Is the gold price rally over?Market news:
In the early Asian session on Tuesday (April 15), spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading around $3,220/ounce. London gold prices rose and fell on Monday, hitting a record high of 3,245 earlier in the session before falling back, closing down 0.85% at $3,193/ounce, as risk sentiment improved after the White House exempted most countries from high tariffs on electronic products. In addition, US President Trump hinted that imported cars and parts may be exempted from temporary tariffs.Continued uncertainty in trade and tariffs, a weak dollar and falling Treasury yields usually provide support for international gold. Goldman Sachs remains the most bullish major bank on gold, raising its gold price forecast for the end of the year to $3,700/ounce, citing unexpected central bank demand and the increased risk of recession, which affects the inflow of gold ETFs. Gold investment is traditionally seen as a safe haven in times of geopolitical and economic uncertainty. This trading day mainly focuses on the US import price index in March and the New York Fed manufacturing index in April. Bank of America, Citigroup, United Airlines and other companies will release performance reports; investors also need to pay attention. Fed Chairman Powell's speech and retail data (terrorist data) came one after another on Wednesday, and investors need to pay attention to changes in market expectations.
Technical Review:
Gold closed with a negative K adjustment on the daily line. The gold price rose and fell in the European and American markets, but did not effectively lose the 3200 and 3190 levels. The Bollinger Bands on the short-term hourly chart closed, and the four-hour chart moving average crossed at a high level. The technical side needs to pay attention to the possibility of the existence of a double top on the hourly chart of the previous high line of 3245. It is expected that the trend on Tuesday will pay attention to high-level fluctuations during the day. Before the trend is established and turned, the main idea is to pull back to a low level, and the rebound to a new high may be close to the previous high and high. After falling back to around 3210 yesterday, it stabilized and pulled up again, forming a phased double top suppression at the 3245 line, and then adjusted in the European session. In the 4-hour level trend, the short-term moving average began to gradually diverge downward, and the price began to slowly fall below the previous terraced support belt and began to gradually weaken in the short-term trend!It can be seen that the 4-hour moving average ma10 has been broken, so the previous support at 3230 has now become a suppression point. And it can be found that the position of the am20 moving average below is currently at 3180-70. Therefore, in the next 4 hours, if it cannot stand above 3230, it will face a continued retracement and decline. And there is a high probability that it will retrace deeply to 3170-60. The daily line closed negative for the first time after three positive lines. The trend has not changed. However, in the short term, it at least shows that the suppression of 3245 is effective, but it is still oscillating above the upper line. Therefore, for the daily chart, time should be exchanged for space. Today, the daily chart is suppressed at the upper Bollinger line 3245, and the four-hour chart is weak and short. However, the price is still running in the upward channel, so it belongs to the high-level correction adjustment type. In the short term, it is suppressed at the upper line 3230, and the support is 3184!
Today's analysis:
From the perspective of the short-term trend hourly level, the gold price had a short correction after last week's strong rise, but it was quickly recovered and then rose again, so there is no obvious reference support level. Today's overall trend is volatile. Without the influence of data and news, gold does not have the basis for a big rise or fall. There are signs of a pullback but it is also trading around 3200. Since it is a trend of high-level consolidation, we can continue to implement the idea of selling on rebound. So far, the price has maintained a relatively high level of 3193-3230 for repeated consolidation. Pay attention to the effective gains and losses of the MA10-day moving average. If it closes with a long negative line, then it will pull back downward in the short term and gradually move closer to the middle track. If it closes with a long lower shadow K, then it will not go down for the time being and will continue to consolidate at a high level.
Operation ideas:
Buy short-term gold at 3200-3203, stop loss at 3192, target at 3230-3240;
Sell short-term gold at 3245-3248, stop loss at 3257, target at 3200-3210;
Key points:
First support level: 3210, second support level: 3200, third support level: 3192
First resistance level: 3232, second resistance level: 3246, third resistance level: 3268
Goldprediction
Today's market analysis, gold continues to riseAt present, the general trend of gold is still bullish. Although the daily line closed with a cross negative line, this does not mean that gold will fall sharply in the short term. From the weekly line, gold is still in the upward channel. Yesterday, it rebounded quickly after stepping back to around 3195, indicating that the short-term correction is just to accumulate momentum for subsequent gains. The integer mark 3200 is the key support. Once it is broken, the lower support moves down to around 3175. If a waterfall-like drop occurs, it must effectively fall below 3175. The upper resistance is initially seen at 3215, and it is possible to break through here and continue to rise. However, it should be emphasized that we only go long when it falls back, and resolutely do not chase high, and beware of the risks brought by the high and fall back.
Summary strategy:
3220 long, stop loss 3209, target 3235
Important reminder:
1. Steady type maintains ≤5% position.
2. Aggressive traders with sufficient funds can enlarge to 8%, but they need to strictly set a stop loss or flexibly move the stop loss manually to avoid accidental losses!
3. The stop-profit and stop-loss positions need to be adjusted dynamically for every 10 USD fluctuation in the short term.
Trading is not easy, but requires meticulous thinking and rigorous operation. If you want to get out of the quagmire of losses as soon as possible and get on the right track of steady gains, it is very simple. Find Quid and follow his guidance!
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Do you think this is the final height of gold?
At present, affected by the global trade conflict, the price of gold is above $3,200. Although there was no accelerated rise on Monday, the retracement to confirm the position of $3,190 is also very perfect. I also emphasized the key position of $3,190 in the article last night. The gains and losses of this position will determine the direction of the short-term gold price.
Therefore, regarding the next target of gold in 2025, I think we should continue to pay attention to the target price of $3,318, and then adjust it according to the situation. What we need to do now is not to adjust the so-called target, but to understand the underlying logic of the deep-level gold rise when we encounter a callback in the middle!
Okay, let's talk about the gold market today.
On Monday, the price of gold opened slightly lower and pulled up to the previous high of $3,247, and then slid down in the European session. Many friends are worried about whether they will encounter Black Monday. My point of view is not speculation, but to see whether the key position of $3,190 will be lost. If it is lost, adjust the direction. Don't make too many assumptions before it is lost.
Today, gold continues to fluctuate at a high level. Two positions are focused on below. One is the support low point before the last 1-hour level pull-up at 3190, and the other is the top and bottom conversion position of the previous high point of 3167 US dollars.
As shown in the figure, the 4-hour gold price fell back to confirm 3190 US dollars last night, and then continued to climb steadily upward. The current focus is on the breakthrough of 3250 US dollars. Once it breaks through here, it will form a new pull-up. Fear of heights is the mentality of most people. They think that they will be trapped after the plunge if they chase high positions. In fact, as long as they fasten their seat belts, even if the plunge does not have much impact, people who are afraid of heights cannot make friends with the trend. They always think that a surge will definitely surge, which is a black-and-white thinking model.
Today, gold continues to rely on 3190 US dollars as the dividing point between long and short positions, and then go long after the callback. Pay attention to 3250-3265-3270 US dollars above. Break through 3190 US dollars and adjust the thinking to do a reverse hand!
Join me and I will guide you to a profitable trade 💵!
Gold is accumulating power and is expected to continue to riseEarly morning outlook for Asia and Europe:
Gold is still standing firmly at the 3220 line. There are several interesting points. One is that it tested the previous high of 3245. The second is the cycle. We have always emphasized respecting historical trends. And we clearly emphasize that only a better retracement can usher in a better rise. Let's take a look at yesterday. The Asian and European markets rose, and the US market continued to retrace. This is following. In this continuous market, you just need to follow Quaid's thinking.
Specific analysis:
This accumulation of power will definitely not end the rhythm of the rise. At the same time, it is particularly important to note that breaking the previous high in a strong position is definitely not a resistance level, and the probability of a second high is extremely high. So today, we must pay attention to the probability of an upward breakthrough. So continue to pay attention to whether to step back or go long.
Operational suggestions:
Go long at 3220, stop loss at 3215, and look up to 3240.
Wait for Quaid's signal. Let Quaid lead you to transform the market tide into our wealth wave.
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Gold weakens in the short term, backhand shorts
Gold is still in a strong oscillating trend in the large-scale cycle trend. From the trend, the short-term moving average begins to diverge downward, and the price begins to slowly fall below the previous row support band and gradually weakens in the short-term trend. Pay attention to whether there is a small rebound in the late trading to confirm the secondary decline trend. In the hourly trend, the current small arc top pattern has emerged. The K line begins to slowly stick to the short-term moving average to maintain a good oscillating downward trend. Pay attention to the support band around 3170 in the short term. Pay attention to the adjustment and repair of the short-term trend. For operation, refer to the short-term opportunity near 3215-6, and stop loss at 3221.8.
Hello traders, if you have better ideas and suggestions, welcome to leave a message below, I will be very happy
It is difficult to decide the direction of gold's high-level fluYesterday's information at a glance:
The gold market showed a high-level range fluctuation pattern. After opening at 3210 on Monday, it quickly rose to the historical high of 3245, but the daily line closed with a negative cross needle, indicating that the long-short game intensified. The gold price fluctuated and fell during the Asian and European sessions. Although the US session showed a short-term illusion of a high rise, it failed to break through 3227 and then plunged to 3193 under pressure. It rebounded in the late trading to recover some of the lost ground.
Today's detailed analysis:
The current price of gold is running in the range of 3245-3193, and today's opening continued to consolidate in a narrow range. It is worth noting that the market generally expects the unilateral 100-point market last week to reappear, but ignores the characteristics of this week's oscillation and energy storage. Blindly chasing ups and downs is easy to fall into a passive position. From the technical form, the upper 3237-3245 constitutes a strong resistance zone, and the lower 3193-3188 forms a key support. It is recommended that everyone maintain the range operation thinking, rely on support and resistance to choose the opportunity to buy low and sell high, and wait patiently for the market to clarify the direction before making a trend layout.
Overall operation strategy:
It is recommended to go long at 3190-3185, stop loss at 3177, and the target is 3210-3230.
I am Quaid, and I seize every profit opportunity between the ups and downs of the gold market.
For more trading signals, please join my free channel.
GS raises gold target to $4,000, UBS to $3,500 Goldman Sachs and UBS have issued another round of bullish forecasts for gold, citing ongoing market uncertainty (i.e., tariffs).
Goldman analysts now expect gold to reach $3,700 per ounce by the end of 2025, with a potential rise to $4,000 by mid-2026. UBS holds a slightly more conservative view, projecting $3,500 by December 2025.
Technically, gold has pulled back from new all-time highs seen during the Asian session but potentially remains in a strong uptrend. With prices trading well above both the 50-day EMA and 200-day EMA, shallow retracements may find support, especially as tariff-related risks persist for at least the next 90 days.
Bullish momentum is strong, keep an eye on key positions
📌 Driving events
On Monday (April 14), spot gold fell slightly during the day, hitting a record high of $3,245.42/ounce earlier before falling back. Despite a small adjustment during the day, the price of gold remained above the key mark of $3,200/ounce, indicating that the overall market sentiment is still cautiously optimistic. The main factors driving this round of market conditions include uncertainty in the global trade environment, a weaker dollar, and continued warming of safe-haven demand. During the session, investors' reactions to the latest tariff remarks increased gold price volatility, but fundamental and technical support remained solid, and the strong pattern of gold did not show any significant shakes.
📊 Commentary and analysis
From a technical perspective, the trend of spot gold continued its recent strong pattern. On the daily level, gold prices have continued to run along the rising channel since breaking through $3,000/ounce. Although there was a small correction during the day, the overall bullish trend was not damaged. The current price is firmly above $3,200/ounce, which has become a key psychological and support level in the short term. If the gold price can continue to hold this area, bulls may further challenge $3,250/ounce or even higher.
On the hourly chart, after the gold price surged to $3,245.42/ounce in the morning, it was suppressed by short-term profit-taking and showed signs of decline.
However, from a longer-term perspective, the upward slope of gold prices since the end of last year has remained stable, and there has been no significant retracement after breaking through key resistance levels many times, reflecting the resilience of the bulls. Analysts pointed out that the support of $3,200/ounce is strong. If the subsequent price can hold this level, the bulls may exert their strength again in the next few days.
💰Strategy package
Upper pressure - 3260-3280
Lower support - 3210-3200
Start time 3220-30 Continue to go long
Take profit 3240
Stop loss 3210
⭐️Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their capital
- Choose the number of lots that matches your capital
- Take profit equals 4-7% of the capital account
- Stop loss equals 1-3% of the capital account
Risks gradually accumulate, and short gold in batchesAt present, the highest price of gold has reached around 3244, but it soon fell back to below 3240; and the PPI data is obviously bullish for gold, but gold has not shown a significant upward fluctuation, indicating that as gold rises sharply, market sentiment tends to be more cautious, so that liquidity is insufficient. So from this point of view, gold still has a need for a correction!
In the past three trading days, the increase in gold has reached $270. So even if gold remains strong at present, we should not blindly chase more gold. On the contrary, we can still gradually establish short positions in batches. As long as we strictly control the number of transactions in the transaction, we don’t have to worry too much about the transaction risk!
Let us wait patiently for the market to gradually accumulate risk sentiment. Once it accumulates to the critical point, it only takes one opportunity for gold to collapse soon.
Gold (XAUUSD) Trade Setup: Bullish Breakout Toward $3,637 TargeCurrent Price: $3,309.18
EMA 30 (Red Line): $3,265.00
EMA 200 (Blue Line): $3,163.35
Trend Direction: Strong uptrend (price above both EMAs)
Timeframe: 1-hour (short-term analysis)
📍 Key Levels
Entry Point: Around $3,266.63 (just above EMA 30)
Stop Loss: Around $3,265.00
Target (EA Target Point): $3,637.23
Potential Profit: +$365.01 or +11.16%
🔍 Technical Patterns & Zones
Rising Channel: Price is moving within a rising wedge or channel, indicating bullish momentum but with narrowing range — a potential reversal signal if broken.
Support Zone: Highlighted purple box around the entry point; likely a demand zone.
Resistance Zone: $3,637.23 area marked as the EA Target Point — previous resistance or Fibonacci extension level.
✅ Bullish Signals
Price is consistently making higher highs and higher lows.
EMAs are aligned in a bullish formation (short EMA above long EMA).
Clear breakout above consolidation range recently.
Trade setup shows favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
⚠️ Risks / Caution
Rising wedge can sometimes break down — watch for volume drop or divergence.
Potential pullback to the entry zone is expected (indicated by the arrow).
News Events: Symbols below the chart indicate upcoming USD economic data, which could bring volatility.
📈 Strategy Summary
Buy on pullback to $3,266.63 with tight stop at $3,265.00.
Target: $3,637.23 — potential 11% gain.
Risk: Minimal if stop is respected, tight stop-loss.
Gold Sell and Buy Trading PlanH4 - We had a strong bullish move with the price creating a series of higher highs, higher lows structure
This strong bullish move ended with a bearish Divergence
While measuring this strong bullish move using the Fibonacci retracement tool we have two key support zones that has formed (marked in green)
So based on this I expect short term bearish moves now towards the Fibonacci support zones and then continuation higher.
If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAU/USD 16 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed according to yesterday's analysis, however, as I mentioned in my analysis yesterday whereby I stated that price has printed a bearish CHoCH and I would continue to monitor price.
Price has printed very minimal pullback and continued its bullish trajectory, therefore, I will again apply discretion and not classify a bullish iBOS. I have however marked this in red as a guide.
Intraday Expectation:
Await for price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback initiation phase. Bearish CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price did not print according to yesterday's analysis, failing to target weak internal low by printing a bullish iBOS. This is most probably due to Trump's tariff policy and ongoing uncertainty.
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range. However, I will continue to monitor price.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,317.920
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Gold breaks through 3300, may hit 3350-3400Event summary:
Gold prices continued to rise during the Asian trading session and have broken through the psychological barrier of $3,300. This is the fourth time that gold has hit a record high this year, mainly benefiting from the continued rise in global risk aversion.
The direct cause of this trend is the multiple "sharp turns" of US President Trump on tariff policies. Trump announced that he would suspend high retaliatory tariffs on multiple trading partners for 90 days and temporarily exempt Chinese products such as smartphones and computers.
But at the same time, he retained the 145% tariff, and a new round of tax plans for semiconductors and pharmaceuticals will be announced soon.
Market surveys show that Trump's repeated policies on tariffs have seriously undermined investors' confidence in US economic policies, and risk aversion demand has surged.
Expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates during the year have intensified, putting pressure on the U.S. dollar and boosting gold prices.
Hierarchical analysis:
The key psychological barrier of $3,300 has been broken; gold may start a new round of rising market, with the target of $3,350 or even $3,400.
The current trend of the gold market reflects the high vigilance of global investors to economic and policy uncertainties. Trump's frequent adjustments to trade policies, the rising expectations of the Fed's interest rate cuts, and the superposition of global risk aversion have made gold's attractiveness as a non-yielding safe-haven asset continue to increase.
Operation strategy:
If the Fed releases clearer easing signals in the upcoming meeting, the price of gold is expected to break through $3,300 in the short term and hit $3,400.
You can continue to go long and hold and wait and see. My members have completed 9 consecutive wins under my trading signals.
I am Quaid. Seeing my analysis strategy, no matter the past gains and losses, I hope you can achieve investment breakthroughs with my help and turn every tide in the gold market into our wealth wave.
Brothers can enter my free channel to learn more operation strategies.
XAUUSD(GOLD) NEXT MOVE ?**Detailed analysis** of the Gold Spot (XAU/USD) chart, combining technical insights **with the current geopolitical market backdrop**, particularly the **Trump tariffs escalation**:
---
### 🟡 **XAU/USD (Gold) – Technical & Fundamental Outlook**
**Timeframe:** 1-Hour
**Current Price:** $3,296
**Target Price:** $3,500
---
### 📌 **Technical Chart Analysis: Bullish Breakout in Play**
From a trader’s lens, this chart illustrates a **classic bullish continuation setup**:
#### 🔺 **Triangle Breakouts**
- The chart highlights two previous **symmetrical triangle patterns**, both of which resolved **to the upside**.
- These triangles signal healthy consolidation before **impulsive bullish rallies**, indicating strong **market structure**.
#### 📈 **Price Action Strength**
- Price recently **broke out** from another mini triangle (~$3,230 zone), confirming bullish momentum.
- The breakout is **sharp and directional**, showing strong buyer interest.
#### 🧱 **Support & Structure**
- Price is respecting an **ascending trendline**, confirming **higher lows** and a consistent **bullish trend**.
- Each consolidation phase was tighter, indicating **volatility compression before explosive moves**.
#### 🎯 **Target Projection: $3,500**
- Based on **measured moves** from previous breakouts and current momentum, $3,500 is a **realistic short-term target**.
- Price remains inside a **bullish channel**, and breakout continuation aligns with the upper resistance projection.
---
### 🌍 **Current Market Context: Trump’s Tariff Shock & Safe Haven Demand**
Amid strong technicals, the **macroeconomic backdrop adds fuel to gold’s rally**:
#### 🔥 **Trump's Tariff Escalation**
- Former President **Donald Trump has reactivated aggressive tariff rhetoric**, with reports of a **104% tariff on Chinese imports**, prompting **retaliatory action from China** (an 84% counter-tariff).
- This **reignites U.S.-China trade tensions**, increasing **global market uncertainty**.
#### 🛡️ **Flight to Safety**
- Investors are rapidly **rotating into safe-haven assets**, especially gold, due to:
- Trade war concerns
- Recession expectations
- Dollar instability fears
#### 💬 **Market Sentiment**
> “In times of uncertainty, gold shines brightest. Trump's economic aggression has global investors hedging risks, and XAU/USD is the first in line to benefit.”
---
### 💼 **Trading Strategy Summary**
| Component | Details |
|------------------|-------------------------------|
| 📈 Bias | Bullish |
| 💰 Entry Zone | Breakout above $3,230 |
| 🎯 Target | $3,500 |
| 🛑 Stop-Loss | Below $3,180 (tight structure)|
---
### ✅ **Conclusion**
With **Trump’s trade war** rhetoric back in motion and **technical confirmation of a breakout**, gold is positioned for another **major rally**. A push toward **$3,500** is not just possible — it’s probable, as long as the structure holds. This is a time to **ride the momentum**, not fight it.
--
Gold has risen strongly again. Can it break through the 3300 resEvent summary:
The current gold market presents a triple driving logic: the global central bank's continuous gold purchases constitute long-term support, and the US debt crisis and the risk of US dollar trust form the core upward momentum.
Technical aspects show that the gold price rose strongly after breaking through the key resistance of 3275, and the continuity of the bullish trend is clear, approaching the high of 3300 US dollars.
Level analysis:
Gold continued to break through strongly, with the highest price reaching 3293. After the key resistance of 3275 was effectively broken, there was no retracement, confirming the continuity of the bullish trend. The current gold price has refreshed the historical high, and is only one step away from the integer mark of 3300 US dollars. The technical form shows that the bullish momentum is sufficient, but we need to be vigilant against the risk of high-level stagflation. The current upper resistance is 3295-3310, and it can continue to hold after breaking through the resistance line.
Operation strategy:
Go long at 3285-3290, stop loss at 3280, and look up to 3300-3310.
I am Quaid. After seeing my analysis strategy, no matter you have made profits or losses in the past, I hope you can achieve investment breakthroughs with my help and turn every tide of the gold market into our wealth wave.
The gold market has demonstrated notable activity!Gold (XAUUSD) Market Update:
The gold market has demonstrated notable activity, trading at the 50% level of the previous day's high-low range. Currently, it's exhibiting an upward trajectory, sweeping previous lows and forming a "turtle soup" pattern. This setup often presents potential trading opportunities.
Key observations:
1. The market is now trading above the 1H FVG (Fair Value Gap) marked on the chart, indicating potential support.
2. Pending buy-side liquidity is observed near the Monday high and low levels.
To capitalize on high-probability trade setups, we'll closely monitor the market's behavior around these critical levels. Patience is crucial in trading, as precise timing and confirmation are essential for success.
We'll continue to provide updates as the market evolves, offering insights to inform your trading decisions.
XAU/USD(20250416) Today's AnalysisMarket news:
U.S. import prices fell 0.1% in March from the previous month, the first month-on-month decline since September lTechnical analysis:
Today's long-short boundary:
3224
Support and resistance levels:
3247
3238
3233
3215
3209
3200
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 3233, consider buying, the first target price is 3247
If the price breaks through 3224, consider selling, the first target price is 3215
Gold bull market? 3300 is not far awayEvent summary:
Goldman Sachs releases another "gold bomb"! The Wall Street giant raised its gold price target for the third time, predicting that gold will soar to $3700 per ounce in 2025, and even warned that it may exceed $4500 in extreme cases! In just a few months, the expected price of gold has soared like a rocket, and the market is completely boiling-this is not an investment, but this time, it may be an unprecedented super market!
Level analysis:
The early fluctuations of gold were not large, and it has always shown a trend of oscillating sideways. However, the current surge has directly given everyone a big surprise. How should we view the upward trend?
The surge in gold directly broke through the oscillation area. The daily line continued to attack after a break. The trend is still in a strong form, so it is better to follow and do more in the short term!
Trading signal:
3240-50 long, stop loss 3230, take profit 3285.
I am Quaid. After seeing my analysis strategy, I hope you can achieve an investment breakthrough with my help and turn every tide in the gold market into our wealth wave.
Gold hits a new all-time high, trend analysisEvent summary:
Tariff threats are still spreading further, and the EU expects US tariffs to continue because negotiations are progressing very slowly. At the same time, Trump administration officials hinted that most of the tariffs imposed on the EU will not be lifted.
These are the two phenomena we are currently seeing:
1. The rise in US bond yields is a typical panic, because maturing debts have to face renewal or repurchase, but in the current situation, it is obviously not possible without higher interest rates. If US bonds continue to rise, what can be used to make up for the interest gap?
2. The price of gold continues to break high, capital is seeking profits, and the US dollar credit system is further weakened. Then the alternative and safe-haven product is naturally gold. The flow of funds naturally promotes the space and possibility of gold to continue to rise sharply.
Level analysis:
After the gold surged, it continued to refresh its historical highs, and continued to maintain a high-level oscillating and strong trend along the short-term moving average on the daily trend. In the 4-hour level, the price began to break through the previous row of pressure belts, and the short-term moving average continued to diverge upwards and maintain a relatively strong trend. Pay attention to whether there is a secondary upward trend after the retracement confirmation during the day. In the short-term trend, pay attention to the support belt around 3240. The hourly level trend also maintains a good bullish divergence trend. In the current situation, try to focus on retracement and long positions. In the case of a strong market, the retracement may not be too strong. Pay attention to the short-term adjustment.
Operation strategy:
3245-55 long positions, stop loss 3240, take profit 3275.
I am Quaid, turning every tide in the gold market into our wealth wave.
Unpopular opinion, but I think it's time to short GoldThis melt-up is approaching resistance, and the symmetry on the chart is compelling. It could set up a great short opportunity as gold consolidates ahead of its next major move higher, likely in 2027.
However, if it breaks out of the current channel, we could be entering a true melt-up phase — and there's potential for significantly higher prices.
XAUUSD market is currently exhibiting a high-probability Setup!Gold Market Analysis (XAUUSD) :
The XAUUSD market is currently exhibiting a high-probability trading setup, conforming to the IRL to ERL model, a signature pattern in the Inner Circle Trader (ICT) methodology. This model suggests a strong potential for bullish momentum.
Key Observations:
1. The market is anticipated to revisit the downside, targeting the Monday low liquidity pool.
2. A potential fill of the 1D marked Fair Value Gap (FVG) is expected, which could provide a crucial confirmation signal.
3. Upon confirmation, a pump towards the ERL (External Range Liquidity) level is anticipated, driven by buying interest.
Trading Strategy:
We're adopting a patient approach, waiting for the market to provide a clear confirmation signal before entering a trade. By monitoring the market's behavior and waiting for the setup to unfold, we aim to capitalize on the potential bullish momentum.
Let's closely monitor the market's movement and adjust our strategy accordingly.
Gold is still strong and is expected to break the previous highEvent summary:
The Trump administration's tariff policy is still uncertain, and the market's concerns about the trade war support the safe-haven demand for gold; the recent weakness of the US dollar index and the decline in US bond yields are further favorable to gold; Goldman Sachs raised its gold price forecast for the end of the year to $3,700, while UBS is bullish to $3,500, believing that central bank gold purchases and safe-haven demand will continue to support gold prices.
Level analysis:
Gold opened higher, rising to 3233. From the technical indicators, gold is still a bullish trend. The 3-hour moving average is golden cross, and gold is supported by the moving average when it falls back. At the same time, the gold price is running above the Bollinger middle track. Continue to pay attention to the middle track support. In terms of operation, we are still mainly low-long.
Trading signal:
3210-3220 long, 3205 stop loss, 3230-45 take profit.
I am Quaid, turning every tide in the gold market into our wealth wave.
For more trading signals, please join my free channel.