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XAU/USD) Bullish trand line analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of Gold Spot (XAUUSD) on the 4-hour timeframe, featuring key support and resistance levels, price action projections, and RSI for momentum evaluation. Here's a breakdown of the idea: Key Points in the Analysis: 1. Support & Resistance Zones: Big Support / Buying Zone: Around 3,222 – 3,240. This zone has seen previous bullish reversals and is supported by the 200 EMA. Intermediate Support Level: Around 3,270–3,290, where price might bounce before attempting a breakout. Key Resistance Level: Around 3,350–3,365. Price must break this area to move toward higher targets. 2. Price Action Projections: The analysis shows two bullish potential scenarios: Scenario 1: Price breaks above the resistance level directly and moves toward the target point at 3,535.83. Scenario 2: A retracement to the lower support or even the big buying zone before a bullish rally to the same target. 3. RSI (Relative Strength Index): Currently near the neutral zone (around 49), suggesting there's room for movement in either direction. No extreme overbought/oversold signals right now. 4. EMA (200): The price is currently hovering above the 200 EMA (3,222.01), which acts as a long-term support and trend indicator. Mr SMC Trading point Summary of the Trading Idea: Bias: Bullish Entry Zones: Look for long entries at either the support level (3,270–3,290) or lower buying zone (around 3,222). Target: 3,435.05 initially, then 3,535.83. Invalidation: A clear breakdown below the 3,222 support level could invalidate the bullish bias. Pelas support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
FX:XAUUSDLong
by SMC-Trading-Point
XAUUSD | UNPRESIDENTED GOLD RALLY : Where to Next?GOLD has been trading extremely bullish over the past year, with high volume indicating lots of interest and movement in this commodity's market: Is this where we should be getting worried? Rapid surges in gold prices have historically been followed by sharp corrections as markets adjust. Three key examples illustrate this; 🧨 the 1980 spike to $850 due to global instability, followed by a 65% drop; 🧨 the 2011 peak near $1,900 driven by economic anxieties, leading to a 40% decline by 2015; 🧨and the 2020 high above $2,075 amid pandemic fears and stimulus, which subsequently settled into a lower range. Noticing how gold has been trading in a parabolic curve, first corrections are likely to be down the curve (as it has been, historically): Across past gold peaks ( 1980, 2011, and 2020) and recent record highs, markets share four core similarities: 🎈elevated inflationary expectations, 🎈low or negative real interest‐rate environments, 🎈heightened geopolitical and trade‐war tensions, 🎈aggressive central‐bank and ETF buying. Today’s gold rally mirrors these patterns, driven by persistent inflation concerns and renewed safe‑haven demand amid Middle East conflicts and Ukraine risk. Aggressive central‑bank and ETF purchases have also replicated past behavior. Emerging‑market central banks have accelerated gold reserves diversification since 2022, just as they did after the 2008 crisis and the Euro‑debt peak in 2011. Historically, swift peaks have been followed by multi‑year corrections as external conditions normalize. After January 1980’s peak, gold fell by two‑thirds over two years; following 2011’s high, it dropped 40% by 2013. If inflation cools or central banks signal genuine rate normalization, this rally may likewise give way to a sustained consolidation or correction. Did the BBC just signal the peak?? Recently the BBC warned that while current trade‑war and market volatility parallels past booms, overreliance on gold alone risks miss-timing the eventual downturn when macro fears realize. Therefore, if the curve breaks, it's likely the beginning of the hard correction. __________________________ OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Crypto-Check-
Bullish Reversal Forming at Key Support Zone – Targeting 3,450Instrument: Unspecified (likely XAU/USD or an index, judging by the price range) Current Price: ~3,250.100 Indicators Used: EMA 50 (Red): 3,284.255 EMA 200 (Blue): 3,287.152 🟣 Key Zones: Support Zone: Around 3,200 – a strong demand zone where price previously bounced. Target Zone: Around 3,450 – the last major resistance and recent high. 📉 Current Price Action: Price recently tested the support zone and is forming a potential double bottom pattern. EMAs are above the price, indicating a short-term bearish trend, but the price holding support may suggest a possible reversal. A bullish trajectory is drawn, projecting a potential rise toward the target zone at 3,450. 📈 Potential Trade Idea (Hypothetical): Entry: Near current price or on pullback to the small support box (~3,240) Stop-loss: Below the major support (~3,190) Take-profit: Around 3,450 ⚠️ Key Considerations: Price needs to break above the EMAs to confirm momentum shift. Watch for confirmation with bullish candlesticks or volume spike. Failure to hold the 3,200 support could invalidate this setup.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MrStellanSight
13
How to plan a gold short selling strategyOn Monday, as China and the United States reached an agreement to reduce tariffs, market concerns about a U.S. recession eased, and the U.S. dollar index once approached 102, and finally closed up 1.37% at 101.80. U.S. bond yields both rose, and the interest rate market cut the Fed's pricing for rate cuts this year, boosting demand for the U.S. dollar. However, although the U.S. dollar is bullish in the short term, it faces key resistance, and the U.S. CPI data is coming. If inflation is lower than expected, bulls may take a break. Today's market rose slightly first, then fell strongly to 3216, and then rose strongly to 3260 in the Asian session before being under pressure. The market is currently in the repair stage, and CPI data is attracting much attention. If the European session does not continue to rise but falls, the bulls may end at 3270. Technically, the upper resistance is 3268-3274, and the lower support is 3244-3237. In terms of operation, it is recommended to rebound high and short as the main, and to pull back and long as the auxiliary. Operation strategy 1: It is recommended to short near the rebound 3268-3274, with a target of 15-20 points. Operation strategy 2: It is recommended to pull back near 3244-3237 and long, with a target of 10-15 points.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TP_Daniel5
CPI data released. Impact on gold prices?Gold suffered a setback this week; but then it rose to $3,250 and began to fluctuate slightly. CPI data was released this morning, but it did not have a big impact on gold. The current price is still in a sideways trend. Two support positions need to be paid attention to today: Downward $3,230 support line, if it falls below this position, the gold price will quickly reach below $3,200. Upward $3,270 resistance line, if it breaks through the resistance position strongly, there is hope to try to break through $3,300. Quaid believes that if the gold price fails to break through today and presents a new trend, it is likely to continue the sideways trend.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Quaid-1
1
Gold is also hesitating whether to break the position or not. It is not unfair to say that gold fluctuates slowly. I mentioned in my article yesterday that it depends on the closing level of gold. Different closings represent different meanings. 3235 was treated as the standard watershed on that day. As a result, gold fluctuated sideways in the afternoon despite the rebound of US stocks. In terms of the daily structure, it closed with a middle-yin candle with a lower shadow, and closed flat at 3235. There is more than 200 points of pressure above, and it can close flat, which means that gold does have something. Of course, just closing flat does not completely mean that gold bulls are back. It can only be said that bulls are still in the market and have not completely fled. Then it is normal for gold to rebound after testing 3200 again and receiving support. There are also reasons in terms of market sentiment. Judging from the main speculative sentiment report, it has been a long-term horizontal bullish trend. From the perspective of capital sentiment, global stock markets were soaring on Monday. The easing of the trade war between the world's two major economies encouraged funds to no longer simply entrench themselves in gold and began to bloom in multiple directions. That being said, let's count them: 91% of retaliatory tariffs were canceled; 24% of reciprocal tariffs were suspended for 90 days; 20% of fentanyl tariffs were not mentioned; 10% of universal tariffs remained the same. The current retained tariffs are still very high, and they will inevitably leave traces in the economy, such as stagflation effects such as price increases and economic slowdown. In this way, the temporary easing is actually still on the surface and has not really solved the fundamental differences that led to the dispute. The most important thing is that the US trade deficit with China still exists. It is impossible to reshape the sweater relationship between the two sides in the short term. Any disturbance during this period will directly affect the attitude of safe-haven funds. Especially the CPI data released by the US market tonight, the expected value of the unadjusted CPI annual rate in April is the same as the previous value of 2.4%, and the monthly rate is relatively high. At this time, there is a basic problem. April has entered the battle of tariffs. Throughout April, the market has regarded gold as a lifeline. For example, when you see that daily necessities are about to be taxed and raised in price, what will you do? Right, so if nothing unexpected happens, inflation caused by tariffs will rise. The good thing is that in terms of energy in April, the price of crude oil is straight down, so it offsets part of inflation. In principle, the impact of this announcement should be small. As for the core data, I personally think that it will rise compared with the previous value, that is, no matter how it is collected, there will be a limited situation of favorable factors. After the midday trading, gold once probed upward and has tested the resistance level of 3260. I just calculated gold. It is originally adjusted by fundamentals, so it is still treated as an adjustment, that is, rebound and open short, or break and follow up. Secondly, draw a channel according to the four-hour chart, and combine it with Fibonacci. Pay attention to 77-91 in the middle track of the Bollinger Band. If a reversal signal appears in this range, you can consider entering the market based on the signal to see a decline. At that time, you need to pay attention to 3219 and 3207 below. If the integer level is broken, you can also consider further lowering the gold target to the range of 3160±10. Hello traders, if you have better ideas and suggestions, welcome to leave a message below, I will be very happy
TVC:GOLDShort
by Yuliya1l11
Gold fell and then rose to $3,250. Next trend?News summary: After two days of negotiations in Geneva, China and the United States announced that they would reduce tariffs on each other in the next three months: the US tariff on Chinese imports would be reduced from 145% to 30%, and China's tariff on US goods would be reduced from 125% to 10%. This news pushed global stock markets up. Boosted by the agreement, market risk appetite has increased, investors' concerns about the US recession have eased, and expectations for the Fed's aggressive rate cuts this year have also declined accordingly, which has pushed the US dollar to continue to strengthen, and gold, as a traditional safe-haven asset, has come under pressure. Technical analysis: Gold prices fell below the 21-day moving average on Monday, when the average was at $3,313, further increasing downside risks. The 14-day relative strength index also fell below the midline for the first time since early April, sending a bearish signal. Buyers are trying to regain control of the situation. Traders need to pay attention to the release of US CPI data. I think if the US CPI data is higher than expected, gold prices may start a new round of decline, with the target being $3,145 near the 50-day moving average. The important support level below is $3,100. On the contrary, if the CPI data is lower than expected, gold prices are expected to re-enter the 21-day SMA, which is currently $3,311. Once this resistance is broken, it will test the trend line resistance at $3,430. If it breaks further, the trend will open up space for gold prices to hit the historical high of $3,500.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Quaid-1
GOLD Correction Complete - Rally Toward $3,450 AheadOANDA:XAUUSD is trading within a well-defined ascending channel, signaling ongoing bullish momentum. The price has continued to respect the channel structure, printing higher highs and higher lows, a clear sign of an intact uptrend. The recent retracement represents a healthy correction, potentially setting the stage for another bullish leg. Price is now approaching a key support zone, marked by the lower boundary of the channel and a previous demand area. If this zone holds, it may offer a strong re-entry opportunity for buyers. The projected upside target is $3,450, which aligns with both the midline of the ascending channel and a previous resistance level. As long as the price remains above the support zone and the ascending trendline, the bullish scenario remains valid. A break below this level, however, could invalidate the setup and increase the likelihood of a deeper retracement. Always confirm your setups and trade with a proper risk management. Best of luck!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TrendDiva
92
Gold’s Short-Term Setup!!!Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) started to fall today after the news " The United States has dropped its tariffs on Chinese goods to 30%, down from a brutal 145%, while China is slashing its own duties on US imports to just 10%, temporarily, for the next 90 days. " Gold is moving near a Heavy Support zone($3,198-$3,136) . In terms of Elliott wave theory , it appears that Gold has completed five downwaves , and we should expect Gold to rise at least to the Resistance zone($3,280-$3,245) . It is possible that selling pressure on Gold will increase again with the opening of the US marke t. But this analysis is in the short term , and it is likely to hit Target before the US market opens. The Bullish Engulfing Candlestick Pattern can also be a sign of Gold rising , at least in the short term . I expect Gold to rise to at least $3,241.890. Note: Stop Loss(SL): $3204.820 Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 15-minute time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like'✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by pejman_zwin
5
XAU/USD Forming Bullish Structure Above 3249 Support Gold (XAU/USD) on the 15-minute chart is showing signs of a potential bullish continuation after bouncing from the 3249 support level. Price has started forming a higher low structure, indicating a possible upward move toward the 3278 resistance zone. If the market respects the 3249 level, we could see further upside momentum. A clean breakout above 3278 may open the door for extended bullish movement. Key Levels: Support: 3249 Resistance: 3278 Secondary Support: 3207 This setup reflects current price behavior and structure for educational and technical analysis purposes only.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by UAE_USA_GOLD_TRADERS
XAUUSD Gold Possible Move 13/05/2025Major Supply Zones: Upper Supply Zone around $3,275–$3,285: Strong reaction from this area before the massive drop. Mid Supply Zone around $3,265 - $3,268: Price has reacted again here. Trendline Liquidity Grab: Price moved above the internal rising trendline (liquidity sweep). The wick into the trendline’s upper side aligns with a key supply zone, followed by rejection = potential shift in structure. Bearish Rejection from Supply: Confluence zone (circle area) where price might reverse. Strong rejection seen right after price tapped this zone. possible entry trigger. Internal Structure Shift: If price breaks $3,245 support, that confirms CHoCH (Change of Character). Bearish FVG could be forming just below the supply zone, which may act as resistance on retests. 📉 Trade Signal (Short Setup) 🔔 Entry: Sell: $3,265 - 68 (if price returns for a retest of supply zone) OR Sell Market: If current bearish candle confirms engulfing with strong momentum 🎯 Targets: TP1: $3,245 (mid support zone) TP2: $3,220 (major demand zone at the bottom) TP3 (swing): $3,210–$3,200 🛡️ Stop-Loss: Above supply zone high: $3,275+ ✅ Confluences for Bearish Bias: Liquidity sweep above trendline Supply zone rejection Structure shifting lower Price action showing rejection wicks Clean imbalance zones below (liquidity magnets) Kindly follow, support, comment and share as well.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by QuinnReed_Charts
Today's gold trend analysis, go long in batches🗞News side: 1. China-US trade relations eased, suspending some tariffs and countermeasures 2. Russia and Ukraine suspended firing for 30 days, and the India-Pakistan conflict was temporarily mediated 📈Technical aspects: Since the US and China lowered some tariffs after the negotiation, the US dollar has recovered some of its losses, but gold has not completely recovered some of its losses. At present, the price of gold has once again retreated to near the 3260 line. Although the hourly level MACD indicator shows a golden cross, the daily level is still a dead cross and heavy volume. Then in the short term, the gold price may show some counter-twitching momentum before the US dollar steps back to confirm support, or it may touch near the 3277 line. The gold price may fall further after the US dollar steps back to confirm the support. From a technical point of view, the upper daily resistance is near 3287, while the lower first-line support of 3200 is strong, and there is a tendency to form a double bottom. The European market can consider using 3250-40 US dollars as a support point, and the early trading low near 3220 as a defensive position. First, let's see the gold price continue to rebound to 3277-80-87, unless the European market weakens and breaks the Asian low, and then the US market adjusts. Temporarily, we will see a rebound correction. If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices. FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AllenBoswell
Gold turning point. What signals are hidden?Overall analysis of gold trend: Gold prices suffered a setback under the influence of the optimism of tomorrow's US-China negotiations. The core reason for the decline in gold prices is the breakthrough in global tariff negotiations. The key factor driving the rise in gold prices early on: Tariff concerns are significantly easing, which directly leads to the gold market entering a phased consolidation. I think the price of gold will fluctuate in the range of US$3,000-3,300 per ounce for some time to come. This forecast range is significantly narrower than before, reflecting that in the current complex and changing market environment, gold price fluctuations will tend to be rational. I think the gold price at this time is already at the crossroads of an important trend. The current gold market is facing a fierce game between long and short factors. On the one hand, the optimism brought about by the easing of trade tensions suppresses gold prices; on the other hand, the safe-haven demand generated by economic uncertainty, potential spot shortages, and the continued inflow of ETF funds provide support for gold prices. This complex market environment makes the trend of gold prices full of variables. For traders, it is more necessary to remain rational in the current market environment, pay attention to short-term price fluctuations, and grasp the long-term value of gold as a safe-haven asset. The next round of big market in the gold market may be nurtured in these seemingly contradictory market signals. Operation strategy: Traders need to try to adopt scalping trading strategies in the current small fluctuation range, enter the market in time, and take profits in time. The current fluctuation range is between $3200 and $3245. You can try to short near the high point and long at the low point, so that you can reap a small profit. If you are a large-capital customer who can withstand market fluctuations, you can hold the position and wait and see for part of the time, and then choose the appropriate time to close the position.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Quaid-1