Get started

Goldprediction

4.9 Gold price trend after the Fed meetingIn the early European session, spot gold maintained its amazing intraday gains, and the current price is around $3046/oz, up $64 on the day. Gold's latest technical trading analysis: Gold's recent sharp decline from its all-time high has stalled near the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the February-April rally. The support level is around the $2957-2956/oz area, or the multi-week low hit on Monday, followed by the 50-day moving average (currently around $2952/oz). If gold falls below the latter, it will be seen as a new trigger by bearish traders and drag gold to the next important support level around $2920/oz, and then all the way down to $2900/oz. On the other hand, the momentum of gold breaking through the overnight high (around the $3023/oz area) could push gold prices to the $3055-3056/oz barrier. Some follow-up buying should pave the way for gold to return to the $3,100/oz mark, with some intermediate barriers around $3,075-3,080/oz. Support: 3,030 3,018 3,000 Resistance: 3,045 3,068 3,080 We will update regularly every day to introduce how we manage active thinking and settings. Thank you for your likes, comments and attention. Thank you very much
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
1
Is the decade-long bull run in gold prices coming to an end?Market news: In the early Asian session on Wednesday (April 9), spot gold maintained a narrow range of fluctuations and traded around $2,983. In the previous trading day, the rebound of London gold prices was blocked, and it once surged to $3,022 during the session, but it eventually gave up its gains and fell to around $2,969 in the early trading due to the rise in U.S. Treasury yields and the decline in U.S. stocks. Although the weakening of the U.S. dollar and trade tensions provide safe-haven support for international gold, market concerns about weak demand for U.S. Treasury auctions, the outlook for the Fed's policy and increased stock market volatility still dominate short-term sentiment.The current market focus is on the evolution of the Fed's policy path and the geopolitical trade situation. Under the interweaving of long and short factors, the short-term volatility of gold has risen significantly. As tensions between historical allies over U.S. tariffs, global trade, and the wars in Ukraine and the Middle East intensify, this time it seems unlikely that the major powers will quickly unite to resolve the issues that drive investors' interest in gold as a safe-haven tool. Investors need to focus on the results of the US 10-year Treasury auction today, the minutes of the Federal Reserve's March meeting, and the quarterly earnings period opened by JPMorgan Chase and other financial reports. If the demand for US Treasury auctions is weak or the Federal Reserve releases hawkish signals, gold prices may be further under pressure; on the contrary, the worsening of the trade war situation or the continued decline of US stocks may stimulate safe-haven buying. Technical Review: Technical gold daily chart, four-hour chart, hourly chart maintains a volatile downward short structure. The daily chart closed with a cross star yesterday. This pattern appears in the volatile downward structure and is regarded as a relay pattern rather than a reversal signal. At present, the daily chart MA10/7-day moving average opens downward at a high dead cross of 3060, and the MA5-day moving average opens downward and moves down to 3017, and the RSI indicator runs below the central axis 50 value. The price of the short-term four-hour chart is below the MA10-day moving average, and the price remains in the middle and lower track of the Bollinger Band channel. Gold remains volatile downward, and the trading idea remains unchanged, with rebound high and low as the main support, and low and long as the auxiliary. Resistance 2996/3008 far end 3020/3036, support 2968/2956 far end 2942/2930. Today's analysis: The long bull market of gold started in 2015 has been going on for nearly ten years. If the gold price falls by more than 20% from the high point, it may indicate a turning point in the cycle. We need to pay attention to the signal of the Fed's policy shift and the easing of the geopolitical situation. Even if we are optimistic about the bull market in the long term, it does not mean blindly chasing highs! Gold has been crazy for 3 trading days, and it began to stabilize slowly yesterday. After falling more than 200 US dollars in the daily cycle for 3 trading days, it needs a process of shock correction. At the same time, we need to pay attention to the development of tariffs. Yesterday, I emphasized the focus on the long-short dividing point of 3030 US dollars for gold. As the key position for the top and bottom conversion, before this position is broken, continue to sell gold at a high price. Yesterday, the circle of friends in the European session also suggested selling gold in the rebound area of ​​3020, because the loss of 3100 US dollars in the early stage has laid the groundwork for short-term adjustments. In addition, due to the impact of trade frictions, market sentiment is overly tense, and a large amount of funds have begun to withdraw from finance, including gold, which has been sold indiscriminately. After the gold price fell below the $3,000 mark, the market selling sentiment was high, and it was believed that gold would enter a large-scale adjustment! The recent market fluctuations have been very large, which is also in line with the properties of the gold product mentioned. When all assets are sold, the currency's safe-haven properties are highlighted. The sharp drop is accompanied by a fierce rebound, and the amplitude is not small. This was the case last Thursday, Friday and today. The current market starts with a fluctuation of tens of dollars. There are opportunities but also great risks. This will be the norm if panic does not subside. What retail investors can do is to decide what they can decide and do a good job of risk control. The current market is defined as a volatile market, which is a position operation. Today, the resistance of gold focuses on selling in the pressure area of ​​3020-3040. Operation ideas: Short-term gold 2953-2956 sell, stop loss 2945, target 2990-3000; Short-term gold 3020-3030 short, stop loss 3050, target 2980-3000; Key points: First support level: 2968, second support level: 2956, third support level: 2942 First resistance level: 2996, second resistance level: 3005, third resistance level: 3020
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BraveTigercat
XAU/USD(20250409) Today's AnalysisMarket news: The U.S. Customs and Border Protection Agency reiterated that the specific tax rates for each country will be announced at 12:01 a.m. on April 9. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 2993 Support and resistance levels: 3040 3022 3011 2974 2963 2945 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 2993, consider buying, the first target price is 3011 If the price breaks through 2974, consider selling, the first target price is 2963
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BraveTigercat
Gold Short Setup: Targeting 3030 & 3015 from 2st Resistance ZoneGold (XAUUSD) is currently trading around 3049 after bouncing strongly from the highlighted support zone near 2950. Price is now testing the 2st resistance area, and a rejection here could lead to a bearish move toward the target zone just below. 🔻 XAUUSD Bearish Trade Plan Entry Zone: 3045–3050 1st Target: 3030 2nd Target: 3015 Stop-Loss: Above 3060 (just above recent highs and the edge of the 2nd resistance zone) 🛡️ Why 3060 as Stop-Loss? It's above both the 1st and 2nd resistance zones. If price breaks above 3060 with momentum, it could signal buyers are in control and invalidate the short setup. This gives you about 30–35 pips of risk for a potential 30–35 pips gain to the 1st target, and up to 60–65 pips to the 2nd — offering a solid risk-to-reward ratio.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by TRADE_CENTER_1
Get Rich: Buy Cheap GoldAfter a sharp decline, gold seems to have insufficient bullish momentum compared to before, but this is only in comparison. In fact, after gold hit the low point near 2957, the low and high points of gold are gradually rising. We can see that the bulls are gradually and implicitly picking up cheap chips. So now we can't blindly short gold. According to the current gold structure, gold may continue to rebound above 3030, or even around 3050. These two positions will be the target areas for long traders and will also be the entry prices suitable for short traders. So for short-term trading, I will adjust my trading strategy and plan in time. If gold falls back to the 3000-2990 area, I may first tend to go long on gold! It must be noted that the current gold price fluctuates frequently and violently, so you must be particularly patient first. Because once there is no good entry price, it is difficult to set the psychological SL, and setting a relatively small SL is easy to be hit in market fluctuations! The trading strategy verification accuracy rate is more than 90%; one step ahead, exclusive access to trading strategies and real-time trading settings
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trader_Marvin
Gold Technicals & FundamentalsCurrent Price: $3,043 Resistance Zone: ~$3,041–$3,045 (major historical level) Indicators: Bollinger Bands (BB 20, 2) 🔍 Key Observations: 1. Major Resistance Hit Price has aggressively rallied to test major resistance (previous support-turned-resistance). There's a sharp rejection or hesitation zone marked by a large red arrow — suggesting a possible reversal or consolidation. 2. Bollinger Band Squeeze/Breakout Price is hugging the upper Bollinger Band, showing high momentum. However, when price rides the upper band for too long without volume continuation, it may snap back to the mean (20-SMA), which lies around $3,002. 3. Potential Scenarios: 📉 Scenario 1: Rejection If price fails to break and hold above $3,045: Expect a pullback to $3,020–$3,010 and possibly to $3,002. Bearish confirmation would be a strong red candle with volume near resistance. 📈 Scenario 2: Bullish Breakout If the price consolidates above $3,045, especially with a breakout candle: We could see a rally to $3,065 and then $3,080+. Look for volume confirmation and retest of resistance as support. 📰 Fundamental Factors to Watch (April 9, 2025): 🔴 High-Impact Events Today: US CPI Inflation Data – Scheduled Today 🔥 Biggest mover for gold, forex, and indices. If inflation is hotter than expected: 🡆 Hawkish Fed 🡆 Dollar up 🡆 Gold down If inflation cools: 🡆 Dovish Fed 🡆 Dollar down 🡆 Gold up FOMC Member Speeches / Fed Outlook Hawkish tone = bearish for gold. Dovish tone = bullish for gold. Bond Yields & DXY (US Dollar Index) Gold has a strong inverse correlation with both. Rising yields or a stronger dollar will likely pressure gold downward. ⚠️ Trading Sentiment Summary: "Gold is either going to knock down that resistance door or bounce off it like a kid running into a screen door in summer. Today’s CPI data will decide if it’s flying high or face-planting back to $3,000."
OANDA:XAUUSD
by xxChartWhizxx
Gold is Currently Exhibiting A Strong Bullish Momentum!Gold is currently exhibiting a strong bullish momentum , with a high likelihood of targeting the previous day's highs to sweep liquidity. This move is driven by the pending high liquidity run, which is a key factor influencing the market's dynamics. Notably, the previous day's low liquidity areas have been cleared, paving the way for the market to focus on the next level of liquidity. Currently, we're observing a minor rejection from the 4H FVG zone, which is a crucial level to watch. If the market breaks above this zone, it could potentially propel gold prices further upside, driven by the underlying bullish sentiment. As such, it's essential to monitor the market closely, keeping a keen eye on the price action and any potential developments that could impact the market's trajectory. By staying informed and adapting to the changing market conditions, we can better navigate the complexities of the gold market and make more informed trading decisions.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Aiden_Fury
XAU/USD BUY IDEA (R:R=5)Buying XAU/USD now. I placed a buy earlier at $3,015. Just got a stronger confirmation due to it breaking above PIVOTAL area. It also just took out the A on the down Fibonacci sequence on the 15 minute TF. With all the fear that's present in the market right now due to President Trump's tariffs. GOLD will continue to climb even higher. Tariffs on China set to rise to at least 104% on Wednesday, White House says Stop Loss is: $2,900 Please move to break even once price reaches $3,175 1st Target: $3,400 2nd Target: $3,800 Happy trading! :)
FX:XAUUSDLong
by JeremyJSanchez05
3
XAUUSD/GOLD Possible Move 09.04.2025📊 Market Context After a sharp selloff from the $3,160 region to sub-$2,980 levels, the market is now in recovery/consolidation mode. Market currently hovers around $3,010 after bouncing from below $2,980, indicating buyer interest. 📏 Fibonacci + Support Confluence Zones Price may pull back and give a buy-the-dip opportunity. ✅ Buy Zone 1 – $2,993–2,997 Reason: Retest of strong horizontal support, Fibonacci .5% area. Signal to Enter Long: Bullish engulfing / hammer on M5/M15 + RSI divergence. Target: $3,010 (first), $3,020+ (extended). 🔁 Retest Logic Wait for price to retest any of these zones on low volume → watch for bullish candle close. ⚠️ Important Notes Avoid entering mid-range trades at $3,010–$3,015 without pullback confirmation. Aggressive buys can be scalped on momentum breakouts of $3,020 only if volume supports. Always monitor for news or sudden volume spikes which can invalidate pullback zones. Follow, comment, like and join for more like analysis.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by QuinnReed_Charts
GOLD's under Geopolitical Tension (US-CHINA TRADE WAR, TARIFFS)Hey fellas, Long time no see... Technical side stays bullish. Price has failed to break 2960 zone aimed Tariffs. It has pushed more than 500 pips during Asian session and clearly broke above 2920 zone. As soon as price stays under 2920 till NY session, we might see another push back. However, if prices continues to breakup and hold 2920 as support then we'll surely have new ATH soon enough. DON'T FORGET UPCOMING'S CPI TOO. Gold started current week within a range of 2965 to 3020. However, geopolitical tension between US-CHINA trade war and TARIFFS ofcourse caused huge uncertainty in the market. GOLD has always been in favour of geopolitical situations. Market is clearly reacting based on fundamental.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by wickywicks
Go long gold, target: 3030-3040Gold tested the support of 2985-2975 again during the correction process, but did not fall below this area during the test. Combined with the structural lows of gold yesterday, they were 2970 and 2956. Today, gold did not fall below 2970, so it is very likely that gold will form a head and shoulders bottom pattern at the technical level, which will help gold to continue its rebound momentum with this strong technical support! So I think the short-term decline of gold is not a risk for us, but the best gift for us. So I advocate going long on gold from now on. After gold repeatedly tests the support, it will rise to the 3030-3040 area without hesitation. The trading strategy verification accuracy rate is more than 90%; one step ahead, exclusive access to trading strategies and real-time trading settings
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Trader_Marvin
Gold (XAUUSD) Reversal Setup: Buy Opportunity from Demand Zone t# GOLD (XAUUSD) Timeframe: 30-minute Indicators: EMA 30 (Red): 3,000.22 EMA 200 (Blue): 3,042.92 🔍 Price Action & Zones Current Price: 2,982.27 Support Zone (Demand Zone): ~2,940.27 (highlighted in purple, labeled as STOP LOSS) Resistance Zone (Supply Zone): ~3,040.17–3,042.92 (labeled as EA TARGET POINT) 📈 Trade Idea (Based on Drawing) Strategy: Buy from demand zone, targeting supply zone Entry: Near 2,940.27 Stop Loss: Slightly below 2,940.27 Target: ~3,040.17 Risk to Reward: ~1:2.6 (visually) 📊 EMA Dynamics Bearish Bias in the Medium Term: Price is trading below the 200 EMA, indicating an overall bearish trend. Short-Term Weakness: The price has also dropped below the 30 EMA, confirming bearish momentum in the short run. 🔄 Possible Scenario Price is currently heading back down toward the demand zone, where a bounce is anticipated. If it respects that zone, we may see a reversal toward the target zone at ~3,040. If it breaks below 2,940, the setup would be invalidated (stop loss hit). ⚠️ Things to Watch Rejection or support confirmation at 2,940 zone is key before entry. Be cautious of continued bearish momentum if economic news or global risk sentiment shifts. Look for bullish reversal patterns (e.g. hammer, bullish engulfing) at the demand zone for confirmation.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by EA_GOLD_MAN_COPY_TRADE
Will Gold Shine Again Once The Tariff Storm Is Settled?Macro: - Gold prices have fallen since Trump's 'Liberation Day' tariff announcement, as global stock market pressure and hedge fund margin calls forced asset liquidations, including gold. - Despite the short-term drop, gold remains a key medium-term hedge against recession risks and ongoing uncertainty once markets stabilize. - High volatility may persist until tariff disputes are resolved and central banks clarify potential support measures. Technical: - XAUUSD fluctuates within the range of 2957-3055. The price is between both EMAs, indicating an intact sideways structure. - If XAUUSD breaks below the support at 2957, the price may retest the following support at 2880. - On the contrary, breaking above 3055 may lead to a record-high retest at around 3135. Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
ICMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by DatTong
4.9 Technical analysis of short-term gold operations!Gold market analysis Gold idea: We need to pay attention to whether the daily line will rise after reaching a low. The daily line is hovering at the bottom. In a volatile market, we must find a range of volatility. Finding the rhythm is the most important thing. Yesterday, the daily line formed a cross star again. Today, the white market is expected to fluctuate. In addition, there are many fundamentals in the near future. The market has been led by the rhythm. Gold rose well before. The sharp drop was also due to Trump’s tariff policy. The global tariff war is inevitable in the future. It will support the US dollar in the long term and suppress gold. The short-term top of the weekly line may be a long-term top. Today’s idea: Let’s focus on the 2969-3022 volatility range. If the white market rebounds first and approaches 3022, go short first. On the contrary, if gold breaks and stands on 3022, it will also fluctuate, but the center of gravity of the volatility will rise to the 3000-3055 range. The volatility requires patience to wait for the position, and waiting is also part of the transaction. Support level: 2990-2969, Pressure: 3022 3035
TVC:GOLD
by AIan_Gold
1
Gold on the Go: Prices Set to Surge Amid Uncertainty● Gold prices have recovered from a 6.5% fall and are now trading above $3000 per ounce. ● Tariff developments and US President Trump's comments are influencing market sentiment and gold prices. ● A record $21 billion inflow into Gold ETFs was recorded in Q1 2025, indicating strong interest in gold as a safe-haven asset. ● Technical analysis suggests a key support level for gold prices between $2950 and $2960, which could impact market trends.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by NaranjCapital
XAU/USD) Bearish trand analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update This chart analysis is for Gold Spot (XAU/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe. Here’s a breakdown of the idea shown: --- Key Points in the Analysis: 1. Current Price: XAU/USD is around $2,982.92 at the time of the chart. 2. Trend: The chart suggests a bearish outlook. Price has been consistently rejected from the yellow supply zone (around 3,020–3,033). EMA 200 (blue line) is above the current price, confirming downward momentum. 3. Rejection Zone: Marked in yellow between 3,020 and 3,033. Labeled as “Reject points”. Price failed to break above this zone multiple times. 4. Breakout Pattern: Two descending rectangles highlight bearish continuation patterns. A bearish flag or wedge is visible, followed by a breakout downward. 5. Target Zone: Highlighted in yellow between 2,900 and 2,921, with target point at 2,920.615. Price is expected to move down to this level. 6. RSI (Relative Strength Index): RSI is declining and shows bearish divergence, supporting downside move. Currently around 39.19, which is closer to oversold territory but still has room to drop. Mr SMC Trading point --- Trade Idea Summary: Bias: Bearish Entry Area: Rejection near 3,020–3,033 zone Target: 2,920.615 (highlighted support zone) Stop Loss: Could be placed above 3,033 (supply zone or EMA 200) Confluence Factors: EMA 200 rejection Bearish RSI divergence Repeated supply rejection Breakout from bear flag structures Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SMC-Trading-Point
12
4.9 gold rebound increases resistance level and continues shortiFundamentals: On Tuesday (April 8), the price of gold fluctuated slightly higher in the early US trading. The market is currently expecting a continuous decline, and at the same time paying attention to the logic of short selling at resistance points. After briefly hitting a four-week low on Monday, the price of gold rebounded quickly and rebounded strongly to above $3,000 in the Asian and European trading on Tuesday. Against this background, gold, as the ultimate safe-haven asset with "zero credit risk", has once again become the main allocation target of market funds. Every macro policy imbalance and external shock will bring cyclical buying to gold, and this time the intensity may be stronger. The current gold price has stabilized at the psychological level of $3,000 and is showing a short-term rising structure. From a technical perspective, the gold price in the daily chart quickly rose after stepping back on the Fibonacci 61.8% retracement level ($2,956), showing the resilience of buying. If the gold price breaks through the short-term resistance of $3,020, the upward target will be the $3,055 and $3,080 areas, and further may rise to the $3,100 mark. The key support level below is still around $2956. If it fails, it may test the 50-day moving average support (about $2947). Once this level is lost, it may trigger more technical selling pressure. The biggest variable facing the current market is no longer inflation data, but the destructive impact of Trump's tariff increase on the global trade pattern. The Fed's policy space is opening up rapidly. Driven by the expectation of interest rate cuts and risk aversion demand, gold not only stabilizes the $3,000 mark, but is also likely to re-enter the main upward trend. Personal operation analysis: Trend: shock trend Support: 3000----2983------2965 Resistance: 3008-----3030-------3050 Strategy: Viewpoint logic: Short view near 3030, stop loss 3036, take profit near 3000----2970, and track stop loss 300 points.
TVC:GOLDShort
by AIan_Gold
1
XAUUSD Daily Sniper Plan – April 8, 2025“Goldie’s mood swings: from drama queen to calculated killer.” Gold decided to throw a tantrum after NFP and play peek-a-boo with everyone’s SL. But beneath the chaos lies structure—and we speak structure fluently. Let’s map this battlefield with sniper entries and cold logic. No guessing, just high confluence. 📌 Macro Context 🏛️ Geopolitical: Israel-Iran tensions still simmering. Headlines = spikes. Stay nimble. 💰 Fundamentals: Stronger USD post-NFP; Fed tone remains hawkish. 🔍 Technical Environment: H1/H4 break of bullish structure D1 printed a brutal engulfing candle EMA 5/21/50 all pointing down on M30–H1, kissing goodbye to bullish hopes (for now) “The spike was no accident. Smart money never sleeps.” 📉 Bias: Bearish intraday flow under OB 2980–3000 🔻 SELL SETUPS 🟥 SELL SETUP 1 – OB Rejection Sniper 📍 Entry: 2995–3000 🧠 Why: H1 valid OB + imbalance + bearish CHoCH on M5 🎯 TP1: 2960 🎯 TP2: 2915 🛑 SL: 3008 💬 Classic OB rejection. Look for a wick grab then drop on LTF. 🟥 SELL SETUP 2 – Stop Hunt Pop 📍 Entry: 3010–3015 🧠 Why: Liquidity sweep above 3000, into bearish FVG zone 🎯 TP1: 2975 🎯 TP2: 2940 🛑 SL: 3019 💡 Ideal on a fast pump, then M1 bearish structure shift confirmation. 🟥 SELL SETUP 3 – EMA50 Tap & Fade 📍 Entry: 3035–3040 🧠 Why: Confluence of bearish trendline retest + EMA50 (H1) 🎯 TP1: 2990 🎯 TP2: 2950 🛑 SL: 3046 🎯 Catch the fakeout bounce. Risk defined. Trend respected. 🟩 BUY SETUPS 🟩 BUY SETUP 1 – Deep Discount Bounce 📍 Entry: 2945–2955 🧠 Why: M30 OB + unmitigated FVG + 0.618 FIB 🎯 TP1: 2990 🎯 TP2: 3030 🛑 SL: 2938 💬 Only valid if 2960 gets flushed cleanly with momentum shift. 🟩 BUY SETUP 2 – Retest of Previous Demand 📍 Entry: 2905–2915 🧠 Why: Unmitigated H4 OB zone + previous bounce structure 🎯 TP1: 2960 🎯 TP2: 3000 🛑 SL: 2895 📈 Take this if we get heavy stop hunts early and DXY slows. 🟩 BUY SETUP 3 – Extreme Demand Sweep 📍 Entry: 2885–2895 🧠 Why: HTF demand zone + psychological 2900 + imbalance 🎯 TP1: 2950 🎯 TP2: 2980 🛑 SL: 2878 🧠 Perfect for the brave — sniper only on strong bounce confirmation (M5). ⚔️ Key Levels Recap: 🔸 3000–2980: Valid OB resistance zone 🔸 2960–2950: Discount reaction base 🔸 2915 / 2890: Deeper liquidity zones 🔸 3045: SL invalidation on bearish bias 🔸 2880: Final demand for aggressive longs 🧠 Strategy Notes: Watch for manipulation moves into OB or imbalance before taking entries. Wait for CHoCH or PA confirmation on M1–M5 before executing. Don’t chase — sniper setups only. 💬 "Goldie might be emotional, but our setups aren’t." 🗣️ Let’s grow together! 🔥 If this sniper plan gave you clarity, drop a like & follow on TradingView 💬 Let’s grow a strong trading community built on structure, not signals. Stay sharp & stay kind, legends! 💛 📌 No guessing. No chasing. Just smart money and structure.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
5
4.8 Gold continues to run at a low point!Gold stabilized and rebounded on Tuesday (April 8), with an intraday increase of nearly 1%, successfully recovering the losses of the previous trading day. The rebound ended the three-day correction trend, and the gold price rebounded significantly from the key support level of $2,955. The current market focus is on the evolution of the Fed's policy path and the geopolitical trade situation. Under the interweaving of long and short factors, the short-term volatility of gold has risen significantly. Fundamentals: The struggle between risk aversion and interest rate expectations The rebound of gold at the beginning of this week was mainly driven by two factors: 1. The escalation of geopolitical trade risks US President Trump's recent remarks on tariffs have triggered market concerns about the renewed tension in the global trade system. 2. The Fed's interest rate expectations fluctuated sharply The interest rate futures market has undergone dramatic changes this week: On Monday, the market once bet that the Fed would cut interest rates five times in 2025, a significant shift from the expectation of "one or no interest rate cut" a week ago. 3. The coordination of the US dollar and capital flows The US dollar index weakened slightly on Tuesday, reducing the cost of holding gold for non-US investors. Technical aspect: Attack and defense of key support level From the perspective of the market structure, the trend of gold this week showed typical "sharp drop and slow rise" characteristics: Support confirmation: On Monday, the gold price accurately tested the support of $2955 and then rebounded. This position corresponds to the neckline of the platform that broke through in mid-March, and formed a double defense line with the 55-day moving average (US$2930). The intraday lows were densely bought, indicating that medium- and long-term investors viewed the correction as an opportunity to build positions. Resistance distribution: The first resistance above is at US$3040 (daily line R1), and after breaking through, it may test US$3057 (March 20 pivot point) and US$3097 (R2). The historical high of US$3167 is still a psychological barrier, but it is difficult to challenge it directly in the short term. In the short term, the trend of gold will depend on two major catalysts: 1. The minutes of the Fed's March meeting on Wednesday: If the minutes suggest an open attitude towards rate cuts, it may push gold prices to test the $3,050-3,070 range; conversely, if the emphasis is on inflation stickiness, it may trigger long profit-taking. 2. Progress in trade negotiations: Any substantive implementation or easing of tariff policies may trigger fluctuations of more than 5% in gold prices. In the medium term, the upward trend of gold has not been broken. Institutional research reports show that the current global central bank's demand for gold purchases is still at a historical high, and in the downward cycle of interest rates, the relative attractiveness of interest-free assets will continue to stand out. If the technical side breaks through $3,057, it will open up space for the impact of the previous high; the defense strength of the $2,950-2,930 area needs to be closely monitored below.
TVC:GOLDShort
by AIan_Gold
1
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Another great day on the markets with our Goldturn levels playing out and respecting in true level to level fashion. After completing the Bullish target from the retracement range yesterday; we stated that we were now playing in a bigger range and if 2975 fails to lock and open the swing range, the retracement range should give bounces into our Goldturns above. This played out perfectly, as 2999 and 3015 was tested from the bounce. We will now like to see ema5 lock above 3015 for a stronger confirmation for a continuation into 3034 and potentially into 3055 to test the full range again. However, if we see the break below 2975 retracement level; it will open the swing range, which always gives us a bigger swing action then our usual weighted level bounces. This is the main difference between the weighted level bounces and our swing range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGET 3055 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3055 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3078 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3078 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3094 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3094 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3119 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3119 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3148 BEARISH TARGETS 3034 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3034 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3015 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3015 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 2999 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2999 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 2975 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2975 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2950 - 2922 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
17
Gold fell100 points for 3 consecutive days Market trend analysisStop loss is always right, even if it is wrong; holding on is always wrong, even if it is right. Stop loss is unconditional! Without trading principles and trading discipline, all technology is equal to zero! Spot gold fell by $212 in three days, and the bears shined. A while ago, we warned of the risks, but many people scoffed at it, thinking it was alarmist and that gold would not fall. The money earned by the bull market will definitely be lost with the principal and interest under the belief of the bull market. The three-day plunge in gold is enough to make many people return to the time before opening an account in three days! The market staged a "holiday conspiracy theory" market, because the heat has reached, and it is facing the implementation of equal tariffs. The previous surge in gold is to buy expectations and sell facts. The bullish atmosphere is unprecedentedly high, and the main force can harvest it. How arrogant the bulls of gold were at the beginning, how embarrassed they are now; the bears are far stronger than the bulls, the bulls cut meat with a blunt knife, and the bears cut the Gordian knot with a quick knife! Gold plunged $112 from 3167 to 3055 last Thursday, $120 from 3136 to 3016 on Thursday, and $100 from 3056 to 2056 yesterday, Monday. Last year, there were five days with a plunge of nearly or more than $100, and three consecutive days recently. Because the price is high, there will be more single-day plunges of 100 or more this year. Yesterday, all three major U.S. stock indexes stopped falling at the lifeline of bulls and ushered in an oversold rebound. The panic decline of crude oil and silver was also alleviated. Silver stopped falling at the key support of bulls at 28-28.5. It shows that risk sentiment has been alleviated to a certain extent. Market risk sentiment has been released, and gold shorts also need to rest. The main force of gold has cultivated too many bulls from January to April 2025, and cultivated the bull market thinking of retail investors. It will definitely kill the bulls with the help of this round of sharp decline, and gold can start to rise again! In the medium term, the rebound correction is for a better decline. 2956-50 will be broken, and then 2930-2880 will be broken, and the ultimate 2830 will be broken. Today is the fourth day of the decline. The decline stopped at 2956 in the early morning, which is the previous high point. At present, the first round of gold decline in the short term has been in place. Many people panicked after three days of sharp decline. Those who bought the bottom dared not buy the bottom, and those who did not short should chase the short. The main force will continue to wash the market! Today, the correction rebound is mainly seen. The upper resistance focuses on 3000, then 3030-25 and yesterday's high 3045-55 area. The focus of the day is 2956-60, and the short-term support is 2970-75. In theory, if you want to wash the market, wash it harder. 3000 can't stop it. Pay attention to the 3020-35 range, and even rush to yesterday's high area and then fall. Gold fluctuates by more than ten or dozens of dollars in 5 minutes. The article can only give ideas and areas. More specific strategies need to be given offline in combination with real trading. Orders must be strictly carried out with losses to prevent being stuck in the wrong direction. In an emotional market, watch more and do less! In today's market: 1: In 4 hours, the stochastic indicator temporarily forms a small golden cross, but the strength and continuity of the golden cross are not shown; MACD double lines are downward, which is a bearish signal; the indicator is not a resonant bearish signal, so the 4-hour bias is corrected; in terms of form, it breaks the bottom and sets a new low, constantly pierces, and constantly rebounds. The support near the low of 2950 is effective here, and the back and forth piercing near 2970 is of little reference significance; the second decline is around 3050 and around 3020; 2: In the daily K, the stochastic indicator continues to cross, so the main high-altitude treatment is used; MACD double lines diverge, which is a bearish signal; the daily K is a resonant bearish signal, so the main idea of ​​shorting at highs is used; the current central axis position is around 3010; To sum up: the intraday short-term trend is around 2950 in 4 hours, and the decline rebounds; after the correction rebound, we continue to treat it as a high-altitude; several pressure positions 3 010-3020, The second is around 3050, followed by around 3090; on the long side, the layout is in the range of 2955-2965; the large range is positioned in the range of 3050-2950 Strategy: Short around 3015-17, defend 3024, target 3000-2990, the operation has been made and is not considered Long around 2995-97, defend 299 0, the target 3000-3010-3030 has been entered and is no longer considered Intraday short around 3030-40, defense 3045, target 3000--2980-2960-2930 Intraday secondary long around 2962-64, defense 2956, target 2975-2990 After falling below 2955, it will reach 2930 and 2880.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel1
Gold----Sell near 3013, target 2980-2960Gold market analysis: The gold market has been fluctuating a lot in the past few days because of the tariff issue, which has led to too much uncertainty in the market. Gold closed with a large tombstone candlestick pattern on the weekly line, which means that the top has appeared. Short-term buying is not as strong as those. Yesterday, gold hit a new low again. The daily cross star has a very long upper shadow. Today, we are more inclined to sell in the face of large fluctuations. Gold may continue yesterday's fluctuations. Today, we need to focus on finding the rhythm. It swings up and down by dozens of points. Buying and selling games are used to intercept the range. 3055 is already a new large suppression position. Today, 3055 is weak below. If it breaks, we will see a new buying momentum. In the Asian session, we focus on the small suppression in the 3013-3016 area. This position is the bottom of yesterday's small shock. In addition, the indicator suppression position is 3008-3010. The Asian session is rising strongly. The 4H is expected to close with a big positive. You can decisively sell at the suppression position. Even if it breaks, there will be a large-scale retracement. If gold stands near 3016, it may return to the oscillation range of 3016-3055. Suppression 3013-3016, strong pressure 3045 and 3055, support 2986, 2971, 2956, the strength and weakness dividing line of the market is 3000. Fundamental analysis: The US tariffs on the world are still brewing, which has also led to a sharp drop in global stock markets, and the market is not optimistic about expectations. Later this week, we will focus on the heavyweight CPI data. Operation suggestions: Gold----Sell near 3013, target 2980-2960
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BraveTigercat