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The long and short gold competition continuesGold on Tuesday was more in line with our analysis ideas. We gave a short position at 3250-60, and the market conditions were also quite favorable for our entry opportunities. We notified the entry and exited with profits as gold fell back. The CPI was bullish and gold rebounded weakly, so our long positions were also safely exited with profits. Pay attention to the stabilization of the two supports of 3215-3225, and take 3200 as the turning point of the Fengshui Ridge. Hold it to continue to maintain the bottom shock operation or gradually rebound; once it breaks through 3270, the rebound will be strengthened to test the 3300 mark; if it breaks through 3300 and stabilizes, the downward adjustment will end and return to the upward trend; Then as long as 3270-3300 is still not suppressed in the middle, it will repeatedly rise and fall to test the bottom support; if 3200 is accidentally lost, it will point to 3160-3150, and you need to be mentally prepared in advance, hoping that it will not happen; looking at the 4-hour chart of gold: at this time, the 5-day short-term golden cross is expected to cross the 10-day, then above 3240 will become a certain support performance, and the key strong support is the annual moving average moving up to 3200; one resistance is the big Yin high point in front of 3290, which is also the dividing pressure, and the strong pressure is the middle track 3293, or close to the 3300 mark; pay attention to the gains and losses between support and resistance. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 3270-3290 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 3215-3225 support.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel5
3
Gold fluctuates repeatedly and is expected to fall below 3,200 📌 Driving factors The U.S. Department of Labor's Bureau of Labor Statistics announced on Tuesday that the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.2% month-on-month in April, lower than the 0.3% expected by economists. However, analysts warned that inflation may rise as tariffs gradually push up commodity prices. The United States and China announced on Monday that they would suspend tariffs for 90 days. According to the statement made by both sides after the Geneva talks last weekend, the United States will reduce tariffs on Chinese imports from 145% to 30%, and China will reduce tariffs on U.S. imports from 125% to 10%. Driven by bargain hunting, gold prices rebounded on Tuesday, and the weaker-than-expected U.S. inflation data released that day also helped gold prices rise. However, trade optimism limits the strength of gold's rebound. 📊Commentary and analysis Gold fell and then rose yesterday, and the final rebound stopped at 3,266. The trend is in line with our bearish expectations. As for the repeated fluctuations in the market, it is just a futile effort! Yesterday, due to the influence of the US CPI data, although gold rose in the short term, it was still under pressure and weakened. Today, the Asian session continued to fall in the early trading. As the support position near 3210 points is approaching, aggressive shorting is no longer appropriate! In terms of trend, the 4-hour level trend of gold is still under pressure. Yesterday, it was under pressure at the 3260 line, and then the market fell back. Recently, it has maintained a trend of continuously moving down lows, and the rebound highs are gradually decreasing. It can be seen that the bulls are less willing to attack, which is different from the previous surge. Gold adjustment has become inevitable. 💰Strategy Package Rebound short: short near 3265, stop loss 3269, target near 3220! Labaron believes that Guaranteeing the principal is the bottom line for survival, controlling risks is the armor for survival, earning income is a stage medal, and long-term stable and continuous profit is the only certificate to finally stand up from the sea of ​​corpses and blood.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Labaron
1
Gold fluctuates. When will a new trend start?China and the United States reached a 90-day ceasefire agreement, and the price of gold returned to 3,200 from 3,400 US dollars. All traders are staring at the support level of 3,200 US dollars, and are very worried about whether it can withstand pressure; it will fall to a larger level, resulting in no trading opportunities for gold positions. I think your concerns are normal, and market fluctuations are also normal. There is no market that only rises and never falls; even in the bull market, there will be periodic adjustments. Next, the focus is on the maturity of US Treasury bonds in June. The impact of trade conflicts will soon be forgotten by the market; US CPI inflation continued to decline in April, from 2.4% in the early stage to 2.3%, getting closer and closer to the Fed's ultimate goal of 2%, which means that the Fed will soon have to restart the interest rate cut plan. Once the US Treasury bonds mature and default or trigger panic, or if Fed Chairman Powell reveals his intention to cut interest rates, gold will rise rapidly and may reach a high point within 1-2 days. Okay, everyone; you need to understand the basic situation, but the most important thing is the operation strategy during the Asian trading session. I think you can first test the long strategy around $3225, with a stop loss below 3215 and a profit in the rebound range of $3340-3360. Man, excessive worrying will not help; if you can't accept short-term volatility trading, you can wait and see and stay calm.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Quaid-1
1
Trade Idea: XAUUSD Long ( BUY LIMIT )🔍 Technical Summary 1. Daily Chart: • Trend: Strong long-term uptrend, recent retracement. • MACD: Still above zero but showing a decline in momentum—suggesting a pullback within a bullish structure. • RSI (14): Neutral at ~50, signaling consolidation, not overbought or oversold. • Price: Holding above major moving average, bullish structure intact. 2. 15-Minute Chart: • Trend: Consolidation after downtrend, forming higher lows. • MACD: Positive crossover forming, upward momentum building. • RSI: ~60, showing moderate bullish momentum. • Price Action: Consolidation potentially forming a base at support near 3240. 3. 3-Minute Chart: • Trend: Clear short-term bullish breakout structure. • MACD: Bullish crossover active. • RSI: Trending upward but not overbought (~60), indicating room for upside. • Price Action: Small breakout underway above short-term resistance. ⸻ 🧠 Fundamental Backdrop (Gold): • Inflation & Rate Cut Expectations: Potential for Fed rate cuts continues to support gold. • Geopolitical Risk: Any flare-ups (e.g., Middle East or economic instability) tend to favor gold. • USD Weakness: If the USD weakens due to dovish Fed tone, it benefits XAUUSD. ⸻ 🏁 Trade Plan ✅ Trade Idea: LONG XAUUSD • Entry: 3250.00 • Enter slightly below current price for a minor pullback. • Stop Loss (SL): 3225.00 • Below recent local support and consolidation zone. • Take Profit (TP): 3300.00 • Just below recent swing highs for a conservative but strong target. FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSD
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by KeN-WeNzEl
GOLD XAU-USD CORRECTION COMPLETE REALLY TOWARD UP $3400 0PEN XAUUSD continues to trade within a clearly defined bullish channel, showing strong adherence to upward trendlines and key support levels. Recent price action confirms the ongoing strength of bullish momentum, with higher highs and higher lows reinforcing the prevailing trend. Technical indicators, including moving averages and RSI, remain aligned with buyers, while macroeconomic factors such as inflation concerns and global risk sentiment further support the upside narrative. As the precious metal steadily advances, the $3400 level emerges as a key psychological and technical target, suggesting that, barring significant shifts in market dynamics, gold may continue its trajectory towards new highs in the medium term."
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SadarExplore
Gold Price Analysis May 13Candle D shows a strong selling force approaching the key support zone of 3200, if it breaks this zone, it will confirm the continuation of the strong downtrend Gold is facing some selling force around 3265. There will be a lot of selling force waiting around 3270 and 3280. Today, you can watch for SELL around these two zones. If the breakout is confirmed towards 3317, you can implement SELL strategies. On the contrary, the nearest support zone for the breakout that gold is aiming for is around 3243. 3222 and 3200 act as two stops for a prolonged slide in gold prices today. Remember that in the large frame, a downtrend wave is starting to form, so the downtrend of gold can fall very strongly.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
Gold prices are expected to rise in the future!Market news: On Wednesday (May 14) in the early Asian session, spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading around $3,240/ounce. After the plunge on Monday, the London gold price rebounded slightly. The influx of bargain hunting provided support for the international gold price. In addition, the US CPI in April was weaker than market expectations, the Fed's expectations for rate cuts cooled, the US dollar index fell from a one-month high, and geopolitical concerns provided momentum for the gold price to rise.International gold faces three key variables: first, the follow-up progress of the Sino-US trade negotiations. Although the two sides reached a 90-day truce agreement, the comprehensive tariff policy still exists; second, the direction of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. The mild performance of inflation data may create conditions for rate cuts; finally, global geopolitical risks, especially the evolution of the Russia-Ukraine peace talks and the India-Pakistan conflict. There are relatively few economic data on this trading day. US Secretary of State Rubio will attend the informal meeting of NATO foreign ministers from May 14 to 16 to discuss NATO's security priorities, including increasing defense investment and ending the Russian-Ukrainian war. In addition, several Federal Reserve officials will give speeches, and investors need to pay attention! Technical Review: The gold daily chart closed sharply below 3207, and the price broke away from the MA10/7-day gold bottomed out and rebounded in the late trading. The daily line closed with a small positive K and closed above the 3250 mark. After the extremely weak decline in the US market, the trend turned strong in the early morning, forming a wide range of fluctuations around the 3220/3270 range. The daily MA10/7-day moving average of the daily chart opened and suppressed 3296/3310 downward. The short-term four-hour chart and the hourly chart moving average were glued together, and the hourly chart Bollinger band closed. It closed strongly above the 3250 mark in the early morning, and the Asian market needs to pay attention to the strength of the counterattack of buying. Today's trading ideas are still expected to fluctuate, sell at high prices and buy at low prices to participate in short-term layout.At present, gold selling is temporarily resting. The intraday gold surge and the sharp drop before the data also show the repetitiveness of market sentiment. However, in the future, some factors that are conducive to selling are gradually implemented. The Fed's interest rate cut will be put on the agenda again in the medium term. The medium-term favorable pattern for gold has not changed, so in terms of operation, you can wait for the retracement to continue buying and continue to be bullish on gold. Today's analysis: The monthly chart of gold is running in an upward trend, and the long-term trend is neutral and upward; the weekly chart is a high-level shooting star, and the medium-term trend is expected to fall; the daily chart fails to hit the previous high and runs downward, and the short-term trend is expected to fall; the intraday short-term breaks through the 3248 suppression and continues upward, and the short-term stop-loss pattern appears. So far, the market has been repeatedly sorted above the 3215 area, and the short-term selling slows down and shows signs of stopping the decline!Note that if the one-hour closing today breaks above the 3348 area, then be careful when selling, and there is a high probability that the market will bottom out and reverse, which means that a new round of swing buying will start! At that time, you can directly choose the opportunity to buy the bottom! For the current short-term gold, focus on the stabilization of the two supports of 3215-3225. Take 3200 as the turning point of the Fengshui Ridge, and keep it to continue to maintain the bottom shock or gradually rebound; once it breaks through 3270, the rebound will be strengthened to test the 3300 mark; if it breaks through 3300 and stabilizes, the downward adjustment will end and the trend will return to rise; Operation ideas: Buy short-term gold at 3227-3230, stop loss at 3228, target 3270-3290; Short-term gold sell at 3265-3268, stop loss at 3277, target 3230-3210; Key points: First support level: 3225, second support level: 3215, third support level: 3200 First resistance level: 3260, second resistance level: 3278, third resistance level: 3300
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Toml1314
XAU/USD) Bullish trand line analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of Gold Spot (XAUUSD) on the 4-hour timeframe, featuring key support and resistance levels, price action projections, and RSI for momentum evaluation. Here's a breakdown of the idea: Key Points in the Analysis: 1. Support & Resistance Zones: Big Support / Buying Zone: Around 3,222 – 3,240. This zone has seen previous bullish reversals and is supported by the 200 EMA. Intermediate Support Level: Around 3,270–3,290, where price might bounce before attempting a breakout. Key Resistance Level: Around 3,350–3,365. Price must break this area to move toward higher targets. 2. Price Action Projections: The analysis shows two bullish potential scenarios: Scenario 1: Price breaks above the resistance level directly and moves toward the target point at 3,535.83. Scenario 2: A retracement to the lower support or even the big buying zone before a bullish rally to the same target. 3. RSI (Relative Strength Index): Currently near the neutral zone (around 49), suggesting there's room for movement in either direction. No extreme overbought/oversold signals right now. 4. EMA (200): The price is currently hovering above the 200 EMA (3,222.01), which acts as a long-term support and trend indicator. Mr SMC Trading point Summary of the Trading Idea: Bias: Bullish Entry Zones: Look for long entries at either the support level (3,270–3,290) or lower buying zone (around 3,222). Target: 3,435.05 initially, then 3,535.83. Invalidation: A clear breakdown below the 3,222 support level could invalidate the bullish bias. Pelas support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
FX:XAUUSDLong
by SMC-Trading-Point
XAUUSD | UNPRESIDENTED GOLD RALLY : Where to Next?GOLD has been trading extremely bullish over the past year, with high volume indicating lots of interest and movement in this commodity's market: Is this where we should be getting worried? Rapid surges in gold prices have historically been followed by sharp corrections as markets adjust. Three key examples illustrate this; 🧨 the 1980 spike to $850 due to global instability, followed by a 65% drop; 🧨 the 2011 peak near $1,900 driven by economic anxieties, leading to a 40% decline by 2015; 🧨and the 2020 high above $2,075 amid pandemic fears and stimulus, which subsequently settled into a lower range. Noticing how gold has been trading in a parabolic curve, first corrections are likely to be down the curve (as it has been, historically): Across past gold peaks ( 1980, 2011, and 2020) and recent record highs, markets share four core similarities: 🎈elevated inflationary expectations, 🎈low or negative real interest‐rate environments, 🎈heightened geopolitical and trade‐war tensions, 🎈aggressive central‐bank and ETF buying. Today’s gold rally mirrors these patterns, driven by persistent inflation concerns and renewed safe‑haven demand amid Middle East conflicts and Ukraine risk. Aggressive central‑bank and ETF purchases have also replicated past behavior. Emerging‑market central banks have accelerated gold reserves diversification since 2022, just as they did after the 2008 crisis and the Euro‑debt peak in 2011. Historically, swift peaks have been followed by multi‑year corrections as external conditions normalize. After January 1980’s peak, gold fell by two‑thirds over two years; following 2011’s high, it dropped 40% by 2013. If inflation cools or central banks signal genuine rate normalization, this rally may likewise give way to a sustained consolidation or correction. Did the BBC just signal the peak?? Recently the BBC warned that while current trade‑war and market volatility parallels past booms, overreliance on gold alone risks miss-timing the eventual downturn when macro fears realize. Therefore, if the curve breaks, it's likely the beginning of the hard correction. __________________________ OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Crypto-Check-
Bullish Reversal Forming at Key Support Zone – Targeting 3,450Instrument: Unspecified (likely XAU/USD or an index, judging by the price range) Current Price: ~3,250.100 Indicators Used: EMA 50 (Red): 3,284.255 EMA 200 (Blue): 3,287.152 🟣 Key Zones: Support Zone: Around 3,200 – a strong demand zone where price previously bounced. Target Zone: Around 3,450 – the last major resistance and recent high. 📉 Current Price Action: Price recently tested the support zone and is forming a potential double bottom pattern. EMAs are above the price, indicating a short-term bearish trend, but the price holding support may suggest a possible reversal. A bullish trajectory is drawn, projecting a potential rise toward the target zone at 3,450. 📈 Potential Trade Idea (Hypothetical): Entry: Near current price or on pullback to the small support box (~3,240) Stop-loss: Below the major support (~3,190) Take-profit: Around 3,450 ⚠️ Key Considerations: Price needs to break above the EMAs to confirm momentum shift. Watch for confirmation with bullish candlesticks or volume spike. Failure to hold the 3,200 support could invalidate this setup.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MrStellanSight
13
How to plan a gold short selling strategyOn Monday, as China and the United States reached an agreement to reduce tariffs, market concerns about a U.S. recession eased, and the U.S. dollar index once approached 102, and finally closed up 1.37% at 101.80. U.S. bond yields both rose, and the interest rate market cut the Fed's pricing for rate cuts this year, boosting demand for the U.S. dollar. However, although the U.S. dollar is bullish in the short term, it faces key resistance, and the U.S. CPI data is coming. If inflation is lower than expected, bulls may take a break. Today's market rose slightly first, then fell strongly to 3216, and then rose strongly to 3260 in the Asian session before being under pressure. The market is currently in the repair stage, and CPI data is attracting much attention. If the European session does not continue to rise but falls, the bulls may end at 3270. Technically, the upper resistance is 3268-3274, and the lower support is 3244-3237. In terms of operation, it is recommended to rebound high and short as the main, and to pull back and long as the auxiliary. Operation strategy 1: It is recommended to short near the rebound 3268-3274, with a target of 15-20 points. Operation strategy 2: It is recommended to pull back near 3244-3237 and long, with a target of 10-15 points.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel5
CPI data released. Impact on gold prices?Gold suffered a setback this week; but then it rose to $3,250 and began to fluctuate slightly. CPI data was released this morning, but it did not have a big impact on gold. The current price is still in a sideways trend. Two support positions need to be paid attention to today: Downward $3,230 support line, if it falls below this position, the gold price will quickly reach below $3,200. Upward $3,270 resistance line, if it breaks through the resistance position strongly, there is hope to try to break through $3,300. Quaid believes that if the gold price fails to break through today and presents a new trend, it is likely to continue the sideways trend.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Quaid-1
1
Gold is also hesitating whether to break the position or not. It is not unfair to say that gold fluctuates slowly. I mentioned in my article yesterday that it depends on the closing level of gold. Different closings represent different meanings. 3235 was treated as the standard watershed on that day. As a result, gold fluctuated sideways in the afternoon despite the rebound of US stocks. In terms of the daily structure, it closed with a middle-yin candle with a lower shadow, and closed flat at 3235. There is more than 200 points of pressure above, and it can close flat, which means that gold does have something. Of course, just closing flat does not completely mean that gold bulls are back. It can only be said that bulls are still in the market and have not completely fled. Then it is normal for gold to rebound after testing 3200 again and receiving support. There are also reasons in terms of market sentiment. Judging from the main speculative sentiment report, it has been a long-term horizontal bullish trend. From the perspective of capital sentiment, global stock markets were soaring on Monday. The easing of the trade war between the world's two major economies encouraged funds to no longer simply entrench themselves in gold and began to bloom in multiple directions. That being said, let's count them: 91% of retaliatory tariffs were canceled; 24% of reciprocal tariffs were suspended for 90 days; 20% of fentanyl tariffs were not mentioned; 10% of universal tariffs remained the same. The current retained tariffs are still very high, and they will inevitably leave traces in the economy, such as stagflation effects such as price increases and economic slowdown. In this way, the temporary easing is actually still on the surface and has not really solved the fundamental differences that led to the dispute. The most important thing is that the US trade deficit with China still exists. It is impossible to reshape the sweater relationship between the two sides in the short term. Any disturbance during this period will directly affect the attitude of safe-haven funds. Especially the CPI data released by the US market tonight, the expected value of the unadjusted CPI annual rate in April is the same as the previous value of 2.4%, and the monthly rate is relatively high. At this time, there is a basic problem. April has entered the battle of tariffs. Throughout April, the market has regarded gold as a lifeline. For example, when you see that daily necessities are about to be taxed and raised in price, what will you do? Right, so if nothing unexpected happens, inflation caused by tariffs will rise. The good thing is that in terms of energy in April, the price of crude oil is straight down, so it offsets part of inflation. In principle, the impact of this announcement should be small. As for the core data, I personally think that it will rise compared with the previous value, that is, no matter how it is collected, there will be a limited situation of favorable factors. After the midday trading, gold once probed upward and has tested the resistance level of 3260. I just calculated gold. It is originally adjusted by fundamentals, so it is still treated as an adjustment, that is, rebound and open short, or break and follow up. Secondly, draw a channel according to the four-hour chart, and combine it with Fibonacci. Pay attention to 77-91 in the middle track of the Bollinger Band. If a reversal signal appears in this range, you can consider entering the market based on the signal to see a decline. At that time, you need to pay attention to 3219 and 3207 below. If the integer level is broken, you can also consider further lowering the gold target to the range of 3160±10. Hello traders, if you have better ideas and suggestions, welcome to leave a message below, I will be very happy
TVC:GOLDShort
by Yuliya1l11