Gold Head & Shoulder Pattern, Possible shorting opportunities.Gold has recently formed a head and shoulders pattern on the chart, a classic bearish reversal signal that could indicate a potential decline in price. If the neckline is broken with strong volume, it may present a shorting opportunity for traders looking to capitalize on downside momentum.
Also showing bearish on 2 indicators ( RSI and MACD).
Also, in downward channels.
However, confirmation and risk management are essential before making any trading decisions.
Note :- This is not financial advice.
Goldprediction
Gold Surges Past $3,000 Amid Trump, Economic FearsThe glint of gold has intensified, piercing the $3,000 per ounce threshold, a symbolic milestone that echoes through centuries of economic and political upheaval.1 This surge, fueled by a potent cocktail of market anxieties and, notably, the amplified rhetoric of a potential Trump return, underscores gold's enduring role as a safe-haven asset and a barometer of global uncertainty.2 The psychological significance of breaching this key level cannot be overstated, solidifying gold's position as a timeless store of value in an increasingly volatile world.
The current rally, while rooted in broader economic anxieties, has received a significant jolt from the political landscape. The prospect of a second Trump presidency has injected a fresh wave of uncertainty into markets. His often-unconventional policy pronouncements, coupled with the potential for trade disputes and geopolitical tensions, have created a climate ripe for gold's ascent. Investors, seeking to mitigate potential risks, are flocking to the precious metal, driving its price to unprecedented heights.3
Beyond the political sphere, persistent economic concerns are also playing a crucial role. Inflation, despite recent efforts to tame it, remains a lurking threat. Global debt levels continue to climb, and concerns about a potential recession linger. These factors, combined with the inherent instability of fiat currencies, have bolstered gold's appeal as a hedge against economic turbulence.4 Gold, unlike paper money, cannot be printed at will, offering a sense of stability in an uncertain financial landscape.5
Furthermore, geopolitical instability is a perennial driver of gold prices. Ongoing conflicts, simmering tensions between major powers, and the ever-present threat of terrorism contribute to a sense of unease that pushes investors towards safe-haven assets. The perception of gold as a reliable store of value during times of crisis has been reinforced throughout history, and the current global climate is no exception.
The $3,000 milestone also serves as a potent reminder of gold's role as a gauge of fear in the markets.6 When investors are anxious, they tend to seek out safe havens, and gold has consistently proven to be a popular choice. The current surge in gold prices reflects a growing sense of unease about the future, both economically and politically.7 This fear, whether justified or not, is a powerful force driving market behavior.
The technical aspects of the gold market are also contributing to the rally. The break above $3,000 has triggered a wave of buying, as traders and investors seek to capitalize on the momentum. This technical breakout could lead to further gains in the short term, as the market tests new highs. The sheer psychological importance of the $3,000 level also draws in investors who were previously hesitant to participate.
However, it is crucial to recognize that gold prices are not immune to volatility. While the long-term outlook for gold remains positive, short-term fluctuations are inevitable.8 Factors such as changes in interest rates, shifts in investor sentiment, and unexpected geopolitical events can all impact gold prices.9 Investors considering gold as part of their portfolio should be prepared for potential price swings.
The current rally also raises questions about the long-term sustainability of these high prices. While gold's fundamental drivers remain strong, it is important to consider the potential for a correction. Historically, periods of rapid price appreciation have often been followed by periods of consolidation or decline. However, the unique confluence of factors currently supporting gold prices suggests that the rally may have further room to run.
In conclusion, the breach of the $3,000 per ounce mark is a significant milestone for gold, reflecting a confluence of economic, political, and psychological factors. The potential return of Trump, coupled with persistent economic anxieties and geopolitical instability, has created a perfect storm for gold's ascent. This surge underscores gold's enduring role as a safe-haven asset and a gauge of fear in the markets.10 While the future remains uncertain, gold's historical performance suggests that it will continue to play a crucial role in investor portfolios, offering a sense of stability in an increasingly turbulent world. The breaking of such a psychological barrier will also inevitably drive more speculative investment, and thus, drive the market further, at least in the short term. Investors should continue to monitor the global landscape and adjust their strategies accordingly, while recognizing the inherent volatility of the precious metals market. The allure of gold, however, remains strong, a testament to its enduring appeal as a timeless store of value.
Bitcoin, S&P, Gold: Market Decline & DivergenceThe intricate dance of financial assets often reveals hidden correlations and predictive patterns. Recently, the synchronized decline of Bitcoin and the S&P 500 has raised concerns, while gold's historic rally has left Bitcoin trailing. However, a deeper dive into the data suggests a potential turnaround, hinting at a shift in market dynamics.
For much of the past few years, Bitcoin has exhibited a strong correlation with the S&P 500, behaving as a risk-on asset.1 When the stock market surged, Bitcoin often followed suit, and conversely, market downturns typically coincided with Bitcoin's price depreciation. This correlation stems from shared macroeconomic drivers, such as interest rate expectations, inflation concerns, and overall investor sentiment. The recent parallel decline reflects anxieties surrounding persistent inflation, potential interest rate hikes, and geopolitical uncertainties.
However, this synchronized movement doesn't tell the whole story. While Bitcoin and the S&P 500 have been grappling with downward pressure, gold has embarked on a remarkable rally, reaching unprecedented heights. This surge is fueled by several factors, including substantial inflows into gold ETFs, escalating geopolitical tensions, and heightened market volatility. Gold's traditional role as a safe-haven asset has been reaffirmed, as investors seek refuge from the turbulence in equity and cryptocurrency markets.
The divergence between Bitcoin and gold is particularly striking. The Bitcoin-to-gold ratio, a metric that reflects the relative value of Bitcoin compared to gold, has broken a 12-year support level. This breach signals a significant shift in investor preference, with gold emerging as the dominant asset. The recent climb of gold to a hypothetical $3,000 mark (or equivalent in other currencies) further underscores this trend, demonstrating its resilience in the face of economic uncertainty.
The observed pattern of Bitcoin breaking its multiyear uptrend against gold bears a striking resemblance to the market behavior witnessed between March 2021 and March 2022. During that period, Bitcoin experienced a similar decline relative to gold, ultimately leading to a substantial drop in its dollar value. This fractal pattern suggests that Bitcoin may be poised for further depreciation, potentially falling below the $65,000 mark.
However, it's crucial to acknowledge that historical patterns are not infallible predictors of future performance. Market dynamics are constantly evolving, and unforeseen events can significantly alter the trajectory of asset prices. While the current data points towards a potential decline for Bitcoin, there are countervailing factors that could trigger a reversal.
One such factor is the increasing institutional adoption of Bitcoin. As more institutional investors allocate a portion of their portfolios to cryptocurrencies, the market may become less susceptible to short-term fluctuations driven by retail sentiment. Moreover, the long-term potential of Bitcoin as a decentralized store of value remains a compelling narrative for many investors.
Additionally, the regulatory landscape surrounding cryptocurrencies is gradually becoming clearer. As governments and regulatory bodies establish frameworks for the operation of digital asset markets, investor confidence may improve, leading to renewed interest in Bitcoin. The upcoming Bitcoin halving is also anticipated to reduce the supply of new Bitcoin entering the market, which could potentially drive up its price.
While the current correlation between Bitcoin and the S&P 500 may persist in the short term, the underlying fundamentals of Bitcoin suggest a potential decoupling in the long run. As the cryptocurrency market matures and gains wider acceptance, its correlation with traditional asset classes may weaken.
The recent divergence between Bitcoin and gold highlights the importance of diversifying investment portfolios. While gold has proven its resilience in times of uncertainty, Bitcoin offers the potential for substantial returns in the long term. Investors should carefully consider their risk tolerance and investment objectives when allocating capital to these assets.
The breakdown of the Bitcoin to gold ratio is a concerning indicator, however, the cryptocurrency world moves quickly. The market is driven by new innovation, and adoption. The market has been known to have large pullbacks, followed by even larger rallies. The current market may be pricing in a large amount of fear, and a simple change in the news cycle could cause a large change in the price of bitcoin.
In conclusion, the current market dynamics present a complex picture. The synchronized decline of Bitcoin and the S&P 500, coupled with gold's historic rally, suggests a potential downturn for Bitcoin. However, the long-term potential of Bitcoin, coupled with increasing institutional adoption and a maturing regulatory landscape, could trigger a reversal. Investors should remain vigilant, monitor market trends, and make informed decisions based on a comprehensive understanding of the underlying fundamentals. The data suggests a potential turn around, but only time will tell if the market will comply.
Gold is on a relentless hunt for the $2,720 levelGold is on a relentless hunt for the $2,720 level, navigating through a well-defined ascending channel where the upper boundary has acted as long-term resistance and the lower boundary as dynamic support. The price has respected this structure, with multiple touches reinforcing its integrity. However, a recent double top near the upper boundary signals potential bullish exhaustion, increasing the probability of a downside move. If the price remains below this key level, further declines are likely, with $2,720 emerging as a crucial support zone—aligned with the golden pocket on the Fibonacci retracement, making it a prime area for a reaction.
The Alternative Scenario: The New Economy's Bullish Case
Despite the bearish structure, gold in the new economy presents an alternative bullish outlook. A smaller bullish channel has formed between $2,789 and $2,855, suggesting that buyers are still in control within this range. If this mini uptrend holds, it could fuel another breakout attempt above recent highs, invalidating the bearish scenario and positioning gold for a renewed push toward higher levels.
For now, gold is at a crossroads, with $2,720 as the primary target on the downside—but if buyers defend this level or sustain the new bullish channel, the uptrend may persist in the evolving economic landscape.
Gold (XAUUSD) 15-Minute Chart Analysis – Bullish Trade SetupGold (XAUUSD) 15-Minute Chart Analysis
Key Observations:
Price Action:
The price is currently at $2,981.96.
The price has been in an uptrend, forming higher highs and higher lows.
Moving Averages:
EMA 30 (red line): At $2,965.00, acting as a dynamic support level.
EMA 200 (blue line): At $2,935.17, indicating a long-term bullish trend.
Trade Setup:
Entry Level: Around $2,981.96.
Stop Loss: Placed at $2,966.81.
Take Profit Targets:
TP1: $2,985.86
TP2: $2,992.23
TP3: $2,998.08
Final Target: $3,005.50
Risk-Reward Ratio:
The risk is defined by the distance between the entry price and the stop loss.
The reward is defined by the distance between the entry price and each take-profit level.
Given the setup, the trader is aiming for a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
Trading Perspective:
Bullish Bias: The trend is strongly bullish, supported by the EMA 30 and EMA 200.
Confirmation Needed:
If the price sustains above $2,985, it increases the probability of hitting higher targets.
A break below $2,970 could invalidate the trade setup.
Would you like a deeper analysis with Fibonacci levels or volume data?
Unlock self-rescue guide hereNotice! The gold market has suddenly changed! Gold, which had been rising all the way, has now shown a peak signal, and a decline has become inevitable.
The current big Yinxian is falling straight, and the market is completely shrouded in a bearish atmosphere. From a technical perspective, the evening star pattern is significant, which is often a strong signal of trend reversal. At the same time, the gold price deviates seriously from the moving average. This deviation is difficult to maintain in the market for a long time, and returning to rationality is an observable rule.
Looking at the four-hour line again, the big Yinxian entity strongly engulfs the Yangxian, directly breaking through the support line, forming an extremely strong bearish engulfing pattern, which means that the space below has been opened, and a plunge may be just around the corner. Are you ready to meet this storm in the gold market? Opportunities always coexist with risks, and now is the time to test investors' decisiveness.
You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, share real-time strategies, and no longer blindly follow the trend.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
What a PIPTASTIC finish to the week with our chart idea now complete with our final target at 3005 now done.
We started the week with our 2918 Bullish target hit, followed with cross and lock in each stage of the range, completing 2947 and 2978 and now today confirmed a further lock opening 3005, which was hit and completed perfectly!!
The power of our algo levels, even at a new range is being respected to perfection!!
BULLISH TARGET
2918 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2918 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2947 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2947 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2978 - DONE
BEARISH TARGETS
2889 - DONE
We will now come back Sunday with our updated Multi time-frame analysis, Gold route map and trading plans for the week ahead and also a new Daily chart long term chart idea, now that this one is complete.
Have a smashing weekend!! And once again, thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Gold weekly chart with both buy and sell levels See latest update on Gold for the coming week.
For a buy am looking at entering at 2914 expecting 2920 as first resistance.
For a sell ill look at entering at 2904 and expecting a move to 2889 as firat resistance.
Short idea this week as have other commitments but ill update when i get a chance in the coming week.
Golden milestone moment, about to fall!Gold hit a new all-time high on Friday, reaching the psychologically critical $3,000 mark, with the precious metal up nearly 15% since the start of the year, fueled by trade war fears and expectations of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve. Trump's tariffs have been a key driver of safe-haven buying in gold. The global trade war has roiled financial markets, sparking recession fears, and Trump threatened on Thursday to impose a 200% tariff on imported alcohol from Europe, a trade war that is escalating. But in the short term, there is absolutely no reason to chase gold higher. Reaching $3,000 today is clearly a long position in the market to pull up shipments. What happens when the longs are exhausted? That could usher in a wave of retracements, so don't chase the highs now. Gold is about to plunge.
You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, share real-time strategies, and no longer blindly follow the trend.
Gold 4 hour swing trade buy 2880Back this week with another swing trade.
Looking to buy at 2880 , this was previous support structure.
My conformations for this is based on wekly, daily and 4 hour trend lines plus the fibanocci level of 0,382 is right on my entry point.
I do these trades up based on technical analasis and my advice as always is go small be prepared for some drawdown and use proper risk management.
These trades are not meant to be finincial advice but mearly my own take on market structure.
Trade safe thei coming week.
Gold is about to fall, maybe even plummet!In the morning, gold rose above 2990 as expected and then fell back, but it stopped falling again at 2980 in the European session and rose again. The current market is rising again to test above 3000. From the current hourly chart, the pressure of 3005 is obvious. Today is the last trading day of this week. It is still optimistic about the decline in the evening, and even more optimistic about the plunge!!!
You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, share real-time strategies, and no longer blindly follow the trend.
3.14 Gold breaks through historical high to 3000Yesterday, the gold market continued the risk-averse rally and broke through the historical high. After opening at 2933.4 in the morning, the market first rose to 2947.4 and then fell back. The daily line reached a low of 2932.4 and then rose strongly. After breaking through the previous historical high of 2957 during the US trading session, the market accelerated upward. The daily line reached a high of 2989.3 and then the market consolidated. The daily line finally closed at 2988.8 and the market closed with a basically saturated big positive line. After this pattern ended, the weekly line completed the N-shaped break. Today's market reached the 3000 mark and quickly pulled back to 2988 and then came to 2997.
Short-term recommended operations:
Resistance level: 3000 3010 3020
Support level: 2995 2985 2970
3.14 Risk aversion and interest rate cuts have pushed gold to thGold is supported by risk aversion and interest rate cut expectations, and the overall trend remains upward. Short-term technical aspects also show that the advantages of the bulls have been strengthened.
On the daily chart, gold has set a new record high and performed very strongly. For the support below gold, radicals pay attention to the upper rail position of the daily and weekly Bollinger bands at $2,983, which is also the low point of the gold price falling back in the morning. Secondly, the low point of the fall after the intraday high in the US market on Thursday was $2,976. The continued fall suggests that the gold price has the risk of adjustment. Pay attention to the previous historical high of $2,956; for the pressure above gold, pay attention to the breakthrough of the integer position of $3,000. If it breaks through and stands firm here, it will not guess the top. The 5-day moving average is golden cross upward, the KDJ and RSI indicators are golden cross upward, and the MACD indicator forms a dead cross, indicating that the advantages of the bulls in the short-term technical aspect are further strengthened.
Resistance points: 2,990, 3,000, 3,010
Support points: 80, 70, 56
Gold Price Analysis March 14⭐️Fundamental analysis
Optimistic comments from the White House and Canada, along with news that enough Democrats have voted to avoid a US government shutdown, have boosted investor sentiment. However, gold's gains were capped by a stronger US dollar, which was bought for the third consecutive session.
However, expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates multiple times this year could limit the strong recovery of the US dollar. In addition, concerns about former President Trump's tough trade policies and their impact on the global economy continue to support gold prices. This suggests that any correction in gold could be a buying opportunity, helping the precious metal maintain its upward trend for the second consecutive week.
⭐️Technical analysis
any pullback today is considered a reasonable buy 2970 is the area where the European session Gold can find deeper and 2953 are the two BUY zones today. The sell zone is still noticeable around the 3000 round resistance and the 3015 border is considered resistance today. When gold has ATH, the FOMO is very high, so this is a difficult time to trade. Pay attention to volume and good capital management.
GOLD PLAYGROUND AROUND $3000-$3100? FED SPEECH NEXT WEEK!!!GOLD currently trade at $2987 when i write this idea. GOLD bullish momentum started when CPI data released followed by PPI data. Both of data show inflation slowdown. Last Tuesday, job opening data also showed us a neutral level and we can conclude that the labor market is still in slow pace. A week ago NFP also showed us weak data and slow down in labor market. Fundamentally, this labor market slow down and inflation that coming up in a lower level will give THE FED to cut rate in the next May or June.
Besides all that the trade war still heating up and there is no clear way how to end the geopolitical war in Russia - Ukraine and also Middle East. Traders seems just make early entry and buying GOLD as safe haven commodity and assume THE FED will cost lower borrowing rate.
Technically, GOLD just broke it's resistance trendline on symmetrical triangle pattern. It's just indicates that bullish movement of this instrument still going on and we don't know where it will stop. I see $3032 as the next level if $2986-$2987 broke up.
Is there any surprises in the next week? IF THE FED revised it's Federal Fund Rate to 3.4% or lower i see GOLD will play at $3000-$3100 for a few next month
Do you have any opinion guys?? Just give your comments below!
Gold Price Analysis March 13⭐️Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices maintained a positive trend in early European trading on Thursday and remained near the all-time high reached on February 24. The chaotic implementation of US President Donald Trump's trade tariffs and their impact on the global economy continued to drive safe-haven flows into bullion for the third consecutive day.
Meanwhile, fears of a US recession, coupled with signs of a cooling labour market and falling inflation, will allow the Federal Reserve (Fed) to resume its rate-cutting cycle sooner than expected. This, in turn, kept the US dollar (USD) near its lowest level since October 16 touched on Friday and turned out to be another factor supporting non-yielding gold prices.
⭐️Technical Analysis
Gold is correcting to the immediate support zone of 2930 if the support zone is broken 2922 is the next support point before gold price moves to 2910. The resistance zone of 2950 is considered as a barrier before reaching ATH and the daily sell plan is noticed around 2970
Gold is about to plummet, double short gold!Brothers, gold accelerated to around 2985, but it could not cross 2990. The closer it is to the 3000 mark, the greater the resistance it faces. After the news is digested by the market to a certain extent, it is difficult for gold to have enough momentum to continue to break through the 2990-3000 market psychological mark in the short term, so a retracement will inevitably follow!
The accelerated squeeze of gold has been separated from the technical side. After the news returns to normal, gold will inevitably have a technical retracement demand, so we can boldly short gold again in the 2985-2990 area! Tomorrow, Friday, will definitely be a turning point. Gold will at least retrace to the 2950-2940 zone tomorrow, and may even extend to the area around 2935.
So in short-term trading, I still insist on using double trading lots to short gold at 2985-2990! Looking forward to making a profit of 400-500 pips in the short term!Trading means that everything has results and everything has feedback. I have been committed to market trading and trading strategy sharing, striving to improve the winning rate of trading and maximize profits. If you want to copy trading signals to make a profit, or master independent trading skills and thinking, you can follow the channel at the bottom of the article to copy trading strategies and signals
3.14 Gold peaks againGold is forming higher highs while forming an ascending triangle, which will be confirmed if the price of gold closes above the record high of $2,982/oz on a daily basis. If the price of gold breaks the record high, then the price of gold will target the round mark of $2,990/oz. If the buyers conquer the latter, a test of the psychological barrier of $3,000/oz will be inevitable.
The 14-day relative strength index (RSI) is moving higher above 50, supporting the case for further upside in gold prices.
On the other hand, the price of gold has strong support at the 21-day simple moving average (SMA) of $2,914/oz. If the selling pressure intensifies, the price of gold will challenge the ascending trendline support of $2,893/oz. Failure to defend this level will accelerate the decline towards the psychological level of $2,850/oz.
Resistance 2980 2990 3000
Support 2950 2930 2900
As always, we will be updating regularly throughout the day and letting you know how we are managing active ideas and settings. Thank you all for your likes, comments, and attention, we really appreciate it!
Be wary of black swans appearing on Friday!On Thursday, gold continued to rise in the US market. Driven by the uncertainty of tariff policies and the expectation of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, the safe-haven appeal of gold remains undiminished. As of press time, the highest gold price has reached near 2985. After the CPI on Wednesday, gold seemed to have activated the rising button, and it started to rise all the way from the CPI low of 2905. After the initial jobless claims today, it hit a new record high again.
You can see that I have already drawn the 4-hour top range here
I think the top of 2990 is almost a potential top position, and tomorrow is Black Friday. Why did gold dare to go up so quickly on Thursday? There is only one reason, then there may be a big move tomorrow, Friday. It is very likely that in the early morning or tomorrow Friday morning, a wave of suppression near 2990 will be tested, and then the possibility of a rapid retracement will appear.
Therefore, I definitely do not recommend that you chase more in the future, there is no doubt about this. On the contrary, there are many people chasing more in the market at present. Seeing that gold has risen so much, they must think of retreating and going long. Therefore, tomorrow Friday, I suggest that you pay attention to the area around 2990. As long as this position can show a top structure signal in the Asian session, then don't hesitate to go short directly. Without saying too much, the first target can be seen at 2940-2930, or even 2920-2910.
You can read bottom signals, interpret daily market trends, and share real-time strategies, so you no longer blindly follow the trend.
Gold surges, just $17 away from $3,000 Gold is sprinting to new all-time highs and approaching the $3000 level. The price has just reached $2983 at the time of writing, just $17 away from the key $3000 level.
Alex Ebkarian from Allegiance Gold forecasts “prices to trade between $3,000 and $3,200 this year,”.
Momentum is currently being driven by uncertainty around Trump tariffs and stalled ceasefire talks with Vladimir Putin, who has outlined sweeping conditions for any potential truce.
The upcoming Federal Reserve meeting next Wednesday could also be influencing prices. While the central bank is expected to keep its rate at 4.25%-4.50% until at least June, with the current economic environment, a change in guidance from the Fed might be warranted. A delay in the anticipated June rate cut wouldn't be helpful for the gold price