Based on this chart for Gold (XAU/USD), here’s an analysis:
Based on this chart for Gold (XAU/USD), here’s an analysis:
Observations:
1. **Current Price Level**:
The price is at approximately **2,652.53**, moving upward within a curved trendline pattern, suggesting bullish momentum.
2. **Support Zone (Red Area)**:
- A demand/support zone lies below **2,640**, where the price previously reacted with strong buying momentum.
3. **Intermediate Resistance (Light Gray Zone)**:
- A resistance area is visible near **2,665**, where price may face initial selling pressure. It has been tested and rejected recently, but buyers are pushing back toward this zone.
4. **Upper Resistance Zone (Dark Gray Zone)**:
- The primary resistance zone lies around **2,680 to 2,700**, marking a potential target for the upward move. This area has acted as a strong reversal point in the past.
5. **Bullish Cup-and-Handle/Curved Trendline**:
- The blue curved line indicates a potential **cup-like bullish formation**, which often leads to a breakout if sustained momentum persists.
Potential Scenarios:
1. **Bullish Continuation**:
- If the price breaks above the **2,665** resistance zone, it could quickly move toward the next resistance zone at **2,680–2,700**.
- Buyers will likely target **2,700** as the final upside level for this move.
2. **Resistance Rejection**:
- A rejection at **2,665** could lead to a pullback toward the support at **2,640** or even the demand zone near **2,620**.
Strategy:
- **For Buyers**:
- Wait for a confirmed breakout above **2,660** and target the **2,680–2,700** zone.
- Alternatively, consider entering on pullbacks around **2,640**, with stops below **2,620**.
- **For Sellers**:
- Look for rejection signals at **2,665** or the upper resistance zone (**2,680–2,700**) to short toward **2,640** or **2,620**.
Goldprediction
XAU/EUR "Gold vs Euro" Metal Market Bullish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
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Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/EUR "Gold vs Euro" Metal market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : You can enter a Bull trade at any point.
however I advise placing Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 30min period, the recent / nearest low or high level.
Goal 🎯: 2630.000 (or) escape Before the Target
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Fundamental Outlook 📰🗞️
Based on the fundamental analysis, I would conclude that the XAU/EUR (Gold/Euro) pair is:Bullish
Reasons:
Increasing demand for gold: Gold is often seen as a safe-haven asset, and investors may seek to buy gold as a hedge against economic uncertainty, inflation, or market volatility.
Weakening euro: The euro has been weakening against other major currencies, which could make gold more attractive to European investors and drive up prices.
Low interest rates: The European Central Bank (ECB) has kept interest rates at a low level of 0.0%, which could lead to a decrease in the opportunity cost of holding gold and drive up prices.
Inflation concerns: Inflation concerns are rising, and gold is often seen as a hedge against inflation, which could drive up demand and prices.
Geopolitical tensions: Geopolitical tensions, such as the ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine, could lead to increased demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
However, it's essential to consider the following risks:
Global economic slowdown: A slowdown in global economic growth could reduce demand for gold and drive down prices.
Stronger euro: A stronger euro could make gold less attractive to European investors and drive down prices.
Interest rate hikes: Interest rate hikes by the ECB could increase the opportunity cost of holding gold and drive down prices.
Bullish Factors:
Increasing demand for gold, driven by its use as a safe-haven asset, inflation hedge, and store of value.
Low interest rates and negative real interest rates, which can increase demand for gold as a store of value.
A strong euro, which can make gold more attractive to European investors.
Potential for a decline in the euro, which could increase demand for gold as a hedge against currency risk.
Growing investment demand for gold, driven by its potential as a diversifier and a store of value.
Market Sentiment:
Bullish sentiment: 75%
Bearish sentiment: 25%
Neutral sentiment: 0%
Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
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Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
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Neutral Rectangle preservedAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: "My position: Gold is Neutral Rectangle and keep #2,652.80 as your reversal zone and ideal re-Sell entry point. If #2,627.80 Support gets invalidated, I will pursue #2,600.80 benchmark in extension. I will Trade the break-out."
I have engaged re-Sell order as discussed above on #2,649.80 which hit my #2,653.80 Stop within minutes. I have waited another chance to re-Sell Gold however Gold extended recovery above #2,657.80 first Resistance which left me without an order waiting for ISM numbers. On pre-ISM candles, I have engaged Selling order and closed it with #9-point Profit near #2,652.80 benchmark. When #2,652.80 got invalidated, I have engaged new re-Sell order on #2,650.80 and moved the Stop on breakeven expecting #2,636.80 Support in extension to be met, however Price-action touched #2,642.80 and reversed towards my breakeven Stop and left me without any orders for yesterday's session.
My position: Even though DX reversed and found Support zone, Gold is Trading under Intra-day Buying pressure as sentiment is changing on Intra-day basis. I give more probabilities to the upside since #2,652.80 benchmark got invalidated to the upside many times with relative ease which was my pivot point for the fractal. If #2,662.80 gets invalidated #2,667.80 is next extension so place your Buying orders accordingly.
Gold Long Term and Short TermGold Analysis and Trading Plan
Gold prices saw mixed movement yesterday, gaining 0.50% and trading around $2,648. Market dynamics were driven by solid US economic data, improved services sector activity, and President-elect Donald Trump’s remarks, which boosted the US Dollar and capped Gold's rise.
Key Developments:
Strong US jobs data and increased business activity in services reduced expectations for further Fed rate cuts.
China’s central bank increased Gold reserves for the second consecutive month, supporting bullish sentiment.
US Treasury yields remain elevated, bolstering the Greenback.
Upcoming Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) will likely provide the next major catalyst for Gold's movement.
Technical Analysis:
Short-term:
Gold is forming a double top pattern around the $2,665 resistance level. A rejection here could indicate potential downside.
Long-term:
Gold is consolidating within a symmetrical triangle pattern, with a bullish breakout signaling a continuation of the uptrend.
Key Levels:
Resistance: $2,665 (double top), $2,675, $2,700
Support: $2,624 (near-term), $2,612 (lower range of the triangle), $2,580
Trading Plan:
Breakout Strategy:
If Gold breaks above $2,665, it may target $2,700 and higher levels.
On a downside breakout below $2,612, watch for a move toward $2,580.
NFP Impact:
The NFP report on Friday could drive significant volatility and provide clarity for the breakout direction. Use it to refine your entries.
Risk Management Disclaimer:
Trading involves significant risk. Use proper position sizing, place stop losses to manage risk, and ensure trades align with your overall strategy. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Follow for more Market analysis or if you want to learn more about the markets!
XAUUSD: 8/1 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyTechnical analysis of spot gold
Daily resistance 2664, support below 2580
Four-hour resistance 2664, support below 2642
Gold operation suggestions: The rhythm of the shock has not changed, the wide range of shocks in the large range, try not to make a move in the middle position, especially the long and short situation in the European session is very critical. At present, the key selling pressure above is still at the 2665 line, and the price has also hit a high and stopped here for many times. The support below the day is at the 2632 line. For the time being, it is around this range to sell high and buy low, and wait patiently before participating.
In the 1-hour trend, gold hit a high and was suppressed by 2665, then fell to 2642 and rebounded. It rebounded to 2655 in the late trading and then fell again. Today, it continued to fall to 2645 in the Asian session, but has not yet fallen below the overnight low of 2642. Then the European session will focus on 2642 and 2655. The breakthrough will be postponed to a certain extent, but it is still difficult to escape the repeated sawing of the large range. It is temporarily on the sidelines during the day. The middle position is to shuffle back and forth repeatedly. Don't rush to enter the market. Pay attention to the trend of the European session and put the trading time in the US session. Try to trade at the edge of 2632-2665.
It should be noted that if it breaks through 2665, it may form a unilateral rise, and then it will follow the trend and buy.
BUY:2642near
BUY:2627near
SELL:2664near
The strategy only provides trading directions. Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.
1.8 Gold Operation Technical Analysis StrategyGold rebounded after hitting the bottom yesterday, and began to rebound after reaching the lowest level of 14, which continued until the evening of the day. The current highest level reached around 64, which has reached the previous high point. This position is also the effective point of the continuous suppression of the shorts in the recent period. With the strong rebound during the day, it also reached this position, but it is very likely to form a three-top pattern, so this position is also the point where we continue to try to short. Once it breaks up, the retracement of this wave of shorts will also be declared over, and the support below is maintained at the top and bottom conversion 50 line position. If it continues to break down this position at night, the bulls may also be in place, which is likely to be the last wave of short-selling. Although the bulls have rebounded, they have not yet reached the realm of a strong breakthrough. There are still many uncertainties in the market. In addition, this week is the release of non-agricultural data, and the previous shocks are also likely to lay the groundwork for the release of non-agricultural data. In the evening, we will still maintain gold at around 63-64 for short selling, with a target of around 50-40 and a loss of 70.5.
Short-term operation:
SELL: 63-64 Target is around 50-40, stop loss is 70.5.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another PIPTASTIC day on the charts today with our analysis playing out to perfection!!
Yesterday after bouncing off the retracement range we stated that 2611 was a weighted level and as long as we see no lock below 2611, we should see a continuation of the bounce into completing the Bullish gap at 2661
- This played out perfectly with our bullish target 2661 being hit today completing this range. Lovely catch from yesterdays update.
No lock above 2661 confirmed the rejection. We will see play between 2661 and 2633, until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2661 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2661 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2681
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2681 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2711
BEARISH TARGETS
2633 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2633 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2611
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2611 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2593
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2593 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2570 - 2551
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
1.7 Technical analysis of short-term gold operationsOn the daily chart, gold has encountered resistance since its half-month high, and has fallen into adjustment in the short term. For the upper pressure of gold, pay attention to the current intraday high of $2,660, which is also the high point of gold price bottoming out and rebounding after falling on Monday, followed by the high of $2,650 on Monday; for the lower support of gold, pay attention to the support position of range oscillation after gold price bottomed out on Monday, $2,632, where gold price fell back several times and stabilized, which is also the current intraday low, followed by the lower track of the 4-hour Bollinger band of $2,622. The 5-day moving average and MACD indicator slightly crossed upward, the RSI indicator slightly crossed upward, and the KDJ indicator crossed downward, showing that the short-term technical side is slightly dominant.
Intraday reference for gold: After gold rose and encountered resistance, it started to fluctuate in the range in the short term, lacking new news to guide the direction. It is recommended to treat it with a fluctuating mindset in terms of operation. Pay attention to the upper pressure of $2,650, followed by $2,660, and pay attention to the lower support of $2,632, followed by $2,622.
Gold Analysis==>>Second Attack!!!Gold ( PYTH:XAUUSD ) attacked the Support lines and Support zone($2,639-$2,630) as I expected but failed to break them ( Fake Break ).
Gold is currently moving near the Resistance zone($2,670-$2,653) and within the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
According to Elliott's wave theory , Gold seems to have completed 5 bearish wave s and is currently completing upward corrective waves .
I expect Gold to attack the Support lines and the Support zone($2,639-$2,630) again and most likely succeed in breaking them this time .
⚠️Note: If Gold breaks the 50_SMA(Daily) and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , we should expect Gold to rise further.⚠️
⚠️Note: At most, you can keep the Short position up to $2,668.⚠️
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 15-minute time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
SWING AND GROW RICHlooking for a great start for the new year, gold holds some great potential to make your dreams come true. looking for a bullish swing on gold. the weekly trend is bullish and the daily has made it's pull back to the 200 moving average, the 4h has gone bullish from the 2nd of january and it made a pull back on friday and today, looking for a pin bar in line with the trend on the 4h, the 1h has made a bullish enguling parttern. so looking to close out at a new all time high. trade with proper risk management. enjoy the year.
Am I the only one who is waiting for a bearish trend for #gold?hello guys!
let's analyze gold together!
Double Top Formation:
A double top has been identified near the $2,675-$2,680 level, signaling a potential reversal from the bullish trend.
Broken Channel:
The previous upward channel has been broken, indicating a shift in market structure and possible bearish momentum.
Two Scenarios Outlined:
First Scenario (Blue Path): The price may consolidate or retest the $2,630-$2,640 range before resuming its downward trend toward $2,578.
Second Scenario (Red Path): A bullish retracement toward the $2,675-$2,680 resistance zone is possible, followed by a reversal and significant decline.
Support and Resistance Levels:
Resistance: $2,675-$2,680 (critical zone for the second scenario).
Support: $2,629 (short-term) and $2,578 (major support).
Outlook:
The bias appears bearish due to the broken channel and the double-top pattern. Confirmation of either scenario depends on price action near the outlined key levels.
XAUUSD - Todays PlanWe are back after the festive period! Here is our view and update on XAUUSD . Potential opportunities and what to look out for after the Holiday season and start of the New Year.
Let’s take a step back and take a look at XAUUSD from a bigger perspective. For this we are attaching the long-term overview on the pair.
We are still following the sell bias we have published on November 27th.
XAUUSD is currently trading at around 2635 .
Scenario 1: SELLS from 2636 or 2630
That would confirm our pullback to the upside and breaking below 2630 would give us an opportunity to drop back down to 2611 or 2604 which is still one of our major Key Levels. Next we would be targeting a very important KL (Key Level) 2590.
Scenario 2: BUYS from 2645
We broke above 2636 and are trading above it. We should see more upside towards 2645 potentially reaching and breaking 2660. If 2660 is broken, it would invalidate our long-term analysis on XAUUSD.
Personal opinion:
We are still extremely bearish on XAUUSD. Safe sells would be placed at breaks of 2630 and we could potentially reach our target today (2611 - 2604). On the other hand if we start breaking above 2636 and breaking 2645, we would be looking to finally change our long-term bias and look for further buys reaching 2714 again.
KEY NOTES
- XAUUSD breaking below 2630 would confirm sells down to 2611 - 2604.
- XAUUSD breaking above 2645 would confirm further buys up to 2660.
- DXY is still holding strength and shows no signs of stopping.
Thank you everyone for your amazing support lately. We will continue to provide value to you.
Happy trading!
FxPocket
Comprehensive Gold Analysis for the Week of January 6, 2025Comprehensive Gold Analysis for the Week of January 6, 2025
Gold enters 2025 with a complex yet promising outlook, driven by a combination of macroeconomic, technical, and geopolitical factors shaping a favorable environment for investors. Below is an in-depth analysis of the current market conditions and potential scenarios for gold this week.
Current Market Context
Gold concluded the first trading week of January near $2,657 per ounce , consolidating its upward momentum from late 2024. This movement has been underpinned by:
- Sustained central bank demand , particularly in emerging markets.
- Geopolitical uncertainty , including tensions in the Middle East and Europe.
- Expectations for looser monetary policies from major central banks, including the Federal Reserve (Fed).
In 2024, gold achieved an exceptional annual gain of +27% , its best performance since 2010, driven by its role as a hedge against inflation and economic uncertainty. The metal reached an all-time high of $2,790 , setting the stage for continued volatility and opportunity in 2025.
Key Fundamental Drivers
1. Global Monetary Policies
- The Fed adopted a cautious stance in December, signaling a slower pace of rate cuts in 2025. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, there is only an 11.2% probability of a rate cut in January, suggesting short-term stability in interest rates.
- In contrast, Europe and China are expected to pursue more accommodative monetary policies. China has already announced fiscal and monetary stimulus measures to counter its economic slowdown.
2. Geopolitical Risks
- Ongoing conflicts in Ukraine and heightened tensions in the Middle East remain significant drivers of safe-haven demand.
- Additionally, uncertainty surrounding U.S. economic policies under President Donald Trump is adding to market volatility. While some policies may bolster the dollar, others—such as trade tariffs—could increase demand for gold as a hedge.
3. Central Bank and Physical Demand
- Central banks have been aggressively accumulating gold reserves since 2022, with purchases expected to exceed the historical average of 500 tons annually in 2025.
- In China, a weakening yuan and a sluggish real estate market could further boost physical gold demand.
Technical Analysis
Gold is currently trading within a critical range that could determine its short-term trajectory:
- Key Resistance Levels:
- $2,666 (psychological barrier).
- $2,700 (significant technical resistance).
- All-time highs near $2,790 .
- Key Support Levels :
- $2,635 , aligned with the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA).
- Lower levels around $2,600 and $2,532 , which could act as correction zones.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovers near neutral territory (50), indicating potential for upward movement if immediate resistance is breached. However, the range between $2,607 and $2,736 will be pivotal in defining this week’s trend.
Projections for This Week
Bullish Scenario
A decisive breakout above $2,666 could pave the way for further gains toward psychological levels at $2,700 and potentially beyond. Catalysts for this scenario include:
- Weak U.S. economic data—such as Friday’s Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report—supporting expectations for monetary easing.
- Escalation of geopolitical tensions or clear indications of additional Chinese stimulus.
Bearish or Corrective Scenario
Conversely, unexpected strength in the U.S. dollar or robust economic data could exert downward pressure on gold prices. In this case:
- A pullback toward support levels at $2,635 or even $2,600 would be likely before resuming the broader uptrend.
Strategic Insights
Gold maintains a favorable outlook for this week due to strong fundamental and technical support. However, traders should closely monitor three key factors:
1. The release of U.S. labor market data (NFP) on Friday.
2. Movements in the U.S. dollar index (DXY) and Treasury yields.
3. Emerging geopolitical developments that could shift risk sentiment.
The current consolidation near critical technical levels offers opportunities for both bullish and corrective strategies. Active risk management will be essential given the anticipated volatility.
XAU/USD Longs from 2,630 or 2,610 back upThis week, my GOLD analysis focuses on the continuation of the bullish trend. Last week, GOLD showed significant bullish momentum, and we can expect the price to retrace into an unmitigated demand zone before resuming its upward direction.
I’ll be watching for the price to tap into either the 7-hour or 4-hour demand zone below. Once it does, I’ll closely monitor lower time frames for confirmation. If the setup aligns, I’ll look to take buy trades with the trend, aiming to clear liquidity resting above.
Confluences for GOLD Buys:
- Recent and overall bullish momentum.
- Unmitigated demand zones near the current price.
- A confirmed break of structure to the upside.
- Significant liquidity above, including Asia highs and imbalances.
Note: As the price approaches a key supply zone, we might see some bearish pressure. This could present an opportunity for a potential counter-trend trade.
Potentially large move on gold inbound.Gold daily is showing price rejection right in the range of $2,666.90 which is an area of confluence of resistance, Icimoku cloud, and a triangle that price has formed. Looking left I can see that the current price is a high traffic zone with many daily candles opening and closing as well as a lot of indecision. Essentially, I can see price churning to the right until Friday, January 10th for NFP. Because the price is in such a zone that it is in right now, bullish or bearish news, I predict price will push to and passed the zones in green and will most likely move to the support and resistance that I has indicated with the arrows.