XAU/USD 4H Chart Analysis – Wave 5 Setup in PlayHey traders! Just wanted to share this clean Elliott Wave setup I’m tracking on Gold (XAU/USD).
We’ve just completed what looks like a textbook Wave (4) correction, finding support right at the lower boundary of this long-term ascending channel. Price also respected the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement perfectly, lining up around the $3,090 level. That level is acting as a key demand zone right now.
🌀 According to the wave count:
Wave (3) topped out near $3,500
Wave (4) retraced sharply into the channel base
We are now potentially at the launch point for Wave (5) — the final impulse leg
💹 Wave (5) Projection:
Targeting the upper channel boundary, which aligns closely with $3,740–$3,750
This area also completes the measured move and matches key structural confluence
📈 Technical Confluence Supporting the Bullish Bias:
RSI bounced cleanly from oversold territory
Bullish EMA crossover (20/50) is happening right near the bounce zone
We’re also seeing a break of the corrective trend line, suggesting momentum is shifting back in favor of the bulls
📍 Key Levels to Watch:
$3,149: minor pullback area / possible retest
$3,283: Fib 23.6% resistance — needs to be cleared for confirmation
$3,500: Major resistance & previous high — breakout zone
$3,747: Wave 5 target
⚠️ Invalidation Zone:
If price breaks below $3,090, and especially $3,041, I’ll be reassessing the wave count. That would suggest a deeper Wave 4 or a breakdown in bullish structure.
📌 Conclusion:
I’m watching this setup closely. Gold looks poised for a strong upside leg if current levels hold. The structure is clean, momentum is turning, and we’ve got multiple confirmations in place. I’ll be scaling in with proper risk management and looking to ride this potential Wave 5 to new highs.
Drop your thoughts below — are you long on Gold? Let’s talk setups 👇
@WrightWayInvestments
@WrightWayInvestments
@WrightWayInvestments
Goldprediction
XAUUSD:Short mainly
Gold continued its pullback last week, bouncing back after meeting key support and closing below the negative shadow line. At the present stage, the trend is relying on the key support level shock, and the rebound has not made a breakthrough, the pressure after the retreat of risk aversion is more and more obvious, and there is still the possibility of deepening the decline.
Today's trend personal expected sideways shock, short-term pressure above 3245-3250, can be around this area short, below the first support to see 3200, after breaking the 3145-3150.
This week's overall operating range relies on the 3145-3250 range band.
↓↓↓ The detailed strategy club will have tips, updated daily, come and get them →→→
Gold Sell Setup: Bearish Price Action Points to 3092!Hello traders,
I'm currently keeping a close eye on Gold (XAU/USD) for potential short setups. Recent price action shows clear bearish pressure, with Lower Highs (LHs) and Lower Lows (LLs) forming consistently — a strong indication that bulls are losing control and sellers are still in charge.
I'm particularly watching the internal highs around the 3265 zone. I’m anticipating a possible liquidity sweep above that level — a fake breakout that could tap into the daily imbalance zone (highlighted on the chart below). If price reacts bearishly from that area, I’ll be looking for confirmation to go short.
GOLD Daily
My short-term target for this sell idea is around 3092, just below last week's low.
That’s my current perspective on Gold — what are your thoughts?
Feel free to drop your analysis or any alternative views in the comment section below. Let’s learn and grow together!
Gold Price Targets Fresh GainsGold Price Targets Fresh Gains
Gold price started a fresh increase above the $3,210 resistance level.
Important Takeaways for Gold Price Analysis Today
- Gold price started a steady increase from the $3,120 zone against the US Dollar.
- A connecting bullish trend line is forming with support at $3,210 on the hourly chart of gold at FXOpen.
Gold Price Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of Gold at FXOpen, the price found support near the $3,120 zone. The price formed a base and started a fresh increase above the $3,150 level.
The bulls cleared the $3,200 zone and the 50-hour simple moving average. There was also a spike above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $3,347 swing high to the $3,120 low. The RSI is now above 50 and the price could aim for more gains.
Immediate resistance is near the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $3,347 swing high to the $3,120 low at $3,260.
The next major resistance is near the $3,295 level. An upside break above the $3,295 resistance could send Gold price toward $3,350. Any more gains may perhaps set the pace for an increase toward the $3,385 level.
Initial support on the downside is near the $3,210 zone. There is also a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at $3,210. If there is a downside break below the $3,210 support, the price might decline further.
In the stated case, the price might drop toward the $3,155 support. The next major support sits at $3,120. Any more losses might send the price toward the $3,060 level.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Gold Analysis.... This 1-hour chart of XAU/USD illustrates a key decision point, showing a possible breakout above resistance or rejection and continuation to the downside. Notable features include:
CHoCH (Change of Character) and BOS (Break of Structure) points signaling previous shifts in market direction.
Sellside liquidity area marked where orders may have been swept.
Price currently trading near $3,180.91, just below a resistance zone.
Blue arrows indicate possible bullish move toward $3,240+ or bearish continuation to $3,125, marked as a Weak Low.
Gold Price Trading Around 3,200 Points
📌 Gold Information
Gold (XAU/USD) is recovering from recent losses, trading around $3,230 per troy ounce during Asian trading hours on Monday as investors seek safe haven assets amid growing concerns about the US economic outlook and fiscal sustainability. The rebound follows Moody's decision to downgrade the US credit rating by one notch, from Aaa to Aa1, citing growing debt and the burden of interest payments. This follows previous downgrades by Fitch and Standard & Poor's in 2023 and 2011, respectively. Moody's now forecasts that the US federal debt will surge to around 134% of GDP by 2035 from 98% in 2023, due to ballooning debt servicing costs, expanding entitlement programs, and shrinking tax revenues - all of which have heightened investor concerns and provided new support for gold prices.
📊Comment Analysis
Gold price fluctuated around 3200 at the beginning of the week. There was not much news and it continued to go sideways.
💰Strategy Package
⭐️Set gold price:
🔥Sell gold area: 3259-3261 SL 3266
TP1: $3250
TP2: $3240
TP3: $3230
🔥Buy gold area: $3192 - $3190 SL $3185
TP1: $3200
TP2: $3210
TP3: $3220
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
How to layout in the battle between long and short positionsGold surged directly at the opening, which is in line with our analysis expectations. We gave a short position near 3240-45. As expected, gold fell to the 3230 line for profit. There is great pressure from above and limited space above. Up to now, it has been fluctuating near 3220. For gold, we are now focusing on the short-term support of 3200-06. If it breaks through this position, it is very likely to go to the 3175-90 line.
From the current trend analysis, today's support continues to focus on 3170-80, strong support 3150, and upper pressure 3253-60. Relying on this range as a whole, the main tone of high-altitude low-multiple cycle participation remains unchanged. In the middle position, you must watch more and move less, be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market. I will notify you of the specific operation strategy in time and pay attention to it in time.
Gold operation strategy: short gold rebound near 3240-50, target 3230-3220. Pay attention to the support of 3202 and 3175 below, and go long according to the strength of the decline!
Gold is rising strongly? Beware of a sharp rise to the high poinThe US sovereign credit rating was downgraded from AAA to Aa1; affected by this, gold opened sharply higher in the Asian market on Monday, and the highest so far is around 3250.
However, 3250 is not the high point at present, and it is only warming up in the Asian market. The important thing should be in the European and American markets. Such a major breaking news must be seen in the US stock market.
If gold can continue to rush above 3250 in the short term, then we will see 3280-3300 later. It is not ruled out that the Asian market will continue to fluctuate sideways in the short term, but I think it will still rise. The high point of 3250 may be broken at any time.
From the 4-hour chart:
This K line is very strong. Once this K line closes above 3230, the highest high point can be seen from the 4-hour chart here.
Judging from the current trend, I think the gold price is bullish as long as it is above 3200 in the Asian market. The lowest price in the Asian market in the morning retreated to around 3210, so it is not known whether it will retreat to around 3200.
Then, for the short-term strategy, you can go long around 3210, with 3200 as the stop loss position. As long as the upper target stands at 3250, you can continue to see the profit range of 3280-3300.
Beware! Gold Falls
📌 World Situation
Gold prices fell more than 1.5% on Friday and are on track to close the week with a loss of more than 4% as improving risk sentiment drove investors away from safe-haven assets and into stocks and other riskier investments. At the time of writing, XAU/USD was trading around $3,187, retreating from a daily high of $3,252.
The precious metal started the week lower following a reported significant de-escalation in the US-China trade conflict, including an agreement by both sides to reduce tariffs by 115%. Despite trading between $3,120 and $3,265 throughout the week, gold prices struggled to maintain bullish momentum, with weakening buyer interest becoming increasingly apparent against the backdrop of stronger risk appetite and encouraging US economic data.
📊Comment Analysis
Will be greatly affected by tariff news and Russia-Ukraine peace talks
💰Strategy Package
Resistance: $3265, $3357
Support: $3160, $3112
In this range, you can enter the market in batches in real time to flexibly grasp the market changes.
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the capital account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the capital account
XAUUSD GOLD Just Grabbed liquidity Below a key low analysis Full Guide: How to Use COT Data for Trading XAUUSD (Gold)
1. What is COT Data?
The Commitment of Traders (COT) report is a weekly publication by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). It shows the aggregate positioning of different types of traders in the futures markets.
For XAUUSD (Gold), you’ll look at the Gold futures (COMEX) section.
2. Key Trader Categories in COT Report
1. Commercials (Hedgers):
Typically big institutions or producers like mining companies.
They use futures to hedge exposure, not speculate.
Usually short during rallies and long when price is low.
2. Non-Commercials (Large Speculators):
Hedge funds, money managers.
Considered the "smart money." Full Guide: How to Use COT Data for Trading XAUUSD (Gold)
1. What is COT Data?
The Commitment of Traders (COT) report is a weekly publication by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). It shows the aggregate positioning of different types of traders in the futures markets.
For XAUUSD (Gold), you’ll look at the Gold futures (COMEX) section.
---
2. Key Trader Categories in COT Report
1. Commercials (Hedgers):
Typically big institutions or producers like mining companies.
They use futures to hedge exposure, not speculate.
Usually short during rallies and long when price is low.
2. Non-Commercials (Large Speculators):
Hedge funds, money managers.
Considered the "smart money."
Follow trends and often drive major moves.
3. Nonreportables (Retail/Small Traders):
Smaller traders, often contrarian indicators.
Not always consistent with price direction.
---
3. Where to Find COT Data
CFTC Website
Tools like:
Tradingster.com
BarChart.com
COTbase.com
Look for "Legacy" or "Disaggregated" COT reports for Gold - COMEX.
---
4. How to Read the COT Data for Gold
Key Metrics:
Longs/Shorts: Number of contracts held.
Net Positions: Longs minus Shorts.Changes WoW: Increase/decrease in positions compared to the prior week.
Example Insight:
If Non-Commercials are heavily net long, and reaching historical highs, market may be overbought.
If Commercials increase shorts significantly, they may be preparing for a price decline.
A divergence between price action and COT data often signals potential reversal.
---
5. Using COT for Gold Trading (XAUUSD)A. Trend Confirmation
Rising net long positions by non-commercials = bullish confirmation.
Decreasing net long or rising shorts = weakening trend or reversal.
B. Reversal Spotting
Extremes in positioning (e.g., record longs by speculators) often precede reversals.
Look for non-commercials reducing longs while commercials increase shorts—potential top.
C. Liquidity Grabs and COT
If gold grabs liquidity (stop hunts) and COT shows heavy speculative positioning, that could be a smart money trap.
A strong bullish reversal after liquidity grab with increasing net longs confirms a momentum shift.
---
6. How to Combine COT with Technical Analysis
Use COT to validate or question what you see on the chart.
Example Setup:
Chart: Gold drops below key support (liquidity grab).
COT: Non-commercials increase longs that week.
Conclusion: Smart money bought the dip — potential for bullish reversal.
Combine with:
Market structure
Volume
Sentiment tools
Price action (e.g., bullish engulfing, break of structure)
---
7. Limitations and Tips
Lagging Data: COT is released every Friday for data on Tuesday.
Use it for context and macro positioning, not for intraday trades.
Look at weekly or monthly trends, not daily.
Best used alongside price action and other confirmation signals.
---
Conclusion
COT data is a powerful tool for understanding who is behind the move in gold. By tracking the positioning of major players, you can:
Confirm trends
Spot early signs of reversal
Align your trades with institutional momentum
GOLD set for another drop?As expected in our previous analysis XAUUSD bounced to daily resistance and started to get rejected with a strong momentum in the major direction of the trend. As we see series of lower high formation XAUUSD may continue to drop to daily support level following the long term trend.
XAU/USD) back up Trand analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis for XAU/USD (Gold vs. US Dollar) on the 4-hour timeframe suggests a bullish reversal setup from a key support zone. Here's a breakdown of the idea:
Key Observations:
1. Support Zone (Yellow Box at ~3,100–3,140):
The price recently touched a significant support area marked by multiple previous bounces (green arrows).
The latest green arrow shows a bullish reaction from this zone, indicating potential for an upward move.
2. Resistance Zone (~3,220–3,250):
This intermediate zone is expected to be the first area of interest for bulls.
The analysis suggests a brief pullback or consolidation before continuation.
3. Target Point (~3,375):
The chart outlines a projected move to around 3,375, aligning with a previous supply zone and the upper channel line.
This is likely the main target for a swing trade.
4. EMA 200 (Blue Line - ~3,221):
Price is hovering around the 200 EMA, acting as a dynamic resistance.
A breakout above this would add bullish confirmation.
5. RSI Indicator (~41):
RSI is recovering from an oversold region (~38), indicating potential momentum building for a reversal.
Mr SMC Trading point
---
Conclusion:
This is a bullish reversal setup with:
Entry zone: Around 3,120–3,140
Short-term resistance: ~3,220–3,250
Final target: ~3,375
Invalidation: A clear break and close below the yellow support box (~3,100)
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
XAU/USD) bullish trend analysis Read The ChaptianSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of XAU/USD (Gold Spot price against USD) on a 1-hour timeframe, featuring a Smart Money Concept (SMC) approach. Here's a breakdown of the key ideas presented:
---
1. Downtrend & Trendline Break
The chart initially shows a downtrend with two red arrows marking lower highs.
A trendline is broken, indicating a potential shift in market structure.
CHOCH (Change of Character) is labeled — a key SMC concept signaling a reversal from bearish to bullish structure.
---
2. Orderblock & FVG (Fair Value Gap)
A bullish orderblock is highlighted, indicating an area where institutional buying may have occurred.
A Fair Value Gap (FVG) is shown, which often acts as a magnet for price to fill inefficiencies before continuing in the intended direction.
---
3. Resistance & Target Zones
A resistance level is marked near 3248–3250, which price may revisit and possibly break.
Two target points are identified:
First target: ~3344
Final target: ~3433
---
4. EMA 200
The EMA 200 is acting as dynamic resistance; a break above it adds confluence to the bullish bias.
---
5. Expected Move
The analysis anticipates:
1. A pullback into the FVG or orderblock.
2. A bullish continuation after mitigating those zones.
3. Price aiming for the resistance and eventually the upper targets.
Mr SMC Trading point
---
Conclusion
This is a bullish outlook based on a structural break (CHOCH), institutional demand (orderblock), and gap-filling logic (FVG). The price is expected to pull back slightly and then rally toward the 3344 and 3433 levels if it holds the orderblock zone.
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
XAUUSD Bearish Setup with Key Entry, Stop Loss & Target LevelsEA GOLD MAN XAUUSD
Entry Point: $3,235.94
Stop Loss: $3,235.94 (above current price, suggesting a SELL trade)
Target Points:
EA Target Point (Downside): $2,974.71 (Short target)
EA Target Point (Upside): $3,505.03 (Long target — likely alternate scenario)
Resistance Level: $3,121.49
Nearby Support Zone: Around $3,000–$2,975
📉 Trade Strategy Implied
This appears to be a short position setup:
Sell at: ~$3,220–$3,235
Stop Loss: $3,235.94
Take Profit: $2,974.71
Risk/Reward Ratio: ~1:3 (very favorable setup if thesis holds)
The upside target ($3,505.03) might be for a different scenario — if price reverses and breaks above resistance.
🧠 Market Structure Observations
Trend: A bearish break from a previous ascending channel.
Momentum: Price has bounced slightly after hitting support, but the moving averages suggest bearish momentum may persist.
Key Risk: If price breaks above $3,236 convincingly, it could invalidate the short setup and trigger a bullish run.
📌 Summary
Bias: Bearish (based on current setup)
Setup: Short with tight stop above resistance
Confirmation Needed: Watch for rejection at the $3,220–$3,236 zone and a breakdown below $3,200 for follow-through.
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3215 and a gap below at 3170. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We have a bigger range in play then usual.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3215
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3215 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3298
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3298 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3344
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3344 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3394
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3394 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3439
BEARISH TARGETS
3170
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3170 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET TARGET
3120
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3120 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET TARGET
3077
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3077 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
3236 - 3176
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3176 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
3033 - 2988
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAUUSD forecast for this week (19th May 2025)Recent candlestick patterns, coupled with supportive evidence from technical indicators (RSI, ADX, parabolic SAR), underscore that XAUUSD has transitioned into a corrective phase after peaking near $3,500. Major catalysts over the past week—including the U.S.–China 90-day tariff pause, softer U.S. inflation data (CPI, PPI), and strong dollar moves—have eroded safe-haven flows, pushing gold into a short-term descending channel. While Asian physical demand around $3,120–$3,200 provides intermittent support, the likelihood of dipping back into the $3,100–$3,150 zone remains high.
Support & Resistance levels for tomorrow (19th May 2025):
$3,265–3,275 Resistance 2
$3,250 Resistance 1
$3,150–3,160 support 1
$3,120 support 2
I am expecting a continuation of the modest bearish bias into the upcoming Asian session, there is a 60% probability to a bearish continuation and 40% to a bullish rebound. Traders should monitor the $3,150-3160 support area closely—any decisive break below there could open the path toward $3,120 and ultimately $3,000
Moody's downgrades US credit rating, will gold be affected?Information summary:
At about 4:43 pm on Friday (the last minute before the market closed), Moody's downgraded the US sovereign credit rating from AAA to Aa1 on the grounds of "surge in debt and fiscal out of control", ending the US's last "top credit" title among the three major rating agencies.
Perhaps considering reducing the impact, Moody's announced this news after the US stock market closed. But at this time, gold, foreign exchange and other markets still have more than ten minutes of trading time. The 10-year US Treasury yield once rushed from 4.44% to 4.49%, the US dollar index fell, and gold rushed up.
The downgrade is a super-class data, which may cause gold to rebound in stages, but not continuously. If nothing unexpected happens, after the adjustment, gold may continue to retreat in a trend.
Technical analysis:
Next week, gold may rebound in stages to 3330-3340. Then there may be a trend decline again, and I estimate that it may test around 2950 below. As for why it went to 3330-40, here is an analysis:
I think the current gold trend is very similar to the holiday trend in Asia from May 1st to 5th. It also fell sharply, then bottomed out and rebounded, and then stretched up again. I also drew it in the picture, which is basically consistent with the current trend. If the next market trend is copied from the previous paragraph, then I think it should test the 3330-40 point.
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3236 and a gap below at 3184. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3236
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3236 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3278
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3278 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3308
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3308 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3343
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3343 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3373
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3373 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3418
BEARISH TARGETS
3184
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3184 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3146
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3146 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3103
3069
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3069 WILL OPEN THE SECONDARY SWING RANGE
3030
2981
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD DAILY CHART ROUTE MAP Hey Everyone,
Please see the daily chart update. As shown, the Goldturn channel is still being respected by price action. After a failed breakout attempt above the channel alongside the EMA5, we saw a rejection back toward the channels half line, a level we've identified as a potential support zone.
This support held, resulting in a bounce that aligns with our strategy of buying dips. As long as price continues to hold above this level and the EMA5 remains supportive, we could see a gradual move back toward higher levels. However, if the midline is retested and fails, and the EMA5 crosses below the half line, this could signal a potential move toward the lower boundary of the channel.
This is the beauty of our Goldturn channels, drawn using weighted averages instead of pure price action. This unique approach helps us clearly identify fake-outs and real breakouts, cutting out much of the noise that usually confuses traders.
Moving forward, we’ll focus on smaller timeframes (1H and 4H) to buy dips off the weighted Goldturns, aiming for clean 30–40 pip moves. Ranging markets are perfect for this style, allowing us to capitalize on quick moves without getting caught in the chop of larger swings.
Thank you all again for your continued likes, comments, and follows, we truly appreciate your support!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Here’s our weekly chart update. Once again, the Goldturn channel is proving reliable, with price action unfolding as expected. Over the past few weeks, we saw multiple attempts to break above the top of the channel, but each was rejected , confirmed by the EMA5 failing to break through.
Following this, price dropped to as low as 3189 and nearly reached 3094, aligning closely with the channels half line, a key support level we've been monitoring. We caught an early bounce there and capitalized on it using confluence from our lower time frame analysis, also shared with you all, on our 1h and 4h chart ideas.
As long as price holds above the channels half line, we’ll continue to look for bounce opportunities using levels from our smaller time frame setups. However, if price crosses and holds below the half line, it may open the door for a move toward the lower boundary of the channel.
As always, patience and precision are key. We'll continue using the 1H and 4H timeframes to buy dips on retracements into these support zones, targeting clean 20–40 pip moves. These levels and pullbacks offer ideal opportunities, especially in ranging conditions where our Goldturn method truly shines.
This is exactly why we rely on our Goldturn Channels, our proprietary system built on weighted averages. It filters the noise, helps us spot real breakouts vs. fake-outs, and gives us the confidence to act with clarity and discipline.
Thanks again for all the support, your likes, comments and follows.
MR GOLD
GOLDVIEWFX
USDJPY analysis week 21Fundamental Analysis
USD/JPY recovered slightly on Friday as the USD recovered and traded sideways around the DXY index level of 100.80.
The Japanese Yen (JPY) strengthened despite a decline in Japan's GDP, due to its safe-haven status and expectations that the BOJ will not raise interest rates soon.
The BOJ kept interest rates at 0.5%, lowered its 2025 GDP growth forecast to 0.5% and may pause interest rate hikes until September to monitor the impact of US tariffs.
The Fed kept interest rates unchanged, no plans to cut in the near term. The Fed Chairman warned that tariffs could increase inflation and reduce growth.
Technical Analysis
USDJPY is reacting at the 89 EMA. Overall, the uptrend is still maintained for this pair and pay attention to the immediate support level of 144,000, while the pair is still trading above this area, the uptrend is still continuing. The two resistance levels that the pair could reach next week are noted at 147.500 and 148.300. In case the 144.000 trend zone is broken, the pair's slide will be supported by the May low around 142.600.