Gold price jumps ahead of Fed Powell’s testimony☘️Fundamental analysis
Gold prices (XAU/USD) rose in the European morning session on Tuesday on the back of a weaker US Dollar. Traders expect the Fed to cut interest rates in September after last week's weak US jobs data capped gold's decline. In addition, political instability in France and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East also boosted gold prices as a safe-haven asset.
However, gold prices may be pressured as the People's Bank of China (PBoC) did not buy gold for the second consecutive month in June. Traders will monitor Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's testimony before the National Assembly. conference, along with speeches from the Fed's Michael Barr and Michelle Bowman. US Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation data on Thursday will also be in focus.
☘️Technical analysis
Gold prices traded in a positive direction during the day. According to the h2 chart, the precious metal maintains an uptrend near the 34 EMA, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) holding in the bullish zone above the 50 midline. This suggests support is there. the ability to hold up rather than break down.
The psychological level of $2,400 serves as immediate resistance for XAU/USD. Before that, you need to break the old peak around 2392.
In case of a downside, the first downside target will appear at $2,340 (former resistance).
Support: 2350-2340
Resistance: 2378-2392
SELL GOLD zone 2392 -2395 SL 2397
BUY GOLD zone 2340-2338 SL 2335
Goldprice
Gold has recovered Fundamental analysis
Gold prices rose slightly on Wednesday, continuing their recovery after Monday's PBoC-related sell-off. This comes after data emerged showing demand for gold by central banks around the world remains high. This balanced the negative impact of news that the largest consumer of gold, the People's Bank of China (PBoC), stopped buying the precious metal in June.
The Fed will adopt a data-driven approach to interest rates.
Investors had been hoping for more specifics on when the Fed would cut interest rates, and Powell's quiet cut should have weakened Gold more than that.
Technical analysis
Gold is recovering for the second day in a row after forming a bearish two-bar reversal pattern. The unclear outlook poses a risk that Gold may return to the break out zone, which is also the most important support zone around 2340.
In the bullish trend, if gold surpasses Friday's peak of $2,393, the price will continue the series of higher peaks and could reach the next target of 2,400 and still cherish the possibility of surpassing the all-time peak.
The trend is sideways in the near-peak area during the drought period. In the long term, Gold is still in a strong uptrend and is ready to reach a peak above 2400 in the near future as macro and political data continues to support gold.
Support: 2362 - 2351 -2342 - 2335
Resistance: 2378 - 2383 - 2387 - 2395
SELL zone 2382 - 2384 Stoploss 2388
SELL zone 2392-2394 Stoploss 2396
BUY zone 2341 - 2339 Stoploss 2335
BUY zone 2351-2349 Stoploss 2346
Gold Sideways: Profit from Any Move - Buy or Sell
Hello Traders,
I am sharing a 4-hour chart for gold, which is currently moving sideways.
Support: $2300
Resistance: $2420
Pivot: $2360
We can use $2360 as the first target 🎯 for both long and short positions.
Consider taking a swing position when you observe a breakout.
Happy trading!
XAUUSD (Gold): Create long position when the price fallsXAUUSD (Gold): Create long position when the price falls
Weekly: The price of gold is currently trying to challenge the previous high and is about to break through the closing price of $2,426 in the week of May 24.From the weekly time frame we should open long positions when prices fall.
Daily: According to the recent remarks of the FED Chairman and data from CME WatchTool, it is currently confirmed that there is more than 90% chance of a one-point interest rate cut on September 18, which will make the price rise of gold. This caused the previously predicted descending triangle pattern to be "broken upward", and the triangle pattern has invoid. Judging from the trend of interest rate cuts, gold prices will continue to rise, and investors should establish long positions when gold prices fall.
H4: The three moving averages present an "uptrend sequence" which suggests create long position when the price falls.
Strategy (H4)
Buy Zone @ 2360 - 2395 (positive)
SL: 20-30, TP: 40-80
Buy Stop @ 2420 - 2440 (short term)
SL: 10-15, TP: 20-40
Sell Zone @ 2460 - 2490 (negative)
SL: 15-20, TP: 30-50
H1: (Short-term Strategy)
Buy Zone @ 2384 - 2405 (short term)
SL: 15-20,TP: 30-60
Sell Zone @ 2440 - 2460 (negative)
SL: 10-15, TP: 20-30
Full Time Frame 4K UHD Pic (TradingView):
GOLD ( UNDER PPI NEWS EFFECT ) ( 4H ) XAUUSD
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency the price trade above turning level at 2394$ , indicates is under bullish pressure
TURNING LEVEL : a black line between resistance and support level around 2,394$ , indicates if the price stabilizing above this level reach resistance level , if the breaking turning level reach a support level
RESISTANCE LEVEL : there is a green line above turning level around 2,423 $ , indicates selling have already increase this level , so if the price trade above turning level reach this level
SUPPORT LEVEL : there is a black line below turning level around 2,369$ , indicates buying have already increase this level , so if the price breaking turning level reach this level
PRICE MOVEMENT : know the price in the FVG area ,it will attempt reach a turning level around 2,394$, after rising to the resistance level around 2,423$ , then stable above this level reach 2,440$ , if the price breaking turning level reach a support level at 2,369$ , then stable by open 4h candle above this level reach a 2,345$
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 2,423$ , 2,440$
SUPPORT LEVEL : 2,369$ , 2,345$
Scalping GOLD m15On the m15 frame chart we will have Scalping signals today with support at 2365 and resistance at 2371. The main trend in the small frame is up and is being supported by two EMA lines. Therefore, a BUY scalp signal around 2365 is still being considered by investors.
Gold prices held steady in early trading Wednesday morning in Asia.
Expectations of Fed interest rate cuts continue to boost yellow metal prices.
The PBoC has restrained gold purchases for a consecutive month, limiting XAU/USD's rise.
CPI - Will Gold price touch 2400 ???⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices saw a third consecutive day of buyer interest, despite trading below the week's peak. Traders appear hesitant, awaiting US consumer inflation data to guide near-term strategies. This information will influence Federal Reserve decisions on interest rate cuts, impacting USD demand and potentially providing momentum for gold.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price is in the bullish range - wave 3 of H1 frames waiting for a break in the 2384 area. The price will show positive signs if today's CPI supports Gold
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2338 - $2340 SL $2332
TP1: $2348
TP2: $2355
TP3: $2370
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2398 - $2400 SL $2405
TP1: $2390
TP2: $2380
TP3: $2370
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
GOLD ( UNDER CPI PRESSURE ) ( 4H ) XAUUSD
HELLO TRADERS
in the last chart as mentioned the price is under bullish reach first target , today still continues to reach a resistance level , beware today have a some huge news
TURNING LEVEL : around 2,368 $ , the price stabilizing this level indicates active resistance level , if the price breaking this level trying to reach a support level
PRICE MOVEMENT :
ACTIVE RESISTANCE LEVEL : know the price trade above 2,368$ , indicates active this level in my suggest the price it will attempt to reach a turning level after touch a resistance level around 2,394 $ , then above this level have a FVG place trade above this level reach a next resistance around 2,415 $
ACTIVE SUPPORT LEVEL : this level become active when the price breaking a turning level at 2,368$ , which is what make it reach a support level at 2,347$ and 2,328$
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 2,394 $ , 2,415
SUPPORT LEVEL : 2,347$ , 2,328 $
Gold Rally Stalls, Correction ExpectedThe gold price has been able to recover significantly from its losses since May but is still trading around 100 dollars below the all-time high. Due to the hidden bearish divergence visible in the chart's VOLD, we assume that there will be another moderate correction to around 2337 USD before new all-time highs are reached. By waiting for a pullback, we can set a reasonable stop and thereby optimize our risk-reward ratio (RRR).
Gold Tests 2-Week Highs - Will We See A Breakout?Gold is making another run at its 2-week high near $2385, even with China stopping its purchases for a 2nd straight month.
A breakout here could expose the record highs near $2450 in short order. Watch US CPI as a possible fundamental catalyst in one direction or another.
-MW
GOLD (XAUUSD) Intraday Short Trade IdeaGold is in the local descending channel and we are trying to find the sell position entries.
We observe breaker block on the graph which cannot be broken previous days, only false breakouts happened.
Thus, this zone occasionally is the intense rejection zone for us.
Also, Powel in yesterday's meeting did not talk negative about the inflation rate, which keeps the strength of USD index and respectively affect the GOLD negatively
TP and SL zones are shown on graph.
Trade on your own risk and responsibly.
Slight fluctuations after price reductionGold prices increased slightly in early trading Tuesday morning in Asia. Rising interest rates dampen expectations and cash flows into safe havens could limit the precious metal's decline. The pause in gold purchases by the People's Bank of China (PBoC) is likely to put pressure on XAU/USD in the near term.
From a technical point of view, XAU/USD is under pressure, but not bearish. In the small h2 time frame chart, the pair continues to be supported by two EMAs. This could be a temporary recovery in a prolonged uptrend in the near term.
After recovering from EMA 89 around 2351, gold has shown positive signs at the beginning of the Asian trading session. Pay attention to important support and resistance zones to have the best trading strategy.
Support level: 2350-2358
Resistance level: 2371-2380
Gold analysis week 28Disappointing economic data, including a slowdown in the US labor market, have increased market expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in September. Expectations are growing. The start of a new easing cycle has pushed the US Dollar index to a 3-week low and bond yields to a 4-week high, creating favorable conditions for gold prices to trade at their highest level in 2019. 4 weeks.
The US economic calendar will not release any data with a significant impact in the first half of next week. However, investors will be watching closely as Chairman Powell will conduct two days of testimony before the Senate Finance Committee on Tuesday and the House Finance Committee on Wednesday.
Gold prices decisively broke the head-and-shoulders neckline, pushing the spot price close to $2,390, suggesting buyers are in control and prices will move even higher.
The momentum has shifted in favor of the buyers as depicted by the bullish Relative Strength Index (RSI). A daily close above the June 21 high of $2,368 could open the door to a trading range higher in the $2,370-2,400 region, with buyers targeting higher levels .
If the price breaks above $2,400, it will hit a yearly high of $2,450 before hitting $2,500.
On the other hand, if sellers push the spot price below $2,350, the price could continue to fall towards $2,300. If this support fails, the next demand zone will be the May 3 low of $2,277, followed by the March 21 high of $2,222.
EURUSD analysis week 28☘️The EUR/USD exchange rate fluctuated strongly after the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report was released mixed on Friday. The price is trading around 1,083 near the three-week peak.
☘️European industrial output fell more sharply than expected. EU-wide retail sales beat forecasts, coming in at 0.3% year-on-year versus an expected 0.1%, but still down from 0.6% previously.
☘️Yarn traders will pay attention to the appearance of Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell on Tuesday, followed by final inflation figures from both the EU and US on Thursday. Next Friday will close out next week with German Retail Sales, as well as US Producer Price Index (PPI) inflation and the University of Michigan's Consumer Sentiment Index survey results.
☘️GBPUSD has approached the 1.085 peak area, continuing to bring EURO back to being the world's leading currency. Momentum has shifted in favor of buyers as depicted by the Relative Strength Index (RSI) price increase. The nearest resistance level at 1,085 should prevent a surprise rally after the US data. If the price breaks through that level, the price will reach a recent two-month high around 1,090. On the other hand, if the sellers push the price down, the pair has many important support levels to maintain the stability of the uptrend first around the disputed 1,079 EMA support zone. If this support fails, the next demand zone will be the Break out of the sideway trend at 1.075.
Support: 1,085-1,089
Resistance: 1.079-1.075
Trading signals
SELL EURUSD zone 1.089-1.091 SL 1.093
BUY EURUSD zone 1.075-1.073 SL 1.071
What's next for GOLD?Hindsight specialists know only 1 thing.... reactive trading aka impulse trading, lying about performance and pretending they "knew it all along".
Its all very strange to me, all I do is predict future price and capture pips... 0 hindsight.
None of this:
"honestly, if it stays here and doesn't keep falling, it's a long defense and my bias will change."
"if it starts going up then its bullish but if it goes down its bearish."
If & but = lack of responsibility and accountability.
The bears resisted fiercely! XAU adjustment⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) are rising due to a weaker US Dollar amidst speculation that the US Federal Reserve may cut interest rates in September following weak employment data. Political uncertainties in France and Middle Eastern tensions could further drive up Gold, a traditional safe-haven asset.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Gold's Monday price correction shows resistance from sellers and bears ahead of today's FED meeting. Gold price is still in a long-term price increase range
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2341 - $2343 SL $2336
TP1: $2350
TP2: $2365
TP3: $2380
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2370 - $2372 SL $2377
TP1: $2360
TP2: $2350
TP3: $2340
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Gold pullback - trading entry for todayGold fee is buying and selling round 2362 USD. Technically, the fee is displaying a pullback from the preceding excessive, presently retesting the pleasant bullish channel assist sector fashioned on D1.
If the fee holds the assist sector round 2,350 USD/ounce, there may be a excessive opportunity that the fee will hold to upward push to the resistance degree of 2,four hundred USD/ounce and probable better. The deceleration and consolidation in advance of this degree indicates bullish hobby in in addition growth.
According to this view, the chance of gold charges will upward push better withinside the close to destiny primarily based totally on marketplace expectancies that americaA Federal Reserve (Fed) will reduce hobby prices. CME`s Fedwatch device indicates hobby prices will fall in September and will fall in addition in November and December, which might gain gold.
This week, marketplace interest is targeted on Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's congressional testimony, feedback from numerous Fed officers and US inflation data. According to senior analyst Matt Simpson City Index, a vulnerable inflation record coupled with Mr. Powell's dovish tone can be the correct catalyst for gold to attain new highs.
Short-time period stages to consider:
Resistance stages: 2400, 2422
Critical assist degree: 2350
In summary, gold's short-time period outlook is positive, primarily based totally on strong technical elements along with a long-time period uptrend, supported with the aid of using EMA and a growing fee channel. If gold charges keep above the $2,350/ounce assist degree, there may be a excessive opportunity that the fee will hold to upward push and head in the direction of the $2,four hundred/ounce resistance degree or better. However, buyers have to observe that the gold marketplace continues to be substantially stimulated with the aid of using macroeconomic elements and geopolitical occasions that would opposite modern-day moves.
XAU/USD 09 July 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has continued bullish and printed a bullish iBOS aligning itself with swing structure.
Price has evidently begun to pullback following bullish iBOS without mitigating daily supply zone which would question if price has the liquidity to 'fuel' it's drive down.
It would be prudent to stand aside and allow price to confirm it's intention.
Intraday expectation: According to current price action, price to pullback to either discount of 50% EQ of the internal structure (50% EQ denoted in blue) or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high. However, I would personally stand aside and allow price to confirm it's intention.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price has printed a further bearish iBOS
Technically we are currently trading within an internal high and fractal low with the bullish CHOCH positioned close to the internal high, however, as price has reached premium of 50% EQ I am happy to label the fractal low as an internal low as bullish CHoCH is positioned close the the internal high.
Intraday expectation: Price to target weak internal low.
M15 Chart:
XAUUSD continues its downtrend waiting for information from the 💵💵💵GOLD PRICE AND ECONOMIC INFORMATION
Gold rose above $2,360 per ounce on Tuesday, recouping some losses from the previous session as investors turn their attention to Fed Chair Powell's semi-annual testimony before Congress. Last week's figures showed a softening labor market in the US, with the unemployment rate reaching a two-and-a-half-year high and wage growth falling to a three-year low, indicating impending early interest rate cuts by the US central bank. Currently, markets are pricing in a 77% probability of the Fed reducing interest rates in September, with another cut expected in December. Powell's testimony before the Senate today and the House on Wednesday will offer investors clearer signals on the future direction of the Fed's interest rate path. Investors also anticipate key upcoming inflation figures set to be released on Thursday. Elsewhere, traders are monitoring geopolitical developments in the Middle East amid prospects of a ceasefire deal between Israel and Hamas..
🔴SELL GOLD: 2370 - 2372, SL: 2376
🟢BUY GOLD: 2343 - 2341, SL: 2337
⛔️Breakout: top border 2370 -2378 - below 2350 - 2342
🔼Support: 2351 -2342 - 2335
🔽Resistance: 2370 -2378 - 2385 - 2395
GOOD LUCK EVERYONE👍
Gold price edges lower as PBoC keeps Gold buying on hold☘️Fundamental analysis
Gold prices attracted some selling during early European trading on Monday. Gold lost momentum as the People's Bank of China (PBoC), China's central bank, kept its gold purchases unchanged for the second month of June, according to official data released on Sunday. It should be noted that China is the world's largest consumer of gold bars, and a pause in gold purchases could affect gold prices.
On the other hand, growing speculation that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates in the third quarter could push up unprofitable gold prices. Furthermore, political instability in France after voter opinion polls showed the final round of voting in the French parliamentary election pointed to a hung parliament, which could spur Safe haven assets like Gold. Traders will pay closer attention to Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, who will testify on Tuesday ahead of June US Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation data on Thursday.
☘️Technical analysis
Gold price decreased slightly during the day. Technically, the yellow metal maintains a bullish bias on the daily chart as it holds above the 34 EMA and 89 EMA. The precious metal maintains a breakout above the formed descending trend channel formed on May 10. RSI reacts at the 50 zone, signaling that gold will still maintain its upward momentum today.
The first upside barrier for XAU/USD will appear at the psychological $2,400 level after overcoming Friday's peak around 2392.
On the downside, support for the yellow metal lies at $2,370, a break out of a key multi-day high.
Support: 2378 -2370 - 2364 - 2360
Resistance: 2385 -2393 - 2400
SELL price range 2398 - 2400 Stoploss 2403
BUY price range 2370 - 2368 Stoploss 2365