Gold is in trouble, and a backhand blow turns the tideThe gold market is like sailing on a rough sea. Every market fluctuation is a severe test. This time, after we shorted gold, the market suddenly fluctuated sharply due to the news. Our account suffered a floating loss and our heart was hanging. However, professional traders will not be intimidated by short-term difficulties. We quickly analyzed the news in depth, from geopolitical dynamics to economic data interpretation, without missing any details. At the same time, combined with complex and changeable technical aspects, we accurately captured the market reversal signals and decisively seized the opportunity to switch to long positions. We not only turned losses into profits, but also reaped rich profits. In the ever-changing investment world, only calm analysis and decisive decision-making can make you the final winner.
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Goldpreis
Gold surged higher and fell again, signaling an imminent declineAt present, there is a suppression signal below 3045, but it may take some time to consolidate. It fell back under pressure on Wednesday morning, and stabilized and rose briefly to 3045 after touching the middle track. Then there was a small dive to 3022 in the European session and then rose again. This is obviously a high-level sweep, and the market has begun to fight fiercely for longs and shorts; it may go back and forth in the high range of 3020-3045, and finally wait for the announcement of the interest rate decision to stimulate and guide. If the news of the interest rate cut is implemented, it is still predicted that there will be a wave of "selling facts" decline, and then stabilize and bottom out and rise to counterattack. Then the next operation suggestion is to try to correct the decline at a high level, and continue to go up along the trend after touching 3015 or 3000 or 2980. The decline correction and squat adjustment are all preparations for further historical highs in the future.
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Gold shows signs of waterfall-like plungeStimulated by the news, gold has risen rapidly to around 3045. Obviously, gold has seen a very obvious forced rise. After the rapid rise of gold, there must be a technical demand for a fall. I expect 3045-3055 to be the high point of gold in the day, so when you all want to chase the rise of gold, I have already started to short gold!
So in terms of trading, the relatively safe way is to short gold at a high level. In short-term trading, we can boldly short gold with the 3030-3040 area as the main force. I believe there will be a good profit!
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make a prompt decision! short high positionAnd from the chart, although gold has risen strongly, it still faces resistance in the 3039-3045 area in the short term. This is the last line of defense in the bear market, so it is not easy for gold to continue to break through. If gold fails to successfully cross this resistance area, then after consuming the bullish momentum to a certain extent, gold may retreat again and retest the 3015-3005 area.
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Gold sounds the horn of the counterattackThe gold bulls are too crazy and there is no chance of falling back. So when the market is too hot, you have to be careful, gold may stage the final madness.
Gold begins to rise and fall rapidly in the first hour, then gold begins to have short-term resistance, and the first-line resistance near 3040-3050 becomes effective, gold will usher in a reversal, and gold rises and falls and begins to adjust significantly to the 3015-3005 area, or even lower. The bullish trend of gold has been very strong in the early stage. However, when the market is too hot, it is also the time to be cautious and short under high pressure.
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Seize the golden opportunity at high altitudeDuring the price fluctuations, after two obvious market declines, the market bulls once showed a relatively strong upward trend, which made some investors confused about the market trend. However, after a comprehensive analysis of multi-dimensional factors in the market, including in-depth analysis of global economic data, geopolitical situation evolution and market capital flows, it is believed that the current high-altitude strategy in the gold market still has significant advantages.
From the perspective of technical analysis, gold prices are facing great pressure near key resistance levels, and the market short-selling momentum has not yet been fully released.
From a fundamental perspective, although the regional situation has caused short-term risk aversion fluctuations, the long-term economic trend still suppresses gold prices. Based on the above analysis, we firmly maintain the original strategy, and the 3025-3035 range is still an ideal position for short selling. Investors can decisively establish short positions in this range, set reasonable stop loss and take profit targets, and achieve steady returns with the help of market fluctuations. In the gold market full of variables, only by strictly adhering to the strategy can we ride the wind and waves and seize wealth opportunities.
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Gold 25-35 is directly short3025-3035 is directly short
Gold continues to fall back. The current technical indicators of the K-line are all bullish, but the market may not necessarily rise. The K-line has been soaring all the way, and it must take a break and adjust. Correction is inevitable, and adjustment is also inevitable. Two horizontal and one vertical is the way to go
Gold is bullish across the network. This is an event that is prone to black swans. The hourly line also shows a bearish engulfing pattern, and the closing price of the big negative line entity is lower than the opening price of the positive line. Falling back is also inevitable. It must fall back to the position of the moving average. This is an inevitable thing. Go short at 3025-3035. The target area is 3010-3000.
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The secret behind gold's crazy riseGold surged as soon as it was stimulated by the news, but it is expected that this momentum will not last long. Instead, it is a good opportunity to short at high levels. From a macroeconomic perspective, the current global inflation expectations and monetary policy trends have a profound impact on gold demand. In terms of technical indicators, MACD shows that although bullish energy is being released, KDJ has entered the overbought area. It is expected that after gold hits the resistance range of 3025-3035 in the short term, continue to increase short positions and increase the number of transactions, with the target of 3010-3000, accurately grasp the band opportunities, and use the possible correction market to achieve profit goals.
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Excellent window for gold-------News---
The U.S. inflation data for February was released, and the data showed that the U.S. inflation in February fell across the board, exceeding expectations. The decline in inflation also gave the Federal Reserve more room and possibility for interest rate cuts, and also slightly reduced the concerns originally caused by tariffs. However, with the full implementation of tariffs on Europe, retaliation from Europe also followed, and concerns about the global economic downturn also intensified. The U.S. dollar index rebounded slightly and then fell again.
Gold hourly line pattern chart;
Spot gold; Previously, the gold market continued its strong upward trend, and the bulls performed extremely well. On Wednesday, gold successfully broke through the key resistance level of 2930, breaking the previous confinement and opening the upward channel. On Thursday, the rally not only continued, but also entered a large-volume stage, directly breaking through the previous high of 2956, and without any stop, the highest impact reached 2990. The daily line closed with a long positive line, showing a strong pattern of three consecutive positive attacks. On Friday night, it even reached above 3000. You can short sell near 3000 above, and continue to hold the short positions at the previously arranged points. Reduce positions at the target area of 2970, and exit all positions when it reaches 2950.
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Gold is testing the barrier again! About to plungeGold hit a new record high again on Friday, reaching 3005 at one point, and also perfectly reaching 3000 points. Obviously, the bulls' goal has been basically achieved. The current K-line must fall back. Moreover, Trump imposed sanctions on the Middle East at the weekend, but the gold price did not rise. Obviously, the bulls are also weak.
From the perspective of gold trend, the situation between Russia and Ukraine has become confusing again under the background of the originally expected clear situation, so the risk aversion sentiment has heated up again. In addition, the global trade concerns caused by Trump's tariff policy have led to the intensification of the risk of global economic recession. The uncertainty of the market has also increased again. At this time, gold has become the most sought-after product in the market. From a technical point of view, gold has repeatedly rushed to the 3000 mark last week. On Friday, it pulled out a Yin cross star at a historical high. There is a need for adjustment in the short term. Don't watch it blindly for the time being.
There is an obvious bearish engulfing at the top of the gold four-hour line, that is, the big Yin line entity directly covers the Yang line entity, forming a top signal. At the same time, the K-line is also seriously deviated from the moving average. It is an abnormal trend again. The decline is inevitable, and returning to the moving average is also a certain short selling.
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The 3000 mark falls back, continue short-term operationsAfter gold tested the 3000 mark again, it fell back and is currently hovering around 2990. It failed to test 3000 again in the short term. This position is obviously suppressed in the short term. The second upward test quickly fell back. The gold price may fall further. The idea is to follow the trend and short-sell. Pay attention to the short position near 2990, and the target area is 2980-2970. If it falls below 2980, you can directly look at the position of 2955-2940.
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The gold high top signal appears, deep correction!It can be found that 3004 is just the top position of the 4-hour chart. After failing to break through the range last Friday, a retracement signal has also appeared. The current lower range support of the 4-hour chart is 2955-50. And 2955-50 happens to be the previous high point. Therefore, this position may be the dividing point between long and short positions of gold this week.
Secondly, from the hourly chart:
It can be seen that the current hourly chart of gold shows signs of a head and shoulders top. Once gold falls below 2980 today, it is very likely to develop towards the lower 2955-2940. 2955-50 happens to be the 618 position of this trend. The lower 50% is around 2940, which may also be the extreme retracement position of gold. Therefore, I do not recommend that you continue to chase more, but consider entering the market to short near 2990. If it falls below 2980, you can directly look at the position of 2955-2940.
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GOLD TRADING POINT UPDATE >READ THE CHPTAIAN Buddy'S dear friend 👋
SMC Trading Signals Update 🗾🗺️ Gold Traders SMC-Trading Point update you on New technical analysis setup for Gold 🪙 list week profitable profomans reached target point 2961 ) New technical analysis setup for Gold 🪙 a short trend 📉 analysis setup. Guys 🤝 Gold 🪙 1 Time Frame 🪟 patterns chart 📉. Looking for selling zone ☺️ 🤝 FVG level 3006$ 2996$ rejected point below 👇 ⬇️ target point 2832 - 2818. ) again back 🔙 that entry buying said. Update you next analysis Guys 🤝 now follow it' good luck 💯
Key Resistance level 2996+ 3006
Key Support level 2832 - 2818
Mr SMC Trading point
Pales Support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Gold trading ideas for next Monday!On Friday, the gold bulls and bears were in a stalemate, and the overall market fluctuated around 2978-3005. As the weekly line closed higher, it means that the bulls have been released and will start to plummet next week.
From the time window, next Thursday is exactly the 89th trading day since gold rose from 2536 on November 14 last year. If it rises from 2832 on February 28, it is almost 13 trading days, which is in line with the law of market change time. In addition, the Federal Reserve will also announce the interest rate decision and press conference in the early hours of Thursday. Perhaps only under the promotion of the Federal Reserve's news can a new round of collapse be triggered! ! !
In the short term, gold rose and fell last Friday. The daily chart has a $15 upper shadow line, and the upper shadow line indicates that the upper pressure is strong and the market has a clear downward trend. Therefore, the overall market next Monday tends to fall first and then rise! ! !
Judging from the gold hourly chart, there are several positions to focus on next Monday. First, the hourly chart rising trend line support level is 2982. If it breaks below, it will fall further to around 2940. Second, the 61.8% position of the golden ratio of 3005-2978 is around 2995. Third, last Friday’s high is 3005, and a breakthrough is impossible.
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GOLD TRADING PONT UPDATE >READ THE CHAPTIANBuddy'S dear friend 👋.
SMC Trading Signals Update 🗾🗺️ Gold Traders SMC-Trading Point update you on New technical analysis setup for Gold 🪙 Gold Traders Gold 1H time. Look 👀 first take FVG level that take entry buying said target point 2959 New ATH wait for FVG level good luck 🤞
Key Resistance level 2930 + 2959
Key Support level 2909 - 2902 - 2896
Mr SMC Trading point
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Gold Surges Past $3,000 Amid Trump, Economic FearsThe glint of gold has intensified, piercing the $3,000 per ounce threshold, a symbolic milestone that echoes through centuries of economic and political upheaval.1 This surge, fueled by a potent cocktail of market anxieties and, notably, the amplified rhetoric of a potential Trump return, underscores gold's enduring role as a safe-haven asset and a barometer of global uncertainty.2 The psychological significance of breaching this key level cannot be overstated, solidifying gold's position as a timeless store of value in an increasingly volatile world.
The current rally, while rooted in broader economic anxieties, has received a significant jolt from the political landscape. The prospect of a second Trump presidency has injected a fresh wave of uncertainty into markets. His often-unconventional policy pronouncements, coupled with the potential for trade disputes and geopolitical tensions, have created a climate ripe for gold's ascent. Investors, seeking to mitigate potential risks, are flocking to the precious metal, driving its price to unprecedented heights.3
Beyond the political sphere, persistent economic concerns are also playing a crucial role. Inflation, despite recent efforts to tame it, remains a lurking threat. Global debt levels continue to climb, and concerns about a potential recession linger. These factors, combined with the inherent instability of fiat currencies, have bolstered gold's appeal as a hedge against economic turbulence.4 Gold, unlike paper money, cannot be printed at will, offering a sense of stability in an uncertain financial landscape.5
Furthermore, geopolitical instability is a perennial driver of gold prices. Ongoing conflicts, simmering tensions between major powers, and the ever-present threat of terrorism contribute to a sense of unease that pushes investors towards safe-haven assets. The perception of gold as a reliable store of value during times of crisis has been reinforced throughout history, and the current global climate is no exception.
The $3,000 milestone also serves as a potent reminder of gold's role as a gauge of fear in the markets.6 When investors are anxious, they tend to seek out safe havens, and gold has consistently proven to be a popular choice. The current surge in gold prices reflects a growing sense of unease about the future, both economically and politically.7 This fear, whether justified or not, is a powerful force driving market behavior.
The technical aspects of the gold market are also contributing to the rally. The break above $3,000 has triggered a wave of buying, as traders and investors seek to capitalize on the momentum. This technical breakout could lead to further gains in the short term, as the market tests new highs. The sheer psychological importance of the $3,000 level also draws in investors who were previously hesitant to participate.
However, it is crucial to recognize that gold prices are not immune to volatility. While the long-term outlook for gold remains positive, short-term fluctuations are inevitable.8 Factors such as changes in interest rates, shifts in investor sentiment, and unexpected geopolitical events can all impact gold prices.9 Investors considering gold as part of their portfolio should be prepared for potential price swings.
The current rally also raises questions about the long-term sustainability of these high prices. While gold's fundamental drivers remain strong, it is important to consider the potential for a correction. Historically, periods of rapid price appreciation have often been followed by periods of consolidation or decline. However, the unique confluence of factors currently supporting gold prices suggests that the rally may have further room to run.
In conclusion, the breach of the $3,000 per ounce mark is a significant milestone for gold, reflecting a confluence of economic, political, and psychological factors. The potential return of Trump, coupled with persistent economic anxieties and geopolitical instability, has created a perfect storm for gold's ascent. This surge underscores gold's enduring role as a safe-haven asset and a gauge of fear in the markets.10 While the future remains uncertain, gold's historical performance suggests that it will continue to play a crucial role in investor portfolios, offering a sense of stability in an increasingly turbulent world. The breaking of such a psychological barrier will also inevitably drive more speculative investment, and thus, drive the market further, at least in the short term. Investors should continue to monitor the global landscape and adjust their strategies accordingly, while recognizing the inherent volatility of the precious metals market. The allure of gold, however, remains strong, a testament to its enduring appeal as a timeless store of value.
Gold (XAUUSD) 15-Minute Chart Analysis – Bullish Trade SetupGold (XAUUSD) 15-Minute Chart Analysis
Key Observations:
Price Action:
The price is currently at $2,981.96.
The price has been in an uptrend, forming higher highs and higher lows.
Moving Averages:
EMA 30 (red line): At $2,965.00, acting as a dynamic support level.
EMA 200 (blue line): At $2,935.17, indicating a long-term bullish trend.
Trade Setup:
Entry Level: Around $2,981.96.
Stop Loss: Placed at $2,966.81.
Take Profit Targets:
TP1: $2,985.86
TP2: $2,992.23
TP3: $2,998.08
Final Target: $3,005.50
Risk-Reward Ratio:
The risk is defined by the distance between the entry price and the stop loss.
The reward is defined by the distance between the entry price and each take-profit level.
Given the setup, the trader is aiming for a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
Trading Perspective:
Bullish Bias: The trend is strongly bullish, supported by the EMA 30 and EMA 200.
Confirmation Needed:
If the price sustains above $2,985, it increases the probability of hitting higher targets.
A break below $2,970 could invalidate the trade setup.
Would you like a deeper analysis with Fibonacci levels or volume data?
Unlock self-rescue guide hereNotice! The gold market has suddenly changed! Gold, which had been rising all the way, has now shown a peak signal, and a decline has become inevitable.
The current big Yinxian is falling straight, and the market is completely shrouded in a bearish atmosphere. From a technical perspective, the evening star pattern is significant, which is often a strong signal of trend reversal. At the same time, the gold price deviates seriously from the moving average. This deviation is difficult to maintain in the market for a long time, and returning to rationality is an observable rule.
Looking at the four-hour line again, the big Yinxian entity strongly engulfs the Yangxian, directly breaking through the support line, forming an extremely strong bearish engulfing pattern, which means that the space below has been opened, and a plunge may be just around the corner. Are you ready to meet this storm in the gold market? Opportunities always coexist with risks, and now is the time to test investors' decisiveness.
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Golden milestone moment, about to fall!Gold hit a new all-time high on Friday, reaching the psychologically critical $3,000 mark, with the precious metal up nearly 15% since the start of the year, fueled by trade war fears and expectations of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve. Trump's tariffs have been a key driver of safe-haven buying in gold. The global trade war has roiled financial markets, sparking recession fears, and Trump threatened on Thursday to impose a 200% tariff on imported alcohol from Europe, a trade war that is escalating. But in the short term, there is absolutely no reason to chase gold higher. Reaching $3,000 today is clearly a long position in the market to pull up shipments. What happens when the longs are exhausted? That could usher in a wave of retracements, so don't chase the highs now. Gold is about to plunge.
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Gold is about to fall, maybe even plummet!In the morning, gold rose above 2990 as expected and then fell back, but it stopped falling again at 2980 in the European session and rose again. The current market is rising again to test above 3000. From the current hourly chart, the pressure of 3005 is obvious. Today is the last trading day of this week. It is still optimistic about the decline in the evening, and even more optimistic about the plunge!!!
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Be wary of black swans appearing on Friday!On Thursday, gold continued to rise in the US market. Driven by the uncertainty of tariff policies and the expectation of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, the safe-haven appeal of gold remains undiminished. As of press time, the highest gold price has reached near 2985. After the CPI on Wednesday, gold seemed to have activated the rising button, and it started to rise all the way from the CPI low of 2905. After the initial jobless claims today, it hit a new record high again.
You can see that I have already drawn the 4-hour top range here
I think the top of 2990 is almost a potential top position, and tomorrow is Black Friday. Why did gold dare to go up so quickly on Thursday? There is only one reason, then there may be a big move tomorrow, Friday. It is very likely that in the early morning or tomorrow Friday morning, a wave of suppression near 2990 will be tested, and then the possibility of a rapid retracement will appear.
Therefore, I definitely do not recommend that you chase more in the future, there is no doubt about this. On the contrary, there are many people chasing more in the market at present. Seeing that gold has risen so much, they must think of retreating and going long. Therefore, tomorrow Friday, I suggest that you pay attention to the area around 2990. As long as this position can show a top structure signal in the Asian session, then don't hesitate to go short directly. Without saying too much, the first target can be seen at 2940-2930, or even 2920-2910.
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Gold accelerates to the top! The plunge alarm has soundedThe gold market has reached a critical point! Driven by the strong risk aversion sentiment, the price of gold has soared all the way, quickly breaking through many resistances and accelerating to the vicinity of 2985. However, if you look closely at the K-line chart, you will find that this round of rise is mainly stimulated by news, and there is strong resistance in the vicinity of 2985. Fortunately, we have already made arrangements. We have set the number of transactions reasonably before shorting. The current margin level is sufficient to support us in dealing with the current situation. At this time, it is a good time to increase positions. We can boldly increase positions and short in the 2977-2983 area, appropriately increase the number of transactions, lower the average price, and wait for gold to fall back to the 2940-2930 area. All positions will be decisively closed to achieve a turnaround, secure the bag, and lock in profits.
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GOLD(UPDATE)Hello friends
Considering that we are at a price ceiling and the power of buyers has decreased and we are witnessing the formation of lower ceilings, we can enter a sell transaction if the resistance level is not broken, of course with capital and risk management.
This analysis is reviewed only from a technical perspective.
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