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Gold price analysis August 30Fundamental Analysis Upbeat US growth reports and initial jobless claims have pushed back expectations of a deeper Federal Reserve rate cut in September, weighing on non-yielding gold. However, escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and the war between Russia and Ukraine could boost safe-haven demand, benefiting the yellow metal. Investors will be closely watching US inflation data for further insight into the potential size of the Fed’s rate cut. The core personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price index, the Fed's preferred inflation gauge, is estimated to have risen 2.7% year-on-year in July, up from 2.6% in June. A weaker-than-expected PCE reading could prompt the Fed to start a rate-cutting cycle, acting as a bullish catalyst for XAU/USD. Technical Analysis Gold is pushing higher in the European session ahead of an all-time high. If the resistance at 2525 is broken before the US session starts, we will see a new ATH around 2450. In the event that gold is pushed below 2525 and the US enters, it could push gold deeper into the current support at 2503-2494 as a hurdle ahead before heading towards 2485 to end a volatile Friday for gold. Resistance: 2530 - 2535 - 2543 - 2550 - 2558 - 2568 Support: 2513 - 2505 - 2500 - 2494 - 2485 - 2472 SELL zone 2541 - 2543 stoploss 2547 SELL zone 2548 - 2550 stoploss 2554 BUY zone 2509 - 2507 stoploss 2503 BUY zone 2485- 2483 stoploss 2480
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
3
GOLD - Big Move Pending...Gold is trading at KEY AREAS. It is currently in a key RESISTANCE box/level with an ascending trend line supporting the bottom of the candles, which helps to present LONG opportunities. For LONG opportunities i'd like to see XAUUSD break the key RESISTANCE LEVEL, or bounce on the ascending trend line where it would then look to retest the resistance zone. For SHORTS i'm looking to see a strong large VOLUME rejection off the RESISTANCE zone, then a BREAK OF TREND LINE.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by I3ig_Trades
XAUUSD: Today I waited until 2530 before tradingAs can be seen from the figure, my two trend prediction lines were drawn very accurately. It is a pity that we were in the 2500-2505 buying range, and the two buying orders were all profit-taking before the market closed. The best performance of these two rises was in the Asian session of the next day. During that period, I was still sleeping in Europe, which was quite regrettable. But think about it the other way around. You should be content if you can make money, because you can't make money in all trends. It's always better to make money than to lose money, isn't it? Yesterday before I took a break, I said that if the historical high cannot be refreshed today, then gold may start to fall. This high point has been attacked many times. After many unsuccessful attacks, the bullish force will weaken. Therefore, whether this attack can be refreshed is a key point. Please keep an eye on it. How should I trade today? To be honest, I am not sure for the time being, because the current position is in the middle of support and resistance. If I continue to be bullish, it is too far away from the lower support. I feel that there is a risk. If I am bearish, it is still more than ten dollars away from the upper resistance, which is also risky. Therefore, I think it is better to wait and see. Today, three US data will be released. When the data comes out, I think the direction of the market will be much clearer. Trading strategy: If it can break through the historical high today, I think it can chase the rise, with a target of 2550-2570 If it encounters resistance near 2530 today, you can consider selling at a high level, with a target of 2505-2500
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AntonyTP
Asian session volatility August 30Gold prices lost momentum amid a stronger US dollar on Friday. Upbeat US growth reports and initial jobless claims pushed back expectations of a deeper interest rate cut by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) in September, weighing on non-yielding bullion. However, escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and the war between Russia and Ukraine could boost safe-haven demand, benefiting the yellow metal. Gold could be pushed higher as the European session begins. Look for buy zones around 09-07 or 03-01. Further trading strategies will be updated soon.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Another PIPTASTIC day on the charts with our chart idea playing out to perfection!!!! Once again 2500 provided support confirmed with no cross and lock, which followed with the bounce into 2513 and then a further cross and lock above 2513 opened 2525, which was once again hit perfectly!!! We are now looking for a lock above 2525 to open 2535 or failure to lock and we will continue to see a rejection back into the lower weighted Goldturn support levels for the bounce. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGET 2513 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2513 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2525 - DONE 2535 BEARISH TARGETS 2500 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2500 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE RETRACEMENT RANGE 2484 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2484 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2472 - 2461 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
10
Still Bullish on $GOLDI am trusting the pattern that has emerged on the TVC:GOLD price hourly chart in a strong ascending channel indicating a high of $2,570 by Monday night. 3 phases have emerged over the past 2weeks after sustained strong price reversal days (8th and 16th August 2024). The price has been rising into a green phase where it fluctuates over 30-36hrs testing the resistance and support from previous prices before breaking out for a second ascend to breach the next resistance and make the high of the next >72hrs (green flag). The red flag (high of next >72hrs) is near the channel's ascending support line and begins the amber phase which has a slight decline to test an immediate support within the ascend from the green phase. the 1st test rebounds slightly towards the high set at the beginning but certainly lowers back. This starts the red phase towards the 72hrs low which is a target for entry to catch the next rapid +2% rise (green flag). The green flag is occurring without any decent test of the ascending support line for this bullish channel. You will see the pink zone is hardly occupied by any candles (any red ones at that!). If the pattern persists and the next green flag produces the same +2%...$2,550 - $2,570 is a target price for this analysis.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by Cha-Zee-ZESA
Gold Analysis August 29Fundamental Analysis Gold prices recovered some of their losses on Thursday after bouncing off a weekly low below $2,500. Expectations of a U.S. interest rate cut could boost demand for gold as lower rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion. In addition, the current political uncertainty in the U.S., geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and global economic concerns have contributed to the rise in the precious metal. On the other hand, renewed demand for U.S. dollars could weigh on gold, which is priced in dollars, as it makes gold more expensive for most buyers. Investors will be closely watching Thursday’s second estimate of U.S. second-quarter (Q2) gross domestic product for more information on the size and pace of the Federal Reserve’s rate cuts. On Friday, the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data for July will be in focus. Technical Analysis In the Swiss session, gold pushed to the 2416 zone when it failed to break the resistance level of 2521. Considering that the European session can push back above 2551, we can consider retest buy orders and keep the buy order if the 2421 zone is broken. If the European session cannot push above 2421, we can SELL to the 2511 zone and catch BUY again around 11-09 when the session fails to break this zone and keep the order until the end of the US session. In case of a break on 11-09, we wait for support zones to buy scalp such as 2503-2495 and buy strongly when the price reaches 2585. SELL zone 2527 - 2525 stoploss 2531 SELL zone 2548 - 2550 stoploss 2554 BUY zone 2510 - 2508 stoploss 2504 BUY zone 2485- 2483 stoploss 2480
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
Gold analysis asian session august 29Gold structure in the Asian session on August 29. After bouncing from the support zone of 2495 as analyzed yesterday. Gold was strongly pushed back above yesterday's resistance zone of 2511. The 2511 zone unexpectedly became an important support zone of today's session and then the resistance level of 2518 became a trading price range for gold in the Asian session to the European session. With the strong pulling force here, it can be seen that gold is ready to create a new ATH today if gold does not have the pulling force to the 2485 area. Pay attention to trading in the 2818-2511 zone in the Asian session
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
XAUUSD: Buy bullish in 2500-2505 area, target 2530Gold fundamentals: The US dollar continued to fall, closing at a low of 100.55, and fell 3.2% in August, the largest monthly drop since November 2022, which significantly increased the attractiveness and demand for gold. The market's expectation of a rate cut in September is almost a foregone conclusion. The current focus is on the possibility of a 50 basis point rate cut. Rate cuts usually reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold, making gold more attractive as an interest-free asset. In addition, Powell's dovish signal at the Kansas City Fed meeting has boosted demand for non-US dollar wealth storage tools. Futures traders expect a cumulative rate cut of about 106 basis points in 2024, which further enhances the market's bullish expectations for gold. At the same time, the escalation of geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East and Russia-Ukraine has intensified the market's risk aversion and further promoted demand for gold. Gold technical aspects: In yesterday's gold analysis, I clearly mentioned the support strength of the 2500-2505 area, and this area has resisted the decline for many times without breaking, so we can still continue to believe in the support of this area. If it retreats to this area during the day, you can consider buying again. Of course, we still need to consider the precautionary actions after the break here. Combined with the above analysis, my trading strategy today is similar to yesterday, as follows: First of all, the main bullish, as long as the gold price retreats to the 2500-2505 area, you can consider buying, the target is 2530, 2550 On the contrary, if it effectively falls below 2500, you can choose to sell near 2500. What needs to be noted here is the effective break, not the false break If you have different opinions or questions, please speak up, let's discuss the latest ideas of GOLD together
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AntonyTP
2
Gold Analysis August 28☘️Fundamental Analysis Gold prices lost steam amid a modest recovery in the US dollar (USD) on Wednesday. However, escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East could help limit losses. In addition, US Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell's speech at the Jackson Hole symposium last week, signaling that it was "time" to start cutting interest rates, could support the precious metal as it reduces the opportunity cost of holding non-interest-bearing assets. Investors will pay closer attention to speeches by Fed officials Christopher Waller and Raphael Bostic on Wednesday for some hints on the path of US interest rates. Attention will also turn to preliminary data on US annualised GDP for the second quarter (Q2) and the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index, due on Thursday and Friday. Better-than-estimated results could lift the US Dollar (USD) and limit upside in USD-denominated Gold prices. ☘️Technical analysis Gold is retreating from the closing level of 2424, currently gold is approaching the important area of ​​2509. When breaking this area, lower areas can pay attention to trading in the European session around 2503-2495. Today, the main plan is to wait for buying to break ATH. On the contrary, if the price pushes to 09 and does not break, you can buy in the 09 area. If you cannot break this area in the European session, you can close the order. The candle closes above 2020 after the European session ends, consider finding a recovery point for DCA to buy the target to break ATH. Wish you a successful transaction. SELL scalp zone 2530 - 2532 stoploss 2536 SELL zone 2545 - 2547 stoploss 2551 BUY scalp zone 2496 - 2494 stoploss 2490 BUY zone 2485- 2483 stoploss 2480
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
2
8.28 Gold operation analysisGold hit the upper Bollinger Band in 4 hours, and the long orders at 2507 have made profits first. It is expected that gold will retreat to the vicinity of the middle band. Today, gold is likely to hit a new record high again. The daily line has three consecutive positives, and the bulls are ready to try to break the record high. The conservative approach is to wait for the gold price to fall back to the middle band again before we go long. In the strong upward trend of gold, do not buy the callback, and go long at will. Technology leads the direction, ideas lead the market, and accurate points are the key to success Trading strategy: Long gold near 2505, stop loss 2495, target 2540
TVC:GOLDLong
by David_strategy
1
XAUUSD: 2500 points will be tested again, what should we do?Can gold continue to rise and set a new high? Yesterday, the price of gold fell first and then rose, continuing the upward trend of last Friday, and has been fluctuating at a high level, reaching a high of 2526 points. Our 2510-2515 buying range is just at the lowest point of the callback, and the profit margin at the highest point is more than ten US dollars, and I also made a small profit from it. I believe that friends who follow the trading strategy have gained something. Today, the price of gold has shown a callback trend again. From the 1H chart, the support below is in the range of 2500-2505. If nothing unexpected happens, I will buy again in this range. First of all, 2500 is an integer mark, and I believe everyone has seen the support strength in the previous trend. In the trend from 2470 to yesterday's high of 2526, 2505 is exactly at the 0.618 support position of the Fibonacci retracement. At the same time, there is support from the Bollinger Band lower rail and the upward trend line, and it is unlikely to fall below it. Although the possibility of a breakthrough here is not great, this is only an analysis based on the technical aspects. External factors are still an uncertain factor, so we have to be prepared for both situations. Trading strategy: Now it is at a lower position, you can open a position and buy first. If the price continues to fall back, you can choose to increase your position above 2500. If the gold price effectively breaks through 2500, then we must once again prevent the occurrence of a sharp correction like last Thursday. If you have different opinions or questions, please speak up and let’s discuss GOLD’s latest ideas together.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AntonyTP