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Gold bulls advance as expected Mainly go long on pullback.Today, gold opened lower and fell, reaching the lowest level of 3331. Then the bulls exerted their strength, reaching the highest level of 3356 and then adjusted back. The overall trend was highly consistent with the expected judgment. Looking back at the market last week, the technical side of gold continued the bullish pattern, and the oscillating upward trend was significant. From the daily level, the price repeatedly tested around the 3200 mark at the beginning of the week, and finally stabilized successfully, laying a solid foundation for the bull market. On Friday, it was supported by the 3280 mark, continuing the strong oscillating upward trend, forming a reverse middle Yang pattern, and the daily K line closed with an oscillating upward break of the middle Yang, fully demonstrating the short-term bullish pattern of gold prices, and bullish expectations continued to heat up. ​ Based on the current gold trend analysis, the focus below is on the 3330-3320 range support, and the focus above is on the 3380-3400 resistance. In terms of overall strategy, the bullish thinking is maintained before breaking 3320 to avoid blindly guessing the top.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel5
Gold plunges. Downside meets?Spot gold fluctuates at high levels during the Asian session and is currently trading around $3,330. I think spot gold is expected to fall below the immediate support level of $3,330 per ounce and fall towards $3,284. Completion occurs near the key resistance level of $3,366, which is reinforced by similar resistance established by the descending trend line. Working together with these obstacles is another obstacle, namely $3,355, which is the retracement level of the downtrend from $3,501 to $3,120. The bearish divergence of the hourly RSI confirms that the rally has been exhausted and a sharp correction is imminent. Based on the changes in the Asian market today, an analysis was conducted. I hope my analysis can help you turn losses into profits in the trading market. Operation strategy: Short at $3,340, stop loss at $3,355, and profit range of $3,310-3,300.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Quaid-1
How to plan for gold price box fluctuations🗞News side: 1. The situation between Russia and Ukraine escalated again 2. Israel in the Gaza Strip was once again criticized by the international community 📈Technical aspects: After gold opened lower today, it fell into a small box-shaped shock in the short term. It seems that the situation in Russia and Ukraine and the Middle East over the weekend did not have further impact on the gold price. The gold daily level closed with a positive line again, injecting new vitality into the trading space last week. These two rounds of rise not only successfully crossed the resistance level of 3250 last Monday, but also further broke through the suppression of 3320, showing a clear upward trend. The current volatility is more like a correction after breaking through the previous high! Last Friday, the price failed to break through the 3370 line several times and encountered resistance continuously, which shows that the pressure from above is still relatively strong! Due to the particularity of today's market trading, the technical side of the hourly chart shows a downward trend. The European session temporarily focuses on the 3350-3355 line resistance, and the 3330-3320 support is seen below. If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices. FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AllenBoswell
Gold May Face Short-Term Correction Amid Strong Resistance📊 Market Overview: Gold (XAU/USD) is trading around $3,335, retreating from a two-week high of $3,345.48. The US Dollar's weakness, driven by fiscal concerns and President Trump's extension of the EU tariff deadline to July 9, has supported gold prices. However, the easing of global trade tensions has limited the precious metal's upside . 📉 Technical Analysis: • Key Resistance: $3,350, $3,364 • Nearest Support: $3,330, $3,300 • EMA 09: Price is trading near the EMA 09, indicating a neutral trend. • RSI (14): 69.311 – approaching overbought territory, suggesting potential correction. • MACD (12,26): 13.57 – bullish signal, but momentum is slowing. • Williams %R: -17.476 – in overbought zone, indicating possible short-term pullback . 📌 Outlook: Gold may experience a short-term correction if it fails to break above the strong resistance at $3,350. Sustained trading below this level could lead to selling pressure, especially as technical indicators point to overbought conditions. 💡 Suggested Trading Strategy: • SELL XAU/USD at: $3,345 – $3,350 🎯 TP: $3,330 ❌ SL: $3,355 • BUY XAU/USD at: $3,300 – $3,310 🎯 TP: $3,340 ❌ SL: $3,290
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mian-FXSignals
Trump's tariff measures trigger market shocks 📌 Driving events Last Friday, as Trump threatened to raise tariffs on the European Union to 50%, and also pointed the finger at smartphone manufacturers such as Apple and Samsung, the market's risk aversion sentiment suddenly heated up, and spot gold closed up nearly 2% on the day. On Sunday local time, US President Trump announced after a call with European Commission President von der Leyen that he would extend the deadline for the European Union to face 50% tariffs to July 9. Trump told reporters on his way back to Washington on Sunday: "We had a very pleasant call, and I agree to postpone the deadline." Bloomberg analysis said that there are signs that US President Trump may relax his radical stance on EU trade, which will affect gold's safe-haven status. At the geopolitical level, the conflict between Israel and Iran is imminent. The Israeli army's shooting of a diplomatic delegation has triggered international condemnation. Netanyahu has maintained a tough stance in the Israeli-Kazakh conflict; Trump's mediation of a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine has been frustrated. The Wall Street Journal revealed that when he spoke with the European side, he said that Putin believed that the Russian army was "winning", which contradicted his public statement. This week, the market focus shifted to the Fed's policy minutes, the Bank of Japan's rate hike expectations, European and American economic data, and OPEC+'s production increase plan. The interweaving of trade frictions, debt risks and geopolitical conflicts has kept the uncertainty of the global pattern high. 📊Comment Analysis The first support level for gold prices may be in the range of $3290-3300/ounce. If it falls below the above support, the next support for gold prices will be $3250/ounce and $3200/ounce (50-day moving average). On the upside, the first resistance for gold prices is $3370/ounce. If this obstacle is overcome, the next resistance for gold prices will be $3430/ounce and $3500/ounce (historical high). Labaron will digest a series of economic data to be released by the United States this week, such as durable goods and home sales, as well as the consumer confidence index. The U.S. stock market will be closed on Monday due to the Memorial Day holiday. 💰Strategy Package ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3388- 3390 SL 3395 TP1: $3376 TP2: $3363 TP3: $3350 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3301- $3299 SL $3294 TP1: $3312 TP2: $3325 TP3: $3338 ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the capital account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Labaron
1
XAU/USD Technical Analysis – 4H Chart Overview🔍 Current Market Position Price: $3,358.125 Currently near resistance zone ($3,420–$3,470) Historical reaction in this zone shows multiple rejections 🛑 📌 Key Levels 🔺 Resistance Point: ~$3,420–$3,470 Rejected here 3 times ➡️ strong supply zone 🔻 Support Level: ~$3,150 Past price bounced here multiple times 🟠 💪 Strong Support: ~$2,950 Major bounce seen in early May 👊 🧭 Pattern Outlook Repeated resistance test 🔁 ➡️ potential double/triple top 📉 Blue arrow suggests bearish projection towards $3,050–$2,950 If support at $3,150 fails 🔓, expect deeper drop to strong support 🔮 Forecast 🔽 Bearish Bias High chance of reversal from resistance Target: $3,050 and possibly $2,950 🎯 ⚠️ Watch for Price Action at Resistance: Rejection = short opportunity 🔧 Break of $3,150 Support: May accelerate bearish move 🧨 📌 Summary: Market shows clear resistance rejection history. If it plays out again, we may see a strong drop toward lower support zones. Ideal for short setups 📉💼
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by VikingFx-Community
9
XAU/USD 26-30 May 2025 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis: Swing Structure -> Bullish. Internal Structure -> Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 16 March 2025. In my analysis dated 27 October 2024 I mentioned (below) that price could potentially print higher-highs in order to reposition CHoCH. This is exactly how price printed. CHoCH positioning has been brought significantly closer to current price action. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a shortened blue dotted horizontal line. The remainder of my analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 09 February 2025. Price has printed a further bullish iBOS. Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dashed line. Price Action Analysis: In my analysis dated 27 October 2024, it was noted that the first sign of a pullback would be a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), indicated by a blue dotted line. Price's consistent upward momentum had repositioned previous CHoCH much closer to recent price levels as expected for weeks. Current CHoCH positioning is quite a distance away from price, therefore, it would be viable if price continued bullish to reposition ChOCH. Note: It is highly unlikely price will "crash" as many analysts are predicting. My view is this is merely a corrective wave of the primary trend. Given the Federal Reserve's dovish policy stance alongside heightened geopolitical risks, market volatility is likely to remain elevated, influencing intraday price swings. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty and potential repricing of Gold. Weekly Chart: Daily Analysis: Swing -> Bullish. Internal -> Bullish. Analysis and Bias remains the same as Analysis dated 11 May 2025. Since my last weekly analysis price has finally printed a bearish CHoCH. This is the first indication, but not confirmation of bearish pullback phase initiation. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Price should now technically trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or Daily demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s continued dovish stance, coupled with escalating geopolitical uncertainties, is expected to sustain elevated market volatility, influencing both intraday and broader trend developments. Additionally, price action may be further shaped by U.S. policy decisions, including measures enacted under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic policymaking could introduce further uncertainty, contributing to the ongoing repricing dynamics within the gold market. Daily Chart: H4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025 Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAUUSD DAILY OUTLOOK – MAY 26, 2025📍 Current Price: 3,358 Bias: Bullish momentum with “caution” – ready for liquidity sweeps and potential intraday trap moves. 📈 Quick PA/Trend/Risk Check Trend: Bullish, but price hit major supply; expect high volatility. Price Action: Multiple daily wicks = indecision, liquidity traps both sides. RSI: Still in overbought territory on D1, but not at extremes. EMAs: All trending up, with 21/50 EMA as bounce supports below price. 🌍 Macro/Mood/News Geopolitics: Middle East + Fed talks = increased headline risk, no clear direction. News: US inflation, FOMC, and “risk-off” spikes could trigger traps into supply or deep sweeps into demand. ⚡️ How to Use Don’t chase breakouts! Wait for M5/M15 confirmation (BOS/CHoCH or engulf) at the above zones. Watch for liquidity sweeps and fakeouts, especially into 3,415–3,440 and 3,305–3,325. Use RSI/EMA/FVG as extra confluence for your entry confirmation. 🎯 Key Levels Table – Copy/Paste Ready POI Level Bias Premium Trap 3,415–3,440 Watch for fake breakout/sell Sell Zone 3,388–3,408 Short if rejected strongly S/R Flip 3,360–3,375 PA Magnet Support #1 3,305–3,325 Bullish bounce Support #2 3,199–3,220 Bullish bounce Deep Discount 3,012–3,040 Last-resort buy Stay focused, don’t force trades – sniper mode only! Drop a comment, follow, and join the conversation! — GoldFxMinds (GoldMindsFX)
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GoldFxMinds
4
XAUUSD[GOLD]: 1 Hour View Show Extreme Seller Volume Gold in a shorter time frame shows extreme bearish volume kicking in the market, where bulls are failing to push prices higher. Additionally, if you’re someone who analyses patterns, a HEAD AND SHOULDERS pattern has also formed. There are three targets you can aim for. We extend our best wishes and good luck in your trading endeavours. Your unwavering support is greatly appreciated. If you’d like to contribute, here are a few ways you can assist us: - Like our ideas - Comment on our ideas - Share our ideas Team Setupsfx_🚀❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Setupsfx_
21
XAUUSD Monthly Outlook – May 2025👋 Hey GoldMindsFX! 🕰️ Timeframe: Monthly 📍 Current Price: 3,204 📈 Bias: Cautious Bullish-to-Neutral 📏 Trend: Strong long-term bullish, but in monthly exhaustion/cool-off mode 🔍 STRUCTURAL OVERVIEW BOS (Break of Structure): Confirmed above 2,075 (2020/2022 key resistance). Rally: Sustained higher highs and strong bullish candles since October 2023. Current Candle: Huge wick into FIB extension (1.618–2.0) = 3,440–3,500 (top-out risk). 🧠 KEY MONTHLY LEVELS TO WATCH Type/Zone Price Range Quick Note 🔴 Premium Supply 3,440–3,500 FIB extension (1.618–2.0), big rejection wick, bull exhaustion 🟠 Resistance 3,222–3,242 Prior OB + last BOS area, possible retest zone ⚠️ Mid-Zone 3,160–3,185 Equilibrium, liquidity trap, key short-term support 🟢 Demand 3,050–2,960 Big monthly OB + FVG, unmitigated base, strong support 🔵 Discount 2,950–2,800 Previous reaccumulation, structure demand from 2023 rallies 🗺️ MACRO & MARKET CONTEXT Geopolitical Tension: Wars, inflation, and Fed confusion (CPI/UoM). Market Mood: Sentiment weak, uncertainty high after May FOMC & Powell. Central Bank Flow: Dips bought, but profit-taking near highs — “wait and react” mode. 🧭 SCENARIOS FOR MAY Bullish Plan: If price holds above 3,160–3,185 ➔ look for re-entry toward 3,240 and possible retest of upper wicks (3,440+). Needs H4 CHoCH + volume for confirmation. Bearish Plan: Lose 3,160 ➔ look for a drop toward 3,050–2,960. If that fails, watch for deeper retrace to 2,800–2,950. ⚙️ FIBONACCI EXTENSION SUMMARY 1.272: ✅ Hit 1.618: 3,440 (Tapped) 2.0: 3,500 (Wick/Exhaustion) 🧠 FINAL WORD Gold’s monthly “moonshot” stalled at 3,500 — don’t chase, just watch how price reacts to the 3,160–3,185 key range. Lose it? Expect deeper cool-off. Hold it? Reload for one more push toward the highs. Stay focused, trade smart, and let structure guide your next moves! Drop a comment if you want the weekly/daily breakdowns. — GoldFxMinds (GoldMindsFX)
OANDA:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATE & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone, Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week. We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 3389 and a gap below at 3352. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range. We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 20 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. The swing range give bigger bounces then our weighted levels that's the difference between weighted levels and swing ranges. BULLISH TARGET 3389 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3389 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETS 3428 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3428 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3478 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3478 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3517 BEARISH TARGETS 3352 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3352 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3317 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3317 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3282 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3282 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 3233 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 3233 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE 3185 3146 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
10
XAU/USD) Bullish reversal analysis Read The ChaptianSMC trading point update Tchnical analysis for XAU/USD (Gold vs US Dollar) on the 4-hour timeframe, using Smart Money Concepts (SMC). Here's a breakdown of the idea behind this analysis: --- 1. Trend & Structure The previous downtrend was broken with a change of character (ChoCH), suggesting a possible bullish reversal. After the ChoCH, the market formed bullish order blocks which have been respected, confirming the bullish sentiment. --- 2. Key Levels Support level: Around 3,220–3,240 region, coinciding with the 200 EMA, which has acted as dynamic support. Order blocks: Several yellow zones indicate areas of institutional buying interest. The most recent "new order block" is closer to the current price, showing a potential short-term demand zone. --- 3. Price Projection The chart suggests a bullish continuation, projecting a move towards: Target Point 1: Around 3,350–3,349.50 Target Point 2: Around 3,408–3,407.98 These levels are likely based on prior highs or imbalance zones. --- 4. RSI Indicator RSI is above 65, showing bullish momentum, but nearing overbought territory (>70), which could signal a short-term pullback before continuation. --- 5. Trade Idea (Visualized Path) A potential small pullback into the "new order block" around 3,280 is expected. From there, price may rally to the next supply zones or previous highs, offering a potential gain of ~1.44%. Mr SMC Trading point --- Summary of the Idea This is a bullish continuation setup based on: Trend reversal via ChoCH. Strong order block formations. EMA 200 support. RSI confirmation. Traders might look to enter near the new order block (around 3,280), targeting 3,350 and then 3,408, while managing risk below the order block support. Pleas support boost 🚀 analysis follow K
FX:XAUUSDLong
by SMC-Trading-Point
28
EURUSD week 21 analysis🌐Fundamental Analysis Over the past week, the EUR/USD pair was influenced by positive economic data from the US as the PMI index showed that private sector activity expanded more than expected. This supported the USD and put downward pressure on EUR/USD in the short term. However, the USD's gains were quickly limited by concerns about the fiscal situation as the US House of Representatives passed a spending and tax cut bill that could increase the public debt by more than $3 trillion over the next decade. On the other hand, Eurozone wage data recorded a slowdown in growth in the first quarter, reducing inflation concerns and reinforcing expectations that the ECB will soon cut interest rates. This left the Euro lacking clear upside momentum. In the context of a lack of important data over the weekend, market sentiment and macro risks continued to dominate the EUR/USD's performance. 🕯Technical Analysis EURUSD is still in a fairly strong uptrend and has hit the weekly resistance hook around 1.136. The next resistance level that the pair will face this week is 1.14200 with a large accumulation of sellers and when breaking out, pay attention to the weekly resistance level at 1.15000 To reverse the current trend, the pair needs to break the trendline structure around 1.12700. When breaking this area, it will wait for a retest point to SELL to the Entry Gap price of 1.116 📈📉Trading Signals BUY EURUSD 1.127-1.125 SL 1.122 SELL EURUSD 1.142-1.144 SL 1.149 (Scalping) SELL EURUSD 1.150-1.152 SL 1.155
by TVS-Trader
Gold Heist Blueprint: "XAU/USD" Short Setup!?Greetings, wealth snatchers and market bandits! 🤑💸 Welcome to the Thief Trading Style, where we combine slick technicals and crafty fundamentals to pull off the ultimate XAU/USD heist. This is our plan to raid the "Gold" market with a short entry, targeting the high-stakes GREEN MA Zone. Expect a risky, oversold setup with consolidation and a potential trend reversal—a trap where bullish robbers get outplayed. 💪🎯 Stick to the chart, execute with precision, and treat yourself to the spoils! 🍾 Why This Trade? 💰 XAU/USD is showing a neutral trend with a bearish tilt as of 18 May 2025, driven by: 📊Technicals: Price is testing a key support zone (~3120) after a breakout from a consolidation pattern on the 30-minute chart. Oversold RSI signals a potential reversal, with the Pink MA (50-period) acting as dynamic resistance. 📰Fundamentals: Recent COT reports indicate reduced speculative long positions, hinting at weakening bullish momentum. Quantitative analysis suggests gold’s correlation with USD strength is tightening, supporting a bearish outlook. 😇Sentiment: Intermarket analysis shows rising Treasury yields pressuring gold, while market sentiment leans cautious ahead of upcoming economic data releases. 💡Data Point: Gold’s average daily range (ADR) over the past 5 days is ~35 points, aligning with our target and stop-loss levels for a day/scalp trade. Entry 📈: Set your trap at 3120 post-breakout. Option 1: Place sell stop orders below the support breakout level (~3115) for confirmation. Option 2: For pullback entries, set sell limit orders near the swing low/high on a 15/30-minute timeframe. Pro Tip: Set an alert to catch the breakout in real-time. Don’t miss the heist! 🚨 Stop Loss 🛑: Protect your loot! Place your stop loss above the nearest swing high (~3270) on the 30-minute chart for day/scalp trades. Adjust based on your risk tolerance, lot size, and number of orders. Note: If using sell stop orders, wait for breakout confirmation before setting your stop. Risk is yours—play it sharp! 🔥 Target 🎯: 3000 (120-point move, aligning with ADR and support zones). Trading Alert 🚨: News Risk: Upcoming economic releases (e.g., CPI, FOMC minutes) could spike volatility. Avoid new trades during high-impact news and use trailing stops to lock in profits. Position Management: Scale out at key levels (e.g., 50% at 3060) to secure gains. Join the Heist! 💥 Hit the Boost Button to power up our robbery squad. With the Thief Trading Style, we make markets bleed profits daily. 🏆 Stay sharp, follow the plan, and let’s stack those wins! Another heist is coming soon—keep your eyes peeled. 🐱‍👤💰 Check fundamentals, COT reports, and intermarket trends for deeper insights. check linkkss..🔗 Happy thieving! 🤝🚀
FPMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by Thief_Trader
3
Gold prices remain strong as tariffs heat up again Hey everyone, let's comment on the gold price next week from May 26, 2025 to May 30, 2025, 📌 Driving Events Gold prices resumed their upward momentum on Friday, surging nearly 2% on the day and up more than 5% for the week as the dollar weakened amid renewed trade tensions. Gold prices rebounded from an intraday low of $3,287 to $3,359 as escalating rhetoric from Washington fueled investor demand for safe-haven assets. U.S. President Donald Trump has intensified the trade standoff with the European Union, declaring that negotiations are "going nowhere" and threatening to impose a 50% tariff on EU imports from June 1. For months, Fed policymakers have made it clear that they want more clarity on the response from fiscal and trade policies and the economy before taking further action on interest rates. Over the past month, this cautious stance has prompted traders to withdraw their bets on a rate cut in the June meeting, and the market now expects the policy pause to continue until the July meeting. However, futures market positions show that the probability of a rate cut before the end of September is still slightly above 50%. This is essentially a bet that the situation will become clearer in the next four months: either slowing inflation paves the way for policy easing, or the economic deterioration forces the Fed to increase stimulus. 📊Comment Analysis Tariff news has begun to heat up again, and the United States and the rest of the world have not yet reached a consensus on negotiations, and gold prices have benefited from this rise. The big time frame shows that the price is breaking out and continuing the upward trend Technical: Based on the resistance and support levels of gold on the 4-hour chart, Labaron has identified the following important key areas: Resistance: $3412, $3436 Support: $3315, $3280, $3245 ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose a lot size that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the capital account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Labaron
1
XAUUSD Bullish Flag Breakout – $4,300 Target in SightGold (XAU/USD) continues its strong bullish momentum in 2025, and the current price structure reveals a classic bullish flag pattern on the daily chart, suggesting further upside. This setup presents a potential continuation of the prevailing uptrend, possibly leading to new all-time highs in the coming months. 🟢 1. Clear Bullish Trend Foundation Gold has been in a strong uptrend since late 2024, supported by: Global inflationary pressures. Geopolitical instability. Central bank gold purchases and dollar weakness. This uptrend is visually supported by a well-defined rising structure, with higher highs and higher lows. 📐 2. Bullish Flag Pattern Formation The current price action has formed a bullish flag, a bullish continuation pattern that appears after a sharp rally. The flag represents a period of consolidation or pullback before the next impulsive move up. The flagpole is the sharp rally that took place from mid-February to April 2025. The flag itself is a downward-sloping channel or wedge, indicating temporary profit-taking or market indecision. Volume typically decreases during the flag formation, then surges on breakout—confirming trend continuation. This pattern is now showing signs of a breakout to the upside, suggesting the bulls are regaining control. 🔍 3. Key Technical Levels 🔹 Major Resistance Zone (~3,500–3,600): This zone has acted as a supply region in the past. Price is now testing this level and attempting a breakout. A successful retest of this zone as new support will confirm the breakout. 🎯 Projected Target: $4,300+ Measured move target based on the flagpole’s height. Clean projection points to the 4,300–4,350 area as the next major upside objective. 🛑 Support & Stop-Loss : Strong support exists around $3,125, aligning with the flag base. This area is a logical stop-loss zone for traders entering on the breakout. 🔁 4. Expected Price Behavior Breakout: Price is expected to break above the flag resistance and the horizontal supply zone. Retest Phase: A pullback toward the breakout zone (~3,600) could occur before the next impulsive move. This would offer a prime buy-on-dip opportunity. Final Impulse: A sharp rally could follow, targeting the 4,300+ region. 💡 5. Trading Psychology Behind the Setup During the flag formation, short-term traders take profit, and new buyers hesitate due to perceived overbought conditions. However, the overall market sentiment remains bullish, with larger players accumulating during dips. Once the resistance breaks, fear of missing out (FOMO) often drives prices sharply higher. ⚠️ 6. Risk Factors to Watch Sudden USD strength or rising real yields. Geopolitical de-escalation that reduces safe-haven demand. FOMC rate surprises or unexpected hawkish policy shifts. ✅ Conclusion: Bullish Breakout Setup in Play Gold is poised for another leg up after completing a textbook bullish flag pattern. With macroeconomic tailwinds and a solid technical base, this setup offers a high-probability long opportunity targeting the $4,300 zone. Watch for a confirmed breakout and possible retest to load long positions with solid risk-reward.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
Buying on pullbacks remains the main theme!Tariff turmoil resurfaces, gold price jumps! The Trump administration once again wields the tariff stick, threatening to impose a 50% tariff on the EU from June 1, and saying that there has been no progress in the negotiations between the US and the EU. Because the timing of this threat is quite subtle. Just earlier this week, the EU just submitted a new framework proposal to the US to restart bilateral trade negotiations. This directly led to a jump in gold price tonight! Faced with the tough stance of the US, the EU is not sitting still. It is reported that the EU has formulated a contingency plan. If the negotiations fail, it will impose additional tariffs on US exports worth 95 billion euros in response to Trump's "reciprocal" taxation and 25% tariffs on cars and some parts, which will inevitably cause further impact on the market! The bulls are in control and are unwilling to give the bears too many opportunities to cover their losses. Therefore, the strategy of following the trend needs to be more active - strong markets usually do not experience a deep retracement, and the correction phase will not break the previous low for the second time. After the current gold price surged to 3365, the intraday bull defense position should be set at 3340. The previous low of 3320 has been effectively supported, and the bulls have taken the absolute initiative, and there will be no short-selling opportunities in the short term. Based on the current strong bullish performance, continuing to maintain a bullish mindset is the core of the transaction. Operation strategy: 1. Gold recommends going long in the 3340-3330 area, with a target of 3350-3360. 2. Gold recommends going short in the 3365-3375 area, with a target of 3350-3340.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TP_Daniel5
1
Smells Like a Trend ReversalWeekly Recap – Gold Market Monday, May 12, 2025 The week began with a sharp GAP during the Asian session (starting around 1:00 AM London / 8:00 PM New York on Sunday) : Gold dropped abruptly by $60, from $3,325 to $3,266. The catalyst was a temporary easing of trade tensions between the U.S. and China, following weekend negotiations that led to a 90-day tariff pause. During the European session (starting at 8:00 AM London / 3:00 AM New York) , the downtrend continued, pushing the price further down to $3,207. Tuesday–Wednesday, May 13–14 Between these two sessions, the price consolidated within a narrow range of $3,265 to $3,202 (63 $ range). Despite better-than-expected U.S. inflation data, there was no significant breakout—the market remained indecisive. Wednesday, May 14 – European Session The price continued its descent, falling from $3,243 to $3,168—a $75 drop—indicating persistent downward pressure despite macroeconomic stability. Thursday, May 15 The Asian session (1:00 AM London / 8:00 PM New York) began quietly, with a range between $3,168 and $3,192. Then a sharp drop to $3,123 followed (down $71), triggered by new statements from President Trump, who announced potential trade deals with India, Japan, and South Korea. In the European session (8:00 AM London / 3:00 AM New York) , a strong reversal occurred. After failed peace negotiations between Russia and Ukraine in Istanbul, and due to growing geopolitical uncertainty plus a weakening dollar, gold surged by $132, from $3,120 to $3,252. Friday, May 16 The Asian session opened slightly bearish, with gold dipping from $3,252 to $3,218. However, bullish momentum returned during the European and U.S. sessions, continuing Thursday’s upward trend and adding $51 by day’s end. 📰 Geopolitical News Landscape India / Pakistan Since the Kashmir terror attack on May 9, 2025, tensions have escalated again. Cross-border airstrikes and border closures have resumed. A fragile ceasefire, brokered by the U.S., is under pressure. Disputes over water rights further strain relations. ➡️ Short-term outlook: high tension remains. Gaza Conflict On May 9, Israel launched Operation Gideon’s Chariot against Hamas, aiming to dismantle the group and rescue hostages. Over 300 deaths have been reported. A leaked plan suggests Gaza will be divided into three heavily controlled zones. The humanitarian situation is catastrophic (over 53,000 deaths since 2023). Peace talks are underway in Doha, but the situation remains dire. ➡️ No relief in sight. Russia / Ukraine Direct talks were held in Istanbul for the first time in three years. While a prisoner exchange (1,000 each side) took place, no substantial progress was achieved. Russia demands Ukrainian troop withdrawals from contested areas—Kyiv refuses. Simultaneously, Russian attacks intensified, including drone strikes on Sumy. ➡️ A ceasefire remains unlikely in the near term. U.S.–China Trade War A 90-day tariff pause was announced the weekend before May 12: U.S. tariffs cut from 145% to 30% Chinese tariffs reduced from 125% to 10% Markets reacted positively at first—especially in retail and shipping sectors. ➡️ However, unresolved structural issues (e.g., tech transfers, export controls) keep tensions fragile. No comprehensive deal is in sight. ⚖️ Trump vs. Powell Tensions escalate between President Trump and Fed Chair Jerome Powell: - Trump demands aggressive rate cuts - Powell warns of inflation risks - The Fed holds the interest rate steady at 4.25–4.5% - A 10% staff reduction is planned at the Fed for “efficiency” ➡️ The growing political interference is increasing market instability. 📉 U.S. Inflation – April 2025 The official inflation rate dropped to 2.3%, the lowest since February 2021. However, consumer inflation expectations soared to 7.3%, the highest since 1981. The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index fell to 50.8—a historic low. ➡️ A clear gap between perception and data is emerging. 📊 Technical Analysis – Short-Term Since May 12, an open GAP exists between $3,289 and $3,325 (36 $ range) A V-shaped reversal formed from the low on May 15 ($3,120) to the Friday close ($3,204) Symmetrical triangle formation suggests a convergence around $3,284 (possible by Tuesday) ➡️ Current trading range: $3,172 to $3,285 (113 $ range) 💡 Outlook for Monday, May 19 Time-Zone-Based Expectations: Asia session (starting 1:00 AM London / 8:00 PM New York Sunday): 👉 Potential retest of $3,154 Europe session (8:00 AM London / 3:00 AM New York): 👉 Bullish outlook toward $3,234 U.S. session (2:30 PM London / 9:30 AM New York): 👉 Possible continuation of bullish move — open-ended potential 📌 Trade Setup – Monday 8:00 AM (London) / 3:00 AM (New York) If price is below $3,154 → I stay flat and wait for clear signals If price is above $3,172 → I consider a long position, unless conflicting news emerges 🎯 Weekly Target My goal for the week is $3,348, provided the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) holds near the 100-point level. 🧠 Conclusion I am increasingly convinced that news-driven trading delivers the best results—if one can properly interpret the signals. 🔢 Fibonacci Levels 1h chart: low $3,131 → high $3,500 (April 22) Levels: 0.315, 0.382, 0.5 1h chart: low $3,131 → high $3,435 (May 6) Levels: 0.315, 0.382, 0.5 1h chart: low $3,131 → high $3,252 (May 16) Levels: 0.315, 0.382, 0.5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly. Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Wick-Sniper
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Gold Rises on Tariff News, But Caution NeededGold prices surged after the U.S. President announced a 50% tariff on EU imports, triggering safe-haven demand. However, analysts warn that this may be a short-term FOMO reaction rather than the start of a sustainable rally. 📰 Key Drivers: - The tariff announcement spooked markets, boosting gold temporarily. - The U.S. dollar dipped slightly, but bond yields remain high – a bearish sign for gold. - No immediate EU retaliation weakens the long-term bullish case. 🔍 Technical Outlook: - Resistance: $3350 – being tested but not yet clearly broken. - Support: $3310 – may be revisited if upward momentum fades. - EMA 09: Price remains above, but fading volume and long upper wick suggest weakening strength. - Price Action: Sharp move looks emotion-driven; correction likely if no follow-up catalyst appears. 📉 Short-Term View: Despite the surge, gold’s rise may be temporary. If no escalation occurs, a short-term pullback is likely as markets reassess the impact. 💡 Suggested Trade Setup (Short-Term Bearish): SELL XAU/USD at 3345 – 3350 🎯 TP: 3330 ❌ SL: 3355 BUY XAU/USD at 3310 – 3312 🎯 TP: 3325 – 3327 ❌ SL: 3305
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mian-FXSignals
Tariffs are on the rise again, gold is jumping.Information summary: The Trump administration has once again launched a tariff war, threatening to impose a 50% tariff on the EU from June 1, and said that the negotiations between the United States and the EU have made no progress. Because the timing of this threat is quite delicate. Just earlier this week, the EU just submitted a new framework proposal to the US to restart bilateral trade negotiations. This directly led to a jump in gold. Faced with the tough stance of the United States, the EU is not without countermeasures. It is reported that the EU has formulated a contingency plan. If the negotiations fail, it will impose additional tariffs on US exports worth 95 billion euros in response to Trump's "reciprocal" taxation and 25% tariffs on automobiles and some parts, which will inevitably cause further impact on the market. Market analysis: Today, the European session was under pressure at 3335 and the correction method was adopted. This correction method can better show that the price is strong, and the bulls are not willing to give the bears too many opportunities. Therefore, the layout should be aggressive. The stronger the market, the less likely it will fall back. At the same time, the correction of the strong market will definitely not break the low for the second time. Operation strategy: Short near 3375, stop loss at 3380, and target 3350-3340. The price fell back to around 3335, and we will adopt a long strategy based on the downward trend.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Quaid-1
Gold can be shorted near 3365-3370 in the US market 📌 Driving Events Gold prices fell about 0.48% on Thursday, retreating from a two-week high of $3,345 and falling below the key $3,300 level. Although U.S. Treasury yields retreated from intraday highs, the renewed strength of the U.S. dollar still pushed gold prices down. The pressure on gold intensified after the U.S. House of Representatives passed President Trump's budget proposal, which is now submitted to the Senate for final approval. At the time of writing, XAU/USD was trading at $3,289, down 0.83% on the day. Although the market sentiment has rebounded slightly, it remains fragile after Moody's recently downgraded the U.S. sovereign debt rating. The fiscal package approved by the House of Representatives is expected to increase the national debt ceiling by a staggering $4 trillion, which has exacerbated concerns about long-term fiscal sustainability. 📊Comment Analysis Gold is now facing strong resistance and buying power is weakening. 💰Strategy Package 🔥Sell Gold Zone: 3365- 3370 SL 3375 TP1: $3350 TP2: $3335 TP3: $3320 ⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds - Choose the number of lots that matches your funds - Profit is 4-7% of the fund account - Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Labaron
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