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Gold fluctuates downward. Do not short blindly.Today, gold is in a consolidation downward trend, with the lowest point reaching around 3296; it has rebounded slightly to around 3310. From the overall market, gold is indeed in a short trend. However, do not continue to short, which is very dangerous. Because from the hourly chart, although the low point of gold is constantly refreshing, the key hourly chart support range position has not yet broken. So, here I may think that gold may still be tempting to short in the short term. There is still a possibility of a pullback here on the hourly chart. From the current point of view, there is still a probability of a pullback to 3320-30 before the range is broken. In terms of the next operation, I suggest that you can pay attention to 3320-30. However, if it really pulls up again, as long as it does not stand above 3330 again. Then, we can short here at 3320-30. On the contrary, if the rebound directly breaks above 3340, then be careful. The rebound may turn into a trend reversal, and it is very likely to replicate the rhythm at the beginning of last week.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Quaid_1
EURUSD Setup Scenario A – Bearish Continuation: 🔻 Sell near 1.17300–1.17340 (Resistance Zone) 🎯 Target: 1.17200 or lower 📉 Stop Loss: Above 1.17350 Scenario B – Bullish Breakout: 🔼 Buy if price breaks above 1.17350 with volume 🎯 Target: Next resistance zone (e.g., 1.17450 or more) 📉 Stop Loss: Below 1.17280 🧠 Summary: Market is consolidating after a drop. Watching for breakout above resistance or breakdown below support for next move. Currently, the bias is slightly bearish, but breakout scenarios must be monitored.
Short
by Harry_Megat
Trump's new tariffs are coming, will gold soar? ✏Hello everyone, let's comment on the gold price next week (July 7, 2025-July 11, 2025) . ⭐️Gold Information: This week, the spot gold price showed a trend of rising first and then falling. From Monday to Wednesday, driven by safe-haven demand and the weakness of the US dollar, the gold price recorded three consecutive increases, climbing rapidly from US$3,271/ounce to the intraday high of US$3,365/ounce on Wednesday afternoon, showing strong upward momentum. However, on Thursday, before the release of the June non-farm payrolls data, market sentiment turned, and the gold price plummeted to US$3,312/ounce, the largest single-day drop in the week. On Friday, affected by the light trading during the US Independence Day holiday, the gold price fluctuated between US$3,330 and US$3,355/ounce, closing at around US$3,337/ounce, up about 1.91% for the week. U.S. President Donald Trump announced that the U.S. will begin sending formal letters to trading partners on Friday, ahead of a July 9 deadline, outlining new tariffs ranging from 10% to 70%, which will take effect on August 1. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessant added that a series of trade agreements are expected before the deadline, with an estimated 100 countries facing reciprocal tariffs of at least 10%. He also hinted that some agreements will be announced soon. ⭐️Labaron personal comment: Gold prices continue to consolidate sideways, fluctuating in the 3242-3450 range The following important key areas have been identified: Resistance: $3362, $3393, $3446 Support: $3312, $3279, $3241
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by labaronAA
Gold continues to fluctuate. The direction is uncertain.Gold prices did not have a large continuation breakthrough on Friday due to the impact of the US Independence Day holiday; although the non-agricultural data on Thursday fell rapidly under the unfavorable conditions and formed a bottoming-out situation, the short-term bulls and bears were once again in a deadlock. After a small sideways movement on Friday morning, it rose again. Although it did not break through the upper pressure line of 3345, it still closed in the form of a positive line, which also gave the bulls hope to dominate next week. At present, the upper key pressure is still maintained at the 3345 line, which is also the first point for the bulls to break through. Once the upper breakthrough is successful, the next target will be maintained at around 3365-3380. The support below is maintained at around 3325. If this position is broken down on Monday, the support of 3325 will not be maintained, and the bears will continue to open the downward channel. But overall, the market direction is still unclear, and we can conduct trial transactions. Go long when the price falls back to 3325 on Monday in the Asian market, the profit range is 3340-3350, and the stop loss is 3315. If the European market continues to strengthen, you can still go long. If the European market continues to strengthen, we can still continue to go long. Otherwise, we still need to adjust our thinking in a timely manner.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Quaid_1
XAU/USD possible shorts from 3,350 towards 3,290 longsThis week, my focus is on a potential sell setup that could form within the 4-hour supply zone, which is currently near price. I’ll be patiently watching for signs of Wyckoff distribution within this point of interest (POI), which could confirm a short opportunity. Given that price action has been bearish, this would be a pro-trend setup, especially with the visible liquidity resting below that we can look to target. Additionally, there is an 8-hour demand zone further below, which may provide a potential long opportunity once price reaches that level. Confluences for GOLD Sells: - Bearish market structure: Gold has been trending downward and has recently left behind a clean, unmitigated 4-hour supply zone, which could prompt a bearish reaction. - Liquidity targets below: There's significant liquidity under recent lows, including Asia session lows and the 8-hour demand zone, which can be targeted. - DXY correlation: The dollar has reacted strongly from a notable demand zone, suggesting potential upside for DXY, which may add bearish pressure on gold. - Higher timeframe Wyckoff: A Wyckoff distribution pattern has also formed on the higher timeframe, which may indicate temporary bearish order flow. P.S. If price disrespects the current 4-hour supply zone, I will shift focus to an extreme 3-hour supply zone above. Until price reaches that level, I may look for short-term buy setups to trade the move up. Wishing everyone a great and profitable trading week! Stay disciplined and manage risk accordingly.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Hassan_fx
Gold - The final resistance breakout!Gold - TVC:GOLD - prepares a final rally: (click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻) Over the past 12 months, Gold rallied more than +70%. However the past three months clearly rejected a major horizontal resistance. But price action on the smaller timeframe remains incredibly bullish. Therefore an all time high breakout will most likely follow. Levels to watch: $3.500 Keep your long term vision! Philip (BasicTrading)
TVC:GOLDLong
by basictradingtv
21
Gold Pulls Back After Strong US NFP Data📊 Market Overview: U.S. June Non-Farm Payrolls came in at 147,000 vs. 110,000 expected, strengthening the dollar and reducing expectations for a July Fed rate cut. As a result, gold dropped nearly 1%, trading in the $3,328–3,332 zone 📉 Technical Analysis: • Key Resistance: $3,350 – $3,360 • Immediate Support: $3,322 – $3,328 • EMA: Price has fallen below the 09 EMA, indicating a bearish short-term trend. • Candle/Volume/Momentum: A strong bearish candle with increased volume shows significant selling pressure post-NFP 📌 Outlook: Gold may continue its downtrend in the short term if the dollar remains strong and no fresh bullish triggers emerge. A drop toward $3,322–$3,328 is possible. 💡 Trade Ideas: 🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: $3,342 – $3,345 🎯 TP: $3,322 ❌ SL: $3,348 🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: $3,322 – $3,325 🎯 TP: $3,345 ❌ SL: $3,316
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mian-FXSignals
U.S. stocks are closed, how to operate gold volatility📰 News information： 1. Geopolitical situation 2. Tariff implementation and interest rate cut bill 📈 Technical Analysis： Gold has maintained a volatile pattern recently, lacking a sustained unilateral trend. The unclear short-term direction of DXY has limited the volatility of gold. The market has repeatedly shown a mixture of high-rise decline and downward recovery. It is unable to effectively break through the previous high and lacks the momentum to break downward. The short-term pressure during the day is concentrated on the 3340-3345 line, and the upper middle track is at 3350. If it fails to effectively break above 3350, then gold may fall further. On the contrary, if it can stand above the middle track 33350, then gold may rise further. The short-term support below is near the 3323 line. If it fluctuates during the day, maintain a high-altitude low-multiple cycle. 🎯 Trading Points： SELL 3340-3350 TP 3330-3320-3310 BUY 3320-3310 TP 3340-3350 In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐. FXOPEN:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Allenbrowser-3
XAUUSD Consolidates Below Resistance – A Breakout Imminent?On the 4-hour timeframe (H4), XAUUSD is clearly consolidating just below the key resistance zone near $3,366, forming higher lows and lower highs within a tightening range highlighted by the shaded area. 1. Key Price Action Highlights Price has been forming higher lows, suggesting growing bullish momentum. The $3,366 resistance remains intact – a breakout above this level could confirm bullish continuation. A visible double bottom (W pattern) formed around June 28 hints at a strong technical rebound after a correction phase. 2. Important Support and Resistance Levels Price Level Significance $3,366 – $3,380 Major resistance zone – likely breakout target $3,300 Key near-term support where price recently bounced $3,242 Deeper support – a breakdown here could confirm bearish reversal 3. Suggested Trading Strategy Buy on breakout above $3,366 with strong volume and clear confirmation (e.g., a large-bodied candle closing above resistance). Consider buying on a pullback to the $3,320 – $3,300 zone for better risk-reward. Stay cautious if price breaks below $3,300 – this could signal a bearish shift in momentum. Gold is currently in a tight consolidation phase under major resistance, with bullish structure still intact. A breakout above $3,366 could trigger a sharp move upward. Until then, traders should monitor the lower boundaries for potential pullbacks or invalidation signals.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Henrybillion
2
GOLD (XAUUSD) 4H Technical Analysis – Channel Breakout & Target🧠 Executive Summary: The GOLD market has completed a key structural shift following a successful bearish trendline breakout, and is now trading within a well-formed ascending price channel. Price action has recently bounced from the channel support area, which aligns closely with a retested zone that was previously resistance. All signs now point to a potential continuation of the bullish leg—but only if the current structure holds. This analysis outlines the technical foundation, key trading zones, price action psychology, and risk management factors that define this setup. 🔍 Technical Breakdown 🔸 1. Trendline Breakout – The Structural Shift The bearish trendline, which previously capped multiple upside moves throughout June, has finally been broken. The breakout was accompanied by higher volume and larger bullish candles, indicating momentum. After the breakout, price pulled back near the trendline and respected the newly flipped support zone. This forms a classic Breakout–Retest–Continuation pattern, one of the most reliable in trend reversal scenarios. 🔸 2. Formation of Ascending Channel – A New Bullish Structure After the breakout, price action established a consistent pattern of higher highs and higher lows, confirming the birth of a new ascending channel. The channel support (around 3,320–3,330) has been tested multiple times and held strong. The channel resistance lies between 3,390–3,400, which is now the next short-term target if bulls maintain control. The channel offers both trend direction and entry timing opportunities as price bounces between its boundaries. 🔸 3. Retest Zone – Buyer’s Territory The price is currently bouncing off the mid-channel zone, where the previous downtrend resistance overlaps with current channel support. This confluence area is where smart money often enters after institutional accumulation at the base (around 3,270). The bullish wick rejections around this zone signal a likely continuation toward the upper channel. 📈 Price Behavior & Market Psychology What’s happening here isn't just lines and candles—there’s a psychological story unfolding: Fear drove the market lower, respecting the bearish trendline until late June. Hope and buyer aggression surged once the breakout confirmed. Now we’re in the "belief" phase, where traders await confirmation of the new trend. Many are watching for entry confirmation at support zones, and as long as fear doesn’t return (i.e., price breaking below 3,320), the structure remains valid. 🧭 Key Technical Levels to Watch Level Type Price Range Notes Major Support Zone 3,270–3,285 Key buyer zone, invalidation of bullish case below this Channel Support 3,320–3,330 Retest zone after breakout, current active level Mid-Channel Area 3,350–3,360 Decision zone – price may build momentum here Channel Resistance 3,390–3,400 First bullish target, potential breakout area Breakout Target 3,420–3,440 If price breaks channel resistance with volume 🧮 Trade Setup Ideas (Educational – Not Financial Advice) 🟢 Long Setup Option 1: Entry: Upon confirmation above 3,340–3,345 with bullish engulfing candle or breakout bar. Stop-Loss: Below 3,320 or slightly below channel support. Take Profit: Partial at 3,390 (channel top), full at 3,420–3,440 breakout zone. R:R Ratio: 1:2.5+ (highly favorable) 🔴 Bearish Scenario (Risk Management) If price closes below 3,320 with momentum, expect a revisit to the 3,270–3,285 support. This invalidates the current bullish channel structure and might bring in short-term bearish pressure. Avoid long positions until new structure is formed. 🧠 Educational Takeaway for Traders This analysis highlights the importance of: Structure-based entries: Instead of chasing candles, you wait for confluence and entry triggers. Multiple timeframe confirmation: Higher timeframes also show bullish bias, giving confidence to 4H trades. Risk management: The current setup allows tight stop losses relative to potential reward, making it attractive. By combining trendline breakouts, channel formations, and support/resistance flips, you significantly increase the probability of a successful trade. 📌 Final Thoughts: Gold is giving traders a clean and structured opportunity. The market has shown strength through structure, not just random price spikes. With the ascending channel intact and price respecting support zones, there is a solid foundation for a bullish continuation toward 3,400 and beyond. But as always, confirmation is key. Wait for price action to validate your bias, and never ignore risk management.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
1
Non-farm data exceeded expectations. Will prices fall temporarilInformation summary: Affected by the US Independence Day, the June non-farm data was released in advance. This non-farm data surprised the market, far below expectations and previous values, with a significant increase in employment exceeding expectations and previous values, and a sharp drop in unemployment to 4.1%. The market bet that the July rate cut plan would be directly scrapped. After the employment data was released, the gold price quickly plummeted to $3,312, but the sharp drop in the market had poor continuity and ultimately did not form a unilateral decline. Market analysis: Due to the US Independence Day holiday, the US market was closed. In fact, the only thing left for us is the Asian and European markets. And today is the last trading day of this week, and the market is likely to maintain a state of consolidation. From the 1-hour chart, the price fell after testing the 3,360 high twice. The negative impact of the non-farm data accelerated the decline, and the decline did not continue, and a new support level was formed near 3,323 after the decline. At present, the price is impacting around 3,345, and the bulls are expected to rebound upward and return to the upward trend. I think the current market continues to rebound, with the lower low of 3323 as the dividing point, and high sell and low buy operations in the consolidation area of ​​3320-3350. This is the last trading day of this week. I wish all traders a perfect ending and a perfect weekend.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Quaid_1
Gold fluctuates during the day, short-term profits will be left 📌Main driving events of gold The big non-agricultural data in the United States caused the gold price to fall by almost 40 US dollars in one breath, but after a short emotional storm, the market returned to calm. Today's market began to bottom out and rise. As of now, the non-agricultural market has been backed by 50%, and the energy of the shorts has been basically digested. Next, the bulls will start to exert their strength! Today's direction is still the same and continue to be bullish! 📊Comment analysis In the US market, the gold price rebounded after the decline and the bottom of the second retracement appeared. The support level is 3322. After a night of fluctuations, gold has begun to rise, and the low point has begun to rise. The key point of the day is still 3323. In the morning, we wait for the gold price to fall back to around 3323 and we will buy the bottom and go long. We don’t expect to surpass yesterday’s high point during the day, but at least it will go to 3350! 💰Strategy Package Long position: Gold long at 3322-3327, stop loss 3315, target 3350-3360 ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by labaronAA
1
Gold - This is the official top!Gold - TVC:GOLD - might top out soon: (click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻) Since Gold confirmed its rounding bottom in 2019 it rallied more than +200%. Especially the recent push higher has been quite aggressive, squeezing all bears. But now Gold is somehow unable to create new all time highs, which could constitute the a top formation. Levels to watch: $3.500, $3.000 Keep your long term vision🙏🙏 Philip (BasicTrading)
TVC:GOLDShort
by basictradingtv
6
Will the NFP impact cause the bear market to dominate?📰 News information： 1. Initial jobless claims and NFP data 2. The final decision of the Federal Reserve 📈 Technical Analysis： In the previous post, I have stated that if the hourly line closes above 3320, gold will fall into high consolidation in the short term. Currently, gold fluctuates narrowly in the short term. I think now we just need to be patient and wait for key points to enter the market. The daily and weekly lines clearly show that the high point of the oscillation range is constantly moving up, and the center of gravity continues to rise. The current market is quietly accumulating momentum, and a new round of weekly and monthly lines are about to rise. Therefore, first of all, I will pay attention to the defensive point below 3320, and then refresh the point below is the previously mentioned 3315-3305. If the point below is touched to get effective support, you can consider going long. Bros who trade independently must strictly set TP and SL to avoid the impact of market fluctuations. 🎯 Trading Points： BUY 3320-3315-3310 TP 3330-3340-3360 In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, confronting your mistakes, and strictly disciplining yourself. I hope my analysis can help you🌐. FXOPEN:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Allenbrowser-3
XAU/USD (GOLD) H1 Chart Outlook – Supply & Demand PerspectiveGold is currently consolidating in a tight range near the 3355–3358 zone, showing indecision ahead of a potential breakout. Based on supply and demand dynamics, here’s what to watch: --- 🔼 Bullish Scenario If the H4 candle closes above 3365, this would confirm a bullish breakout above the immediate supply zone. In that case, expect upside momentum to target key resistance levels: 🎯 3385 – Minor resistance 🎯 3400 – Major resistance and potential reversal zone A confirmed breakout with strong volume could open room for a short-term bullish rally. --- 🔽 Bearish Scenario On the flip side, if the H4 candle closes below 3340, it would signal weakness and a possible rejection from the current range. This breakdown could shift the momentum to the downside, targeting the following support levels: 🛑 3320 – Near-term support 🛑 3300 – Critical demand zone Failure to hold 3300 could indicate further bearish pressure in the coming sessions.
CAPITALCOM:GOLD
by FX_Mark0
1
Gold Drops as NFP Beats, USD Gains📊 Market Overview: • June’s Non-Farm Payrolls came in stronger than expected at +147K (vs 110K forecast), with unemployment ticking down to 4.1%. • The US Dollar surged (DXY up ~0.5%) and Treasury yields rebounded following the release. • Gold dropped sharply after the report, hitting a session low of $3,311 and is now trading around $3,328. 📉 Technical Analysis: • Key Resistance: $3,364 • Immediate Support: $3,311 • EMA 09 (H1): Price is below the 09 EMA → confirms short-term bearish trend. • Pattern / Momentum: A bearish engulfing candle near $3,364 signaled strong seller control. The failure to bounce afterward suggests persistent bearish pressure. RSI is tilting lower, confirming weakening momentum. 📌 Outlook: Gold may continue to decline toward the $3,300–$3,290 area if USD and yields remain firm, especially if upcoming US data (such as ISM Services PMI) also supports the dollar strength. 💡 Suggested Trade Setup: 🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: $3,333 – $3,335 🎯 TP: $3,300 ❌ SL: $3,339 🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: $3,293 – $3,290 🎯 TP: $3,330 ❌ SL: $3,287
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mian-FXSignals
Gold at Key Level Before NFP – Big Move Loading ?📉 Fundamental Analysis Gold remains in a strong bullish structure, supported by multiple macroeconomic and political drivers: ADP Employment Report Missed Expectations: With a shocking -33K reading, market sentiment shifted firmly against the US Dollar, pushing gold higher. Fed’s Easing Outlook: Markets are now pricing in a 90% probability of a rate cut in Q3, weakening real yields and supporting demand for gold. Trump’s “Super Bill” Momentum: Political cohesion among Republicans has re-ignited fiscal stimulus expectations, fuelling concerns over long-term US debt sustainability—another tailwind for gold as a safe haven. 🧠 Smart Money Technical Framework (H1) Price has moved into a Premium FVG Zone, showing signs of potential exhaustion after forming a clear CHoCH and bullish BOS. The current zone (3,375 – 3,376) aligns with a mid-risk sell region, where price may experience short-term rejection before revisiting demand zones. Market structure suggests liquidity sweep potential towards the downside before any continuation of the larger bullish trend. 📊 Trading Strategy – Smart Money Zones & Key Levels 🔵 BUY SCALP: 3,334 – 3,333 🔴 SL: 3,329 ✅ TP: 3,340 → 3,344 → 3,350 → 3,360 🔵 BUY ZONE LOW RISK: 3,317 – 3,316 🔴 SL: 3,311 ✅ TP: 3,320 → 3,325 → 3,330 → 3,336 → 3,345 → 3,350 → 3,360 🔴 SELL SCALP ZONE: 3,375 – 3,376 🔴 SL: 3,380 ✔️ TP: 3,370 → 3,366 → 3,360 → 3,355 → 3,350 🔴 SELL ZONE HIGH PROBABILITY: 3,388 – 3,390 🔴 SL: 3,394 ✔️ TP: 3,384 → 3,380 → 3,376 → 3,370 → 3,366 → 3,360 📌 Notes: Be cautious ahead of NFP data and the upcoming US bank holiday—expect liquidity traps and sudden volatility. This setup is ideal for intraweek scalping and liquidity-based reversals. All trades follow Smart Money Concepts logic: premium vs. discount zones, CHoCH + BOS confirmations, and institutional order flow anticipation.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by EliseLunaTraders
Possible Heads & Shoulders FormingWhen you see the inverse Heads n Shoulders forming, its hard to unsee it. I love this because it's lining up perfectly with the VAL of the intra day range and LVN ..This long trade is in line with my last week and current week forecast. We already hit TP1, TP2 is looking very likely after the pullback is done. We are currently sitting at the POC, so expect some condolidation. Especially since we have ADP Non-Farm 2morow & Thurs. The news is the only thing that can throw a wrench into this setup. Be sure to check out my last tradingview post and also checkout the weekly recap and weekly forecast videos i just posted on our youtube channel breaking down the in-depth analysis of this trade so you can understand my thought process on how it use Trend & Volume to execute this trade. Link is in my bio. DEFINITIIONS POC - Point of Control VAL - Value Area Low LVN - Low Volume Node Study up on those. CHEERS
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by ExoProtocol
1
Gold non-agricultural layout strategy 💡Message Strategy Small non-farm data "big surprise" The ADP employment report released on Wednesday showed that the number of private employment in the United States decreased by 33,000 in June, the first decline since March 2023. Economists surveyed previously expected the number to increase by 100,000 on average. The ADP employment report showed that the number of private employment in the United States fell for the first time in more than two years in June, indicating that the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates as early as September. Spot gold closed up $18.20 on Wednesday at $3,356.90 per ounce. Bednarik pointed out that gold has gained upward momentum recently, with a gold price target of $3,373.50 per ounce. The "big surprise" of the ADP data suggests a weak non-farm payrolls report in June. 📊Technical aspects 1. The daily line was the support line for the rise in the previous month. It fell back very hard last week and turned into suppression. It was tested repeatedly and finally a big Yin hit the lower track of the pattern. However, it started at a low point this week and rose steadily. Now it has returned to the top of the lifeline again. At this point, the space will consider switching again. 2. The four-hour pattern opens slightly upward, with the lifeline 3330 as the dividing line between strength and weakness. Hold here and climb upward step by step. 3. The double lines on the hourly chart formed a dead cross after breaking through and turning into pressure last week, which helped to further increase the volume and fall by more than 100 US dollars. After breaking through and standing on it this time, it turned into support. The double line range is 3332-3342. This area is used as the boundary to switch between the upper and lower spaces. The support line for the bulls to dominate is the upper rail position of 3332, and the support line for the bulls to sweep is the lower rail position of 3316 💰Strategy Package Long Position:3332-3340，SL：3316，Target: 3400
TVC:GOLDLong
by TheodoreSilas
1
Buying the Dip or Catching a Knife? My Gold Setup Explained.Entered a long position on XAU/USD from the 1H demand zone following sharp intraday selling into a key support level. With gold hovering near $3,300 and a significant testimony from Fed Chair Powell on deck, the setup aligns with both technical rebound potential and fundamental uncertainty that could fuel upside. The goal here is to play the liquidity vacuum left after aggressive positioning was cleared, with tight invalidation and asymmetric reward. Technicals: • Entry aligned with prior price inefficiency and confluence of multiple demand zones • 1H structure shows clear deviation below the range with immediate buy-side response • EMA channel flattening, indicating potential compression ahead of expansion • First target: $3,352 • Risk-managed with defined stop-loss below $3,260 Execution Note: This is not a “hold forever” trade. It’s an opportunistic reaction to unwind + sentiment imbalance. Fundamentals • Gold saw a 25% surge in 2024 due to safe-haven demand and dovish policy, but enters 2025 under pressure from: ▫️ A strong USD ▫️ Higher cost of carry ▫️ Speculators taking profit • Fed policy remains the core variable: ▫️ A hawkish tone from Powell could weigh on price ▫️ Rate cuts would likely revive bullish momentum • Central bank demand remains supportive • Geopolitical tensions (Russia-Ukraine, Israel-Iran) could trigger safe-haven bids again. Bearish headwinds: • Waning bullish momentum per RSI divergence • Reduced rate cut expectations post-election • Powell’s testimony could revive volatility either way. This is a short-term tactical long, not a macro bet. With sentiment temporarily overextended and key support defended intraday, this is a high R/R window to exploit Powell-related volatility. Let’s see how price reacts into $3,350+. Any sustained strength there would open room toward $3,400, while failure would confirm a retest of $3,260s. Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by AR33_
Gold grows, recovers near 3390 📣Gold News Gold prices edged higher during the North American trading session as investors turned their attention to the upcoming U.S. non-farm payrolls report (NFP), which could influence the Fed's next policy move. The latest labor data showed that companies are pausing hiring rather than laying off employees, reflecting caution in an uncertain economic environment. Meanwhile, Microsoft's decision to lay off 9,000 employees has heightened concerns about a weak labor market. Traders are currently awaiting the official employment report from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics on Thursday, which is expected to show 110,000 new jobs in June, down from 139,000 in May. The unemployment rate is expected to rise slightly to 4.3%, still within the 4.4% range of its forecast according to the Fed's latest summary of economic projections. 📣 Technical Analysis NF is worth buying before the news release, holding. The dollar continues to be under selling pressure from investors worried about the Trump administration's erratic tariff policy. 💰Set Gold Price: 💰Sell Gold Zone: 3390-3398 SL 3405 TP1: 3380 USD TP2: 3363 USD TP3: 3350 USD 💰Buy Gold Zone: 3296-3294 USD SL 3289 USD TP1: 3308 USD TP2: 3318 USD TP3: 3330 USD ⭐️Technical Analysis: Set reasonable buy orders based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support and resistance areas.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by labaronAA