Gold awaits data storm
The international gold market is playing out a wonderful duel between long and short forces. The following data will guide gold to continue to start a new direction, so what should we do?
💡Message Strategy
Employment data: complex signals of long and short interweaving
The latest US JOLTS employment data for April presents a strange picture of "ice and fire". On the one hand, the number of job vacancies unexpectedly increased by 191,000, far exceeding market expectations. This eye-catching data was called "surprisingly strong performance" by Joseph Capurso, an analyst at the Commonwealth Bank of Australia. But on the other hand, the number of layoffs surged by 196,000, the largest increase in nearly nine months, exposing the potential fragility of the labor market.
Trade Cloud: Continuing Fermentation of Geopolitical Risks
The current global trade situation is like a sword of Damocles hanging over the market. The White House has signaled that President Trump may hold key talks with the leaders of major Asian countries this week, and this news brings a glimmer of hope to the market.
Policy fog: The Fed's cautious dance
Market participants are focusing on the key data that will be released one after another. Before the release of the non-farm payrolls report on Friday, the ADP private employment data on Wednesday night will become an important indicator. Analysts generally believe that these data will provide more clues for judging the direction of the Fed's policy, which will in turn affect the investment logic of the gold market.
📊Technical aspects
Monday's pull-up seemed to be the start of a new round of bulls, but yesterday there was a sharp retracement again. If we look at it from a unilateral rise, the retracement has been too large, and it has obviously destroyed the rising pattern. If we count the rising point from the low point of 3260 last Thursday to the high point of 3390 in the morning yesterday, the increase has reached more than 140 US dollars, and it is still within the range of weekly and monthly levels. This is why it is not recommended to chase the rise directly.
At present, gold cannot form a continuous rise, so 3390 is likely to be the high point of this round of highs, and it will start to fall again, still with weekly level range fluctuations and high-level adjustments.
The US dollar stabilized and rebounded. It continued to rebound yesterday. After testing the support near 90 in the morning today, it rose again. In addition, under the expectation that the Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates in June, the US dollar is likely to continue to fall in June, which will create time for gold to adjust. Therefore, gold does not have the conditions for a breakthrough in the short term. Once the US dollar accelerates its rebound, gold still has the possibility of another sharp drop.
💰 Strategy Package
Short Position:3365-3370,3375-3380
Goldprice
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Gold
Accept No Substitute.
Never fall into the "Catch-Up Game Trap."
Silver is presently such a Trap.
Gold will continue to Outperform Silver
Don't let a Dealer convince you otherwise
Buy Strength, Sell Weakness
Buy The Best, Winner takes all
Gold / > United States Dollar
Gold / > US Dollar Index
Gold / > Swiss Franc
Gold / > Great British Pound
Gold / > Euro
Gold / > Japanese Yen
Gold / > Bitcoin
Gold / > Silver
Bitcoin / < Gold
Bitcoin Total Market Cap / < Gold
Silver / < Gold
Pro Tip : Rarely a good bet, if your Broker is paying carry for you to hold it.
It's in the Detail
🌟
XAU/USD 04 June 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 22 May 2025.
In my analysis from 12 May 2025, I noted that price had yet to target the weak internal high, including on the H4 timeframe. This aligns with the ongoing corrective bearish pullback across higher timeframes, so a bearish internal Break of Structure (iBOS) was a likely outcome.
As anticipated, price targeted strong internal low, confirming a bearish iBOS.
Price has remained within the internal range for an extended period and has yet to target the weak internal low. A contributing factor could be the bullish nature of the H4 timeframe's internal range, which has reacted from a discounted level at 50% of the internal equilibrium (EQ).
Intraday Expectation:
Technically price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 3,120.765.
Alternative scenario:
Price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance and persistent geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Gold Continues to Rise as USD Weakens📊 Market Overview:
Gold prices are rebounding slightly after a pullback from a four-week high. The weakening USD, driven by concerns over US-China trade tensions and upcoming employment data, has bolstered safe-haven demand for gold.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: $3,365 – $3,377
• Nearest Support: $3,320 – $3,290
• EMA 09: Price is above the 09 EMA, indicating a short-term uptrend.
• RSI: The RSI on the H4 timeframe is at 64.06, suggesting bullish momentum with room before reaching overbought territory
📌 Outlook:
Gold may continue its short-term rise if the USD remains weak and US employment data falls short of expectations.
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy:
SELL XAU/USD at: $3,377
o 🎯 TP: $3,357
o ❌ SL: $3,387
BUY XAU/USD at: $3,290
o 🎯 TP: $3,310
o ❌ SL: $3,280
Asian session main long and auxiliary short operation
📣Gold information
There are two main reasons for the rise in international gold prices: First, global trade frictions have intensified. Trump said that he would raise tariffs on steel and aluminum. The EU strongly opposed it and prepared to implement countermeasures. Brazil is also ready to counter, and the market is worried that the United States will resume the "big stick" of tariff policy; second, in terms of geopolitical conflicts, the market is worried that the conflict between Russia and Ukraine will escalate again. Overall, the medium- and long-term rise in gold has not changed, and there is still uncertainty as to whether it can successfully break through the resistance level in the short term.
📊Comment analysis
Today, we need to pay attention to the support effect of the moving average. The current 5-day moving average is near 3340, and the 10-day moving average is near 3325. These two positions constitute important support areas for the short-term correction of gold prices. In terms of upper resistance, pay attention to yesterday's high of 3392. If the gold price can break through this resistance level upward, it means that the upward momentum is strong, and it is expected to continue the strong trend and further open up the upward space.
In terms of points, pay attention to the support near yesterday's low of 3333 below, and the resistance near 3360 and 3370 above.
💰Strategy Package
🔥Sell Gold Zone: 3365-3370 SL 3375
TP1: $3355
TP2: $3340
TP3: $3325
🔥Buy Gold Zone: $3325-$3330 SL $3320
TP1: $3345
TP2: $3355
TP3: $3365
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
Gold-Asian market rises, what is the trend?Event summary:
On Wednesday in the Asian market, spot gold fluctuated slightly and is currently trading around $3,370/ounce.
There are two reasons for the strong rise in the Asian market: 1. Ukraine directly blew up 41 Russian fighter jets; 2. The tariff storm re-emerged, and Trump is expected to impose a 50% tariff on steel and aluminum. The tense international situation and tariff storm have become important factors that disrupt the market.
Market analysis:
The four-hour chart shows that the current price is still running above the middle track of the Bollinger Band channel, and the MA10-day moving average and the 5-day moving average are running above 3,340. Due to the wide fluctuations in the market, short-term participation is the main option. Intraday callbacks are still mainly low and long.
Gold rebounded directly in the early trading, and the center of gravity of the low point of the rebound is also constantly moving up. From the current market, the short-term gold price has stabilized above the top and bottom conversion position of 3,340, and it also remains above the rising trend line, and the bulls are strong.
In the early trading, the gold price fell back to the lowest level of 3346, and it formed a Yang-enclosing-Yin pattern, which means that the bulls' energy is relatively strong. We only need to pay attention to two points in the early trading, namely the key level of 3330 and the short-term support level of 3346. If it falls back to around 3350 during the trading session, we will start to go long.
Operation strategy:
Short at 3375, stop loss at 3385, target 3340-3320;
Long at 3345, stop loss at 3333, target 3370-3400;
GOLD (XAUUSD) 1H Chart | Bullish Breakout Idea With Key Zones > "Gold is showing strong bullish structure on the 1H timeframe. Price is approaching key breakout zones with momentum building. This idea highlights critical support/resistance levels and potential breakout targets. Watch for confirmation before entry."
This is just idea not a financial advice !
Long orders have made profits, gold layout in the evening📰 Impact of news:
1. Economist: The Federal Reserve may cut interest rates sharply in December
2. Lee Jae-myung, candidate of the Democratic Party of Korea, was elected president of South Korea
📈 Market analysis:
Currently, the gold price is in a consolidation pattern, showing an overall volatile pattern during the day. The hourly Bollinger Bands are opening downward, and the MACD indicator is running in a dead cross. In the short term, the bears have a certain advantage. However, observing the 4H level, it can be found that the RSI indicator crosses when entering the overbought area, suggesting that the risk of a correction in the short term has increased. For evening operations, it is recommended to wait for the gold price to stabilize before entering the market, focusing on the important support of 3335-3325. If it obtains effective support and stabilizes in this range, the gold price may resume its upward trend. If it falls below 3325, the bullish momentum will be weakened. Therefore, it is recommended to wait for a pullback to 3335-3325 to go long in the US market, and look to 3350-3370 in the short term.
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3335-3325
TP 3350-3370-3400
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
TVC:GOLD FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
The latest trend analysis and operation layout of Europeanmarket📰 Impact of news:
1. Speech by the Federal Reserve during the US trading session
2. Geopolitical and tariff issues
📈 Market analysis:
Recently, the escalation of the Russia-Ukraine conflict and global trade tensions has pushed international gold prices to rise strongly. Although Russia and Ukraine reached a consensus on prisoner exchange in the second round of negotiations on Monday, the ceasefire agreement remained deadlocked. Coupled with the US announcement of additional steel tariffs, geopolitical risks and economic uncertainties stimulated risk aversion sentiment.
From a technical perspective, the upward trend of gold since 3120 is clear. After breaking through 3340 on Monday, it accelerated to test the 61.8% Fibonacci resistance level of 3396, but the pressure at the 3400 integer mark is significant. At the same time, 3330 below is still the current key support level. The current decline in gold prices is more like a technical correction to yesterday's rise. Yesterday, we reminded everyone to pay attention to the 3355 level. The intraday operation suggestion for the European session is 3355-3345. You can try to go long and look at the 3370-3380 line. If it breaks through effectively, it will test the 3396 or even 3400 line; if it fails to break through the upper resistance, it will fall into a range of fluctuations.
🏅 Trading strategies:
BUY 3355-3345
TP 3370-3380-3390
SELL 3370-3380
TP 3350-3340-3330
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Gold prices have fallen back, so it's time to take action.I reminded all traders in the morning to be alert to the risk of gold falling back today. Now it has successfully reached the point I predicted in the morning; it's time to adopt a long strategy.
From the daily chart of gold:
The current price has fallen back to around 3335, which happens to be the support position of the daily trend line. This is why we are bearish on gold.
As long as the US stock market closes above 3335, gold will still be in a long trend. On the contrary, if it falls below the closing line of 3335 today, it will break the trend line, and the subsequent market may be more complicated. Therefore, the current operation can adopt a long strategy. Long positions are entered near the support level.
If gold once again stabilizes above 3,400, then there is a possibility that it will reach a new high.
Operation strategy:
Enter the market at the current price, stop loss 3330, profit range 3350-3365.
Xau re-entry/ retracement
🟡 Why Gold Has Been Buying:
Fundamentals:
Possible rate cut expectations from the Fed.
Geopolitical tensions or inflation concerns.
Weakening USD momentum.
Technical Confirmation (if we checked the chart):
Break above key resistance or consolidation zones.
Higher lows forming on the 4H and daily charts.
Volume supporting the breakout.
Let me break it down:
🔍 Technical Analysis Breakdown
1. Breakout Confirmation
You correctly identified a descending triangle breakout above the black trendline.
Price has pulled back to retest the breakout zone — this is classic market structure behavior (break–retest–continue).
2. Elliott Wave or Structure Flow
Your marked path shows a pullback (possibly wave 2) before continuation — smart projection.
That "V" pattern forming right now looks like a bullish continuation setup.
3. Fibonacci and Demand Zone
The retest aligns near the 38.2% or 50% retracement — high-probability reversal zones.
You also have a strong demand zone (grey box) acting as a support floor.
4. Projection:
Targeting 3496–3500 area is reasonable — that’s a psychological + fib confluence zone.
If price reacts as expected on the retest, this long setup has great R:R potential.
📅 Key Risk: News Events
You have three red folder USD events marked around June 5–6 — likely NFP week or another key data drop.
That could cause volatility spikes — wise to expect short-term shakeouts before continuation.
✅ Verdict:
You're on the right track — this is a clean bullish setup.
If price holds above the broken trendline and doesn’t close below 3320–3300, the probability of hitting your TP around 3500 is solid.
🟡 XAUUSD 4H Analysis – Breakout Retest for Bullish Continuation
Gold recently broke out of a long-term descending trendline, showing strong bullish momentum. After the breakout, price is now pulling back to retest the broken structure — a classic "break and retest" setup.
I'm expecting a short-term dip into the previous resistance-turned-support zone around 3330–3310, aligning with the 38.2–50% Fibonacci retracement and a key demand area.
🔵 Trade Plan:
Looking for bullish confirmation at the retest zone.
Targeting the 3496–3500 level (previous high + Fib extension confluence).
Bullish structure remains valid as long as price holds above 3300.
⚠️ Fundamental Note:
Upcoming high-impact USD news (NFP, etc.) may cause short-term volatility. Patience and tight risk management are key.
📈 Bias: Bullish
🕓 Timeframe: 4H
🔍 Strategy: Breakout → Retest → Continuation
XAUUSDHello traders,
There’s a potential trading opportunity on XAUUSD. I’ve already activated the trade on my end and I’m sharing the target zone with you as well.
🔍 Trade Details:
✔️ Timeframe: 15-Minute
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:1.50
✔️ Trade Direction: Sell
✔️ Entry Price: 3361.17
✔️ Take Profit: 3351.45
✔️ Stop Loss: 3367.64
🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I’m simply sharing a trade I’ve taken based on my personal trading system, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes.
📌 Interested in a systematic, data-driven trading approach?
💡 Follow the page and turn on notifications to stay updated on future trade setups and advanced market insights.
Gold Price Analysis (XAU/USD) – Bullish Channel Projection – This 30-minute candlestick chart of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) displays a strong bullish trend within an ascending channel marked in blue. Price action has bounced from key support zones (highlighted in green) and is currently retracing within the channel. The chart suggests a potential continuation toward the upper boundary of the channel, around the $3,400–$3,410 level, as indicated by the blue arrow. Key support lies near $3,340 and $3,310, with volume activity showing increased interest on upward moves. The analysis implies bullish momentum may persist if the trend channel remains intact.
Gold Extends Rally as USD Weakens and Geopolitical Risks Mount📊 Market Overview
Gold (XAU/USD) surged and recorded a session high near $3,392/oz on June 3, 2025. The U.S. dollar continued to weaken as Treasury yields declined, while investors rushed into safe-haven assets amid intensifying Russia–Ukraine tensions and renewed U.S.–China trade conflicts.
📉 Technical Analysis
• Key Resistance: $3,392 – $3,410 (new high zone)
• Nearest Support: $3,345 – $3,318
• EMA 09: Price remains above EMA 09, confirming the short-term uptrend.
• RSI (H4): Approaching 70, showing strong bullish momentum but nearing overbought conditions.
• Candle Pattern: Long upper wick seen on H4 candle at $3,392 suggests profit-taking pressure. If this level holds, a short-term correction may follow.
📌 Outlook
Gold may experience a short-term pullback if it fails to break above the $3,392 – $3,410 resistance area due to profit-taking. However, the broader trend remains bullish as long as the USD stays weak and geopolitical tensions persist.
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy
🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: $3,388 – $3,392
🎯 TP: $3,345 (~400 pips)
❌ SL: $3,397
🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: $3,318 – $3,322
🎯 TP: $3,365
❌ SL: $3,308
Prices exploded. Beware of falling support.Information summary:
Russia and Ukraine held a second round of peace talks on Monday. The two sides only agreed on the exchange of prisoners.
No breakthroughs have been made on the proposed ceasefire agreement that Ukraine, its European allies and Washington have called on Russia to accept.
Umerov said Ukraine proposed more talks before the end of June, but believed that only a direct meeting between Zelensky and Putin could resolve the differences between the two sides on several key issues. Secondly, Trump's tariff issue has escalated global trade tensions, and the intensification of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict has also caused geopolitical risks to rise rapidly.
Market analysis:
Gold has stretched directly from 3290 at the beginning of the week to a high of 3391, a $100 increase.
From the perspective of the daily gold line, it is indeed in a bullish trend, breaking through several important pressure levels. But I think all traders need to be wary of chasing more at high levels.
The daily trend of gold started from 3120. 3120-3365 is the a wave, 3365-3242 is the retracement of the b wave. So the current trend from 3242 is the rise of the c wave. After breaking through 3340 on Monday, gold has reached 3396 near the 618 position.
At present, if gold cannot stand above 3400, it is very likely to maintain the consolidation in the 3396-3340 range.
Especially before the release of non-agricultural data this week, such a large fluctuation range. Be sure to be alert to the possibility of continuing to fall back to the support of 3340-3330.
Operation strategy:
If the price falls back to around 3340-3350, go long, stop loss at 3330, and profit range at 3370-3380.
Of course, if you prefer aggressive trading, you can choose a short strategy at 3370-3380, stop loss at 3390, and profit range at 3340-3330.
After the price surge, has the trend of gold changed?Gold opened slightly higher in the Asian morning on Monday and then rose. It basically maintained a slow and volatile rise throughout the day. It rose to around 3383 before the close, and the daily line closed with a big positive line.
The current 5-day moving average and the 10-day moving average form a golden cross and extend upward. This signal indicates that the short-term trend is strong. In the short term, we need to focus on the moving average support. The 5/10-day moving average support is in the 3330-3325 area. As long as the price remains above this area, it can be treated as strong. The upper resistance level needs to pay attention to the previous secondary high point of 3438.
In terms of points, the lower support level first looks at around 3360, which is the previous high point of the short-term. After breaking through, we need to pay attention to the top and bottom conversion. The second is the 3330-3325 area support. Pay attention to the top and bottom conversion. If the price falls back strongly, we need to pay attention to the 3300 mark support. This is the current support area of the trend line formed by the low point connection of gold since the rise of 3120.
The upper resistance level is around 3410, followed by the resistance in the 3448-3458 area. This area is the current resistance area of the rising channel formed by the high point since the rise from 3120.
Operation strategy:
Short at current price, stop loss at 3390, profit range 3360-3340;
Long at price drop to around 3340, stop loss 3325, profit range 3345-3360.
Gold surges, what is the subsequent trend?Weekly chart analysis:
From the weekly chart, gold has been pushed upward for five waves from the starting position of 1614. The current market is in the extended wave of wave 3. Gold has adjusted downward from the high point of 3500. The current market is divided into two situations.
In the first case, assuming that the high point of 3500 has completed the 3rd wave, then 3500 will adjust downward for 4 waves. The three-wave ABC structure within the 4th wave regards 3500-3120 as wave A, 3120 upward as wave B, and there is another wave C decline after wave B to complete the 4th wave adjustment, and then the 5th wave will rise. Therefore, after the market rises, pay attention to the C wave decline at any time.
In the second case, assuming that the 3rd wave has not been completed yet, 3500 is still in the internal adjustment of the extended wave of wave 3. At present, the three-wave ABC adjustment of 3500-3120 has ended, and a new round of upward rise from 3120 may complete the last wave of the 3rd wave. Therefore, after the market rises above 3500, it will face the 4th wave decline at any time.
Hourly chart analysis:
In the 1-hour chart, no matter how the market operates, the current market trend is in a state of shock. Affected by the increased risk aversion due to the weekend news, the market rose sharply after opening on Monday. So what will the trend be after the surge? I think that after the rise, try not to chase the rise, but look for high positions to short, and wait for the market to adjust downward before going long.
Operation analysis:
Currently, the upper resistance is 3385-3405, and the lower support is 3350-3330. Short-term operation suggestions: short at the high point area of 3385-3395, stop loss at 3410, profit range 3360-3350, and continue to look down at 3330-3320 if it breaks. It is recommended to continue to look above 3400 if 3350 is not broken.
Possible Reverse Head and Shoulders?👁️🗨️ The strong uptrend yesterday, followed by the downtrend during the Asian session, has built a possible inverse head and shoulders pattern (30 min chart) 🤷🏼♂️.
⏫ If an uptrend follows today, the pattern will be complete.
The right shoulder began around $3287, which isn't far from the current price.
👀 Keep an eye on this, as it could drop lower while still keeping the structure intact.
⚡ What's very interesting is that the downward trendline (strong resistance) crosses the neckline support if the time window allows.
🙏 Possible target points:
TP 1: $3358
TP 2: $3382
What are your toughts about this? Please write it in the comments.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly.
Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
Gold Watch Out for Information Smoke Bombs
💡Message Strategy
Trump's tariff stick ignites the market again
Last Friday, US President Trump's remarks were like a bombshell. He publicly stated that he planned to significantly increase the tariff on imported steel and aluminum from the current 25% to 50%. This radical move immediately triggered a strong reaction from global trading partners. The European Commission immediately issued a warning, saying that Europe is ready to take retaliatory measures.
A weaker dollar boosted gold prices
In addition to safe-haven demand, the weakening of the U.S. dollar index also provided additional support for gold's rise. During the Asian trading session on Monday, the U.S. dollar index fell 0.5% to 98.93, also hitting a new low in nearly four trading days. Since gold is denominated in U.S. dollars, a weaker dollar usually makes gold cheaper for holders of other currencies, thereby stimulating demand.
📊Technical aspects
The international news seems to be bullish for gold, but from the technical trend, gold is currently trapped in a sideways shock at the daily level. After continuous declines, it failed to continue the decline, but continued to be suppressed by the 3350 area. On the weekly line, gold hovered around the 5-day moving average and fluctuated. At the monthly level, it closed with a cross star. From the technical trend point of view, this cross star at the monthly level can be used for attack or defense. However, from the weekly level, the strength and space of the direct upward rush are extremely limited. Without major positive news stimulation, it is difficult to form a trend of rising in the short term. It is highly likely that it will still form a high-rise and fall with the help of fragmentary positive news.
In the short term, focus on whether the suppression of 3350 area can be broken. If it is always under pressure at 3350, it is still expected to fluctuate in the daily range, and the fluctuation range is 3350-3270. Once it breaks through and stands above 3350, gold will have a round of daily level rise in the short term. Once it breaks through the suppression of 3350, you can follow up and go long. On the contrary, before 3350 is broken, you should not rush to chase or be overly bullish.
💰 Strategy Package
Short Position:3345-3360,3365-3375
Don't chase long positions easily during high-level adjustments📰 Impact of news:
1. The conflict between Russia and Ukraine breaks out again, exacerbating the uncertainty of the situation
2. The tension in the Middle East continues, Iran claims to be ready to defend its airspace at any time, and the Houthi armed forces attack Israeli airports
3. May PMI data released
📈 Market analysis:
In the short term, the double high points above the gold price are suppressed at the 3365 line. The MACD indicators at the 4H and daily levels tend to form a golden cross, releasing bullish signals. In the short term, if you want to confirm a unilateral upward trend, you need to break through the 3365 line. Despite the strong bullish signals, as I just reminded you, the current technical indicators are close to overbought areas, and I still think there is a certain risk of a correction. In the European session, I will consider trying to short at the 3355-3365 line, and pay attention to the short-term support at 3340-3330 line below. Later, after the price gets some support at the support level, we can consider long trades.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 3355-3365
TP 3340-3330-3320
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
OANDA:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Gold is rising strongly, waiting for a breakthrough.Gold prices soared after the Asian market opened, reaching an intraday high near 3363. However, today's market is also affected by many black swan events.
Event summary:
On the eve of the ceasefire negotiation between Russia and Ukraine, Ukraine attacked a Russian military base with a drone; the United States said it was unaware of the incident.
Trump made a statement saying that China violated the relevant provisions on trade tariffs, and then the US Treasury Secretary said: The United States will never default. This news has worsened Sino-US trade relations.
Due to the sudden black swan event, the sentiment for gold as a safe-haven asset has rapidly heated up, and the price of gold has skyrocketed in the Asian market.
At present, due to the impact of international events, the price of gold has calmed down after the correction, and is currently consolidating around 3355. The 1-hour chart shows that the 5-day MA moving average is currently flat, but the 10-day and 30-day MA moving averages have turned sharply and are on an upward trend, so I think that the current rise in gold has not yet reached its peak.
Market analysis:
The support level in the Asian morning session is around 3300, and the gold price has successfully stood above 3330, and the lower support has also moved up to around 3330; the intraday gold price has a very small retracement, and it is still breaking through the upper side. It is currently trying to break through the cycle suppression level of 3365. After a strong breakthrough, it will reach the cycle high point of 3370. If it fails to break through strongly, the price will fall below 3365 and may touch the current support level of 3330.
Operation strategy:
Buy near 3345, stop loss 3335, target range 3360-3370.