Intraday Tilt
Price is reacting to a previously unmitigated zone and potentially retesting a premium area, suggesting sell-side interest may return before any bullish continuation.
🧠 Key Context from Your Marked Chart
✅ Marked Sell/Retest Zone @ 3135–3145:
Clearly defined premium zone with imbalance and prior bearish reaction — confluence with OB + FVG, potential sniper entry for shorts.
✅ Unmitigated OB @ 3086–3095:
Valid demand zone where price bounced aggressively — still active liquidity + FVG.
✅ Major Imbalance Below @ 3054–3040 & 3040–3029:
Heavy drawdown target area. If price breaks 3086, expect it to fill imbalance and potentially bounce at 3040 or deeper around 3029.
🔽 Sell Scenarios
🟥 Sell #1 — Retest of Supply Sniper Entry
Entry Zone: 3135–3145
Confluences: Valid OB, FVG, Premium, Bearish PA from last touch
Target: 3086, then 3054–3040 imbalance zone
RSI: Check for overbought on M15–H1
🎯 "Classic sniper setup — get in, get out. No overthinking required."
🟥 Sell #2 — Break and Retest Below 3086
Trigger: Bearish close below 3086 + BOS on M15
Retest Entry: 3086 zone from below
Target: 3054 (first FVG), then 3029
EMAs: 5/21/50 flip short on M15 for confirmation
🟩 Buy Scenarios
🟩 Buy #1 — Bounce from 3086–3095 (Unmitigated OB)
Entry: Clean reaction + bullish PA in zone
Target: 3135 retest, partials at 3114
Sniper Confluence: BOS on M5/M15 + RSI divergence
🟩 Buy #2 — Deep Bounce from 3040 or 3029 Imbalance Zone
Entry: Only on strong PA confirmation (no early knives)
Target: 3086 first, 3135 secondary
RSI + EMA: Look for EMA 100–200 confluence, bullish divergence on RSI M15/M30
🧾 Technical Confluences Summary
✅ SMC: BOS + CHoCH present across M15–H1
✅ FVG: 3135–3145 (upper), 3054–3040 (lower)
✅ GAPS: Visible in 3054–3029 zone
✅ LIQUIDITY: Above 3145 + below 3029
✅ OB VALID: 3086–3095 still unmitigated
✅ RSI: Overbought earlier, neutral now. Watch intraday shifts.
✅ EMA Clusters:
EMA 5/21 flat after rebound
EMA 50/100 just below 3100
EMA 200 near 3050–3040 (high confluence for bounce)
⚠️ News & Fundamentals
Trump conference added USD volatility, but gold didn’t rally — watch for Fed speakers & JOLTS data tomorrow.
If dollar strengthens intraday again → watch sell setups more closely.
🧨 TradingView Title Suggestion:
“🎯 XAUUSD | Sniper Entry Zones Ready – Eyes on 3145 & 3086 Reactions!”
Non-agricultural gold is expected to fall sharply. On Friday (April 4), at 20:30 Beijing time, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released the highly anticipated March non-farm payrolls report, which put pressure on gold.
Fundamentals: Today, gold is expected to fall sharply. The market continues to short at resistance points.
Market volatility is expected to increase during the period. The long-short game of the US dollar index near the 102 mark will determine whether it can continue to rise. If it breaks through 103, it may further suppress gold and non-US currencies. Gold is looking for direction in the range of 3080-3100 US dollars/ounce. If risk aversion picks up, it may retest the 3100 mark; on the contrary, if the US dollar continues to strengthen, breaking through 3080 will open up downside space. The decline in US stock futures may continue until early next week.
Gold market analysis, gold operation strategy and trend analysisGold early layout plan: intraday top and bottom capture is perfect! The strategy layout is truly presented, the strategy prompts shorting at 3135, accurately cashing in the high point, and falling sharply to 3070! Continue to arrange 3072 long positions to smoothly stop profit and exit at 3086.
Gold fell by 110 yesterday and rebounded by 80. Today it fell by 30 and rebounded by 50. The volatility is too big. However, the risk comes first. Strictly set a stop loss. Loss of $5-$20 makes no difference. It is not a big loss. Secondly, grasp the key points. Pay attention to a few points of non-agricultural data and cooperate with the five-minute entry on the right side. As for long and short, it is really not very important. What is important is the key position and starting point. After multiple cycles of quantification, pay attention to a few important points at night. After the operation is in place, enter the market with the resonance of one minute and five minutes. The loss is 5-6 points, and the target is 15-20 points.
Operation strategy 1: It is recommended to buy at 3018-3025, and the loss is 3005, and the target is 3035-3045
XAU/USD potential Longs from 2990 back up to 3,100This week, I’m considering both short- and long-term opportunities on gold. We’ve recently seen a change of character to the downside, and there’s a clean 1-hour supply zone that could trigger a short-term bearish reaction.
That said, there’s also a lot of nearby liquidity resting below, which I expect price to sweep first. If that happens, I’ll be watching the 20-hour demand zone—a strong area that could spark a new bullish rally from the lows.
Confluences for GOLD Buys:
- Price has recently cleared a new all-time high (ATH), indicating continued bullish strength.
- Market structure remains overall bullish, suggesting this move down may be a temporary correction.
- The 20-hour demand zone sits just below key liquidity and looks highly valid.
- Untouched Asia session highs remain above, which price is likely to target.
- The DXY is moving bearish, aligning with a bullish outlook on gold due to their inverse correlation.
Note: If price reacts from the current demand zone (which is also valid), we could see Scenario B play out first—a rally followed by a short move to clear liquidity before heading higher.
Stay patient and trade safe, everyone!
4.5 Gold falls off a cliff and waits to stabilize! ! !Gold 4-hour level: The last wave of pull-up started from the low point of 2999 to 3167. Yesterday, it fell back and tested the 618 split position 3063. The current support is still valid, which is also the MA66 day position; From the perspective of macd, it is still short-selling and has not been fully repaired. Wait until it crosses below the zero axis, and then slowly stabilizes and tends to golden cross in the future market, then a wave of trend pull-up will gradually form, and it will take time; if 3063 cannot be maintained, the two split positions below are 3035 and 3018, and attention should be paid to stabilization.
Intraday support: 3035 3018 3005
Resistance: 3045 3070 3100
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Following on from yesterdays update on our mid/long term route map after completing the 1h, 4h and daily chart route maps. We completed 3094 target and stated that we will now need this weeks candle to finish and close and/or ema5 lock above 3094 to open the gap above.
- Looking like no close above 3094 on the weekly candle, if price stays below this level on market close. Amazing to see the weighted levels levels being respected like this to allow us to identify new range gaps or rejections.
We will be looking for support and bounce on the channel half line or a cross and lock below the half line will open the lower range for the channel low Goldturns.
This is the beauty of our channels, which we draw in our unique way, using averages rather than price. This enables us to identify fake-outs and breakouts clearly, as minimal noise in the way our channels are drawn.
We will now come back Sunday with our updated Multi time-frame analysis, Gold route map and trading plans for the week ahead and also a new Daily chart long term chart idea, now that this one is complete.
Have a smashing weekend!! And once again, thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAUUSD-GOLD can still break upward ? read captionGold (XAU/USD) has just soared to a new all-time high, reflecting heightened investor demand for safe-haven assets amid economic uncertainties. The surge comes as global markets react to inflation concerns, geopolitical tensions, and shifting monetary policies, further strengthening gold’s position as a premier store of value. With central banks increasing their reserves and investors seeking stability, the precious metal continues to shine, marking a historic moment in the financial markets.
Gold’s Rally Pauses – Correction Incoming!!!Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) started to correct at the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and near the upper line of the Ascending Channel . The question is, will we have a minor correction or a major correction(main)?
Gold is moving near Resistance lines and Fibonacci levels and was able to breaks the Uptrend lines . I view the upward movement of the last few hours as an upward correction , which will likely cause gold to fall again.
In terms of Elliott waves , it looks like Gold has completed a major wave 5 and I expect Gold to start a major corrective wave . In Gold's history , major impulse waves have completed precisely near the upper lines of ascending channels .
I expect Gold to decline at least to the Support zone($3,100-$3,085) , if gold can break the lower line of the ascending channel, we can be more confident that we are in the main corrective waves .
Do you think Gold can create a new All-Time High(ATH) again?
Note: If Gold goes above $3,130, we can expect more pumps and a new All-Time High(ATH).
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
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gold after the inertviez of jerome todayAs of April 4, 2025, gold prices have experienced significant volatility amid escalating trade tensions and market uncertainties. Following President Trump's announcement of new tariffs and China's subsequent retaliation with 34% tariffs on U.S. goods, investors have increasingly turned to gold as a safe-haven asset. This surge in demand propelled gold prices to record highs, surpassing $3,130 per troy ounce
