GOLD H1 Analysis: Two Different Perspectives GOLD: Two Different Perspectives
Yesterday, I provided a broader time frame perspective on GOLD and detailed why it might move down again.
Given the market’s lack of clear direction, we should remain cautious as the price evolves.
This time, I am sharing my opinion on two possible scenarios, acknowledging that traders have different perspectives and the price is at a critical juncture.
Bearish Scenario:
The price is testing a strong zone near 2530 for the fourth time, as seen in the chart. If this zone holds, we could see GOLD moving down to 2504. A move below 2504 could push the price further down to 2483.
Bullish Scenario:
A move above 2530 today could push the price up to 2550, which might become the next resistance zone where we could see potential bearish momentum again.
However, I am more focused on the bearish move, as I have explained my opinion several times.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Goldprice
Final fall? Bitcion Review #BTCAfter the last fall, you entered the zone of interest. Now, we are likely to go to the white box, from which we will see the final movement down and the subsequent impulse with the renewal of new tops or without dipping into the zone of 54-56k.
I look at the market extremely positively.
-Because everything is down right now -
Altcoins
-We've held the Bitcoin level.
-In a few days, it's September.
-Markets rise on fear.
Best regards @Forexcryptowithjohn
XAU cannot break ATH - correction down to 2500 areaXAU / USD trend forecast August 30, 2024
Russia launched multiple air strikes on Ukraine this week, costing Moscow around £1.1 billion. At the same time, Ukraine has cautioned that it is closely monitoring its border with Belarus following a recent buildup of troops there, according to Sky News.
The US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) expanded at an annual rate of 3.0% in the second quarter (Q2), as reported by the Department of Commerce in its second estimate released on Thursday. This figure exceeded both the forecasts and the initial estimate of 2.8%.
Additionally, US weekly Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending August 24 fell to 231,000 from 233,000 in the prior week, coming in below the market expectation of 232,000.
September is an opportunity for the financial market: BTC, XAU increases strongly, Gold price needs to accumulate more, the target is to adjust down to the 2500 area.
/// SELL XAU : zone 2527-2530
SL: 2535
TP: 50 - 150 - 300 pips (2500)
Safe and profitable trading
Gold next move (weekly forecast)(02-06 Sep-2024)Go through the analysis carefully, and do trade accordingly.
Immediate resistance- 2520-2525
Immediate support- 2499-2504
last cluster of support area- 2490-94
Potential resistance- 2545-2550
Swing range -2460-2465
if price breaks the last cluster of support i.e. 2490-2494, then price may approach to the swing area 2460-2465.
if price breaks the immediate resistance than, then price may break the All Time High and approach to potential resistance i.e. 2545-2550
Anup 'BIAS for the week (02-06 Sep-2024)
Current price- 2503
"if Price stays above 2490-2493, then next target is 2522, 2532 and 2545 and below that 2465-2470."
Advise-
if price reject from the 2520-2525 area and approach to 2500-2505 area, that will be the good zone for buying.
-POSSIBILITY-1
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening )
-POSSIBILITY-2
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening)
Best of luck
Never risk more than 1% of principal to follow any position.
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Asian session volatility August 30Gold prices lost momentum amid a stronger US dollar on Friday. Upbeat US growth reports and initial jobless claims pushed back expectations of a deeper interest rate cut by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) in September, weighing on non-yielding bullion. However, escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and the war between Russia and Ukraine could boost safe-haven demand, benefiting the yellow metal.
Gold could be pushed higher as the European session begins. Look for buy zones around 09-07 or 03-01. Further trading strategies will be updated soon.
Attempt to break ATH XAU at the end of August 2024 ⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
However, the rising demand for the US Dollar (USD) could pressure Gold prices, as a stronger USD makes Gold more expensive for buyers. Investors will be watching Thursday's second estimate of US GDP for Q2 to gauge the potential size and timing of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) rate cut. On Friday, attention will shift to the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data for July.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Still continuing sideways in the price range of 2480 - 2530, stabilizing liquidity in this area. NOVA thinks it will take time until early September for gold to continue to create a new ATH this year.
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2485 - $2483 SL $2478
TP1: $2490
TP2: $2500
TP3: $2510
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2548 - $2550 SL $2555
TP1: $2530
TP2: $2515
TP3: $2500
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
XAUUSD:29/8 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2550, support below 2450
Four-hour resistance 2525/2550, support below 2494
Gold operation suggestions: Gold's downward momentum last night was very strong, but the energy of the early morning rebound was also relatively strong. At present, the low point of the medium-term trend of the gold hourly line has been in a continuous downward stage. The disk shows a trajectory of weak and oscillating decline, but it began to stabilize and rebound near 2493 yesterday. At present, the Asian session broke through the moving average pressure level and attacked 2521, and it is very close to the upper pressure level of 2526-2528! Need to wait patiently!
Judging from the current trend of gold, the upper pressure remains around 2525-50, and the lower support remains around 2490-2494. Before the lower level fails to break, there may still be a period of range oscillation in the short term, and gold rebounds. If there is no breakthrough near 2525-30, you can go short.
BUY:2494near SL:2490
BUY:2500near SL:2494
SELL:2528near SL:2533
⚠️The strategy only provides trading directions.
Since it is not a real-time trading guide, please use a small SL to test the signal.
Gold Analysis August 29Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices recovered some of their losses on Thursday after bouncing off a weekly low below $2,500. Expectations of a U.S. interest rate cut could boost demand for gold as lower rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion. In addition, the current political uncertainty in the U.S., geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and global economic concerns have contributed to the rise in the precious metal.
On the other hand, renewed demand for U.S. dollars could weigh on gold, which is priced in dollars, as it makes gold more expensive for most buyers. Investors will be closely watching Thursday’s second estimate of U.S. second-quarter (Q2) gross domestic product for more information on the size and pace of the Federal Reserve’s rate cuts. On Friday, the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data for July will be in focus.
Technical Analysis
In the Swiss session, gold pushed to the 2416 zone when it failed to break the resistance level of 2521. Considering that the European session can push back above 2551, we can consider retest buy orders and keep the buy order if the 2421 zone is broken. If the European session cannot push above 2421, we can SELL to the 2511 zone and catch BUY again around 11-09 when the session fails to break this zone and keep the order until the end of the US session. In case of a break on 11-09, we wait for support zones to buy scalp such as 2503-2495 and buy strongly when the price reaches 2585.
SELL zone 2527 - 2525 stoploss 2531
SELL zone 2548 - 2550 stoploss 2554
BUY zone 2510 - 2508 stoploss 2504
BUY zone 2485- 2483 stoploss 2480
8.28 Gold operation analysisGold hit the upper Bollinger Band in 4 hours, and the long orders at 2507 have made profits first. It is expected that gold will retreat to the vicinity of the middle band.
Today, gold is likely to hit a new record high again. The daily line has three consecutive positives, and the bulls are ready to try to break the record high. The conservative approach is to wait for the gold price to fall back to the middle band again before we go long.
In the strong upward trend of gold, do not buy the callback, and go long at will. Technology leads the direction, ideas lead the market, and accurate points are the key to success
Trading strategy: Long gold near 2505, stop loss 2495, target 2540
Gold Analysis 8-28 Asia/LondonPrice has dropped from Asia Session. Found Rejection again on 2525 .
DXY is gaining strength and can has some room to upside to pump. Sell side liquidity at previous days low around 2500 and also lower around fridays lows. 2495
Looking for an area to enter at better discount. will wait for london / Ny session.
Good luck Traders
Risk Management#1
check my profile for more info
Gold Price Analysis August 27☘️Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices traded in negative territory amid a modest recovery in the US dollar (USD) on Tuesday. However, signals from US Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell at Jackson Hole that the central bank will begin cutting interest rates are likely to support the precious metal. Lower interest rates are generally beneficial for gold as they reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-interest-bearing assets. Moreover, rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East could further boost gold, a traditional safe-haven asset.
The People’s Bank of China (PBOC) stopped buying gold in July, marking the third straight month of no purchases for its reserves. Traders will be watching August data for fresh impetus. Concerns about a slowing economy and demand for the precious metal in China could drag down gold prices as China is the world’s largest producer and consumer of gold. August Consumer Confidence Index and Price Index
☘️Technical Analysis:
Gold is trading around the 2516 resistance zone and heading towards today's most important hook around 2525. When the price closes above 2516 when the European session ends, gold will head towards 2525 and make a new high when the US session begins. If gold is pushed lower than the 2509 zone when the European session begins, the price will soon be pushed to 2502 and this is a notable level before finding today's BUY zone around 2495.
SELL zone 2525 - 25277 stoploss 2530
SELL price zone 2545 - 2547 stoploss 2551
BUY price zone 2496 - 2494 stoploss 2490
BUY price zone 2486- 2484 stoploss 2480
Either Stock or GoldIn every analysis I have done over the years, I have said that I hold either gold or equities. I have never been in cash other than equities. These charts explain why.
From 1884 to 1970, you could buy 1 SP500 share with an average of 0.74 gold or $14.75. So there is not much point in choosing between gold and the dollar during this period because the Bretton Woods system is still in place. But the real problem starts after 1970. After the Bretton Woods system was abolished, you can now buy 1 SP500 share with an average of 2 gold coins. Yes, the stock is rising relative to gold, but it is not in a continuous upward trend, so you can buy SP500 shares with 2 gold in 1972 or 2020. But in dollar terms, things are not so good. In 1970 you could buy SP500 for $100 and in 2020 you can buy SP500 for $3000.
Therefore, when you sell a share, going for gold instead of cash may put you at a speculative loss in the short term, but in the long term you are always on the winning side.
waiting for new ATH XAU !! 8/26 The Gold price (XAU/USD) trades with mild losses near the $2,500 psychological support on Monday. However, the downside of the precious metal might be limited amid rising expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will begin lowering borrowing costs in September. Lower interest rates are generally positive for Gold as it reduces the opportunity cost of holding the non-interest paying asset.
Furthermore, the escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and the economic uncertainty are likely to boost the safe-haven demand, benefiting Gold price. On the other hand, the sluggish demand in the Chinese economy might undermine the yellow metal as China is the largest producer and consumer of gold worldwide. Later on Monday, the US July Durable Goods Orders are due. The highlights for this week will be the preliminary US Gross Domestic Product Annualized (GDP) for the second quarter and the Personal Consumption Expenditures-Price Index (PCE) for July, which will be released on Thursday and Friday, respectively.
2024 will be the year of the strongest increase of Gold: old ATH 2531 and continue the upward trend
According to the M30 trendline, wait for the price to retest the supply zone. then increase again
BUY XAU: ZONE 2517 - 2515
SL: 2511
TP: 40 - 80 - 150 PIPS ( 2530 )
Safe and profitable trading
Gold Visit fourtrades website for full market analysis link in the bio
4-Hour Chart Analysis
The 4-hour chart reveals that Gold has been moving within an ascending channel, with the price currently testing the upper boundary of this channel. The repeated testing of this upper trendline, highlighted by the red arrows, suggests a strong resistance zone. However, the price action near the daily retest area indicates that a breakout to the upside could occur if the price manages to close above this resistance level. If a breakout happens, the next target could be around $2,540.00 to $2,550.00. On the downside, a pullback towards the daily retest area around $2,500.00 could provide a solid support base.
EURUSD analysis week 35🌐Fundamental Analysis
EURUSD surged in the North American session after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell gave the green light to interest rate cuts, as he believes inflation is approaching the central bank's 2% target. The pair traded near 1.120, a recent month high.
The week ahead opens with a relatively quiet data schedule, however key inflation data points from both the EU and the US remain in the shadows. US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth figures will act as the precursor event on Thursday, but EURUSD traders will focus on a double headline on inflation scheduled for Friday next week.
The EU Harmonized Consumer Price Index (HICP) preliminary inflation figures for August are due out next Friday and are widely expected to show that the core EU inflation figures continue to cool towards the European Central Bank’s (ECB) 2% annual target. On the US side, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index will be released on Friday.
📊Technical Analysis:
EURUSD has formed a strong uptrend that is the highest in the past month following the latest Fed data. On the D1 timeframe, the EMA 34 is sloping up strongly against the EMA 89, suggesting that the market structure is tilted to the upside with the nearest trading range around 1.127-1.110. With such a strong rally, the upside could extend next week to the resistance at 1.14. Any pullback at the moment is seen as a good time to buy rather than a trend reversal. The best BUY level is around 1.100 strong resistance zone that EURUSD broke through and now forms a strong support zone when the pair price returns.
Resistance: 1.127-1.146
Support: 1.110-1.100
🕯Trading signals
BUY EURUSD zone 1.127-1.129 Stoploss 1.131
SELL EURUSD zone 1.100-1.098 Stoploss 1.096
XAU/USD Bullish Trend Alert ,Tomorrow Targeting is ($2,550) 1-hour chart, I've identified a bullish trend emerging in the gold market with a potential breakout target of ($2,550).Tomorrow is strong upward momentum as the price is expected to breach the current resistance levels, indicating a promising opportunity for buyers. With key support at ($2,496), the risk-reward ratio looks favorable for those looking to capitalize on this bullish move.