XAU/USD) Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe. Here's a breakdown of the key trading
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Technical Overview
Price: $3,428.71 (currently near the upper consolidation)
EMA 200: Around $3,367.38 (well below price, indicating strong uptrend)
Target Point: $3,468.52
Indicators:
RSI (14): 60.19–62.55 → shows moderate bullish momentum, not yet overbought.
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Key Technical Elements
1. Bullish Breakout Structure:
Price has broken out of a previous range, and is forming a bullish flag or rectangle, which typically leads to continuation higher.
Measured move projection from previous leg (approx. $51.57 gain) targets the $3,468.52 level.
2. Strong Support Zones:
Two yellow zones highlighted:
Upper support level (around $3,415): acting as immediate structure support.
Lower key support (around $3,380): crucial structure level from where the trend initiated.
3. Trend Line Support:
A clearly marked ascending trend line supporting higher lows—indicating bulls are in control.
Expect price to stay above this trend line to maintain bullish bias.
4. Volume & RSI Confirmation:
RSI remains in a bullish zone but isn’t overbought → leaves room for upside.
Volume remains steady, confirming healthy consolidation.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Conclusion & Trade Idea
Bias: Bullish
Entry Zone: On breakout or retest of minor support ($3,415–$3,420)
Stop Loss: Below trendline or below $3,415
Target: $3,468.52
Confirmation: Hold above trendline + RSI staying above 50
This is a classic bullish continuation setup supported by structure, RSI, and trend momentum. Traders could look for buying opportunities on minor dips or trendline retests.
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Goldpreis
XAU/USD) breakout analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of (XAU/USD) on the 4-hour timeframe, highlighting a move toward the $3,450 target. Here's the full technical breakdown
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Technical Analysis – Gold (4H)
1. Breakout from Resistance Zone
Price has broken above a key horizontal resistance level (now turned support, marked in yellow).
The breakout is confirmed by a strong bullish candle with momentum, suggesting buyers are in control.
2. Ascending Triangle Formation
Price formed an ascending triangle, a classic bullish continuation pattern.
The breakout above the upper boundary confirms the pattern, projecting a potential measured move.
3. Trendline Support & Higher Lows
The structure shows a rising trendline (black), where price bounced multiple times — confirming a higher low sequence.
The confluence of trendline support + breakout level adds strength to the bullish case.
4. 200 EMA Confluence
The 200-period EMA (3,332.13) has been acting as a dynamic support throughout.
Price retested it earlier in the move, then surged upward — validating trend continuation.
5. RSI Indicator
RSI is at 71.13, entering overbought territory.
This implies strong bullish momentum, but a short-term pullback to retest the breakout level is possible.
6. Target Projection
Target Point: $3,450.90, calculated from the height of the triangle (~61 pts or 1.80%) added above the breakout zone.
A retest of the breakout area (yellow zone) around $3,370–$3,380 could offer a better entry before continuation.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Summary
Bias: Bullish
Current Price: $3,397.62
Support: $3,370–$3,380 zone (previous resistance turned support)
Trend: Higher lows + breakout above resistance
EMA Support: 200 EMA at $3,332.13
Target: $3,450.90
RSI: 71.13 – bullish but near overbought
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Gold safe-haven retreat? It will continue to rise!
Why did gold return to 3,400? Reasons explained!
1 As investors continue to focus on US President Trump's August 1 tariff deadline, trade uncertainty and weaker US Treasury yields have pushed gold prices to a five-week high. At the same time, trade uncertainty is also triggering some safe-haven demand.
2 At the same time, investors are also preparing for the Federal Reserve meeting next week. Although the Fed is expected to keep interest rates unchanged, the market expects that the Fed may cut interest rates in October. Gold is traditionally seen as a hedge tool in uncertain times and tends to perform well in a low-interest rate environment.
Views on today's gold trend!
After two consecutive days of rising this week, the sentiment of gold bulls has basically been ignited. There has been basically no obvious retracement in the past few days. Either it is a slow rise in a row, or it is a direct acceleration of the rise after sideways fluctuations. After the first wave of highs at the opening today, the market is still at a rising node!
The watershed of the retracement on the hourly chart is still the break point of 3403, but it is too far from our current position to enter the market at this position. In addition, the current continuous rise of gold and the turning of the moving average have made the market bulls more aggressive, which means that the previous short-term downward trend has ended. The point of today's retracement layout can focus on the vicinity of 3412!
Gold: Long near 3411, defend below 3403, and target 3440-50!
XAUUSD: Fluctuation of $30/ounce. Do you want to know?Yesterday, I frantically notified followers to buy around 3366-3375, and the market finally rose to 3430. This is a huge profit. I will continue to update it in the Band Trading Center Research Institute later. If you don’t want to miss it, follow me. If you see it but are still not sure how to trade. Then you can leave me a message at the Swing Trading Center Research Institute. I will reply to you one by one when I see it.
This week, some followers have achieved weekly profits of 50%-268%. If your profit is not ideal. Or don’t know how to trade. Remember to like and follow. I will lead everyone to victory.
Buy around 3400-3410. When will it close? I will post the results on the Swing Trading Center. Stay tuned.
The bull market of xauusd continues, buy and wait for the rise.As predicted in the band trading center in advance over the weekend. The daily level trend is still very stable, and the breakthrough trend has been perfectly carried out. The current quotation is 3388. It is only a matter of time before it rises wildly to the position of 3430. The short-term will definitely break through. The current bull market is clear and has huge potential. The limit of the triangle consolidation phase is about to be broken. Then the bulls will continue to rise. Therefore, buying is the key operation plan.
XAUUSD:Retracement is a buying opportunityAfter the Asian market hit the highest position of 3403, there was some decline. The current gold price is 3386. From the short-term trend of the hourly level. It is still fluctuating at a high level. Combined with the trend of the daily level, there are signs of retracement and counterattack. There is no news dominance. It is purely a technical repair after hitting the high. This retracement can pay attention to the support near 3382-3378. The London and New York markets are still based on buying and profit.
Don't chase the bullish trend,wait for the short position layout#XAUUSD
The tariff policy recently announced by the US government is undoubtedly the focus of the current gold market. Trump also tied the tariffs to the trial of former Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro, adding to policy uncertainty. ⚖️
The implementation of the tariff policy may push up commodity prices, thereby exacerbating inflationary pressure, which is both an opportunity and a challenge for gold📊. On the one hand, rising inflation expectations may enhance the attractiveness of gold as an anti-inflation asset; on the other hand, the strengthening of the US dollar and US Treasury yields may offset this positive. 💡
At present, the lower support has moved up to the 3375-3365 area, where a top-bottom conversion position will be formed. The upper short-term resistance level is 3387-3393, the previous high. If the market touches this for the first time, you can try to see a double top fall.
🚀SELL 3385-3390
🚀TP 3365-3355
Gold prices soared! Gold hit a five-week high!Market news:
On Tuesday (July 22) in the early Asian session, spot gold rose and fell, and is currently trading around $3,390/ounce. Driven by the weakening of the US dollar, the decline in US bond yields and the increasing uncertainty in trade policies, the gold market broke out again, breaking through the $3,400/ounce mark, hitting a five-week high. As the deadline for the United States to impose new tariffs on global trading partners on August 1 approaches, market uncertainty provides strong support for international gold.In addition to the trade situation, the Federal Reserve's monetary policy trends have also added momentum to the rise in gold prices. The market expects that the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in September has risen to 59%. The Federal Reserve's July meeting is expected to keep interest rates unchanged, but the market's expectations for an October rate cut have been fully digested. These policy uncertainties have further enhanced the attractiveness of gold as a safe-haven asset.This week, the London gold price ushered in a "critical node" market. Trade policy, US dollar fluctuations, central bank trends and safe-haven fund flows will become the core driving force of the long-short game in the gold market. On this trading day, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell delivered a welcome speech at a regulatory meeting. Pay attention to whether Powell involves remarks related to monetary policy. In addition, continue to pay attention to news related to the international trade situation and geopolitical situation.
Technical Review:
The gold daily chart is strong and oscillating upward. The MA10/7-day moving average maintains a golden cross and opens upward. The hourly chart and the four-hour chart Bollinger band open upward, the moving average system maintains an upward opening, and the price fluctuates upward along the MA10-day moving average. Yesterday, the Asian session fell slightly to 3346 and stabilized. The bottoming out and pulling up again broke through and stood on the hourly line middle track, which means short-term stabilization!
So yesterday's Asian session rose, the European session continued to break high, and the US session still had a second pull-up; but because it is in a period of oscillation, wait patiently for a wave of stabilization before taking action. The reference point selected should pay attention to the 382 split support, that is, 3370, which happens to be the top and bottom conversion support point, followed by the 3356-3358 split support and the middle track.
Today's analysis:
Gold rose strongly yesterday, breaking the highest level in the past month. After the price of gold rose yesterday, it did not rise and fall like before. Instead, it broke through multiple resistances and came to the 3400 mark. From the one-hour market, the direction of the market is very clear, but it is still not recommended to buy directly. Waiting for a fall before getting on the train is the safest strategy!The Asian session gold price was blocked near 3400, and the one-hour market showed a small double top structure, which means that the market will still adjust in a short time. Therefore, do not buy in the Asian session, wait for the adjustment to continue to buy, and the support below is the top and bottom conversion position of 3370. After the Asian session gold price adjusted to 3370 and walked out of the bottom structure, continue to buy. The general direction of this round is to look at the 3450 line!
Operation ideas:
Buy short-term gold at 3375-3378, stop loss at 3366, target at 3400-3420;
Sell short-term gold at 3425-3428, stop loss at 3436, target at 3390-3370;
Key points:
First support level: 3383, second support level: 3370, third support level: 3358
First resistance level: 3403, second resistance level: 3416, third resistance level: 3428
Gold----Buy near 3374, target 3399-3420Gold market analysis:
Yesterday, Monday, gold rose strongly, reaching a high of around 3402. This range is still relatively rare at the beginning of the week. Let's not worry about whether it is caused by fundamentals. Judging from the market's morphological indicators, we can be very sure that it is a buying trend. Yesterday's buying has broken the 3377 position. The breaking position of this position has determined the new buying position. In addition, the daily moving average has also begun to diverge. The morphological support is around 3370 and 3374. Today, relying on this position, the moving average is bullish. Yesterday, it rose too much. I estimate that there will be a need for repair today. The retracement during the repair is our opportunity to get on the train again. On the weekly line, 3400 is a hurdle. The previous multiple stops were only short-lived, so we need to be cautious when buying above 3400.
There is a signal of closing negative in 4H. The Asian session needs to be adjusted and repaired. It is better to buy at a low price. 3402 is a small pressure. We cannot estimate where it will be repaired. We can determine the support below and buy near the support. There can also be short-term selling opportunities above 3400 in the Asian session. It is only in the Asian session, and the buy order is the main target.
Fundamental analysis:
There is no major news in the recent fundamentals. The situation in the Middle East is still relatively stable. There is no new rest in tariffs, and the impact on the market is limited.
Operation suggestion:
Gold----Buy near 3374, target 3399-3420
Can gold continue to fall slowly sideways? Focus on the 3375 wat
On Tuesday, spot gold fell back mildly after yesterday's surge. The current gold price is around $3,384/ounce. Spot gold prices surged more than 1% on Monday and hit a five-week high. The main reason was that the US dollar and US bond yields plummeted, and investors were uneasy about the approaching deadline for tariff negotiations on August 1. The market is facing various uncertainties, which does provide support for gold.
Views on today's gold trend!
After more than a month of volatile trends, gold once again broke through the integer mark of 3,400 on the first trading day of this week. Under the current bullish sentiment of creating a new high, the previous short-term downward trend ended. From the daily chart, gold is still in an upward trend in the long term. The previous market rebounded effectively after touching the downward trend line, and the rebound force was considerable. With the restart of the bullish force, the main idea can carry the trend and buy on dips.
From the 4-hour chart, the continuous rise of gold and the turning of the moving average have made the market bulls more aggressive, which means that the previous short-term downward trend has ended. At present, a new trend is opening up in the 4-hour chart. The rise of gold has also established an upward trend line. You can consider buying on dips against the 3375 watershed.
Gold: Buy near 3375, defend 65, and target 3405-3410!
XAU/USD) Bullish trend analysis Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of XAU/USD (Gold) on the 1-hour timeframe. Here’s a breakdown
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Technical Analysis Summary
Descending Channel Breakout
Price action previously formed a descending wedge/channel, shown by the two black trendlines.
A bullish breakout occurred above the trendline, signaling a shift in momentum from bearish to bullish.
Key Support Zone
The yellow highlighted zone (around $3,338–$3,340) is marked as the “new key support level”.
Price is expected to retest this area (confluence with 200 EMA), which aligns with standard bullish breakout behavior.
The green arrow indicates potential bounce confirmation.
Bullish Projection
After the retest, price is projected to climb steadily toward the target point at $3,394.52.
The setup anticipates around 56.27 points upside, or roughly +1.69% gain from the support zone.
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Target
$3,394.52 – defined using the previous range breakout height and horizontal resistance.
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Trade Idea
Entry: On bullish confirmation near $3,338 support zone.
Stop Loss: Just below the yellow zone (e.g., under $3,330).
Take Profit: Near $3,394.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Conclusion
This is a classic breakout-retest-play, supported by trendline structure, a key horizontal support zone, and RSI strength. As long as price respects the highlighted support, the bullish outlook remains valid.
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Gold rises continuously and then moves unilaterally? 3375 is the
At the beginning of this week, international gold prices rose, benefiting from the weaker dollar, while investors paid attention to news on trade progress before the US tariff deadline on August 1. As US inflation data was lower than expected and the market may have some defensive bets against tariffs, gold finally rebounded from the main upward trend line again. The lower-than-expected US inflation data did not trigger the market to re-price more hawkish rate hike expectations.
From a larger perspective, as the Fed's easing policy progresses, real yields may continue to fall, and gold should maintain an upward trend.
Views on today's trend!
Today, gold is rising slowly, and basically there is no chance of a correction, so it also led to our opening directly chasing a wave of gains, and the market has actually had some risks after the rebound to above 3370. After all, the 3373-75 line was a dense pressure area before.
From the current hourly chart, gold has been moving along the upper track of the moving average and has accelerated since breaking through the 3375 line. It is possible that it will test the 3410 line today. After all, it is already at the 3395 line, and today's strength and weakness watershed has actually shifted from 3340 to 3375. After all, the top and bottom conversions are raised synchronously!
Gold: Long around 3375, defend 3365, and target 3395-3405!
Gold----Buy near 3344, target 3360-3377Gold market analysis:
Recently, the daily gold line has been switching back and forth. If you look at the daily line from around June 25 to around July 21, it is a large range of fluctuations, and there is no big change in structure. The weekly line has not run too far in the past three weeks, and it is also a small range of fluctuations. We need to adjust our thinking in time in operation. For example, the market from Thursday to Friday last week was a market with rapid conversion of buying and selling. We adjusted our thinking in time on Friday to make a profit from the bullish 3337 layout. Moreover, our analysis chart also clearly shows that gold has fallen back at 3357, and gold began to fall back at 3361. Today, we must buy at a low price to be bullish. 3377 is a hurdle on the daily line, and it is also a barrier that is difficult to cross for buying. If the highest position can be reached this week, it can be confirmed that it is a real buy. Otherwise, it is a daily line structure of fluctuations. The support of the weekly line this week is around 3308 and 3000. Only when this position is broken on the weekly line can the weekly selling position be confirmed. Otherwise, it depends on the daily line structural fluctuations of 3300-3377.
In the Asian session, we will first arrange long orders at the small support of 3344. The larger support is the 1-hour pattern support near 3331. In the Asian session, we must first look for opportunities to buy at low prices. If 3331 is broken directly, we have to think whether it is a volatile market again. The volatile market is repeated. Don't get on the bus in the middle position. We should grasp the rhythm more, so that we can get both buying and selling profits.
Support 3344 and 3331, pressure 3361 and 3377, the watershed of strength and weakness in the market is 3344.
Fundamental analysis:
Today is a holiday in Tokyo, Japan. In addition, there is no major data this week. We focus on the fundamentals. Trump's tariffs are still a focus.
Operation suggestions:
Gold----Buy near 3344, target 3360-3377
In-depth analysis of gold price trends this week!Market news:
During the Asian morning session on Monday (July 21), the London gold price rose slightly to above $3,350 and is currently trading around $3,356/ounce. The weakening dollar and continued geopolitical and economic uncertainties have boosted demand for safe-haven spot gold, supporting international gold prices, but the rebound in the University of Michigan survey index may limit gold's gains.Although gold prices may face correction pressure in the short term, international gold has limited room to fall. Factors such as economic slowdown, lower interest rates and rising inflation will attract more buyers to enter the market. The continued purchases by central banks over the past two and a half years have also provided solid support for gold prices. The tension between Trump and Powell is the main reason why gold prices remain high.Looking ahead, the market focus will shift to this week's ECB monetary policy meeting. Economists generally expect the ECB to keep interest rates unchanged, and preliminary manufacturing data released this week may also trigger some market fluctuations. This week's economic data and Fed dynamics will be key variables in the trend of gold prices. No matter how the market fluctuates, the long-term value of gold cannot be ignored, and investors need to pay close attention to macroeconomic changes and political events.
Technical Review:
Technically, the daily chart of gold still maintains the adjustment of the middle track of the Bollinger Band, forming a yin-yang alternating shock consolidation. However, on Friday, the gold price closed with a small positive K, and the price MA10/7-day moving average closed above 33/42. From the indicator point of view, the MACD indicator momentum column shortened, and the RSI indicator ran around 50, indicating that the market buying and selling forces were balanced.The 4-hour chart shows that the gold price fluctuated and tended to buy and consolidate at 3330-3360. At present, the moving average system opened upward. As long as gold does not lose 3320, it is expected to continue to sprint upward to 3375/3400. On the contrary, if it loses the support of 3320/10 again, it is regarded as a short-term weak shock downward. On the whole, the current trend of gold is oscillating and tending to buy and consolidate. Today's trading idea is mainly to buy at a low price and sell at a high price.
Today's analysis:
Since there is no major economic data this week, in the absence of geopolitical risks and emergencies, it is expected that gold will still see a small range of shocks and consolidation this week, and the range can be focused on 3400-3300. The daily Bollinger Bands continue to close, with the upper track at 3375 and the lower track at 3288. The short-term moving averages are intertwined near the middle track, suggesting that gold will still be dominated by fluctuations in the short term. In terms of operation, keep the idea of selling at high prices and buying at low prices. Do not chase the rise and sell at the fall. Wait for the breakthrough signal to be confirmed before following the trend. Today’s support is at 3340. You can use this as a key point to arrange buy orders during the day. The key point above is 3361, which is the high point of last Friday. 3361 is a short-term pressure point. If there is no correction today and it directly breaks 3361, we can follow the trend directly. If there is a correction, pay attention to the bottom structure above 3340 and buy at the bottom!
Operation ideas:
Buy short-term gold at 3340-3343, stop loss at 3332, target at 3370-3390;
Sell short-term gold at 3377-3380, stop loss at 3388, target at 3340-3320;
Key points:
First support level: 3340, second support level: 3332, third support level: 3320
First resistance level: 3375, second resistance level: 3388, third resistance level: 3410
Ultra-short-term trading. Profit of $10/ounceThe order to buy XAUUSD successfully made a profit. The current gold price is 3367. Stimulated by the weekend news, the expected trend was achieved smoothly, and the short-term bulls were strong. Buying can continue to be the main focus. Relying on the half-hour and one-hour trends, trading can be carried out in the London market for the purpose of buying and profit. The increase is about $10/ounce.
Gold is waiting for a pullback to break through 3400In the short term, gold is stuck in a sideways trend near 3365. It is not recommended to enter this point regardless of long or short positions. It is expected that there will be certain variables in the NY period. If gold retreats and falls in the short term as we expect, it may first touch around 3361. If it falls below 3361, it is expected to touch around 3353, which is also the point I gave this morning to see support.
Judging from the market, our focus on the upper side is still the 3375-3385 resistance area. If it can be effectively broken through, it is expected to hit the 3400-3420 mark. Although the daily MACD is oscillating near the zero axis, the 4H market shows that the oscillation is strong. Our trading strategy remains unchanged in the short term. The pullback in the NY period provides an opportunity, and we can consider going long. If there is new news during the day that requires adjustment, I will notify you immediately. Bros, please be patient and wait for trading opportunities.
OANDA:XAUUSD
XAUUSD 21/07 - Will the Bullish Momentum Continue?In today’s session (July 21), the 1H chart of XAUUSD shows a confirmed breakout above the medium-term descending trendline. The bullish momentum originated from a strong rebound at the confluence zone of support, EMA, and ascending trendline — suggesting a high-probability continuation setup for the short term.
Technical Analysis Overview:
🔹 Price Action Structure:
Price broke out of a falling wedge / descending triangle with a strong bullish Marubozu candle, confirming the breakout move.
Breakout was supported by increased volume, indicating strong institutional buying near 3,346–3,350.
🔹 Trendlines and EMA Outlook:
Price is currently holding above the ascending yellow trendline.
Short-term EMAs (e.g., EMA20/50, not shown) are likely sloping upwards and sitting below price, confirming bullish market structure.
🔹 Key Support and Resistance Levels:
Immediate Resistance: 3,370 USD – recently tested previous swing high.
Major Resistance: 3,378 – 3,385 USD – Fibonacci projection and previous supply zone.
Short-term Support: 3,359 USD – minor pullback zone and EMA alignment.
Major Support: 3,346 USD – the breakout retest zone and price structure support.
Suggested Trading Strategies:
Scenario 1: Buy the Dip
Entry: Near 3,359 – 3,346 USD (on minor retracement)
Stop Loss: Below 3,338 USD (to invalidate the breakout zone)
Target 1: 3,370 USD
Target 2: 3,378 – 3,385 USD
Scenario 2: Breakout Continuation Buy
If price breaks above 3,370 with strong candle + volume:
Entry: Around 3,372 – 3,374 USD
Stop Loss: 3,359 USD
Target: 3,385 – 3,392 USD
Additional Indicators to Watch:
RSI (not shown): If approaching 70+, watch for bearish divergence or exhaustion signals.
Volume: Sustained or increasing volume will confirm strength of the uptrend.
Conclusion:
XAUUSD is showing strong bullish technical signals after breaking the descending trendline and successfully retesting the breakout level. As long as price holds above 3,346 – 3,350, the short-term bullish structure remains intact.
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gold buy signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
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Always make your analysis before a trade
Monday market forecast, pay attention to the 3339 retracement📰 News information:
1. The Trump administration puts pressure on the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates
2. The continued impact of tariffs and the responses of various countries
📈 Technical Analysis:
This week's basic judgment and forecast on the gold market trend were consistent, but on Friday, the overall gold fluctuations were not large. The overall trend of the daily line fluctuated around 3345, and the 3345 line also became a short-term long-short watershed. Although prices are likely to rise more easily than fall in the short term, it should be noted that the three-month adjustment cycle is coming to an end while the fundamentals of the bull market have not changed. It is recommended that you focus on preventing risks from short position operations next week. At the same time, the overall strong shock pattern, the anti-pulling momentum has not reached the top suppression position, and the area around 3339 below is the previous intensive trading area, which constitutes a certain support in the short term. If the market fails to effectively break below next week, it will greatly boost the bullish momentum, and it is not ruled out that there will be a possibility of refreshing the high point near 3380 next week.
On the whole, the short-term focus next week is the 3345-3335 area below. If it falls back to this point, you can consider arranging long orders. The short-term target is 3355-3365, and the strong trend is expected to continue to touch 3375-3385.
🎯 Trading Points:
BUY 3345-3335
TP 3355-3365-3375-3385
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐.
TVC:GOLD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD
How to seize deterministic trading opportunities?The rebound momentum of the gold market has been significantly enhanced today. After breaking through the 3345 resistance in the Asian session, it has continued to rise. It has now reached around 3360, and has rebounded by more than US$50 from this week's low of 3310, setting a new rebound high in the past three trading days. After the gold price effectively broke through the key resistance band of 3340–3350, it triggered some short stop loss trading and trend funds to enter the market, driving the price to accelerate the upward trend. Judging from the hourly chart, the trading volume has increased by about 30% compared with the same period yesterday, indicating that the market's recognition of this round of rebound has increased significantly.
A physically full sun candle chart has been closed in the 4-hour cycle, successfully standing on the Bollinger middle track, further confirming the upward structure, the mid-track support area 3340–3345 has become a key position for bulls' defense, and the short-term structure of the market is still relatively strong. Overall, the intraday retracement range of gold is limited, and the probability of continuing to rise is relatively high. In terms of strategy, it is still recommended to go long. In the short term, focus on the 3340–3345 area retracement support, and the stop-profit target is 3365–3370; if the upward breakthrough, pay attention to the suppression performance of the 3370–3375 line, beware of highs and falls, and pay attention to controlling risks.
Gold---sell near 3355, target 3330-3320Gold market analysis:
The gold buying and selling game in the past two days is quite fierce. The daily line is washed back and forth, with a combination of one Yin and one Yang. The upper and lower shadows of the daily line are relatively long. Yesterday, the daily line closed with a standard hammer candle pattern. After breaking the strong support of 3320, the price did not continue to fall, but bottomed out at 3308 and began to rise strongly, which eventually led to the short-term selling dream being shattered again. The daily line and K showed alternating conversions. The short-term trend is vague, but the long-term trend is still buying. This wave of repairs has the participation of fundamentals and the repair of gold itself. In the big cycle, it is difficult to form a daily selling trend without breaking the position of 3281. In addition, the fundamentals all support gold. I think the possibility of a deep fall in gold in the near future is very small. We are just a follower. In the short term, we focus on the intraday trend to operate. Yesterday, the daily line had a tail, and the possibility of continuing to fall today is small. Let's look at the repair rebound in the Asian session first. The first suppression position for buying rebound is around 3357. This position is also a form suppression and an indicator suppression. The other suppressions are around 3366 and 3377. Note that gold is not unilateral. When encountering great pressure, we must also consider selling opportunities. Today, I think it will rebound first and then fall back.
Support 3327 and 3320, strong support 3308, pressure 3344.3357.3366.3377, and the strength and weakness dividing line of the market is 3340.
Fundamental analysis:
There are not many fundamentals this week. The data released yesterday still suppressed gold as a whole, but the gold tail market still bottomed out and rebounded.
Operation suggestions:
Gold---sell near 3355, target 3330-3320
Gold prices are on the rise again!Market news:
In the early Asian session on Friday (July 18), spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading around $3,336 per ounce. London gold prices staged a thrilling "deep V" market yesterday, hitting a daily low of $3,309 during the session and recovering to 3,339 at the end of the session. Strong US retail sales and employment data drove the dollar to rebound and US Treasury yields to rise, putting pressure on interest-free assets such as gold. Despite this, geopolitical tensions and rising tariff risks are still providing bottom support for the gold market. The international gold market is currently in a multi-game of Fed policies, US economic data, US dollar trends and tariff policies. The Fed's position of postponing interest rate cuts, strong retail and employment data, and the rise in the US dollar and US Treasury yields have suppressed gold prices in the short term. This trading day needs to pay attention to the preliminary value of the University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index in July and US real estate market data, pay attention to the G20 Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors Meeting hosted by South Africa, and pay attention to news related to the international trade situation.
Technical Review:
Gold closed with a small positive line with a long upper shadow yesterday. Although it ended the continuous negative trend, it still faced sideways resistance below 3374, and the overall market still needs to be treated as a shock consolidation. From a large cycle perspective, gold has entered a convergent triangle consolidation phase of nearly three months. Among them, the lower track support line gradually moved up to above 3310. The support strength of this position continues to increase as the consolidation time lengthens. If the price touches or approaches this point, you can decisively try to buy the bottom layout.For two consecutive trading days, gold has been consolidating in a larger range of 3377/3310, and finally closed at the starting point of the daily Bollinger band middle track at the end of the trading day. Gold returned to the middle axis of the range at 3340. The daily chart Bollinger band middle track, the RSI indicator middle axis flattened, the four-hour chart hourly chart Bollinger band middle track, and the RSI indicator neutral middle axis. On Friday, the layout of the day will still be based on a wide range of fluctuations. Look at the 3320/3360 range first. Alternating buying and selling cycles, large range of wide fluctuations!
Today's analysis:
In the past two days, gold has always risen in the US market due to news. Last night, Trump called on the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, and gold rose again. However, judging from the recent market, the market stimulated by the news is still unsustainable. Since gold has rebounded now, gold will continue to sell at a high level in the early trading.
Excluding yesterday's market affected by Trump, the gold price operation pattern this week is close to perfect, and it has been steadily operating under the suppression of the downward trend line. Therefore, the market has given a clear direction. It is OK to sell when the Asian market rebounds to the pressure level. Gold is still in a fluctuating downward trend in 1 hour!
The downward trend resistance of gold has moved down to around 3350. Before gold effectively breaks through 3350, gold is under pressure at 3350 and continues to sell at high prices. Today, Friday, the probability of gold having a big market is relatively high, and if there is a big market on Friday, it is basically weak throughout the day. If it is strong, it is strong throughout the day. As long as gold continues to be weak in the European market, it is likely that gold will continue to fall today.
Operation ideas:
Buy short-term gold at 3317-3320, stop loss at 3308, target at 3340-3360;
Sell short-term gold at 3352-3355, stop loss at 3364, target at 3330-3310;
Key points:
First support level: 3323, second support level: 3310, third support level: 3290
First resistance level: 3348, second resistance level: 3360, third resistance level: 3377