GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Once again our chart idea is playing out in true level to level fashion, although our entry today was too early and therefore we will look to manage from dips.
We did get our Bullish target 2691 followed with no lock confirming the rejection into our bearish target 2679. This followed with ema5 cross and lock opening the retracement range, which we are seeing price play in currently.
Once again all our weighted levels gave 30 to 40 pip bounces inline with our plans and analysis.
We are looking for a reaction from this retracement range, unless we see a cross and lock below 2654, which will open the swing range for a bigger bounce.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2691 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2691 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2706
POTENTIALLY 2719
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2719 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2736
BEARISH TARGETS
2679 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2679 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
RETRACEMENT RANGE
2668 (DONE) - 2654
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2654 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2640 - 2624
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Goldprediction
1.13 Gold Technical Analysis and InterpretationThe gold market has seen significant fluctuations recently. Against the backdrop of a sharp rise in U.S. Treasury yields and the U.S. dollar index, gold prices fell before the U.S. market opened on Monday (January 13). Spot gold fell from its December high, with gold prices blocked at the key Fibonacci retracement level of $2,693.40; as last week's gains encountered selling pressure, the market is paying attention to the key support level of $2,660 below, which could jeopardize gold's medium-term upward trend once it falls below the support.
Technical analysis:
1. Key resistance and support levels
Gold prices failed to break through the Fibonacci retracement resistance level of $2,693.40 after hitting it last week, showing the strong suppression of the position on the market. Currently, the next key support level for gold prices is at $2,660. If the price falls below the support, it may mark the end of the medium-term upward trend.
Although the downward trend of gold has already emerged, if the above support level can be maintained, there is still hope for a rebound in the short term.
2. Analysis of short-term technical indicators
In terms of technical indicators, gold is currently in the stage of retreating from the overbought area, showing signs of weakening upward momentum, indicating that short-selling forces are gradually taking the lead.
However, although the RSI indicator has fallen from a high level, it has not yet fallen to the oversold area. This indicates that gold prices may still fluctuate around the current price before hitting key support.
3. Possible technical trends in the future
If the gold price can hold the support area of $2,660 and form a bottom pattern here, it is expected to challenge the resistance level of $2,693.40 again. Once this resistance is broken, the gold price may rise further and retest the psychological level of $2,700.
However, if the support level is lost, the gold price may further fall to the next level of support near $2,640. At that time, the market will face further selling pressure.
Summary
The decline in gold prices was mainly affected by the strong US economic data that pushed up the US dollar and US bond yields. Under the uncertainty of the Fed's policy, gold faces downward pressure in the short term. However, safe-haven demand and the performance of key economic data may provide support or a turnaround for gold prices.
This chart of XAU/USD (Gold) on the 1-hour time frame shows the This chart of XAU/USD (Gold) on the 1-hour time frame shows the price moving within an ascending channel. Here’s a quick analysis based on the chart:
1. **Trend:**
The market is in a bullish trend, confirmed by the series of higher highs and higher lows within the channel.
2. **Possible Buy Zone:**
The price is approaching the lower boundary of the ascending channel, which could act as a dynamic support level. This is highlighted as a potential buy zone, aligning with the bullish structure.
3. **Target Zone:**
If the price respects the support and moves higher, the target would likely be near the upper boundary of the channel, around the 2,700.000 level.
4. **Break of Structure (BoS):**
The highlighted BoS areas indicate that buyers are stepping in at key levels, supporting the upward trend.
5. **Volume:**
There seems to be increasing volume as the price reaches the support zone, which may indicate growing interest in the area.
**Key Points:**
- Look for bullish confirmation near the lower boundary of the channel before entering a buy position.
- Set a stop-loss slightly below the channel to manage risk.
- First target: Mid-channel or 2,690.000 zone; extended target: Near 2,700.000.
GOLD XAUUSD intraday Analysis & Bulish OutlookXAUUSD Intraday Outlook: The precious metal continues to exhibit strong bullish momentum, supported by favorable market sentiment and technical signals. A sustained break above key resistance levels could confirm further upside, targeting higher zones. Traders may look for long opportunities, capitalizing on the bullish outlook while managing risks around potential pullbacks.
XAUUS/Gold Post NFP Day/Beginning of New WeekDuring pre-NFP analysis we have suggested few levels where sell & buy risk can be taken for at least 60- 120 pips favorable move.
By recalling that 2680/2681 sell pre-NFP given 160 pips quick profitable move. 2690/2696 post-NFP Sell Given 160+ pips favorable move.
Coming towards todays/current week stance, we are considering 2695/2708/2733 levels as resistance and unlikely to sustained above during current week. While 2665/2639/2612 can act as support.
President Donald Trump 2nd inauguration is scheduled on Monday Jan 20, 2025, and before that we may see gold is trading between 2733 - 2612 in big range of 121 points or 12100 pips range. Personally, I think strength would give sell opportunities.
Tell about your idea by commenting on the post.
GOLD Analysis (Daily Timeframe)Gold has been extremely bullish for a while, consistently breaking to the upside and creating higher highs , accompanied by the formation of demand zones that were later mitigated for continuation.
The last significant move was a reaccumulation (Re-acc) phase, which revisited unmitigated demand zones. From there, we saw a bullish reaction. However, due to low year-end volume , Gold hasn't been able to break its previous high. Since then, it has been ranging in the same area.
Key Observations:
Bullish Volume Returning:
Recently, bullish volume seems to be picking up, signaling the potential start of the next leg upward.
EMA Interaction:
Previously, the price was "surfing" along the EMAs, demonstrating a strong trend-following behavior.
Currently, the EMAs have tightened significantly, which often signals an impending price expansion—a strong indication that volatility and directional movement may resume soon.
Two Scenarios in Play:
Gold may continue ranging before breaking to the upside.
The current move may sustain and lead to a new high.
Liquidity Trap:
The reaccumulation created a cloud of liquidity , with many traders now eyeing potential sell opportunities due to:
- The break to the downside.
- The formation of equal highs , often misinterpreted as bearish.
This could very well be a Smart Money Trap , fueling a bullish move as liquidity is taken.
My Perspective:
I remain optimistic about the bullish scenario , as the overall market context suggests a continuation of the upward trend. This is a critical area to watch, and I will monitor closely for confirmation of the next move.
XAUUSD: Bullish Momentum Heading for Key ResistanceXAUUSD is trending within an ascending channel and is currently respecting its structure. Price action is approaching the upper boundary of the channel, which aligns with the marked resistance zone near 2705.302. This area may act as a supply zone, triggering retracements or reversals.
A short-term pullback toward the mid-channel or the highlighted demand zone near 2684.00 could occur before a continuation toward the 2705.302 target. Traders should look for bullish continuation patterns, such as a breakout above resistance or higher lows on the pullback, to confirm further upside potential. Conversely, a break below the demand zone might indicate bearish momentum.
XAU/USD Shorts from 2,710 back down to 2,660This week, my analysis focuses on the potential weakening of GOLD after its strong bullish performance last week. I’ve noticed that price is building significant trendline liquidity with multiple taps, suggesting that a reversal may be imminent to clear that liquidity.
While the bullish trend is still intact, I’m also considering a secondary scenario. In this case, I expect the price to retrace to around the 4-hour demand zone at 2,660. If the price breaks below this level, it’s likely to clear the trendline liquidity and push further down.
Confluences for GOLD Sells:
- Significant trendline liquidity below, waiting to be taken.
- A 6-hour supply zone has caused a Change of Character (CHOCH) to the downside.
- The price has also shifted structure on higher time frames.
- The point of interest (POI) is at an extreme level.
- For the bullish trend to continue, I expect a retracement back to the 2,660 region.
Note: As we’re now in mid-January, market liquidity is increasing, providing more price action to work with. This makes it likely for GOLD to continue its typical patterns. Let’s stay focused and have a great trading week!
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 2691 and a gap below at 2679. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2691
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2691 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2706
POTENTIALLY 2719
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2719 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2736
BEARISH TARGETS
2679
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2679 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
RETRACEMENT RANGE
2668 - 2654
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2654 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2640 - 2624
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing ema5 and price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 2694 and a gap below at 2665. We need ema5 to cross and lock above or below the weighted Goldturns to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2694
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2694 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2726
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2726 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2753
BEARISH TARGETS
2665
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2665 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2633
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2633 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2600
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD DAILY CHART MID/LONG TERM UPDATEHey Everyone,
Please see the daily chart update we have been trading and tracking for a while now, to give you all an overall view of the range.
Last week we confirmed we had ema5 lock above 2629 further confirming the previous candle body close opening 2686
We continued to buy dips all the way into 2686 completing this gap. This played out perfectly. We now have a candle body close above 2686 opening 2760 but will need ema5 lock to further confirm this, only as a along range/term gap.
We will use our smaller timeframe analysis on the 1H and 4H chart to buy dips from the weighted Goldturns for 30 to 40 pips clean. Ranging markets are perfectly suited for this type of trading, instead of trying to hold longer positions and getting chopped up in the swings up and down in the range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up using our smaller timeframe ideas.
Our long term bias is Bullish and therefore we look forward to drops like this, which allows us to continue to use our smaller timeframes to buy dips using our levels and setups.
Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings rather then chasing the bull from the top.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Please see update on the weekly chart idea we have been tracking for over a month now and still playing out, as analysed.
Last week we stated that the channel top was continuing to provide support like we stated for the past few weeks.
We also stated that, as long as we see no ema5 cross and lock below into the channel, we can safely continue with our plans to buy dips in this range.
- This played out perfectly. You can see although we had the break into the channel with candle, ema5 failed to break inside, confirming the rejection and providing support above the channel like we stated. This followed with the perfect bounce inline with our plans to buy dips.
This is the beauty of our channels, which we draw in our unique way, using averages rather than price. This enables us to identify fake-outs and breakouts clearly, as minimal noise in the way our channels are drawn.
Ema5 is still playing above the channel top and has not broken into the channel providing support above the channel.
We will continue to track the movement down and trade the bounces up, inline with our plans to buy dips, using our smaller time-frames, keeping in mind the long range gaps above for the future.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD is between 2 levels, a break of one of them will give us thGOLD is between 2 levels, a break of one of them will give us the next target. This pair still very bullish, despite the idea for now that we will reverse here, only will be confirmed bellow 2611-2627 area, above still have a big buy pressure. To scalp better do it above 2703 with a 4h green candle closed above with target at 2721.5. In case 2684 not hold better scalp short with 2659.5 as a target.
Gold Analysis==>>Ascending Broadening Wedge Pattern!!!Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) attacked the Resistance zone($2,670-$2,653) as I expected yesterday .
Gold is moving in the Resistance zone($2,670-$2,653) and near the upper line of the Ascending Broadening Wedge Pattern .
Ascending Broadening Wedge Pattern : The Ascending Broadening Wedge pattern is a bearish reversal pattern that forms when price makes higher highs and higher lows within diverging trendlines, often signaling a potential breakdown.
According to the theory of Elliot waves , it seems that Gold has completed the main wave C , and we should wait for Gold to fall .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks.
I expect Gold to at least fall to the Support zone($2,639-$2,630) , and if this zone is broken, it will attack the lower line of the Ascending Broadening Wedge Pattern .
⚠️Note: If Gold breaks the Resistance zone($2,670-$2,653) , we can expect more Pumps⚠️.
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
GOLD (XAU/USD) Analysis1. Trend
Uptrend: The price has been making higher highs and higher lows, indicating a bullish movement.
Support Levels:
2,680 - 2,700: Current area of consolidation and potential support for a pullback.
Resistance Levels:
2,720 - 2,740: Immediate resistance zone and a potential profit-taking area.
2,760 - 2,780 (Liquidity Zone): A key level where liquidity may be collected, as marked in the chart.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
XAUUSD-1H NEXT WEEK IDEAI'm closely watching XAU/USD on the 1-hour chart. My plan is to wait for a potential retracement back to the $2665 level, possibly even as low as $2655 , which I've marked as my buy zone. If price reacts positively in this area, I'll be looking for a long position aiming for the $2700 target.
The buy zone aligns with key Fibonacci retracement levels (50% and 61.8%), offering a strong confluence for a bullish setup. If price fails to hold the $2655 support , I'll reconsider my entry approach. For now, my focus is on this retracement before catching the next bullish leg.
Key levels:
- **Buy Zone:** $2665 to $2655
- **Stop Loss:** Below $2649.517
- **Take Profit:** $2700
This setup matches my strategy of entering high-probability trades with strong confluence and a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. Waiting for price action confirmation before entry.
GOLD 1H AND 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Smashing finish to the week with our chart ideas playing out perfectly.
After confirming ema5 lock above 2661 earlier this week, we clearly stated 2681, as our next target, which we confirmed again yesterday. This was hit perfectly today completing our target.
We then had ema5 lock above 2681, opening 2697. This was also hit perfectly to the dot just now. PERFECTION!!!!
Our 4H chart below also played out perfectly
EMA5 cross and lock above 2655 on the 4h chart opened 2694, which was hit perfectly also completing this chart idea.
We will now come back Sunday with our updated Multi time-frame analysis, Gold route map and trading plans for the week ahead.
Have a smashing weekend!! And once again, thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold Breaks Out: Bullish Momentum Building Above Key PatternGold is breaking out aggressively above the symmetrical triangle pattern, signaling a potential bullish continuation. If the price retests the breakout level and holds, we could see a significant move higher.
The 100 EMA is also providing strong dynamic support, further reinforcing the bullish sentiment. A sustained breakout above this range could target new highs in the coming sessions.