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Goldprediction

GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, End of week update following up on yesterday’s 1H chart outlook. ✅ 3353 was hit and respected to the pip, just as we mapped out and highlighted yesterday. We saw the EMA5 cross and lock above 3328, confirming continuation. The market respected structure beautifully Rejections gave us clean dip buying entries EMA5 methodology guided our execution High probability Goldturn levels played out exactly as planned Our discipline and patience were rewarded, yet again. Another strong end to the week. We will now come back Sunday with a full multi timeframe analysis to prepare for next week’s setups, including updated views on the higher timeframes, EMA alignments, and structure expectations going forward. Thanks again for all your likes, comments, and follows. Wishing you all a fantastic weekend!! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
9
The short-selling idea remains unchanged, defend 3355📰 News information： 1. Powell responds to White House issues 2. Will other countries impose reciprocal sanctions on tariffs? 📈 Technical Analysis： Gold closed with a long lower shadow on the daily line yesterday and closed with a doji on the hourly line. In the short term, gold may continue to rise and is expected to touch the 3355 line. If gold cannot break through and stabilize above 3355, then gold may fall back. We can still consider shorting, and the target can be 3330. If the trend is as expected, it may form the embryonic form of a head and shoulders bottom. On the contrary, if the gold price breaks through 3355, stop loss on short positions and pay attention to the high resistance of 3375-3385. 🎯 Trading Points： SELL 3340-3355 TP 3330-3320 In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you. TVC:GOLD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Allenbrowser-3
Gold trend analysis and latest exclusive operation suggestionsTechnical analysis of gold: After the opening yesterday, gold continued to fall slowly. The negative impact of unemployment data in the US market further suppressed the bullish momentum. The lowest price in the US market reached 3310, and the cumulative decline for the whole day exceeded 30 US dollars. But the key is that gold in the New York market rebounded again, forming a wide range of fluctuations on Thursday, which was completely in line with expectations. The 3310 bottom-picking and long-term strategy given during the session successfully captured large profits in the band. This trend once again verified the core judgment of this week: gold is in a high-level fluctuation dominated by the bullish trend, and the practical value of this view continues to highlight. After clarifying the current dual attributes of "bullish trend + oscillating trend", Friday's trading needs to focus on the effective profit space within the range. It is expected that the 3375-3310 large range will be difficult to break during the day this week, and the small range can be locked at 3355-3320. The high-selling and low-buying operations can be performed before the range is broken. The technical side shows that the daily line and the 4-hour period Bollinger band are closed simultaneously. At this time, there is no need to worry about the direction, and effective trading can be achieved by keeping a close eye on the range boundary. It is worth noting that the 4-hour moving average system has obvious upward divergence characteristics. Continuing the rebound momentum of the New York market on Thursday, gold still has room to rise today, and the upper target is 3360-3365. The small cycle support is clear: 3330 and 3320 are not broken, both are good opportunities for long positions. During the US trading period, we need to pay attention to the breaking of the 3365 and 3375 resistance levels: if they are under pressure and not broken, there will be room for a fall, and you can try short-term shorting. Overall, Charlie recommends that the short-term operation strategy for gold today is mainly to step on the low and long, supplemented by the rebound high. The short-term focus on the upper side is the 3375-3385 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is the 3345-3335 support. PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD VELOCITY:GOLD EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD ACTIVTRADES:GOLD EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD CMCMARKETS:GOLD EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Charlie_Senior_Analyst
Bottom-out rebound, 3338 short orders enteredYesterday, the gold market was affected by Trump's remarks about firing Federal Reserve Chairman Powell. After briefly falling below 3320, the price quickly rose by nearly 60 points, reaching a high of 3377. Trump later clarified that the news was false, triggering a gold sell-off, and the market rose and fell. As of Thursday's European session, gold prices fell back to around 3320. After a rapid rise and fall in the US market on Wednesday, the downward trend continued on Thursday, with the US market hitting a low of 3310 before rebounding. Judging from the 4-hour chart, the Bollinger Bands failed to open downward, indicating that the current market lacks continuity and the overall market remains in a volatile pattern. In a volatile market, it is recommended to pay attention to key support and resistance levels for high-selling and low-buying operations. The upper resistance range is currently at 3343-3351, and the important watershed support level below is at 3310. OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by HuntingWolves
Xauusd Bullish 18 July 2025 $4085 Prediction📍Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia – 18 July 2025 GOLD (XAUUSD) INSIGHT – First Accumulation Entry Begins Today marks the first leg of bullish territory for Gold (XAUUSD) as price begins its early accumulation phase ahead of the Federal Reserve’s rate decision in 11 days. Using a refined OHLC strategy alongside my proprietary Chrono Conditioned Trading (CCT) method, I foresee a strategic retest around $3357 to $3360, which could unlock the momentum needed to approach $3400 and eventually $3500 a key psychological resistance before price makes its way to the $5000 projection. 🧠 Technical Insight: OHLC Strategy The OHLC (Open-High-Low-Close) method is vital for identifying precision entries: Open shows the market’s first reaction; High and Low define intraday volatility boundaries; Close indicates market sentiment and real direction. In today's setup, early accumulation begins near the previous daily open, and a break above yesterday's high signals that buyers are returning in strength. ⏱ CCT – Chrono Conditioned Trading Approach My CCT method focuses on timing-based entries combined with price conditioning: Entries are planned around event timelines like the upcoming FOMC rate release (FedWatch). CCT waits for the “right time and right structure” not just price but when price moves. Today fits that condition: early cycle, pre-news sentiment, and a clean OHLC break structure. 💡 Trading Tip: “Never chase gold. Let the structure and time align. When OHLC confirms and CCT conditions are met only then, you strike.” 🗓 Fed Expectations: Although rate cuts are projected for September and December 2025, it is unlikely the Fed will move in July. That uncertainty fuels speculative accumulation—making today a strategic entry point. Stay sharp. Watch for OHLC rejections or continuation signals above $3360. If bulls defend $3357 well, gold may reclaim the $3400 range soon setting the stage for the ultimate test at $3500. #XAUUSD #GoldTrading #OHLCstrategy #ChronoConditionedTrading #FedWatch #GoldAnalysis #CCTMethod Regards, Zezu Zaza 2048
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by Zezu_Zaza
Excellent profits booked As I mentioned in yesterday’s commentry session: My strategy is still the same – buying every dip in Gold around my key level yesterday at 3312, which the market respects well and as our first target was 3345 I'm aiming for a breakout to the upside. Very happy with the profits so far. My medium-term targets remain 3380 &3,400 and I’ll keep buying every local low until then. Also I mentioned if 3310 turns flips on down side then buy at 3290 will be the perfect buy.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Forexmaestro121
Gold---sell near 3355, target 3330-3320Gold market analysis: The gold buying and selling game in the past two days is quite fierce. The daily line is washed back and forth, with a combination of one Yin and one Yang. The upper and lower shadows of the daily line are relatively long. Yesterday, the daily line closed with a standard hammer candle pattern. After breaking the strong support of 3320, the price did not continue to fall, but bottomed out at 3308 and began to rise strongly, which eventually led to the short-term selling dream being shattered again. The daily line and K showed alternating conversions. The short-term trend is vague, but the long-term trend is still buying. This wave of repairs has the participation of fundamentals and the repair of gold itself. In the big cycle, it is difficult to form a daily selling trend without breaking the position of 3281. In addition, the fundamentals all support gold. I think the possibility of a deep fall in gold in the near future is very small. We are just a follower. In the short term, we focus on the intraday trend to operate. Yesterday, the daily line had a tail, and the possibility of continuing to fall today is small. Let's look at the repair rebound in the Asian session first. The first suppression position for buying rebound is around 3357. This position is also a form suppression and an indicator suppression. The other suppressions are around 3366 and 3377. Note that gold is not unilateral. When encountering great pressure, we must also consider selling opportunities. Today, I think it will rebound first and then fall back. Support 3327 and 3320, strong support 3308, pressure 3344.3357.3366.3377, and the strength and weakness dividing line of the market is 3340. Fundamental analysis: There are not many fundamentals this week. The data released yesterday still suppressed gold as a whole, but the gold tail market still bottomed out and rebounded. Operation suggestions: Gold---sell near 3355, target 3330-3320
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by NicolaZhu
2
Gold prices are on the rise again!Market news: In the early Asian session on Friday (July 18), spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading around $3,336 per ounce. London gold prices staged a thrilling "deep V" market yesterday, hitting a daily low of $3,309 during the session and recovering to 3,339 at the end of the session. Strong US retail sales and employment data drove the dollar to rebound and US Treasury yields to rise, putting pressure on interest-free assets such as gold. Despite this, geopolitical tensions and rising tariff risks are still providing bottom support for the gold market. The international gold market is currently in a multi-game of Fed policies, US economic data, US dollar trends and tariff policies. The Fed's position of postponing interest rate cuts, strong retail and employment data, and the rise in the US dollar and US Treasury yields have suppressed gold prices in the short term. This trading day needs to pay attention to the preliminary value of the University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index in July and US real estate market data, pay attention to the G20 Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors Meeting hosted by South Africa, and pay attention to news related to the international trade situation. Technical Review: Gold closed with a small positive line with a long upper shadow yesterday. Although it ended the continuous negative trend, it still faced sideways resistance below 3374, and the overall market still needs to be treated as a shock consolidation. From a large cycle perspective, gold has entered a convergent triangle consolidation phase of nearly three months. Among them, the lower track support line gradually moved up to above 3310. The support strength of this position continues to increase as the consolidation time lengthens. If the price touches or approaches this point, you can decisively try to buy the bottom layout.For two consecutive trading days, gold has been consolidating in a larger range of 3377/3310, and finally closed at the starting point of the daily Bollinger band middle track at the end of the trading day. Gold returned to the middle axis of the range at 3340. The daily chart Bollinger band middle track, the RSI indicator middle axis flattened, the four-hour chart hourly chart Bollinger band middle track, and the RSI indicator neutral middle axis. On Friday, the layout of the day will still be based on a wide range of fluctuations. Look at the 3320/3360 range first. Alternating buying and selling cycles, large range of wide fluctuations! Today's analysis: In the past two days, gold has always risen in the US market due to news. Last night, Trump called on the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, and gold rose again. However, judging from the recent market, the market stimulated by the news is still unsustainable. Since gold has rebounded now, gold will continue to sell at a high level in the early trading. Excluding yesterday's market affected by Trump, the gold price operation pattern this week is close to perfect, and it has been steadily operating under the suppression of the downward trend line. Therefore, the market has given a clear direction. It is OK to sell when the Asian market rebounds to the pressure level. Gold is still in a fluctuating downward trend in 1 hour! The downward trend resistance of gold has moved down to around 3350. Before gold effectively breaks through 3350, gold is under pressure at 3350 and continues to sell at high prices. Today, Friday, the probability of gold having a big market is relatively high, and if there is a big market on Friday, it is basically weak throughout the day. If it is strong, it is strong throughout the day. As long as gold continues to be weak in the European market, it is likely that gold will continue to fall today. Operation ideas: Buy short-term gold at 3317-3320, stop loss at 3308, target at 3340-3360; Sell short-term gold at 3352-3355, stop loss at 3364, target at 3330-3310; Key points: First support level: 3323, second support level: 3310, third support level: 3290 First resistance level: 3348, second resistance level: 3360, third resistance level: 3377
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by NicolaZhu
1
Gold is in danger. Could it fall?Gold started to fall slowly after the Asian market opened on Thursday, and continued to fluctuate and fall in the European market. The impact of the initial data in the US market fell sharply to around 3310, then stabilized and rose. It reached a high of around 3341 and then maintained a high sideways fluctuation, and the daily line closed with a negative line. The price trend of gold this week was erratic. On Wednesday, it rose and fell, closing with a positive line, indicating that there was strong resistance above; on Thursday, it fell and rebounded, closing with a negative line, indicating that there was some support below. The current moving average system is chaotic, which further confirms that the overall situation is in a wide range of fluctuations. Connecting the highs and lows of this week can form a fluctuating downward channel, which still has an important guiding role in the market. The current channel resistance is at 3345. If the gold price can break through this resistance level, it is expected to open up further upward space; and the channel support is around 3320. Once it falls below, it may trigger a new round of decline. Overall, the upward resistance levels of gold are 3345, 3350, and 3360; the downward support levels are around 3320 and 3310. Operation strategy: Short around 3350, stop loss at 3360, profit range 3330-3310. Long near 3315, stop loss 3305, profit range 3330-3350.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by quaid_2
USDCAD is showing signs of bullish recovery✏️ OANDA:USDCAD has broken the Trendline structure to form a corrective uptrend. The price is still above the 20 SMA, indicating that the market's bullish momentum is still strong. The bullish wave may extend to 1.385. Pay attention to the reaction at the 1.375 liquidity candle wick zone for a positive DCA strategy. 📉 Key Levels Support: 1.365 Resistance: 1.375-1.385 BUY Now: 1.365 (Strong support zone) BUY Trigger: break and close above 1.375 Target: 1.385 Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
Long
by VHT_Trader
2
Gold returns to Sideway range waiting for new momentumOANDA:XAUUSD A sweep of liquidity back to the 3377 zone and then back into the triangle trading range. Currently, the market will wait for new momentum for the next trend. If the 3322 zone is still holding, the uptrend to 3400 is still there. This is an important price zone in today's trading day. 📉 Key Levels BUY Trigger: rejection 3323 with bullrish confirmation Target: 3373 SELL Trigger: Break and trading Bellow support 3321 Target: 3285 Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by VHT_Trader
12
Gold Analysis – Why I’m Targeting $4,085Friday July 18 2025. Malaysia, Kuala Lumpur - Gold analysis done by Zezu Zaza to see the potential upcoming upside starting today this Friday. I am using a CCT (Chrono Conditioned Trading) technique for my trading based analysis with mathematical strategy in the Xauusd pricing. We will cover the technical, fundamental and sentiment aspect as these are the three components pillars in trading before making any decision and movement trend. 1. Technical Setup (Daily Chart) Gold is currently consolidating between the $3,300 to $3,375 range after a strong rally earlier this year. The RSI sits near the neutral 50 level, while the MACD shows signs of a potential bullish crossover. A confirmed breakout above the $3,375 to $3,400 resistance zone may lead to a surge toward $3,600 to $3,650, and possibly much higher. Market structure remains bullish, with higher lows forming a solid base around $3,300. 2. Federal Reserve Outlook – 2025 Rate Cuts Expected The market is now pricing in at least two interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve by the end of 2025. A 25 basis point cut is expected in September, with another potentially coming in December. Recent CPI and PPI data indicate cooling inflation, giving the Fed more room to ease without reigniting price pressure. Labor market strength is weakening, wage growth is decelerating, and tighter credit conditions are emerging. Fed Chair Jerome Powell recently stated that the risks of over-tightening are now balanced, signaling a shift to a more dovish stance. Lower interest rates reduce bond yields and weaken the dollar, which historically fuels gold’s bullish momentum. If trump fired or Powell decision to step down, this will fire the gold even higher for the catalyze. 3. Market Sentiment (Speculative Positioning) As of July 11, 2025, the latest CFTC Commitment of Traders report shows speculative net long positions on gold have surged to 203,000 contracts, the highest level in several months. This signals a strong bullish sentiment among hedge funds and large traders. In addition, gold ETFs saw over $38 billion in inflows in the first half of 2025, highlighting strong institutional demand as investors seek safety in uncertain times. The positioning supports further upside as traders bet on a softer dollar and increased market volatility. 4. Macro Fundamentals and Hedge Fund Sentiment Central banks around the world, especially in the BRICS nations, continue to increase their gold reserves in efforts to reduce reliance on the US dollar. China has been actively accumulating gold for more than eight consecutive months, with unofficial estimates suggesting holdings of up to 5,000 metric tons. Several hedge funds and institutional managers now classify gold as a core asset class due to rising fiscal uncertainty, geopolitical risk, and the deterioration of confidence in monetary policy. David Einhorn of Greenlight Capital emphasized that gold is not just about inflation but about the credibility of monetary and fiscal policies. His fund maintains a long gold position and expects higher prices as global deficits and structural imbalances persist. 5. Institutional Forecasts and Speculator Targets Goldman Sachs has raised its end-of-2025 target to the $3,700 to $3,950 range, citing rising ETF inflows and a softer Fed stance. JPMorgan expects gold to average around $3,675 in the fourth quarter of 2025. Citi, in a bull case scenario, believes gold could trade well above $3,300. The World Gold Council has outlined a high-conviction scenario in which gold could reach $4,000 within the next six to nine months, driven by stagflation and global monetary instability. Greenlight Capital is reportedly aiming for the $3,500 to $3,800 range, though David Einhorn noted that he does not want prices to rise excessively too quickly. Target Price: $4,085 first before turn the bullish sooners to $5000 price make this same year. My target of $4,085 is supported by the convergence of multiple factors: - A bullish technical structure with a potential breakout - Fed interest rate cuts reducing yields and weakening the dollar. Fed will reduce the rates for the first time this year (12 more days) after this article is published today 18 July 2025. - Strong speculative positioning and ETF demand - Aggressive central bank accumulation - Hedge fund sentiment aligned with rising gold exposure - Persistent geopolitical and macroeconomic uncertainty If these conditions hold, $4,085 is a realistic medium-term objective within six to nine months. Trading Plan Summary Component Strategy Entry Zone Breakout above $3,375 Stop Loss $3,300 to $3,320 (below key support) Take Profit Partial at $3,600 to $3,650, trail remainder to $4,085 Risk Triggers Dollar strength, unexpected Fed hawkish turn, resolution in geopolitics Key Catalysts CPI done, PPI done, FOMC statements, nonfarm payrolls, war developments Final Takeaway This gold analysis blends a bullish technical pattern with the macroeconomic backdrop of an approaching Fed pivot, rising speculative positioning, and ongoing central bank purchases. Hedge funds and institutions are increasingly viewing gold as an essential defensive asset, especially in the face of deteriorating fiscal credibility and geopolitical tensions. If gold breaks and holds above the $3,375 level, the path toward $4,085 becomes significantly more probable. 18 July 2025 Friday is a starter ignition trend will born today. I will place some test lots today and will accumulate after from time to time. Let me know if you what is your opinion or send email to me to reach me for the insitutional analyst or want to see live trade. Regards, Zezu Zaza 2048
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by Zezu_Zaza
XAUUSD:Go long Based on the 4-hour analysis, the short-term support below for today remains focused on the area around 3318-25, while the short-term resistance above focuses on the 3340-45 level. The key resistance above is at 3380. Overall, this range remains the main framework for our participation in the trade, with positions generally being cautious and waiting for key levels to enter. I will provide specific trading strategies during the session, so please stay tuned. Given that the current market has retraced to 3325 and then rebounded, we can go long in the 3325-30 range. Trading Strategy: BUY@3325-30 TP:3340-45 More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here ↗↗↗ Keep updated, come to "get" ↗↗↗
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Boooob_
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Quick follow-up on yesterday’s 1H chart update After hitting 3353, we did not see an EMA5 cross and lock above this level. That lack of confirmation was key and it validated a rejection right at 3353, leading to another drop into the retracement zone. As per plan, that retracement provided yet another clean bounce, perfectly in line with our dip buying strategy. We are once again looking toward 3353, and just like before, we will be closely watching for an EMA5 cross and lock confirmation to validate any continuation. This kind of movement continues to confirm the power of patience, structure, and disciplined execution. No chasing just clean planned executions with high probability setups based on our EMA5 methodology. We’re also still watching the 3381 gap a key magnet above, and a level we’ve been tracking since the Monday outlook. The roadmap remains unchanged. We’re trading the structure, managing risk, and letting confirmations guide the execution. Updated Reminder of Key Levels: BULLISH TARGET 3381 EMA5 CROSS & LOCK ABOVE 3381 opens 3416 EMA5 CROSS & LOCK ABOVE 3416 opens 3439 BEARISH TARGETS 3353 ✅ HIT EMA5 CROSS & LOCK BELOW 3353 opens 3328 ✅ HIT EMA5 CROSS & LOCK BELOW 3328 opens 3305 EMA5 CROSS & LOCK BELOW 3305 opens Swing Range: 3288 3259 As always, we’ll continue monitoring and sharing updates, as price reacts around these zones. Thank you all for the continued support, your likes, comments, and follows are genuinely appreciated! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
18
Treat it as a long-short wash-out shock, and go long on pullback📰 News information： 1. Initial jobless claims data 2. June retail data 3. Beware of Trump's remarks about firing Powell 📈 Technical Analysis： Last night, the daily line closed at around 3347. The current short-term daily line range is 3355-3300. The short-term support below is still 3320. Once it falls below 3320, it will look to 3310-3300. Short-term trading is still volatile. If the intraday retracement reaches 3320-3310, consider going long, and the defense is 3300, with the target at 3340-3350. Under the current rhythm of long and short wash, don't chase the rise and sell the fall, look at it rationally, and brothers who trade independently must bring SL. 🎯 Trading Points： BUY 3320-3310 TP 3340-3350 In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you. FXOPEN:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Allenbrowser-3
XAUUSD (GOLD) POTENTIAL SELL IDEAGold after hitting 3500 level, has kind of been ranging between 3200 and 3450 level. As we can say that Monday as start of the week has taken a Buyside Liquidity maybe making it high of the week which we will know as the market unfolds itself. A FVG was formed on 1H before the Buyside was taken and after taking BSL, price sliced through FVG making it IFVG, we can expect Gold to give us a sell trade as it enters this IFVG which will be our first potential entry, placing SL slightly above Buyside Liquidity level. If our first entry is successful, we can see a second entry when the price slices through the 4h FVG as marked, making it again an IFVG targeting the levels as highlighted on the chart. FIRST POTENTIAL ENTRY: Sell @ 3360-3365 Stop loss = 3385 Take Profit = 3335 (Target 1), 3310 (Target 2), 3390 (Target 3) SECOND POTENTIAL ENTRY: Sell @ 3340-3345 Stop loss = 3367 Take Profit = 3335 (Target 1), 3310 (Target 2), 3390 (Target 3)
TVC:GOLDShort
by Mr_Masab
Trump's five major factors! Will gold continue to rise?The past six months may have been dizzying, but a clear theme has emerged since U.S. President Donald Trump returned to the White House: It’s good news for the gold market. Although gold prices broke through $3,500 an ounce nearly three months ago, setting a new record high, five key factors that have emerged since the start of Trump’s second term are likely to continue to support gold prices in the coming months. These factors may even prove that the precious metal is becoming a core asset class in investors’ portfolio strategies. David Miller, co-founder and chief investment officer of Catalyst Funds, said that as the market enters the third quarter, gold remains a standout asset class that “provides both a hedge against the potential risks of geopolitical conflict and a break from the erosion of fiat currencies.” The first key factor supporting gold is demand from central banks, which indicates that the market has weakened confidence in the U.S. dollar. Miller pointed out in emailed comments that central bank demand is surging, and the BRICS countries, especially China and India, are accelerating the accumulation of gold reserves “as part of a broader de-dollarization strategy.” According to a report released by the World Gold Council on Wednesday, the People’s Bank of China’s official gold holdings have climbed for eight consecutive months. David Russell, head of global market strategy at TradeStation, said the global tariffs threatened and implemented by Trump have accelerated the "de-dollarization process." De-dollarization refers to efforts by some countries to reduce their reliance on the U.S. dollar as a reserve currency. "Trade is becoming less dependent on the U.S. end market and less dependent on the dollar. This is more like the 19th century than the era after World War I and World War II," Russell said in emailed comments. "This trend back to the old model is creating structural demand for gold after decades of neglect. Fiat currencies are in decline," he added. Russell also said the decline in the credit quality of developed country governments, such as the United States, is also a major concern for the market. "We have lost our AAA rating from the three major rating agencies because of growing deficits and looming pressure on unfunded liabilities such as Social Security," he said, referring in part to Moody's downgrading its top credit rating for the United States in May. "After decades of procrastination, we are running out of ways to go." That said, trade policy is a third factor affecting gold. Russell said that "large budget deficits or increased tariffs" would reduce demand for U.S. Treasuries, supporting gold prices. With both 2-year and 10-year Treasury yields falling so far this year and real rates under pressure from inflation, "the opportunity cost of holding gold is falling," noted Catalyst Funds' Miller. That's leading to a fourth potential support for gold -- a resurgent interest in gold exchange-traded funds and other alternatives. In the first half of 2025, North America led the growth in global gold ETF inflows, according to the World Gold Council. Global physically-backed gold ETFs saw inflows of $38 billion in the first half of this year, marking the strongest half-year performance since the first half of 2020, according to the World Gold Council. Finally, from a technical perspective, gold prices have held above $3,250 an ounce for much of June, Miller said. That shows signs of "a potential breakout as equity market volatility returns," he said. Gold for August delivery closed at $3,359.10 an ounce on Wednesday. “Gold is not just a crisis hedge, it is becoming a core asset class in modern portfolio strategies.” Miller said that the current macroeconomic environment “justifies a meaningful allocation to gold and gold-related strategies.” He said: “The combination of fragile stock market sentiment, uncertain policy direction and structural macro headwinds reinforces our view that gold is not just a crisis hedge, it is becoming a core asset class in modern portfolio strategies.” PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD ACTIVTRADES:GOLD ICMARKETS:XAUUSD ACTIVTRADES:GOLD EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD VELOCITY:GOLD
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Charlie_Senior_Analyst
Gold Technical Outlook H1 Gold is currently consolidating within the 3345–3350 zone, showing signs of potential bullish movement in the short term. A sustained break and H4 candle close above 3355 could trigger bullish momentum towards 3360, followed by extended targets at 3375 and 3400, aligning with key resistance levels. On the flip side, if the price faces rejection and an H4 candle closes below 3330, this could open the door for a bearish move, with potential targets at 3315 and 3300, which also act as critical support and pivot levels. 📌 Key Levels to Watch: Immediate Resistance: 3355 / 3360 Major Resistance: 3375 / 3400 Immediate Support: 3330 / 3315 Major Support: 3300 🔎 Wait for confirmation on the H4 timeframe before entering positions. Always manage your risk accordingly.
CAPITALCOM:GOLD
by Tyson_Veric
Gold pullback bulls are a winning streak strategy 💡Message Strategy Gold prices experienced a roller coaster ride on Wednesday, mainly due to a Bloomberg report that Trump was considering firing Federal Reserve Chairman Powell (Trump wants to cut interest rates as soon as possible and the Fed is cautious). This quickly ignited the market's risk aversion sentiment, pushing gold prices up quickly by $50. However, after the rise, gold soon encountered resistance and gave up nearly $40 in gains, as Trump quickly denied the plan and the market's risk aversion sentiment cooled. Gold prices fluctuated and fell on Thursday as Trump denied plans to fire Powell. Due to the rise in US CPI data released earlier, investors' expectations for the Fed's interest rate cuts cooled, which began to affect the market again. Looking ahead, investors still need to pay attention to the impact of Trump's tariff remarks and the Fed's monetary policy outlook on gold prices. 📊Technical aspects After hitting a three-week high, gold prices fell back and continued to fluctuate in a wide range. Gold is still in a bullish pattern. The support below focuses on Tuesday's low of $3,320, which is near the position where gold prices stabilized and rose in the Asian and European sessions on Wednesday, and near the position where gold prices fell and stabilized and rose in the US session on Wednesday. This is also the core position of our trading this week. Gold's upper pressure focuses on the downward breakthrough of gold prices in the Asian and European sessions at $3,345, which is also the low point where gold prices quickly fell after rising on Wednesday. Secondly, focus on the intraday high of $3,375. The 5-day moving average slowed down after a slight golden cross, the MACD indicator slightly crossed upward, and the KDJ and RSI indicators formed a dead cross. The short-term technical aspect suggests that gold prices have a short-term upward trend. 💰Strategy Package Long Position:3300-3315，SL：3280，Target: 3360-3370
TVC:GOLDLong
by TheodoreSilas
Gold (XAU/USD) Setup based on 30-minute chartGold (XAU/USD) Setup based on 30-minute chart **Bullish Scenario** * **Support Held**: Price is currently testing a key horizontal support zone (\~\$3,320–\$3,327), which has held multiple times in the past. * **Potential Reversal**: If price forms a bullish candlestick pattern here (e.g., bullish engulfing, hammer), we may see a rebound. * **Upside Target**: * **First Resistance**: \$3,345–\$3,350 (green zone) * **Further Target**: \$3,380–\$3,400 if momentum continues **Confirmation Triggers**: * Bullish price action from support zone * Break above EMA 7 / EMA 21 (\~\$3,330–\$3,336) * Increasing volume on green candles **Bearish Scenario** * **Breakdown Threat**: Price is hovering near support; if it breaks below \$3,320 with volume, downside pressure may intensify. * **Next Support Levels**: * \$3,310 (minor) * \$3,285–\$3,275 (major support) **Bearish Triggers**: * Clear break and close below \$3,320 * EMA crossover (short-term below long-term) * Rising red volume bars Summary | Direction | Conditions | Targets | | ---------- | --------------------------------------------------- | ------------------------- | | Bullish | Hold above \$3,320 + breakout above \$3,336 (EMA50) | \$3,350 → \$3,380–\$3,400 | | Bearish | Break below \$3,320 support | \$3,310 → \$3,285 |
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Harry_Megat
XAU/USD) bearish Trend Read The captionSMC trading point update Technical analysis of XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs US Dollar) on the 1-hour timeframe. Here's a breakdown --- Technical Breakdown: 1. Descending Channel: Price is trading within a clearly defined downward-sloping channel (black trendlines). This suggests a short-term bearish trend. 2. Resistance Zone (Yellow Box at 3,335–3,340): Price recently rejected from this resistance area. This zone aligns with both the 200 EMA and previous structure, strengthening its validity. 3. EMA Confluence: The 200 EMA (3,336.798) is acting as dynamic resistance. Price is currently below the EMA, confirming the bearish bias. 4. Support/Target Zone: The projected target zone is around 3,313.266, labeled as a support level. This level has acted as previous structure support, increasing its significance. 5. RSI Analysis: RSI is at 37.18, close to the oversold region, but not yet fully exhausted. Suggests there’s still room for a downside move before any potential bounce. Mr SMC Trading point --- Trade Idea Summary: Bias: Bearish Entry: Below the resistance zone (~3,335–3,340) Target: 3,313 (support zone) Invalidation: Break and hold above 3,340–3,345 Risk Note: Watch for potential consolidation or fakeouts before continuation. Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SMC-Trading-Point
2
Gold market price trend analysis and operation strategyGold trend analysis: Gold reached a high of 3366 yesterday, a low of 3320, and closed at around 3325. From the daily chart, the performance of the daily cycle is high and closed negative, and it may not be able to go out of the big rise in the short term. Gold will fall into range fluctuations. The rise of gold in this cycle has not actually been completed. At least it needs to go to the high point of 3400, and then look at the adjustment space within the week, but don’t look too much at the strength of the rise. The general trend is bullish, and we must also beware of the adjustment space that may fall back at any time. Gold tried 3375 several times yesterday and failed to break through, and then fell back for adjustment, indicating that the pressure on 3375 is obvious, that is, gold needs to fall back and correct in the short term. At this time, we are cautious about chasing more and continue to buy more after falling back. From the 4-hour chart, gold rose and fell yesterday, and the bearish trend did not continue. Gold entered a period of adjustment. From the current K-line, the downward momentum of gold is slowing down, and it tends to rebound in the short term. In the 4-hour chart, the lower track support of the Bollinger Band is near 3320, and the position of the middle track of the Bollinger Band is near 3345, which will form a short-term resistance. From the 1-hour chart, after yesterday's drop to 3320, it was strongly supported again and pulled up to above 3330. The support below is still strong. If the European session rises and breaks through 3350 today, the US session may go to the resistance of 3365-3375. Before breaking through 3350, the current market can only be regarded as a bottom adjustment and correction. Today, we will first focus on the rebound strength. If the upward momentum weakens, pay attention to the support of 3310-3300 below, and wait for the decline to be mainly low-multiple. In the short term, we will first focus on the breakthrough of the shock range. The intraday idea is to fall back to low-multiple. FX:XAUUSD ACTIVTRADES:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD ACTIVTRADES:GOLD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Charlie_Senior_Analyst
1