GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great start to the week with our chart idea playing out, as analysed, allowing us to buy dips from our weighted level bounces.
We started the day with the bearish gap below at 2647 being hit followed 2631 retracement range test at 2631 weighted Goldturn giving us over 40 pip bounce like we always state and all the way into 2647.
We need to keep in mind that ema5 has also locked below 2631 leaving the swing range open. However, we are seeing the bullish Goldturn 2647 being tested. If we see a lock above 2647 then we are likely to see the upper targets or failure to lock above 2747 will see a re-attempt on the lower Goldlturns, also keeping in mind the swing range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2668
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2668 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2696
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2696 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2713
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2713 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2733
BEARISH TARGETS
2647 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2647 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2631 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2631 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2609 - 2592
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Goldprediction
XAUUSD: 2/12 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2700, support below 2580
Four-hour resistance 2653, support below 2627
Gold operation suggestions: Last Friday, the technical side of gold prices quickly hit the 2666 mark in the Asian and European sessions and fluctuated sideways. The US session was suppressed and closed below the 2660 mark. Today, the gold price fell directly at the opening of the Asian session and broke through the 2650 mark and continued to fall back to the vicinity of 2640. After rebounding for two consecutive trading days last week, the short-term gold price entered a suppressed adjustment pattern.
At present, from the 4-hour trend, the pattern of continuous rise in gold in the early stage has basically ended, and the short position will continue to ferment. From the perspective of the market, after the gold price fell below 2645, the original support point turned into the first reference pressure. Relying on this position, the main short position continued to fall downward. The lower target position first focused on whether the 2627 mark could be broken. If the 1H line breaks through, it can be further shorted. If 2627 is not broken, it will still maintain a volatile operation. The short-term watershed between long and short strength is 2639. Before the daily level breaks through and stands at this position, any pullback is a short-selling opportunity. Keep participating in the trend
SELL: 2639near SL: 2643
SELL: 2624near SL: 2627
The strategy only provides trading directions.
Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.
100% XAUUSD CORRECT WITH MY ANALYSIS After investing countless hours in research, cross-referencing data, and carefully piecing together every detail, I am proud to say my analysis is 100% accurate. Every conclusion aligns perfectly with the evidence, every pattern falls into place seamlessly, and every insight holds firm against scrutiny. The satisfaction of achieving this level of precision is immeasurable, proving that hard work, dedication, and attention to detail truly pay off. There's no better feeling than knowing you've hit the mark with absolute certainty.
GBPUSD Analysis Week 48🌐Fundamental Analysis
Traders have reduced their bets on another Bank of England (BoE) rate cut this year after data released last week showed that underlying price growth in the UK accelerated in October. This has further contributed to the relative outperformance of the British Pound (GBP) against its US counterpart and confirmed the positive outlook for the GBP/USD pair.
US PCE data released on Wednesday showed that the pace of deflation in the US stalled in October. Moreover, investors now appear to believe that US President-elect Donald Trump’s expansionary policies will boost inflation. This follows the hawkish FOMC minutes earlier this week, which revealed that the Committee could pause its policy rate easing if inflation remains high. Additionally, geopolitical risks and trade war concerns could benefit the relative safe haven status of the Greenback and limit the upside momentum of the GBP/USD pair.
🕯Technical Analysis
The 1.250 support level was accepted by the market as it pushed the price to 1.273 during the final trading session of the week. The break out of 1.262 marked a major development of GBPUSD back to the uptrend. To mark a new growth, GBPUSD needs to trade above the 1.276 area. And immediately we can see GBPUSD trading within the price range of 1.276 and 1.262. Watch the strongest resistance zone of 1.286 for market fluctuations in Nonfarm next week.
📈📉Trading Signals
BUY GBPUSD 1.262-1.260 Stoploss 1.258
SELL GBPUSD 1.286-1.288 Stoploss 1.290
CHOCH IN 5 MIN BUY THE RETRACEMENTGold is exhibiting a notable retracement on the 5-minute chart, creating a potential buying opportunity for traders watching short-term movements. As the price pulls back to test key support levels, market participants are closely monitoring for signs of a bounce that could confirm bullish momentum. This setup highlights the significance of precision in timing entries and managing risk, as gold's next move could define the near-term trading outlook. Will the precious metal regain strength, or is further downside ahead? The next few candles will be critical...
Gold fell by $30 in Asian trading. Will the bearish trend contin
Gold opened in the morning and fell from the 2656 area under short-term pressure. The intraday low tested the 2622 line, and the Asian session fell by more than 30 US dollars. In the real market, after the opening, the direction was clear, and the 2634 area was given a short order, and the short-term space was 10 points.
The long-term trend of gold is still bullish. The medium-term weekly level is expected to fluctuate and adjust. After the sharp drop on Monday last week, the daily level is in a correction and oscillation trend. Due to the divergence phenomenon in each cycle, the key position is selected for intraday short-term operations.
Combined with the current short-term trend of gold, the 4-hour and hourly levels are in a downward channel, and the upper suppression area is in the 2630 area. Breakthrough is further bullish. Therefore, gold European session pays attention to the long opportunity after the breakthrough of the 2630 area, defends 2625, and the upper target looks above 2645. In addition, today is the first trading day in December, and this week is also a non-agricultural day. Wait and see for large long opportunities, and try to avoid shorts. With the bottoming structure of gold, the band can see 100-150 points of space. There will be opportunities for layout in the real market.
XAUUSDHere is our quick view and update on XAUUSD . Potential opportunities and what to look out for. This is a quick overview on the pair.
XAUUSD is currently trading at around 2630s.
If we break our KL (Key Level) 2624 , we could revisit 2604 and our target 2590 . Safe sell entries would be at the break of the KL 2624 . Be careful of possible pullbacks to the upside and breaks of 2640 .
Personal opinion:
XAUUSD has tried to break below 2624 several times last week but failed to do so. A clear break below 2624 would confirm the direction and based on that we could take advantage of the sells on gold and potentially hit our 2590 target.
KEY NOTES
- XAUUSD breaking below 2624 would confirm sells.
- Breaks below 2604 would result in sells, down to 2590 would result in even lower prices.
- Breaks above 2640 could confirm buys.
Happy trading!
FxPocket
XAUUSD LAST WEEK FEDERAL RESERVESLast week, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation measure was the newly announced personal consumption expenditure index (PCE). PCE increased 2.8% over the past 12 months, higher than expected.
The US central bank indicated in its latest meeting minutes that higher-than-expected inflation could force it to adjust the pace of its easing cycle. The market still predicts the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December and will continue cutting until early 2025.
In addition to Trump's social media posts, markets will focus on key economic data this week such as jobs data. If the employment situation is not as expected, gold prices may increase again. A stronger labor market could make an interest rate cut unlikely this month.
GOLD NEXT MOVEIt seems like you're analyzing the price movement of XAU/USD (Gold vs US Dollar) and observing that the market has recently broken through a key level of 2627. Based on your analysis, you're suggesting that the target could be around 2537 if the breakdown continues.
Here’s a breakdown of your thought process:
Market Breakout at 2627: If the market has broken below this level, it could signal a bearish trend or further downward movement.
Target at 2537: This could be a calculated target based on technical analysis, such as support levels, Fibonacci retracements, or other forms of market structure. The market may be aiming for 2537 if the bearish momentum continues.
However, it's important to watch key support and resistance levels around these points, and consider any potential reversals or market news that could impact the price movement.
Would you like further technical analysis or confirmation on this prediction?
Analysis of the Downward Trend in Gold Prices This WeekGold prices remained stable above $2,600 in the past week, primarily supported by increasing geopolitical tensions. However, after Donald Trump's victory in the U.S. presidential election, gold still faced pressure to limit its price increase, as the U.S. dollar is expected to be supported by Trump's win.
Regarding gold's recent recovery, after the release of the U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data earlier this week, which met expectations, market anticipation for a Federal Reserve rate cut in December has risen, driving gold prices higher. Currently, the market is pricing in about a 66% chance of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December, a significant increase from just over 50% a week ago.
Geopolitical tensions in Europe, caused by Russia's missile attack on Ukraine, have also provided support for safe-haven assets like gold. The Israeli military announced on Thursday that their air force had struck a facility in southern Lebanon used by Hezbollah to store medium-range missiles, as both sides accused each other of violating the ceasefire agreement. On Thursday, Russia launched its second major attack this month on Ukraine's energy infrastructure, causing widespread power outages in the country.
Gold OANDA:XAUUSD is generally seen as a safe investment during periods of economic and geopolitical instability.
Gold prices have dropped about 3% this month, hitting a two-month low on November 14. This is mainly due to the strengthening U.S. Dollar since Trump's election, and his tariff policies, which are seen as likely to push inflation higher, thus slowing down the Federal Reserve’s rate-cutting cycle.
Next week, the U.S. will release key economic data, including job openings, ADP employment reports, and non-farm payrolls, which could provide direction on the Federal Reserve's policy outlook.
Important Economic Data to Watch Next Week
Monday: ISM Manufacturing PMI
Wednesday: ADP Employment Report, ISM Services PMI, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will participate in a panel discussion at the New York Times DealBook Summit
Thursday: Weekly Jobless Claims
Friday: U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls Report, University of Michigan Preliminary Consumer Sentiment
Technical Outlook for XAUUSD (Gold Price)
Gold is attempting to recover but remains limited by the 50% Fibonacci level and the EMA21, as pointed out in yesterday's publication. In terms of overall structure, gold still leans towards a bearish outlook, with the main trend indicated by the price channel (a) and resistance from the EMA21. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has also not yet surpassed the 50 level. Therefore, in terms of trend and momentum, gold is more likely to face downward pressure rather than rise.
As long as gold stays within the price channel (a), it does not meet the technical conditions for a long-term price increase, so any rallies should be viewed as short-term recoveries.
In the short term, if gold drops below the 0.618% Fibonacci retracement level, the next target for a decline would be around the $2,600 level.
In conclusion, the technical outlook for gold on the daily chart is bearish, with the following key levels to watch:
Support: $2,634 – $2,606 – $2,600
Resistance: $2,663 – $2,693
However, traders must note that in the context of geopolitical conflicts, technical structures can be broken very quickly due to sudden, impactful events. Therefore, the risk will be higher in the short term.
This concludes the article. Henry wishes for a healthy, joyful, and happy weekend.
Gold is in the bullish directionHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
SHOULD 2600 HOLD, WHAT NEXT?In my previous video on gold on Oct 27, we established that we would expect price to find the top at 2790 with a directional vector of 1055 units, an octave expansion (2.016) of the 2019 bull market that led to the Corona crush top. We compared the similarity of the 2020 crush to what was to come the following week.
Today, we will examine the possible change in price direction if the market continues to follow the same fractal pattern.
Should the 2600 major price level hold, expect a quick price recovery towards 2875.
The 2875 resistance top should be the top of the first sub-cycle within cycle 3 (current cycle).
This should happen in the same week as Christmas.
XAU/USD Analysis – 1-Day Time FrameXAU/USD Analysis – 1-Day Time Frame
Over the past month, XAU/USD has been bearish. However, we recently saw a reversal, with the price testing a key resistance zone at 2718. Following this, the price retraced sharply to 2608 before starting to climb again.
Potential Trade Setups:
Short Opportunity at 2675:
As the price approaches the 2675 resistance level, watch for a strong rejection signal, such as a prominent wick or a significant red candle. This could indicate a potential short opportunity.
Break and Retest for a Buy Opportunity:
If the price breaks through 2675 and closes above it, wait for a retest of this level as a new support zone. Once the price confirms this retest (e.g., through a strong doji or bullish candle), it may provide a favorable buy entry.
Important Notes:
Do not trade this idea blindly. Ensure there is proper confirmation before entering a position. Look for clear candlestick patterns, such as a doji, to validate your entry decision, whether for a long or short trade.
I hope this analysis helps in your trading journey. Don’t forget to like and comment for more ideas like this!
What future lies ahead for gold? $3,600?
Hi dears
I chose the 6-month chart so that we can make the best decision.
I think gold has the potential to reach higher price numbers around $3,000, $3,200 and $3,600 over the next year.
If I were you, if I were looking for a safe one-year investment item, I would definitely choose gold.
What are you waiting for, buddy?
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing EMA5 play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 2668 and a gap below at 2647. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2668
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2668 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2696
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2696 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2713
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2713 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2733
BEARISH TARGETS
2647
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2647 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2631
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2631 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2609 - 2592
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD UPSIDE IDEAPrevious idea cause us to think about 2770 zone for shorts. but price retrace, I conclude this idea can go higher either.
This is only my view. my longterm target would be the previous ATH.
this is not a financial advice. stoploss at below the candle of 2581. so you could have small stoploss at 2577.
Trade wisely.
Goodluck. Ciao....