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Goldprediction

Gold's Next Big Move: Analyzing the $2825 Strike and Insider ActLet me start with a disclaimer that I firmly believe in and adhere to: don’t flip the trend; leave that to those who are just here to play around and get their adrenaline fix while watching their accounts explode. Now, let’s get down to business. On August 5, 2024, when gold was languishing in a sideways market around $2400 on the CME, an insider option portfolio dubbed the "Call Butterfly" emerged, set to expire on February 25 of the following year. The central strike of this portfolio was chosen at $2825. Due to the nature of such an options portfolio, this specific price level will yield maximum profit at expiration. To keep the readers engaged and prevent them from dozing off, let me add that the risk-reward ratio for this portfolio is already 1:4. The Insider can choose to close it, but they are under no obligation to do so and can comfortably watch the value of their portfolio rise as it approaches the $2825 mark based on the April futures—don’t confuse this with the spot price of XAU. Clarifying the Price Dynamics It's important to clarify that there is a difference between the spot market price, particularly XAU/USD, which forex traders are so accustomed to—thanks to its uninterrupted price movement due to the absence of futures expiration—and the futures price, which includes forward points. Currently, the price of Gold in April futures stands at $2784, just a hop away from the coveted insider portfolio price of $2825. Why the Confidence in Insider Activity? Several indicators suggest this is indeed an insider move: Portfolio Volume: A whopping 9,000 contracts in a distant options series at a far-off strike can only be purchased by a major player, not any average retail trader. Market Entry Timing : The entry point was during a sideways market, and the news backdrop was, to put it mildly, not in gold's favor. Immediate Market Reaction: Almost immediately after entering the market, Gold began to climb, doing so with minimal pauses or significant corrections. Why Bring This Up Now? You might wonder why I’m highlighting actions that have already occurred, especially since the opportunity to profit from them has passed. The answer is clear: the insider knew when and in which direction to enter, and his exit will likely follow a predictable pattern, leaving traces in the CME reports. If the insider decides to exit, there will be justifiable reasons behind it, which we will only learn about long after the fact. Starting today, I will actively monitor and analyze the daily reports on gold and specifically this portfolio. Practical experience and statistics suggest that this will provide excellent sentiment regarding the future of the precious metals market. Good luck to everyone! Stay focused, stay disciplined, and stay committed to your goals.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by ClashChartsTeam
GOLD 1H & 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Great start to the week with our 1H chart hitting two bullish targets 2730 and 2739 and one remaining at 2747, which will be further confirmed with ema5 lock above 2739. 1H CHART ROUTE MAP This 4H chart had ema5 lock above 2715 opening 2737, which was also hit perfectly completing this setup. A PIPTASTIC start to the week!!! We will now look for ema5 lock above 2737 to confirm the range above or failure to lock will follow with a rejection to test lower Goldturns for our reactional bounces. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGET 2737 (EMA5 LOCK ABOVE 2715 WILL FURTHER CONFIRM THIS) - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2737 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2760 POTENTIALLY 2779 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2779 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2797 POTENTIALLY 2814 BEARISH TARGETS 2715 2693 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2693 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 2669 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2669 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2640 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
8
10.22 Gold hits new highs, near 2710, longOn Monday (October 21), gold prices rose for the fifth consecutive trading day to a record high, while silver prices hit their highest level in nearly 12 years, affected by factors such as uncertainty in the US election, continued tensions in the Middle East, and expectations of interest rate cuts by central banks. Fundamental analysis: safe-haven demand supports gold prices The current global instability, especially tensions in the Middle East, provides strong support for gold. As a traditional safe-haven asset, gold usually attracts a lot of buying when uncertainty increases, especially when geopolitical conflicts continue to ferment. On the other hand, the market lacks the release of heavyweight economic data, and investors will pay attention to the speeches of several Fed policymakers this week. These speeches may have a significant impact on market expectations, especially in terms of monetary policy. If the Fed expresses its inclination to continue to maintain a tight policy, it may put pressure on gold prices. Conversely, any signs of easing will further push gold prices up. The situation in the Middle East continues to ferment Tensions between Israel and Iran are one of the main drivers of this round of gold price increases. The latest military action has further escalated the market's risk aversion. The US investigation into leaked documents has also added uncertainty. Gold naturally becomes a safe haven for investors in such an environment. In the short term, as long as geopolitical risks are not resolved, gold prices may remain high and volatile. Federal Reserve Policy Expectations With Fed policymakers about to speak, the market is closely watching their latest views on economic growth, inflation and monetary policy. Any hint of rate hikes or balance sheet reduction may change the market's expectations for future gold trends. Currently, gold prices remain high due to the interweaving of safe-haven demand and policy expectations. Technical analysis: The risk of a correction is increasing Gold bulls can break through the resistance level of $2,730, and gold prices are expected to test the psychological level of $2,750. $2,730 is currently a key watershed, and breaking through this level will greatly enhance gold's bullish sentiment and open up further room for growth. BUY: 2,715 Target 2,730----40
TVC:GOLDLong
by David_strategy
1
Gold Prices Surge to New Heights The weekend news cycle has once again ignited tension in the market, leading to gold prices hitting a historic high of $2732 at Monday's open, followed by a sustained increase of approximately 10 basis points. This trend aligns with my forecasts, and I anticipate that both the London and New York markets will continue to rise in the coming days. Looking ahead, gold prices are expected to reach new dimensions this week. In terms of trading strategy, I recommend employing a buy-low, sell-high approach, with particular attention to the critical levels of 2725 and 2712. Members utilizing rapid trading strategies should remain vigilant, as new strategies will soon be announced.
TVC:GOLDLong
by George_parse
XAUUSD: +1100 pips move in making! Let's catch the big move? Dear Traders, We have possibly a great chance to buy Gold as it is currently in a correction mode. After evaluating how price behaved in last two days we think there is a gap that price needs to filled before it continue the bullish momentum. Also there are big talk of ceasefire in ongoing conflict, if that happens the gold will likely to drop further than what we have identified. Please if there is sudden drop and price does come to our area, do not just enter wait for 4 hours or 2 hours candle to close before taking any entries. Also this is not a guaranteed chart analysis and this is just our view, you can use this as educational purposes. Good luck and trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Setupsfx_
8
Gold (XAU/USD) Upward Channel with Potential Correctionhello guys! let's analyze GOLD! Rising Channel: Gold is trading within a well-defined ascending channel, showing a continuous bullish trend over the medium term. Resistance Zone: The price is nearing a significant resistance zone around $2,747, which could act as a cap on further bullish momentum. Possible Double-Top Formation: The chart suggests the possibility of a double-top forming near the upper boundary of the channel, which may signal a short-term reversal. Correction Expected: After testing the resistance, a pullback to the channel's lower trendline is expected. Previous support levels mark the initial downside targets, which are around $2,724 and $2,708. Fibonacci Retracement: A deeper retracement could target the 0.618 Fibonacci level at approximately $2,691, where strong buying interest may re-emerge.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by melikatrader94
7
XAUUSD: Can be bullish, but beware of pullback riskGold prices have continued to rise this year, hitting new highs, even as the U.S. stock market hit a series of record highs. Although the rise of safe-haven assets does not usually follow stocks, due to the demand of central banks and the decline in real interest rates, coupled with the constant geopolitical conflicts, gold has become the best way for investors to invest, which in turn continues to push up gold prices. Judging from the current trend of gold prices, gold has no signs of peaking at all, and the bullish trend is very strong, but at the same time, this moment is the most dangerous. The rise now seems to be completely abnormal. Once a certain opportunity appears, the decline will also be a waterfall. From the 1H chart, we can see that gold does not give a big chance of callback now, which is completely different from the previous rise. This is nothing more than wanting you to keep chasing the rise at a high level. But if you chase the rise like this, it will be very dangerous, and it is easy to chase the rise to the top of the mountain. The 2720 position in the figure is today's opening price. If the gold price can stabilize above 2720-2725, then gold will undoubtedly continue to rise and further hit new highs. But if it falls below 2720 today, then be careful. The gold price may further test the 2700 integer mark. If 2700 falls below, it will be the beginning of a sharp correction. So if you want to participate in the transaction today, you have to look at the situation in the 2720-2725 area. You can buy when the price stabilizes here. Otherwise, I do not recommend other trading positions.
TVC:GOLDLong
by AntonyTP
1
10.21 Gold Asian session longs,Gold did not fall back too much after the Asian session opened, and continued to rise steadily. Then the downward correction of gold would not be too large. If the correction was too large, it would mean that the rise of gold had ended. If gold fell slightly in the early trading, you could continue to go long. The 1-hour moving average of gold continued to diverge upward. Gold fell back to 2713 several times on Friday night and began to stop falling and rise. If gold fell back in the early trading, you could continue to go long first. Gold bulls continue to be strong, so gold bulls have not ended yet. Without a rapid upward surge, gold bulls will not end. Gold falling means continuing to go long.
TVC:GOLDLong
by David_strategy
2
EURUSD Analysis Week 43🌐Fundamental Analysis The European Central Bank (ECB) cut its key interest rate by 25 basis points (bps) as expected after its October policy meeting. In its policy statement, the ECB noted that it will continue to pursue a data-dependent and meeting-by-meeting approach to determine the appropriate level and duration of policy accommodation. In her post-meeting press conference, ECB President Christine Lagarde acknowledged that economic activity in the Eurozone has been weaker than expected. On the inflation outlook, Lagarde said low confidence, geopolitical tensions and low investment pose downside risks to inflation. Lagarde's dovish tone kept the euro under pressure in the second half of Thursday. The economic calendar will not feature any high-impact data on Friday. Meanwhile, US stock index futures traded in positive territory during the European session. 🕯Technical Analysis EURUSD has recovered at the end of the week after consecutive bearish pullbacks. The downtrend is still showing no signs of stopping as the bullish waves are still relatively weak. At least the pair must recover and close above the 1.095 area to be considered a broken downtrend. Watch the resistance zone when the price recovers around 1.095 and 1.103 for SELL signals. The extended pullback of the pair may extend to 1.072 before the bulls can jump in to prevent the pair from continuing to slide. 📈📉Trading Signals BUY EURUSD 1.07200-1.07000 Stoploss 1.06800 SELL EURUSD 1.09500-1.09700 Stoploss 1.09900
by TVS-Trader
7
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone, Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week. We are seeing price between two weighted levels. We have 2730 Goldturn resistance and 2719, as Goldturn support. We currently have a gap above on market open at 2730 and below at 2719 and will need ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGET 2730 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2730 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2739 2747 BEARISH TARGETS 2719 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2719 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET BEARISH TARGET 2706 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2706 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE RETRACEMENT RANGE 2692 - 2682 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2682 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2673 - 2661 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
13
GOLD DAILY CHART SHORT/MID TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone, Please see update on our daily chart idea that we have been tracking for a while with the updated retracement and swing range. Previously we analysed and highlighted our long range gap above at 2690, as we had ema5 cross and lock above 2645 opening 2690. We also stated that the daily chart averages are lagging so sometimes gaps get filled before ema5 confirmation, in which case candle body close gaps are suffice and that this gap had both. - 2690 was hit perfectly completing this target. We then had a candle body close above 2690, highlighted with a circle on the chart, opening 2725, as ema5 still lagging. We got the push up nicely but just short of the target, which now remains open for this week. We will now look for a ema5 lock or candle body close above 2725 for a continuation above or a rejection here will see the lower Goldturns tested for support. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. Our long term bias is Bullish and therefore we will continue to use our smaller timeframes to buy dips using our levels and setups. Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings rather then chasing the bull from the top. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
6
Gold Prices on the Rise: What to KnowThe price of gold has hit a new record high, reaching $2,714.10 per ounce amid escalating geopolitical tensions and concerns about the global economy. The surge in gold prices has prompted investors to seek haven assets as they fear a potential recession. The record high for gold prices comes as Russia continues its invasion of Ukraine, raising fears of a wider conflict in Europe. The war has disrupted global supply chains and led to a spike in energy prices, which has put pressure on businesses and consumers around the world. In addition to geopolitical tensions, concerns about the global economy are also driving up gold prices. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has warned that the world is facing a "polycrisis" of challenges, including inflation, rising interest rates, and debt distress. These factors have increased uncertainty and make investors more cautious. The surge in gold prices has significantly impacted India, which is one of the world's largest consumers of gold. The Indian rupee has weakened against the US dollar, making gold more expensive for Indian buyers. As a result, gold prices in India have reached record highs in recent weeks. The rise in gold prices has benefited gold miners and other companies in the gold industry. However, it has also put pressure on consumers and businesses that use gold in their products. For example, as prices have risen, jewelers and other retailers have seen a decline in demand for gold jewelry and other products. The future of gold prices is uncertain. If geopolitical tensions and economic concerns continue to escalate, gold prices could rise further. However, if the situation improves, gold prices could fall. Investors who are considering buying gold should be aware of the risks involved. Gold prices can be volatile, and there is no guarantee that they will continue to rise. It is important to do your research and to consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Here are some of the factors that could affect gold prices in the future: • The outcome of the war in Ukraine • The state of the global economy • The level of inflation • The interest rate policy of the US Federal Reserve • The demand for gold from India and other major consumers It is important to stay informed about these factors and to monitor gold prices regularly. By doing so, you can make informed decisions about whether or not to invest in gold.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by bryandowningqln
Gold Outlookcurrent week was almost a bullish week for Gold and we have seen New ATH (All time High) it was a situation gold was breaking its own Records Hour by Hour... for next week we are expecting gold to see a new peak of 2725 to 2734 and the a Retracement for the previous ATH then new Highs can be seen as far the confluences are concerned we have Fibonacci extension of previous high to low move over the price discussed above also 50 SMA from Monthly to weekly to daily to H4 to H1 is the confluence for price remaining above and can see new high as we always mention trend is our friend so we are bullish with our higher TF trends
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Wakeel_Saab
Gold prices are about to usher in huge trading opportunities Today our fast trading strategy sold from high and bought from low. All of them generated different profits. I believe that the members who followed the fast trading strategy have gained something. Just like I told them. Although the chance of making money from trading is high. But you need to take action. If you don't take action. Then the chance for you is 0. The trading opportunity of the New York market is about to come out. If you don't want to miss the trading opportunity of the fast trading strategy group. Stay tuned.
TVC:GOLDLong
by George_parse
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Another amazing finish to the week with all our chart ideas playing out, as analysed. This chart was posted last Sunday with two open targets, bearish and bullish. Both targets were hit followed with no cross and lock below the bearish target. This confirmed the rejection and provided the support for the bull run, inline with our plans to buy dips. We got the ema5 lock above 2669 opening 2693, which was hit perfectly followed by ema5 lock above 2693, opening 2715, which was also hit today completing this target. We traded the move up all week from every dip, using our levels, banking clean safe pips. However, just today we stayed out, observing the movement, as did not want to chase the momentum unless we got a dip. BULLISH TARGET 2669 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2669 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2693 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2693 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2715 - DONE POTENTIALLY 2737 BEARISH TARGETS 2640 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2640 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE - NO LOCK RETRACEMENT RANGE 2611 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2611 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2584 - 2564 We will now come back Sunday with our updated Multi time-frame analysis, Gold route map and trading plans for the week ahead. Have a smashing weekend!! And once again, thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
11
XAUUSD: Don’t chase the rise, beware of the pullbackAs expected, gold broke through above 2700 points, reaching a new all-time high of 2714, which coincides with our bullish direction during this period. Unfortunately, the price of gold started to rise every time without falling back to the support level, so I missed the rise the day before yesterday and yesterday. Although I missed the profit of this wave of rise, I don’t regret it. The direction and strategy are correct, but the correction of the gold price did not reach my predetermined target. Today I will still resolutely implement my strategy. If it does not pull back to the support position, I will definitely not chase the rise. The higher the price is, the more cautious it should be, because once the correction starts, the decline will be very large. Therefore, don't be carried away by the rising enthusiasm. As Buffett said, I am afraid when others are greedy. Back to the topic, from the combination of the current rise in gold prices and the previous history, I believe that the high point of this rise will be near the 2715-2720 area, so there is not much space above, so don’t blindly chase the rise. But looking at the general direction, I think the rise in gold prices is not over yet, and it needs to retrace before it can continue to rise. For the lower support, we can refer to the two previous highs of 2695-2685 Among them, 2685 is the 0.382 position of the Fibonacci retracement of this rise. If it falls below 2685, the amplitude of the retracement will increase. Combining the above information, I think it is possible to short in the 2715-2720 area and long in the 2695-2685 area today. To prevent accidents, if these two areas are effectively broken, this view can be overturned.
TVC:GOLDShort
by AntonyTP
1
The 10.18 rally is not over yet and the highs will continue to bThe highest intraday rise was around 2714, and the new high was constantly being refreshed. Since the rise on Tuesday this week, the hourly line has basically rarely shown a negative line, and more of it has continued to close positively, and the overall rhythm is strong. After the morning rise, it turned negative and retreated after the afternoon trading. It was only two consecutive negative lines without much room to go down, so the US market continued to be bullish and continued to break highs! Below we will analyze the real data behind the recent economic data released by the United States, the European interest rate cut, and the impact of various factors such as the "Trump deal" on gold: First, the data released overnight showed that US retail sales increased by 0.4% month-on-month in September, higher than the expected value of 0.3% and the previous value of 0.1%; the year-on-year growth rate dropped to 1.7%, the lowest level since January. The US Census Bureau made the largest seasonal adjustment to this month's retail data in history. If the seasonal adjustment factor is excluded, retail sales in September actually fell by 7.5% month-on-month. Therefore, the data does not necessarily indicate an economic recovery. Even if the US dollar and gold have strengthened recently, it is based on risk aversion factors. In addition, some data values ​​released by the United States recently are greater than market expectations, which means that the US economy is not as bad as everyone thinks. However, after excluding some beautiful data, such as: child care is becoming increasingly unaffordable, the system is difficult to operate, high medical costs and energy prices, etc., the market environment still has downside risks. Secondly, the European economy is under pressure. The central bank has recently cut interest rates, and the euro has continued to fall, boosting the trend of the US dollar; at the same time, the widespread economic weakness also has a risk-averse effect on gold. Third, as we mentioned earlier, as the US election approaches, traders are gradually pricing in election risks, and there are signs that Harris, who had previously been strong, has been overtaken by Trump. The "Trump deal" has regained its previous popularity, and risky assets have been boosted. Finally, from the perspective of gold technical patterns: First, the stronger the market, the shorter the time for retracement correction, the smaller the retracement space, and the fewer times the negative lines appear. Since the price of gold started to rise from 2641 on Tuesday this week, especially from the 4-hour line, there have been callback K-line patterns in the process of continuous pull-up, but they are all single negative, and the entity is very small, and then continue to turn positive and rise; this is the recent trend of the strong pattern of gold prices. Secondly, from the rhythm of intraday operation, there was a horizontal correction in the morning, and then it rose directly. There were two consecutive negative corrections in the European session. The support near 2702 is the support position of the lower trend line, and it has not even reached the high point of 2696.50 in the US session last night, so don't wait for too low positions in operation. Thinking planning for the US session: Due to the strong market trend, there are no excessive corrections and adjustments, and the strong rhythm of the day, the upper space is expected to continue to be released in the evening, so sideways or retracement is an opportunity to go long. The lower support is 2702. Even if it retraces again in the evening, it will continue to rely on this bullish trend. The upper resistance is around 2722 and 2730. BUY: 2710 Target 2730
TVC:GOLDLong
by David_strategy
3