Gold sell setup Why We Would Sell (Short) XAUUSD in This Setup:
Strong Resistance Zone:
Price is approaching a clear resistance level around 3,250, marked by multiple rejections in the past.
This zone acted as a ceiling for the bulls — each time price reached this level, it got pushed back down, showing strong selling pressure.
Double Top Formation (Potential Reversal Pattern):
The price formed a potential double top near 3,250.
This pattern often signals a shift from bullish to bearish momentum.
Bearish Rejection Wicks:
Candlesticks near the resistance show long upper wicks, indicating that buyers are getting weak and sellers are stepping in.
Lower High Forming:
After the second peak, price failed to make a new high, suggesting buying momentum is weakening.
The current price action is forming a lower high, which is a bearish signal.
Bearish Price Projection (Arrow Path):
The blue arrow suggests a retest of the resistance zone followed by a strong drop down to the support zone at 3,187.
This offers a good risk-to-reward ratio for a short trade setup.
Trade Parameters:
Stop Loss above resistance (around 3,250).
Take Profit around 3,187 (previous support).
This setup offers a clear invalidation point if the price breaks above resistance.
Goldprice
Is the gold price rally over?Market news:
In the early Asian session on Tuesday (April 15), spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading around $3,220/ounce. London gold prices rose and fell on Monday, hitting a record high of 3,245 earlier in the session before falling back, closing down 0.85% at $3,193/ounce, as risk sentiment improved after the White House exempted most countries from high tariffs on electronic products. In addition, US President Trump hinted that imported cars and parts may be exempted from temporary tariffs.Continued uncertainty in trade and tariffs, a weak dollar and falling Treasury yields usually provide support for international gold. Goldman Sachs remains the most bullish major bank on gold, raising its gold price forecast for the end of the year to $3,700/ounce, citing unexpected central bank demand and the increased risk of recession, which affects the inflow of gold ETFs. Gold investment is traditionally seen as a safe haven in times of geopolitical and economic uncertainty. This trading day mainly focuses on the US import price index in March and the New York Fed manufacturing index in April. Bank of America, Citigroup, United Airlines and other companies will release performance reports; investors also need to pay attention. Fed Chairman Powell's speech and retail data (terrorist data) came one after another on Wednesday, and investors need to pay attention to changes in market expectations.
Technical Review:
Gold closed with a negative K adjustment on the daily line. The gold price rose and fell in the European and American markets, but did not effectively lose the 3200 and 3190 levels. The Bollinger Bands on the short-term hourly chart closed, and the four-hour chart moving average crossed at a high level. The technical side needs to pay attention to the possibility of the existence of a double top on the hourly chart of the previous high line of 3245. It is expected that the trend on Tuesday will pay attention to high-level fluctuations during the day. Before the trend is established and turned, the main idea is to pull back to a low level, and the rebound to a new high may be close to the previous high and high. After falling back to around 3210 yesterday, it stabilized and pulled up again, forming a phased double top suppression at the 3245 line, and then adjusted in the European session. In the 4-hour level trend, the short-term moving average began to gradually diverge downward, and the price began to slowly fall below the previous terraced support belt and began to gradually weaken in the short-term trend!It can be seen that the 4-hour moving average ma10 has been broken, so the previous support at 3230 has now become a suppression point. And it can be found that the position of the am20 moving average below is currently at 3180-70. Therefore, in the next 4 hours, if it cannot stand above 3230, it will face a continued retracement and decline. And there is a high probability that it will retrace deeply to 3170-60. The daily line closed negative for the first time after three positive lines. The trend has not changed. However, in the short term, it at least shows that the suppression of 3245 is effective, but it is still oscillating above the upper line. Therefore, for the daily chart, time should be exchanged for space. Today, the daily chart is suppressed at the upper Bollinger line 3245, and the four-hour chart is weak and short. However, the price is still running in the upward channel, so it belongs to the high-level correction adjustment type. In the short term, it is suppressed at the upper line 3230, and the support is 3184!
Today's analysis:
From the perspective of the short-term trend hourly level, the gold price had a short correction after last week's strong rise, but it was quickly recovered and then rose again, so there is no obvious reference support level. Today's overall trend is volatile. Without the influence of data and news, gold does not have the basis for a big rise or fall. There are signs of a pullback but it is also trading around 3200. Since it is a trend of high-level consolidation, we can continue to implement the idea of selling on rebound. So far, the price has maintained a relatively high level of 3193-3230 for repeated consolidation. Pay attention to the effective gains and losses of the MA10-day moving average. If it closes with a long negative line, then it will pull back downward in the short term and gradually move closer to the middle track. If it closes with a long lower shadow K, then it will not go down for the time being and will continue to consolidate at a high level.
Operation ideas:
Buy short-term gold at 3200-3203, stop loss at 3192, target at 3230-3240;
Sell short-term gold at 3245-3248, stop loss at 3257, target at 3200-3210;
Key points:
First support level: 3210, second support level: 3200, third support level: 3192
First resistance level: 3232, second resistance level: 3246, third resistance level: 3268
Gold, adjustment is a buying opportunity
📌 Driving events
At the critical moment of the tariff war, there were signs of easing, but the market did not buy it when it came to the gold market. The US policy changed faster than turning a book, which made the market overwhelmed. Therefore, even if the latest US statement was somewhat easing, gold did not fall as a result. The current market is an extreme casino, which depends entirely on whether the correct trading signals and entry timing are grasped in time.
After the tariff war, major investment banks have recently raised their expectations for gold prices this year. Goldman Sachs' latest forecast is that the gold price may rise to $3,700 this year. In extreme cases, the gold price may hit $4,200. This forecast seems unreliable, but it is actually very mysterious. Goldman Sachs' forecasts cannot be all accurate, nor can they be all inaccurate. What does this extreme situation refer to? Obviously, there are only two points, the first is the economy, and the second is the war. Apart from these two points, there is no more significant news that can push the gold price to $4,200.
So, is it possible for the current fundamentals to have the situation predicted by Goldman Sachs? Obviously, there is. The global trade war initiated by Trump will cause all economic turmoil, and the economy will enter an accelerated recession. In addition, the United States attempts to take down Iran in order to control the Middle East and raise oil prices. If a war breaks out in Iran, the Strait of Hormuz, the lifeline of oil in the entire Middle East, will be blocked, and oil may rise to a rare height. This is the purpose of the United States. Once the above two situations occur at the same time, it is not surprising that the price of gold rises to $4,200. Therefore, instead of predicting how much the price of gold will rise, it is better to pay attention to the real-time dynamics of the United States' tariff war and layout in the Middle East.
With 36 trillion U.S. debts hanging over his head, Trump is like a child who is desperate to lose, betting on the credit of the United States. Of course, the United States has the possibility of winning the bet. The tariff war is naturally impossible for the United States to win, but the United States will not lose. In the layout of the Middle East, the United States still has the probability of winning. Although Iran is the strongest combat force in the Middle East, the United States has been deeply involved in the Middle East for many years and has also won almost all the expected goals, and is experienced. The world is calling Trump a madman, a psychopath, and a fool. In my opinion, Trump is not crazy, but may be a king.
📊Commentary Analysis and 💰Strategy
I have said that any pullback in gold is an opportunity to get on board. Buy more when the pullback is big and buy less when the pullback is small. Although it is at a high level and the risk is extremely high, it is all assumptions. The fact is that gold has always been strong. The only thing to remember is that once you are afraid of heights, don't go short. You can be timid and watch the war, but you can't go against the trend.
After the tariff war eased, gold did not fall. After a slight adjustment yesterday, it did not continue the decline. It is now strong again and stands above 3230. It rose sharply due to the tariff war, but it did not fall sharply due to the easing of tariffs. There must be a reason. In terms of technical trends, gold 3190 area forms a new support platform, and the 4-hour level forms a high-level shock pattern. This high-level shock pattern is still bullish. Once it breaks through, it will start a new wave of upward trend. At present, the trend is good and the bullish trend remains unchanged.
The market fluctuates rapidly. We have already entered long orders near 3210 in the morning. Any intraday retracement support level is a long opportunity. We should grasp it flexibly.
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account
Gold is finishing at a high level to resist the fall! The bullis
📌 Driving events
U.S. President Trump said on Monday that he was exploring the possibility of temporarily exempting tariffs on imported cars and parts to give auto companies more time to establish production bases in the United States.
New York Fed: The unemployment rate is expected to rise to the highest level since April 2020 in March. In March, households were more pessimistic about employment and future income. The expected inflation rate for the next five years is 2.9%, down from 3% in February.
Geopolitical situation:
It was learned on the 14th local time that Israeli officials said that Israel and the Palestinian Islamic Resistance Movement (Hamas) still have great differences on the ceasefire in Gaza. The official said that compared with the previous negotiating position, Hamas seems willing to release more Israeli detainees, but if Hamas insists on requiring all parties to guarantee that Israel must stop waging war in the Gaza Strip after the ceasefire, it will still be difficult to promote an agreement. The official expects Hamas to respond to the new ceasefire proposal in the next few days.
📊Comment Analysis
The hourly level shows that the short-term gold price has fallen from a high level and gradually fell into a narrow range above the hourly 60-day moving average support level. The current hourly level indicators are narrowing, maintaining a short-term shock guide reference. The 5-day moving average and the 10-day moving average at the four-hour level are arranged in a downward cross, maintaining the four-hour level peak signal. The short-term decline gradually brings about the four-hour RSI mean reversion, forming a four-hour level adjustment trend. The gold price has risen and fallen to maintain a shock downward trend, which has not changed the medium- and long-term upward trend. Be cautious to maintain a bullish shock trading strategy during the day.
💰Strategy package
Long order:
Aggressive participation at 3185-3195, profit target above 3210
Steady participation at 3175-3185, profit target above 3195
Short order:
Aggressive participation at 3250, profit target below 3230
⭐️Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their capital
- Choose the number of lots that matches your capital
- Profit equals 4-7% of the capital account
- Stop loss equals 1-3% of the capital account
GS raises gold target to $4,000, UBS to $3,500 Goldman Sachs and UBS have issued another round of bullish forecasts for gold, citing ongoing market uncertainty (i.e., tariffs).
Goldman analysts now expect gold to reach $3,700 per ounce by the end of 2025, with a potential rise to $4,000 by mid-2026. UBS holds a slightly more conservative view, projecting $3,500 by December 2025.
Technically, gold has pulled back from new all-time highs seen during the Asian session but potentially remains in a strong uptrend. With prices trading well above both the 50-day EMA and 200-day EMA, shallow retracements may find support, especially as tariff-related risks persist for at least the next 90 days.
XAUUSD Market Update – April 14, 2025🟡 XAUUSD Market Update – April 14, 2025 (End of NY)
🔍 Market Structure Overview
Trend (HTF): Still bullish on H4 with a strong impulsive leg from 3120 → 3248. Current pullback is testing premium zone around 3205–3215.
LTF Structure: M15-H1 shows a textbook liquidity sweep + internal CHoCH, followed by BOS. Price is currently in a reaccumulation phase between 3205 and 3215.
Range: Price is bouncing between the weak high @ 3247 and key support zone @ 3172–3180. Volume thinning out during late NY.
🧠 Key Observations
Fakeout sweep @ 3215: Clear internal liquidity grab followed by CHoCH on M5–M15, triggering short-term upside.
3209 Entry Zone Rejected: Price swept that level without reaction — confirms liquidity engineering.
Premium Distribution Active: H4 OB + FVG zone between 3233–3247 still unmitigated — price may revisit before broader move.
Daily FVG below: Unmitigated bullish gap around 3172–3180, aligning with M30-H1 demand and FIB 61.8 retracement.
🔵 Mitigated Zones
🔹 3205–3210 (EQ zone from earlier CHoCH): Fully mitigated.
🔹 3188 (micro OB): Mitigated and invalidated — no longer valid.
🔹 3215 (fakeout + sweep): Fully played.
🔴 Unmitigated Zones
🔸 3233–3247 (H1–H4 OB + Premium + FVG): 🔥 Active supply area.
🔸 3172–3180 (Daily Imbalance + H1 demand): Strong bounce candidate.
🔸 3120–3130 (Deep discount + demand): Only if a deeper correction forms.
🧭 Current Bias
Short-term bullish into potential rejections near 3225–3233.
Overall market still bullish, but a correction toward 3172–3180 is healthy before continuation.
⚠️ What to Watch
3233–3247: If price spikes into this supply area and shows M5/M15 CHoCH → potential reversal.
3215–3220: Micro liquidity zone may induce late buyers → be cautious.
3172–3180: Strong bounce or continuation zone — RSI confluence and clean M30 imbalance.
🧾 Summary
XAUUSD is currently consolidating between key supply (3233–3247) and demand (3172–3180). Price is sweeping intraday liquidity, hinting at another attempt toward the upper zone before a deeper correction. Patience is key — sniper entries only around the unmitigated OBs with clear M5 confirmation.
Stay sharp, stay selective. Don’t chase, let price come to your zone.
🔔 Like this style of analysis? Drop a comment, follow and subscribe, or share your views with the community. Let’s grow together. 🫱🏽🫲🏽
#GoldMinds #XAUUSD #SmartMoney #FVG #SniperEntry
Bullish momentum is strong, keep an eye on key positions
📌 Driving events
Last week, China imposed a 125% tariff on US goods in retaliation for the US's 145% tariff, but then hinted that it would not respond to any further escalation of tariffs. Last weekend, President Donald Trump proposed the idea of levying a separate 20% tariff on Chinese semiconductors and electronics, suggesting that his strategy may shift from comprehensive tariffs to more targeted trade measures.
📊Commentary and analysis
Although there was a technical correction in the 1-hour gold trend, gold once retreated below 3197 to around 3195, but soon it was supported by bargain hunting again, suggesting that the underlying logic of this century's market is rock solid. When Fed officials are about to speak intensively, March PPI data hides inflation mystery, and geopolitical black swans continue to hover, every pullback of gold is accumulating power for the next round of charge. Historical experience shows that when there is a century-long divergence between physical assets and financial assets, it often indicates a large transfer of wealth at the civilization level.
Therefore, the gold price and the buying volume are maintained, and the upward trend continues: 3250, 3260
💰 Strategy package
Upper pressure - 3260-3280
Lower support - 3210-3200
Start time: Continue to go long near 3220
Take profit near 3240
Stop loss 3210
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their capital
- Choose the number of lots that matches your capital
- Profit equals 4-7% of the capital account
- Stop loss equals 1-3% of the capital account
Gold weakens in the short term, backhand shorts
Gold is still in a strong oscillating trend in the large-scale cycle trend. From the trend, the short-term moving average begins to diverge downward, and the price begins to slowly fall below the previous row support band and gradually weakens in the short-term trend. Pay attention to whether there is a small rebound in the late trading to confirm the secondary decline trend. In the hourly trend, the current small arc top pattern has emerged. The K line begins to slowly stick to the short-term moving average to maintain a good oscillating downward trend. Pay attention to the support band around 3170 in the short term. Pay attention to the adjustment and repair of the short-term trend. For operation, refer to the short-term opportunity near 3215-6, and stop loss at 3221.8.
Hello traders, if you have better ideas and suggestions, welcome to leave a message below, I will be very happy
Bullish momentum is strong, keep an eye on key positions
📌 Driving events
On Monday (April 14), spot gold fell slightly during the day, hitting a record high of $3,245.42/ounce earlier before falling back. Despite a small adjustment during the day, the price of gold remained above the key mark of $3,200/ounce, indicating that the overall market sentiment is still cautiously optimistic. The main factors driving this round of market conditions include uncertainty in the global trade environment, a weaker dollar, and continued warming of safe-haven demand. During the session, investors' reactions to the latest tariff remarks increased gold price volatility, but fundamental and technical support remained solid, and the strong pattern of gold did not show any significant shakes.
📊 Commentary and analysis
From a technical perspective, the trend of spot gold continued its recent strong pattern. On the daily level, gold prices have continued to run along the rising channel since breaking through $3,000/ounce. Although there was a small correction during the day, the overall bullish trend was not damaged. The current price is firmly above $3,200/ounce, which has become a key psychological and support level in the short term. If the gold price can continue to hold this area, bulls may further challenge $3,250/ounce or even higher.
On the hourly chart, after the gold price surged to $3,245.42/ounce in the morning, it was suppressed by short-term profit-taking and showed signs of decline.
However, from a longer-term perspective, the upward slope of gold prices since the end of last year has remained stable, and there has been no significant retracement after breaking through key resistance levels many times, reflecting the resilience of the bulls. Analysts pointed out that the support of $3,200/ounce is strong. If the subsequent price can hold this level, the bulls may exert their strength again in the next few days.
💰Strategy package
Upper pressure - 3260-3280
Lower support - 3210-3200
Start time 3220-30 Continue to go long
Take profit 3240
Stop loss 3210
⭐️Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their capital
- Choose the number of lots that matches your capital
- Take profit equals 4-7% of the capital account
- Stop loss equals 1-3% of the capital account
Gold 3220 becomes the key support, long and short only in a mome
Last Friday, the US dollar index continued to weaken during the day and fell below the $100 mark, as the Trump administration's repeated changes on the issue of import tariffs shook the market's confidence in the US dollar as a safe haven. Spot gold hit a new high, setting a new record high of $3,245.
After soaring by more than $200 last week and breaking through the 3,200 mark in one fell swoop, the gold price opened lower on Monday (April 14) and once hit a low of 3,210.
Then gold climbed to a new high again, reaching $3,245, and this wave of gains seemed to have further upward momentum. There are few safe-haven assets left in the market, and gold has become the first choice.
You can look at the daily chart. The daily chart has closed with a positive line for four consecutive trading days, and the daily chart has not shown a peak signal at present.
More importantly, the daily line currently has a five-wave upward trend, and this trend may eventually be around 3280.
The lowest position of the retracement last week was around 2950, which is at the high point of the a wave of the entire wave pattern.
Under the condition that the four-wave retracement does not break the top of the first wave, the current rise is the continuation of the fifth wave.
Secondly, you can also look at the 4-hour chart:
The most critical position of the 4-hour chart is around 3220, which is the support position of the ma10 moving average of the current 4-hour chart.
That is to say, as long as the 4-hour chart closes above 3220, then gold will definitely maintain an upward trend.
On the contrary, if the 4-hour closing line is below 3220, then there is no guarantee that there will be a possibility of a deep retracement today.
The bottom K-line of the previous 4-hour chart will close at 18:00, which means that as long as the closing line at 18:00 is above 3220, then everyone can go long.
The first target is to look at the high point of 3245, and the second is around 3280.
If the 4-hour closing line at 18:00 is below 3220, then everyone should be cautious about going long and be careful that there will be further corrections.
If you like my analysis, please follow me
Continue to go long during the US trading session
📌 Driving events
The recent global economic situation is complex and changeable, and major events have far-reaching impacts. In terms of trade, although the United States has exempted some products from tariffs, repeated policies have led to increased trade tensions. Asian powers have imposed a 125% tariff on US imports, impacting the global industrial chain and supply chain. Looking ahead to this week, investors need to pay attention to the trade situation and risk aversion. The US "terrorist data" and the European Central Bank's interest rate decision will also affect the global financial market. Policymakers and investors need to respond with caution.
📊Commentary Analysis
In terms of gold, the overall gold price showed a sharp rise last Friday.
As for the four-hour level, the current focus needs to be on the support level of the 3200 area. This position is the key dividing line that determines the short-term trend of gold. If the price is above this position, it will continue to be long in the short term. Let us wait and see, waiting for good news from everyone.
💰Strategy package
Upper pressure——3260-3280
Lower support——3210-3200
Target 3220-30 to continue to do more
Take profit 3250
Stop loss 3210
⭐️Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their capital
- Choose the number of lots that matches your capital
- Take profit equals 4-7% of the capital account
- Stop loss equals 1-3% of the capital account
Gold------Buy near 3220, target 3245-3260Gold market analysis:
Now everyone is waiting for a sharp drop in gold, because the previous strong bottom pull did not leave too many people with the opportunity to step back. There are many sell orders in the market. I still think that individual investors should not hold on to it. I have not seen an individual investor who holds on to it and makes a profit. Gold has risen to the highest record in history, and it is also the time point with the largest fluctuation in the past year. Many newcomers basically find it difficult to escape such a big market. Newcomers hold on to it and increase their positions when they are wrong. Veterans run faster than rabbits when they are wrong, and they hold on to it when they are right. Last week's gold weekly line was again a big positive, and the K-line moving average broke up again. There is no top to the weekly line. The indicator shows that the next target of the weekly line is 3400. In the short term, we need to find a good rhythm and opportunity to follow the buying.
The gold chart shows that the short-term moving average has begun to rise, and the buying pattern support has reached around 3209. Today's Asian market prices are strong above this position. The short-term moving average support is around 3218. In addition, the suppression of 3245 is also obvious. If it breaks, it will pull up a lot of space again. Those who like to see 3245 in the Asian market are an opportunity. If you want to follow the trend, you have to give up. The short-term retracement is our opportunity to get on the train again.
Pressure 3245, big suppression is invisible, small support 3218 and 3209, the strength and weakness watershed of the market is 3209.
Fundamental analysis:
Previous CPI data also showed that gold suppressed the US dollar. This week, the market will rest on Good Friday, and Powell will speak.
Operation suggestions:
Gold------Buy near 3220, target 3245-3260
Gold price hits new high, 3216 as the dividing lineGold prices rose strongly by nearly $276 in three trading days, and broke through historical highs one after another. There is no highest, only higher.
There are many similar points in the rise, which can be summarized into five points. The first is the continued rise in the early trading and breaking through the new high. The second is the 0.382 position of the space adjustment and the same amplitude switching of the space. The third is the wandering back and forth sweep of the European session. The fourth is the flash of good points. The fifth is to learn to stop when you are ahead.
Combining these five points to look at the market situation, the gold price continues to rise. Last Friday, it closed directly at the high of 3237-3238 area.
Today The price opened lower in the morning and touched 3210, and hit a new high of 3245.6. But this time it was different. After the high, it fell back. The rise was 30 US dollars, and the high fell back 25 US dollars. Basically, the rise was as much as the fall. In the afternoon, the resistance of 3238 was confirmed for the second time, and it fell 22 US dollars again to find 3216, which was basically recovered.
The overall trend will be more adjusted. The cooperation between the high fall and the bottom recovery will provide momentum for the start of a new round of market.
Specifically, the key points to note are:
1. The correction range of the market space is at least 30 US dollars, and the start is at least 60 US dollars. Instead of focusing on the high and low issues, we should grasp the present.
2. The daily and weekly lines are rising strongly, and the indicators and patterns are overloaded. At present, only the direction is referenced; the four-hour pattern opening situation, the lifeline position is slightly far away, 3154 is close to the support point 3151 area that was stepped back late at night, and together they become the spatial dividing line. The resistance above is 3270-3275 and 3299.
3. The hourly chart pattern closed and flattened. Today's white market has been running back and forth around the upper and lower rails. The current pattern further closed the range of 3242-3216. Break through this space and then look at the space switch, and then cooperate with the small cycle double-line upper rail position 3194 area. If the price breaks the early low of 3210, it will switch space downward.
4. As shown in the figure, the price last week accelerated the rise and broke through 3190, and last Friday, it repeatedly broke through the new high around 3210, first the new high of 3238 (looking for 3210), then the new high of 3245 (looking for 3210), and then the new high of 3245.6
Now the price is down to 3216, which is also the starting point of the Asian session
Using 3216 as the switching point, the current sweeping space is about 30 US dollars, and the subsequent price breakthrough will switch the space of 30 US dollars
Focus on 3276-3278 upwards and 3186-3188 downwards
And it is very interesting that the 0.382 position of the latest wave of rise is also at 3187-3188
So, here we need to focus on the key points , with 3246-3216 as the range sweep, breaking through and switching to 30 US dollars, focusing on the support of the 3186-3188 area, and then looking at the upward switching space
In addition, it is necessary to remember that the online position is the 3131-3129 area, the top and bottom conversion position, and it is also a strong resistance level that turns into a strong support level after breaking through. After breaking through, it directly rises unilaterally
In summary, for gold at the beginning of the week, we treat it with a biased adjustment and sweeping idea. Referring to this idea, we have deployed high altitude twice in the 3236-3238 area. As of press time, the price fell to 3216, and all short orders were closed at 3217, waiting for the next plan. Now the price has risen again to 3230, and it continues to sweep, rushing high and falling, bottoming out and rising, which is in line with the above-mentioned biased sweeping and adjustment method.
Gold Analysis April 14Currently, gold is still around the peak and the next trend is unclear. We must wait for clearer fluctuations to come up with trading strategies. If H1 gold closes below 3225, the decline is confirmed and may return to 3190 in the US session. On the contrary, if gold continues to increase, it will break ATH towards the round resistance of 3278-3280. To be safe, wait for a break of 3232 to confirm the BUY point.
Analysis of the latest gold price trends!Market news:
After the Asian trading market opened on Monday, the spot gold price opened sharply lower. After opening slightly lower, the spot gold fluctuated narrowly. Then the London gold price fell further, reaching a low of $3,208/ounce, a plunge of nearly $30 from the closing price last Friday, but it was still supported by bargain hunting. Bloomberg reported that the international gold price fell from its historical high due to the latest US trade news released by US President Trump. As Trump's tariff actions triggered investors' pursuit of safe-haven assets such as gold, the gold price soared by more than 6% last week, breaking through $3,245/ounce for the first time. It was the largest weekly increase since March 2020. This round of gains was jointly driven by the deepening of the trade war, the plunge of the US dollar, the rising expectations of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts and geopolitical risks, highlighting the attractiveness of gold as the ultimate safe-haven asset. At the same time, weak US economic data, soaring inflation expectations and huge shocks in the bond market further amplified market panic and accelerated the influx of funds into the gold market. Investors need to continue to pay attention to changes in the International Trade Bureau and market risk aversion this week. Economic data mainly focus on the US March retail sales monthly rate (commonly known as the "terror data") and the European Central Bank's interest rate decision. Elsewhere this week, traders will focus on how some of the world's largest central banks respond to the rapidly changing global economic outlook. The Monetary Authority of Singapore and the European Central Bank are expected to ease monetary policy. Lower interest rates are generally beneficial to interest-free gold.
Technical Review:
Gold has completed a gain of more than $275 in three trading days. The daily structure continues to maintain continuous positive and strong positive closings, the moving average opens upward, and the price runs along the upper track of the Bollinger Band. The short-term four-hour chart price continues to rise along the MA10-day moving average, the moving average opens upward, the Bollinger Band opens upward, and the RSI indicator runs close to the 80-value high. The technical side of gold continues to maintain bullish dominance, and the price continues to run in an upward trend. The trading at the beginning of the week continues to be mainly based on the callback and low-multiple participation layout, with high-altitude assistance.
Judging from the current situation, if the tariff policy is further tightened, the risk aversion sentiment in the global market will inevitably be ignited again, thereby driving the gold price to continue its strong rise. On the contrary, once there are signs of easing of tariff policies, the gold market is very likely to reverse in an instant, falling rapidly or even falling into a situation of plummeting. Therefore, the key guidance of gold trends this week is undoubtedly focused on every subtle change in tariff news. In this market, the influence of a tariff news is so great that all previous technical-based analysis and forecasts are instantly invalid. Looking back at the recent market, we can clearly see that in just three days, the price of gold first fell sharply by $211, and then rebounded rapidly, soaring by $275 in three days. Such drastic and frequent price fluctuations are almost entirely driven by various news, which once again highlights the decisive role of news in the current gold market.
Today's analysis: From a purely technical analysis perspective, the strong performance of the weekly big positive line clearly shows that the current buying power controls the overall market structure. It is worth noting that in the past month or so, the Asian market has formed a unique opening must rise rule. In-depth details of the market, we can find that the low point of gold in the US market, 3220-3215 area, has become a key watershed between buying and selling strength. When the price runs above this area, the market shows obvious strong characteristics; once the price falls below this area, the market is very likely to turn to a weak pattern.Similarly, the Asian session retracement low point of 3185-3190 area also constitutes an important dividing line between buying and selling. If the price remains above this area, buying will dominate; if it unfortunately falls below, the market is likely to quickly switch to selling mode, and even trigger a rapid plunge. Looking at the upper space, there is still great uncertainty. Investors can focus on the new high breakthrough in the 3245-3250 area, followed by the 3265-3260 area and the psychologically important $3,300 mark.As the tariff war continues to deepen, the market generally expects that in the next 1-2 weeks, the gold market will usher in more crazy fluctuations, and its rise and fall is expected to break historical records. Investors need to be vigilant at all times and respond to market changes with caution.
Operation ideas:
Buy short-term gold at 3206-3209, stop loss at 3198, target at 3240-3250;
Sell short-term gold at 3260-3263, stop loss at 3272, target at 3220-3210;
Key points:
First support level: 3210, second support level: 3202, third support level: 3192
First resistance level: 3236, second resistance level: 3246, third resistance level: 3263
XAU/USD(20250414) Today's AnalysisTechnical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
3219
Support and resistance levels:
3288
3262
3246
3193
3176
3150
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 3246, consider buying, the first target price is 3262
If the price breaks through 3219, consider selling, the first target price is 3193
gold (update)Hello friends
Due to the price growth, we have given you the analysis that the price will fall and the same thing happened. Now, due to the sharp decline, the price has entered the channel and the 3 specified areas are important support areas for us, where we can buy with risk and capital management and move towards the specified goals.
*Trade safely with us*
XAUUSD Daily Sniper Plan – April 14, 2025🔥 XAUUSD Daily Sniper Plan – April 14, 2025
📍 Bias: Bearish short-term – price at premium levels
📈 HTF Trend: Bullish unless 3025 breaks
🌍 Macro:
🇺🇸 Trump tariffs + geopolitical instability still looming
Mixed U.S. data: CPI hot 🥵 / PPI weak = confusion → perfect trap setups
Liquidity zones active → both sides could get hunted
🔻 SELL SCENARIO 1 – “Sniper Trap from the Top”
📍 Entry: 3242 – 3248
🛑 SL: 3255
🎯 TP1: 3215
🎯 TP2: 3188
🎯 TP3: 3160
🧠 Why:
Fresh M15 OB + massive liquidity above 3242 swept → expecting rejection
RSI divergence building, M5 confirmation needed
🔻 SELL SCENARIO 2 – “Premium OB Rejection”
📍 Entry: 3260 – 3268
🛑 SL: 3275
🎯 TP1: 3235
🎯 TP2: 3200
🎯 TP3: 3165
🧠 Why:
Final premium OB + unmitigated zone on H1 + imbalance.
Ideal for NY session trap + bearish engulfing rejection.
🟢 BUY SCENARIO 1 – “Reactive Dip”
📍 Entry: 3180 – 3172
🛑 SL: 3165
🎯 TP1: 3205
🎯 TP2: 3230
🎯 TP3: 3250
🧠 Why:
Trendline + OB on M30 + internal structure support.
Needs bullish PA and CHoCH on M5.
🟢 BUY SCENARIO 2 – “Deep Clean FVG Tap”
📍 Entry: 3137 – 3142
🛑 SL: 3129
🎯 TP1: 3180
🎯 TP2: 3205
🎯 TP3: 3240
🧠 Why:
Major imbalance + H1 OB + RSI confluence.
Bullish engulfing or aggressive CHoCH needed on LTF.
📌 Key Zones Recap:
🔺 3248–3268 = Premium sell zone + liquidity trap
🔻 3180 = Internal demand + trendline confluence
🟦 3137 = Strong FVG + H1 OB
⚠️ 3025 = Final HTF support — if broken, expect shift in macro bias
📊 Technical Confluence
✅ SMC: CHoCH and BOS zones active
✅ FVGs: 3137–3145 + 3245–3265
✅ GAPS: Partial fill from 3180–3200
✅ RSI: Divergence above 3240
✅ FIBO: 61.8% zone aligned with 3170–3180
✅ EMA5/21/50/100/200: Price is testing EMA200 on H1
🤝 Final Thoughts
Gold’s premium levels are being tested. The game now is reaction, not prediction. Don’t chase — let price confirm.
🎯 No confirmation = No trade
🧠 Sniper mindset only: clean, high-confluence, risk-controlled.
💬 Engage & Grow Together
🔥 If this plan sharpens your bias, smash the ❤️
🧠 Comment your entries below – let’s discuss setups
🔔 Follow and subscribe for daily sniper drops — stay ahead, stay sharp!
📈 We trade precision, not noise.
IT IS NOT TRADING CALLS!! IT IS TRADING ANALYSIS ONLYThis Trading Analysis is based on Elliot Wave Analysis combined with Fibonacci Ratios. The EW is to project the price direction/movement in the future while the Fibonacci Ratios is used for measuring the target price whether as Support or Resistance. Hope everyone can enjoy my analysis. THANK YOU.