Gold is going down? Is the trend going to change?The previous rally continued in the early Asian session on Thursday, reaching a high of around 3345.
However, it then began to fall rapidly. So far, gold has fallen below the 3300 mark again, with the lowest point reaching around 3280.
From the daily chart:
Gold is currently at 3280, which is the moving average support position. If it falls below 3280, the market will test 3250-3260 below. This position is not only the current daily moving average support position, but also an important barrier position in the past. This is an important suppression position for the upward trend of gold this time.
Similarly, if it wants to fall, 3250-60 is also an important support position.
Secondly, let's look at the 4-hour chart:
If it really falls below the bottom of the range at 3280, then as I said above, it will test 3250-3260. However, if it fails to break the support near 3280, it is very likely to maintain consolidation in the 4-hour range.
And from the range point of view, the fluctuation range is very large. It is basically maintained in the range of 3320-3280, which is about 40 US dollars. I suggest that we should still pay attention to whether the support here at 3280 can stabilize. If it can stabilize at this position, and there is a bottom signal at 3280, then you can go long near 3280. Sell high and buy low according to the range of 3280-3320.
On the contrary, if it falls below the support of 3280, don’t go long. It is very likely to directly test the support position of 3250-60 later.
Goldprediction
Trendline Liquidity, FVG Zones, and Potential Bullish Momentum!Gold Market Analysis – Trendline Liquidity, FVG Zones, and Potential Bullish Momentum
In a recent market phase, gold exhibited a clear trendline formation that captured notable liquidity. As highlighted on the attached chart, this liquidity was strategically built up during previous consolidation phases. Currently, the price action has shown a distinct rejection from a bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG) located in the upper region, while simultaneously sweeping the liquidity aligned with the previously established trendline.
Interestingly, the market has since rebounded after making contact with a bullish Fair Value Gap identified on the daily timeframe. This rebound suggests a potential shift in sentiment from bearish to bullish, warranting close observation.
At present, gold is approaching another zone marked in blue on the chart. While this area also represents a bearish Fair Value Gap, it is derived from a lower time frame and may serve as a short-term resistance or a confirmation zone depending on how price behaves here.
Should the market successfully breach this blue FVG zone to the upside, it could open the door for continued bullish momentum, potentially driving prices toward the 3345 level or even higher. This level is critical and should be monitored closely, as price behavior here may provide further confirmation of the prevailing trend.
As always, conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions. This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Intraday volatility,there is still chance to go long on pullback🗞News side:
1. The situation in Israel escalates
2. Initial jobless claims data
📈Technical aspects:
Influenced by recent news, gold showed a volatile rebound trend. Gold continued to rise in the early Asian session, r OANDA:XAUUSD eaching a high of around 3345. The 3290-3300 level below has absolute support in the short term. As long as it does not fall below 3290, you can go long at 3290-3300. In the 4H cycle, the Bollinger opening and the moving average diverge upwards. The upward momentum is sufficient, and it is not easy to guess the top. Pay attention to the 3310-3300 line of support below, and pay attention to the suppression of the 3340-3350 area above. If the gold price stabilizes at 3350, it is expected to further explore the resistance of 3360-3370. If the European session falls into volatility, maintain the range of high selling and low buying, and consider going long when it retreats to the support level of 3320-3310.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD
Obviously, the correct direction for gold is not bullish
📊Technical aspects
Friends, when everyone is bullish, it is precisely the time for us to go short. There is pressure at the 3350 line, and we should go short when it is high.
In the previous viewpoint this morning, the four-way downward channel trend showed a downward trend of gold. The viewpoint is that gold cannot blindly chase highs. The decline makes us a stable trading idea. The strategy gives a short position near 3340-3350 US dollars. I believe that everyone has gained something from the short position. So how should we look at the direction after the profit?
Technically, gold has failed to hit the 3350 level many times at the daily level, showing that the resistance at this position is strong. The 30-minute moving average system is in a short position arrangement, and the short-term moving average forms a dead cross with the long-term moving average. Then our current strategy remains unchanged. Don't chase the rise, and still need a steady correction to bearish.
💰 Strategy Package
Short Position:3300-3315,3320-3350
A new round of gold price rise is coming?
💡Message Strategy
Economic data to watch
12:00, Lane, an official from the European Central Bank (ECB), will speak
12:00, Barkin, an official from the Federal Reserve (Fed), will speak
📊Technical aspects
Upward resistance: Short-term resistance is close to $3,320, which is the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the downward trend from the high of $3,440 to the low of $3,120; the next major resistance is near $3,350. If it is clearly broken through, it may open up more upside space. The subsequent resistance may point to $3,380. After breaking through, the price may climb to the milestone level of $3,400.
Downward support: Initial support is close to $3,265, the first key support is near $3,220, the next major support is $3,200, and the core support is $3,220. If it falls below the $3,220 support, it may trigger further declines, and the next major support is $3,150.
Combined with the current trend of gold, from the hourly chart, gold has shown a downward retracement channel, and the upper resistance of around $20 has been repeatedly tested and has not been broken. It is not recommended to chase the rise at present.
Combined with the analysis of the downward four channels, the current mainstream trend of gold retreating to a high level and then shorting is
💰 Strategy Package
Short Position:3315-3320,3340-3350
GOLD Technical Analysis - Correction Incoming?Quick summary on XAUUSD, it really resembles my previous analysis on XAUUSD.
Gold has been volatile and needs to be closely monitored. According to our earlier analysis, gold is trading within a clearly defined ascending channel, with the current action now testing the upper boundary. This level may act as dynamic resistance, and a rejection here could trigger a corrective move toward the 3,300 support area.
If buyers defend this support, the bullish structure remains intact, with potential to move back to higher levels. However, if the price breaks below this zone, a deeper pullback toward the lower boundary of the channel may occur.
Monitoring candlestick patterns and volume at this critical zone is essential to identify buying opportunities. Risk should be properly managed. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk control.
If you have any thoughts on this setup or additional insights, drop them in the comments!
Crucial levels for DXY (USD Basket), Risk Trigger On/OffCrucial levels for DXY. If it breaks lower than the lower trendline it tells me that assets like BTC, Gold, Silver, Copper, Palladium and Platinum can shoot to new ATH´s. If the level holds then I think we could hit a correction in the risk assets among assets already mentioned.
TVC:DXY COMEX:HG1! OANDA:XCUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD FX_IDC:XAUUSD ICEUS:DXY FX_IDC:XAGUSD TVC:PLATINUM TVC:PALLADIUM
XAUUSD✅ Second Trade of the Day – XAUUSD
The second trade of the day comes from Gold (XAUUSD).
Just like BTC, gold has shown strong bullish momentum in recent days. I’m looking to take advantage of this minor pullback within the broader uptrend — a classic continuation setup on the 15-minute chart.
🔍 Trade Details:
✔️ Timeframe: 15-Minute
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:2
✔️ Trade Direction: Buy
✔️ Entry Price: 3330.72
✔️ Take Profit: 3341.37
✔️ Stop Loss: 3325.42
🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I'm simply sharing a trade I'm personally taking based on my own system, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes.
📌 If you're interested in a more systematic and data-driven trading approach:
💡 Follow the page and enable notifications to stay updated on future trade setups and advanced market insights.
Gold Short Setup: Selling Into Strength at Key Supply ZoneI’m eyeing a high-probability setup on XAUUSD (Gold) based on clean price action and structure on the daily timeframe. After a strong bullish push from the recent lows around 3,120, price has formed a clear bullish engulfing structure, breaking short-term resistance levels.
The market has now entered a key supply zone (highlighted in grey), where previous price action saw sharp rejections. I’ve placed my sell limit just below 3,350, targeting a return toward the 3,120 zone, where strong demand previously stepped in. My stop-loss is placed above the recent swing high, giving this trade a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
This trade idea is built on the expectation of a short-term correction or rejection from this supply area, aligning with market structure and historical reaction zones. I’ll be monitoring price closely for any signs of weakness like bearish candlestick confirmations within the zone.
XAUUSD Weekly Analysis & Trade Signal — May 18, 2025Technical Overview:
Price is currently trading around the $3,204 level, right below a key resistance zone of $3,245–$3,255, which aligns with the midline of the descending parallel channel.
This zone has historically acted as a strong resistance. If price retests and rejects this level again, we can expect a significant bearish move.
However, a clean breakout above $3,255 followed by a successful retest and hold would shift the bias to bullish, potentially targeting the upper boundary of the channel near $3,360.
The weekly candle closed below $3,240 with strong bearish momentum (notable red volume), signaling a potential continuation of the downtrend next week.
Trading Plan for Next Week:
🟥 Bearish Bias (Preferred Scenario)
Entry: If price retests $3,245–$3,255 zone and shows strong rejection (e.g. bearish engulfing or wick rejections).
Target 1: $3,200
Target 2: $3,145
Target 3: $3,100
Stop Loss: Above $3,270
🟩 Bullish Scenario (Breakout Confirmation)
Entry: If price breaks and holds above $3,255, and confirms with a bullish retest.
Target 1: $3,300
Target 2: $3,345 (channel top)
Stop Loss: Below $3,230
Summary:
Your preferred bias should remain bearish unless price clearly breaks and holds above the $3,255 resistance zone. Trade based on confirmation, not anticipation.
Kindly show support, like and comment.
The unilateral offensive is fierce: the bulls have clear goalsGold is performing strongly sideways. We are in the same rhythm as yesterday and continue to maintain bullishness. Gold broke through the key resistance of 3280 on Tuesday and then rose strongly. It is currently above the area near 3330. The technical side shows that the bullish trend continues. The next target may point to the high of 3400. After rising continuously on Monday and Tuesday, it slightly adjusted back to around 3285 on Wednesday and stabilized before rising again. The daily line closed positive and stood firmly on the middle track. The Bollinger band opened upward, and the upper track pressure was at 3400, suggesting that the medium-term upward space is open. The Bollinger band opened significantly, the moving average was arranged in a bullish pattern, and the upward momentum was strong. Short-term support focuses on the moving average at 3315. If the correction does not break this position, the trend long order can follow up. If the key resistance of 3350 is effectively broken, it will further open up the upward space.
Gold operation suggestions: continue to go long after stepping back to 3320-3315, with a target of 3350. If it rises to around 3350 without breaking, you can arrange short-term short orders, with a target of 3330.
Gold consolidates. Changing trend?Asian market: Gold continues to rise, and the current highest is near the high of $3345.
The next trend is very critical, let's look at it from the 4-hour chart.
It can be seen that there is absolute suppression at $3340. It is just near the top of the trend line, and it is difficult to break through directly.
Therefore, it will definitely be maintained near $3340 for consolidation in the future.
In addition, from the 1-hour chart:
I think the most critical bottom support position today is $3315. As long as gold is above this point, it will be in a consolidation and rise, or it will be maintained at $3315-3340 for consolidation. The position above that needs to be paid attention to is near $3350. Once it breaks through $3340 and stabilizes above $3350, gold may rise further to test $3360-3370.
However, if gold falls below $3315, it may trigger a sharp decline.
Operation strategy:
I suggest you focus on the fluctuation range of 3315-3340 USD and buy low and sell high.
However, it should be noted that once the upper or lower range is broken, you should be alert to the possible trend change.
Is the gold price far from 3,400?Information summary:
The trade war is a continuous war, and it has just begun. During Trump's four years in office, trade conflicts will continue to occur. Trade conflicts are means, not ends. The goal of the United States is to transfuse blood to its own economy through trade negotiations.
In addition, US inflation fell to a historic low of 2.3% in April. The Federal Reserve has not cut interest rates on the grounds that inflation will rebound. The Federal Reserve can't hold on for long. Cutting interest rates is the only antidote to boost the economy, and it is also a special medicine.
Next, once the Federal Reserve releases the wind of interest rate cuts, the market's risk aversion will be ignited again. In June, 6 trillion US bonds will mature. Regardless of the result this time, market sentiment will be worried, which is the key to driving price fluctuations.
Market analysis:
The 1-hour gold price broke through yesterday's high of $3,320. The previous pressure formed a new top-bottom conversion position, and the strong market was only a small correction in the middle. There is no need to worry about whether it will peak, but there must be a standard for judging the peak; this standard is: breaking the support position before the last decline, and the second rebound does not set a new high.
Operation strategy:
Go long when the price falls back to around $3,330, stop loss at $3,320, and profit range at $3,365-3,380.
Bearish Setup for Gold (XAU/USD)
Current Price: ~3,334 USD
• Expected Move: Short-term rise to 3,380–3,390, then a strong drop.
Reasoning:
• Completing an Elliott Wave triangle (E wave) at resistance.
• Harmonic pattern (Gartley/Bat) aligns with this reversal zone.
• Resistance lies within a descending channel.
• Bearish Target: ~3,050–3,030
• Trade Setup: Consider shorting near 3,380–3,390 with stops above 3,400.
TVC:GOLD
XAUUSD Break & Retest | Buy-Side Continuation SetupGold (XAUUSD) has made a solid bullish comeback after bouncing off the demand zone at 3,317–3,319, where we saw a surge in buying interest following a quick liquidity sweep. This bounce not only confirms the demand but also lays the groundwork for a potential continuation of the upward trend.
Right now, the price action is breaking through some minor intraday structures, shifting the market sentiment back in favor of buyers. The move above 3,320 shows a clear bullish intent, aiming for the supply zone overhead around 3,325–3,328. This area represents the last major distribution before the previous sell-off, making it a key short-term resistance point.
From a structural perspective, this setup follows a classic demand-hold and supply-target strategy, backed by intraday momentum and a trendline breakout. As long as the price stays above 3,317, the bullish outlook remains intact.
The target area stretches toward 3,328 and 3,331, where we might see some profit-taking or new selling. If those levels are surpassed, we could see further gains into the 3,335–3,340 range.
🔍 Key Confluences:
Strong rejection from the previous support zone
Clear bullish structure (Higher Highs & Higher Lows on the 5-minute timeframe)
Momentum aligned with the Asia–London session overlap
Price trading above key EMAs (optional, if included)
🎯 Trade Plan Overview:
Entry: Breakout or retest at 3,319–3,320
Stop Loss: Below 3,317 (this would invalidate the demand)
Take Profit 1: 3,328
Take Profit 2: 3,331
Final Target (optional): 3,335+ (if the breakout continues)
📣 Bias:
Bullish — until demand is broken with strong volume.
XAU USD NEXT POSSIBLE MOVE WITH SO MUCH UP AND DOWNIn hourly time frame it takes rejection and after opening session we can see two scenarios...
After opening new session if it comes down then tgt: 3385, from here have 90% chances to reverse for tgt: 3340, if it will not reverse and continue down side then we can go for the tgt:3275 to 3209
Gold (XAU/USD) Bullish Breakout Trade Setup – Targeting $3,4201. Entry Point Zone (~3,302.88 - 3,317.09):
This is the area where a long position (buy) is suggested.
The price has already moved slightly above this zone, indicating the trade may have already been triggered.
2. Stop Loss (~3,260.41 - 3,299.02):
Positioned below the entry zone to limit downside risk.
Suggests that if the price drops below this support zone, the trade idea is invalidated.
3. Target Point (3,420.41):
A bullish target suggesting a potential upside move of ~117.62 points (or ~3.56%).
This zone acts as a take-profit level.
4. Technical Indicators:
Moving averages (possibly 50 EMA in red and 200 EMA in blue) show a bullish crossover recently, supporting the upward momentum.
5. Pattern Outlook:
The chart implies a possible cup-and-handle or bullish consolidation breakout pattern, anticipating continuation upward.
Summary:
The strategy depicted is a bullish breakout setup:
Buy near 3,302.88–3,317.09
Stop Loss near 3,260–3,299
Take Profit near 3,420
This setup favors buyers as long as the price remains above the stop-loss zone. If the market holds this structure, there's a good risk-reward ratio for a move to 3,420.41.
Chart Analysis (45-Minute Timeframe):1. Breakout Confirmation:
The chart shows a bullish breakout from a rising wedge or channel structure, marked with two red trend lines.
Price has closed above the Ichimoku cloud, confirming bullish momentum.
2. Key Resistance Levels:
First resistance: $3,324.89 (being tested currently).
Major target/resistance zone: $3,368.18 (highlighted by the upper red line and arrow).
This zone aligns with a previous strong supply area visible on the left of the chart.
3. Support Levels:
Immediate support at the breakout zone around $3,310.
Additional supports lie at:
$3,308.23
$3,305.13
$3,266.45 (bottom of the recent move and key invalidation zone).
4. Volume Profile:
Increased bullish volume is supporting the breakout.
No significant bearish volume spikes yet, indicating momentum is still in favor of buyers.
5. Ichimoku Cloud Insight:
Bullish signals:
Price is above the cloud.
Lagging span (Chikou) is above price.
Cloud ahead is green, indicating potential continued bullish trend.
6. Expected Move:
If price holds above $3,310, we could see a continuation toward the target zone at $3,368.
However, failure to hold above $3,310–$3,305 could lead to a pullback toward the base of the channel or cloud support.
Summary:
Gold is in a bullish breakout phase. A sustained move above $3,324 and holding support at $3,310 increases the likelihood of a move toward the $3,368 resistance zone. Watch volume and lower trend support for any signs of a reversal or failed breakout.
How to arrange after gold falls into consolidation🗞News side:
1. US officials said Trump's statement was related to the Golden Dome Project, which may affect the flow of funds
2. The tension in the Middle East has intensified, and the risk aversion sentiment has increased, which is good for gold
3. Although the withdrawal of Indian and Pakistani troops has eased the regional situation, geopolitical risks still exist
4. Trump mentioned the tax bill, which affected economic expectations and affected gold investment sentiment to a certain extent.
📈Technical aspects:
At present, gold is in consolidation, and the upward trend is slightly stagnant. From the hourly chart, there are signs of downward correction after the upward test of 3320. In the short term, the upper 3320 line has a certain suppression, so gold may test the support again and then rise after stabilizing. Then the first support below is the 3292 line, followed by the 3285 line. If it falls below, it may test the two key support points of 3273 and 3265. The current trend is not clear. In the future trading, we will wait patiently for the gold price to stabilize before entering the market.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
Gold - This is still clearly not over!Gold - TVC:GOLD - just needs a moment to breathe:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
It is just incredible how Gold has been rallying lately. Just over the past 1.5 years, Gold is up another +80% and is creating new all time highs every month. Since these strong rallies continue a lot longer than most people think, Gold still has significant upside potential.
Levels to watch: $3.500, $4.000
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey everyone,
Please see update on our 1h chart idea.
After completing our Bullish targets yesterday, at 3236 and 3278; we stated that we would look for ema5 to lock above 3278 to open 3308.
- We got the lock above 3278, confirming 3308, which was hit perfectly today. We now have a ema5 cross and lock above 3308, opening the range above. Any rejections in this zone and we may see a retest of lower Goldturns for the usual weighted level bounces, inline with our plans to buy dips.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3236 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3236 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3278 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3278 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3308 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3308 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3343
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3343 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3373
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3373 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3418
BEARISH TARGETS
3184
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3184 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3146
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3146 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3103
3069
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3069 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3030
2981
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
As gold's rally stalls, do bears have a chance?Technical aspect:
Gold is currently fluctuating in a narrow range around 3310, and the short-term direction is not clear. However, the rebound potential is relatively weak, but for the London market, gold's willingness to retreat is not strong; however, from a technical perspective, the current gold structure is still biased towards bulls, and gold still has the potential to continue to rebound to the area around 3330, or even the area around 3350;
However, after the rise of gold stagnates, we still cannot aggressively chase gold in trading, one is to prevent technical retracement after the sharp rise of gold; the other is to prevent the retracement of gold in order to grab liquidity after the rise of gold stagnates. In the short term, the support area we must pay attention to is in the 3285-3275 area, followed by the 3260-3250 area. If gold cannot break through the 3320-3330 area in the short term, gold may still continue to test the support area.
Trading strategy:
1. If gold still cannot effectively break through the area around 3320 in the short term, you can consider trying to short gold in small quantities around 3310-3320; TP: 3280-3270, set up protection to prevent gold from continuing to rise to 3330 or even 3350;
2. Consider going long on gold when gold retreats to the 3285-3280 area, set up protection to prevent gold from continuing to retreat to the 3260 area.
7 Gold Trades That Banked Over $2,500 LAST WEEK – Steal My StratMy strategy is straightforward: I trade order blocks, target premium/discount zones, and capitalize on liquidity sweeps. When these three signals align on the chart, I enter without hesitation.
Gold triggered a strong reaction off a bullish order block at $3192-3120 after forming it on May 15th( also can be seen as STB), confirming a robust uptrend and a global reversal from a deep discount zone( can be seen on 4h time frame). For the bullish momentum to solidify, price must break and close above $3250
So i will keep an eye on GOLD chart and prefer long trader to shorts