Gold (XAU/USD)– Bearish Setup Against the Main Trend (High Risk)hello guys.
In this 4-hour chart, we can see a Head and Shoulders pattern forming, which is typically a bearish reversal signal. The price has broken below the neckline of the pattern, suggesting a potential downside move. Additionally, the price is currently trading inside a descending channel, reinforcing the bearish momentum.
Bearish Scenario
A potential pullback to the upper boundary of the descending channel (around $3,030-$3,035) could serve as a selling opportunity.
The first target for the decline is around $3,000, a psychological level and previous support.
If momentum continues downward, the price could drop further to $2,962-$2,965, which aligns with strong historical support.
in higher timeframe:
The volume has noticeably declined towards the end of this uptrend, signaling a potential loss of bullish momentum. As prices reach new highs, the decreasing volume suggests that buyers are becoming exhausted, which often precedes a correction or reversal. This divergence between price action and volume indicates that the recent upward movement may not be sustainable, increasing the likelihood of a pullback in the near term.
Why This Trade is Super Risky?
Main Trend is Bullish – The overall market structure remains in an uptrend, so this short setup is against the major trend.
Liquidity & Buyer Pressure – The price could find strong buying pressure around $3,000, leading to a false breakdown.
Risk Management is Crucial – If entering a short position, risk should be minimal, with a tight stop-loss above $3,035-$3,040 to prevent excessive losses in case of invalidation.
📌 Conclusion:
This setup offers a potential short trade, but high caution is needed due to the bullish macro trend. Entering with low risk and tight stops is essential to manage exposure. If the price breaks above the descending channel, the bearish idea is invalidated.
Goldprediction
GOLD just start for BULLISH or shift to BEARISH?Hello guys... i wish you have a good trading days so far.
I will give you my analysis for GOLD in current condition. I need you to see my analysis before so you have complete understanding about GOLD movement.
Fundamental Factor that Moves GOLD
1. As we all know, last weekend there is a conflict between Hamas and Israel after 2 month's ceasefire. It's not a good news. 16 people were died. Netanyahu stated that Israel attack just a beginning of higher attacking. US mission to make a peace in Middle East seems far a away. This factor will make demand higher for GOLD (for a long period of course) .
2. Russia - Ukraine peace agreement seems find a hard way. Trump administrations must give high effort to push both Russia and Ukraine to stop war. Last, Trump just stopped weapon delivery for Ukraine although some country in eurozone still supporting Ukraine with their weapon.
3. FED still have a high chance to do more than 2 rate cut this year. We would see in three-months later if inflation goes down and unemployment rate comes higher so THE FED will revise it's SEP and give lower rate, i think. It will pump GOLD higher if geopolitical factor still on fire, of course.
Technical Movement
Technically, GOLD just make a new higher high around $3055/ounce. Current movement seems just a pullback and i see 2968-2971 as a support level for GOLD. If seller hold position, it may comes to 2945-2948 and we will evaluate again later. But, if seller have no gains, i will see support on 2987-2990 and GOLD will comeback to it's nature, bullish.
If GOLD pass 3033 level in short terms, i will say that it could be back to 3055 or higher.
What's your opinion guys???
3000 is not broken, the rebound points to a new trendIn the current gold market, the downward trend is more obvious. However, it is noteworthy that gold has tested the key point of 3000 many times, and each time it breaks through, it is unstable. This fully shows that the defense above the 2995-2990 support area is extremely strong and difficult to be effectively broken in the short term.
Combined with the downward momentum observed in the 3000 point range, although it is in a downward trend, the possibility of a sharp decline is extremely small. Judging from the comprehensive judgment of technical analysis and market sentiment, gold will not only not continue to fall, but will most likely rebound. It is initially estimated that the rebound target will reach the area around 3015, and it is very likely to extend further to the area around 3025-3035. Let us look forward to the performance of gold together!
The content I shared recently about the gold market has received a lot of feedback, and everyone said it was very helpful!If you don’t know when to enter the market, you can follow me 🌐, I will release specific signals in real time, and remember to pay attention to the bottom 🌐 signal in time.
Bears maintain selling pressure, pressure below $3000⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) faces difficulty in securing strong momentum during Tuesday’s Asian session but remains above the key $3,000 level amid mixed market signals. The US Dollar (USD) sustains its recovery from a multi-month low, hovering near Monday’s three-week high. Additionally, improved risk sentiment—fueled by optimism surrounding a potential Russia-Ukraine peace deal, less disruptive US trade tariffs, and China’s stimulus measures—dampens demand for the safe-haven metal.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Selling pressure from bears continues to cause gold prices to fall and sideways around 3000
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $3038 - $3040 SL $3045
TP1: $3030
TP2: $3020
TP3: $3010
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2992 - $2994 SL $2987
TP1: $3000
TP2: $3008
TP3: $3018
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
"XAU/USD (Gold) Potential Reversal Setup — Bullish Recovery or FAlright! Let's break down the chart analysis for XAU/USD (Gold vs. USD) 📊💛:
Structure & Trend:
The market is in a corrective phase after a clear downtrend. The trendline break shows potential bullish momentum.
Zone Analysis:
The gray box represents a supply zone (strong resistance). Price may struggle to break above this area.
The target points (TP1 and TP2) are likely support levels where price might react if it drops.
Trade Setup:
The blue box indicates the potential buy zone with a stop loss slightly below it.
The stop loss is set around 3,030.71 - 3,031.00, aiming to minimize risk.
TP1: 3,014.58 — Short-term target.
TP2: 3,005.69 — A more conservative, safer target.
Bias:
The bullish arrow suggests a possible move upward if the price can maintain above the current support.
📌 Conclusion:
If you plan to buy, wait for a strong bullish confirmation (like a bullish engulfing candle) before entering.
If price breaks the stop loss level, a deeper drop may occur toward 2,993.55 - 2,993.21.
The downward channel appears, or there will be a deep callback📍Gold's current upward momentum appears weak, with signs of a descending channel forming in the short-term technical structure. If gold fails to decisively break through the 3015-3025 resistance zone, it will confirm and reinforce the descending channel pattern, exerting further technical pressure on the metal.
📍Moreover, if gold breaks below the critical 3000 level during its decline, it would severely undermine bullish confidence, triggering further downside. In this scenario, the downside potential would expand, with gold likely extending its decline toward the 2990-2980 support zone.
🔎Trade Idea:
Xauusd: Sell at 3015-3025
TP:3005-2995
SL:Adjust according to risk tolerance.
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Gold----Sell near 3025, target 3000-2982Gold has risen too much before. There have been technical adjustments in the past two days. The general trend is still bullish, but we are just a short-term trader and we need to follow it. Yesterday, we just lost 3033 in the 3025 short position we arranged. In the evening, we went short again at 3031. Judging from the current performance, the market is in line with our expectations. Today's short-term continues to fluctuate. Note that the weekly buying and selling watershed is 2982, which is also the starting point of last week. The daily line has begun to attack downward. Is it the time to sell or just adjusted to continue to rise? Pay attention to two positions in the future. One is the low point of this wave, 2998, and the other is 2982. If these two positions cannot stop the decline, we will consider the adjustment of the big short position. Today's idea is to consider the opportunity to sell on the rebound.
The K-line pattern begins to decline. Today, we will focus on the suppression of 3025 and 3018. The K-line pattern forms a triangle to be broken. If the Asian session rebounds, consider selling it first. If the Asian session breaks the position of 2998, you can continue to sell it when it rebounds. The bottom of gold fluctuations is also at this position. If it breaks, it will be around 2982.
Suppression 3025 and 3018, strong pressure 3033, the strength and weakness watershed of the market is 3018.
Operation suggestion
Gold----Sell near 3025, target 3000-2982
XAU/USD(20250325) Today's AnalysisToday's buying and selling boundaries:
3015
Support and resistance levels:
3046
3034
3027
3004
2996
2985
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 3015, consider buying, the first target price is 3027
If the price breaks through 3004, consider selling, the first target price is 2996
Gold prices are bound to fall!Market news:
In the early Asian session on Tuesday (March 25), spot gold fluctuated narrowly and is currently trading around $3,012 per ounce. London gold prices fell 0.4% on Monday, falling to $3,002 per ounce during the session. The US dollar hit its highest level in more than two weeks, prompting more gold bulls to take profits, and investors to assess US President Trump's more cautious stance on imposing tariffs on trading partners. Since 2025, gold prices have risen by about 15% in total, breaking the $3,000 per ounce mark for the first time. According to officials familiar with the matter, the Trump administration's tariff plan may be more targeted rather than the comprehensive, global taxation previously envisioned. This adjustment is expected to ease inflationary pressures and increase room for future interest rate cuts, which is beneficial to international gold, an interest-free asset. The total number of new home sales in the United States in February and the US Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index in March will be released on this trading day, and investors need to pay attention to them. In addition, it is necessary to pay attention to the speeches of Federal Reserve officials.
Technical Review:
Yesterday, gold surged and fell back, closing with a middle-yin line with upper and lower shadows. After the overall rebound, it continued to fall. The daily line retreated with a continuous negative structure, and the RSI indicator turned downward. The price retreated and the MA10 daily moving average was lost again and continued to fall. The price of the four-hour chart and the hourly chart runs along the middle and lower tracks of the Bollinger Bands. On the 4-hour level trend, the K-line currently basically maintains a good oscillating downward trend along the short-term moving average. The current rebound has basically completed the technical form repair. Pay attention to the possible secondary decline trend after the rebound repair is completed. In the short-term trend, it is currently slightly stronger, and pay attention to the short-term adjustment.
Today's analysis:
The current gold daily chart shows that the gold price has reached the top and retreated, and the Bollinger Bands are running open, but the gold price is still running at a high level. The KDJ indicator on the disk is glued to the upper overbought area to form a dead cross. On Monday, the gold price did not clearly indicate the direction of rise and fall, and it was more in a consolidation pattern. It is recommended to pay attention to the pressure and support of the MA5 and MA10 moving averages in the range of 3035-3000 US dollars, and try to follow the trend to see more or less.The 4-hour chart of gold shows that the resistance point of the SAR indicator has moved down to the vicinity of 3035 US dollars, and the overlap with the daily MA5 moving average has formed a double suppression in the short term. If the bulls want to restart, they still need to break through this position strongly. The lower track of the hourly Bollinger band is 3000 and the lower track of the 1-hour Bollinger band is 2992. The downward deviation looks at the 3000 integer mark. If the entity falls below the 3000 mark, refer to the low point of last week at 2981 and the weekly MA5 moving average support point of 2960. The trading ideas and direction remain unchanged. Maintain the high-altitude band layout as the main, and assist with low-multiple short-term!
Operation ideas:
Short-term gold 2990-2993 buy, stop loss 2982, target 3020-3030;
Short-term gold 3027-3030 sell, stop loss 3038, target 3000-2990;
Key points:
First support level: 3002, second support level: 2993, third support level: 2980
First resistance level: 3018, second resistance level: 3030, third resistance level: 3046
Gold (XAU/USD) Bearish Outlook: Key Levels to WatchBuddy'S dear friend SMC Trading Signals Update 🗾 🗺️
This chart represents the price action of Gold (XAU/USD) on a 1-hour timeframe, showing potential areas of resistance, support, and liquidity zones. Here’s a breakdown of the analysis:
Analysis of the Chart:
1. Resistance Level (3,023-3,030 zone)
The price has reacted multiple times (red arrows), indicating strong selling pressure.
A fair value gap (FVG) is present, suggesting potential mitigation before further movement.
2. Current Price (3,011.76)
The price is trending downward after rejecting the resistance level.
It is approaching the diamond zone, a potential short-term support before continuation.
3. Key Support Levels:
Diamond Zone (~3,000 region)
Could cause a temporary bounce before further decline.
Order Block (~2,952-2,938 zone)
This is a strong demand zone and a potential target area for price action.
4. Target Levels:
The analyst expects a downward move toward 2,952, aligning with a liquidity grab scenario.
5. RSI Indicator:
RSI is at 44.27, suggesting bearish momentum, with the possibility of further downside.
A break below 40 RSI may confirm more selling pressure.
Mr SMC Trading point
Risk Management Considerations:
Entry: A possible short entry could be around the FVG level (~3,020-3,030) if price retraces.
Stop Loss: Above 3,035 to avoid being trapped in a fake breakout.
Take Profit: Around 2,952-2,938 as per the target point.
USD Update & Impact on Gold:
If USD strengthens, gold may drop further due to their inverse correlation.
Key upcoming economic data (interest rate decisions, inflation reports) could increase volatility.
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Weekly preview and trading idea for Monday 24.03.2025🔹 W1 – Weekly Bias
Bias: Bullish
SMC: Valid Break of Structure (BOS) to the upside, with consecutive higher highs.
Order Block: Last bullish OB (gray zone) still valid and respected.
Premium/Discount: Price is currently in the premium zone, indicating a higher probability of retracement.
FVG / Imbalance: Unfilled FVG zones remain between 2900 - 2800.
EMA 5/21/50/200: Price trades above all EMAs, confirming strong bullish momentum.
Key POI: 3060 – 3085 (potential reversal or reaction zone).
EQH: Potential Equal Highs forming, suggesting a liquidity grab is likely.
✅ Note: Weekly structure is intact, but we may expect a correction down into discount levels.
🔹 D1 – Daily Bias
Bias: Bullish (with active retracement)
SMC: BOS confirmed + liquidity grab above recent highs.
Price Action: Strong rejection from premium zone with a significant bearish candle.
Order Block: Valid OB between 2970 – 2990, aligning with Daily FVG.
EMA: EMA 5 and 21 are tightening up, signaling a potential short-term bearish cross.
Imbalance: Clear gap between 2985 – 2940 remains unfilled.
Daily POI: 2995 – 2970 → key zone to monitor for bullish reaction.
RSI: Not yet oversold, suggesting more room for downside movement.
🎯 Retracement Target (Daily): 2990 – 2950 for potential long setups.
🔹 H4 – Intraday Swing Setup
Bias: Bearish retracement
SMC: Confirmed BOS on H4
Order Block: Strong OB between 3025 – 3035 (origin of previous impulse drop)
FVG: Valid Fair Value Gap between 2988 – 2940
Imbalance: Still unfilled under 2970
EMA: Bearish EMA 5/21 crossover, EMA50 flattening
POI: 3030 (short setup zone), 2970 (potential buy reaction zone)
🔁 Scenario:
If price retests 3025–3030 and shows bearish PA → valid short.
If price drops into 2970–2950 and sweeps liquidity → potential long setup.
🔹 H1 – Entry Refinement
Bias: Temporary bullish correction
SMC: CHoCH printed, but no BOS yet
PA: Last reaction suggests mitigation
OB: OB zone at 3033–3037 still valid for shorting opportunities
EMA: EMA 5 and 21 remain bearish; 50 and 200 beginning to flatten
RSI: Nearing overbought – watch for signs of bearish reversal
POI (H1): 3033–3037 (short setup), 2985–2970 (buy zone)
🔹 M15 – Sniper Entry
Bias: Bullish correction in progress
SMC: CHoCH formed, waiting for confirmation of BOS
OB (M15): 3028 – 3033 → clean Order Block for possible bearish reaction
Imbalance: Unfilled gap at 3029 – 3032
EMA: EMA 5 > EMA 21 → minor bullish trend
RSI: Close to overbought – ideal for a reversal sniper short
EQH: Equal High at 3032 → ideal liquidity inducement
🎯 Sniper Trade Plan (Short):
Sell Entry Zone: 3029 – 3033
TP1: 3010
TP2: 2995
SL: Above 3035 (above OB high)
🔄 Alternative Scenario
If price breaks and closes above 3035 with bullish volume → short invalidated
Long setups only valid if price drops into discount zones (below 2985) with a bullish PA reaction + CHoCH confirmation
✅ Summary
Overall Bias: Bullish on higher timeframes, but currently in retracement → only looking for short-term sells
Sniper Short Zone: 3029 – 3033
Buy Zone to Re-enter: 2970 – 2940 (only on proper confirmations)
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3.25 Gold short-term shock callbackGold's current strong trend in the large-scale cycle trend has changed. Pay attention to the support band around 2950 during the week. In the 4-hour level trend, the price rebounded and touched the previous pressure band and then began to fall back. The short-term moving average continued to diverge downward and continued to be weak in the short-term trend. The price began to slowly fall below the short-term terraced support band, tending to have a downward space in the short-term trend. The short-term trend began to show signs of stabilizing slightly after a wave of rapid declines. Pay attention to whether there will be a second downward trend after a small rebound and repair in the late trading. If it falls below 3000, look at 2990 85 below. Otherwise, look up 20-30
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great start to the week with our chart idea playing out as analysed.
We got our Bullish target hit at 3032 with no cross and lock above confirming the rejection after the hit. We also got our Bearish target hit at 3015 now also following with a cross and lock leaving 2999 Goldturn open.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
3032 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3032 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3050
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3050 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3065
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3065 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3080
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3080 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3097
BEARISH TARGETS
3015 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3015 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2999
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2999 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2978
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2978 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2950 - 2927
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Perfect hit, interval thinking remains unchangedThe idea remains unchanged according to the previous article!
In the wave of financial markets, accurate prediction is the badge of strength. Previously, we firmly arranged short selling, and it turned out that this decision was extremely correct! The trend of gold perfectly matched our expectations, falling all the way back to the area around 3010-3000.
Next, new opportunities have emerged. We will adopt the high-altitude and low-multiple operation mode within the range. At present, we have decisively gone long in the area around 3010-3000. Every ups and downs of the market are opportunities for us to make profits. Let us be full of confidence and look forward to the subsequent wonderful performance of gold together, and work together to reap more fruits of victory!
If you don’t know when to enter the market, you can follow my 🌐signal. I will release specific signals in real time. Remember to pay attention to the 🌐signal in time.
Gold Bearish Setup–Head & Shoulders Breakdown target 2990This setup on the 1-hour chart of XAUUSD presents a head and shoulders pattern, which is a well-known reversal formation indicating a potential bearish move.
Key Observations:
1. Head and Shoulders Formation
- The left shoulder, head, and right shoulder are clearly marked.
- The neckline of the pattern has already been broken, confirming the bearish bias.
- Price is currently retesting the neckline, which often acts as resistance after a breakout.
2. Sell Entry Zone (3028 Region)
- The marked sell entry is positioned around 3028, which aligns with the neckline retest.
- If price rejects this level, it confirms seller dominance and increases the probability of a continuation downward.
- A strong rejection candle at this level could be a good confirmation to enter a short position.
3. Bearish Targets:
- First Target: 3004
- This level represents a strong demand zone where buyers previously stepped in.
- A reaction may occur here, but if momentum remains bearish, price could continue lower.
- Second Target: 2988
- This is a deeper support area where price could head if selling pressure remains strong.
- This level aligns with previous liquidity zones and a key structure support area.
Bearish Confirmation Signals to Watch:
- Rejection candles (wicks, bearish engulfing, or pin bars) at 3028
- Break of minor support levels with strong volume
- Failure of buyers to reclaim the neckline zone (3028 region)
Invalidation of Bearish Bias:
- If gold closes above 3028 and sustains above this level, it could invalidate the bearish setup.
- A break above the right shoulder zone would signal potential bullish continuation.
Sell Entry: Around 3028 (Neckline Retest)
First Target: 3004 (Initial Support Zone)
Second Target: 2988 (Major Support Level)
Gold (XAU/USD) Head & Shoulder Chart Pattern H4Gold (XAU/USD) Head & Shoulder Chart Pattern
**Bearish Breakdown Confirmation (📉 Downtrend Risk)**
- **Head & Shoulders Breakdown:** The price formed a **head and shoulders pattern**, signaling a potential reversal.
- **Sell Zone:** Price is trading below the **21 EMA ($3,027)** and **7 EMA ($3,028)**, confirming bearish pressure.
- **Support Test:** Price is approaching the **50 EMA ($3,000)**, which is a key level. A break below this could accelerate selling.
- **Bearish Confirmation:** If gold fails to reclaim the **$3,028-$3,030 zone**, further downside toward **$2,980-$2,960** is likely.
- **Entry Points:** A rejection from **$3,025-$3,030** is ideal for sellers, while a breakdown below **$3,000** confirms further weakness.
📌 **Conclusion:**
- **Below $3,030 = Bearish outlook toward $3,000 & $2,980**
- **Break below $3,000 = Strong downside toward $2,960**
- **Above $3,030 = Bulls regain control**
Trading Plan:
🔴 Sell near resistance ($3,025-$3,030) with a stop above $3,035.
🟢 Take profit at $3,000, then $2,980 if breakdown occurs.
Another Strong Start to the Week!Gold opened the week on a positive note without a significant pullback, rebounding quickly after touching a low of 3013. The overall price action remains range-bound with a bullish bias, though gold is still trading within the lower to middle Bollinger Bands. A clearer upside move may emerge once the correction phase concludes.
In the short term, resistance remains at the 3030-3040 zone. If this level holds, short positions can be considered. On the downside, key support levels to watch are 3012 and 3005, with the 3005-3000 range offering a potential buying opportunity.
Trading Strategy:
- Sell near 3030-3040resistance if it remains intact.
- Buy around the 3005-3000 support zone.
- Adopt a range-trading approach, focusing on shorting near resistance and buying near support.
I have always been glad that I can stick to my original intention. I can be dedicated to every friend who proposes cooperation. I will use my professional strength to help you make profits, recover your capital, and increase your funds. My reputation depends entirely on the publicity of customers. My strength has been honed in actual combat for a long time. Even if the road ahead is bumpy, as long as you give us trust, we will do our best to guide you and use your funds to the maximum effective limit, so that you can experience the feeling of profit in the ups and downs of the market! If you don’t know when to enter the market, you can pay attention to my 🌐 signal. I will release specific signals in real time. Remember to pay attention to the 🌐 signal in time.
Gold Price Analysis March 24Fundamental Analysis
Meanwhile, the US Dollar (USD) is struggling to capitalize on a three-day rally from multi-month lows amid expectations that a tariff-driven US economic slowdown could force the Federal Reserve (Fed) to resume its rate-cutting cycle soon. This, coupled with geopolitical risks, acted as a non-yielding driver for Gold and helped limit downside momentum. Hence, it would be prudent to wait for a strong follow-through before confirming that XAU/USD has topped out in the near term and positioning for any meaningful corrective slide.
Technical Analysis
Friday's D1 saw strong selling pressure with the sharpest drop from 3046 to 3000. Late in the day, bulls pushed the price back 50% of the D candle. This shows that bears have entered the market but the downtrend will take some time.
The h4 structure is quite nice to see the buy and sell wave structure.
Scenario 1: In the 3026 zone of the European session, selling pressure has appeared. If the price pushes up to break the 3026 zone at the end of the session, it will give a BUY signal, break 3026, target 3037. When the US session breaks 3037, keep the order until 3045. The 3045 zone gives a good SELL signal for today if the price finds it. When the price reaches 3037 and cannot break this zone when the US enters, it can SELL to 3026, further than 3018. Scenario 2: The price does not break 3026 but falls, then wait for support around 3013 and support 3003.
GOLD ALERT | BIG DROP LOADING!🏦 Institutions Are Taking Profits – Are You Ready for the Next Move?
For the last 4 weeks, institutions have been reducing their long positions on #GOLD ( OANDA:XAUUSD ). This is exactly what I warned about – profit-taking from big players, signaling potential downside ahead.
technical down
3.24 Gold intraday operation ideasAfter last week's intense volatility, this week's market sentiment diverged significantly, with different categories performing differently. In addition, as the month is coming to an end, market risk appetite is reduced, so it is necessary to be cautious.
We still need to pay attention to economic data this week, because we need to observe the prospects for US economic development through data, and another thing is inflation, which the market and the Federal Reserve are concerned about.
Last Friday, the world's largest gold ETF added 20.08 tons of positions at one time, which was the eighth consecutive increase. This kind of continuity is relatively rare. In theory, it is a positive support for gold prices, but the increase and decrease of ETFs is more viewed from a medium- and long-term perspective.
The initial pressure on the intraday gold price is around $3,026, and the further pressure is around $3,035. The strong pressure or the long-short dividing point is at the high point of $3,040. The current rebound is slightly stronger, and it may be the first to continue the rebound.
The primary support below the day is around $3005. After breaking down, further support is at $2995. If the first retracement is near this level, you can intervene and buy. The rebound target price is around $3020. As for whether the rise can continue? It must stand firmly above $3040. Below this level, there is a risk of retracement at any time.
BUY: 3005 Stop loss: 2995
TP1:15
TP2:25
TP3:35
SELL:3040 Stop loss: 48
TP1:30
TP2:20
Go short first, then go long, and grasp the rhythmGold overall rose and fell last week. After three consecutive positive weekly lines, the upper shadow line was closed. On Friday, it walked out of the adjustment space. The short-term rise slowed down slightly, and it was more inclined to fluctuate at a high level. The daily line turned negative and retreated to correct, and it was in a partial adjustment stage. In the 4H cycle, it did not stabilize above the 3047-57 mark mentioned earlier, so it walked out of the second downward exploration space, but combined with the intact structure of the three-month rising channel, the current retracement is more inclined to technical correction rather than trend reversal. From a spatial point of view, the 3030 line as the midpoint of the channel constitutes the primary resistance. If this position cannot be effectively broken through, the gold price may test the support of the 3000 integer mark downward. It is worth noting that the static resistance formed near 3050 resonates with the recent fundamental negatives, further suppressing the upward space.
The current strategy needs to focus on whether the 3026 opening high can be recovered in the oscillation range. If it stabilizes, it will be seen to 3035 last week's opening point; on the contrary, if it falls below the 3010 short-term moving average support, the shorts can follow the trend to the expected 3000 mark. It is recommended to adopt the range trading mode, and operate back and forth between high and low in the range of 3000-3035. Technically, we need to be alert to the stagflation signal formed by the continuous shortening of MACD and the closing of Bollinger Bands. It is recommended to avoid chasing highs and focus on the impact of US CPI data on the market.
Gold operation advice: Go short after rebounding around 3030-3040. Go long after stepping back to 3010-3000.If you don’t know when to enter the market, you can follow me. I will release specific signals in real time. Remember to pay attention in time.
GOLD Price Analysis: Key Insights for Next Week Trading Decision🚀 XAUUSD Key Update & Market Outlook
Gold continues to hold a bullish trend, but price action has pulled back after setting a new record high. The key $3,000 level will play a significant role in guiding our trading decisions next week. A hold above this zone could fuel further bullish momentum, while a breakdown could trigger strong bearish moves.
📌 Major Market Drivers:
🔹 US Dollar Strength: Gold retreated as the USD gained traction, with traders booking profits ahead of the weekend.
🔹 Trump's Trade Policies: Uncertainty surrounding new tariffs remains a key influence on market sentiment.
🔹 Federal Reserve’s Stance: Powell & Fed officials maintain that rate cuts aren’t urgent, reinforcing the current restrictive policy.
🔹 Market Sentiment & Early-Week Price Action: We’ll be closely watching how price behaves around the $3,025 zone for potential trading signals.
📅 Key Economic Events Next Week:
🗓️ Tuesday: US S&P Global PMI Publications – Key insight into economic activity and inflation pressures.
🗓️ Thursday: US GDP (Q4 Final) – A crucial report on economic growth that could impact USD and Gold.
🗓️ Friday: US Core PCE Index – The Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, highly significant for rate expectations.
We’ll break all of this down in detail during tomorrow’s Forex Morning Mastery livestream. Stay tuned, and let’s get ready for the new trading week! 🔥📊 #XAUUSD #Gold #Forex #MarketOutlook