Goldprediction
Mainly short gold, but there is still an opportunity to go long.Bros, since gold has chosen to break down and fall below the short-term support of 2620, it is obvious that the gold bears have a slight advantage in the struggle. So in trading, we mainly focus on shorting gold. The current short-term resistance area has shifted to the 2630-2635 area, so in short-term trading, we can short gold with the 2630-2635 resistance area;
But on the other hand, even if gold continues to fall, it is difficult to completely reverse into a short trend before today's NFP market, which limits the downside to a certain extent. The support area below is in the 2610-2600 area; so once gold falls back to this area, I will still try to go long on gold again; but we need to be careful that once gold falls below 2600, it is likely to continue to fall to around 2580.
Trading strategy:
1. Short gold with 2630-2635 area as resistance;
2. Try to long gold with 2610-2600 area as support (only try once)
3. It should be noted that once gold effectively falls below 2600, it is very likely that gold will continue to fall to 2580 area
Bros, how are you going to trade gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
XAUUSD Trade Log - Monthly Swing TradeXAUUSD Swing Long Trade
This is a high-confidence swing trade setup with multiple confluences across monthly and daily timeframes.
Trade Details :
- Risk: 5% of capital
- Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): 1:4
- Entry: Anywhere within the monthly Fair Value Gap (FVG), which has a 90-point range. You may DCA (Dollar Cost Average) into your position for better flexibility, though this is discretionary.
- Confluence: Signals align from the monthly down to the daily charts, indicating strong bullish momentum.
Macro Factors Supporting Gold Longs :
- Safe-Haven Demand: Global geopolitical tensions, including conflicts in the Middle East and Eastern Europe, have driven investors toward gold as a risk-averse asset.
- Rising Recession Risks: With several central banks maintaining high interest rates for prolonged periods, economic slowdown fears are rising, further boosting gold demand.
- Central Bank Purchases: Central banks worldwide, especially in emerging markets, continue to accumulate gold reserves to reduce reliance on the US dollar.
- Inflation Hedging: Persistent inflation concerns make gold an attractive hedge, particularly as real yields show signs of plateauing.
- Weakened Dollar Outlook: A potential pivot in US Federal Reserve policy could weaken the dollar, which would likely support gold prices in the medium to long term.
This swing trade offers a strong opportunity to capitalize on the current macroeconomic and technical landscape favoring gold's upward momentum. Stay aware of any unexpected fundamental developments that could influence the market.
12.6 Gold breaks bottom to welcome non-agricultural sector!Tonight's non-agricultural data, the market is divided into two sections:
1. Before the non-agricultural data, according to the current rhythm, it is considered to be volatile, so change the range or short, volatile 618, choose the intraday decline and rebound 618 position, you can also short.
2. Non-agricultural data, last month's non-agricultural data was only 12,000. According to ADP, it is bullish for gold, but the data is bullish, and the probability of non-agricultural data being negative is not high. It can only be lower than expected. At the same time, the increase in unemployment rate is bullish for gold. This is also difficult.
So for the evening non-agricultural data, the current decline will either release the non-agricultural trend in advance or rush down and fall back. It is unlikely to be simply bearish.
The intraday short-term 618 position is at the 2626-8 line, which can be blocked for the second time.
Non-agricultural support, if it continues to break the bottom, don't grab more, this kind of continuous bottom breaking, more is meaningless.
See if it bottoms out and rebounds, and treat it as a new range of fluctuations.
Focus on the 100-day moving average position below, the daily large-scale support level
In addition, according to our shock formula, short-term and long-term opportunities are not available at the moment.
Before the non-agricultural market, there will be a second reminder, just follow the members.
Gold Short Scenario for NFPGold prices dropped by $25 on Thursday, December 4, breaking below the consolidation zone. It's common for gold to test both the highs and lows of consolidation areas ahead of major data releases. I view this decline as a potential manipulation of the lows, anticipating a rebound toward the 2658 level to target the highs before a stronger sell-off resumes after the data release.
Alternatively, the price might extend this manipulation phase further, reaching the 2675-2680 level, where the H4 order block aligns with the upper boundary of the descending channel.
1st Scenario
Short Entry: 2658
Stop Loss: 2663
2nd Scenario:
Short Entry: 2675
Stop Loss: 2690
Targets: 2622 > 2605 > 2589 > 2560 >...>2430
Bitcoin Hits $100K: What Does It Mean for Gold?Bitcoin’s historic surge past $100K has reignited debates about its role in the financial world. Fed Chair Jerome Powell weighed in, calling Bitcoin a "speculative asset," likening it to virtual gold rather than a competitor to the dollar:
"It's highly volatile, not a store of value or form of payment. It's really a competitor for gold."
With Bitcoin soaring, many are asking: Could this mark the beginning of a stronger correlation between Bitcoin and gold, or are they destined to move on separate paths?
Gold Faces Its Own Test
While Bitcoin grabs the headlines, gold prices slipped below $2,630 per ounce, pressured by firming U.S. Treasury yields. Benchmark 10-year yields rose 0.6%, as markets anticipate today’s U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, expected to show 200,000 new jobs. A weaker report could lift gold, especially as traders assign a 74% chance of a 25-basis-point Fed rate cut in December.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell has emphasized caution, acknowledged the economy’s resilience but signaling a careful approach to rate cuts. Gold, often a winner in low-rate environments, now finds itself at a critical juncture.
Our Trading Plan for Gold
Key levels to watch as we await the NFP report:
$2,630: Monitor for price reactions to this recent support.
$2,537–$2,530: Look for potential opportunities at this deeper support range.
The Bigger Picture
As Bitcoin claims new highs and challenges gold’s status as a store of value, gold continues to be swayed by macroeconomic forces. Will gold bounce back, or is it preparing for further dips as Bitcoin surges?
Let us know your thoughts—will Bitcoin and gold align as Powell suggests, or will their paths diverge further?
For more in-depth gold analysis and updates, stay tuned. And as always, happy trading!
12.6 Gold shock awaits non-agricultural sector① Gold was still in a range yesterday and needs to wait for Friday's non-farm payrolls;
② The current daily indicator MACD is oscillating near the zero axis, and the dynamic indicator STO is oscillating upward with two lines; it means that there is no direction.
③ The daily Bollinger Bands are beginning to shrink and compress the range on the three tracks. The current upper and lower track range is 2705-2558, and the small range is the middle track and MA30 adhesion point 2631-2667
④ The current 4-hour moving average is entangled with the middle track, and the upper and lower tracks are running flat, which means range oscillation. The current range is 2629-2656.
Strategy:
Long near 2615, defend 2605, and target 2644-2650-2658
Short near 2660-62, defend 2669, and target 2650-2645
GOLD DAILY CHART UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another ranging day on the charts today, which works perfectly with our strategy and plans to buy dips, as we are able to continue to use the weighted level to take the bounces.
Please see the daily chart update, to give you all an overall view of the range. We are playing between two weighted levels 2629 and 2686. 2629 is still providing support with no ema5 lock below.
This is allowing us to use our smaller timeframe analysis on the 1H chart to buy dips from the weighted Goldturns for 30 to 40 pips clean. Ranging markets are perfectly suited for this type of trading, instead of trying to hold longer positions and getting chopped up in the swings up and down in the range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up using our smaller timeframe ideas.
Our long term bias is Bullish and therefore we look forward to drops like this, which allows us to continue to use our smaller timeframes to buy dips using our levels and setups.
Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings rather then chasing the bull from the top.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
12.5 COMEX Gold Technical AnalysisFrom a technical perspective, the gold daily line is close to the upper edge of convergence, and the Bollinger Bands show signs of closing. At the same time, the price has not broken through the moving average pressure, and the KDJ indicator is in a state of fluctuation without an obvious direction.
The daily level convergence pressure is around $2,690. If it breaks through, it is expected to accelerate upward and test the previous high point. If it breaks below the support of 2,640, it will accelerate downward.
From the 1-hour level, the Bollinger Bands are closing, and the convergence structure is entering the end, waiting for the direction to be chosen. The current volatility has dropped significantly.
The technical indicators remain volatile, with intraday high selling and low buying, and the lower support is $2,650 and the upper pressure is $2,690.
SELL: 2,650 Defense: 60 Target: 35-----30
12.5 Gold shocks, waiting for non-farm payrolls, short and longYesterday, the gold market opened at 2643.2 in the morning and then fluctuated in the range. Before the start of the U.S. market, the market gave a daily low of 2631.8 and then the market quickly pulled up to the daily high of 2657 and then the market consolidated. The daily line finally closed at 2649.8 and the market closed in a spindle shape with a lower shadow slightly longer than the upper shadow. After ending with this shape, today's market fell back to more. In terms of points, if today's market rises first, give a short stop loss of 2652 to 2657. If it falls back to 2637 first, the long position will be conservative at 2635 and the long stop loss will be 2631. The target is 2657. If it breaks, the pressure of 2661 and 2667 will be seen.
XAUUSD Trade LogXAUUSD Buy Signal:
Entry within the daily Fair Value Gap (FVG), aiming for a 1:3 Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) with 1% risk. While there is a conflicting bearish FVG that might obstruct the path to the take-profit (TP) level, the trade setup remains valid and will be executed regardless.
Key Details:
- Risk: 1%
- RRR: 1:3
- Entry: Daily FVG in a discounted zone
- TP: Positioned below the bearish FVG to mitigate resistance
- Note: Monitor price action near the bearish FVG as it may create challenges for the bullish move.
Gold/XauUsd formed a triangle pattern to move FAST!What i see!
Gold/XauUsd: Formed a triangle pattern. We should wait for a breakout to enter this trade. When the pattern is broken, gold will move quickly upward or downward.
It's important to have your own rules on RR and adhere to them. This trading idea is intended to assist you and enhance your knowledge. If you have any questions, please ask me in the comments.
Learn & Earn!
Wave Trader Pro
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Once again our chart idea delivered the goods with our weighted retracement level providing support and bounce like we highlighted.
We were once again able to buy dips inline with our plans with the movement from 2631 to 2647. However, now we have ema5 cross and lock above 2647 opening the range above.
We have been in a similar play range all week with both ranges below and above now left open. This is typical of ranging market conditions and as always our strategy to buy dips from our weighted levels allows us to navigate the traps and secure the pips.
Our lower weighted levels are in place for bounces inline with our plans, should we see a failure to fill the gap above and see a drop below.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2668
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2668 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2696
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2696 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2713
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2713 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2733
BEARISH TARGETS
2647 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2647 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2631 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2631 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2609 - 2592
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold is in the bullish direction after correcting the supportHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
11.4 Gold weakens in the short termGold has fluctuated for two consecutive trading days, and it should break today.
Yesterday, as expected, the daily line rose after a single negative, mainly in three aspects:
1. Since this wave of rebound, the daily line has been a single negative, so look at the cycle.
2. The previous day rebounded too much. Although it retreated at the 618 position, the double bottom position is still there.
3. In the morning, 2633 is not only a rebound and retreat to the 618 position, but also a previous low point.
When looking at fluctuations, I have always emphasized a method, 618 is better to make a mistake than to let it go.
Therefore, we used gold non-short yesterday.
At the same time, let's look at yesterday's technical points:
Yesterday emphasized two watersheds, one is the time point of the European session, and the other is the price: 2633 and 2644, and the intraday breakthrough will continue.
1. In the morning, it directly relied on the low point to rise, quickly to the 2652 line, and the price effectively broke the morning low of 2644. It also emphasized that after the breakthrough, it is enough to step back more.
2. 2639 is the morning rebound and retracement to 618. The shock continues to see a step-back entry.
3. Although the performance before the US market is not big, the formula emphasizes that the correction at 6-8 points before the US market is still bullish. Yesterday, the US market also continued to rise after the breakthrough as expected.
But there are also regrets. It continued to fall back at 12 o'clock in the morning.
In the formula time point, we will make a summary at 12 o'clock every night. On the one hand, the Asian market is now big, and we will make a layout at 7-8 o'clock the next day, and also make a summary for the day.
Yesterday at 12 o'clock, it returned to the prototype: the first thought is that it was short at 7-8 o'clock this morning, and gold was weak.
Today, it is still the same. In this form, don't look at the continuous positive cycle of the daily line. Instead, the yin and yang lines in the shock are interchanged. Today, we see a break and fall.
For operations, it has been emphasized recently that the Asian market fluctuates greatly, and the focus is on the layout at 7-8 o'clock.
Therefore, you can go short in the morning, the upper watershed is 2649, and the lower target is 2627-29.
In addition, if it falls below 2630 today, then it is still short in the European session.
Due to the oscillation pattern retracement, pay attention to the entry point at 618, and the extremely weak 382, which refers to the entry point for the second rebound when the intraday high falls to the low.