Goldprediction
12.5 Gold shocks, waiting for non-farm payrolls, short and longYesterday, the gold market opened at 2643.2 in the morning and then fluctuated in the range. Before the start of the U.S. market, the market gave a daily low of 2631.8 and then the market quickly pulled up to the daily high of 2657 and then the market consolidated. The daily line finally closed at 2649.8 and the market closed in a spindle shape with a lower shadow slightly longer than the upper shadow. After ending with this shape, today's market fell back to more. In terms of points, if today's market rises first, give a short stop loss of 2652 to 2657. If it falls back to 2637 first, the long position will be conservative at 2635 and the long stop loss will be 2631. The target is 2657. If it breaks, the pressure of 2661 and 2667 will be seen.
XAUUSD Trade LogXAUUSD Buy Signal:
Entry within the daily Fair Value Gap (FVG), aiming for a 1:3 Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) with 1% risk. While there is a conflicting bearish FVG that might obstruct the path to the take-profit (TP) level, the trade setup remains valid and will be executed regardless.
Key Details:
- Risk: 1%
- RRR: 1:3
- Entry: Daily FVG in a discounted zone
- TP: Positioned below the bearish FVG to mitigate resistance
- Note: Monitor price action near the bearish FVG as it may create challenges for the bullish move.
Gold/XauUsd formed a triangle pattern to move FAST!What i see!
Gold/XauUsd: Formed a triangle pattern. We should wait for a breakout to enter this trade. When the pattern is broken, gold will move quickly upward or downward.
It's important to have your own rules on RR and adhere to them. This trading idea is intended to assist you and enhance your knowledge. If you have any questions, please ask me in the comments.
Learn & Earn!
Wave Trader Pro
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Once again our chart idea delivered the goods with our weighted retracement level providing support and bounce like we highlighted.
We were once again able to buy dips inline with our plans with the movement from 2631 to 2647. However, now we have ema5 cross and lock above 2647 opening the range above.
We have been in a similar play range all week with both ranges below and above now left open. This is typical of ranging market conditions and as always our strategy to buy dips from our weighted levels allows us to navigate the traps and secure the pips.
Our lower weighted levels are in place for bounces inline with our plans, should we see a failure to fill the gap above and see a drop below.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2668
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2668 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2696
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2696 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2713
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2713 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2733
BEARISH TARGETS
2647 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2647 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2631 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2631 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2609 - 2592
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold is in the bullish direction after correcting the supportHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
11.4 Gold weakens in the short termGold has fluctuated for two consecutive trading days, and it should break today.
Yesterday, as expected, the daily line rose after a single negative, mainly in three aspects:
1. Since this wave of rebound, the daily line has been a single negative, so look at the cycle.
2. The previous day rebounded too much. Although it retreated at the 618 position, the double bottom position is still there.
3. In the morning, 2633 is not only a rebound and retreat to the 618 position, but also a previous low point.
When looking at fluctuations, I have always emphasized a method, 618 is better to make a mistake than to let it go.
Therefore, we used gold non-short yesterday.
At the same time, let's look at yesterday's technical points:
Yesterday emphasized two watersheds, one is the time point of the European session, and the other is the price: 2633 and 2644, and the intraday breakthrough will continue.
1. In the morning, it directly relied on the low point to rise, quickly to the 2652 line, and the price effectively broke the morning low of 2644. It also emphasized that after the breakthrough, it is enough to step back more.
2. 2639 is the morning rebound and retracement to 618. The shock continues to see a step-back entry.
3. Although the performance before the US market is not big, the formula emphasizes that the correction at 6-8 points before the US market is still bullish. Yesterday, the US market also continued to rise after the breakthrough as expected.
But there are also regrets. It continued to fall back at 12 o'clock in the morning.
In the formula time point, we will make a summary at 12 o'clock every night. On the one hand, the Asian market is now big, and we will make a layout at 7-8 o'clock the next day, and also make a summary for the day.
Yesterday at 12 o'clock, it returned to the prototype: the first thought is that it was short at 7-8 o'clock this morning, and gold was weak.
Today, it is still the same. In this form, don't look at the continuous positive cycle of the daily line. Instead, the yin and yang lines in the shock are interchanged. Today, we see a break and fall.
For operations, it has been emphasized recently that the Asian market fluctuates greatly, and the focus is on the layout at 7-8 o'clock.
Therefore, you can go short in the morning, the upper watershed is 2649, and the lower target is 2627-29.
In addition, if it falls below 2630 today, then it is still short in the European session.
Due to the oscillation pattern retracement, pay attention to the entry point at 618, and the extremely weak 382, which refers to the entry point for the second rebound when the intraday high falls to the low.
Gold is trading sideways and waiting for the small non-farm data
Gold prices closed below 2640 on Tuesday after strong US jobs data suggested the Fed was cautious about rate cuts, while a weaker dollar and lower US Treasury yields limited losses as the market awaited further economic clues. A strong jobs report could lead the Fed to take a cautious stance on rate cuts. Investors' attention will turn to Wednesday's ADP jobs report and a speech by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell before Friday's jobs report.
Risk data warning!
US November ADP employment change data will be released. This data is known as the "small non-agricultural" and is expected to trigger a big market trend.
The US November ISM non-manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI) will be released, expected to be 55.5.
St. Louis Fed President Moussalem will give a speech and the Fed will release the Beige Book on economic conditions.
Fed Chairman Powell will be invited to be interviewed at the DealBook/Summit conference hosted by the New York Times.
Gold trend analysis and interpretation!
As for gold, although the sharp drop on Monday bottomed out and rebounded, in the short term, we believe that it will run around Monday's time, but the sign of strength is to immediately recover the lost ground. In the past two days, it has been slowly retreating, especially yesterday's market, which finally broke through the high point of 2655 and directly dived from the high platform. The US market continued to fall, so this pattern is extremely weak.
For today, it is necessary to continue to be bearish and downward. Compared with the current price, it is not necessary to go short directly. Similarly, it is not necessary to go long. In this tangled position market, it is necessary to use the European market, that is, the intraday strength and weakness to layout today's trend. Because this trend is volatile, special attention should be paid to the intraday suppression and sideways trading. Like yesterday, pay attention to the resistance of 2655 and choose the opportunity to open a short position.
Gold point: rebound 2652-55 short, defense 62, target 2630-20 line!
XAUUSD 1HR CHART UPDATEGold 1HR Chart Update ✅✅
The market has made a decisive move, taking out the Buyside Liquidity 🔥. This highlights the precision and predictability of the price action as it sweeps through key levels.
Traders who anticipated this move are now positioned to capitalize on the shift in liquidity. With such precision, it’s a clear reminder of the importance of patience and analysis in navigating the market.
Stay focused—more opportunities are unfolding ahead!
GOLD- Starting a major 27% correction Gold enters a significant downward phase, initiating a major 27% correction from its recent highs. This substantial retracement highlights a shift in market sentiment, potentially driven by economic data, central bank policies, or shifts in investor demand. As prices adjust, traders and investors brace for the impact, analyzing whether this marks a temporary pullback or a longer-term trend reversal in the precious metals..
12.4 Gold today overall range sweepOn Tuesday, the price first dropped to 2634-2633 in the morning, and the support was confirmed in the afternoon, and it was pulled up to 2650 area.
Then, the first bottoming out and rebounding action has been made. Next, under the condition of keeping low, we can look at the second continued upward action, and then break through and stand firmly on the large channel, and then look at the third acceleration to complete the pull-up of 30 US dollars in space
The four-hour pattern continues to show a narrowing situation, waiting for the subsequent breakthrough opening to guide a wave of unilateral volume
The closing range of the shape, the upper rail is 2666-2664, and the lower rail is 2620-2622
The position of the large channel line is close to the upper rail pressure 2652-2653. The support in the same area expands the sweeping space upward. Today's early trading squats back to hold the lower rail support
It can break through and stand firmly along the large channel line 2652-2653, and switch upwards. The next channel upper rail position focuses on the 2676-2678 area
BUY: 2635————2640 Stop loss: 2645————50
Target: 2660 2665
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another great day on the charts today, allowing us to continue to track and trade our route map.
Playing in a tight range today and therefore not much update needed from yesterday. We are in a similar play range, as price is still within the retracement range, allowing us to buy dips into 2647. We need a ema5 cross and lock above 2647 for a continuation above.
Our lower weighted levels are in place for bounces inline with our plans to buy dips, should we see a failure to lock above and see a drop below.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2668
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2668 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2696
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2696 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2713
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2713 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2733
BEARISH TARGETS
2647 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2647 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2631 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2631 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2609 - 2592
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
The daily hammer of gold market is extended and rubbed.From the technical perspective, the price of gold continues to fluctuate within the convergence triangle area. The decline on Monday this week is consistent with the characteristics of a volatile downward trend, with the lowest intraday price reaching 2620, which is exactly the starting point of the stabilization and rebound last week, highlighting its key support significance in the volatile market. As the price falls, the market has fallen below the volatile upward support line and is under pressure from the previous high of 2650, with a significant double suppression effect.
Looking ahead to the intraday trend, the suppression of the 2650 line still needs to be focused on this trading day. Given that gold is still in the volatile downward stage of the large-cycle convergence triangle and the downward trend has not yet ended, there is a possibility that the price of the market will fall below 2620. Therefore, in the short term, we maintain a bearish mindset, with 2650 as the key suppression level, and are bearish on gold. However, in the context of frequent interweaving of long and short factors, investors need to pay close attention to market dynamics and flexibly adjust strategies to cope with changes that may occur at any time.
Gold price analysis December 3Fundamental Analysis
The focus now appears to have shifted to the Fed policy outlook following the latest speeches from several Fed policymakers and ahead of Friday's Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data. Trump threatened to impose 100% tariffs on Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa if they create a new currency or support another one to replace the Greenback.
However, a rebound in safe-haven demand for the USD early on Tuesday kept gold buyers on their toes. Persistent concerns about China's economy and Trump's threat of global tariffs remain a drag on investor sentiment.
Gold's next move will likely depend on upcoming US jobs data and its impact on Fed rate cut expectations. Meanwhile, gold traders remain wary of geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine, between Israel and Iran, which could have a strong impact on the traditional safe haven asset, gold.
Technical analysis
The immediate price range that gold is facing is the 2633 and 2652 zones. The 2633 zone has been relatively weak as the Asian session tested this zone once. If the 33 zone fails to hold, 2629 will become a buffer for gold before finding the main support zone of 2618. The US port zone of 2652 last night is also relatively strong at the moment and it is relatively difficult for gold to overcome and reach 2662 today.
XAUUSDHere is our view on XAUUSD . Potential long opportunity.
XAUUSD has been trying to break below our Key Level 2624 for quite some time. Today we sent out an quick update regarding XAUUSD and explaining that if we manage to break below 2624 we could enter into sells to lower Key Levels 2604 and 2590 . However we also mentioned a break above 2640 would result in more upside . Considering the fact we have broke above 2640 we are looking for buys on this pair.
PARAMETERS
- Entry: 2638.000
- SL: 2628.000
- TP: 2678.000
KEY NOTES
- XAUUSD failed to break 2624.
- XAUUSD broke above 2640.
- Breaks below our SL (Stop Loss) would result in lower prices and possible reverses.
Happy trading!
FxPocket
In the long-short game of gold prices, where will the Fed go?
Tensions in the Middle East continue to have an impact on the gold market. The exchange of fire between Hezbollah and Israel has cast doubts on the effectiveness of the ceasefire agreement. This uncertainty has prompted investors to seek safe assets, pushing up the safe-haven demand for gold. In addition, Israel's air strikes on Lebanon and mutual accusations of violating the ceasefire agreement have further exacerbated market tensions.
In this case, the demand for gold as a safe-haven asset may increase, especially against the backdrop of rising geopolitical risks. However, fluctuations in market sentiment may also lead to sharp fluctuations in gold prices in the short term, and investors need to pay close attention to relevant news.
The impact of the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy on the gold market cannot be ignored. Fed Governor Waller said he is inclined to cut the benchmark interest rate at the December meeting, believing that the current policy rate is already restrictive. The market generally expects the Fed to cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December, and Waller's remarks further strengthened this expectation.
The strong performance of the US dollar usually puts pressure on gold denominated in US dollars. The US dollar index rose 0.59% on Monday, the strongest single-day performance in nearly four weeks, leading to higher costs for gold, which in turn puts pressure on gold prices. Investors need to pay attention to the upcoming economic data, especially those related to inflation and employment, to judge the future policy direction of the Federal Reserve.
Recently, the US manufacturing data has been strong. US manufacturing activity improved in November, and new orders increased for the first time in eight months. The release of these data has strengthened the US dollar and further suppressed gold prices. However, despite the improvement in manufacturing, the overall economy is still facing uncertainty. The ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) rose to 48.4. Although it is still below the boom-bust line of 50, it is higher than market expectations, showing a certain resilience.
The market is full of expectations for the upcoming non-farm payrolls data, which is expected to provide important clues for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. If the employment data is strong, it may increase the pressure on the Federal Reserve to continue to cut interest rates in the coming months, otherwise it may support gold prices.
1 The escalation of the exchange of fire between Hezbollah and Israel has further tested the fragile fire-supporting agreement and brought safe-haven support to gold.
2 The market's expectations for the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut have increased, providing support for gold prices.
3 Gold is still in a relatively strong state in the short term.
4 The market is full of expectations for the non-agricultural data to be released this week.
In summary, gold is currently on the strong side.
Today, investors focus on the 1-hour support area below, and go long on gold after the gold price rebounds and stabilizes.