3.25 Gold short-term shock callbackGold's current strong trend in the large-scale cycle trend has changed. Pay attention to the support band around 2950 during the week. In the 4-hour level trend, the price rebounded and touched the previous pressure band and then began to fall back. The short-term moving average continued to diverge downward and continued to be weak in the short-term trend. The price began to slowly fall below the short-term terraced support band, tending to have a downward space in the short-term trend. The short-term trend began to show signs of stabilizing slightly after a wave of rapid declines. Pay attention to whether there will be a second downward trend after a small rebound and repair in the late trading. If it falls below 3000, look at 2990 85 below. Otherwise, look up 20-30
Goldprediction
XAUUSD The ultimate Sniper Entry Plan for 25 March 2025XAU/USD - Daily Review & Sniper Entry Plan - March 25th, 2025
✨ Overall Bias:
Monthly: Bullish, but with a candle showing exhaustion, potential pullback towards discount.
Weekly: Indecision, but we have a small CHoCH on the structure - possible correction towards the 2980 zone.
Daily: Clear bearish candle on Friday, followed by a mild correction on Monday. Liquidity grab below 3000, but close above.
🌐 Timeframe Breakdown:
D1:
Last confirmed CHoCH.
Imbalance and FVG in the 3022-3035 zone.
Potential bearish OB between 3031-3036.
RSI below 50, momentum fading.
H4:
Lower highs / lower lows structure.
Bearish confirmation: BOS + rejection from OB.
Imbalance 3016-3026.
EMA 21 and 50 acting as dynamic resistance.
H1:
Last CHoCH in the 3024 zone.
Bearish engulfing confirmation.
Unfilled FVG: 3016-3020.
RSI < 40, increasing volume on bearish candles.
M30 / M15:
BOS on M15 and retest in the area of interest.
Last swing high at 3018.13.
Liquidity above 3018 and 3024 (EQH), below 3000 (EQL).
🔹 Sniper Entry Scenarios
Scenario 1 (Short)
Entry: 3018 - 3022 (FVG zone + OB + 61.8% Fibonacci)
Confirmation: M15 bearish engulfing or BOS + retest.
SL: above 3028
TP1: 3000
TP2: 2985 (discount zone + liquidity)
Scenario 2 (Long - Countertrend/Scalp)
Entry: 2985 - 2990 (liquidity zone )
Confirmation: M15 BOS + bullish pattern (engulfing/pin)
SL: below 2979
TP1: 3000
TP2: 3015
🔹 POI (Key Zones):
3022-3028: FVG + OB + 61.8% Fibonacci - potential short zone
3018.13: EQH - liquidity inducement
2985: Daily OB + 78.6% Fibonacci - potential buy zone
🌍 EMA Guide:
EMA 5 < 21 on H1 and M30: bearish momentum
EMA 50 acting as dynamic resistance (on H1: 3022)
🔹 Conclusion: Favorable short on retracement to the 3018-3022 zone with confirmation. Target remains the 2985 zone for liquidity. Market response around 2985 will give clarity for potential buy/scalp.
⏳ Expectations: After the Daily close, we can expect liquidity inducement towards 3020+, followed by a dump towards 2990-2985.
🔔 Don't forget to Like, Share, and Follow for more updates! Let's hit that target together! 💰📈
👉 Like if you found this helpful and follow for future setups!
3.24 Gold intraday operation ideasAfter last week's intense volatility, this week's market sentiment diverged significantly, with different categories performing differently. In addition, as the month is coming to an end, market risk appetite is reduced, so it is necessary to be cautious.
We still need to pay attention to economic data this week, because we need to observe the prospects for US economic development through data, and another thing is inflation, which the market and the Federal Reserve are concerned about.
Last Friday, the world's largest gold ETF added 20.08 tons of positions at one time, which was the eighth consecutive increase. This kind of continuity is relatively rare. In theory, it is a positive support for gold prices, but the increase and decrease of ETFs is more viewed from a medium- and long-term perspective.
The initial pressure on the intraday gold price is around $3,026, and the further pressure is around $3,035. The strong pressure or the long-short dividing point is at the high point of $3,040. The current rebound is slightly stronger, and it may be the first to continue the rebound.
The primary support below the day is around $3005. After breaking down, further support is at $2995. If the first retracement is near this level, you can intervene and buy. The rebound target price is around $3020. As for whether the rise can continue? It must stand firmly above $3040. Below this level, there is a risk of retracement at any time.
BUY: 3005 Stop loss: 2995
TP1:15
TP2:25
TP3:35
SELL:3040 Stop loss: 48
TP1:30
TP2:20
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis – Bearish Rejection Expected fThis chart represents an analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) on a 30-minute timeframe. Below is a breakdown of the key elements:
Key Observations:
Downtrend Formation
The price is trading within a downward channel, marked by two descending trendlines.
The overall trend appears bearish, indicating potential further declines.
Supply Zone (Resistance) Around $3,025 - $3,030
The price is approaching this key resistance area.
If the price fails to break above, it could lead to a rejection and continuation of the downtrend.
Demand Zone (Support) Around $3,000 - $3,006
This is the target area where buyers may step in to support the price.
A downward move towards this zone is anticipated.
Projected Price Movement
The blue arrows suggest a bearish scenario.
A rejection from the supply zone is expected to push the price downward.
The final target is the demand zone near $3,000.
Conclusion:
Bearish Bias: The price is currently in a downtrend, with the expectation of a rejection from resistance and a move toward the lower support zone.
Confirmation Needed: Watch for price action signals, such as rejection wicks or bearish candlesticks, to confirm the downward move
Gold weekly forecast with buy and sell levelsGold weekly forecast with both buy and sell entries.
Friday Gold sold off from 2334 all the way to 2300 for a drop of 334 pips before retracing up to where we are now at 3024.
What can we expect for the coming week ?.
My plan is as follows.
For a buy I would look at entering at 3032 expecting first resistance (marked in red on chart ) to be 3038 to 3040 area.
If we break these then next target would be 3048 to 3052 (200 pip from entry) this is high resistance level , if gold continues to be bullish expect 3078 to be the next area.
For a sell I would enter at 3018 expecting 3010 to 3008 as first support, next level is 3000 to 2998 and if broken we can expect gold to fall to 2880 and 2840 levels.
As always wait for levels, take profit along the way and don't over leverage .
Ill update this as the week goes on.
Check out my other trade idea for a gold swing trade below.
Trade safe
Gold Bearish Setup–Head & Shoulders Breakdown target 2990This setup on the 1-hour chart of XAUUSD presents a head and shoulders pattern, which is a well-known reversal formation indicating a potential bearish move.
Key Observations:
1. Head and Shoulders Formation
- The left shoulder, head, and right shoulder are clearly marked.
- The neckline of the pattern has already been broken, confirming the bearish bias.
- Price is currently retesting the neckline, which often acts as resistance after a breakout.
2. Sell Entry Zone (3028 Region)
- The marked sell entry is positioned around 3028, which aligns with the neckline retest.
- If price rejects this level, it confirms seller dominance and increases the probability of a continuation downward.
- A strong rejection candle at this level could be a good confirmation to enter a short position.
3. Bearish Targets:
- First Target: 3004
- This level represents a strong demand zone where buyers previously stepped in.
- A reaction may occur here, but if momentum remains bearish, price could continue lower.
- Second Target: 2988
- This is a deeper support area where price could head if selling pressure remains strong.
- This level aligns with previous liquidity zones and a key structure support area.
Bearish Confirmation Signals to Watch:
- Rejection candles (wicks, bearish engulfing, or pin bars) at 3028
- Break of minor support levels with strong volume
- Failure of buyers to reclaim the neckline zone (3028 region)
Invalidation of Bearish Bias:
- If gold closes above 3028 and sustains above this level, it could invalidate the bearish setup.
- A break above the right shoulder zone would signal potential bullish continuation.
Sell Entry: Around 3028 (Neckline Retest)
First Target: 3004 (Initial Support Zone)
Second Target: 2988 (Major Support Level)
Gold Prices Doubled in 5 years. What Does It 'Historically' MeanOver the past five years, Gold prices OANDA:XAUUSD have experienced a significant surge, doubling in value over the past 5 years, from mid-March 2020 to mid-March 2025.
This is the 3rd time in history ever, the price of gold doubled in U.S. dollars (we counted only events when it has been observed first time only over 5-years time span).
🥇 The 1st time "A Doubling" event happened in the first quarter of 1973, when Gold hit $80 mark per ounce (google: "1973 Arab–Israeli War").
⚒ What happened next with Gold prices after that? - Hmm.. Gold doubled in price again! (and even more) over the next three years. Watch historical charts to learn more.
⚒ S&P500 Index folded in half over the same next three years.
🥇 The 2nd time "A Doubling" event happened more than 30 years later, in the first quarter of 2006 when Gold prices hit $500 barrier by the end of the year 2005, for the first time since 1987.
Some analysts blamed inflation in the US and concerns about the state of the global economy.
⚒ What happened next with Gold price after that? - Hmm.... Gold price also doubled in price again! (and even more) over next three years. Watch again historical charts to learn more.
⚒ S&P500 Index folded in half again over the same next three years (google: "2008 financial crisis").
🥇 Now is the 3rd time "A Doubling" event has happened with Gold prices, first time over last almost 20 years.
Several factors have contributed to this increase, including economic uncertainty, inflation fears, geopolitical tensions, central bank activity, and investment demand.
Economic Uncertainty: Times of economic turmoil often drive investors towards gold as a safe haven asset. The increase in global economic uncertainty has been a primary driver of gold's price surge.
Inflation: The threat of inflation also contributes to the rising price of gold. Investors often turn to gold as a hedge against the devaluation of fiat currencies during inflationary periods.
Geopolitical Tensions: Geopolitical instability encourages investors to seek safe-haven assets like gold. The Ukraine war, along with conflicts in the Middle East, have further fueled the rise in gold prices.
Central Bank Demand: Central banks' buying and easing cycles influence gold prices. Central banks often purchase gold to diversify their reserve holdings, and this demand can impact gold prices significantly.
Investment Demand: Demand from technology, jewelry, and investors influences gold prices. Gold price movements are sometimes driven by investor demand.
--
Best #GODL (Gold On Dear Life) wishes,
@PandorraResearch Team
XAU/USD(20250325) Today's AnalysisToday's buying and selling boundaries:
3015
Support and resistance levels:
3046
3034
3027
3004
2996
2985
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 3015, consider buying, the first target price is 3027
If the price breaks through 3004, consider selling, the first target price is 2996
Perfect hit, interval thinking remains unchangedThe idea remains unchanged according to the previous article!
In the wave of financial markets, accurate prediction is the badge of strength. Previously, we firmly arranged short selling, and it turned out that this decision was extremely correct! The trend of gold perfectly matched our expectations, falling all the way back to the area around 3010-3000.
Next, new opportunities have emerged. We will adopt the high-altitude and low-multiple operation mode within the range. At present, we have decisively gone long in the area around 3010-3000. Every ups and downs of the market are opportunities for us to make profits. Let us be full of confidence and look forward to the subsequent wonderful performance of gold together, and work together to reap more fruits of victory!
If you don’t know when to enter the market, you can follow my 🌐signal. I will release specific signals in real time. Remember to pay attention to the 🌐signal in time.
Weekly preview and trading idea for Monday 24.03.2025🔹 W1 – Weekly Bias
Bias: Bullish
SMC: Valid Break of Structure (BOS) to the upside, with consecutive higher highs.
Order Block: Last bullish OB (gray zone) still valid and respected.
Premium/Discount: Price is currently in the premium zone, indicating a higher probability of retracement.
FVG / Imbalance: Unfilled FVG zones remain between 2900 - 2800.
EMA 5/21/50/200: Price trades above all EMAs, confirming strong bullish momentum.
Key POI: 3060 – 3085 (potential reversal or reaction zone).
EQH: Potential Equal Highs forming, suggesting a liquidity grab is likely.
✅ Note: Weekly structure is intact, but we may expect a correction down into discount levels.
🔹 D1 – Daily Bias
Bias: Bullish (with active retracement)
SMC: BOS confirmed + liquidity grab above recent highs.
Price Action: Strong rejection from premium zone with a significant bearish candle.
Order Block: Valid OB between 2970 – 2990, aligning with Daily FVG.
EMA: EMA 5 and 21 are tightening up, signaling a potential short-term bearish cross.
Imbalance: Clear gap between 2985 – 2940 remains unfilled.
Daily POI: 2995 – 2970 → key zone to monitor for bullish reaction.
RSI: Not yet oversold, suggesting more room for downside movement.
🎯 Retracement Target (Daily): 2990 – 2950 for potential long setups.
🔹 H4 – Intraday Swing Setup
Bias: Bearish retracement
SMC: Confirmed BOS on H4
Order Block: Strong OB between 3025 – 3035 (origin of previous impulse drop)
FVG: Valid Fair Value Gap between 2988 – 2940
Imbalance: Still unfilled under 2970
EMA: Bearish EMA 5/21 crossover, EMA50 flattening
POI: 3030 (short setup zone), 2970 (potential buy reaction zone)
🔁 Scenario:
If price retests 3025–3030 and shows bearish PA → valid short.
If price drops into 2970–2950 and sweeps liquidity → potential long setup.
🔹 H1 – Entry Refinement
Bias: Temporary bullish correction
SMC: CHoCH printed, but no BOS yet
PA: Last reaction suggests mitigation
OB: OB zone at 3033–3037 still valid for shorting opportunities
EMA: EMA 5 and 21 remain bearish; 50 and 200 beginning to flatten
RSI: Nearing overbought – watch for signs of bearish reversal
POI (H1): 3033–3037 (short setup), 2985–2970 (buy zone)
🔹 M15 – Sniper Entry
Bias: Bullish correction in progress
SMC: CHoCH formed, waiting for confirmation of BOS
OB (M15): 3028 – 3033 → clean Order Block for possible bearish reaction
Imbalance: Unfilled gap at 3029 – 3032
EMA: EMA 5 > EMA 21 → minor bullish trend
RSI: Close to overbought – ideal for a reversal sniper short
EQH: Equal High at 3032 → ideal liquidity inducement
🎯 Sniper Trade Plan (Short):
Sell Entry Zone: 3029 – 3033
TP1: 3010
TP2: 2995
SL: Above 3035 (above OB high)
🔄 Alternative Scenario
If price breaks and closes above 3035 with bullish volume → short invalidated
Long setups only valid if price drops into discount zones (below 2985) with a bullish PA reaction + CHoCH confirmation
✅ Summary
Overall Bias: Bullish on higher timeframes, but currently in retracement → only looking for short-term sells
Sniper Short Zone: 3029 – 3033
Buy Zone to Re-enter: 2970 – 2940 (only on proper confirmations)
✨ If you enjoy my analysis, I’d really appreciate it if you followed my TradingView profile and left a boost\like on the post. Thank you!
Another Strong Start to the Week!Gold opened the week on a positive note without a significant pullback, rebounding quickly after touching a low of 3013. The overall price action remains range-bound with a bullish bias, though gold is still trading within the lower to middle Bollinger Bands. A clearer upside move may emerge once the correction phase concludes.
In the short term, resistance remains at the 3030-3040 zone. If this level holds, short positions can be considered. On the downside, key support levels to watch are 3012 and 3005, with the 3005-3000 range offering a potential buying opportunity.
Trading Strategy:
- Sell near 3030-3040resistance if it remains intact.
- Buy around the 3005-3000 support zone.
- Adopt a range-trading approach, focusing on shorting near resistance and buying near support.
I have always been glad that I can stick to my original intention. I can be dedicated to every friend who proposes cooperation. I will use my professional strength to help you make profits, recover your capital, and increase your funds. My reputation depends entirely on the publicity of customers. My strength has been honed in actual combat for a long time. Even if the road ahead is bumpy, as long as you give us trust, we will do our best to guide you and use your funds to the maximum effective limit, so that you can experience the feeling of profit in the ups and downs of the market! If you don’t know when to enter the market, you can pay attention to my 🌐 signal. I will release specific signals in real time. Remember to pay attention to the 🌐 signal in time.
Gold Price Analysis March 24Fundamental Analysis
Meanwhile, the US Dollar (USD) is struggling to capitalize on a three-day rally from multi-month lows amid expectations that a tariff-driven US economic slowdown could force the Federal Reserve (Fed) to resume its rate-cutting cycle soon. This, coupled with geopolitical risks, acted as a non-yielding driver for Gold and helped limit downside momentum. Hence, it would be prudent to wait for a strong follow-through before confirming that XAU/USD has topped out in the near term and positioning for any meaningful corrective slide.
Technical Analysis
Friday's D1 saw strong selling pressure with the sharpest drop from 3046 to 3000. Late in the day, bulls pushed the price back 50% of the D candle. This shows that bears have entered the market but the downtrend will take some time.
The h4 structure is quite nice to see the buy and sell wave structure.
Scenario 1: In the 3026 zone of the European session, selling pressure has appeared. If the price pushes up to break the 3026 zone at the end of the session, it will give a BUY signal, break 3026, target 3037. When the US session breaks 3037, keep the order until 3045. The 3045 zone gives a good SELL signal for today if the price finds it. When the price reaches 3037 and cannot break this zone when the US enters, it can SELL to 3026, further than 3018. Scenario 2: The price does not break 3026 but falls, then wait for support around 3013 and support 3003.
Gold (XAU/USD) Head & Shoulder Chart Pattern H4Gold (XAU/USD) Head & Shoulder Chart Pattern
**Bearish Breakdown Confirmation (📉 Downtrend Risk)**
- **Head & Shoulders Breakdown:** The price formed a **head and shoulders pattern**, signaling a potential reversal.
- **Sell Zone:** Price is trading below the **21 EMA ($3,027)** and **7 EMA ($3,028)**, confirming bearish pressure.
- **Support Test:** Price is approaching the **50 EMA ($3,000)**, which is a key level. A break below this could accelerate selling.
- **Bearish Confirmation:** If gold fails to reclaim the **$3,028-$3,030 zone**, further downside toward **$2,980-$2,960** is likely.
- **Entry Points:** A rejection from **$3,025-$3,030** is ideal for sellers, while a breakdown below **$3,000** confirms further weakness.
📌 **Conclusion:**
- **Below $3,030 = Bearish outlook toward $3,000 & $2,980**
- **Break below $3,000 = Strong downside toward $2,960**
- **Above $3,030 = Bulls regain control**
Trading Plan:
🔴 Sell near resistance ($3,025-$3,030) with a stop above $3,035.
🟢 Take profit at $3,000, then $2,980 if breakdown occurs.
GOLD ALERT | BIG DROP LOADING!🏦 Institutions Are Taking Profits – Are You Ready for the Next Move?
For the last 4 weeks, institutions have been reducing their long positions on #GOLD ( OANDA:XAUUSD ). This is exactly what I warned about – profit-taking from big players, signaling potential downside ahead.
technical down
GOLD Price Analysis: Key Insights for Next Week Trading Decision🚀 XAUUSD Key Update & Market Outlook
Gold continues to hold a bullish trend, but price action has pulled back after setting a new record high. The key $3,000 level will play a significant role in guiding our trading decisions next week. A hold above this zone could fuel further bullish momentum, while a breakdown could trigger strong bearish moves.
📌 Major Market Drivers:
🔹 US Dollar Strength: Gold retreated as the USD gained traction, with traders booking profits ahead of the weekend.
🔹 Trump's Trade Policies: Uncertainty surrounding new tariffs remains a key influence on market sentiment.
🔹 Federal Reserve’s Stance: Powell & Fed officials maintain that rate cuts aren’t urgent, reinforcing the current restrictive policy.
🔹 Market Sentiment & Early-Week Price Action: We’ll be closely watching how price behaves around the $3,025 zone for potential trading signals.
📅 Key Economic Events Next Week:
🗓️ Tuesday: US S&P Global PMI Publications – Key insight into economic activity and inflation pressures.
🗓️ Thursday: US GDP (Q4 Final) – A crucial report on economic growth that could impact USD and Gold.
🗓️ Friday: US Core PCE Index – The Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, highly significant for rate expectations.
We’ll break all of this down in detail during tomorrow’s Forex Morning Mastery livestream. Stay tuned, and let’s get ready for the new trading week! 🔥📊 #XAUUSD #Gold #Forex #MarketOutlook
Gold Analysis March 26Candle D still shows that the battle between buyers and sellers has not yet been defeated.
3033 Plays an important role in the current downtrend structure. H4 Closes above the 3033 zone, officially breaking the wave and giving priority to the BUY side.
Gold is pushing up and wants to break the dynamic resistance of 3027. Closes above 3027, gold is heading towards 3033-3035. If it does not break this zone, you can SELL to 3005 and if the US breaks 3005, hold to 2983. If the 3033 zone is broken, wait for BUY to break 3033, the daily target is towards 3045.
Gold Faces Repeated Rejections, Bearish Outlook RemainsAlthough gold has yet to confirm a significant downtrend, it has faced multiple rejections around the 3030-3040 resistance zone in recent sessions. Notably, after touching 3036 yesterday, gold experienced a sharp pullback, forming a long upper shadow on the candlestick chart. This price action has diminished the supportive effect of the underlying W-bottom structure.
If gold continues to struggle to break above the 3030-3040 zone, the current seemingly strong price action may prove to be a false signal, merely a setup for a subsequent decline. Additionally, with geopolitical risks easing and no significant fundamental drivers supporting further upside, I remain optimistic about a bearish continuation in gold.
We can consider scaling into short positions within the 3028-3038 range, patiently targeting a retest of the 3010-3000 zone. A confirmed break below 3000 could accelerate further downside toward the 2995-2985 region.
I would make more detailed trading plans and trading signals every day according to the real-time market situation, which is also the testimony of every successful transaction and profit of mine; the article has a certain lag, if you want to copy the trading signals to make a profit, or master independent trading skills and thinking, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article
Interval oscillation, opportunities are within your graspMy dear friends, the gold range idea has been fulfilled again. Do you still remember the batch shorting gold strategy we laid out before? Facts have proved that our vision and judgment are extremely accurate! At present, the gold price has successfully reached the target area. Congratulations to everyone for making a profit again. This wave of operations is simply beautiful. I am honored to be recognized and encouraged by everyone. We set sail on the road of trading. I will bring my trading strategy plan, and you will bring your execution discipline. I believe we will definitely have good results.
But investment is never a one-shot deal. The current profit is only a phased result. The gold market has always been turbulent, and the subsequent trend is full of uncertainty. The operation strategy plan can first refer to the unchanged range thinking method I mentioned earlier, the high-altitude and low-multiple operation strategy, and conduct in-depth technical and news analysis. Gold will temporarily maintain a volatile thinking approach. The large range focuses on 3035-3000, and is in horizontal consolidation. In the 4H cycle, the Bollinger Bands are also in a closed state, and the K-line is interlaced at the middle track. In the short-term sideways consolidation and accumulation stage, the operation relies on 3035 as the critical point of adjustment. Below this position, continue to look at the callback, recover and stabilize, and then adjust the thinking. Pay attention to the support of 3012 and 3000 below. Maintain high-altitude and low-multiple operations as a whole, and follow up after the breakthrough. The specific operation is combined with the short-term pattern. Once there is a new change, I will inform you as soon as possible. Operation suggestion: Gold is short near 3030-35, and the target is 3020 and 3015! It is long near 3010-3000. The target is 3015 and 3026!If your current gold operation is not ideal, I hope to help you avoid detours in your investment. The information I recently shared about the gold market has received a lot of feedback, and everyone said it was very helpful! If you don’t know when to enter the market, you can follow me 🌐, I will release specific signals in real time, remember to pay attention to the bottom 🌐 signal in time.
Gold hit 3300 , why not ? The Conference Board (a non-profit research organization in the United States, specializing in providing reports and analysis on economic issues, jobs, labor markets and long-term trends) announced on Tuesday that the US consumer confidence index fell to 92.9, down from a revised 100 in February.
This data was weaker than expected, as economists had predicted a smaller decline, only falling to 94.2.
Société Générale (SocGen - a large multinational bank based in France) has just announced its multi-asset portfolio strategy for the second quarter. The bank still holds 7% of its portfolio in gold and forecasts that the price of gold could reach $4,000/ounce.
At 7%, gold remains the largest commodity position in SocGen’s portfolio. “Gold remains a strong asset amid the geopolitical reshaping of the US, which has triggered strong policy responses,” the analysts said.
Although gold prices are currently hovering above $3,000 an ounce, SocGen expects gold prices to continue to rise. The French bank forecasts gold prices to average around $3,300 an ounce in the fourth quarter.
Geopolitical uncertainty continues to support gold as an important global currency, the analysts said. They also pointed to conditions that could push prices to $4,000 an ounce.
Gold------Buy near 3013, target 3030-3040Gold market analysis:
Gold has been fluctuating this week, and daily buying and selling have begun to compete. I estimate that this week will fluctuate first, and the direction will begin in the second half of the week. Today has entered the end of the fluctuation. We will follow up with new ideas if it breaks through. The current large fluctuation range is 3000-3037. Yesterday, the daily line closed with a small positive, but the upper shadow line was relatively high. The daily line now has no obvious direction. The 5-day line and the 10-day line of the daily line have begun to merge. Today's Asian session will maintain a small range of fluctuations to treat both long and short opportunities. If it breaks through 3000-3037 at night, either side should actively follow. The current small fluctuations have not changed the buying trend of the large cycle, but the top is still very obvious.
In the Asian session, gold should first focus on the space between 3013 and 3035. If the Asian session falls back to 2013 first, look for buying opportunities. The low point of the Asian session is 3016. The support of the Asian session is around 3016-3013. The suppression position is the high point of yesterday. The volatile market must be controlled well, otherwise it is easy to get on the train midway and it is difficult to catch profits.
Support 3016-3013. Strong support 3000, suppression 3035-3037, the watershed of strength and weakness of the market is 3020.
Operation suggestion:
Gold------Buy near 3013, target 3030-3040
GoldCurrent Price: Gold is trading around $3,015.66 per ounce, reflecting a modest increase of 0.1%.
🔍 Technical Analysis
Support and Resistance Levels:
Support: The key psychological level at $3,000 has acted as a strong support, with prices stabilizing above this mark after a recent pullback.
Resistance: Immediate resistance is observed around $3,040, aligning with recent intraday highs.
Moving Averages:
The 50-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) has provided support, indicating a continuation of the bullish trend.
Stochastic Oscillator:
The Stochastic indicator shows positive signals after forming a divergence, suggesting potential upward momentum.
Gold (XAU/USD) Bearish Setup – Potential Drop to $2,991This is a trading setup for Gold (XAU/USD) on the 30-minute timeframe, showing a potential bearish move.
Analysis:
Key Indicators:
200 EMA (blue line) at 3,019.55: Acting as a resistance level.
30 EMA (red line) at 3,017.45: Providing short-term trend guidance.
Price Action & Structure:
The price previously rejected from a resistance zone (purple area) and started forming lower highs.
Repeated bearish patterns suggest another potential drop.
The chart highlights measured moves of previous declines (-30.62, -24.75), indicating a possible repeat of the pattern.
Trade Setup:
Bearish Outlook: Price is expected to drop towards the target point at 2,991.43.
Entry: Near the break of the lower trendline in the ascending wedge.
Target: 2,991.43 (marked as "TARGET POINT").
Risk Management: Ensure proper stop-loss placement above recent highs.
Conclusion:
If price respects the pattern, a downward move is likely.
A confirmed break below support could accelerate the drop.
GOLD just start for BULLISH or shift to BEARISH?Hello guys... i wish you have a good trading days so far.
I will give you my analysis for GOLD in current condition. I need you to see my analysis before so you have complete understanding about GOLD movement.
Fundamental Factor that Moves GOLD
1. As we all know, last weekend there is a conflict between Hamas and Israel after 2 month's ceasefire. It's not a good news. 16 people were died. Netanyahu stated that Israel attack just a beginning of higher attacking. US mission to make a peace in Middle East seems far a away. This factor will make demand higher for GOLD (for a long period of course) .
2. Russia - Ukraine peace agreement seems find a hard way. Trump administrations must give high effort to push both Russia and Ukraine to stop war. Last, Trump just stopped weapon delivery for Ukraine although some country in eurozone still supporting Ukraine with their weapon.
3. FED still have a high chance to do more than 2 rate cut this year. We would see in three-months later if inflation goes down and unemployment rate comes higher so THE FED will revise it's SEP and give lower rate, i think. It will pump GOLD higher if geopolitical factor still on fire, of course.
Technical Movement
Technically, GOLD just make a new higher high around $3055/ounce. Current movement seems just a pullback and i see 2968-2971 as a support level for GOLD. If seller hold position, it may comes to 2945-2948 and we will evaluate again later. But, if seller have no gains, i will see support on 2987-2990 and GOLD will comeback to it's nature, bullish.
If GOLD pass 3033 level in short terms, i will say that it could be back to 3055 or higher.
What's your opinion guys???