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BTC's latest trading strategy and analysis layout#BTCUSD BTC's current technical signals show a bull-bear tug-of-war situation.If a golden cross is formed near the zero axis, it may indicate a new wave of rise; if it falls below the zero axis, we need to be wary of a deep correction. There are certain opportunities for both bulls and bears in the current market, but global regulatory policies have not yet been unified. Policies such as the US "GENIUS Act" may affect BTC and require continued attention. BTC is currently facing significant buying support around 117,500, but the hourly chart shows that there is still potential for a continued pullback. The current trend has not yet finished. Pay attention to the support level of 116,000 below. If it falls below, it may fall into the consolidation range of 116,000-114,000. For aggressive traders, consider going long at 117,500-116,500, with a target of 118,500-119,500. A break above this level could lead to 120,000. 🚀 117500-116500 🚀 118500-119500
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Halson_Winston
Gold price bottoming out?Market news: In early Asian trading on Tuesday (July 29), spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading around $3,320 per ounce. The international gold price fell to a three-week low on Monday, mainly because the United States and the European Union reached a trade agreement over the weekend, boosting the dollar and risk sentiment. In addition, Trump said that he would impose a "global tariff" of 15% to 20% on most countries, which was different from his statement last week. The dollar index rose to a one-week high, making gold relatively expensive for investors holding other currencies.The volatile downward trend of London gold prices was not only directly affected by the trade agreement reached between the United States and Europe, but also closely related to the strong rebound of the US dollar index, the recovery of global risk appetite and the market's expectations for the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy. At the same time, the progress of Sino-US trade negotiations, Trump's tough stance on Russia and the Middle East, and the continued tension in geopolitics still add more uncertainty to the future trend of the gold market.Gold is facing multiple tests: the three unfavorable factors of a strong dollar, a rebound in risk appetite, and a rise in real interest rates have formed a combined force. In addition, the US Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index for July and the US JOLTs job vacancy data for June will also be released on this trading day, and investors need to pay attention to them. Technical Review: The further strengthening of the US dollar index has caused gold to continue to adjust close to the 3300 mark under pressure. As the price crosses below the short-term moving average, the current short-term moving average and other periodic indicators have begun to turn downward, and the Bollinger Bands as a whole are also intended to shrink. In addition, the macd indicator has a dead cross pattern again and has no upward intention, and it has a strong downward extension and obvious volume. Therefore, the daily line should continue to tend to sell. However, while selling, we should also pay attention to the strength of the rebound.The daily chart closed with a continuous negative structure, and the price was running in the middle and lower tracks of the Bollinger Bands and below the MA10 daily moving average of 3360. The short-term four-hour chart hourly chart Bollinger Bands opened downward, and the moving average opened downward. In addition, the macd indicator maintained a dead cross pattern, and the downward volume showed sufficient potential, so the 4-hour gold price can continue to participate in selling at a high level after a short-term rebound, assisting low-price buying! Today's analysis: Gold bears are galloping all the way, and gold buying has basically no rebound strength. Gold is still in a selling trend. Go with the trend, the trend is king, and continue to sell with the trend. As long as gold does not show an obvious buy reversal signal, then the rebound is to continue to sell gold to the end.The gold 1-hour moving average continues to form a dead cross selling arrangement. The selling strength of gold is still very strong, and gold selling will continue to exert its strength. Gold rebounded to 3318 yesterday, which is still a weak rebound. The watershed for buying and selling gold is now at 3330. Gold rebounds above 3330 in the Asian session, which is an opportunity to sell at highs. Operation ideas: Buy short-term gold at 3300-3302, stop loss at 3292, target at 3330-3350; Sell short-term gold at 3330-3333, stop loss at 3342, target at 3300-3290; Key points: First support level: 3308, second support level: 3293, third support level: 3284 First resistance level: 3330, second resistance level: 3346, third resistance level: 3360
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by NicolaZhu
XAU/USD(20250729) Today's AnalysisMarket news: After gold prices soared to an all-time high of more than $3,500 an ounce in April, the latest report from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) showed that fund managers have increased their bullish bets to the highest level in 16 weeks. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 3320 Support and resistance levels: 3363 3347 3337 3303 3293 3277 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 3320, consider buying in, with the first target price of 3337 If the price breaks through 3303, consider selling in, with the first target price of 3293
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by NicolaZhu
Gold Price Rally: Why Hedge Funds Are Making Their Biggest Bet Glimmer of Gold: Why Hedge Funds Are Making Their Biggest Bullish Bet in Months In the complex and often turbulent theater of global finance, the movements of so-called "smart money" are watched with an eagle's eye. When these sophisticated players, particularly hedge funds, move in concert, it often signals a fundamental shift in market sentiment. Recently, a powerful signal has emerged from the depths of the commodities market: hedge funds have dramatically increased their bullish bets on gold, pushing their net long positions to a 16-week high. This aggressive positioning is not a random fluctuation; it is a calculated response to a potent cocktail of persistent geopolitical instability, simmering trade tensions, and a growing conviction that the global economic landscape is tilting in favor of the ultimate safe-haven asset. The surge in bullish sentiment represents a significant vote of confidence in the yellow metal. It suggests that some of the world's most well-resourced and analytically driven investors are looking past the daily noise of equity markets and are instead positioning themselves for a future where security, stability, and tangible value take precedence. They are not merely dipping their toes in the water; they are making a decisive, leveraged bet that the forces buffeting the global economy will continue to drive capital towards gold's enduring allure. This move has sent ripples across the financial world, prompting investors of all stripes to ask a critical question: What does the smart money see that we should be paying attention to? Decoding the Data: A Sharp Turn Towards Bullishness To understand the magnitude of this shift, one must look to the weekly Commitments of Traders (COT) report published by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). This report provides a detailed breakdown of positions in the futures markets, separating traders into different categories, including "Managed Money." This category, which primarily consists of hedge funds and commodity trading advisors, is a key barometer for speculative sentiment. The latest data reveals a sharp and decisive increase in bullish conviction. Hedge funds significantly ramped up their gross long positions—outright bets that the price of gold will rise. Simultaneously, they have been closing out their short positions—bets that the price will fall. The combination of these two actions has a powerful magnifying effect on the "net long" position, which is the difference between the number of long and short contracts. Reaching a 16-week high is particularly noteworthy. It indicates a reversal of previous caution or bearishness and the establishment of a new, more aggressive bullish trend. For months, hedge funds may have been hesitant, weighing the prospects of higher-for-longer interest rates against emerging geopolitical risks. The current data shows that the scales have tipped decisively. This isn't a gradual accumulation; it's a forceful pivot, suggesting a high degree of conviction in the upside potential for gold. This influx of speculative capital acts as a powerful tailwind for the gold price, creating upward pressure as more funds chase the emerging momentum. The Three Pillars of the Golden Thesis The coordinated move by hedge funds is not based on a single factor but on a confluence of three powerful, interlocking macro-economic and geopolitical narratives. Each pillar reinforces the others, creating a compelling case for holding gold. 1. The Unsettled World: Geopolitical Risk as a Prime Catalyst Gold has, for millennia, served as the ultimate barometer of fear. In times of peace and prosperity, its appeal can wane in favor of assets that offer growth and yield. But in an environment of escalating geopolitical tension, its value proposition becomes unparalleled. The current global landscape is rife with such tensions. Persistent conflicts in key regions continue to create uncertainty, threatening to disrupt energy supplies, shipping lanes, and international relations. The risk of these conflicts widening or drawing in other powers keeps a floor under the demand for haven assets. Beyond active conflicts, the world is witnessing a broader realignment of global power. The rise of multi-polarity and the challenging of the post-Cold War order create a backdrop of systemic instability. Furthermore, political uncertainty within major economies adds another layer of risk. Election cycles in dominant nations can lead to unpredictable policy shifts on everything from trade and taxation to international alliances. This policy uncertainty makes investors nervous, prompting them to allocate capital to assets that are insulated from the whims of any single government or political outcome. Gold, being a stateless monetary asset with no counterparty risk, is the natural recipient of these capital flows. Hedge funds are betting that these geopolitical undercurrents will not only persist but potentially intensify, making gold an essential portfolio hedge. 2. The Friction of Trade: A Drag on Global Growth The era of seamless globalization has given way to a period of strategic competition and trade friction. The ongoing trade disputes between the world's largest economic blocs, most notably the United States and China, have moved beyond mere rhetoric and are now an entrenched feature of the global economy. Tariffs, export controls, and national security-driven industrial policies are disrupting long-established supply chains and creating a more fragmented and less efficient global marketplace. This environment is a significant headwind for global economic growth. The uncertainty surrounding trade policy makes it difficult for businesses to make long-term investment decisions, dampening corporate spending and hiring. Slower global trade directly translates to slower economic growth, which in turn puts pressure on corporate earnings and equity valuations. In this context, gold shines. As an asset that does not rely on economic growth to generate returns, it acts as a valuable diversifier in a portfolio dominated by stocks and bonds. When growth falters, gold's role as a store of value becomes more pronounced. Hedge funds are positioning for a scenario where persistent trade tensions continue to weigh on the global economy, making riskier assets less attractive and defensive assets like gold more appealing. 3. The Central Bank Pivot: Anticipating Looser Money Perhaps the most powerful financial driver for gold is the outlook for monetary policy, particularly from the U.S. Federal Reserve. The price of gold has an inverse relationship with real interest rates (interest rates minus inflation). When real rates are high, the opportunity cost of holding a non-yielding asset like gold is also high, as investors can earn a handsome, risk-free return in government bonds. Conversely, when real rates are low or falling, the opportunity cost of holding gold diminishes, making it a more attractive investment. For the past couple of years, central banks have been in a fierce battle against inflation, raising interest rates at an aggressive pace. However, the market is now increasingly looking ahead to the next phase of the cycle: rate cuts. While the timing is still a matter of debate, the consensus is that the next major policy move from the Fed and other major central banks will be to lower rates to support a slowing economy. Hedge funds are front-running this anticipated pivot. They are accumulating gold now in expectation that falling interest rates in the future will provide a significant tailwind for its price. Even before the cuts materialize, the mere expectation of looser monetary policy is enough to fuel a rally. Furthermore, there is a persistent fear that central banks might make a policy error—either by keeping rates too high for too long and triggering a deep recession, or by cutting rates too soon and allowing inflation to become re-anchored. Either scenario is bullish for gold, which performs well during both economic downturns and periods of high inflation. This speculative demand from hedge funds is layered on top of a powerful, long-term structural trend: voracious buying from the world's central banks. For several years, central banks, particularly those in emerging markets like China, India, and Turkey, have been steadily diversifying their foreign reserves away from the U.S. dollar and into physical gold. This "de-dollarization" trend is a strategic move to reduce dependence on the U.S. financial system and to hold a neutral reserve asset in an increasingly fractured world. This consistent, price-insensitive buying from official institutions creates a strong and stable floor of demand for gold, providing hedge funds with the confidence to build their own large, speculative positions on top of it. Conclusion: A Resounding Vote for a Golden Future The sharp increase in bullish gold bets by hedge funds is more than just a statistic; it is a story about risk, fear, and the search for security in an uncertain world. It reflects a growing consensus among sophisticated investors that the confluence of geopolitical turmoil, economic friction, and an impending shift in monetary policy has created a uniquely favorable environment for the precious metal. These funds are acting as canaries in the coal mine, signaling a potential increase in market volatility and a flight to safety. Their aggressive positioning, backed by billions of dollars in capital, can become a self-fulfilling prophecy, driving prices higher and drawing in more waves of investors. As the world continues to grapple with deep-seated structural changes, the decision by the "smart money" to make its largest bullish wager on gold in months is a clear and resounding signal: in the quest for a safe harbor, all that glitters is, once again, gold.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by bryandowningqln
3300 may fall below, possibly setting a new low#XAUUSD From the daily chart perspective, gold has a tendency to form a converging triangle, and observing the technical indicators of the daily chart, the downward trend may have just begun📉. So, how should we plan for the evening?📊 Now there are certainly many outside buyers who will continue to increase their positions and try to recover their losses💰. So, should we continue to be long?📈 My opinion is to wait and see.👀 If the daily chart does not fall below 3300 points, it will consolidate between 3300 and 3350 points in the future. If it falls below 3300 points, we will next focus on the support level of 3295-3285 points, and then consider whether to go long🤔. If you are more aggressive, you can consider going long near 3305 points and exit after earning $10-20. All opinions have been informed and everyone can choose to adopt them according to their own circumstances.😄
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Halson_Winston
Monday market forecast and analysis ideas#XAUUSD There will be a lot of data next week, such as the 8.1 tariff deadline that I have repeatedly emphasized, the Federal Reserve decision, NFP data, etc. It can be said that it is relatively difficult to analyze purely from a technical perspective, because there is uncertainty in many data, the data results are often non-linearly correlated with market reactions (good news does not necessarily lead to a rise, and bad news does not necessarily lead to a fall), and large fluctuations can easily form oscillating K-lines with long upper and lower shadows. Therefore, the first arrangement for next week is to participate in trading with a light position and avoid letting emotions control your thinking. The closing price on Friday was near 3337, proving that the short-term judgment on the rebound momentum of gold is correct, so there are two possible situations on Monday. 1. The first thing we need to pay attention to is 3345-3350 to determine whether it constitutes a short-term pressure level. The weekly line closed with a negative cross star. Combined with the monthly line trend, in terms of support, focus on the trend line support near this week's low of 3325. If this position is not broken, the market is expected to usher in a wave of rebound; if it falls below 3325, the bottom may look to 3310 or even 3295 for support. 2. The rebound momentum of Friday continued on Monday, breaking through 3350 first, and then it is possible to reach the previous high resistance area of 3370-3380. If it encounters resistance here, gold will continue to fall and fluctuate, and the target may even be 3310. If the price remains strong and issues such as interest rate cuts and tariffs are imminent, it means that the short-term downward trend has ended and may even set a new high. The above content is only a forecast for Monday’s market. It will be greatly affected by data and news, and may be adjusted in real time next week based on intraday trends. You can refer to this, but remember not to be swayed by emotions. We will participate with a light position, and the specific trading strategy can wait for my trading signal.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Halson_Winston
Still a chance for gold bulls? 💡Message Strategy The gold market was volatile this week, and gold prices ultimately closed lower for the week. Gold prices have failed to stabilize above $3,400 an ounce after a bullish breakout. The technical outlook highlights the recent indecision of gold bulls. Looking ahead to next week, the Fed's policy statement and US-China trade talks could trigger the next big move for gold. These important factors may trigger the market next week 1. The Fed will announce its monetary policy decision after its policy meeting on July 29-30. Before the Fed meeting, the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis will release its first estimate of annualized growth in gross domestic product (GDP) in the second quarter. 2. Next Friday, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the July employment report. If the non-farm payrolls (NFP) increase by more than 100,000, it may indicate that the labor market is in good enough condition for the Fed to prioritize controlling inflation and support the dollar when making policies. If the new non-farm payrolls data reaches or falls below 70,000, the dollar may find it difficult to find demand before the end of next week and help gold gain bullish momentum. 3. Market participants will be closely watching the headlines of the US-China negotiations. If the two sides make further progress in trade and economic relations, risk flows may dominate the actions of financial markets, making it difficult for gold to find demand. 📊Technical aspects The short-term technical outlook highlights the hesitation among gold buyers. The daily chart shows that the relative strength index (RSI) remains just below 50, and gold is struggling to move away from both the 20-day simple moving average (SMA) and the 50-day SMA after breaking above both levels earlier this week. If the price of gold falls to the key support level of $3,310 and fails to break down (trend line support/Fibonacci 61.8% retracement level), it will force a large number of shorts to exit the market and may further test the $3,340 range (psychological level/Fibonacci 76.4% retracement level). Combined with the current trend, the downward momentum of gold has weakened, and it is seeking support to restart the long position 💰Strategy Package Long Position:3310-3320，SL：3290，Target: 3340
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TheodoreSilas
XAU/USD(20250728) Today's AnalysisMarket news: Trump announced that the US and Europe reached a trade agreement: 15% tariffs on the EU, $600 billion in investment in the US, zero tariffs on the US by EU countries, the EU will purchase US military equipment, and will purchase US energy products worth $750 billion. However, the US and Europe have different statements on whether the 15% tariff agreement covers medicines and steel and aluminum. Von der Leyen: The 15% tariff rate is the best result that the European Commission can achieve. US Secretary of Commerce: The deadline for tariff increases on August 1 will not be extended. The United States will determine the tariff policy on chips within two weeks. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 3345 Support and resistance levels: 3393 3375 3363 3326 3315 3297 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 3345, consider buying in, the first target price is 3363 If the price breaks through 3326, consider selling in, the first target price is 3315
OANDA:XAUUSD
by NicolaZhu
Analysis of gold price trend next week!Market news: This week, international gold recorded its biggest weekly decline in a month. Spot gold turned sharply lower after a sharp rise and finally closed lower. Signs of progress in US-EU trade negotiations hit the safe-haven demand for London gold prices. Geopolitical situation is also a factor in the downward trend of gold prices. On the 25th local time, Tahir Noonu, a senior Hamas official, said that Hamas was absolutely positive about the efforts of the relevant mediators, but was surprised by the US statement. Before the United States and the European Union made progress in trade negotiations, fund managers raised their bullish bets on gold to the highest level since April this year. The trade war has pushed gold prices up 27% this year. Although the easing of trade tensions will weaken safe-haven demand, gold has also been supported by strong buying from central banks.Next week, international gold prices will focus on US-EU and US-China trade negotiations. If the negotiations are optimistic, gold prices may continue to test the $3,300/ounce mark; in addition, focus on the Federal Reserve's resolution. After Trump's visit to the Federal Reserve headquarters, whether the Federal Reserve will maintain its independence will be highlighted in this resolution. Non-agricultural data will also be released on Friday, which needs attention. Technical Review: From the weekly gold level, gold is still in a wide range of 3500-3120. It has been fluctuating for ten weeks. The Bollinger Bands are gradually shrinking. MA5 and MA10 are running horizontally, indicating that gold fluctuations will continue. This time, gold stabilized and rose from 3247 to 3438 and then fell back. The current short-term range is 3247-3438! Next week, pay attention to the range of fluctuations and choose a new direction after the narrowing. The daily level is currently in the 4th wave adjustment. There is a high probability that there will be a 5th wave rise after the adjustment, and then a large-scale ABC adjustment will be started. At present, there are two changes in the structure of the 4th wave, one is the triangle contraction and the other is the ABC structure. No matter how it runs, the market outlook is to wait for low-level long positions to see the 5th wave rise. In the short term, gold is still oscillating and selling. Next week's analysis: Gold is still adjusting, but it has basically adjusted in place. The current daily price has also adjusted to the key support level of 3300. Similarly, the four-hour chart just stepped back to the upward trend line support, which is the short-term long order entry. Buy above the 3300 mark next week! Next week, gold is expected to further test the 3310-3280 support level. Gold at the 4-hour level peaked at 3438 and then fell back. It has now formed a unilateral trend. The K-line is under pressure from the 5-day moving average and continues to set new lows, and breaks the short-term upward trend line. The Bollinger band opens downward and diverges, and the MACD water cross diverges downward to underwater, indicating that the current gold trend is in an absolute weak position! Next, gold will continue to test the support near the previous low of 3300. If 3300 is not broken, gold buying will continue to have momentum. If 3300 is broken, the short-term rise will end, and the subsequent rebound will basically be just a correction. However, the current 4-hour green column shows signs of shrinking volume, so it is not easy to sell at a low level. Try to sell after the rebound correction, or buy at a low level! Operation ideas: Short-term gold 3305-3308 buy, stop loss 3297, target 3350-3370; Short-term gold 3350-3353 sell, stop loss 3362, target 3320-3300; Key points: First support level: 3320, second support level: 3309, third support level: 3300 First resistance level: 3346, second resistance level: 3360, third resistance level: 3375
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by NicolaZhu
XAU/USD) bullish the support Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of (XAU/USD) on the 4-hour timeframe, indicating a potential bounce from a key trendline support within a rising channel. --- Analysis Summary Pair: XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs. USD) Timeframe: 4H Current Price: 3,338.715 Bias: Bullish rebound within ascending channel --- Key Technical Elements 1. Ascending Channel: Price has been respecting a well-defined rising channel, bouncing between support and resistance levels. 2. Key Support Zone: The yellow highlighted area marks a critical support level and lower boundary of the channel. Also intersects with the trendline, strengthening the potential for a bounce. 3. 200 EMA (Dynamic Support): The 200 EMA at 3,343.616 lies just below current price, acting as a dynamic support level. 4. RSI (14): RSI is around 34.93, nearing the oversold zone, suggesting a buying opportunity may be near. --- Target Points First Target: 3,402.099 Second Target: 3,446.661 --- Trade Idea Direction Entry Zone Stop-Loss Target Zones Buy 3,330–3,345 Below 3,320 3,402 / 3,446 Mr SMC Trading point --- Summary Gold is currently testing a key support level and ascending trendline. If price holds above this area, we can expect a bullish rebound toward 3,400–3,446 levels, aligning with the upper channel resistance. Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SMC-Trading-Point
16
Gold is weak. Beware of lows.On Thursday, the dollar index ended a four-day losing streak thanks to the progress of the fund between the United States and its trading partners. As signs of easing global trade tensions curbed demand for safe-haven assets, gold fell for the second consecutive trading day, and yesterday it hit the 3350 bottom support level. From the 4-hour chart although it rebounded to the 3370-3380 range after hitting 3350. But it can be found that the current rebound is actually weak, and it is still maintained at 3360-70 for rectification. At present, the bottom of the 4-hour bottom is absolutely supported at 3340-3335. The rebound high is around 3375. As of now, gold has not rebounded above 3375, and gold is actually in a weak position. Secondly, from the hourly chart, the weakness is even more obvious. The high point on Thursday was around 3395. Today's current high point is around 3375. It can be seen that if the bottom falls below the 618 position 3350 again, it will directly touch around 3335. It coincides with the target position of 3340-3335 in the previous 4-hour chart. Therefore, it is not possible to buy the bottom and go long today. Be alert to the possibility of further touching 3340-3335.
FX:XAUUSD
by quaid_2
Has the price of gold peaked in the short term?Market news: On Friday (July 25), London gold prices fell for two consecutive days under the dual pressure of global trade optimism and strong economic data. During the session, it once approached the psychological mark of US$3,350/ounce. The spot gold price fell sharply again, reflecting the easing of global trade tensions and the demand for safe-haven assets. The US dollar and US Treasury yields rose, which also hit the gold trend. In addition, rising stock markets and low volatility suppressed the upward momentum of international gold. The unexpected improvement in US labor market data further pushed up the US dollar and US Treasury yields, and the international market brought significant downward pressure on gold prices. At the same time, President Trump’s rare visit to the Federal Reserve and the market’s close attention to the Federal Reserve’s interest rate policy have added more uncertainty to the gold market. Looking ahead, the market’s attention is turning to the upcoming US durable goods orders data. As an important indicator of manufacturing activity and economic health, durable goods orders data may provide new clues to the trend of gold prices. Investors need to pay close attention to two key time points: one is the subtle changes in the Fed’s inflation statement at the July 30 interest rate meeting; the other is the final details of the US-EU agreement before the August 1 tariff deadline. Technical review: From the daily chart of gold, after three consecutive positive days, the price of gold fell under pressure. The daily K-line closed negatively. From the technical indicators, the MA5-MA10 moving averages and MACD formed a golden cross, but the red kinetic energy column gradually shortened, which means that the bulls lacked stamina. KDJ crossed downward in the middle position, indicating that the upward momentum was exhausted, which was a weak signal in the short term! Technical aspects：the daily chart of gold adjusted and repaired, and the MA10 daily moving average was 3365. In the early morning, it formed a bottoming out and rebounded, stopping at the 3351/50 mark, and then pulled up above 3377. The MA10/7-day moving average continued to open upward, and the RSI stopped above the middle axis. In the short-term four-hour chart and hourly chart, the gold price is in the middle and lower track of the Bollinger band channel, and the moving average is glued. On Friday, the idea of shocks is to sell high and buy low for short-term participation. Pay attention to the 3352/3392 range during the day! Today's analysis: Gold continued to fall yesterday. Our friend circle of the US market 3377 prompted direct shorting and fell as expected. Although there was a rebound, the rebound of gold was just to repair the market. The selling of gold has not ended yet. The rebound is an opportunity to continue selling. Sell directly above 3370 during the day!The 1-hour moving average of gold continues to turn downward. If a dead cross is formed, the downward space of gold will be further opened. Gold will still have room to fall. Gold rebounded in the US market yesterday and still faced the resistance of 3377. It continued to go short at highs after rebounding below 3377 in the Asian market. If it cannot even reach 3377 today, it will be a weak rebound, and gold selling will be more like a fish in water. Operation ideas: Buy short-term gold at 3345-3348, stop loss at 3337, target at 3370-3390; Sell short-term gold at 3374-3377, stop loss at 3386, target at 3350-3330; Key points: First support level: 3350, second support level: 3342, third support level: 3323 First resistance level: 3375, second resistance level: 3390, third resistance level: 3406
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by NicolaZhu
Gold fluctuated downward. Or it will continue.Gold was blocked near 3393 in the early trading on Thursday and began to fluctuate and fall, falling to 3351 as low as possible, then stopped falling and rose, and after rebounding near 3377, it was blocked and fell back to 3370 and fluctuated up and down, and the daily line closed with a negative line. After three consecutive positive rises from last Friday to Tuesday this week, gold ushered in a turning point on Wednesday. On Thursday, it continued to fall and broke through the 5-day and 10-day moving averages, and the short-term market weakened. From the overall structure, the rising channel since June 26 remains valid. The highs on Tuesday and Wednesday approached the upper edge of the channel and then fell. The current price turned to fall and approached the lower edge of the channel. There are two key positions for the support below: the first support level is near 3345, which is the lower edge support of the current rising channel; the second support level is near 3325, which is the trend line support formed by the connection of the previous low points. From the 4-hour chart, the 3351 low point and the rebound resistance level can be used as a reference for today's long-short game. The breaking of key support and resistance will determine the trend direction of the next stage. Operation strategy: Short near 3375, stop loss 3385, profit range 3350-3330 Long near 3330, stop loss 3320, profit range 3350-3370
FX:XAUUSDShort
by quaid_2
XAU/USD(20250725) Today's AnalysisMarket news: The European Central Bank announced that it would maintain the three key interest rates unchanged, reiterated data dependence, warned that the external environment is highly uncertain, and President Lagarde did not rule out the possibility of future rate hikes. Traders reduced their bets on ECB rate cuts. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 3370 Support and resistance levels 3412 3397 3386 3355 3344 3329 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 3370, consider buying in, with the first target price of 3386 If the price breaks through 3355, consider selling in, with the first target price of 3344
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by NicolaZhu
Gold failed to break through three times, short-term bearish? 💡Message Strategy Gold's decline today means the second consecutive day of decline as investors turn their attention to more positive trade developments since yesterday. However, gold still received buying support earlier this week and briefly broke through $3,400. This round of gains tested key resistance levels on the gold daily chart, but ultimately the bears held their ground. This is the third time in nearly three months that gold has tried to break through the $3,430 to $3,435 resistance area, but all failed. 📊Technical aspects Gold’s latest decline this week has brought the price back into a range-bound trading state between key hourly moving averages. This means that the short-term trend has become more neutral. This shows that the upward momentum has clearly weakened and buyers need to regain short-term dominance before they can hope to challenge the key resistance area mentioned earlier again. Currently, the 200 hourly moving average near $3,365 provides support to the downside. If the price can hold this level, it will indicate that buyers are still holding on and waiting for the next upside opportunity. Combined with the current 1H chart trend analysis, there is still a great chance of a bullish pullback in gold in the short term. 💰Strategy Package Long Position:3360-3365，SL：3340，Target: 3380-3400
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TheodoreSilas
Gold fell as expected, can it reverse?📰 News information： 1. Initial unemployment claims data 📈 Technical Analysis： Gold has made a profit retracement correction as expected. The two-day rising market has led to an overly bullish sentiment in the market. Under this pattern, it is very easy to trigger an unexpected reversal trend, which is often a key opportunity to break the psychological defense line of retail investors in the market. From the bottom of gold at 3244 to the high of 3439 this week, it can be found that the current 38.2% support position is near 3364. Moreover, the current daily SMA10 moving average position is also near 3364, SMA30 and the middle track of the Bollinger Band are near 3343, and SMA60 is near 3330. From the daily line, if the daily line can stand above 3364, then there is still a possibility of refreshing the high of 3438 in the future. On the other hand, if the daily line falls below 3364, then 3438 may become the high point in July. If there is a rebound in the morning, then 3384 in the white session will be the bottom support, and short positions must be participated in the European and American sessions. If the downward trend continues in the morning, there will be an opportunity to participate in long orders around 3370. At the same time, the possibility of further decline and reaching the middle line of 3343 cannot be ruled out. At the same time, if the 4H chart can form a head and shoulders top pattern, then the intraday long rebound point will not exceed 3410. Therefore, on the whole, if it falls directly, it can be considered to go long when it first touches 3375-3365, and the target is 3390-3400; if the intraday decline is strong, the second trading opportunity is below 3355-3345, and the target is $10-20 before exiting. 🎯 Trading Points： BUY 3375-3365 TP 3390-3400 In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Allenbrowser-3
Gold------sell near 3392, target 3370-3350Gold market analysis: Yesterday, gold in the European and American markets plunged directly. It is cold at high places. Gold has already experienced four big plunges above 3435. From the perspective of form, there is a super pressure there. We also reminded in the analysis yesterday that the rhythm of gold daily lines in the past two days has changed very quickly, and it is all shocks and then quickly pulls up and ends directly. It is basically difficult to follow its rhythm without direct pursuit. The big negative line of the daily line has destroyed the strong support near 3402-3404. This position has been converted into a new strong pressure. Today's idea is to adjust the bearish trend and continue to sell on the rebound. The adjustment of the daily line is not sure whether it is an adjustment of the wave structure, but it can be determined to sell in the short term. We are just a trend follower. Today, gold will not rebound above 3402 and is basically weak. Gold plunged directly in the Asian session, and the selling force is still relatively strong. At present, the new low strong support of the daily line has not appeared. The next moving average support of the daily line is around 3366. I estimate that there will be a rebound at this position. If the hourly Asian session does not fall and rebounds first, consider continuing to sell it at 3395 and 3402. Gold likes to convert quickly recently. If it stands on 3404, it will be reconsidered. Support 3374, 3366 and 3350, suppress 3395 and 3402, and the weak watershed before the market is 3395. Fundamental analysis: Tariffs have not affected the market recently, and there is no major news released. The market is relatively calm. Operation suggestion: Gold------sell near 3392, target 3370-3350
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by NicolaZhu
Gold prices plunge in the short term!Market news: In the early Asian session on Thursday (July 24), spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading around $3,388 per ounce. International gold suffered a fierce sell-off after a sharp rise in the previous two trading days. Media reports said that the United States and the European Union were getting closer to reaching a tariff agreement, and the news hit safe-haven demand. The decline in London gold prices was mainly due to the dual pressure of easing macro-geopolitical tensions and the recovery of risk appetite.Although the Federal Reserve is expected to keep interest rates unchanged, the controversy surrounding the independence of the Federal Reserve is heating up. According to a recent Reuters survey, most economists believe that the Federal Reserve is currently facing unprecedented political pressure, which provides potential medium- and long-term support for gold. However, in the short term, as the resilience of US economic data emerges and market risk sentiment improves, investors are cautious about the Federal Reserve's expectations of a sharp interest rate cut this year, and gold has lost the momentum to further attack.The current market focuses on the progress of trade negotiations between major economies in the world and the upcoming Federal Reserve interest rate meeting. Against the backdrop of the implementation of the US-EU and US-Japan agreements, the short-term safe-haven properties of gold may continue to weaken. In addition, this trading day will usher in the July PMI data of European and American countries, the change in the number of initial jobless claims in the United States, the annualized total number of new home sales in the United States in June, and the interest rate decision of the European Central Bank! Technical Review: Affected by Trump's speech, the United States reached an agreement with more trading partners, and the market risk aversion cooled down. Gold plunged sharply to a new low of 3381 in the late trading. The technical daily structure closed with a single negative line, ending the strong form of the continuous positive structure. However, the daily MA10/7-day moving average still maintained a golden cross opening upward, moving up to 3378/67. The price is currently adjusted at the 5-day moving average of 3390, and the RSI indicator is running above the middle axis. The price is in the upper and middle track of the Bollinger band. The short-term four-hour chart retreated to the middle track of the Bollinger band at 3380 and stopped falling, and the RSI indicator adjusted its middle axis. The moving average high at 3410 opened downward in a dead cross, and the short-term gold price fell into a wide range of shocks. Today's trading strategy is to sell at high prices and buy at low prices. The strategy layout is based on fluctuations. Let's look at the 3366/3416 range first. Today's analysis: Yesterday, gold fell straight in the European and American trading hours, with a drop of more than 50 US dollars. The main reason is the impact of European and American tariffs. Last night, the European and American trade negotiations determined a 15% tariff. The market's risk aversion sentiment subsided, causing the gold price to fall. The gold daily line finally closed with a big negative line, and the gold daily line was covered with dark clouds! The rebound during the day is mainly sold at high prices!The high level of the gold 1-hour moving average has begun to turn around. The buying power of gold has obviously suffered a heavy blow under the influence of the news. The short-term high level of gold 1 has also formed a head and shoulders top structure. As long as the gold rebound does not break through 3400, the right shoulder of gold will be completed. Then gold will complete the short-term top structure of the head and shoulders top in the short term, and gold selling will begin to work. Operation ideas: Short-term gold 3366-3369 buy, stop loss 3358, target 3390-3410; Short-term gold 3400-3403 sell, stop loss 3412, target 3380-3360; Key points: First support level: 3380, second support level: 3367, third support level: 3353 First resistance level: 3403, second resistance level: 3410, third resistance level: 3420
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by NicolaZhu
Gold-----Buy around 3400-3410, target 3430-3450Gold market analysis: The current highest gold buying has reached around 3438, which is the daily pressure level. This position is the high ground position that has touched the top many times before. The time to buy at these positions will not be long. There have been many dives before. However, as far as the current trend is concerned, the general trend is still buying, and short-term operations still have to buy. The daily buying is still not enough and closed positive again. The daily moving average began to diverge. Today's idea is to follow the buying first. I estimate that gold will enter a large game structure repair below 3451. In theory, short-term buying can be done, but the difficulty of intercepting on both sides will be more. You can keep buying at a low price in the short term. If it breaks 3400, it will turn weak. Our idea is to find buying opportunities above 3400-3410. The previous pattern was near 3405, and the daily moving average position was near 3390. The time and space for repair will be very large. If it breaks 3400, we need to think about whether it will enter a large technical adjustment. Support 3400-3405, small support 3409, suppression 3438, 3445, 3451, the strength and weakness dividing line 3402. Fundamental analysis: Recently, it is all regular data, there is no big fundamentals and new news that can affect the market. Operation suggestion: Gold-----Buy around 3400-3410, target 3430-3450
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by NicolaZhu
Gold surges! Gold prices soar!Market news: In the early Asian session on Wednesday (July 23), spot gold fell slightly and is currently trading around $3,422/oz. Supported by the increasing uncertainty in global trade, the downward trend in U.S. Treasury yields and the weakening of the U.S. dollar, spot gold rose strongly, hitting a five-week high. The market's tension over the August 1 deadline for the implementation of U.S. President Trump's tariffs has intensified, driving safe-haven funds to continue to flow into the international gold market. Investors are focusing on the progress of the U.S. multilateral trade negotiations and the new round of tariffs that the Trump administration is about to launch: while the demand for safe-haven assets has increased, the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield has fallen to a two-week low, further enhancing the attractiveness of non-interest-bearing gold. The global economic slowdown, expectations of loose monetary policy and geopolitical risks will continue to support gold's status as a safe-haven asset. Looking ahead to the market this week, the market focuses on: the Fed's FOMC policy meeting will be held next week. Although the meeting is expected to keep interest rates unchanged, investors have begun to bet on the possibility of a rate cut in October; Fed Vice Chairman Bowman reiterated on Tuesday that the central bank should maintain policy independence, and Powell's upcoming policy meeting may release further signals; in terms of inflation, as signs of tariff costs being transmitted to consumer goods emerge, Powell has previously warned that inflation may accelerate again in the summer. Technical Review: Gold maintained its expected bulls and hit a new high yesterday. The daily line maintained a long-term structure of consecutive positive bulls. The MA10/7-day moving average opened upward, and the RSI indicator ran above the central axis. The Bollinger Bands of the hourly and four-hour charts opened upward, the price maintained the middle and upper track channel, and the moving average system opened upward. The idea of gold trading remains unchanged, and the layout is mainly based on buying at a low price and selling at a high price. After a sharp rise last night, gold began to fluctuate at a high level in the second half of the night, and the adjustment was very small, which means that the market is still the strong market. The recent pattern of gold price fluctuations and rises remains. Since it is fluctuating upward, the overall trend of gold today is still biased towards buying, but we need to be alert to the risk of short-term corrections. It is recommended to arrange buy orders based on technical support levels, and pay attention to trade policies and the Fed's trends! Today's analysis: Gold buying has been as strong as a rainbow in the past two days, and it is also a buying carnival. Gold is now buying strongly and the momentum is winning. Once the trend is formed, it is necessary to follow the trend. Now the trend of gold buying is very obvious, constantly refreshing the recent highs, so continue to buy gold to the end, and continue to buy if it rises. Continue to buy if it falls during the day! The gold 1-hour moving average continues to form a golden cross upward buying arrangement. The gold buying power is still there, and gold continues to exert its strength. Gold has risen step by step in the past two days. As long as there is no sharp decline, it is accumulating momentum to attack. The gold support continues to move up. Now it has broken through and stabilized at the 3400 line. If gold falls back to 3400, it can still be bought at low prices. Operation ideas: Short-term gold 3400-3403 buy, stop loss 3392, target 3420-3440; Short-term gold 3438-3441 sell, stop loss 3450, target 3400-3380; Key points: First support level: 3412, second support level: 3403, third support level: 3390 First resistance level: 3438, second resistance level: 3450, third resistance level: 3468
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by NicolaZhu
2
Gold breaks new high, expect a pullback in the evening#XAUUSD After the rapid rise of the previous day, the gold market has fallen into an overbought state, but yesterday's increase of nearly $60 still provided solid support for the bulls. It is expected that the market will show repeated fluctuations in the future⚖️. In terms of operation, it is recommended to pay close attention to the gains and losses of the 3,400 mark. If it is successfully broken through, it is expected to further test the 3,420-3,425 and 3,450 lines; on the downside, pay attention to the top and bottom conversion support of 3,403📈. 📊At present, you can consider shorting near 3430, defending 3440, and aiming at 3410💡 🚀SELL 3430-3440 🚀TP 3415-3405
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Halson_Winston
Gold is often bullish and bearish, with a focus on the 3411 wate Gold prices hit a five-week high of $3,439 an ounce on Wednesday before turning lower on profit-taking and a rebound in the dollar. However, from a technical perspective, the path of least resistance for gold prices still appears to be to the upside. Looking ahead, trade and political developments will continue to play a key role in gold price movements, while traders will also be keeping a close eye on the feud between Trump and Fed Chairman Powell. Why did gold return to $3,400? Reasons explained! 1 As investors continue to focus on U.S. President Trump's August 1 tariff deadline, trade uncertainty and weaker U.S. Treasury yields have pushed gold prices to a five-week high. At the same time, trade uncertainty is also triggering some safe-haven demand. 2 Meanwhile, investors are also preparing for the Fed meeting next week. Although the Fed is expected to keep interest rates unchanged, the market expects that the Fed may cut interest rates in October. Gold is traditionally seen as a hedge in uncertain times and tends to perform well in a low-interest rate environment. What do you think of today's gold trend! Today, gold rose to 3439 and then continued to fluctuate sideways. At present, gold has been fluctuating and weakening near 3420. Relatively speaking, the trend is still strong, but the trend has not continued to break through the high point. In this trend, it is actually unwise to chase the rise. At present, we still have to wait for the market sentiment to be fully mobilized before continuing to operate! The hourly line is still the view of the previous post. Near 3411 is the key position for the second bullish today. Unfortunately, the fluctuation has been fluctuating around 15 points today, and the amplitude of the fluctuation has slowed down. It is still necessary to wait quietly. After all, under the current situation of large repetitiveness, it is not easy to enter the market at a good point and there is a high probability that there will be no good profit margin. If there are other changes later, I will give them in real-time guidance! Gold: More near 3411, defend below 3403, and the target is 3440-50!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by jiqeu1
XAU/USD) Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe. Here's a breakdown of the key trading --- Technical Overview Price: $3,428.71 (currently near the upper consolidation) EMA 200: Around $3,367.38 (well below price, indicating strong uptrend) Target Point: $3,468.52 Indicators: RSI (14): 60.19–62.55 → shows moderate bullish momentum, not yet overbought. --- Key Technical Elements 1. Bullish Breakout Structure: Price has broken out of a previous range, and is forming a bullish flag or rectangle, which typically leads to continuation higher. Measured move projection from previous leg (approx. $51.57 gain) targets the $3,468.52 level. 2. Strong Support Zones: Two yellow zones highlighted: Upper support level (around $3,415): acting as immediate structure support. Lower key support (around $3,380): crucial structure level from where the trend initiated. 3. Trend Line Support: A clearly marked ascending trend line supporting higher lows—indicating bulls are in control. Expect price to stay above this trend line to maintain bullish bias. 4. Volume & RSI Confirmation: RSI remains in a bullish zone but isn’t overbought → leaves room for upside. Volume remains steady, confirming healthy consolidation. Mr SMC Trading point --- Conclusion & Trade Idea Bias: Bullish Entry Zone: On breakout or retest of minor support ($3,415–$3,420) Stop Loss: Below trendline or below $3,415 Target: $3,468.52 Confirmation: Hold above trendline + RSI staying above 50 This is a classic bullish continuation setup supported by structure, RSI, and trend momentum. Traders could look for buying opportunities on minor dips or trendline retests. --- Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by SMC-Trading-Point
10