The mouth can't drive gold up
💡Message Strategy
US President Trump announced that the deadline for EU trade negotiations will be extended to July 9, and at the same time withdrew the threat of a 50% tariff on EU goods originally scheduled for June 1. This decision marks a phased easing of US-EU trade tensions, leading to a significant cooling of market risk aversion.
The statement of European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen revealed the key reason for the extension: "The EU needs more time to reach a comprehensive agreement that is beneficial to both sides." It is worth noting that just three days ago on May 23, Trump also threatened to impose high tariffs on EU cars and other goods in a tough manner, and even considered wielding the tariff stick against iPhones produced outside the United States. These remarks pushed the gold price up more than 2% in a single day.
📊Technical aspects
At present, the direction of gold is only a correction and decline. The market is not driven by words. The idea of gold trend that has been emphasized last week is to pull back to high altitudes. Facts have proved that gold cannot break through the high pressure position.
All the news is filled with the atmosphere of gold rising. The truth is often in the hands of a few people. We should correctly judge the changes in the market and not blindly follow them.
💰 Strategy Package
Short Position:3340-3350,3360-3370
Goldprice
XAU/USD 27 May 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 22 May 2025.
In my analysis from 12 May 2025, I noted that price had yet to target the weak internal high, including on the H4 timeframe. This aligns with the ongoing corrective bearish pullback across higher timeframes, so a bearish internal Break of Structure (iBOS) was a likely outcome.
As anticipated, price targeted strong internal low, confirming a bearish iBOS.
Price has remained within the internal range for an extended period and has yet to target the weak internal low. A contributing factor could be the bullish nature of the H4 timeframe's internal range, which has reacted from a discounted level at 50% of the internal equilibrium (EQ).
Intraday Expectation:
Technically price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,120.765.
Alternative scenario:
Price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance and persistent geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Gold plummeted? Here comes the latest analysis.Today, the gold market continued its downward trend. It failed to break through the key resistance level of $3,365 in the early stage, and then fell under pressure. It is a normal price adjustment for the Asian market to break through the previous support level. The current price fluctuates around the strong support of $3,300. Coupled with several news to be released in the United States, the price trend is full of uncertainty. In this period of time, I don’t think it is suitable for shorting.
From the 4-hour chart, gold has insufficient upward momentum. After failing to break through the upward resistance level for a long time, it began to decline.
In the market last week, the price has always fluctuated between $3,330 and $3,365. In the narrow range of fluctuations, once a new trend appears, whether it is upward or downward, it may accelerate the price fluctuation range in a very short time; this is an instant release after accumulating energy. This is why the Asian markets suddenly started to move downward.
From the current market situation, the bulls are under great pressure, which is completely different from the strong upward pattern last week. At present, the trend of gold is more dominated by weak fluctuations.
Based on the current trend, we still follow the strategy of high-altitude and low-volume trading in our operations.
Gold May Undergo Short-Term Correction as USD Rebounds📊 Market Overview
Gold (XAU/USD) is trading around $3,309/oz after retreating from the $3,350 region during the Asian session today. Selling pressure emerged as U.S. Treasury yields rose and the USD rebounded slightly, despite expectations of potential Fed rate cuts in the near future.
📉 Technical Analysis
• Key Resistance: $3,350
• Nearest Support: $3,290
• EMA 09: Current price is below the EMA 09, indicating a short-term bearish trend.
• The downtrend is confirmed by bearish candlestick patterns and increasing trading volume in recent sessions.
📌 Outlook
Gold may continue its short-term correction if the USD continues to rebound and U.S. Treasury yields remain elevated. However, long-term support factors such as concerns over U.S. national debt and expectations of Fed rate cuts persist.
Gold continues to fluctuate. Interval analysis.Market analysis:
Gold opened slightly lower on Monday and fell to around 3331 before rebounding. After being blocked near 3357, it began to fluctuate and fall. The lowest point in the European session fell to around 3324, and then the market stopped falling and fluctuated and rose. The US session continued to rise, and the daily line closed with a small negative line with a lower shadow.
Gold showed a big positive trend last Friday, and closed negative on Monday for adjustment. The current 5-day moving average and the 10-day moving average form a golden cross and continue upward. This moving average pattern shows a certain bullish momentum. In the short term, focus on the support of the 5-day moving average, which is currently around 3330. When the price is above this moving average, the market fluctuates mainly on the strong side.
The upper resistance level first looks at around 3365, which is the high point of last Friday. Before the price does not break through this resistance level strongly, the volatile market will remain.
On the whole, today's focus will be on the support of the 3330-3326 area below, and the focus will be on the resistance near 3365 above.
Operation strategy:
Short at rebound near 3365, stop loss at 3375, profit range 3345-3330
Long at retracement near 3326, stop loss at 3316, profit range 3350-3370
Gold fluctuates at high levels, long and short profit ideas
📌 Driving events
On Sunday, U.S. President Donald Trump announced that plans to impose 50% tariffs on the European Union would be postponed until July 9, easing concerns about an imminent escalation in trade hostilities. This development reduced immediate risk aversion in the market, putting pressure on gold prices.
Nevertheless, investors' attention now turns to the FOMC minutes released on Wednesday, which may further clarify the Fed's monetary policy outlook. At the same time, market participants will continue to pay attention to trade negotiations between the United States and Japan and other major economies. Any new tensions or setbacks in these negotiations could quickly restore demand for gold as a protective hedge.
📊Comment Analysis
Gold prices fell slightly after the official announcement of the tariff extension and continued to climb
💰Strategy Package
🔥Selling area: 3388-3390 SL 3395
TP1: $3376
TP2: $3363
TP3: $3350
🔥Buying area: $3301-$3299 SL $3294
TP1: $3312
TP2: $3325
TP3: $3338
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the capital account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the capital account
USD/JPY(20250526)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Fed's Goolsbee: 50% EU tariffs are an order of magnitude different from the current situation. Such a high tariff level will have a serious impact on the supply chain. In the short term, the Fed needs to wait for the situation to become clear, and the threshold for action is high before then. There is still a possibility of rate cuts in the next 10 to 16 months
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
143.04
Support and resistance levels:
144.77
144.12
143.70
142.37
141.95
141.30
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 143.04, consider buying, the first target price is 143.70
If the price breaks through 142.37, consider selling, the first target price is 141.95
Analysis of the new round of gold trendMarket news:
Spot gold fluctuated in early Asian trading on Monday (May 26). After US President Trump postponed his plan to impose a 50% tariff on the European Union on Sunday, US stock index futures rose strongly by more than 1% on Monday, putting international gold under slight pressure. However, surveys show that most analysts and retail investors tend to be bullish on the future of gold.Global stock markets plummeted last Friday, and the appeal of gold as a safe-haven asset increased with geopolitical and economic uncertainties. Trump once again issued a tariff threat, and coupled with the weakening of the US dollar, investors sought to hedge in gold. The price of gold rose by more than 2% last Friday, the best performance in six weeks! This week, the market will be closed on Monday due to Memorial Day. Key data include: Tuesday: April durable goods orders, May consumer confidence index, New Zealand Reserve Bank interest rate decision Wednesday: Federal Reserve May FOMC meeting minutes (pay attention to the softening signal of interest rate cut stance) Thursday: Initial jobless claims, US first quarter GDP revision, existing home sales, Friday: Core PCE price index (Fed's preferred inflation indicator)
Operation ideas:
Short-term gold 3330-3340 long, stop loss 3312, target 3350-3370;
Short-term gold 3350-3355 short, stop loss 3377, target 3320-3300;
Key points:
First support level: 3325, second support level: 3313, third support level: 3290
First resistance level: 3368, second resistance level: 3387, third resistance level: 3410
Technical review: Gold closed strongly on the weekly chart, and the daily chart formed a two-yang and one-yin multi-cannon pattern. At present, the daily chart MA10/7-day moving average keeps opening and gradually moves up to 3270/90, and the price stands above the 3300 mark Bollinger band middle track, and the MA5-day moving average moves up to 3320. The RSI indicator runs above the middle axis, and the price runs in a buy structure. The Bollinger Bands of the short-term four-hour chart and the hourly chart open upward, and the price is running in the middle and upper track of the Bollinger Bands. The MA10/7-day moving average four-hour chart remains open upward. The trading idea of the gold week at the beginning is to buy at a low price and sell at a high price. Support 3336/25. The far-end support hourly chart rising trend line 3313 and the daily chart MA7 day moving average and the Bollinger Band middle track position 3290. The upper resistance 3368/3386 far-end resistance previous high 3410/35 top and bottom conversion position.
Today's analysis:
Gold opened lower in the early trading on Monday, and the risk aversion sentiment was alleviated. Since the US market closed early today, gold may not have a large unilateral market. Today, it is still mainly selling at high prices and buying at low prices. Be flexible in operation, don't just buy or sell blindly, and adjust at any time according to the strength of the market! The 1-hour moving average of gold continues to buy, but the momentum begins to slow down, so gold may start to fluctuate. In addition, the risk aversion sentiment is relieved, so gold may start to fluctuate with a high probability. Pay attention to the suppression of last week's high point 3368 on the top, and pay attention to the support near 3313 on the bottom. Gold can be sold at a high price and bought at a low price within the range today. If the news changes and breaks through the range of fluctuations, then follow the trend.
XAU/USD latest analysisTechnical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
3336
Support and resistance levels:
3414
3385
3366
3306
3287
3258
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 3366, consider buying, the first target price is 3385
If the price breaks through 3336, consider selling, the first target price is 3306
[20250526] Gold - True Bull or Liquidity Trap This Week?Key Dynamic Levels Guide: Previous Grey/Black, Green/Magenta, and Red/Blue dynamic levels mark important zones where Smart Money (SM) has positioned itself. These levels are crucial liquidity pools, as support and resistance (S/R) frequently revisit these zones. Check their values by hovering your mouse for guidance before proceeding.
4H key-level confluence can be refer in published Idea titled: Gold – Structural Bull Bias - One Leg Down Still Anticipated? refer the related post --->
📊 Weekly Market Intent – Gold Analysis
Gold has recently tested the 3360+ zone, showing renewed bullish momentum. However, system-based structure mapping suggests that this move might still be part of a broader setup—rather than a confirmed breakout.
📌 Market Structure & Key Levels
A possible ABCDE triangle structure remains in play, where price is either concluding Wave-C or initiating Wave-D. If this formation holds, a pullback toward 3044–2950 could materialize before Wave-E completes and resumes the larger bullish trend.
The market also aligns with a potential 3-Drive bearish trap, where recent highs attract late buyers before deeper liquidity moves unfold.
🔹 Key Dynamic Levels (4H Confluence):
Bull VAH (Grey Line): 3317.52 – Key retracement level in a bullish environment.
Bull POC (Light Green): 3313.55 – Defines bullish sentiment zone.
Blue Line (Bull Bias Limit): 3254.26 – A breach would indicate deeper pullback risk.
Red Line (Bear Bias Limit): 3369.81 – A decisive break suggests bullish continuation.
Liquidity Levels: 3401.21 (upper target) | 3212.57 (lower target).
🧐 Market Sentiment & Next Move
Current sentiment indicates bullish bias with bear presence, as the market attempts lower support levels before a bullish continuation.
Bullish Continuation: Price moving past 3366 could signal a breakout, with unconfirmed top resistance levels remaining untested before further upside.
Bearish Presence: Below 3313.55, sell-side pressure could intensify. Below the bull bias limit (3254.26), deeper downside traction suggests a short-cycle bearish move until a rebound occurs above the newly formed dynamic bear bias limit.
🧠 Reversal / Invalidation Conditions
Bullish Strength Holds: Trading above 3253.57, with unsuccessful bear attempts, suggests bullish sentiment remains intact.
Bearish Shift: A failed support at 3290 and successful retest reinforce downside pressure. Momentum and volume remain key for validating the shift.
📌 System-Based Order Limits
Daily Order Limits
Buy: 3350.95 | SL: 3281.20 | TP: 3399.82
Sell: 3302.39 | SL: 3372.14 | TP: 3253.52
Weekly Order Limits
Buy: 3335.02 | SL: 3192.49 | TP: 3434.89
Sell: 3235.80 | SL: 3378.33 | TP: 3135.93
Monthly Order Limits
Buy: 3374.47 | SL: 3097.33 | TP: 3568.65
Sell: 3181.54 | SL: 3458.68 | TP: 2987.36
📌 Final Insight
Market intent unfolds dynamically, and structure-driven decision-making ensures anticipation zones remain valuable references.
📢 Gawai Festival Notice: As I’ll be away for the season’s harvest festival, I may not provide further updates on next shifts. However, this weekly confluence bias should guide traders in navigating market ranges effectively.
Stay disciplined, wait for liquidity validation, and let Smart Money footprints lead the way.
Wishing all traders a profitable week ahead! See you next week. 🚀
How to plan for gold price box fluctuations🗞News side:
1. The situation between Russia and Ukraine escalated again
2. Israel in the Gaza Strip was once again criticized by the international community
📈Technical aspects:
After gold opened lower today, it fell into a small box-shaped shock in the short term. It seems that the situation in Russia and Ukraine and the Middle East over the weekend did not have further impact on the gold price. The gold daily level closed with a positive line again, injecting new vitality into the trading space last week. These two rounds of rise not only successfully crossed the resistance level of 3250 last Monday, but also further broke through the suppression of 3320, showing a clear upward trend. The current volatility is more like a correction after breaking through the previous high! Last Friday, the price failed to break through the 3370 line several times and encountered resistance continuously, which shows that the pressure from above is still relatively strong! Due to the particularity of today's market trading, the technical side of the hourly chart shows a downward trend. The European session temporarily focuses on the 3350-3355 line resistance, and the 3330-3320 support is seen below.
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold – Structural Bull Bias - One Leg Down Still Anticipated?Overview:
Gold has shown renewed bullish momentum, recently testing the 3360+ zone. While the rally appears impulsive, system-based structure mapping suggests it may still be part of a broader setup — not the true breakout.
We're observing a possible ABCDE triangle structure, where price is either concluding Wave-C or initiating Wave-D. If this scenario holds, the market could revisit levels below 3044, possibly toward 2950–3000, before completing Wave-E and resuming the larger bullish move.
This aligns with a potential 3-Drive bearish trap, where current highs serve to attract buyers before a deeper liquidity move unfolds.
❗ If the 3-Drive pattern is invalidated and price sustains above 3366, the downside leg may already be complete — meaning Wave-E might be in progress.
🔍 Market Intention
Signs of liquidity hunting above 3360 hint at unfinished business by Smart Money (SM) - drawing in late buyers.
Market may be positioning to sweep lows before revealing its actual direction.
🎯 Action Zone
Anticipate rejection or weakness in the 3360–3370 resistance zone.
If a lower high confirms here → potential downside toward the 3040–2950 zone.
If price breaks and holds above 3366 impulsively, it may signal early Wave-E continuation.
Bullish setups become favorable below 3044, where liquidity is likely absorbed — confirmation from the system remains key before acting.
📌 System-Based Order Limits (4H–Daily Confluence)
Bias >Entry Zone >Stop Loss (SL) >Take Profit (TP)
Sell Setup >3354.33 >3364.14 >3342.15
Buy Setup >3345.86 >3336.05 >3358.04
📌 System-Based Order Limits (Daily–Weekly–Monthly Confluence)
Levels derived based on structured order-flow logic. Not financial advice. Use them as context for anticipation and invalidation.
🔹 Daily Order Limits
Bias Entry Level Stop Loss (SL) Take Profit (TP)
Buy 3350.95 3281.20 3399.82
Sell 3302.39 3372.14 3253.52
🔸 Weekly Order Limits
Bias Entry Level Stop Loss (SL) Take Profit (TP)
Buy 3335.02 3192.49 3434.89
Sell 3235.80 3378.33 3135.93
🔻 Monthly Order Limits
Bias Entry Level Stop Loss (SL) Take Profit (TP)
Buy 3374.47 3097.33 3568.65
Sell 3181.54 3458.68 2987.36
🔁 How to Use This Information
Anticipation Zones: These are not "trade calls" — rather, they’re zones of interest where Smart Money might act.
Cross-Validation : Look for price reactions around these levels aligned with structure, volume, and bias thresholds.
Invalidation Clarity: If price breaks and holds above/below the SL levels, reassess the current wave position or pattern unfolding.
🧠 Final Insight
Including these order levels allows traders to:
Frame entries based on their preferred timeframes
See how short-term setups may align or contradict macro levels
Plan decisions more systematically, reducing emotional entries
🧠 Decision Framework
Instead of reacting emotionally, allow structure to lead the logic.
Let the market show its hand — real confirmation comes after traps are complete.
The true opportunity lies after the liquidity event, not during it.
> Timing Consideration: > When price moves past the Red, Grey, Green, and Blue dynamic levels , it signals a potential shift—prompting readiness for entry. However, action should only be taken once a Buy/Sell order signal appears and is confirmed by the next closed candle. This ensures structured execution and prevents premature entries.
💡 This scenario is structured based on system rules, not prediction. Market intent unfolds dynamically — understanding the setup allows better anticipation and discipline.
The key-level to watch for Grey, Green and Blue dynamic level for guides:
Daily TF
Weekly TF
Monthly TF
As of the time writing this update – the micro cycle and key-level are relevant for watch:
2H TF
M45 TF
M15 TF
XAUUSD DAILY OUTLOOK – MAY 26, 2025📍 Current Price: 3,358
Bias: Bullish momentum with “caution” – ready for liquidity sweeps and potential intraday trap moves.
📈 Quick PA/Trend/Risk Check
Trend: Bullish, but price hit major supply; expect high volatility.
Price Action: Multiple daily wicks = indecision, liquidity traps both sides.
RSI: Still in overbought territory on D1, but not at extremes.
EMAs: All trending up, with 21/50 EMA as bounce supports below price.
🌍 Macro/Mood/News
Geopolitics: Middle East + Fed talks = increased headline risk, no clear direction.
News: US inflation, FOMC, and “risk-off” spikes could trigger traps into supply or deep sweeps into demand.
⚡️ How to Use
Don’t chase breakouts!
Wait for M5/M15 confirmation (BOS/CHoCH or engulf) at the above zones.
Watch for liquidity sweeps and fakeouts, especially into 3,415–3,440 and 3,305–3,325.
Use RSI/EMA/FVG as extra confluence for your entry confirmation.
🎯 Key Levels Table – Copy/Paste Ready
POI Level Bias
Premium Trap 3,415–3,440 Watch for fake breakout/sell
Sell Zone 3,388–3,408 Short if rejected strongly
S/R Flip 3,360–3,375 PA Magnet
Support #1 3,305–3,325 Bullish bounce
Support #2 3,199–3,220 Bullish bounce
Deep Discount 3,012–3,040 Last-resort buy
Stay focused, don’t force trades – sniper mode only!
Drop a comment, follow, and join the conversation!
— GoldFxMinds (GoldMindsFX)
XAUUSD[GOLD]: 1 Hour View Show Extreme Seller Volume Gold in a shorter time frame shows extreme bearish volume kicking in the market, where bulls are failing to push prices higher. Additionally, if you’re someone who analyses patterns, a HEAD AND SHOULDERS pattern has also formed. There are three targets you can aim for.
We extend our best wishes and good luck in your trading endeavours. Your unwavering support is greatly appreciated.
If you’d like to contribute, here are a few ways you can assist us:
- Like our ideas
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- Share our ideas
Team Setupsfx_🚀❤️
XAUUSD Monthly Outlook – May 2025👋 Hey GoldMindsFX!
🕰️ Timeframe: Monthly
📍 Current Price: 3,204
📈 Bias: Cautious Bullish-to-Neutral
📏 Trend: Strong long-term bullish, but in monthly exhaustion/cool-off mode
🔍 STRUCTURAL OVERVIEW
BOS (Break of Structure): Confirmed above 2,075 (2020/2022 key resistance).
Rally: Sustained higher highs and strong bullish candles since October 2023.
Current Candle: Huge wick into FIB extension (1.618–2.0) = 3,440–3,500 (top-out risk).
🧠 KEY MONTHLY LEVELS TO WATCH
Type/Zone Price Range Quick Note
🔴 Premium Supply 3,440–3,500 FIB extension (1.618–2.0), big rejection wick, bull exhaustion
🟠 Resistance 3,222–3,242 Prior OB + last BOS area, possible retest zone
⚠️ Mid-Zone 3,160–3,185 Equilibrium, liquidity trap, key short-term support
🟢 Demand 3,050–2,960 Big monthly OB + FVG, unmitigated base, strong support
🔵 Discount 2,950–2,800 Previous reaccumulation, structure demand from 2023 rallies
🗺️ MACRO & MARKET CONTEXT
Geopolitical Tension: Wars, inflation, and Fed confusion (CPI/UoM).
Market Mood: Sentiment weak, uncertainty high after May FOMC & Powell.
Central Bank Flow: Dips bought, but profit-taking near highs — “wait and react” mode.
🧭 SCENARIOS FOR MAY
Bullish Plan: If price holds above 3,160–3,185 ➔ look for re-entry toward 3,240 and possible retest of upper wicks (3,440+).
Needs H4 CHoCH + volume for confirmation.
Bearish Plan: Lose 3,160 ➔ look for a drop toward 3,050–2,960. If that fails, watch for deeper retrace to 2,800–2,950.
⚙️ FIBONACCI EXTENSION SUMMARY
1.272: ✅ Hit
1.618: 3,440 (Tapped)
2.0: 3,500 (Wick/Exhaustion)
🧠 FINAL WORD
Gold’s monthly “moonshot” stalled at 3,500 — don’t chase, just watch how price reacts to the 3,160–3,185 key range.
Lose it? Expect deeper cool-off.
Hold it? Reload for one more push toward the highs.
Stay focused, trade smart, and let structure guide your next moves!
Drop a comment if you want the weekly/daily breakdowns.
— GoldFxMinds (GoldMindsFX)
XAU/USD) Bearish trand analysis Read The ChaptianSMC trading point update
Technical analysis for Gold (XAU/USD) on the 4-hour timeframe. Here's a breakdown of the key ideas and strategy behind it:
---
Key Elements of the Chart:
1. Descending Channel Pattern:
Price is moving within a descending channel (downward sloping resistance and support lines).
The red arrows mark previous rejections from the upper boundary of the channel.
2. Supply Zone / Resistance Area:
Highlighted in yellow, the price has entered a supply zone (between 3,412.00 and 3,440.42), historically where selling pressure has emerged.
The analysis suggests sellers may dominate again in this zone.
3. Price Action Projection:
Expected to reject from the supply zone, possibly forming a lower high.
Price is projected to break the short-term upward trendline, then fall sharply.
4. Target Points:
First target: 3,206.96 – likely aligned with a minor support level or Fibonacci retracement.
Second target: 3,085.56 – near the lower boundary of the descending channel.
5. EMA 200 (3,238.55):
Price is currently above the 200 EMA, but the projection anticipates a breakdown below it, confirming further bearish sentiment.
6. RSI Indicator:
RSI is at 67.56, near overbought territory, suggesting limited upside and a possible correction.
---
Trade Idea Summary:
Bias: Bearish
Entry Zone: Between 3,412 – 3,440 (supply zone)
Confirmation: Rejection at the trendline + RSI divergence
Targets:
TP1: 3,206.96
TP2: 3,085.56
Invalidation: Break and hold above 3,440.42 (channel breakout)
Mr SMC Trading point
---
Risk Management Note:
Ensure stop-loss is placed above the resistance zone (e.g., around 3,450) to mitigate false breakouts. Monitor fundamentals like upcoming US economic data, as they can heavily impact gold.
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3389 and a gap below at 3352. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges.
BULLISH TARGET
3389
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3389 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS
3428
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3428 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3478
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3478 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
3517
BEARISH TARGETS
3352
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3352 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3317
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3317 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3282
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3282 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
3233
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3233 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
3185
3146
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAU/USD) Bullish reversal analysis Read The ChaptianSMC trading point update
Tchnical analysis for XAU/USD (Gold vs US Dollar) on the 4-hour timeframe, using Smart Money Concepts (SMC). Here's a breakdown of the idea behind this analysis:
---
1. Trend & Structure
The previous downtrend was broken with a change of character (ChoCH), suggesting a possible bullish reversal.
After the ChoCH, the market formed bullish order blocks which have been respected, confirming the bullish sentiment.
---
2. Key Levels
Support level: Around 3,220–3,240 region, coinciding with the 200 EMA, which has acted as dynamic support.
Order blocks: Several yellow zones indicate areas of institutional buying interest.
The most recent "new order block" is closer to the current price, showing a potential short-term demand zone.
---
3. Price Projection
The chart suggests a bullish continuation, projecting a move towards:
Target Point 1: Around 3,350–3,349.50
Target Point 2: Around 3,408–3,407.98
These levels are likely based on prior highs or imbalance zones.
---
4. RSI Indicator
RSI is above 65, showing bullish momentum, but nearing overbought territory (>70), which could signal a short-term pullback before continuation.
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5. Trade Idea (Visualized Path)
A potential small pullback into the "new order block" around 3,280 is expected.
From there, price may rally to the next supply zones or previous highs, offering a potential gain of ~1.44%.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Summary of the Idea
This is a bullish continuation setup based on:
Trend reversal via ChoCH.
Strong order block formations.
EMA 200 support.
RSI confirmation.
Traders might look to enter near the new order block (around 3,280), targeting 3,350 and then 3,408, while managing risk below the order block support.
Pleas support boost 🚀 analysis follow K
EURUSD week 21 analysis🌐Fundamental Analysis
Over the past week, the EUR/USD pair was influenced by positive economic data from the US as the PMI index showed that private sector activity expanded more than expected. This supported the USD and put downward pressure on EUR/USD in the short term. However, the USD's gains were quickly limited by concerns about the fiscal situation as the US House of Representatives passed a spending and tax cut bill that could increase the public debt by more than $3 trillion over the next decade.
On the other hand, Eurozone wage data recorded a slowdown in growth in the first quarter, reducing inflation concerns and reinforcing expectations that the ECB will soon cut interest rates. This left the Euro lacking clear upside momentum. In the context of a lack of important data over the weekend, market sentiment and macro risks continued to dominate the EUR/USD's performance.
🕯Technical Analysis
EURUSD is still in a fairly strong uptrend and has hit the weekly resistance hook around 1.136. The next resistance level that the pair will face this week is 1.14200 with a large accumulation of sellers and when breaking out, pay attention to the weekly resistance level at 1.15000
To reverse the current trend, the pair needs to break the trendline structure around 1.12700. When breaking this area, it will wait for a retest point to SELL to the Entry Gap price of 1.116
📈📉Trading Signals
BUY EURUSD 1.127-1.125 SL 1.122
SELL EURUSD 1.142-1.144 SL 1.149 (Scalping)
SELL EURUSD 1.150-1.152 SL 1.155
Gold Heist Blueprint: "XAU/USD" Short Setup!?Greetings, wealth snatchers and market bandits! 🤑💸
Welcome to the Thief Trading Style, where we combine slick technicals and crafty fundamentals to pull off the ultimate XAU/USD heist. This is our plan to raid the "Gold" market with a short entry, targeting the high-stakes GREEN MA Zone. Expect a risky, oversold setup with consolidation and a potential trend reversal—a trap where bullish robbers get outplayed. 💪🎯 Stick to the chart, execute with precision, and treat yourself to the spoils! 🍾
Why This Trade? 💰
XAU/USD is showing a neutral trend with a bearish tilt as of 18 May 2025, driven by:
📊Technicals: Price is testing a key support zone (~3120) after a breakout from a consolidation pattern on the 30-minute chart. Oversold RSI signals a potential reversal, with the Pink MA (50-period) acting as dynamic resistance.
📰Fundamentals: Recent COT reports indicate reduced speculative long positions, hinting at weakening bullish momentum. Quantitative analysis suggests gold’s correlation with USD strength is tightening, supporting a bearish outlook.
😇Sentiment: Intermarket analysis shows rising Treasury yields pressuring gold, while market sentiment leans cautious ahead of upcoming economic data releases.
💡Data Point: Gold’s average daily range (ADR) over the past 5 days is ~35 points, aligning with our target and stop-loss levels for a day/scalp trade.
Entry 📈: Set your trap at 3120 post-breakout.
Option 1: Place sell stop orders below the support breakout level (~3115) for confirmation.
Option 2: For pullback entries, set sell limit orders near the swing low/high on a 15/30-minute timeframe.
Pro Tip: Set an alert to catch the breakout in real-time. Don’t miss the heist! 🚨
Stop Loss 🛑: Protect your loot!
Place your stop loss above the nearest swing high (~3270) on the 30-minute chart for day/scalp trades.
Adjust based on your risk tolerance, lot size, and number of orders.
Note: If using sell stop orders, wait for breakout confirmation before setting your stop. Risk is yours—play it sharp! 🔥
Target 🎯: 3000 (120-point move, aligning with ADR and support zones).
Trading Alert 🚨:
News Risk: Upcoming economic releases (e.g., CPI, FOMC minutes) could spike volatility. Avoid new trades during high-impact news and use trailing stops to lock in profits.
Position Management: Scale out at key levels (e.g., 50% at 3060) to secure gains.
Join the Heist! 💥
Hit the Boost Button to power up our robbery squad. With the Thief Trading Style, we make markets bleed profits daily. 🏆 Stay sharp, follow the plan, and let’s stack those wins! Another heist is coming soon—keep your eyes peeled. 🐱👤💰
Check fundamentals, COT reports, and intermarket trends for deeper insights.
check linkkss..🔗
Happy thieving! 🤝🚀
Gold prices remain strong as tariffs heat up again
Hey everyone, let's comment on the gold price next week from May 26, 2025 to May 30, 2025,
📌 Driving Events
Gold prices resumed their upward momentum on Friday, surging nearly 2% on the day and up more than 5% for the week as the dollar weakened amid renewed trade tensions. Gold prices rebounded from an intraday low of $3,287 to $3,359 as escalating rhetoric from Washington fueled investor demand for safe-haven assets.
U.S. President Donald Trump has intensified the trade standoff with the European Union, declaring that negotiations are "going nowhere" and threatening to impose a 50% tariff on EU imports from June 1. For months, Fed policymakers have made it clear that they want more clarity on the response from fiscal and trade policies and the economy before taking further action on interest rates. Over the past month, this cautious stance has prompted traders to withdraw their bets on a rate cut in the June meeting, and the market now expects the policy pause to continue until the July meeting. However, futures market positions show that the probability of a rate cut before the end of September is still slightly above 50%. This is essentially a bet that the situation will become clearer in the next four months: either slowing inflation paves the way for policy easing, or the economic deterioration forces the Fed to increase stimulus.
📊Comment Analysis
Tariff news has begun to heat up again, and the United States and the rest of the world have not yet reached a consensus on negotiations, and gold prices have benefited from this rise. The big time frame shows that the price is breaking out and continuing the upward trend
Technical:
Based on the resistance and support levels of gold on the 4-hour chart, Labaron has identified the following important key areas:
Resistance: $3412, $3436
Support: $3315, $3280, $3245
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose a lot size that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the capital account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the capital account
XAUUSD Bullish Flag Breakout – $4,300 Target in SightGold (XAU/USD) continues its strong bullish momentum in 2025, and the current price structure reveals a classic bullish flag pattern on the daily chart, suggesting further upside. This setup presents a potential continuation of the prevailing uptrend, possibly leading to new all-time highs in the coming months.
🟢 1. Clear Bullish Trend Foundation
Gold has been in a strong uptrend since late 2024, supported by:
Global inflationary pressures.
Geopolitical instability.
Central bank gold purchases and dollar weakness.
This uptrend is visually supported by a well-defined rising structure, with higher highs and higher lows.
📐 2. Bullish Flag Pattern Formation
The current price action has formed a bullish flag, a bullish continuation pattern that appears after a sharp rally. The flag represents a period of consolidation or pullback before the next impulsive move up.
The flagpole is the sharp rally that took place from mid-February to April 2025.
The flag itself is a downward-sloping channel or wedge, indicating temporary profit-taking or market indecision.
Volume typically decreases during the flag formation, then surges on breakout—confirming trend continuation.
This pattern is now showing signs of a breakout to the upside, suggesting the bulls are regaining control.
🔍 3. Key Technical Levels
🔹 Major Resistance Zone (~3,500–3,600):
This zone has acted as a supply region in the past.
Price is now testing this level and attempting a breakout.
A successful retest of this zone as new support will confirm the breakout.
🎯 Projected Target: $4,300+
Measured move target based on the flagpole’s height.
Clean projection points to the 4,300–4,350 area as the next major upside objective.
🛑 Support & Stop-Loss :
Strong support exists around $3,125, aligning with the flag base.
This area is a logical stop-loss zone for traders entering on the breakout.
🔁 4. Expected Price Behavior
Breakout: Price is expected to break above the flag resistance and the horizontal supply zone.
Retest Phase: A pullback toward the breakout zone (~3,600) could occur before the next impulsive move. This would offer a prime buy-on-dip opportunity.
Final Impulse: A sharp rally could follow, targeting the 4,300+ region.
💡 5. Trading Psychology Behind the Setup
During the flag formation, short-term traders take profit, and new buyers hesitate due to perceived overbought conditions.
However, the overall market sentiment remains bullish, with larger players accumulating during dips.
Once the resistance breaks, fear of missing out (FOMO) often drives prices sharply higher.
⚠️ 6. Risk Factors to Watch
Sudden USD strength or rising real yields.
Geopolitical de-escalation that reduces safe-haven demand.
FOMC rate surprises or unexpected hawkish policy shifts.
✅ Conclusion: Bullish Breakout Setup in Play
Gold is poised for another leg up after completing a textbook bullish flag pattern. With macroeconomic tailwinds and a solid technical base, this setup offers a high-probability long opportunity targeting the $4,300 zone. Watch for a confirmed breakout and possible retest to load long positions with solid risk-reward.
Buying on pullbacks remains the main theme!Tariff turmoil resurfaces, gold price jumps!
The Trump administration once again wields the tariff stick, threatening to impose a 50% tariff on the EU from June 1, and saying that there has been no progress in the negotiations between the US and the EU. Because the timing of this threat is quite subtle. Just earlier this week, the EU just submitted a new framework proposal to the US to restart bilateral trade negotiations. This directly led to a jump in gold price tonight!
Faced with the tough stance of the US, the EU is not sitting still. It is reported that the EU has formulated a contingency plan. If the negotiations fail, it will impose additional tariffs on US exports worth 95 billion euros in response to Trump's "reciprocal" taxation and 25% tariffs on cars and some parts, which will inevitably cause further impact on the market!
The bulls are in control and are unwilling to give the bears too many opportunities to cover their losses. Therefore, the strategy of following the trend needs to be more active - strong markets usually do not experience a deep retracement, and the correction phase will not break the previous low for the second time. After the current gold price surged to 3365, the intraday bull defense position should be set at 3340. The previous low of 3320 has been effectively supported, and the bulls have taken the absolute initiative, and there will be no short-selling opportunities in the short term. Based on the current strong bullish performance, continuing to maintain a bullish mindset is the core of the transaction.
Operation strategy:
1. Gold recommends going long in the 3340-3330 area, with a target of 3350-3360.
2. Gold recommends going short in the 3365-3375 area, with a target of 3350-3340.