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9.17 Technical Analysis of Gold Short-term OperationsIn the four-hour chart, the price recovered the upper line and ran below the upper line. The short-term support is at the acceleration line 2573. If it breaks down here, it also indicates that the lower line of the hourly chart will break. Once it breaks, it will resonate downward, at least testing the support of the 2562-50 line. Secondly, from the four-hour moving average chart, the 5-10-day dead cross is downward, and the auxiliary indicator MACD is dead cross at a high level. The hourly chart counterattacks the upper line and turns short for the second time, which is the best time to short, and it is also a reasonable position to reduce positions. Once it breaks down, the overnight closing price of 2579-80 is basically rebounded, which is to add shorts. So as long as you hold 2590 to see that the adjustment remains unchanged, wait for 2600 or above after the breakthrough to make arrangements. Strategy: 2585-88 area short, loss 92, look at 73-68-62-50. Break down 73 and rebound 80 and short loss 85
TVC:GOLDShort
by David_strategy
1
9.17 Technical Analysis of Gold Short-term OperationsAfter rising for three consecutive trading days, the price of gold rose again yesterday to a record high of $2,589 per ounce, close to the $2,600 mark, but it did not break through again. After encountering resistance and retreating, the final price closed at around $2,582. Overall, it still maintained a high level of consolidation. There is no doubt that the rise in gold prices for three consecutive trading days has already indicated that the Federal Reserve will start to cut interest rates, and it also indicates that the expectation of further interest rate cuts is in place. The market is concerned about how many basis points the interest rate cut will be, which is not so important because the trends of various varieties are digested in advance. Yesterday, the price of gold rose to $2,589, and then encountered resistance and retreated. The daily line recorded a small positive cross star. The current price remains above the upper track of the Bollinger Bands. The moving averages of each period are arranged in a bullish pattern. The Bollinger Bands remain open as a whole. The MACD double lines rise, and the red kinetic energy column increases, which is in line with the development of the K-line. At present, the daily line still tends to be bullish. Since technical indicators have a lag, it will be too late to wait until the price retreats or turns to short. Yesterday's high of $2589 is effective pressure. Looking further up is the $2600 mark, $2606. It is uncertain whether it can be reached. If it can be reached, you can intervene to short and wait for a retracement. The primary support below (short-term target) is $2560. Today's short-term operation strategy; Sell at 2585, stop loss at 2590 Buy at 2555, stop loss at 2550
TVC:GOLDShort
by David_strategy
9.17 Gold Short-term Operation GuideAfter gold hit the high point of 2580-90 last week, it basically maintained a consolidation trend at the opening of this Monday. As of now, it is still above 2582 as the high point, and it is consolidating in the range of 70-90. At present, many people think that the interest rate decision on Thursday will be a node, but not. I think the GDP data will be a window for a change. Then, institutions may take advantage of the opportunity to buy and pull up again. 2580 is also a support in the 4-hour chart of gold. If it falls below the moving average support here, it is likely to test 2855-50 later.
TVC:GOLDShort
by David_strategy
3
9.16 Gold Short-term Operation GuideOn Friday, gold rose directly along the 2556 line in the early trading, rose to the 73 line in the European trading, and then fell back. In the evening, it rose again to the 80 line and then fell back. It hit a high of 86 in the late trading and then fell back slightly. Finally, the daily chart closed at 2579 with a big positive line. Looking back at Friday, the price basically went up in a step-by-step manner. There were corresponding adjustments at each suppression point, but the overall trend was still dominated by bulls. The cyclical double positive continued in terms of form. From the current market, the trend remains unchanged, but the market does not only rise but not fall. If we look at the symmetrical cycle of the form, today's expected rise and fall will close in the negative. However, the market broke through the big positive line last week, and it is not realistic to directly reverse the trend in the short term. The previous platform consolidation has become an important support for the re-upward movement. The daily chart reaches the upper acceleration line suppression area, followed by the oblique pressure of 2597. After the four-hour shock to the breakthrough of the upper line and the acceleration line, the short-term indicators have been seriously overbought, so today I am optimistic about the rise and fall, and the lower 30-minute lower line on Friday formed support for the upward movement. Today, the key support is here on the hourly chart lower line, followed by the four-hour upper line, so today's operation is long first and then short. Short term operations: BUY 2567, loss 2561, target 2582-92-97. SELL2597, loss 2603, target 2573-67-62-55
TVC:GOLD
by David_strategy
1
9.16 Gold Short-term Analysis GuideLast Friday, an article from the "Federal Reserve's mouthpiece" once again fueled speculation that the Fed might cut interest rates by 50 basis points at this week's policy meeting. The dollar index continued to fall and once lost the 101 mark, but recovered some of its losses during the U.S. trading session and finally closed down 0.13% at 101.10. U.S. Treasury yields fell slightly, with the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield closing at 3.657%; the two-year Treasury yield, which is more sensitive to monetary policy, finally closed at 3.595%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed up 0.72%, the S&P 500 closed up 0.54%, and the Nasdaq closed up 0.65%. Trump Media closed up 7.62%. Today's focus: The eurozone will release the seasonally adjusted trade account for July; The United States will release the New York Fed Manufacturing Index for September; ☆ Closed reminder: Today, the Tokyo Stock Exchange, Seoul Stock Exchange, Shanghai, Shenzhen and Beijing Stock Exchange The market's expectations for the Fed's upcoming interest rate cut continue to heat up. , the market currently expects the Fed to cut interest rates by 50 basis points at the September 18 meeting to reach 43%, while the probability of a 25 basis point cut is 57%. This is the first possible rate cut by the Fed since 2020. The driving effect of the expectation of rate cuts on gold prices is obvious. The lower interest rate environment reduces the holding cost of gold and increases its attractiveness as a non-yielding asset. Before the Fed meeting, gold prices usually show a trend of fluctuating higher. However, after the rate cut, gold prices may experience adjustments. Therefore, investors need to be vigilant about possible market reactions. Monetary policy changes by major central banks around the world have an important impact on the gold market. The ECB's rate cut decision last Thursday reduced the opportunity cost of holding gold and further strengthened market expectations for loose policies. At the same time, U.S. inflation data has stabilized, providing the Fed with more room to consider rate cuts. With the easing policies of the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank, the bullish sentiment in the gold market has significantly increased. In addition, the depreciation of the U.S. dollar against the yen has further increased market interest in gold. The strong performance of the gold market was also driven by fund inflows. Data shows that the holdings of SPDR Gold Trust, the world's largest gold-backed ETF, have reached their highest level since January this year. The World Gold Council (WGC) reported that global physical gold ETFs attracted inflows for the fourth consecutive month in August, which further supported the rise in gold prices. In addition, geopolitical risks are also an important factor in the rise in gold prices. Geopolitical tensions in major economies around the world have increased market uncertainty and further boosted demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. These factors, including the Russian-Ukrainian conflict and tensions in the Middle East, have prompted investors to put their money into gold to avoid potential risks.
TVC:GOLDLong
by David_strategy
1
9.14 Gold Short-term Analysis StrategyThe daily and 4-hour lines closed with big positives, overlooking the 2530 line that was tested many times in the early stage. Therefore, only by following the trend under the bullish trend can there be greater profit space. The price relies on the MA moving average to go up, and the trend is very clear that the bulls have an advantage. On the one hand, it is a bullish trend. On the other hand, whether it is the hourly line or the 4-hour line, the strength of the retracement and the coordination of time after continuous pull-up, the gold price retreated to around 2545 in the early morning, and then the hourly line continued to attack the 2560 line. In other words, it is still constantly refreshing the historical high in the early morning, and there is no room for correction. The shape is relatively strong. There is no room for even retracement, which shows that the bulls are full of momentum, and there is still room for continued rise today. Today's operation plan: In the bullish pattern, what position should be used to plan for long positions? The market with oscillating components uses the low point of the retracement correction as support to rebound again. Today's ideas are similar to those of yesterday, and need to be combined with time. The lower support is near 2549, which is the upper track of the previous upward channel. After breaking through, it is bullish. The upper resistance is near 2580,2588.
TVC:GOLD
by David_strategy
9.13 Gold Short-term AnalysisGold prices rose more than 1% on Thursday, hitting a record high of $2,559.98 per ounce and closing at $2,558.54 per ounce, driven by expectations of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve next week, after data showed a slowdown in the U.S. economy. In addition, the European Central Bank's rate cut also reduces the opportunity cost of holding gold, and geopolitical concerns continue to provide safe-haven buying support for gold prices. Considering the possibility of profit-taking on Friday, we will patiently pay attention to the strength of profit-taking in gold today. Market expectations have increased that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points at its September 17-18 meeting. The probability of a 25 basis point cut is 73%, and the probability of a 50 basis point cut is 27%. This expectation has driven gold's rise because the low interest rate environment makes gold more attractive as a non-yielding asset. The European Central Bank announced another rate cut on Thursday, lowering the deposit rate to 3.50%. This decision is closely related to the background of weak economic growth and slowing inflation in the eurozone. The ECB's rate cut reduces the opportunity cost of holding gold, further enhancing its attractiveness. In addition to economic data, geopolitical tensions also have an important impact on gold prices. Russian President Vladimir Putin said on Wednesday that Moscow may restrict exports of uranium, titanium and nickel in retaliation against Western countries. The statement has raised market concerns about the global supply chain, further boosting safe-haven demand for gold.
TVC:GOLD
by David_strategy
1
9.13Technical Analysis of Gold Short-term OperationsLast night, inflation data fell beyond expectations, while the core inflation monthly rate rebounded slightly to 0.3%. Gold plummeted to around $2,500 after the $2,529 data in the Asia-Europe session. This week's market, as long as you follow it after seeing it, you will basically be slapped in the face. On Monday, I saw the decline from $2,500 to $2,485 before I rebounded and went short. Then on Tuesday, I saw the decline from 2,507 to 2,500 in the early trading and rebounded and went short. On Wednesday, I saw the Asia-Europe session continue to rise to $2,529 and started to sing a new high. All of these were "counter-killed". Yesterday, I clearly said that we must prevent fake falls and the sudden counterattack of shorts. Not only will the August CPI be announced, but the price will be close to $2,530. There is no need to do any callback here. Unless it is a rapid plunge, the cost performance is too poor. From the non-agricultural data to now, both long and short positions have been accurately stepped on, without exception. The non-agricultural data clearly stated that no matter whether the data is good or bad, the rise is an illusion, and the fall is the purpose. On Monday, the market opened directly at 2500 US dollars and shorted. After the decline, it stopped chasing shorts. After the decline, it fell to 2485 US dollars and rebounded to break through 2500. It decisively went long at 2500-01 and left the market at 2515. On Wednesday, the price was near 2505 and emphasized that it was also 2520 to go long at 2500 first. Yesterday, it was directly short at 2523, without considering chasing long near the historical high, and arranged long after the plunge. Today, I think a large number of people have begun to stand on the side of the shorts, which is just the opposite of yesterday. The plunge in gold prices from 2530 to 2500 after the CPI data and the current rebound are in line with the logic of shorts. However, I think if it is a continuation of the short position, there will not be such a large rebound. The continuous rebound of 2500, the higher the price seems to be, the greater the probability of digging a pit, especially the rebound from 2510 in the morning as support. Unless it returns to below this position, I will not short today. Soon, gold will go unilaterally. It has closed the cross K line for three consecutive weeks. The daily BOLL closed at a high level. Now it is waiting for a suitable opportunity to directly break the range, and I am optimistic about the upward breakthrough. The bulls will soon challenge $2,600 this time. At present, the gold price is constantly rising from the lows of $2472, $2485, and $2500. The first rebound target is $2522-23, followed by $2528-30, and then $2538-40. The recent market should be prepared to get on the bus and wait for the market to start at any time. Today, gold uses $2,500 as the dividing point and $2,510 as the support area. Go long after the pullback, that is, change from yesterday's short thinking to low long. The rebound after the plunge is too big. This rebound is often not an opportunity to go short, but a slow rise to force shorts.
TVC:GOLD
by David_strategy
1
9.12 Technical Analysis of Gold Short-term OperationsIn the 4-hour period, the stochastic indicator is a dead cross downward, which is a bearish signal; however, the BOLL interval is obvious, forming an interval that has never been broken; in addition, the support bands of 2500-2490-2480-2470 have not all fallen through; 2: In the daily K, the stochastic indicator is in a state of blunt top divergence; bearish signal; the indicator is in a state of bluntness at a high level, waiting for stimulation; in terms of form, the market is resistant to falling, sideways, and since the high break, it is the second wave of rising break; it is expected that there will be a third wave of BOLL upward break upward trend later; Comprehensive Get up: In terms of thinking, priority is given to the trend thinking; in terms of support, the middle axis support position is near 2495, the lower axis track support is near 2445; the transition support position is near 2470; sideways support, then consider sideways; sideways support position is near 2508 and 2490 in the small range; War risk aversion is still continuing; therefore, short positions cannot be arranged at present; in terms of form, 2530 is not the peak high point of the form, so it is not recommended to arrange; breakout is handled according to the breakout of 2530/32 Today's focus: the number of initial jobless claims in the United States as of the week of September 7 (10,000 people)
TVC:GOLDLong
by David_strategy
2
Analysis of 9.12 Gold Short-term Operation StrategySpot gold is currently trading around $25,118.46/oz, with a narrow range of fluctuations on Thursday (September 12). Gold prices rose and fell on Wednesday, supported by safe-haven buying. Gold prices rose to around $2,529 earlier in the session on Wednesday, approaching historical highs, but after the U.S. CPI data, gold prices gave up gains and fell to around the 2,500 mark, closing at $2,511.33/oz, as U.S. inflation data prompted investors to scale back expectations for the Fed's super-large rate cut next week, and the U.S. dollar and Treasury yields strengthened. First: Data, wash; before large data, gold prices have no external stimulation and it is difficult to form range fluctuations; what is large data, such as the mid-month interest rate meeting, such as the U.S. election in October, such as the Middle East war, the risk aversion of the Russian-Ukrainian war; therefore, these small data, like "ants shaking a big tree", are difficult to change the trend of the market; but they will form a wash trend; Second: On the market, the overall market is consolidating in the large range of 2470-2530; and it is controlled by bulls; this is the core; after several weeks of trend, the market is resistant to decline and it is difficult to form a sharp drop; without the emergence of strong negative fundamentals, it is not enough to change this high-range consolidation and high-range resistance to decline trend; In terms of data, small data are mainly for washing; on the market, it is high-range consolidation and high-range oscillation; understand this, at least it will not be very wrong; grasp the market trend, it will be relatively easy to do Detailed intraday operation strategy: Gold rebounds to 2522 short, defend 2530, target 2510-2500 Gold falls back to 2480 to go long, defend 2472, target 2490-2500
TVC:GOLD
by David_strategy
9.12 Gold Short-term AnalysisGold has been going up and down, but it still hasn't broken through the historical high. Gold is under pressure from the historical high resistance, so short at high, if it breaks through, follow up and go long, gold rebounds first under pressure Gold's 4-hour moving average is still dead cross short arrangement, gold's 4-hour high point long structure, gold rebound high pressure historical high resistance, so continue to short, gold rebounded 2525 in the morning, continue to short, if it breaks through the new high, follow up and go long, the market is looking at the present, the market is also looking at what kind of operation is corresponding, gold has not broken through the new high in one fell swoop, the high point is reasonable, so it is reasonable to continue to short at high Today's focus: The main refinancing interest of the European Central Bank in the euro zone to September 12 The number of initial jobless claims in the United States for the week ending September 7 The annual rate of the US PPI in August The monthly rate of the US PPI in August
TVC:GOLDShort
by David_strategy
1
Analysis of 9.11 Gold Short-term Operation StrategyGold fell as expected and we entered the market to short sell 4 times, earning a total of 24,000U When gold rebounded, we insisted that the high position would not break the historical high, so we would short sell. Gold was directly shorted at 2523, and the gold article also directly publicly suggested shorting at 2525. Gold fell sharply as expected and continued to build a top structure at a high level. It continued to short sell when it rebounded. Gold did not break through the new high many times in 4 hours, and there were multiple top structures at high levels. It can be seen that gold has heavy resistance at high levels and may fall back under pressure at any time. Gold rebounded in the US market and continued to short sell. Going against the trend, if you don’t advance, you will retreat. Gold has risen and fallen many times, and there is nothing special. It should be difficult for gold to directly set a new high in a short time. Gold rebounds and short sells. US trading operation ideas: Gold 2515 short, stop loss 2525, target 2505--2500
TVC:GOLDShort
by David_strategy
2
XAUUSD Short/Sell Swing Trade Analysis| Huge Profit Inside Reason for Sell A major announcement in the market! There's a big event coming up soon. Wednesday, 11 September, 12:30 p.m. UTC: the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) report. On September 11th at 12:30 p.m. UTC, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the Consumer Price Index report. In July 2024, the US annual inflation rates dropped to 2.9% and 3.2% for headline and core inflation, respectively. The market anticipates a 0.2% increase in monthly inflation and a 2.6% annual rise. The report will influence whether the Federal Reserve cuts rates by 50 or 25 basis points in September. If the figures fall below expectations, the U.S. dollar may weaken, impacting EURUSD and XAUUSD positively. Conversely, better-than-expected figures could strengthen the U.S. dollar, pushing EURUSD and XAUUSD down. How will this event affect your trading routine? Share in the comments! Are you interested in trading with this information? Follow the link in our bio to get started! #Trading #Forex #WeeklyTradingCalendar #MarketUpdates
OANDA:XAUUSD
by kripsonfx97
Analysis of 9.11 Gold Short-term Operation StrategyOn Tuesday, the US dollar index fluctuated above the 101 mark and finally closed up 0.03% at 101.67. US Treasury yields continued to fall, with the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield closing at 3.650%; the two-year Treasury yield, which is more sensitive to monetary policy, finally closed at 3.607%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed down 0.23%, the S&P 500 rose 0.45%, and the Nasdaq rose 0.84%. Major European stock indices closed down across the board, with the German DAX30 index closing down 0.96%; the British FTSE 100 index closed down 0.78%; and the European Stoxx 50 index closed down 0.66%. Risk Warning on Wednesday ☆At 14:00, the UK will release the monthly GDP rate for the three months of July, the monthly rate of manufacturing output in July, the seasonally adjusted commodity trade account in July, and the monthly rate of industrial output in July; ☆At 20:30 Beijing time, the United States will release the August CPI data. The market expects its annual rate to fall from the previous value of 2.9% to 2.6%, and the monthly rate will remain unchanged at 0.2%; in terms of core CPI, the market expects the annual rate to be 3.2% and the monthly rate to be 0.2%, both consistent with the previous value; ☆At 22:30, the United States will release the EIA crude oil inventory for the week ending September 6, and the market expects an increase of 764,000 barrels of crude oil; ☆At 1:00 the next day, the United States will hold a 10-year Treasury auction until September 11. The US CPI in August will rise by 0.2% month-on-month and 2.6% year-on-year, lower than 2.9% in July. If confirmed, this data is likely to strengthen market expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points at its September 17-18 meeting. The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Fed at next week's meeting is 67%, and the probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 33%. Although market expectations for rate cuts are divided, overall, investors generally believe that the Fed will make at least one super-large rate cut this year. Traders in the U.S. interest rate options market are still betting that the Fed will make at least one super-large rate cut this year, although it may not be before the presidential election on November 5. Recent options activity related to the secured overnight financing rate shows that traders are increasingly positioning for a 150 basis point rate cut by the Fed before the January 29 policy decision. Geopolitical factors have also had an important impact on the gold market. Recently, Ukraine launched drone attacks on several regions of Russia, and the Russian Federal Investigative Committee has initiated a criminal case. The escalation of this situation may lead to increased market concerns about the global economy, thereby driving demand for safe-haven assets such as gold. In addition, tensions between Israel and Hamas continue to develop. Israel proposed that Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar leave Gaza safely in exchange for the organization releasing hostages. This change in the situation may have an impact on the stability of the Middle East, thereby causing fluctuations in global market sentiment. Gold prices continued to rise on Tuesday, rising for two consecutive trading days. Currently, U.S. Treasury yields continue to weaken, hitting a 15-month low, providing momentum for gold prices to rise; the geopolitical situation remains tense, which also attracts safe-haven buying to support gold prices. Today's short-term focus is on the support area of ​​the 1-hour rising trend line below, and go long on gold after the correction stabilizes. At the same time, investors need to pay close attention to the impact of the upcoming CPI data on the trend of gold.
TVC:GOLD
by David_strategy
Analysis of 9.11 Gold Short-term Operation StrategyCPI is coming, gold will break today In the early Asian session on Wednesday (September 11), spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading around $2517.96/ounce, maintaining overnight gains. Gold prices continued to rise on Tuesday, closing at $2516.53/ounce, up about 0.42%, rising for two consecutive trading days. U.S. Treasury yields continued to weaken, hitting a 15-month low, providing momentum for gold prices to rise; the geopolitical situation remains tense, which also attracts safe-haven buying to support gold prices. At present, market participants are preparing for the release of U.S. inflation data to find further clues to the extent of the Fed's interest rate cut next week. Gold is still within the range we talked about yesterday. Short-term indicators are basically flat. In the short term, there is still no significant change. It is expected that the evening CPI data will be needed to break the range. The current range has been compressed to run in the small range of 2500-2520, and the space is getting smaller and smaller. In fact, the smaller the space fluctuation, the closer the time to open the situation later. From the 4-hour chart, the gold price is in a high-level box oscillation. I prefer a downward breakthrough in the general direction. At present, gold has reached the top of the mountain. Going long is equivalent to chasing at the top of the mountain. The profit and risk are not proportional. Focus on the support position of 2500-2498 during the day. Yesterday, the lowest retracement reached 2499, so this can be used as the dividing point for today. Detailed intraday operation strategy: Short gold rebounds at 2525, defend at 2533, target 2515-2500 Go long gold at 2480, defend at 2472, target 2490-2500
TVC:GOLD
by David_strategy
Analysis of 9.11 Gold Short-term Operation StrategyGold, if it rebounds to 2520, go short directly. Don't wait until you see a decline before chasing it. It is easy to be buried at the low point. The top and bottom conversion pressure is at 2500-2505 US dollars. The continuity of the short position is as bad as ever. It took less than two hours to end the battle from 2500 US dollars to 2485 US dollars yesterday. After that, all rebounds are to lure shorts. As long as there is no participation in shorts in the Asian session, there will be no chance in the European and American sessions. It finally rose to 2507 US dollars, an increase of 20 US dollars. Every decline that seems to be unfavorable factors quickly recovered the lost ground, including the panic selling on Tuesday last month after the non-agricultural data. Gold is brewing a huge market. The volatility in the past few days is just confusing behavior. It won't be long before the unilateral market will come, especially the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision on September 19 and the US CPI inflation data for August on Wednesday. The Federal Reserve is now in a "silent period". Behind the seemingly calm, as long as someone shouts: Fire. Then the whole market sentiment will be ignited instantly. Don't be too attached to the current range-oscillating market. Generally, it's good to hold 15-20 US dollars. Now, the gold price is in a high-level box oscillation. I prefer an upward breakthrough in the general direction. The position of 2530 US dollars is not the top. Once it is broken, it will go straight to 2600 US dollars. However, the ideal position to participate is the area close to the lower track of 2480 oscillation, rather than chasing on the top of the mountain. Today's focus is the annual rate of the US unadjusted CPI in August and the US EIA crude oil inventory for the week ending September 6. Today, first pay attention to the support position of 2500-2498. Last night, the US market tested the support of 2493, so this can be used as the dividing point for today's day, and then participate in the short-term rebound upward and pay attention to 2515-2518,
TVC:GOLD
by David_strategy
1
Gold Short – Targeting Downside After Resistance Rejection Gold (XAU/USD) is currently facing resistance around the 2,518 area, where it has shown signs of rejection. This presents a potential short opportunity, aiming to capture downside movement as the price pulls back from this level. Technical Analysis: • Resistance Rejection: The price has tested and rejected the resistance level, indicating a potential reversal or pullback. • Downside Target: The initial target for this short setup is around the 2,500 level, where support may come into play. • Risk Management: Place a stop-loss above the recent high around 2,520 to protect against any further bullish breakout. Market Sentiment: • Bearish Bias: The rejection at resistance suggests that sellers are stepping in, increasing the likelihood of a downward move. • Key Levels: Watch for any break below 2,510, which could accelerate the move towards the target zone. This trade setup leverages the current rejection at resistance, aiming to capitalize on a potential pullback. As always, manage risk carefully and be prepared to adjust the strategy based on how the market evolves. Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by AR33_
9.10 Analysis of gold short-term operation strategiesIsrael airstrikes Syria, gold price regains 2500 mark: gold price may consolidate in the short term On Monday (September 9), spot gold rebounded sharply after falling to $2485/oz, and finally closed above 2500, closing at $2506.04/oz. ,, Gold prices soared above $2500/oz on Monday as traders prepared for the release of the US August inflation report and looked for hints that the Federal Reserve would cut interest rates by 50 or 25 basis points. Gold traders ignored the overall strength of the US dollar. The US dollar index, which measures the performance of the US dollar against six currencies, rose by more than 0.30%. The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September is 73%, while the probability of a 50 basis point cut is 27%. At the end of the Asian market on Monday, spot gold fell to $2485.48/oz, hitting an intraday low. Gold prices then continued to rebound. As of the close of Monday, spot gold climbed $8.84, or 0.35%, to $2,506.09 per ounce. The situation in the Middle East remains tense, which provides momentum for gold prices to rebound. Israel's air strikes on central Syria on September 8 local time killed at least 14 people. The Iranian Foreign Ministry spoke out on September 9 local time, condemning the Israeli army for launching a "criminal attack" and calling on Israel's supporters to stop arming it. According to the Israeli Times, citing Syrian media reports, Israel launched a series of attacks on several areas in central Syria on the night of August 8 local time, killing at least 14 people and injuring 43 people This may become a trigger for the gold trend! How to trade gold? Gold prices resumed their upward trend and broke through $2,500 per ounce, but gold prices are still below $2,510 per ounce, and buyers seem to have failed to accumulate momentum. Momentum remains bullish, but gold may consolidate in the short term before resuming its upward trend or turning downward. The relative strength index (RSI) is almost flat, indicating that neither buyers nor sellers are in control of the situation. If gold climbs above its year-to-date high of $2,531/oz, it could push it to challenge $2,550/oz. If it breaks through the latter, the next target will be the psychological level of $2,600/oz. If gold falls below $2,500/oz, the next support level will be the August 22 low of $2,470/oz. If gold falls below $2,470/oz, the next support area will be the confluence of the May 20 high (which has turned into support) and the 50-day simple moving average (SMA), between $2,450-2,440/oz
TVC:GOLD
by David_strategy
1
Gold (XAU/USD) Short Setup on 1-Hour ChartGold Short Setup – Targeting 2,480-2,470 Area Following Friday’s Selloff After a significant selloff in Gold (XAU/USD) on Friday, we are looking to continue the bearish trend into the new week. The market has shown weakness, and we aim to capitalize on this by targeting the 2,480-2,470 area if the opportunity presents itself. If market conditions change, we will adjust our strategy accordingly. Technical Analysis: • Continuation of Downtrend: The recent selloff suggests strong bearish momentum, with Gold breaking through several support levels. We expect this trend to continue as the market digests Friday’s moves. • Target Zones: The 2,480-2,470 area represents the next logical support level, where we anticipate potential profit-taking or a reversal if the market reaches this zone. • Entry and Risk Management: Enter short positions with an initial stop-loss above the recent swing high. As the trade progresses, consider moving the stop-loss to breakeven or into profit to protect gains. Fundamental Analysis: • Market Sentiment: The current market sentiment is bearish for Gold, driven by a stronger USD and potential tightening monetary policy. This is likely to continue pressuring Gold prices. • News and Events: Keep an eye on any economic data or news that might impact USD strength or Gold demand, as these could influence the trade. This short setup leverages the ongoing bearish momentum in Gold, with a clear target in mind. As always, stay flexible and ready to adjust based on how the market evolves. Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by AR33_
9.10 Gold short-term operation strategyWhen will the range oscillation stop? Gold is still expected to fall back At the beginning of the Asian session on Tuesday (September 10), spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading around $2506.22 per ounce. Gold prices rebounded slightly on Monday, rising above the 2500 mark and closing at 2506, with a small positive on the daily line. The rebound of US Treasury yields was blocked and hovered around the 15 lows, providing gold prices with a rebound opportunity, but the rebound of the US dollar index limited the rise in gold prices. Investors are waiting for the US inflation report to provide further clues to the possible scale of the Fed's interest rate cut. The recent trend of gold is quite subtle. From mid-August to now, for almost a month, the price has been maintained in the large range of 2470-2530. It fell when it touched the top and rebounded when it touched the bottom. The range has never been broken. Last Friday's non-agricultural data only rebounded slightly and fell around 2530. The focus of this week is the CPI data on Wednesday, which is an important factor that may break the deadlock in the range. Therefore, the CPI data at the beginning of this week currently maintains the idea of ​​range oscillation. In the current volatile market, although there was a slight rebound yesterday, the rebound strength is limited. The focus of the day is the double top pressure level 2515 formed in the short term of the daily line. Today's short orders will be participated in this position, and the second is around 2530. When it reaches this position, it will be bold to participate. Focus on the support of 2480 below. If the pressure level of 2530 above has not been broken this week, the market may turn downward. Tuesday Risk Warning ☆ Today, OPEC will release the monthly crude oil market report; ☆ At 14:00, Germany will release the final value of the August CPI monthly rate; ☆ At 14:00, the UK will release the three-month ILO unemployment rate in July, the unemployment rate in August and the number of unemployment benefit applicants in August; ☆ At 18:00, the United States will release the August NFIB Small Business Confidence Index; ☆ At 0:00 the next day, EIA will release the monthly short-term energy outlook report; ☆ At 4:30 the next day, the United States will release the API crude oil inventory for the week ending September 6. Detailed intraday operation strategy: Gold 2515SL, defense 2523, target 2500-2490 Gold 2480BY, defense 2472, target 2490-2500
TVC:GOLD
by David_strategy
1
9.10 Gold Short-term Technical AnalysisGold closed two cross-yin lines in a row on the weekly line. On Friday, it rose and fell, which highlighted the signal of strong short-term strength. Although the current gold price is still above the short-term moving average, and the short-term moving average also forms a short-term support in the 2490 area, the upward momentum is obviously beginning to show weakness. On the whole, the weekly line, the short-term still has an advantage in the short-term, and it is likely to continue to extend the low, and it is expected to reach the 2470 area again this week. This week, we need to focus on the previous two double-needle bottoming positions around 2470. In terms of the closing of the weekly and daily lines, the downward trend is obvious, and it is expected to continue to bottom out. If the position cannot be supported, then the profit of gold shorts will definitely fall sharply. In terms of intraday operations, long orders are not considered for the time being. Short orders can be participated in the rebound near 2508 Detailed intraday operation strategy: Short gold rebounds at 2508, defend 2515, target 2495-2480
TVC:GOLDShort
by David_strategy
1