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Goldprediction

Gold fluctuates during the day, short-term profits will be left 📌Main driving events of gold The big non-agricultural data in the United States caused the gold price to fall by almost 40 US dollars in one breath, but after a short emotional storm, the market returned to calm. Today's market began to bottom out and rise. As of now, the non-agricultural market has been backed by 50%, and the energy of the shorts has been basically digested. Next, the bulls will start to exert their strength! Today's direction is still the same and continue to be bullish! 📊Comment analysis In the US market, the gold price rebounded after the decline and the bottom of the second retracement appeared. The support level is 3322. After a night of fluctuations, gold has begun to rise, and the low point has begun to rise. The key point of the day is still 3323. In the morning, we wait for the gold price to fall back to around 3323 and we will buy the bottom and go long. We don’t expect to surpass yesterday’s high point during the day, but at least it will go to 3350! 💰Strategy Package Long position: Gold long at 3322-3327, stop loss 3315, target 3350-3360 ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by labaronAA
1
Gold (XAUUSD) – July 4: Structure Shift & Short BiasYesterday’s price action (July 3) delivered a crucial structure break that changes our short-term trading outlook. We were expecting a bullish continuation with a clean break above the 3365 M15 swing high . Price reached as high as 3364, but failed to break the high — showing early signs of exhaustion. Then came the PMI news release, triggering a sharp drop that broke the M15 Higher Low and shifted structure. 🔻 Structure Has Shifted As of today, July 4, the intraday market structure has flipped from bullish to bearish. ✅ M15 trend: Now in a confirmed downtrend ✅ H4 trend: Entering a pullback phase ❌ Previous bullish continuation setup is invalidated We now adjust our approach to align with the new structure — not the old expectation. 📉 Updated Bias: Short With M15 and H4 now aligned in pullback, our active bias is bearish. This means: • We are not planning any long trades until structure shifts back • Focus shifts to short setups only, executed with discipline 🔍 Intraday Short Setup Plan – July 4 We are watching for price to retrace into valid M15 POI zones before resuming the downtrend. 🔸 First zone to watch: • 3348–3352 → M15 POI with strong probability for rejection 🔹 Execution Rule: → If price enters this zone → And we see M1 confirmation (ChoCh + micro BoS) → We will plan a short entry, with structure-based SL and minimum 1:3 RR 🎯 Downside Levels Ahead: If bearish momentum continues, the next potential reversal/support zone is: 📍 3280–3285 → This will be a key area to observe for signs of exhaustion or base formation → Until then, trend remains valid to the downside 🧭 Final Thoughts: This shift from bullish to bearish bias is a textbook example of why we follow structure — not predictions . The market gave a clean BoS at 3358, but failed to follow through. Instead of forcing the long, we’ve now flipped bias in line with the chart’s reflection. 📖 Let the chart guide your thinking. Structure reveals the direction. Confirmation controls the execution. The chart is the mirror. 📘 Shared by @ChartIsMirror Author of The Chart Is the Mirror: Mastering Gold with Structure, Stillness, and Price Action
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ChartIsMirror
Will the NFP impact cause the bear market to dominate?📰 News information： 1. Initial jobless claims and NFP data 2. The final decision of the Federal Reserve 📈 Technical Analysis： In the previous post, I have stated that if the hourly line closes above 3320, gold will fall into high consolidation in the short term. Currently, gold fluctuates narrowly in the short term. I think now we just need to be patient and wait for key points to enter the market. The daily and weekly lines clearly show that the high point of the oscillation range is constantly moving up, and the center of gravity continues to rise. The current market is quietly accumulating momentum, and a new round of weekly and monthly lines are about to rise. Therefore, first of all, I will pay attention to the defensive point below 3320, and then refresh the point below is the previously mentioned 3315-3305. If the point below is touched to get effective support, you can consider going long. Bros who trade independently must strictly set TP and SL to avoid the impact of market fluctuations. 🎯 Trading Points： BUY 3320-3315-3310 TP 3330-3340-3360 In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐. FXOPEN:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Allenbrowser-3
XAU/USD (GOLD) H1 Chart Outlook – Supply & Demand PerspectiveGold is currently consolidating in a tight range near the 3355–3358 zone, showing indecision ahead of a potential breakout. Based on supply and demand dynamics, here’s what to watch: --- 🔼 Bullish Scenario If the H4 candle closes above 3365, this would confirm a bullish breakout above the immediate supply zone. In that case, expect upside momentum to target key resistance levels: 🎯 3385 – Minor resistance 🎯 3400 – Major resistance and potential reversal zone A confirmed breakout with strong volume could open room for a short-term bullish rally. --- 🔽 Bearish Scenario On the flip side, if the H4 candle closes below 3340, it would signal weakness and a possible rejection from the current range. This breakdown could shift the momentum to the downside, targeting the following support levels: 🛑 3320 – Near-term support 🛑 3300 – Critical demand zone Failure to hold 3300 could indicate further bearish pressure in the coming sessions.
CAPITALCOM:GOLD
by Tyson_Veric
1
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Please see our 4H chart update, following on from our 1h chart update. Once again, no surprise with our levels playing out to perfection!! We started the week with both our Bearish 3242 and Bullish 3301 targets hit. This followed with a ema5 cross and lock above 3301 to confirm a continuation into 3370. We got the push up, over 600 pips but just short of the full gap to 3370. We are now seeing playing between 3301 and 3370, keeping in mind the full gap to 3370 remains open, as long as ema5 remains above 3301. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 3301 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3301 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3370 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3370 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3429 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3429 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3499 BEARISH TARGETS 3242 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3242 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3171 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3171 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 3089 3171 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3171 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE 3089 3001 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
13
NFP unexpectedly broke out, where will gold go?📰 News information： 1. Initial jobless claims and NFP data 2. The final decision of the Federal Reserve 📈 Technical Analysis： The unexpectedly negative NFP data caused a sudden plunge in gold prices, which forced me to terminate the transaction urgently. Currently, gold has not fallen below the 3,300 mark. Therefore, I will still pay attention to the closing of the hourly line. If gold closes below 3,320, the downward trend will continue. On the contrary, if it closes above 3,320, gold will consolidate at a high level in the short term. Two days ago, I gave the support level of 3315-3305 below. Please be cautious in trading at the moment. 🎯 Trading Points： For now, let’s focus on the hourly closing situation In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐. TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Allenbrowser-3
XAUUSD Weekly Analysis 30 June 4 July 2025Gold has formed a Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern on the H4 timeframe. While the pattern is not perfectly symmetrical, it is still valid and clearly recognizable. The price has broken below the neckline, confirming a potential shift in market structure to the downside. Analysis Insight: The 3340–3350 area, previously a support zone, is now acting as resistance following the neckline break. A pullback to this zone may present a high-probability short opportunity for swing traders, especially if price shows rejection or bearish structure in that zone. Trade Type: Swing Trade Setup – Sell on Retracement: Bias: Bearish on confirmation of retracement rejection Entry Zone: 3340 – 3350 Stop Loss: 3376 (above right shoulder/high) Take Profit: 3320/3300/3285/3260 Risk-Reward Ratio: Approximately 1:2 Kindly follow, share, like, support and comment.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by QuinnReed_Charts
Buying the Dip or Catching a Knife? My Gold Setup Explained.Entered a long position on XAU/USD from the 1H demand zone following sharp intraday selling into a key support level. With gold hovering near $3,300 and a significant testimony from Fed Chair Powell on deck, the setup aligns with both technical rebound potential and fundamental uncertainty that could fuel upside. The goal here is to play the liquidity vacuum left after aggressive positioning was cleared, with tight invalidation and asymmetric reward. Technicals: • Entry aligned with prior price inefficiency and confluence of multiple demand zones • 1H structure shows clear deviation below the range with immediate buy-side response • EMA channel flattening, indicating potential compression ahead of expansion • First target: $3,352 • Risk-managed with defined stop-loss below $3,260 Execution Note: This is not a “hold forever” trade. It’s an opportunistic reaction to unwind + sentiment imbalance. Fundamentals • Gold saw a 25% surge in 2024 due to safe-haven demand and dovish policy, but enters 2025 under pressure from: ▫️ A strong USD ▫️ Higher cost of carry ▫️ Speculators taking profit • Fed policy remains the core variable: ▫️ A hawkish tone from Powell could weigh on price ▫️ Rate cuts would likely revive bullish momentum • Central bank demand remains supportive • Geopolitical tensions (Russia-Ukraine, Israel-Iran) could trigger safe-haven bids again. Bearish headwinds: • Waning bullish momentum per RSI divergence • Reduced rate cut expectations post-election • Powell’s testimony could revive volatility either way. This is a short-term tactical long, not a macro bet. With sentiment temporarily overextended and key support defended intraday, this is a high R/R window to exploit Powell-related volatility. Let’s see how price reacts into $3,350+. Any sustained strength there would open room toward $3,400, while failure would confirm a retest of $3,260s. Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by AR33_
Gold grows, recovers near 3390 📣Gold News Gold prices edged higher during the North American trading session as investors turned their attention to the upcoming U.S. non-farm payrolls report (NFP), which could influence the Fed's next policy move. The latest labor data showed that companies are pausing hiring rather than laying off employees, reflecting caution in an uncertain economic environment. Meanwhile, Microsoft's decision to lay off 9,000 employees has heightened concerns about a weak labor market. Traders are currently awaiting the official employment report from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics on Thursday, which is expected to show 110,000 new jobs in June, down from 139,000 in May. The unemployment rate is expected to rise slightly to 4.3%, still within the 4.4% range of its forecast according to the Fed's latest summary of economic projections. 📣 Technical Analysis NF is worth buying before the news release, holding. The dollar continues to be under selling pressure from investors worried about the Trump administration's erratic tariff policy. 💰Set Gold Price: 💰Sell Gold Zone: 3390-3398 SL 3405 TP1: 3380 USD TP2: 3363 USD TP3: 3350 USD 💰Buy Gold Zone: 3296-3294 USD SL 3289 USD TP1: 3308 USD TP2: 3318 USD TP3: 3330 USD ⭐️Technical Analysis: Set reasonable buy orders based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support and resistance areas.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by labaronAA
Gold Price Analysis July 3GOLD Technical Analysis - D1 Frame On the D1 frame, the uptrend is still being maintained with momentum towards the price gap zone. During the European session, selling pressure started to appear around the resistance zone of 3365 - showing that this is the area where the sellers are making counter-moves. On the chart, the gold price is accumulating and forming a triangle pattern, indicating the possibility of a strong movement phase. If the price breaks the upper border of the triangle (above the 3363 zone), it will likely open up an opportunity to approach the next resistance at 3388. On the contrary, if it breaks the lower border (below the 3330 zone), the correction trend may be triggered, heading towards deeper support zones. Important Zones: Resistance: 3363 – 3388 Support: 3330 – 3311 – 3297 – 3277 Trading Strategy: BUY Breakout: When price breaks above 3363 SELL Breakout: When price breaks below 3330
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
5
XAUUSD:A long trading strategy The highest gold price in the Asian session reached 3365.4, which is already our mid-line target range. If you have completed and left the market, congratulations, because I personally set the TP point of 3368, so it did not touch, the trend of the past two days is appropriate rewithdrawal after strengthening, the high is also gradually rising, the overall long trend has not changed. For today's data, the probability will make gold prices continue to rise, trading ideas or to do the main. Trading Strategy: BUY@3347-51 TP:3365-70 This TP range is also the target range of the median trader, for friends who do not have automatic stop profit, you can take a profit manually at that time. More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here ↗↗↗ Keep updated, come to "get" ↗↗↗
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Boooob_
Gold Breakout Retest – Will PRZ Trigger the Next Rally?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) attacked the Resistance lines and Resistance zone($3,350-$3,326) as I expected in yesterday's idea . Gold seems to have broken the Resistance zone($3,350-$3,326) and Resistance lines and is pulling back to this zone. In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Gold appears to have completed wave 3 and is currently completing wave 4 . I expect Gold to have a chance to rise back to the Resistance zone($3,394-$3,366) after entering the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . Note: Stop Loss (SL) = $3,297=Worst SL Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅ ' like ' ✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by pejman_zwin
29
XAUUSD:Today's Trading Strategy Gold retreated in the sub-session, I have personally increased my long position near 3331, the overall trend is bullish unchanged, the median strategy is patient to rise. If you are trading short, you can go long at 3325-3330 and leave at 3340-45. The same can be said if you want to solve the problem; Trade according to your trading preferences and risk tolerance. More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here ↗↗↗ Keep updated, come to "get" ↗↗↗
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Boooob_
Gold trend analysis and layout before NFP data📰 News information： 1. Initial jobless claims and NFP data 2. The final decision of the Federal Reserve 📈 Technical Analysis： Due to the Independence Day holiday this week, the NFP data was released ahead of schedule today, while the policy differences within the Federal Reserve have brought uncertainty to the market. Judging from the market trend, the 4H level shows that the gold price tested the upper track yesterday and then turned to high-level fluctuations after coming under pressure. In the short term, the structure still has bullish momentum after completing the accumulation of power. Although there was a correction in the US market yesterday, it stopped falling and rebounded near 3335, further confirming the strength. At present, the upper resistance in the European session is at 3365-3375, and the short-term support is at 3345-3335 below. Intraday trading still requires good SL to withstand market fluctuations. In terms of trading, it is recommended to mainly go long on callbacks 🎯 Trading Points： SELL 3365-3375 TP 3350-3340-3335 BUY 3335-3330-3325 TP 3350-3360-3375 In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐. FXOPEN:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Allenbrowser-3
Data is about to be released. Trend change?Affected by the ADP employment data, gold prices broke through 3345 and continued to fluctuate upward to 3365 US dollars. This trend fully shows that the position of 3345 US dollars is the watershed between long and short. From the 1-hour chart, the overall market is still fluctuating upward. Although it has fallen slightly, I think it is accumulating momentum for a second rise. ADP employment data is negative for the first time. Non-agricultural employment data will be released in 3 hours. The market expects 110,000 jobs. I think the data that may be released will be worse. The number of jobs will decrease and the unemployment rate will also increase, which will drive gold prices to continue to rise. From a technical perspective, the RSI indicator is currently hovering around 58.7, showing strong upward momentum. MA5-day and 10-day moving averages form a golden cross and continue to rise. The current upward high has not appeared. The gold price may refresh the intraday high of 3365 again. At present, the upward pressure focuses on 3365-3375 US dollars. The support level is around 3345, which is also the turning point for the upward movement of the MA5 daily moving average. Operation strategy: Buy near 3350, stop loss at 3340, and profit range 3370-3375.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Quaid_1
Gold Short Term OutlookYesterday, we highlighted that gold had reclaimed the 200MA and that the $3,327 support level needed to hold for further upside. Since then, price has steadily climbed and is now testing the $3,364 resistance — a level that also aligns with an unfilled gap. Price action remains bullish for now, with price holding firmly above both the 50MA and 200MA. If buyers manage to clear and hold above $3,364, we could see further upside toward $3,383 and $3,400, with possible extension into $3,418. However, if price fails to break above $3,364, we may see a pullback into the $3,335–$3,327 zone. A break below there could open the door for a deeper drop into $3,298 or even $3,270. 📌 Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: $3,364 • $3,383 • $3,400 • $3,418 Support: $3,352 •$3,335 - $3,327 • $3,298 • $3,270 🧠 Fundamental Focus: 📌 ADP Non-Farm Employment Change 📌 Initial Jobless Claims 📌 ISM Services PMI 📌 ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI ⚠️ With multiple red folder events on the calendar, expect elevated intraday volatility. Manage risk accordingly.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by azgoldtrader
Non-farm data is coming. Upward breakthrough?Information summary: ADP data supports the rise of gold. Secondly, the weaker-than-expected non-farm data has triggered people's hope that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates earlier. The gold price hit the 3360 mark, then fell back slightly, and is currently fluctuating around 3350. This Friday is the Independence Day holiday in the United States. The non-farm data will be released on Thursday. Today, we will focus on this data, which will trigger a new trend. Market analysis: From the 4-hour chart, gold is currently in a suppressed state. However, it is not ruled out that it will be supported at the bottom as before, and then break through the upper suppression position again with the help of non-farm data. Therefore, the most critical position today is not above, but near the support of 3325 below. On Wednesday, the support near 3325 was tested many times but did not break down. If the price remains above this position today, the probability of an upward breakthrough is very high. Based on the current market conditions and the data to be released soon, Quaid recommends that everyone wait and see for a while and wait for the new trend to come. Of course, according to the current forecast data, this will support the rise of gold. A radical approach can also try a long strategy around 3345.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Quaid_1