Gold turning point. What signals are hidden?Overall analysis of gold trend:
Gold prices suffered a setback under the influence of the optimism of tomorrow's US-China negotiations. The core reason for the decline in gold prices is the breakthrough in global tariff negotiations.
The key factor driving the rise in gold prices early on: Tariff concerns are significantly easing, which directly leads to the gold market entering a phased consolidation.
I think the price of gold will fluctuate in the range of US$3,000-3,300 per ounce for some time to come. This forecast range is significantly narrower than before, reflecting that in the current complex and changing market environment, gold price fluctuations will tend to be rational.
I think the gold price at this time is already at the crossroads of an important trend.
The current gold market is facing a fierce game between long and short factors. On the one hand, the optimism brought about by the easing of trade tensions suppresses gold prices; on the other hand, the safe-haven demand generated by economic uncertainty, potential spot shortages, and the continued inflow of ETF funds provide support for gold prices. This complex market environment makes the trend of gold prices full of variables.
For traders, it is more necessary to remain rational in the current market environment, pay attention to short-term price fluctuations, and grasp the long-term value of gold as a safe-haven asset. The next round of big market in the gold market may be nurtured in these seemingly contradictory market signals.
Operation strategy:
Traders need to try to adopt scalping trading strategies in the current small fluctuation range, enter the market in time, and take profits in time.
The current fluctuation range is between $3200 and $3245. You can try to short near the high point and long at the low point, so that you can reap a small profit.
If you are a large-capital customer who can withstand market fluctuations, you can hold the position and wait and see for part of the time, and then choose the appropriate time to close the position.
Goldpreis
Gold is trading sideways, can the bearish trend continue?🗞News side:
1. China-US trade relations eased, suspending some tariffs and countermeasures
2. Russia and Ukraine suspended firing for 30 days, and the India-Pakistan conflict was temporarily mediated
📈Technical aspects:
The trading strategy given today, if brothers have reference and follow the trading strategy to participate in long orders, I think you should all have good gains on hand. At present, gold is in consolidation, the 4H moving average is in a short position, and the MACD dead cross continues to increase, so the short-term short momentum still exists. From a technical point of view, in the downward trend from last week's high of 3347 to the current low of 3207, 3260 is at a key position. Therefore, we pay attention to the possibility of gold rebounding to 3260 in the evening.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
Gold plunged. Will it rebound?Market Summary:
Gold prices suddenly saw a new round of selling in Asian markets on Monday, and the price of gold just fell to $3,210/ounce, reaching today's low, a drop of nearly $110.
Gold prices weakened at the beginning of the new week as the latest optimism about the US-China trade agreement continued to weaken demand for traditional safe-haven assets.
At the same time, positive signals from the US-China negotiations eased market concerns about a US recession. This, coupled with the Fed's hawkish comments, helped the dollar stabilize near multi-week highs and put pressure on gold. The gold price trend seems quite fragile. Gold prices fell and broke below the main bullish trend line in the short term, which sent a bearish signal, indicating that the trend may change.
I think the US-China trade agreement will have an impact on gold prices for a period of time.
Technical Analysis:
Gold's 4-hour level oscillation downward trend is relatively obvious, and the shape is a step downward. After the gold gapped down, there was a large gap. The gold rebound was unable to continue to fall. It is not easy to cover it in the short term. It will be covered in the process of the market. On the whole, for the short-term operation of gold today, Quide suggested that the rebound should be shorted as the main strategy, and the retracement should be long as the auxiliary strategy. The short-term trading should focus on the upward resistance of 3240-3250 US dollars, and the downward resistance should focus on the support position of 3200-3190 US dollars.
Today's operation strategy:
Operation strategy 1: Short the price when it rebounds to around 3245 US dollars, stop loss at 3260 US dollars, and take profit near 3210.
Operation strategy 2: Long the price when it falls back to 3210 US dollars, stop loss at 3200 US dollars, and take profit near 3240.
Seize the moment! The rebound is a good opportunity to shortGold was affected by the implementation of the China-US tariffs and the ceasefire between India and Pakistan, which weakened the market's risk aversion sentiment. The weekly line formed a double-needle top pattern, and continued to see downward adjustments this week. The daily line also has a double top structure, with 3500 and 3435 as double tops, and the neckline focuses on 3202. If it falls below, the double top pattern is confirmed. In terms of thinking, keep falling back and adjusting, with pressure focusing on 3260 and 3283, and support below focusing on 3200-3202. In terms of operation, rebound high and short are the main, and falling back is supplemented by long.
Operation suggestion: short gold when it rebounds to around 3255-65, and look at 3320 and 3200. long gold when it falls back to around 3210-3200, and look at 3320 and 3250.
(XAU/USD) Bearish Trade Setup – Targeting $3,222 with 1:6 Risk/REntry Point: Around 3,409.33 - 3,408.41 USD.
Stop Loss: 3,437.87 USD.
Target (Take Profit): 3,222.53 USD.
Risk/Reward Ratio: Approximately 1:6, which is favorable.
📉 Price Action & Trend Analysis:
A rising wedge (or channel) appears to have formed and broken to the downside — a bearish signal.
The current price at 3,341.47 has broken below a minor support zone (highlighted in purple), indicating bearish momentum.
Price is now approaching the 200 EMA, which is acting as potential dynamic support.
📌 Key Levels Highlighted:
Support Zones: Near 3,347.47 (previous minor support) and 3,222.53 (main target zone).
Resistance Zones: At the entry level and above, near 3,437.87 (Stop Loss zone).
🔄 Indicators:
Moving Averages (Red and Blue Lines): Shorter-term moving average (red) is below the longer-term (blue), indicating downward pressure.
Momentum Shift: The sharp drop suggests a likely continuation of the bearish trend.
It’s the right time to go shortLast week, gold came under pressure at the key resistance of 3356 and then fluctuated downwards. The market jumped short and opened low, directly breaking through the support to a low of 3259, and the daily line continued the downward trend. The current market is in the daily level adjustment stage, but the downward momentum is strong and the risk of breaking continues to accumulate. From a technical perspective, 3280 constitutes a short-term upward resistance. If the rebound is blocked, you can still choose to arrange short orders; there is strong support near 3240 below, and it is necessary to pay attention to whether this position can be effectively broken to confirm the accelerated decline. On the news side, the easing of the Sino-US tariff situation has weakened the market's risk aversion sentiment. In addition, the bullish momentum of gold has been exhausted after the previous consecutive rises, and the recent weak and volatile pattern has become prominent.
Gold recommendation: short near 3280-3290, target 3270-3260.
Gold opening rise and fall prediction?The current gold market is in a range of fluctuations, maintaining a wide range of fluctuations. Technically, the key support level below is still focused on the 3270 area, while the 3450 price level above constitutes a significant double-top structural resistance level. Although the conclusion of the US-UK tariff agreement has a phased negative effect on precious metals at the geopolitical level and may provide a demonstration effect for other regional trade negotiations, the overall technical structure still maintains a downward trend. At the daily level, the recent K-line combination has completed a deep retracement from the 3500 mark with two long negative lines, directly breaking through an important support platform. The current daily K-line continues to close the adjustment pattern with an upper shadow line, and the alternating yin and yang oscillation rhythm conforms to the technical correction characteristics. It is worth noting that the 50-period moving average continues a clear downward trajectory, forming a resonance suppression with the double-top structure in the 3450 area.
The 1-hour gold chart shows that the short-term price trend presents a clear downward channel feature, and the seller's power continues to dominate the market. Combined with the Fibonacci extension level calculation, the first target below can still focus on the 3300 area. If this support platform is lost, the price will have a technical demand to further explore the 3320 integer mark. The current volume and price coordination shows that the market is brewing a new wave of trending market conditions. It is necessary to pay close attention to the breakthrough direction of the 3300-3380 range, which will determine the continuation or reversal of the medium-term trend. Taken together, the short-term operation of gold is recommended to be mainly longs on callbacks, supplemented by shorts on rebounds. The top short-term focus is on the first-line resistance of 3360-3380, and the bottom short-term focus is on the first-line support of 3320-3300.
View on the short-term trend of gold!📌Fundamentals:
Gold prices fell sharply. After Trump announced a "breakthrough" trade deal with the UK, market expectations for more similar deals increased, weakening gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset.
📊Technological aspects:
Gold quickly fell in the Asian session and then quickly stretched back up. As of now, it has stood above 3320. So the possibility of gold falling again is relatively small. And there is a possibility that gold will further hit Thursday's high of 3360-70. If 3202 to 3435 is regarded as wave a, then 3438 to today's low of 3275 is wave b. So the current rebound from 3275 will go up in wave c. The first suppression position above is 3360-70, the high point of yesterday's rebound. At present, gold has stabilized above 3320, so the next bullish target for gold is to test 3360-70. After the pressure appears, follow the trend and go short.
Gold head and shoulders bottom trend, bull market strong?🗞News side:
1. Tariffs push up inflation and slow down the economy, and the Federal Reserve may be in trouble
2. The situation between India and Pakistan escalates again
📈Technical aspects:
At the hourly level, today's Asian session continued the "wash-out" operation characteristics, quickly rising by 20 US dollars at the opening, and then stepped back to 3310 to confirm the top and bottom conversion support level. The two positive lines seemed to form a "yang-enclosing-yin" upward attack pattern, but suddenly reversed, not only breaking the trend support line of 3280, but also falling to 3274 before bottoming out and rebounding. This erratic trend has a significant long-short double kill effect for investors accustomed to trend continuation strategies. However, we can accurately find the right position in the market to trade and make profits.
At present, it is expected to form a "head and shoulders bottom" pattern from a morphological perspective, accumulating momentum for subsequent rises, and there is still room for upside in the short term. At present, any pullback is an opportunity for us to go long. Pay attention to the 3360-3370 line suppression on the top. If this resistance area is broken, it may open up a new round of upward space.
TVC:GOLD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
GOLD → sideways fluctuations. Will it break the resistance levelNews summary:
US President Trump announced a trade agreement with the UK, which raised hopes of reaching such an agreement with other countries, eased market tensions, suppressed gold's safe-haven buying, and the rise in the US dollar, US stocks and US bond yields also suppressed gold prices. US Treasury Secretary Bensont and Trade Representative Greer will talk with China's top economic officials in Switzerland in the near future.
Quaid reminds everyone that market concerns have not completely dissipated, and it is necessary to pay attention to the support of bargain hunting. The European Commission said earlier that if negotiations with Washington fail to cancel a series of tariffs imposed by US President Trump, the EU is considering taking countermeasures against US imports worth up to 95 billion euros. Close attention needs to be paid to news related to the international trade situation and changes in market sentiment during this trading day.
Support level analysis:
3310-3300 US dollars/ounce: 3300 US dollars is a psychological barrier and technical support for the confirmation of the previous price retracement. If it falls below 3300, it may fall to the 3280 US dollar area.
Resistance level analysis:
3360-3375 USD/ounce: Gold is currently above the convergence and oscillation range. 3360-3375 USD is the high pressure level of the previous day's box consolidation. If it breaks through this position strongly, the upward space will open up.
Technical analysis:
Gold is in a high-level oscillation and convergence range. The 4-hour MACD indicator shows that the short-selling momentum is weakening, but the hourly chart shows that the price is still constrained by the downward trend line. If gold prices stabilize at $3,300, it may trigger a rebound to $3,350-3,360; if it falls below $3,280, it may accelerate the downward trend. if it falls below 3280 USD, it may accelerate the downward trend.
Operation strategy:
Bull strategy: Long at 3315-3325 USD, stop loss at 3305 USD, target position at 3350-3360 USD.
Short strategy: short at $3365-3375, stop loss at $3380, target position at $3330-3300.
Special attention needs to be paid to gold operations on FridayThe current price fluctuates around the 3300-3348 range, with resistance at 3348-3352 and support at 3295-3303. If it breaks through 3348, be wary of a second surge to around 3365; conversely, if it loses 3295, it may fall back to the 3275-55 area.
Gold recommendation: short sell near 3335-3345 when it rebounds. Target position 3320-3310.
GOLD→Beware of market reversal? News is coming soon.At the end of the Asian session, the US dollar index was around 100.05. Gold rebounded after the plunge, and the current gold price is around $3,320/ounce.
Investors will see a large number of speeches by Fed officials, among which Williams' remarks are the most watched and are expected to trigger a big market trend.
Today's major news:
New York Fed President Williams will deliver a keynote speech at the 2025 Reykjavik Economic Conference. Later, Williams will speak at the Hoover Monetary Policy Conference.
I think if Williams makes hawkish remarks, it may push the dollar stronger, thereby suppressing gold prices.
Williams also serves as vice chairman of the Federal Open Market Committee and has permanent voting rights like the Fed governors.
In terms of monetary policy, Weems has the most say after Chairman Powell. Williams also served as chairman of the San Francisco Fed for nearly 7 years.
There are also several events taking place today: Fed Governor Kugler will speak on maximizing employment; North Richmond Fed President Barkin will participate in a fireside chat; Chicago Fed President Goolsbee will deliver a welcome and opening speech at a Fed event.
Gold price trend forecast:
I think its price may fall further to $3,200-3,100/ounce in the next few weeks.
I hope my analysis can help you, and I wish you good luck.
Gold price fell after a surge? Continue the downward trend?Analysis of gold market trend:
Gold price surged in the morning of Asian session, but then fell to around $3,315.
Market situation analysis shows that gold price continued the trend of yesterday in Asian time, rising rapidly in the morning, and then began to decline. It fell to $3,275 in the morning, and then rose to today's high of $3,330.
From the perspective of the gold hourly line, it began to rise after a brief decline in the morning of Asian session, effectively breaking through the resistance level of 3,315 and rising to a high of $3,330 for a short time. Then a downward trend appeared. This high-level fluctuation shows that the market is in a big wash and is brewing a new trend.
I think the downward space may be around $3,300.
Operation strategy:
Short around $3,320, stop loss at $3,330, and take profit at $3,300.
Gold prices pulled back. Will prices continue to fall?Latest news: Trump announced a trade deal with the UK, which boosted market risk appetite; coupled with a sharp rise in the US dollar and US bond yields, gold prices plummeted in the Asian morning trading session.
US President Trump and British Prime Minister Starmer announced a "breakthrough agreement" on trade, which made market traders predict that the United States would also reach such an agreement with other countries. This prediction has made market buyers lose motivation.
Quaid believes that if the United States and China reach an agreement, gold prices will face great resistance to rise, and gold prices should fall back to $3,200/ounce.
Market trading analysis:
The upward trend of gold paused and started a sharp decline.
As described by the RSI, buyers are losing momentum. This is not good for gold, and the price has now fallen below $3,300/ounce. Quaid believes that it will continue to fall and may fall to the cycle low of $3,202/ounce.
Short-term trading strategy:
Short at 3280, stop loss at 3290, and take profit at 3260.
Quaid believes that if the price of gold falls below the downward resistance level of 3275, you can continue to hold your position and choose the right time to trade.
The buy low and long strategy is coming!From the 4-hour analysis, the support below is around 3308-3300. If it does not break, the main bullish trend will remain unchanged. The upper side pays attention to the short-term suppression of 3360-66. The daily level stabilizes above this position and continues to maintain the low-multiple rhythm.
Gold operation strategy:
1. If gold falls back on the 3325-3320 line, go long, and if it falls back on the 3310-3300 line, it will cover long positions. The target is 3355-3360.
Pay attention to 3360 and go short if it does not break🗞News side:
1. China and the United States hold talks on trade issues
2. India-Pakistan conflict escalates again
3. Geopolitical risks
📈Technical aspects:
At present, gold has fallen below the trend line support. In the short term, we should focus on the battle for 3360. This point is not only the previous support-to-resistance level, but also the key signal for judging the trend reversal. If it cannot hold on to this position, the short trend will continue; if it recovers effectively, it may return to above 3400. Before losing the defensive line (the last starting and falling point) 3360-3362, the bears will still have the upper hand. It just so happens that the 4H lifeline is also in the 3360-3362 area. If the suppression is successful, the price will enter the 3362-3284 area from the lifeline to the lower track.
The rebound layout of the US market operation is short-selling, with the target at 3340-3330, and further support at 3310-3300.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold prices are plummeting, is a bear market coming?🗞News side:
1. China and the United States hold talks on trade issues
2. India-Pakistan conflict escalates again
3. Geopolitical risks
📈Technical aspects:
Today, gold surged to the 3410 line and then ushered in a sharp fall, with the lowest touching near the 3322 line. We also seized the opportunity to notify our VIPs to enter the market, and all VIP members made good gains. At present, gold is still following the news, and the fundamental influencing factors are relatively complicated. Retail investors who trade alone can easily get caught up in the recent gold fluctuations. The gold price fluctuated repeatedly around 3340. The European session focused on the conversion suppression of the 3350-3360 support area. The 4H Bollinger Bands showed a closing shape. If the gold price cannot stand above 3350, then the bulls need to be repaired in the short term before they can continue to rise. The European session focused on the 3350-3360 resistance above and the 3310-3300 support below.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
With the Federal Reserve on hold, gold is ushering in a new engi
At 2 pm yesterday, the Federal Reserve announced that it would keep the benchmark interest rate unchanged at 4.25%-4.50%, in line with market expectations, and remained unchanged for the third consecutive meeting. After the announcement of the Fed's interest rate decision, the market continued to believe that the Fed would cut interest rates before July, and still expected three rate cuts this year.
Then Fed Chairman Powell downplayed any impression that the central bank would use interest rate cuts to ease the economic weakness caused by Trump's tariff policy at a press conference in the early morning.
Powell used the word "wait" 22 times to emphasize that the Fed is not in a hurry. He said: "We think the cost of waiting is quite low, so we are doing it."
Powell said: "In this case, we can't take the initiative because we don't actually know what the correct response to the data is until we see more data."
Powell hinted that the Fed will only cut interest rates after seeing evidence of a significant slowdown in the economy, and it may cut interest rates soon.
Returning to the market, first of all, from the gold daily chart, it can be seen that the current trend of gold is basically similar to that of the first half of the month.
There was a sharp retracement last week, and then the bottom daily line closed with a cross star, followed by a sharp rebound.
The current market is basically copying the previous market. If nothing unexpected happens, if it goes up in this trend, 3500 is very likely not the high point, and it is only a matter of time before a new high is reached.
In addition, from the 4-hour chart, yesterday, the bottom 3360 was tested many times, but it failed to break down. Today, the opening was stretched from 3360 to above 3400.
3360 is a intensive trading area suppression position in the early stage. After breaking through 3360 on Tuesday, it has not fallen below this position so far.
So, we can currently regard 3360 as an important support position.
So we can regard 3360 as the 618 support position, so as to infer the high point position.
As you can see in the picture, I have also marked the point, which is about 3450-60.
Finally, let's look at the hourly chart. You can see that from 3360 to the morning high of 3415, the Fibonacci position 50% position and 382 position are about 3390-85.
It is also about the lowest position of the callback.
In terms of future operations, you can basically rely on 3390-85 to enter the market and do more.
The upper target can basically see the 3440-60 range.
The range is broken and the bulls are ready to go!📌Fundamentals:
1. In the Fed's decision, Powell maintained the 4.25%-4.5% interest rate expectation, which was exactly the same as the expectation I mentioned, and predicted the result of the entire decision.
2. The India-Pakistan conflict intensified, and global geopolitical risks continued to heat up. From Gaza to Russia and Ukraine, and then to India and Pakistan, risk aversion will continue to provide long-term support for gold prices.
📊Technical aspects:
Affected by the interest rate decision, gold bottomed out and rebounded, but did not fall below the low of 3360. The daily line closed in the negative. The data had little impact. Of course, there are also concerns about the increase in inflation and unemployment caused by the increase in taxes. It is expected that there will be another interest rate cut in July, which provides support for gold. After the Asian session opened under short-term pressure at 3397, it broke through and increased in volume, and walked out of the shock range of the first half of the week. The previous article mentioned that squats and long jumps were realized. Today, we maintain a bullish mindset and pay attention to the top and bottom conversion support of 3400. If it can stabilize in the US market, we can continue to go long. The upper side will gradually look to 3423 and 3435, and it is not ruled out that it will go near the previous high.
🎯Practical strategy:
Gold is long near 3387-3380, and look at 3423 and 3435! If it is strong, it is long based on the support of 3402-3398!
Thinking and practical skills for winning in the 3360-3400 rangeAffected by the news, gold fell sharply at the opening. Successfully won. According to the trading strategy, we gave gold a wide range of fluctuations in the 3360-3400 range, which will not change much. It can be operated within the range during the day. The trading strategy analysis is accurate, and the key points are accurately grasped to enter the market, which brought us good returns during the day. The short-term rhythm is accurately grasped! Brothers who followed the trading plan should have also made very good profits. 🍻🍻🍻
The Fed meeting is coming. Will gold fall?Today's news focus:
The US Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will announce the interest rate decision;
Fed Powell will hold a monetary policy press conference.
The market generally expects that this meeting will continue to maintain the previous data, because the impact of tariff policies on inflation and the economy still needs to be observed. The Fed's interest rate cut may be carried out in June. Since this interest rate decision does not update the economic forecast, the focus will be on the Fed's incidental comments on any signals of future interest rate cuts to support the economy. Since the decision to keep the interest rate unchanged has been fully digested by the market, Powell's tone at the press conference will be the key to changing the market's expectations for interest rate cuts this year.
Today's gold trend analysis:
At present, according to the hourly chart, gold is still under pressure at the range resistance above 3400; on the one hand, the current tariff storm has cooled down, and on the other hand, the interest rate cut has decreased; and the news data to be released will cause a series of fluctuations in gold in the short term. At the same time, the market is currently betting that the gold price will have a further trend correction, which may cause capital outflows from the market, which will further hit gold bulls.
Quide believes that there is still room for operation in the short term. The resistance level of short-term upward movement is around 3400, but since the game between major powers has not stopped, there will be no major negative factors; if the news data does not fluctuate much, the market may not have a big dive.
Operation strategy:
Short around 3400, stop loss at 3410, and take profit in the range of 3370-3360.
Quide will always pay attention to important news and can provide professional analysis and suggestions for everyone in a timely manner.
I hope to help everyone recover their losses in the gold trading market.
Gold fluctuates in a narrow range ahead of the Fed rate🗞News side:
1. The situation between India and Pakistan escalates
2. China is willing to engage with the US, and the situation has eased
📈Technical aspects:
The price of gold fell sharply after the market opened today, once falling to around 3360. Currently, gold is oscillating slightly between 3375-3390. The market has no clear trading direction for the time being. Gold is not expected to change much before the Federal Reserve interest rate is announced. Today, gold prices have continuously tested the lower support 3370-3360, and the upper short-term resistance is focused on the 3390-3400 line. We maintain shock treatment for short-term trading. The focus will be on today’s Fed interest rate issues and talks between China and the United States.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold range shock , Both long and short have a chance!📌Fundamentals:
1. There are signs of escalation in the India-Pakistan conflict
2. The US-Houthi ceasefire agreement
3. The Fed's interest rate decision dominates this week's market
4. The international trade situation disturbs market sentiment
5. Market sentiment and capital flows
📊Technical aspects:
The market came out in the Asian session. It stalled again later. We are used to seeing fluctuations of hundreds of points. A fluctuation of more than ten or twenty points a day is the same as no fluctuation. At present, the market is temporarily maintained in the range of 3400-3360, and there is not much fluctuation. At present, let's see where the market breaks through. If it retreats to around 3360, follow up with long orders. If it rebounds to around 3400, follow up with short orders.