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Gold Analysis October 25Fundamental analysis Gold prices remained close to the lows of their daily ranges in the first half of the European session, pressured by a combination of factors. For now, the US dollar (USD) appears to have halted its downward correction from a near three-month high hit on Thursday amid bets that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates less. This, coupled with generally positive risk sentiment, is seen as undermining the safe-haven precious metal. That said, a further decline in US Treasury yields is keeping USD bulls from placing aggressive bets. Additionally, US political uncertainty ahead of the November 5 presidential election and further escalation of tensions in the Middle East could provide some support to Gold prices. Traders are now looking forward to US macro data - Durable Goods Orders and Revised Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for short-term opportunities. Technical Analysis Gold broke the bullish structure of the Asian session and fell sharply in the European session with the break of the important support zone 2720. Gold is heading towards 2710 and 2700. Pay attention to the price reaction of this zone for long-term BUY strategy. SELL signals have been set with profit levels as analyzed. Wish you a successful trading day
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
2
10.25 gold Asian market analysis ideas! !! !!Yesterday, gold began to fluctuate and rise in the early trading, and continued to rise in the European trading, reaching a high of around 2743 in the US trading. Then the market was blocked and fell. After dropping to around 2722, it rebounded to above 2730 in the late trading and fluctuated. The daily line closed with a positive line, and gold once again stood firm at the 2730 line. On the daily line, there was a single negative decline correction on Wednesday, and a volatile rise on Thursday. There was still some resistance to falling in the short term. At the opening of today, the gold price was above the moving average. In the short term, we will first pay attention to the 5-day moving average, which is currently located near 2730. As long as it stands firmly at 2730 today, gold will definitely continue to rise. First pay attention to the resistance near yesterday's high point of 2743, and then pay attention to the resistance near the current high point of 2758. If it continues to break through the high, we need to pay attention to the 2768 pressure level. 2768 is the current resistance position after the extension of the high point line of July 17 and September 26. In terms of intraday operations, it is still mainly low-long. In terms of geopolitical situation, US Secretary of State Blinken said on Thursday that the United States does not want Israel to carry out protracted military operations in Lebanon. At present, all parties are working hard to hold new negotiations on the ceasefire and hostage agreement in Gaza. In terms of economic data, the number of initial jobless claims in the United States last week released on Thursday unexpectedly fell, but the number of continued jobless claims in mid-October rose to a nearly three-year high, suggesting that it is becoming increasingly difficult for the unemployed to find new jobs. The influence of various aspects has also further promoted the upward trend of gold. Although gold fell back on Wednesday, it still rose sharply the next day. The price is expected to break a new high again, and it is far from the target level at present. Support level: 15 Resistance level: 35————45
TVC:GOLDLong
by David_strategy
1
Is Bitcoin Price's All-Time High Dependent on Gold Rally PausingThe cryptocurrency market has been exciting as Bitcoin (BTC) inches closer to its all-time high (ATH). However, a recent surge in gold inflows suggests that a potential pause in the precious metal's rally might be necessary for BTC to reach new heights. Over the past seven trading days, gold exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have witnessed an influx of over 1 million ounces, marking the largest inflow since October 2022. This significant increase in gold demand indicates that investors seek safe-haven assets amid economic uncertainty and geopolitical tensions. Historically, gold and Bitcoin have correlated, with one asset often leading the other. In 2020, for instance, gold paved the way for Bitcoin's ascent, reaching record highs in August of that year. Subsequently, BTC followed suit, setting its all-time high in December. The current scenario, however, presents a different dynamic. While Bitcoin's price has been steadily climbing, it appears to be facing resistance near its previous ATH. Is there a potential correction in gold prices could be a catalyst for BTC to break through this resistance level and establish a new all-time high? Several factors contribute to this hypothesis. Firstly, the ongoing correlation between gold and Bitcoin suggests that a pause in gold's rally could divert investor attention and capital towards the cryptocurrency market. Secondly, a correction in gold prices could alleviate concerns about a potential asset bubble forming in the precious metal market, thereby boosting investor confidence in Bitcoin. Furthermore, the recent surge in inflows into Bitcoin ETFs highlights the growing institutional interest in the cryptocurrency. As more traditional investors allocate a portion of their portfolios to Bitcoin, the potential for a significant price increase becomes more tangible. However, it is essential to note that the relationship between gold and Bitcoin is not always straightforward. There have been instances where the two assets have diverged, influenced by various macroeconomic factors and market sentiment. Therefore, while a gold correction could provide a favorable environment for Bitcoin's price appreciation, it is not a guaranteed outcome. In conclusion, the recent surge in gold inflows suggests that a potential pause in the precious metal's rally might be necessary for Bitcoin to break its all-time high. While the historical correlation between the two assets offers a compelling narrative, it is crucial to consider other factors and remain vigilant about market developments. As Bitcoin continues its journey towards new heights, investors will be closely watching the interplay between gold and the cryptocurrency market.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by bryandowningqln
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Another great day on the chart today, as our updated from yesterday played out once again. After completing our targets yesterday, we stated that we were seeing the rejection back into the weighted Goldturn level 2717, which will either provide support for another bounce up or a cross and lock below to confirm the lower range. - No cross and lock below 2717, as a new Goldturn was created just above it, confirming the perfect rejection for the bounce into 2730. This followed with a new cross and lock above 2730 re-opening 2739 and 2747. 2739 was hit perfectly completing this target once again with 2747 left. Failure to complete the next target will see price retest the support below. As long as 2717 holds, we are likely to see the upper levels retested again . We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGET 2730 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2730 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2739 - DONE 2747 - DONE BEARISH TARGETS 2717 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2719 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET BEARISH TARGET 2706 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2706 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE RETRACEMENT RANGE 2692 - 2682 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2682 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2673 - 2661 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
22
10.24 Can gold reach a high level?On Thursday (October 24), gold prices partially recovered, continuing the previous upward momentum. After a brief correction on Wednesday, spot gold once again broke through the $2736-2737/ounce area, and then narrowed its gains to 0.66%. It is currently trading around $2733, up about $18/ounce on the day. Thanks to the weakening of the US dollar and the decline in US bond yields. In addition, the uncertainty in the Middle East and US politics has also increased the market's demand for safe-haven assets, further boosting the attractiveness of gold. From a technical perspective, there is a certain downward pressure on the short-term trend of gold prices. According to the technical chart, the upward trend line of gold was broken on Wednesday, indicating that the market may have a further correction in the short term. If gold prices cannot remain above the support of the $2730-2732 range, they may face greater downward pressure. The first target is the $2700 mark. If it falls below this level, the next step will test the intermediate support of $2685, and may even fall to around $2670. If gold can hold the key support level of $2,730 and successfully break through the recent resistance level of $2,750, the market will re-enter the upward channel. At that time, the price of gold is expected to challenge the high point of the $2,770-2,775 range again, and may even further attack the psychological barrier of $2,800. In terms of technical indicators, the oscillator on the hourly chart shows a certain callback signal, indicating that there are still opportunities for short sellers in the short term. However, given the current geopolitical and macroeconomic uncertainties, the strength of short sellers may be limited.
TVC:GOLDLong
by David_strategy
1
XAUUSD: Today’s target is 2700 points, short on rebound highToday's trading strategy: The support area of ​​2725-2720 was broken yesterday, and the overall trend of gold prices has been destroyed, so we can no longer maintain a bullish view. From the hourly chart, the current gold price may form a head and shoulders top pattern. If this pattern is confirmed, it will enter a correction cycle. The resistance area we need to pay attention to above is around 2740. As long as this position is not effectively broken, the gold price will start to fall, and it is very likely to test 2700 points.
TVC:GOLDShort
by AntonyTP
1
Buy XAUUSD at a low level. Today, the New York market dealt a severe blow to bullish investors. Shortly before the opening, prices began to decline, reaching a low of 2708, with a drop of approximately 50 points. This downward movement was primarily driven by heightened bearish sentiment resulting from overbought conditions, as well as negative news and comments from the Federal Reserve Chair. These combined factors led to a rapid decline in gold prices over several hours. Currently, bearish sentiment appears to be persisting. In the short term, we need to observe whether the market stabilizes in the 2700-2708 range. If stability is achieved, gold may rebound to the 2741 level, as the market has formed a double bottom support at the hourly level. Conversely, if the market fails to stabilize in the 2700-2708 range, the lower channel will open, potentially exacerbating the downward sentiment and increasing bearish pressure. Latest Trading Thoughts: The New York market is expected to maintain a low-range consolidation with limited trading opportunities; hence, a cautious approach is advisable. Focus on movements in the Asian market and any bullish news stemming from geopolitical developments. If the New York market does not drop below the 2708 level before the close, the probability of a rebound in the Asian market exceeds 98%, making a bullish stance prudent. Trading Plan: Buy Zone: 2711-2708 Take Profit: 2725-2740 Stop Loss: 2700 For those unfamiliar with trading, please stay updated on real-time trading strategies. CAPITALCOM:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by George_parse
1
10.24 Gold fluctuates upwardThe price of gold fell below the moving average and now began to fluctuate. The upper side was originally at 2755, and the lower support was at 2713. You can buy low and sell high. Yesterday evening, the price fell quickly and found the support of 2713. When the price of gold retreated, you can buy on dips. In terms of the day, the sharp drop in the rise can be alleviated, but whether it can change direction depends on the continuation. Only if the sharp drop continues can it be the top. The focus is on how many bulls are above 2740. Only if the price rises in a cycle in the morning, it fell back twice in the early morning yesterday, and the watershed was 2709. Today's data: Number of initial jobless claims in the United States as of October 19 (10,000 people) Today's focus is whether the daily line will be negative or positive when it fluctuates. In terms of rhythm, the European session is still the focus. If we look at the continued retreat, then pay attention to the watershed 2735, which is the empty point. Remember, once the watershed continues to break, then this high point will be formed in the short term, and there will be opportunities for the mid-term in the future. But no matter what, there is definitely not much room for bulls above the risk area, and it is not recommended to make a layout. Resistance level 2735 Support level 2715
TVC:GOLDLong
by David_strategy
1
Gold M15-Scenario Gold has shown positive movement and is currently maintaining its bullish trajectory, bolstered by overall market conditions such as lower bond yields and a weaker U.S. dollar. Stochastic indicators show continued upward potential. Analysts have identified strong resistance around the $2,678 - $2,730 range. Gold is likely to test these levels again, with a potential breakout if the bullish momentum sustains. Some experts expect a potential pullback due to overbought conditions, while others believe that geopolitical tensions and macroeconomic factors may push the price higher. Analysts have indicated ranges from $2,600 to $2,800 per ounce, with some even suggesting it could climb higher due to safe-haven demand. In the short term, it seems gold may experience a slight decline or stabilization after its recent highs, but the broader trend remains bullish amid ongoing uncertainties.
CITYINDEX:XAUUSDLong
by BELLATRIXFX
XAUUSD Strong Bullish Momentum1. Trend Uptrend: The price is trending upwards within the ascending channel, with higher highs and higher lows, indicating a bullish market sentiment. 2. Support and Resistance Support: The lower boundary of the channel acts as dynamic support, where price has bounced multiple times. If the price continues to move within this channel, it may find support around the 2,680-2,700 USD range. Resistance: The upper boundary of the channel acts as resistance. If the price reaches this level, it could face resistance near 2,750-2,760 USD in the near term. 3. Price Action Bearish Candle: The recent candle shows a significant drop (-1.11%), indicating bearish pressure. The price is testing the lower channel boundary, which could be a critical support zone. Potential Reversal: There seems to be a projection for a bullish bounce off the lower boundary, suggesting a possible upward move back towards the mid-to-upper range of the channel, as shown by the zigzag projection on the chart. 4. Projections Bullish Scenario: If the price holds at the lower boundary and rebounds, it could aim for a move back towards the upper channel line, targeting around 2,760-2,780 USD. Bearish Scenario: If the price breaks below the lower boundary of the channel, it could signal a shift in the trend, potentially targeting support levels below 2,680 USD. 5. Key Levels Immediate Support: 2,700 USD (channel support) Immediate Resistance: 2,750 USD (upper channel resistance) Potential Targets: A bounce could aim for 2,760-2,780 USD, while a breakdown may push the price down to 2,660 USD or lower. In summary, the XAU/USD pair is in an overall uptrend but is currently facing a pullback near channel support. The next few sessions are critical to see if the price respects the channel or breaks downwards. If the support holds, a bullish continuation is possible.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by YogaID
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, A great day on the charts today with our 1H chart roue map playing out perfectly all week. We started the week with both our weighted Bullish target 2730 and bearish target 2717 hit. No cross and lock below 2717 confirmed the support for the bounce and a cross and lock above 2730 confirmed the range above, opening 2739 and 2747. Both 2739 and 2747 targets were completed followed with a further cross and lock above 2747 opening 2755 and 2761. 2755 was also hit today and 2761 just fell short, which is usually the case when momentum is exhausted but we are more than happy with this run that we were able to track and trade level to level all the way to the top and with a safe early exit before the rejection. We are now seeing the rejection back into the weighted Goldturn level 2717, which will either provide support for another bounce up or a cross and lock below to confirm the lower range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGET 2730 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2730 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2739 - DONE 2747 - DONE BEARISH TARGETS 2717 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2719 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET BEARISH TARGET 2706 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2706 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE RETRACEMENT RANGE 2692 - 2682 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2682 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2673 - 2661 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
14
XAUUSD: The rise is not over yet, 2740 is not the topYesterday, our strategy of waiting for the 2720-2725 area to stabilize before buying was still correct. Although the gold price hit a low of 2714, it continued to rebound and reached a high of 2738. We bought near 2720 yesterday and have taken profits today. From the 1H chart, we can see that the decline in gold prices yesterday touched the rising trend line of 2715. As time goes by, the price of the trend line will gradually rise. The 2720-2725 area is where the next trend line is located. Therefore, my thinking today will continue to follow yesterday's trading method. If the gold price falls back to the 2720-2725 area again, I will buy long orders again, with the target at 2750.
TVC:GOLDLong
by AntonyTP
1
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CAPITALCOM:GOLD
by Thief_Trader
XAUUSDHere is our view and update on XAUUSD . Potential short opportunity. As per our last mind, we were waiting for signs of exhaustion on XAUUSD . We have also broken the structure and our KL (Key Level) 2737 . In detail, As price on XAUUSD has broken our KL (Key Level) that’s sitting at 2737 , it has also broken the upside structure . We are entering at the break of our KL at 2737.811 with SL sitting at 2749.285 as it would invalidate the trade idea and continue the bullish movement creating new highs. Our TP (Take Profit) is sitting at the previous ATH (All Time High) 2685 . PARAMETERS - Entry: 2737.811 - SL: 2749.285 - TP: 2685.800 KEY NOTES - XAUUSD price is showing exhaustion. - XAUUSD broke our KL (Key Level). - The bullish structure has been broken. - Breaking above our SL would result in more upside. Happy trading! FxPocket
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FxPocket
10.23 Will gold turn around? Bearish view 2760In the early Asian session on Wednesday (October 23), spot gold fluctuated narrowly at a high level and is currently trading around $2,750.98 per ounce. Gold climbed 1% on Tuesday, shaking off the impact of a strong dollar and U.S. bond yields, reaching a high of $2,748.87 per ounce, setting a new record high again, closing at $2,748.86 per ounce, as the uncertainty of the U.S. election and the war in the Middle East stimulated safe-haven demand, and expectations of further monetary easing magnified the rise in gold prices. Yesterday, gold did not continue to adjust. It broke through 2740 and is currently running at 2745. Obviously, the single-day high and fall did not cooperate with the next day's big Yin, and the short-term has not yet peaked. Yesterday's closing was barefoot Yang, suggesting that there is still inertia to rush up, so the upper track 2765 pressure will be tested again. There is no need to chase more at this time. The follow-up rise of silver and oil suggests that gold is close to the stage of adjustment. There are not many fundamental data recently. Even if there is before the election, it is fake. At the same time, the US dollar, gold, and US stocks are all rising at the same time. Obviously, it is peaceful. In fact, the biggest news is the BRICS meeting. This is a step to whether the payment system can abolish the US dollar settlement. Of course, at this time, the US dollar remains strong in order to compete for the status of international capital settlement. Therefore, there is no shock decline after the interest rate cut, but it has risen strongly since the interest rate cut. There are election reasons and suspicions of manipulation behind the scenes. I have always said that no matter who is elected, the US dollar must remain strong to cater to the essence of plundering global wealth. The two sides are talking about topics again, just for the election, but whoever is elected will remain essentially unchanged, so it is rare for gold to follow the strength of the US dollar at this time, so there is no need to chase the rise. Resistance: 2760---2765 Support: 2700---2650
TVC:GOLDShort
by David_strategy
1