Gold - The clear top formation!🪙Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) just created a top formation:
🔎Analysis summary:
Over the past four months, Gold has overall been moving sideways. Following a previous blow-off rally of about +25%, this cycle is very similar to the 2008 bullish cycle. Bulls are starting to slow down which will most likely result in the creation of at least a short term top formation.
📝Levels to watch:
$3.000
🙏🏻#LONGTERMVISION
Philip - Swing Trader
Goldprice
XAU/USD) bullish the support Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of (XAU/USD) on the 4-hour timeframe, indicating a potential bounce from a key trendline support within a rising channel.
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Analysis Summary
Pair: XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs. USD)
Timeframe: 4H
Current Price: 3,338.715
Bias: Bullish rebound within ascending channel
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Key Technical Elements
1. Ascending Channel:
Price has been respecting a well-defined rising channel, bouncing between support and resistance levels.
2. Key Support Zone:
The yellow highlighted area marks a critical support level and lower boundary of the channel.
Also intersects with the trendline, strengthening the potential for a bounce.
3. 200 EMA (Dynamic Support):
The 200 EMA at 3,343.616 lies just below current price, acting as a dynamic support level.
4. RSI (14):
RSI is around 34.93, nearing the oversold zone, suggesting a buying opportunity may be near.
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Target Points
First Target: 3,402.099
Second Target: 3,446.661
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Trade Idea
Direction Entry Zone Stop-Loss Target Zones
Buy 3,330–3,345 Below 3,320 3,402 / 3,446
Mr SMC Trading point
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Summary
Gold is currently testing a key support level and ascending trendline. If price holds above this area, we can expect a bullish rebound toward 3,400–3,446 levels, aligning with the upper channel resistance.
Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
Bearish Channel Development and Key Support Zone Test1. Technical Overview (15m timeframe):
Gold (XAUUSD) is currently trading around 3,342.80, showing signs of continued downward momentum after forming a bearish reversal pattern from the 3,404–3,410 USD resistance area. The price action has now developed into a clear descending channel, with lower highs and lower lows forming in a structured manner.
2. Key Price Levels to Watch:
Immediate Support Zone:
🔹 3,335 – 3,330 USD – This zone aligns with previous structure and the lower bound of the descending channel. A break below this area could accelerate selling pressure toward deeper Fibonacci zones.
Next Major Support (Medium-term):
🔹 3,310 USD – A critical zone where price reacted strongly during the last pullback. A breakdown here would shift sentiment fully bearish in the short-term.
Resistance Levels:
🔹 3,358 – 3,360 USD: Minor intraday resistance near the upper bound of the descending channel.
🔹 3,375 USD: EMA21 and previous structure level.
🔹 3,404 – 3,410 USD: Major confluence resistance from recent highs.
3. Price Action and Indicators:
Descending Channel: Price is respecting the upper and lower trendlines of the bearish channel. No bullish breakout signal confirmed.
Volume: Decreasing on the bounce, rising on the decline – a bearish volume structure.
RSI: Near oversold (not shown, but implied from price exhaustion), could suggest a bounce, but no divergence confirmation yet.
EMA Trend: EMA21 and EMA50 (not shown but assumed from price slope) are likely crossing downward on higher timeframes, reinforcing bearish pressure.
4. Strategy Suggestion – Scenarios for Intraday Traders:
🔻 Scenario A – Continuation Short (Sell on Retracement)
Entry: Around 3,358–3,360 (upper bound of descending channel).
SL: Above 3,365.
TP1: 3,335
TP2: 3,310
Confirmation: Look for bearish engulfing or pin bar rejections on the 5m–15m timeframe.
🔺 Scenario B – Countertrend Long (Bounce from Channel Base)
Entry: Near 3,330–3,335 (support zone).
SL: Below 3,325.
TP1: 3,350
TP2: 3,360
Note: This is a riskier trade and should only be taken with bullish reversal confirmation (hammer, bullish divergence on RSI, or break of structure on LTF).
5. Summary:
Gold is currently in a short-term bearish correction, respecting a well-defined descending channel. Price is approaching a critical support zone (3,330–3,335), where a potential intraday bounce may occur, but trend remains bearish unless a clear break
XAU/USD 25 July 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
You will note that price has targeted weak internal high on three separate occasions which has now formed a triple top, this is a bearish reversal pattern and proving this zone is a strong supply level. This is in-line with HTF bearish pullback phase.
Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025.
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
H4 Timeframe - Price has failed to target weak internal high, therefore, it would not be unrealistic if price printed a bearish iBOS.
The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price.
As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
BULLISH REVERSAL SIGNAL FROM 3,350 SUPPORTOn the 15-minute chart (M15), XAUUSD is showing early signs of recovery after a sharp decline that found support around the key 3,350 USD level. This area has been tested multiple times with increasing volume, suggesting potential buyer accumulation.
Technical Analysis: Downtrend Line: A descending trendline (yellow) from the July 23 high has acted as dynamic resistance. Price is now approaching this line again.
Fibonacci Retracement: The recent rebound from 3,350.11 to 3,373.52 shows key resistance zones at the 0.5 (3,361.82) and 0.618 (3,364.58) Fibonacci levels.
Volume Spike: Notable volume surges at the bottom suggest increased buyer interest near support.
Key Price Levels for Today: Technical Zone Role 3,350 – 3,353
Strong short-term support 3,361 – 3,365
Fibonacci 0.5–0.618 resistance 3,373.5
Previous swing high 3,400 – 3,434
Fibonacci 3.618 extension target
Trading Strategies: Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout Above Trendline Entry: Buy stop above 3,366 with increasing volume.
TP1: 3,373.5
TP2: 3,400
TP3: 3,434 (Fibonacci 3.618 extension)
SL: 3,348 (below recent low)
Scenario 2: Trendline Rejection – Bearish Continuation Entry: Sell limit at 3,364–3,366 if bearish pin bar / engulfing pattern appears
TP1: 3,350
TP2: 3,338
SL: 3,375
Additional Confirmation Signals: Closely watch price action near the trendline and Fibonacci zone (3,361–3,364).
RSI is not yet oversold, so a short-term technical rebound remains possible.
Conclusion: Gold is currently testing a significant support zone around 3,350 USD. If price successfully breaks above the descending trendline and holds, we may see a bullish impulse targeting as high as 3,434 USD. However, failure at this resistance may trigger another leg down.
Trend corrected, long funds reduced, sellers returned#XAUUSD
The current moving average is still spreading downward, and the 4-hour chart closed with a large negative line. The market has not yet given a clear feedback on the current trend. However, after a large amount of buying funds intervened, the gold price hit a high of around 3377 and then stagnated. The short-term bullish momentum has weakened, and there is a certain risk of a correction and decline. Sellers are beginning to return📉.
Currently, you can consider participating in short selling at 3370-3377💡. If it rebounds directly to 3400-3405, you can still short if it does not break🔍. The target is 3360 below, and 3350 or even 3330 if it breaks🎯.
🚀 SELL 3370-3377
🚀 TP 3360-3350
Gold is weak. Beware of lows.On Thursday, the dollar index ended a four-day losing streak thanks to the progress of the fund between the United States and its trading partners.
As signs of easing global trade tensions curbed demand for safe-haven assets, gold fell for the second consecutive trading day, and yesterday it hit the 3350 bottom support level.
From the 4-hour chart
although it rebounded to the 3370-3380 range after hitting 3350. But it can be found that the current rebound is actually weak, and it is still maintained at 3360-70 for rectification. At present, the bottom of the 4-hour bottom is absolutely supported at 3340-3335. The rebound high is around 3375. As of now, gold has not rebounded above 3375, and gold is actually in a weak position.
Secondly, from the hourly chart, the weakness is even more obvious. The high point on Thursday was around 3395. Today's current high point is around 3375. It can be seen that if the bottom falls below the 618 position 3350 again, it will directly touch around 3335. It coincides with the target position of 3340-3335 in the previous 4-hour chart.
Therefore, it is not possible to buy the bottom and go long today. Be alert to the possibility of further touching 3340-3335.
Gold-----sell near 3373. Target 3350-3320Gold market analysis:
Yesterday's gold shorts were very obvious. Yesterday in the Asian session, we arranged shorts at 3380 and 3386, and at night we arranged shorts at 3373. Now everyone is going to look at these positions. In fact, one-sided market requires bold pursuit, and volatile market requires careful waiting. It has been one-sided for two days. Today we estimate that it will be volatile and repaired. Today's idea is still to sell. The daily line has a big negative and a tail. The short selling trend has not changed. The daily line 3350 is a strong support. Above this position, it will continue to fall after the Asian session repair today, and it is not yet certain that 3350 is the low point of this wave of decline, so selling is still the main course. Gold 3343 is the trend watershed of this wave of sharp rise. This position is the position of bullish counterattack, and it also needs to be sold and avoided. In terms of trend, we cannot judge the space and end point of this wave of decline, but we can be sure of its trend, which investors need to follow. The idea of gold in Asian session is very simple. Consider selling opportunities near 3374-3377. Another suppression position is near 3383. If these two positions are not broken, basically sell short. If the Asian session runs to 3350, you can sell directly after a small rebound. Don’t consider buying first. Just sell without buying. Today is Friday. Even if gold rebounds, it will be in the European and American sessions.
Suppression 3373-3377, strong pressure 3383, support 3350, and the watershed of strength and weakness of the market is 3373.
Fundamental analysis:
There are basically no big data and big fundamentals this week. The US tariffs support gold buying, but there is no news about this week’s tariffs.
Operation suggestions:
Gold-----sell near 3373. Target 3350-3320
Gold Bounces Back After Testing Key Support📊 Market Drivers
• Gold dropped to around $3,352, touching a key support zone, then quickly rebounded to $3,373, gaining over +20 points.
• The rebound is supported by continued weakness in the US Dollar and slight easing in Treasury yields, keeping gold attractive as a safe haven.
• Although some optimism around US-Japan trade negotiations slightly reduced risk aversion, it wasn’t enough to push gold below support.
📉 Technical Analysis
• Key Resistance:
o $3,397 – $3,400: psychological resistance and near the next bullish breakout zone.
o If breached, next target lies around $3,420–3,445.
• Nearest Support:
o $3,356 – $3,364: recently confirmed support zone that triggered the current rebound.
o Deeper support at $3,326 – $3,320 if the rebound fails.
• EMA (EMA50):
o Price remains above the 50-period EMA, indicating bullish momentum in the short term.
• Patterns & Momentum:
o Market structure shows a "rising low" pattern — a bullish signal that buyers are stepping in at higher levels.
o RSI was briefly in oversold territory and now supports a recovery bounce.
o If $3,356 holds, the upside targets remain valid toward $3,397 → $3,439.
📌 Assessment
• Gold has confirmed strong support at $3,356–3,364, with the rebound from $3,352 as proof.
• Short-term uptrend remains intact, unless the USD strengthens sharply or unexpected macro news hits.
• If gold breaks below $3,356, it may retrace toward $3,326–3,320, but the upside potential is currently favored.
💡 Suggested Trade Setups
BUY XAU/USD: $3,356–3,364
🎯 Take Profit: 40/80/200 pips
❌ Stop Loss: $3,346
SELL XAU/USD: $3,397–3,400
🎯 Take Profit: 40/80/200 pips
❌ Stop Loss: $3,407
Has the price of gold peaked in the short term?Market news:
On Friday (July 25), London gold prices fell for two consecutive days under the dual pressure of global trade optimism and strong economic data. During the session, it once approached the psychological mark of US$3,350/ounce. The spot gold price fell sharply again, reflecting the easing of global trade tensions and the demand for safe-haven assets. The US dollar and US Treasury yields rose, which also hit the gold trend. In addition, rising stock markets and low volatility suppressed the upward momentum of international gold. The unexpected improvement in US labor market data further pushed up the US dollar and US Treasury yields, and the international market brought significant downward pressure on gold prices. At the same time, President Trump’s rare visit to the Federal Reserve and the market’s close attention to the Federal Reserve’s interest rate policy have added more uncertainty to the gold market. Looking ahead, the market’s attention is turning to the upcoming US durable goods orders data. As an important indicator of manufacturing activity and economic health, durable goods orders data may provide new clues to the trend of gold prices. Investors need to pay close attention to two key time points: one is the subtle changes in the Fed’s inflation statement at the July 30 interest rate meeting; the other is the final details of the US-EU agreement before the August 1 tariff deadline.
Technical review:
From the daily chart of gold, after three consecutive positive days, the price of gold fell under pressure. The daily K-line closed negatively. From the technical indicators, the MA5-MA10 moving averages and MACD formed a golden cross, but the red kinetic energy column gradually shortened, which means that the bulls lacked stamina. KDJ crossed downward in the middle position, indicating that the upward momentum was exhausted, which was a weak signal in the short term!
Technical aspects:the daily chart of gold adjusted and repaired, and the MA10 daily moving average was 3365. In the early morning, it formed a bottoming out and rebounded, stopping at the 3351/50 mark, and then pulled up above 3377. The MA10/7-day moving average continued to open upward, and the RSI stopped above the middle axis. In the short-term four-hour chart and hourly chart, the gold price is in the middle and lower track of the Bollinger band channel, and the moving average is glued. On Friday, the idea of shocks is to sell high and buy low for short-term participation. Pay attention to the 3352/3392 range during the day!
Today's analysis:
Gold continued to fall yesterday. Our friend circle of the US market 3377 prompted direct shorting and fell as expected. Although there was a rebound, the rebound of gold was just to repair the market. The selling of gold has not ended yet. The rebound is an opportunity to continue selling. Sell directly above 3370 during the day!The 1-hour moving average of gold continues to turn downward. If a dead cross is formed, the downward space of gold will be further opened. Gold will still have room to fall. Gold rebounded in the US market yesterday and still faced the resistance of 3377. It continued to go short at highs after rebounding below 3377 in the Asian market. If it cannot even reach 3377 today, it will be a weak rebound, and gold selling will be more like a fish in water.
Operation ideas:
Buy short-term gold at 3345-3348, stop loss at 3337, target at 3370-3390;
Sell short-term gold at 3374-3377, stop loss at 3386, target at 3350-3330;
Key points:
First support level: 3350, second support level: 3342, third support level: 3323
First resistance level: 3375, second resistance level: 3390, third resistance level: 3406
Gold price analysis July 25Gold Analysis – D1 Uptrend Still Maintains, But Needs New Momentum
Yesterday’s trading session recorded a D1 candle closing above the Breakout 3363 zone, indicating that buying power in the US session is still dominant. This implies that the uptrend is still being maintained, although the market may need a short-term technical correction.
In today’s Tokyo and London sessions, there is a possibility of liquidity sweeps to the support zone below before Gold recovers and increases again in the New York session.
Important to note:
The uptrend will only be broken if Gold closes below the 3345 zone on the D1 chart.
In this case, the 3320 level will be the next support zone to observe the price reaction and consider buying points.
For the bullish wave to continue expanding towards the historical peak (ATH) at 3500, the market needs stronger supporting factors, which can come from economic data or geopolitical developments.
📌 Support zone: 3345 – 3320
📌 Resistance zone: 3373 – 3418
🎯 Potential buy zone:
3345 (prioritize price reaction in this zone)
3320 (in case of breaking through 3345)
🎯 Target: 3417
Is the gold correction over?✏️Yesterday's D1 candle closed above the Breakout 3363 zone. This shows that the buyers in the US session are still strong. There is a possibility of a liquidity sweep in the Tokyo and London sessions, then in the New York session, Gold will recover and increase again. The uptrend is really broken when Gold confirms a close below 3345. In this case, we have to wait for 3320 to confirm the BUY point. The gold uptrend at this time also needs new momentum to be able to move towards ATH 3500.
📉 Key Levels
Support: 3345-3320
Resistance: 3373-3418
Buy zone: 3345 (bullish wave structure maintained); BUY DCA break 3373
Buy zone: 3320 (Strong support zone)
Target: 3417
Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
Are you ready for the BUY BTCUSD signal?✏️ The pennant pattern is forming. After BTCUSD reached a new peak, the past 1 week, BTC price has been accumulating to form a bullish pennant pattern. This is a bullish continuation pattern that signals when breaking the upper boundary of the flag pattern.
📉 Key Levels
BUY Trigger: Break and trade above 199000
Target 128000
Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
Gold fluctuated downward. Or it will continue.Gold was blocked near 3393 in the early trading on Thursday and began to fluctuate and fall, falling to 3351 as low as possible, then stopped falling and rose, and after rebounding near 3377, it was blocked and fell back to 3370 and fluctuated up and down, and the daily line closed with a negative line.
After three consecutive positive rises from last Friday to Tuesday this week, gold ushered in a turning point on Wednesday. On Thursday, it continued to fall and broke through the 5-day and 10-day moving averages, and the short-term market weakened. From the overall structure, the rising channel since June 26 remains valid. The highs on Tuesday and Wednesday approached the upper edge of the channel and then fell. The current price turned to fall and approached the lower edge of the channel.
There are two key positions for the support below: the first support level is near 3345, which is the lower edge support of the current rising channel; the second support level is near 3325, which is the trend line support formed by the connection of the previous low points.
From the 4-hour chart, the 3351 low point and the rebound resistance level can be used as a reference for today's long-short game. The breaking of key support and resistance will determine the trend direction of the next stage.
Operation strategy:
Short near 3375, stop loss 3385, profit range 3350-3330
Long near 3330, stop loss 3320, profit range 3350-3370
XAU/USD(20250725) Today's AnalysisMarket news:
The European Central Bank announced that it would maintain the three key interest rates unchanged, reiterated data dependence, warned that the external environment is highly uncertain, and President Lagarde did not rule out the possibility of future rate hikes. Traders reduced their bets on ECB rate cuts.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
3370
Support and resistance levels
3412
3397
3386
3355
3344
3329
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 3370, consider buying in, with the first target price of 3386
If the price breaks through 3355, consider selling in, with the first target price of 3344
Some investors take profits. Opportunity to buy gold to 3500?✏️ OANDA:XAUUSD price correction of 50 appeared yesterday. This is obvious to happen in a sustainable uptrend. Today's strategy will look for liquidity sweeps to support to BUY to ATH 3500. Gold's current border zone is limited by the upper and lower trendlines. Be careful not to trade against the trend when breaking the trend zone.
📉 Key Levels
Support: 3375 -3363
Resistance: 3418-3431-3490
Buy trigger: Buyers react at 3375
Buy zone: 3363
Target: 3430; level higher at 3490
Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
Gold Price Analysis July 24After a correction of about 50 prices in yesterday's session, gold is showing a necessary "breathing" in the long-term uptrend. This is a positive signal, showing that the market is accumulating before continuing its journey towards a new ATH around the 3500 area.
Currently, gold prices are fluctuating within the boundary zone limited by two upper/lower trendlines - creating a clear structure of support and resistance. Avoid trading against the trend if this boundary zone is broken.
📌 Trading plan:
Strategy: Prioritize BUY when price sweeps to support zone
Active buy zone: 3375 (reaction price)
Potential buy zone: 3363 (deep support)
Target: 3431 in the immediate future → further towards 3490
Support: 3375 – 3363
Resistance: 3418 – 3431 – 3490
Today's US market focus is 3350
Gold prices continued their decline from the previous session on Thursday, July 24, slipping further below the 3,400 mark as trade tensions eased and risk sentiment rose. Gold's decline today means a second consecutive day of decline as investors turned their attention to more positive trade progress since yesterday. However, gold still received buying support earlier this week, breaking through $3,400 at one point. This round of gains tested key resistance levels on the gold daily chart, but in the end the bears held their ground.
Risk data interpretation!
Investors are currently waiting for U.S. Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data for new trading instructions. If any PMI index falls below 50.0, indicating a contraction in economic activity in related industries, the dollar may face pressure and help gold prices rise.
The market will also pay close attention to developments surrounding the ongoing discord between U.S. President Trump and Federal Reserve Chairman Powell. The White House announced Trump's schedule, and Trump will visit the Federal Reserve at 4 p.m. Eastern Time on Thursday.
Views on the trend of gold!
The trend of gold is directly reversed from that of Monday and Tuesday this week. At the beginning of this week, gold rose slowly and continuously without giving a chance to retrace, while today it retreated continuously and did not give a rebound. Does it look familiar? The trend is bearish and I want to short but I can't do it. In fact, we are still bullish in the morning today, and the watershed is actually at the 3375 line. After the frequent breakouts in the European session, it means that the current bulls are suppressed again.
And the K-line on the hourly line is more obvious. There is no positive line in the continuous negative retracement, so the weakness will continue. After all, the Asian session is weak today, and the European session is also continuously weak. The current market has reached the 3363 line, which is actually not far from our second support of 3350. So the US session needs to focus on this position. If the US session can hold, there is still hope for a rebound. Otherwise, it will fall continuously today!
Gold: Long around 3350, defend 3340, and target the 3385-93 line
Gold’s Wild Ride: A Trader’s Take on What’s NextHey Fellow Traders! 👋
Gold’s been an absolute beast this week, smashing through both buyers and sellers like it’s playing a high-stakes game of market whack-a-mole! 😅 After Wednesday’s wild moves and today’s follow-up, Gold’s keeping us all guessing.
Right now, I’m not locking in a long-term bias—Gold’s too unpredictable for that. But here’s the exciting part: I’m eyeing a short-term long opportunity. Why? The price just dipped into a 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG) and tagged a Breaker, setting up a potential bounce. 📈
My plan? I’m expecting Gold to sweep up the highlighted liquidity and charge toward the 4H Inversion Fair Value Gap (IFVG). Once it hits that zone, I’ll be glued to the charts, watching for its reaction to decide the next move. 🧐
As always, trade smart! Set your stops, size your positions wisely, and don’t let Gold’s volatility catch you off guard. Protect your capital first—always! 💡
What’s your take on Gold right now? Are you jumping on this setup or waiting for more confirmation? Drop your thoughts in the comments below, give this post a like, and follow for more updates! 👇 Let’s keep the trading convo going! 🔥
"Gold's Repeat Pattern: Two Impulses, Two Pullbacks – What's NexThis **4-hour Gold (XAU/USD)** chart shows a classic **price action structure** with two major impulsive waves followed by corrective pullbacks. Here's a breakdown using **price action principles**:
🔹 **1. Impulsive Rally #1 (Left Box)**
* **Price surged** by approx. **119.55 points (+3.68%)**, forming strong bullish candles with little to no wick on top — a sign of **buyer dominance**.
* The move was sharp, indicating **strong momentum** and **break of previous lower highs**, suggesting a possible **market structure shift** to bullish.
🔻 **2. Correction #1**
* The rally was followed by a **retracement of -84.51 points (-2.51%)**.
* Price made **lower highs and lower lows** within this box — indicating a **corrective pullback**, not a reversal.
* It respected previous support zones, which shows **buyers still in control**.
### 🔹 **3. Impulsive Rally #2 (Right Box)**
* Price then made a **new higher high**, rising **127.94 points (+3.86%)**.
* Strong bullish candles again appeared with follow-through — confirming **bullish order flow**.
* The **break of the previous swing high** confirms a **bullish structure continuation**.
### 🔻 **4. Correction #2 (Ongoing)**
* Current price is in a **retracement phase** of around **-84.51 points (-2.46%)** — nearly identical in size to the first correction.
* The correction is forming **lower highs and lower lows**, with potential for **bullish reaction near the previous support or demand zone**.
* The **market is testing previous structure** (support level near \$3360–\$3370) — a key area for **bullish reversal confirmation** (watch for pin bars or bullish engulfing patterns).
📌 **Price Action Summary
* **Structure**: Higher highs, higher lows — confirms **uptrend**.
* **Corrections**: Controlled and proportional — shows **healthy trend**.
* **Current Zone**: Price is testing **potential support**, watch for **bullish reversal signals** to catch next wave.
* **Bias**: Still **bullish**, unless structure breaks below recent swing low (\~\$3340).
---
✅ Traders’ Tip**: If bullish candles form at current support, it may present a **buy opportunity** with targets toward recent highs. Use proper risk management and watch for confirmation!
XAUUSD 24/07 Bullish Reversal Potential from Falling Channel1. Price Overview & Trendline Context
Gold (XAUUSD) is currently trading around 3,369.67 USD after a notable pullback from the recent high near 3,428. A clear descending channel has formed, marking a short-term corrective move within a larger bullish trend. Price action suggests a potential reversal setup as price approaches a strong support zone around 3,340 – 3,350 USD, previously acted as demand in the breakout on July 22.
2. Fibonacci & Structure Analysis
The Fibonacci retracement drawn from the recent swing low to the top at ~3,428 reveals that the pullback has reached the 0.9 level, often seen as an exhaustion point for corrections in strong bullish trends. This area aligns with:
Key horizontal support: 3,340 – 3,350
Previous breakout zone
Volume spike at base (20.6K vs avg.)
This convergence suggests a high-probability bullish reversal setup.
3. EMA & Momentum Indicators
Although the chart primarily uses SMA 9, the structure suggests price is extended from shorter EMAs. A break above the upper boundary of the falling channel may trigger EMA crossovers, further confirming reversal momentum.
4. Trading Strategy Suggestion
Setup
Description
Buy Zone: 3,350 – 3,365 USD
Take Profit 1: 3,385 USD (short-term supply zone)
Take Profit 2: 3,428 USD (recent swing high)
Stop Loss: Below 3,340 USD
This trade follows the "Buy the Dip in Uptrend" strategy, aligning with trendline, fib support, and volume confirmation.
5. Key Resistance & Support Levels
Resistance: 3,385 – 3,428 USD
Support: 3,340 – 3,350 USD
Breakout Confirmation Level: 3,375 (channel breakout)
6. Final Insights
Gold remains in a broader bullish structure. Today’s chart shows strong technical confluence for a short-term reversal. Traders should monitor closely for breakout candles from the falling wedge/channel, preferably with volume confirmation.